LIGHTER

? · · gru_s0

token id: #154
symbol: LIGHTER
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +7d

assessed

264

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

50.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1237

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0182

actual +0.0181

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	3.422	3.3004	-3.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-20	oos	3.382	3.2602	-3.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	3.095	2.9952	-3.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-18	oos	3.074	2.9768	-3.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-17	oos	3.116	3.0219	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	3.176	3.0843	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	3.0255	2.9538	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	3.085	3.014	-2.30%	3.422	+10.92%	0.1089	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	3.3505	3.2636	-2.59%	3.382	+0.94%	0.0382	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	3.3745	3.2944	-2.37%	3.095	-8.28%	0.0640	✓	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	3.838	3.7447	-2.43%	3.074	-19.91%	0.1708	✓	1.32
2026-10-10	oos	3.637	3.5619	-2.06%	3.116	-14.32%	0.1080	✓	1.38
2026-10-09	oos	3.628	3.5633	-1.78%	3.176	-12.46%	0.0975	✓	1.38
2026-10-08	oos	3.607	3.5491	-1.60%	3.0255	-16.12%	0.1669	✓	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	3.574	3.5269	-1.32%	3.085	-13.68%	0.1039	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	3.818	3.7646	-1.40%	3.3505	-12.24%	0.0754	✓	1.42
2026-10-05	oos	4.019	3.954	-1.62%	3.3745	-16.04%	0.0900	✓	1.43
2026-10-04	oos	3.665	3.6331	-0.87%	3.838	+4.72%	0.1041	✗	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	3.567	3.5422	-0.69%	3.637	+1.96%	0.0588	✗	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	3.545	3.5282	-0.47%	3.628	+2.34%	0.0630	✗	1.50
2026-10-01	oos	3.806	3.7817	-0.64%	3.607	-5.23%	0.0091	✗	1.49
2026-09-30	oos	3.948	3.9082	-1.01%	3.574	-9.47%	0.0843	✓	1.51
2026-09-29	oos	3.926	3.8829	-1.10%	3.818	-2.75%	0.0502	✓	1.48
2026-09-28	oos	4.445	4.3809	-1.44%	4.019	-9.58%	0.1274	✓	1.52
2026-09-27	oos	4.655	4.5909	-1.38%	3.665	-21.27%	0.2606	✓	1.48
2026-09-26	oos	4.8445	4.78	-1.33%	3.567	-26.37%	0.2984	✓	1.48
2026-09-25	oos	4.8545	4.7943	-1.24%	3.545	-26.97%	0.3091	✓	1.48
2026-09-24	oos	5.071	5.0089	-1.22%	3.806	-24.95%	0.2827	✓	1.48
2026-09-23	oos	5.309	5.2288	-1.51%	3.948	-25.64%	0.2665	✓	1.48
2026-09-22	oos	5.0675	5.0091	-1.15%	3.926	-22.53%	0.1970	✓	1.55
2026-09-21	oos	4.7405	4.6981	-0.89%	4.445	-6.23%	0.0024	✓	1.44
2026-09-20	oos	4.778	4.6989	-1.66%	4.655	-2.57%	0.0756	✓	1.66
2026-09-19	oos	4.8145	4.7359	-1.63%	4.8445	+0.62%	0.0411	✓	1.66
2026-09-18	oos	4.7725	4.6949	-1.63%	4.8545	+1.72%	0.0308	✓	1.65
2026-09-17	oos	4.816	4.7069	-2.27%	5.071	+5.29%	0.1089	✓	1.83
2026-09-16	oos	4.605	4.4996	-2.29%	5.309	+15.29%	0.0211	✓	1.82
2026-09-15	oos	4.0195	3.9504	-1.72%	5.0675	+26.07%	0.0101	✓	1.82
