MCAT
Marscat Token · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s0
- token id
- #456
- symbol
- MCAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd69a4b260ef021ccd4e1c5f5a4fb522b032ce831
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
53.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0815
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0120
actual -0.0046
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.719025 | 0.712376 | -0.92% | – | pending | – | – | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.759515 | 0.751471 | -1.06% | 0.719025 | -5.33% | 0.0329 | ✓ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.774195 | 0.764964 | -1.19% | 0.759515 | -1.90% | 0.0594 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.7811 | 0.770629 | -1.34% | 0.774195 | -0.88% | 0.0127 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.74617 | 0.735848 | -1.38% | 0.7811 | +4.68% | 0.0298 | ✗ | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.646255 | 0.640325 | -0.92% | 0.74617 | +15.46% | 0.1587 | ✗ | 3.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.62541 | 0.619881 | -0.88% | 0.646255 | +3.33% | 0.0720 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.60864 | 0.603716 | -0.81% | 0.62541 | +2.76% | 0.0082 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.599125 | 0.59422 | -0.82% | 0.60864 | +1.59% | 0.1012 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.596775 | 0.592091 | -0.78% | 0.599125 | +0.39% | 0.0576 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.608905 | 0.603813 | -0.84% | 0.596775 | -1.99% | 0.0911 | ✗ | 4.39 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.611255 | 0.605548 | -0.93% | 0.608905 | -0.38% | 0.0352 | ✓ | 4.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.563305 | 0.558896 | -0.78% | 0.611255 | +8.51% | 0.0851 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.51154 | 0.5084 | -0.61% | 0.563305 | +10.12% | 0.0922 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.54838 | 0.544846 | -0.64% | 0.51154 | -6.72% | 0.0439 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.689605 | 0.684122 | -0.80% | 0.54838 | -20.48% | 0.1943 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.65254 | 0.648066 | -0.69% | 0.689605 | +5.68% | 0.0646 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.6717 | 0.667131 | -0.68% | 0.65254 | -2.85% | 0.0133 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.704355 | 0.698089 | -0.89% | 0.6717 | -4.64% | 0.0591 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.70984 | 0.703102 | -0.95% | 0.704355 | -0.77% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.722985 | 0.715793 | -0.99% | 0.70984 | -1.82% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.745455 | 0.736633 | -1.18% | 0.722985 | -3.01% | 0.0341 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.796315 | 0.785109 | -1.41% | 0.745455 | -6.39% | 0.0508 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.780635 | 0.769222 | -1.46% | 0.796315 | +2.01% | 0.0324 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.77554 | 0.764101 | -1.47% | 0.780635 | +0.66% | 0.0334 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.76579 | 0.753966 | -1.54% | 0.77554 | +1.27% | 0.0277 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.77739 | 0.764612 | -1.64% | 0.76579 | -1.49% | 0.0023 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.73189 | 0.721435 | -1.43% | 0.77739 | +6.22% | 0.0782 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.82997 | 0.814602 | -1.85% | 0.73189 | -11.82% | 0.1072 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.91021 | 0.884902 | -2.78% | 0.82997 | -8.82% | 0.0427 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.72185 | 0.704778 | -2.37% | 0.91021 | +26.09% | 0.2604 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.51745 | 0.513596 | -0.74% | 0.72185 | +39.50% | 0.2756 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.829055 | 0.809458 | -2.36% | 0.51745 | -37.59% | 0.4465 | ✓ | 1.00 |