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LIT

Lighter · Ethereum · gru_s0

token id
#67
symbol
LIT
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-01-22
predictions
795
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
235
of 265 predictions shown
direction hit
57.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3303
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0364
actual +0.0936

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos3.81043.6357-4.58%–pending––1.27
2026-10-21oos3.76183.5984-4.34%–pending––1.29
2026-10-20oos3.38263.1951-5.54%–pending––1.29
2026-10-19oos3.09472.8764-7.06%–pending––1.27
2026-10-18oos3.07522.8664-6.79%–pending––1.30
2026-10-17oos3.11462.8978-6.96%–pending––1.30
2026-10-16oos3.17522.9599-6.78%–pending––1.30
2026-10-15oos3.02532.8107-7.09%–pending––1.30
2026-10-14oos3.08422.8343-8.10%–pending––1.31
2026-10-13oos3.34763.063-8.50%–pending––1.29
2026-10-12oos3.37593.0779-8.83%–pending––1.31
2026-10-11oos3.83473.5106-8.45%–pending––1.31
2026-10-10oos3.63723.3673-7.42%–pending––1.38
2026-10-09oos3.62623.3832-6.70%–pending––1.38
2026-10-08oos3.60613.3753-6.40%–pending––1.38
2026-10-07oos3.57273.3814-5.35%–pending––1.44
2026-10-06oos3.81543.6471-4.41%–pending––1.42
2026-10-05oos4.01873.8692-3.72%–pending––1.43
2026-10-04oos3.66433.5687-2.61%–pending––1.47
2026-10-03oos3.56673.451-3.24%–pending––1.48
2026-10-02oos3.55123.4233-3.60%–pending––1.49
2026-10-01oos3.80483.6565-3.90%–pending––1.48
2026-09-30oos3.94993.7507-5.04%–pending––1.50
2026-09-29oos3.93283.678-6.48%–pending––1.48
2026-09-28oos4.44134.1147-7.35%–pending––1.51
2026-09-27oos4.65474.3274-7.03%–pending––1.47
2026-09-26oos4.8444.5227-6.63%–pending––1.48
2026-09-25oos4.85224.5518-6.19%–pending––1.48
2026-09-24oos5.07294.773-5.91%–pending––1.48
2026-09-23oos5.31965.0097-5.83%–pending––1.47
2026-09-22oos5.06674.8005-5.26%3.8104-24.80%0.1951✓1.54
2026-09-21oos4.73864.5016-5.00%3.7618-20.61%0.1363✓1.43
2026-09-20oos4.77454.451-6.78%3.3826-29.15%0.3104✓1.66
2026-09-19oos4.80924.5008-6.41%3.0947-35.65%0.3868✓1.65
2026-09-18oos4.76874.4645-6.38%3.0752-35.51%0.3956✓1.64
2026-09-17oos4.81074.4226-8.07%3.1146-35.26%0.4672✓1.83
2026-09-16oos4.60354.2308-8.10%3.1752-31.03%0.4100✓1.81
2026-09-15oos4.01953.6893-8.22%3.0253-24.73%0.3489✓1.81
2026-09-14oos4.38854.0687-7.29%3.0842-29.72%0.3520✓1.77
2026-09-13oos4.11323.7994-7.63%3.3476-18.61%0.2637✓1.74
2026-09-12oos4.21583.9122-7.20%3.3759-19.92%0.2449✓1.73
2026-09-11oos4.35184.0602-6.70%3.8347-11.88%0.1958✓1.72