2026-09-14	oos	4.3875	4.31	-1.77%	4.7405	+8.05%	0.0860	✓	1.77
2026-09-13	oos	4.1115	4.0426	-1.67%	4.778	+16.21%	0.0708	✗	1.74
2026-09-12	oos	4.217	4.1497	-1.60%	4.8145	+14.17%	0.0616	✗	1.74
2026-09-11	oos	4.353	4.2873	-1.51%	4.7725	+9.64%	0.0270	✗	1.73
2026-09-10	oos	4.2905	4.2335	-1.33%	4.816	+12.25%	0.1332	✗	1.74
2026-09-09	oos	4.5275	4.4736	-1.19%	4.605	+1.71%	0.0767	✗	1.73
2026-09-08	oos	4.826	4.7607	-1.35%	4.0195	-16.71%	0.1038	✓	1.76
2026-09-07	oos	4.7225	4.6694	-1.12%	4.3875	-7.09%	0.0413	✓	1.79
2026-09-06	oos	4.516	4.4838	-0.71%	4.1115	-8.96%	0.0079	✓	1.75
2026-09-05	oos	4.754	4.708	-0.97%	4.217	-11.30%	0.0528	✓	1.75
2026-09-04	oos	4.823	4.7613	-1.28%	4.353	-9.74%	0.0370	✓	1.68
2026-09-03	oos	4.441	4.4085	-0.73%	4.2905	-3.39%	0.0782	✗	1.76
2026-09-02	oos	3.792	3.7707	-0.56%	4.5275	+19.40%	0.1636	✗	1.54
2026-09-01	oos	3.52	3.5101	-0.28%	4.826	+37.10%	0.2971	✗	1.58
2026-08-31	oos	3.565	3.5592	-0.16%	4.7225	+32.47%	0.2735	✗	1.39
2026-08-30	oos	3.531	3.522	-0.26%	4.516	+27.90%	0.2171	✗	0.93
2026-08-29	oos	3.554	3.5544	+0.01%	4.754	+33.76%	0.2719	✓	0.94
2026-08-28	oos	3.497	3.4989	+0.05%	4.823	+37.92%	0.2991	✓	0.94
2026-08-27	oos	3.711	3.7114	+0.01%	4.441	+19.67%	0.1683	✓	0.91
2026-08-26	oos	3.453	3.4488	-0.12%	3.792	+9.82%	0.1144	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	3.285	3.2765	-0.26%	3.52	+7.15%	0.0843	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	3.401	3.3886	-0.36%	3.565	+4.82%	0.0555	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	3.578	3.5441	-0.95%	3.531	-1.31%	0.0029	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	3.187	3.1699	-0.54%	3.554	+11.52%	0.0996	✗	0.97
2026-08-21	oos	3.128	3.1099	-0.58%	3.497	+11.80%	0.1235	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	2.669	2.6427	-0.99%	3.711	+39.04%	0.2604	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	2.602	2.5517	-1.93%	3.453	+32.71%	0.1693	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	2.359	2.3046	-2.31%	3.285	+39.25%	0.1655	✗	0.97
2026-08-17	oos	2.332	2.277	-2.36%	3.401	+45.84%	0.1954	✗	1.01
2026-08-16	oos	2.276	2.2189	-2.51%	3.578	+57.21%	0.2597	✗	1.03
2026-08-15	oos	2.266	2.2097	-2.49%	3.187	+40.64%	0.1625	✗	1.01
2026-08-14	oos	2.234	2.1787	-2.48%	3.128	+40.02%	0.1397	✗	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	2.271	2.2164	-2.40%	2.669	+17.53%	0.0442	✗	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	2.335	2.2795	-2.38%	2.602	+11.43%	0.0389	✗	1.05
2026-08-11	oos	2.418	2.3592	-2.43%	2.359	-2.44%	0.0187	✓	1.04
2026-08-10	oos	2.383	2.3267	-2.36%	2.332	-2.14%	0.0070	✓	1.05
2026-08-09	oos	2.304	2.2531	-2.21%	2.276	-1.22%	0.0447	✗	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	2.282	2.2326	-2.16%	2.266	-0.70%	0.0475	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	2.2975	2.2476	-2.17%	2.234	-2.76%	0.0265	✗	1.09
2026-08-06	oos	2.371	2.3129	-2.45%	2.271	-4.22%	0.0038	✓	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	2.186	2.1388	-2.16%	2.335	+6.82%	0.1085	✗	1.12
