MEMEROBINHOOD

? · · gru_s0

token id: #770
symbol: MEMEROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 117

Track record at +1d

assessed

38

of 39 predictions shown

direction hit

71.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1096

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0080

actual -0.0488

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.009054	0.008928	-1.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-20	oos	0.009211	0.009093	-1.28%	0.009054	-1.72%	0.0042	✓	0.08
2026-10-19	oos	0.011556	0.011368	-1.63%	0.009211	-20.29%	0.2136	✓	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.010901	0.010762	-1.28%	0.011556	+6.00%	0.0717	✗	0.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.010958	0.010853	-0.97%	0.010901	-0.52%	0.0026	✓	0.25
2026-10-16	oos	0.012207	0.012067	-1.14%	0.010958	-10.23%	0.0960	✓	0.24
2026-10-15	oos	0.014254	0.013882	-2.61%	0.012207	-14.36%	0.1273	✓	0.17
2026-10-14	oos	0.01064	0.01062	-0.19%	0.014254	+33.97%	0.2941	✗	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.0117	0.011652	-0.41%	0.01064	-9.06%	0.0918	✓	-0.05
2026-10-12	oos	0.01209	0.012066	-0.20%	0.0117	-3.23%	0.0297	✓	-0.06
2026-10-11	oos	0.012425	0.012383	-0.34%	0.01209	-2.70%	0.0248	✓	-0.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.012195	0.012197	+0.02%	0.012425	+1.89%	0.0192	✓	-0.08
2026-10-09	oos	0.012895	0.012908	+0.10%	0.012195	-5.43%	0.0565	✗	-0.07
2026-10-08	oos	0.012035	0.012087	+0.43%	0.012895	+7.15%	0.0664	✓	-0.16
2026-10-07	oos	0.01357	0.013586	+0.12%	0.012035	-11.31%	0.1268	✗	-0.29
2026-10-06	oos	0.01678	0.016672	-0.64%	0.01357	-19.13%	0.2258	✓	-0.74
2026-10-05	oos	0.017965	0.017806	-0.89%	0.01678	-6.60%	0.0612	✓	-0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.017285	0.017122	-0.94%	0.017965	+3.93%	0.0421	✗	-0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.01557	0.015502	-0.44%	0.017285	+11.01%	0.0883	✗	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.0164	0.016336	-0.39%	0.01557	-5.06%	0.0509	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.017095	0.017012	-0.48%	0.0164	-4.07%	0.0326	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.021475	0.021399	-0.35%	0.017095	-20.40%	0.2399	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.02495	0.024766	-0.74%	0.021475	-13.93%	0.1416	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.02912	0.028739	-1.31%	0.02495	-14.32%	0.1435	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.02693	0.026644	-1.06%	0.02912	+8.13%	0.1008	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.02853	0.028187	-1.20%	0.02693	-5.61%	0.0462	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03015	0.029751	-1.32%	0.02853	-5.37%	0.0457	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.02773	0.027442	-1.04%	0.03015	+8.73%	0.0976	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03443	0.033787	-1.87%	0.02773	-19.46%	0.1977	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03152	0.031006	-1.63%	0.03443	+9.23%	0.1261	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02677	0.026459	-1.16%	0.03152	+17.74%	0.1796	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.027265	0.027046	-0.80%	0.02677	-1.82%	0.0751	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.03062	0.030364	-0.84%	0.027265	-10.96%	0.1067	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.03075	0.030501	-0.81%	0.03062	-0.42%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03702	0.036749	-0.73%	0.03075	-16.94%	0.2358	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02977	0.029636	-0.45%	0.03702	+24.35%	0.2198	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.032345	0.032228	-0.36%	0.02977	-7.96%	0.0867	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.044095	0.043877	-0.50%	0.032345	-26.65%	0.2712	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04952	0.049139	-0.77%	0.044095	-10.96%	0.1261	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.