2026-09-10oos4.29234.0077-6.63%3.6372-15.26%0.2358✓1.74
2026-09-09oos4.52624.2691-5.68%3.6262-19.88%0.2544✓1.72
2026-09-08oos4.82974.5398-6.00%3.6061-25.33%0.3014✓1.75
2026-09-07oos4.72484.484-5.10%3.5727-24.38%0.3194✓1.79
2026-09-06oos4.51484.3377-3.92%3.8154-15.49%0.2380✓1.75
2026-09-05oos4.75474.5457-4.40%4.0187-15.48%0.2485✓1.75
2026-09-04oos4.82894.6362-3.99%3.6643-24.12%0.3727✓1.67
2026-09-03oos4.44214.3544-1.97%3.5667-19.71%0.2731✓1.75
2026-09-02oos3.79143.7045-2.29%3.5512-6.34%0.1771✓1.52
2026-09-01oos3.523.4752-1.27%3.8048+8.09%0.0525✓1.56
2026-08-31oos3.56643.5367-0.83%3.9499+10.75%0.0264✗1.37
2026-08-30oos3.52833.4969-0.89%3.9328+11.46%0.0492✗0.92
2026-08-29oos3.55373.5311-0.64%4.4413+24.97%0.1696✗0.92
2026-08-28oos3.49623.4898-0.18%4.6547+33.14%0.2126✗0.92
2026-08-27oos3.71083.7357+0.67%4.844+30.54%0.2146✓0.90
2026-08-26oos3.45183.4532+0.04%4.8522+40.57%0.2857✓0.88
2026-08-25oos3.28373.2931+0.29%5.0729+54.48%0.3700✓0.86
2026-08-24oos3.39993.4322+0.95%5.3196+56.46%0.3803✓0.88
2026-08-23oos3.57213.5535-0.52%5.0667+41.84%0.2542✗0.97
2026-08-22oos3.18943.2291+1.25%4.7386+48.58%0.2718✓0.96
2026-08-21oos3.12673.2066+2.55%4.7745+52.70%0.3635✓0.97
2026-08-20oos2.66822.6817+0.50%4.8092+80.24%0.4972✓0.81
2026-08-19oos2.60372.531-2.79%4.7687+83.15%0.4807✗0.99
2026-08-18oos2.35882.2399-5.04%4.8107+103.95%0.6080✗0.94
2026-08-17oos2.332.2089-5.20%4.6035+97.57%0.5714✗0.98
2026-08-16oos2.27712.1486-5.65%4.0195+76.51%0.4432✗0.99
2026-08-15oos2.2622.1399-5.40%4.3885+94.01%0.5071✗0.98
2026-08-14oos2.2352.1238-4.97%4.1132+84.03%0.4655✗0.99
2026-08-13oos2.27132.1636-4.74%4.2158+85.61%0.4750✗0.97
2026-08-12oos2.33562.2208-4.92%4.3518+86.32%0.4721✗1.02
2026-08-11oos2.41812.2898-5.31%4.2923+77.50%0.4409✗1.01
2026-08-10oos2.38242.2573-5.25%4.5262+89.98%0.4887✗1.02
2026-08-09oos2.30352.1941-4.75%4.8297+109.67%0.5859✗1.07
2026-08-08oos2.28222.1724-4.81%4.7248+107.03%0.5648✗1.07
2026-08-07oos2.29842.1851-4.93%4.5148+96.43%0.5005✗1.05
2026-08-06oos2.37442.2394-5.68%4.7547+100.25%0.5220✗1.06
2026-08-05oos2.18492.0825-4.68%4.8289+121.01%0.6138✗1.08
2026-08-04oos2.05841.9607-4.75%4.4421+115.80%0.5689✗1.05
2026-08-03oos2.00551.901-5.21%3.7914+89.05%0.4864✗1.03
2026-08-02oos2.03281.9267-5.22%3.52+73.16%0.3931✗1.06
2026-08-01oos2.01721.907-5.46%3.5664+76.80%0.3937✗1.03
2026-07-31oos2.06691.959-5.22%3.5283+70.70%0.3686✗1.04
2026-07-30oos2.282.1849-4.17%3.5537+55.87%0.3046✗0.96
2026-07-29oos2.17812.0848-4.28%3.4962+60.52%0.3322✗0.94
2026-07-28oos2.29842.1927-4.60%3.7108+61.45%0.3167✗0.91