2026-08-04	oos	2.056	2.0128	-2.10%	2.418	+17.61%	0.1922	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	2.0035	1.9629	-2.03%	2.383	+18.94%	0.1865	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	2.038	1.9978	-1.97%	2.304	+13.05%	0.1197	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	2.018	1.9797	-1.90%	2.282	+13.08%	0.1063	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	2.068	2.0288	-1.90%	2.2975	+11.10%	0.0898	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	2.281	2.2391	-1.84%	2.371	+3.95%	0.0642	✗	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	2.179	2.1393	-1.82%	2.186	+0.32%	0.0109	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	2.301	2.2565	-1.93%	2.056	-10.65%	0.0961	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	2.129	2.0906	-1.80%	2.0035	-5.89%	0.0392	✓	0.93
2026-07-26	oos	2.145	2.112	-1.54%	2.038	-4.99%	0.0095	✓	0.92
2026-07-25	oos	2.064	2.0299	-1.65%	2.018	-2.23%	0.0166	✓	0.93
2026-07-24	oos	2.0315	1.997	-1.70%	2.068	+1.80%	0.0530	✗	0.91
2026-07-23	oos	2.1585	2.1253	-1.54%	2.281	+5.68%	0.0752	✗	0.88
2026-07-22	oos	2.305	2.2728	-1.40%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0136	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	2.344	2.3103	-1.44%	2.301	-1.83%	0.0306	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	2.179	2.1447	-1.57%	2.129	-2.29%	0.0108	✓	0.77
2026-07-19	oos	2.209	2.1725	-1.65%	2.145	-2.90%	0.0206	✓	0.77
2026-07-18	oos	2.257	2.2212	-1.59%	2.064	-8.55%	0.0675	✓	0.75
2026-07-17	oos	2.288	2.2487	-1.72%	2.0315	-11.21%	0.1040	✓	0.84
2026-07-16	oos	2.285	2.2459	-1.71%	2.1585	-5.54%	0.0570	✓	0.87
2026-07-15	oos	2.414	2.3712	-1.77%	2.305	-4.52%	0.0457	✓	0.83
2026-07-14	oos	2.595	2.5377	-2.21%	2.344	-9.67%	0.0984	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	2.305	2.247	-2.52%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0636	✓	0.71
2026-07-12	oos	2.63	2.5659	-2.44%	2.209	-16.01%	0.1589	✓	0.63
2026-07-11	oos	2.577	2.5154	-2.39%	2.257	-12.42%	0.1184	✓	0.63
2026-07-10	oos	2.688	2.6173	-2.63%	2.288	-14.88%	0.1319	✓	0.70
2026-07-09	oos	2.396	2.3397	-2.35%	2.285	-4.63%	0.0298	✓	0.66
2026-07-08	oos	2.3285	2.2741	-2.34%	2.414	+3.67%	0.0321	✗	0.71
2026-07-07	oos	2.459	2.4029	-2.28%	2.595	+5.53%	0.0592	✗	0.68
2026-07-06	oos	2.578	2.5105	-2.62%	2.305	-10.59%	0.0664	✓	0.69
2026-07-05	oos	2.462	2.3973	-2.63%	2.63	+6.82%	0.0909	✗	0.69
2026-07-04	oos	2.199	2.1477	-2.33%	2.577	+17.19%	0.1750	✗	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	2.118	2.0684	-2.34%	2.688	+26.91%	0.2453	✗	0.66
2026-07-02	oos	2.067	2.0135	-2.59%	2.396	+15.92%	0.1562	✗	0.65
2026-07-01	oos	2.074	2.0009	-3.52%	2.3285	+12.27%	0.1264	✗	0.68
2026-06-30	oos	1.85	1.7916	-3.16%	2.459	+32.92%	0.2713	✗	0.58
2026-06-29	oos	1.861	1.8078	-2.86%	2.578	+38.53%	0.3193	✗	0.58
2026-06-28	oos	1.731	1.6819	-2.83%	2.462	+42.23%	0.3415	✗	0.59
2026-06-27	oos	1.72	1.6723	-2.77%	2.199	+27.85%	0.2442	✗	0.58
2026-06-26	oos	1.825	1.7714	-2.94%	2.118	+16.05%	0.1547	✗	0.58
2026-06-25	oos	1.609	1.5622	-2.91%	2.067	+28.46%	0.2635	✗	0.56
2026-06-24	oos	1.697	1.645	-3.07%	2.074	+22.22%	0.2411	✗	0.55
2026-06-23	oos	1.504	1.4629	-2.73%	1.85	+23.01%	0.2838	✗	0.72
2026-06-22	oos	1.611	1.5676	-2.69%	1.861	+15.52%	0.2129	✗	0.68
2026-06-21	oos	1.567	1.5255	-2.65%	1.731	+10.47%	0.1673	✗	0.67
2026-06-20	oos	1.558	1.5175	-2.60%	1.72	+10.40%	0.1698	✗	0.64
2026-06-19	oos	1.544	1.5034	-2.63%	1.825	+18.20%	0.2327	✗	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	1.613	1.5702	-2.66%	1.609	-0.25%	0.0610	✗	0.71
2026-06-17	oos	1.72	1.6745	-2.64%	1.697	-1.34%	0.0487	✗	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	1.734	1.6871	-2.71%	1.504	-13.26%	0.0851	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	1.688	1.6416	-2.75%	1.611	-4.56%	0.0060	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	1.684	1.6354	-2.89%	1.567	-6.95%	0.0173	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	1.629	1.5803	-2.99%	1.558	-4.36%	0.0120	✓	0.69
2026-06-12	oos	1.537	1.4892	-3.11%	1.544	+0.46%	0.0368	✗	0.65
2026-06-11	oos	1.558	1.5071	-3.27%	1.613	+3.53%	0.0749	✗	0.65
2026-06-10	oos	1.392	1.3474	-3.20%	1.72	+23.56%	0.2176	✗	0.56
2026-06-09	oos	1.584	1.5307	-3.37%	1.734	+9.47%	0.0902	✗	0.56
2026-06-08	oos	1.467	1.4193	-3.25%	1.688	+15.06%	0.1432	✗	0.61
2026-06-07	oos	1.433	1.3862	-3.26%	1.684	+17.52%	0.1716	✗	0.62
2026-06-06	oos	1.425	1.3866	-2.70%	1.629	+14.32%	0.1258	✗	0.62
2026-06-05	oos	1.503	1.4599	-2.87%	1.537	+2.26%	0.0248	✓	0.66
2026-06-04	oos	1.466	1.4223	-2.98%	1.558	+6.28%	0.0939	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	1.781	1.7133	-3.80%	1.392	-21.84%	0.1768	✓	0.75
2026-06-02	oos	1.606	1.535	-4.42%	1.584	-1.37%	0.1059	✗	0.96
2026-06-01	oos	1.336	1.2895	-3.48%	1.467	+9.81%	0.3034	✗	1.42
2026-05-31	oos	1.377	1.3271	-3.63%	1.433	+4.07%	0.2933	✗	1.44
2026-05-30	oos	1.3695	1.3177	-3.78%	1.425	+4.05%	0.3402	✗	1.36
2026-05-29	oos	1.262	1.2101	-4.11%	1.503	+19.10%	0.4644	✗	1.35
2026-05-28	oos	1.174	1.1348	-3.34%	1.466	+24.87%	0.4473	✗	1.35
2026-05-27	oos	1.128	1.0945	-2.97%	1.781	+57.89%	0.6921	✗	1.38
2026-05-26	oos	1.184	1.1516	-2.74%	1.606	+35.64%	0.5093	✗	1.37
2026-05-25	oos	1.384	1.3402	-3.17%	1.336	-3.47%	0.0944	✗	1.22
2026-05-24	oos	1.295	1.254	-3.17%	1.377	+6.33%	0.1481	✗	1.21
2026-05-23	oos	1.2265	1.191	-2.89%	1.3695	+11.66%	0.1850	✗	1.19
2026-05-22	oos	1.186	1.1525	-2.82%	1.262	+6.41%	0.1238	✗	1.18
2026-05-21	oos	1.431	1.3636	-4.71%	1.174	-17.96%	0.0920	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	1.278	1.2202	-4.52%	1.128	-11.74%	0.0332	✓	1.09
2026-05-19	oos	1.134	1.0892	-3.95%	1.184	+4.41%	0.0967	✗	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.954	0.923806	-3.16%	1.384	+45.07%	0.3998	✗	1.12
2026-05-17	oos	0.8635	0.847487	-1.85%	1.295	+49.97%	0.4304	✗	1.15
2026-05-16	oos	0.8775	0.861056	-1.87%	1.2265	+39.77%	0.3754	✗	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.857	0.8407	-1.90%	1.186	+38.39%	0.3979	✗	1.15