2026-07-27oos2.12862.0394-4.19%3.4518+62.16%0.3330✗0.90
2026-07-26oos2.14312.0818-2.86%3.2837+53.22%0.2931✗0.88
2026-07-25oos2.06262.0014-2.97%3.3999+64.84%0.3438✗0.90
2026-07-24oos2.03191.9816-2.48%3.5721+75.80%0.4183✗0.89
2026-07-23oos2.1622.1268-1.63%3.1894+47.52%0.2604✗0.86
2026-07-22oos2.30052.2786-0.95%3.1267+35.92%0.1770✗0.82
2026-07-21oos2.34532.3196-1.10%2.6682+13.77%0.0636✗0.82
2026-07-20oos2.1792.151-1.28%2.6037+19.49%0.1459✗0.74
2026-07-19oos2.20982.1701-1.80%2.3588+6.74%0.0834✗0.75
2026-07-18oos2.25642.2244-1.42%2.33+3.26%0.0500✗0.73
2026-07-17oos2.28922.2553-1.48%2.2771-0.53%0.0232✗0.81
2026-07-16oos2.28592.2503-1.56%2.262-1.05%0.0152✓0.85
2026-07-15oos2.41662.3386-3.23%2.235-7.51%0.0235✓0.80
2026-07-14oos2.59282.447-5.62%2.2713-12.40%0.0553✓0.79
2026-07-13oos2.30422.1544-6.50%2.3356+1.36%0.0684✗0.68
2026-07-12oos2.63192.4573-6.63%2.4181-8.12%0.0141✓0.59
2026-07-11oos2.57742.415-6.30%2.3824-7.56%0.0149✓0.60
2026-07-10oos2.68962.5243-6.14%2.3035-14.36%0.0991✓0.68
2026-07-09oos2.39652.2704-5.26%2.2822-4.77%0.0120✓0.63
2026-07-08oos2.332.2074-5.26%2.2984-1.35%0.0119✓0.68
2026-07-07oos2.45752.3265-5.33%2.3744-3.38%0.0107✓0.66
2026-07-06oos2.57692.432-5.62%2.1849-15.21%0.1134✓0.67
2026-07-05oos2.4582.3288-5.26%2.0584-16.26%0.1283✓0.67
2026-07-04oos2.2012.1012-4.53%2.0055-8.88%0.0505✓0.65
2026-07-03oos2.11362.0189-4.48%2.0328-3.82%0.0030✓0.64
2026-07-02oos2.06891.9686-4.85%2.0172-2.50%0.0114✓0.63
2026-07-01oos2.07121.9552-5.60%2.0669-0.21%0.0250✓0.65
2026-06-30oos1.8491.7524-5.23%2.28+23.31%0.2074✗0.55
2026-06-29oos1.86031.7662-5.06%2.1781+17.08%0.1762✗0.55
2026-06-28oos1.72741.6425-4.92%2.2984+33.05%0.2954✗0.57
2026-06-27oos1.71961.6358-4.87%2.1286+23.78%0.2295✗0.56
2026-06-26oos1.82281.7244-5.40%2.1431+17.57%0.1695✗0.56
2026-06-25oos1.60911.5248-5.24%2.0626+28.18%0.2621✗0.54
2026-06-24oos1.69591.6012-5.58%2.0319+19.82%0.2118✗0.53
2026-06-23oos1.50471.429-5.03%2.162+43.68%0.3876✗0.70
2026-06-22oos1.60941.5263-5.16%2.3005+42.95%0.3887✗0.66
2026-06-21oos1.56761.4848-5.28%2.3453+49.61%0.4245✗0.65
2026-06-20oos1.55671.4768-5.13%2.179+39.98%0.3793✗0.63
2026-06-19oos1.54561.4644-5.26%2.2098+42.97%0.3988✗0.68
2026-06-18oos1.61181.5239-5.46%2.2564+39.99%0.3718✗0.69
2026-06-17oos1.72071.6218-5.75%2.2892+33.04%0.3500✗0.62
2026-06-16oos1.73351.6316-5.88%2.2859+31.87%0.3551✗0.63
2026-06-15oos1.68961.5913-5.81%2.4166+43.03%0.4340✗0.68
2026-06-14oos1.68671.5842-6.08%2.5928+53.72%0.4998✗0.65
2026-06-13oos1.63191.5289-6.31%2.3042+41.20%0.4333✗0.67