2026-05-14	oos	0.915	0.89985	-1.66%	1.431	+56.39%	0.5146	✗	1.14
2026-05-13	oos	0.898	0.883312	-1.64%	1.278	+42.32%	0.3972	✗	1.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.9265	0.915325	-1.21%	1.134	+22.40%	0.2706	✗	1.19
2026-05-11	oos	0.9995	0.989279	-1.02%	0.954	-4.55%	0.0344	✗	1.17
2026-05-10	oos	1.059	1.0479	-1.05%	0.8635	-18.46%	0.1230	✓	1.17
2026-05-09	oos	1.053	1.0391	-1.32%	0.8775	-16.67%	0.1310	✓	1.18
2026-05-08	oos	1.077	1.0606	-1.52%	0.857	-20.43%	0.1964	✓	1.18
2026-05-07	oos	0.989	0.975877	-1.33%	0.915	-7.48%	0.0801	✓	1.17
2026-05-06	oos	0.954	0.945922	-0.85%	0.898	-5.87%	0.0190	✓	1.23
2026-05-05	oos	0.966	0.955989	-1.04%	0.9265	-4.09%	0.0259	✓	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.906	0.8978	-0.91%	0.9995	+10.32%	0.0844	✗	0.99
2026-05-03	oos	0.923	0.911894	-1.20%	1.059	+14.73%	0.1040	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.908	0.896334	-1.28%	1.053	+15.97%	0.1359	✗	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.903	0.891562	-1.27%	1.077	+19.27%	0.1639	✗	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.8845	0.869843	-1.66%	0.989	+11.81%	0.0795	✗	1.03
2026-04-29	oos	0.9475	0.928913	-1.96%	0.954	+0.69%	0.0484	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.897	0.880542	-1.83%	0.966	+7.69%	0.0267	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8635	0.85063	-1.49%	0.906	+4.92%	0.0271	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.913	0.902505	-1.15%	0.923	+1.10%	0.0241	✗	1.15
2026-04-25	oos	0.93	0.915591	-1.55%	0.908	-2.37%	0.0237	✓	1.17
2026-04-24	oos	0.9475	0.933596	-1.47%	0.903	-4.70%	0.0452	✓	1.20
2026-04-23	oos	0.9245	0.913414	-1.20%	0.8845	-4.33%	0.0015	✓	1.20
2026-04-22	oos	0.8805	0.871936	-0.97%	0.9475	+7.61%	0.1213	✗	1.20
2026-04-21	oos	0.8975	0.886469	-1.23%	0.897	-0.06%	0.0123	✓	1.21
2026-04-20	oos	0.9005	0.888061	-1.38%	0.8635	-4.11%	0.0518	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.89	0.872664	-1.95%	0.913	+2.58%	0.0311	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.976	0.964605	-1.17%	0.93	-4.71%	0.0662	✓	1.19
2026-04-17	oos	1.0495	1.0391	-0.99%	0.9475	-9.72%	0.0979	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	1.043	1.0285	-1.39%	0.9245	-11.36%	0.1552	✓	1.20
2026-04-15	oos	1.0425	1.0259	-1.59%	0.8805	-15.54%	0.2055	✓	1.19
2026-04-14	oos	1.0235	1.0064	-1.67%	0.8975	-12.31%	0.1489	✓	1.19
2026-04-13	oos	1.1435	1.1234	-1.76%	0.9005	-21.25%	0.2437	✓	1.19
2026-04-12	oos	1.094	1.0692	-2.26%	0.89	-18.65%	0.2345	✓	1.20
2026-04-11	oos	1.206	1.1793	-2.22%	0.976	-19.07%	0.2313	✓	1.18
2026-04-10	oos	1.136	1.1108	-2.22%	1.0495	-7.61%	0.1212	✓	1.18
2026-04-09	oos	1.016	0.997116	-1.86%	1.043	+2.66%	0.0080	✓	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.999	0.980683	-1.83%	1.0425	+4.35%	0.0017	✓	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	1.073	1.0521	-1.95%	1.0235	-4.61%	0.0633	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	1.0245	1.0011	-2.28%	1.1435	+11.62%	0.0431	✗	1.15