2026-06-12oos1.53731.4386-6.42%2.6319+71.19%0.6020✗0.63
2026-06-11oos1.55811.4525-6.77%2.5774+65.42%0.5714✗0.63
2026-06-10oos1.39161.2953-6.92%2.6896+93.27%0.7076✗0.54
2026-06-09oos1.58311.4664-7.37%2.3965+51.38%0.4783✗0.54
2026-06-08oos1.47451.3613-7.68%2.33+58.02%0.5451✗0.59
2026-06-07oos1.43341.3174-8.09%2.4575+71.44%0.6233✗0.60
2026-06-06oos1.43071.3125-8.26%2.5769+80.11%0.6443✗0.60
2026-06-05oos1.50841.3767-8.73%2.458+62.95%0.5533✗0.64
2026-06-04oos1.45311.3218-9.04%2.201+51.47%0.5181✗0.72
2026-06-03oos1.78541.6015-10.30%2.1136+18.38%0.2953✗0.74
2026-06-02oos1.60391.4344-10.57%2.0689+28.99%0.4440✗0.96
2026-06-01oos1.34381.2197-9.23%2.0712+54.13%0.7737✗1.41
2026-05-31oos1.37651.2592-8.52%1.849+34.33%0.7125✗1.43
2026-05-30oos1.3691.25-8.69%1.8603+35.89%0.6746✗1.36
2026-05-29oos1.25911.1512-8.57%1.7274+37.19%0.6883✗1.35
2026-05-28oos1.17221.0815-7.73%1.7196+46.70%0.7399✗1.35
2026-05-27oos1.13381.0564-6.83%1.8228+60.77%0.8406✗1.38
2026-05-26oos1.18321.1045-6.66%1.6091+35.99%0.7047✗1.37
2026-05-25oos1.37961.2656-8.27%1.6959+22.92%0.5821✗1.22
2026-05-24oos1.29131.1956-7.41%1.5047+16.53%0.4792✗1.21
2026-05-23oos1.22751.1512-6.22%1.6094+31.11%0.5502✗1.19
2026-05-22oos1.19061.1176-6.14%1.5676+31.67%0.5483✗1.19
2026-05-21oos1.4261.3066-8.37%1.5567+9.16%0.3803✗1.09
2026-05-20oos1.27641.1882-6.91%1.5456+21.09%0.4818✗1.10
2026-05-19oos1.14151.0752-5.81%1.6118+41.20%0.6206✗1.08
2026-05-18oos0.95090.929216-2.28%1.7207+80.95%0.8160✗1.13
2026-05-17oos0.863450.856253-0.83%1.7335+100.76%0.8974✗1.16
2026-05-16oos0.87980.870098-1.10%1.6896+92.04%0.8545✗1.16
2026-05-15oos0.8580.856072-0.22%1.6867+96.59%0.8931✗1.16
2026-05-14oos0.91520.923332+0.89%1.6319+78.31%0.8341✓1.15
2026-05-13oos0.8970.897819+0.09%1.5373+71.39%0.8068✓1.21
2026-05-12oos0.926550.943728+1.85%1.5581+68.16%0.7850✓1.20
2026-05-11oos0.999751.0172+1.75%1.3916+39.19%0.6501✓1.18
2026-05-10oos1.05681.0761+1.83%1.5831+49.80%0.7260✓1.18
2026-05-09oos1.05421.0639+0.92%1.4745+39.87%0.6200✓1.19
2026-05-08oos1.0811.0822+0.11%1.4334+32.60%0.5627✓1.19
2026-05-07oos0.990651.0079+1.75%1.4307+44.42%0.6750✓1.19
2026-05-06oos0.953850.990728+3.87%1.5084+58.14%0.7777✓1.24
2026-05-05oos0.966850.998015+3.22%1.4531+50.29%0.6228✓1.04
2026-05-04oos0.90290.934442+3.49%1.7854+97.74%0.8644✓0.98
2026-05-03oos0.92210.945583+2.55%1.6039+73.94%0.6933✓1.00
2026-05-02oos0.9080.93225+2.67%1.3438+48.00%0.4654✓1.01
2026-05-01oos0.90350.929923+2.92%1.3765+52.35%0.4545✓1.02
2026-04-30oos0.883750.906747+2.60%1.369+54.91%0.4468✓1.03
2026-04-29oos0.948450.961346+1.36%1.2591+32.75%0.3029✓1.03
2026-04-28oos0.896050.917283+2.37%1.1722+30.81%0.2874✓1.13
2026-04-27oos0.86350.891732+3.27%1.1338+31.30%0.2858✓1.14
2026-04-26oos0.91640.948309+3.48%1.1832+29.12%0.2635✓1.14
2026-04-25oos0.92960.952225+2.43%1.3796+48.41%0.3768✓1.16
2026-04-24oos0.945550.967816+2.35%1.2913+36.57%0.2959✓1.19
2026-04-23oos0.92440.952992+3.09%1.2275+32.79%0.2783✓1.20
2026-04-22oos0.87920.911376+3.66%1.1906+35.42%0.3102✓1.19
2026-04-21oos0.8980.904427+0.72%1.426+58.80%0.4365✓1.21
2026-04-20oos0.89910.896957-0.24%1.2764+41.96%0.3274✗1.21
2026-04-19oos0.890750.875322-1.73%1.1415+28.15%0.2181✗1.21
2026-04-18oos0.978850.967745-1.13%0.9509-2.86%0.0365✓1.20
2026-04-17oos1.04881.0531+0.41%0.86345-17.67%0.2033✗1.19
2026-04-16oos1.04591.028-1.72%0.8798-15.88%0.2016✓1.20
2026-04-15oos1.04191.0198-2.12%0.858-17.65%0.2385✓1.20
2026-04-14oos1.02571.0002-2.49%0.9152-10.78%0.1951✓1.20
2026-04-13oos1.14331.1137-2.59%0.897-21.54%0.2916✓1.19
2026-04-12oos1.09261.0356-5.21%0.92655-15.20%0.2662✓1.20
2026-04-11oos1.20611.1582-3.97%0.99975-17.11%0.2792✓1.18
2026-04-10oos1.13681.0937-3.79%1.0568-7.04%0.1743✓1.18
2026-04-09oos1.01450.970531-4.33%1.0542+3.91%0.0518✓1.16
2026-04-08oos0.999250.950097-4.92%1.081+8.18%0.0101✓1.16
2026-04-07oos1.07631.0305-4.26%0.99065-7.96%0.1620✓1.15
2026-04-06oos1.02480.954033-6.90%0.95385-6.92%0.1928✓1.15
2026-04-05oos1.0080.937218-7.03%0.96685-4.09%0.1514✓1.15
2026-04-04oos0.98710.901561-8.67%0.9029-8.53%0.1951✓1.15
2026-04-03oos0.989350.904679-8.56%0.9221-6.80%0.1645✓1.15
2026-04-02oos0.94860.862793-9.05%0.908-4.28%0.1350✓1.15
2026-04-01oos0.89060.814439-8.55%0.9035+1.45%0.0572✓1.16
2026-03-31oos0.87250.798697-8.46%0.88375+1.29%0.0289✓1.16
2026-03-30oos0.80730.73951-8.40%0.94845+17.48%0.1042✗1.14
2026-03-29oos0.826750.753898-8.81%0.89605+8.38%0.0052✓1.15
2026-03-28oos0.858250.78019-9.10%0.8635+0.61%0.0754✓1.15
2026-03-27oos0.88250.799958-9.35%0.9164+3.84%0.0598✓1.15
2026-03-26oos0.911650.838822-7.99%0.9296+1.97%0.0375✓1.15
2026-03-25oos0.99570.977759-1.80%0.94555-5.04%0.1278✓1.14
2026-03-24oos1.0171.0152-0.17%0.9244-9.10%0.2128✓1.14
2026-03-23oos0.9550.941728-1.39%0.8792-7.94%0.1813✓1.14
2026-03-22oos0.93910.910503-3.05%0.898-4.38%0.1510✓1.16
2026-03-21oos1.05271.044-0.82%0.8991-14.59%0.2598✓1.15
2026-03-20oos1.06341.0761+1.20%0.89075-16.24%0.2422✗1.15
2026-03-19oos1.19281.198+0.44%0.97885-17.94%0.2959✗1.17
2026-03-18oos1.21161.225+1.11%1.0488-13.44%0.2481✗1.18
2026-03-17oos1.29611.3127+1.28%1.0459-19.30%0.2465✗1.17