2026-04-05	oos	1.0095	0.987963	-2.13%	1.094	+8.37%	0.0731	✗	1.15
2026-04-04	oos	0.986	0.965405	-2.09%	1.206	+22.31%	0.1274	✗	1.15
2026-04-03	oos	0.989	0.967744	-2.15%	1.136	+14.86%	0.0609	✗	1.15
2026-04-02	oos	0.949	0.926415	-2.38%	1.016	+7.06%	0.0111	✓	1.15
2026-04-01	oos	0.889	0.874124	-1.67%	0.999	+12.37%	0.0838	✗	1.16
2026-03-31	oos	0.871	0.858307	-1.46%	1.073	+23.19%	0.1620	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.8075	0.799609	-0.98%	1.0245	+26.87%	0.2121	✗	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.8265	0.819686	-0.82%	1.0095	+22.14%	0.1563	✗	1.15
2026-03-28	oos	0.8575	0.850697	-0.79%	0.986	+14.99%	0.1309	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.8825	0.87592	-0.75%	0.989	+12.07%	0.1109	✗	1.15
2026-03-26	oos	0.912	0.905457	-0.72%	0.949	+4.06%	0.0789	✗	1.16
2026-03-25	oos	0.9945	0.988386	-0.61%	0.889	-10.61%	0.0538	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	1.0085	1.002	-0.64%	0.871	-13.63%	0.1020	✓	1.15
2026-03-23	oos	0.954	0.948543	-0.57%	0.8075	-15.36%	0.0921	✓	1.15
2026-03-22	oos	0.9405	0.934811	-0.60%	0.8265	-12.12%	0.0903	✓	1.17
2026-03-21	oos	1.052	1.0457	-0.60%	0.8575	-18.49%	0.1543	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	1.064	1.0592	-0.45%	0.8825	-17.06%	0.1124	✓	1.16
2026-03-19	oos	1.1945	1.1885	-0.51%	0.912	-23.65%	0.2452	✓	1.18
2026-03-18	oos	1.213	1.2073	-0.47%	0.9945	-18.01%	0.1948	✓	1.18
2026-03-17	oos	1.296	1.2864	-0.74%	1.0085	-22.18%	0.1883	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	1.1645	1.1587	-0.50%	0.954	-18.08%	0.1291	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	1.087	1.0818	-0.47%	0.9405	-13.48%	0.0572	✓	1.17
2026-03-14	oos	1.107	1.1012	-0.53%	1.052	-4.97%	0.0065	✓	1.18
2026-03-13	oos	1.0995	1.0936	-0.53%	1.064	-3.23%	0.0200	✓	1.18
2026-03-12	oos	1.1525	1.1453	-0.62%	1.1945	+3.64%	0.0524	✗	1.19
2026-03-11	oos	1.0715	1.0641	-0.69%	1.213	+13.21%	0.1136	✗	1.18
2026-03-10	oos	1.055	1.0465	-0.80%	1.296	+22.84%	0.1487	✗	1.18
2026-03-09	oos	1.021	1.0107	-1.01%	1.1645	+14.05%	0.0359	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	1.019	1.0078	-1.10%	1.087	+6.67%	0.0428	✓	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	1.13	1.1189	-0.98%	1.107	-2.04%	0.0786	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	1.14	1.1286	-1.00%	1.0995	-3.55%	0.0744	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	1.2085	1.1964	-1.00%	1.1525	-4.63%	0.0315	✓	1.18
2026-03-04	oos	1.373	1.359	-1.02%	1.0715	-21.96%	0.1978	✓	1.15
2026-03-03	oos	1.301	1.2892	-0.91%	1.055	-18.91%	0.2280	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	1.357	1.3444	-0.93%	1.021	-24.76%	0.2683	✓	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	1.359	1.3464	-0.93%	1.019	-25.02%	0.2823	✓	1.22
2026-02-28	oos	1.38	1.3659	-1.02%	1.13	-18.12%	0.1949	✓	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	1.358	1.3444	-1.00%	1.14	-16.05%	0.2060	✓	1.22
2026-02-26	oos	1.4295	1.4141	-1.08%	1.2085	-15.46%	0.2169	✓	1.22