2026-03-16oos1.16271.19+2.35%1.0419-10.39%0.1321✗1.18
2026-03-15oos1.08521.1026+1.61%1.0257-5.47%0.0936✗1.16
2026-03-14oos1.10781.1154+0.69%1.1433+3.20%0.0274✗1.18
2026-03-13oos1.09861.1042+0.51%1.0926-0.55%0.0074✗1.18
2026-03-12oos1.15231.1529+0.05%1.2061+4.66%0.0028✓1.19
2026-03-11oos1.07171.0685-0.30%1.1368+6.07%0.0161✗1.18
2026-03-10oos1.05591.0507-0.49%1.0145-3.92%0.0655✓1.18
2026-03-09oos1.02041.0065-1.35%0.99925-2.07%0.0518✓1.17
2026-03-08oos1.01980.994027-2.53%1.0763+5.55%0.0234✓1.19
2026-03-07oos1.12951.1159-1.20%1.0248-9.27%0.1128✓1.18
2026-03-06oos1.13861.1272-1.01%1.008-11.47%0.1271✓1.18
2026-03-05oos1.20911.2012-0.66%0.9871-18.36%0.1351✓1.18
2026-03-04oos1.37151.3641-0.54%0.98935-27.86%0.2272✓1.15
2026-03-03oos1.29821.2827-1.20%0.9486-26.93%0.2769✓1.16
2026-03-02oos1.35921.3406-1.37%0.8906-34.48%0.3967✓1.16
2026-03-01oos1.35871.3419-1.24%0.8725-35.78%0.4749✓1.21
2026-02-28oos1.38571.3721-0.98%0.8073-41.74%0.5262✓1.21
2026-02-27oos1.35681.3431-1.01%0.82675-39.07%0.4870✓1.21
2026-02-26oos1.42831.4126-1.10%0.85825-39.91%0.4772✓1.21
2026-02-25oos1.45511.4377-1.20%0.8825-39.35%0.4585✓1.21
2026-02-24oos1.42981.412-1.24%0.91165-36.24%0.5285✓1.29
2026-02-23oos1.3891.3699-1.37%0.9957-28.32%0.4453✓1.28
2026-02-22oos1.44631.4213-1.73%1.017-29.69%0.3893✓1.29
2026-02-21oos1.52441.4978-1.74%0.955-37.35%0.5046✓1.30
2026-02-20oos1.53191.5017-1.97%0.9391-38.70%0.4674✓1.00
2026-02-19oos1.47661.4452-2.13%1.0527-28.71%0.3455✓1.00
2026-02-18oos1.4461.4131-2.27%1.0634-26.46%0.3439✓1.00
2026-02-17oos1.58881.5494-2.48%1.1928-24.92%0.2973✓1.00
2026-02-16oos1.68791.6405-2.81%1.2116-28.22%0.3371✓1.00
2026-02-15oos1.6771.6267-3.00%1.2961-22.71%0.2993✓1.00
2026-02-14oos1.64781.5933-3.31%1.1627-29.44%0.3855✓1.00
2026-02-13oos1.59721.539-3.64%1.0852-32.06%0.4062✓1.00
2026-02-12oos1.42871.3728-3.91%1.1078-22.46%0.2876✓1.00
2026-02-11oos1.4161.3539-4.39%1.0986-22.42%0.2658✓1.00
2026-02-10oos1.47021.4056-4.39%1.1523-21.62%0.2235✓1.00
2026-02-09oos1.54881.4809-4.38%1.0717-30.80%0.3249✓1.00
2026-02-08oos1.61981.5442-4.67%1.0559-34.81%0.3755✓1.00
2026-02-07oos1.62611.5457-4.94%1.0204-37.25%0.4036✓1.00
2026-02-06oos1.66281.5743-5.33%1.0198-38.67%0.3674✓1.00
2026-02-05oos1.43931.363-5.30%1.1295-21.53%0.2567✓1.00
2026-02-04oos1.57541.4889-5.49%1.1386-27.72%0.1989✓1.00
2026-02-03oos1.4811.4008-5.41%1.2091-18.36%0.0820✓1.00
2026-02-02oos1.59661.5161-5.04%1.3715-14.10%0.0211✓1.00
2026-02-01oos1.51441.4323-5.42%1.2982-14.27%0.0198✓1.00
2026-01-31oos1.56621.4856-5.15%1.3592-13.22%0.0444✓1.00