2026-02-25	oos	1.456	1.437	-1.31%	1.373	-5.70%	0.1268	✓	1.22
2026-02-24	oos	1.4305	1.4151	-1.07%	1.301	-9.05%	0.1675	✓	1.29
2026-02-23	oos	1.386	1.3706	-1.11%	1.357	-2.09%	0.0914	✓	1.29
2026-02-22	oos	1.4465	1.4284	-1.25%	1.359	-6.05%	0.0138	✓	1.30
2026-02-21	oos	1.514	1.4943	-1.30%	1.38	-8.85%	0.0605	✓	1.30
2026-02-20	oos	1.532	1.5114	-1.34%	1.358	-11.36%	0.0656	✓	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	1.476	1.4565	-1.32%	1.4295	-3.15%	0.0287	✓	1.30
2026-02-18	oos	1.445	1.4266	-1.27%	1.456	+0.76%	0.0100	✓	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	1.591	1.5687	-1.40%	1.4305	-10.09%	0.0256	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	1.687	1.6603	-1.58%	1.386	-17.84%	0.0992	✓	1.28
2026-02-15	oos	1.68	1.6512	-1.71%	1.4465	-13.90%	0.1103	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	1.645	1.6154	-1.80%	1.514	-7.96%	0.0306	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	1.5985	1.5703	-1.76%	1.532	-4.16%	0.0126	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	1.426	1.4059	-1.41%	1.476	+3.51%	0.0372	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	1.418	1.3968	-1.50%	1.445	+1.90%	0.0430	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	1.471	1.4452	-1.75%	1.591	+8.16%	0.1157	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	1.547	1.5167	-1.96%	1.687	+9.05%	0.1243	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	1.62	1.5869	-2.04%	1.68	+3.70%	0.0784	✗	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	1.63	1.5983	-1.94%	1.645	+0.92%	0.0210	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	1.664	1.6274	-2.20%	1.5985	-3.94%	0.0067	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	1.436	1.4412	+0.36%	1.426	-0.70%	0.0636	✗	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	1.576	1.5385	-2.38%	1.418	-10.03%	0.0038	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	1.482	1.441	-2.76%	1.471	-0.74%	0.1156	✗	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	1.593	1.5459	-2.96%	1.547	-2.89%	0.1160	✗	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	1.512	1.4709	-2.72%	1.62	+7.14%	0.1865	✗	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	1.564	1.5206	-2.78%	1.63	+4.22%	0.1968	✗	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	1.723	1.674	-2.85%	1.664	-3.42%	0.1702	✗	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	1.612	1.5657	-2.87%	1.436	-10.92%	0.2106	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	1.99	1.9358	-2.73%	1.576	-20.80%	0.0056	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	1.939	1.8859	-2.74%	1.482	-23.57%	0.0773	✓	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	1.708	1.6644	-2.55%	1.593	-6.73%	0.0711	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	1.5775	1.5379	-2.51%	1.512	-4.15%	0.1014	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	1.806	1.7619	-2.44%	1.564	-13.40%	0.0054	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.