KNOTS
KNOTS · Solana · gru_s0
- token id
- #767
- symbol
- KNOTS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 8RVBk8vxLiUHueLUW1f4izFVqN3nWippLhkohKg6EGkS
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
59.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2006
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0382
actual -0.0582
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.003417 | 0.003316 | -2.98% | – | pending | – | – | 4.25 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00358 | 0.003456 | -3.46% | 0.003417 | -4.54% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 4.26 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003164 | 0.003063 | -3.19% | 0.00358 | +13.15% | 0.1006 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.002509 | 0.002453 | -2.21% | 0.003164 | +26.11% | 0.2631 | ✗ | 4.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002929 | 0.002856 | -2.49% | 0.002509 | -14.34% | 0.1624 | ✓ | 4.29 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002911 | 0.002843 | -2.33% | 0.002929 | +0.62% | 0.0360 | ✗ | 4.31 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003261 | 0.003169 | -2.82% | 0.002911 | -10.73% | 0.0521 | ✓ | 4.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.003038 | 0.002965 | -2.41% | 0.003261 | +7.34% | 0.0663 | ✗ | 4.26 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.002995 | 0.002918 | -2.58% | 0.003038 | +1.42% | 0.1250 | ✗ | 4.55 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.003356 | 0.003276 | -2.40% | 0.002995 | -10.74% | 0.1664 | ✓ | 4.67 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0045 | 0.004302 | -4.39% | 0.003356 | -25.41% | 0.1445 | ✓ | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.003239 | 0.003151 | -2.72% | 0.0045 | +38.92% | 0.3174 | ✗ | 4.23 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.002974 | 0.002895 | -2.66% | 0.003239 | +8.91% | 0.1079 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.003605 | 0.003505 | -2.78% | 0.002974 | -17.50% | 0.1746 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.003288 | 0.003162 | -3.82% | 0.003605 | +9.64% | 0.1502 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005163 | 0.004812 | -6.78% | 0.003288 | -36.31% | 0.3541 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.002456 | 0.002206 | -10.19% | 0.005163 | +110.16% | 0.8526 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.003661 | 0.003379 | -7.70% | 0.002456 | -32.90% | 0.3100 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.002535 | 0.002194 | -13.48% | 0.003661 | +44.39% | 0.4915 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.002868 | 0.002475 | -13.69% | 0.002535 | -11.59% | 0.0212 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.004975 | 0.004692 | -5.69% | 0.002868 | -42.35% | 0.4882 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006722 | 0.006563 | -2.37% | 0.004975 | -25.99% | 0.2924 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.007297 | 0.007104 | -2.64% | 0.006722 | -7.87% | 0.0543 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006679 | 0.006361 | -4.76% | 0.007297 | +9.24% | 0.1350 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00815 | 0.007907 | -2.98% | 0.006679 | -18.04% | 0.1567 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.011331 | 0.011185 | -1.28% | 0.00815 | -28.07% | 0.3171 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.00964 | 0.009423 | -2.25% | 0.011331 | +17.54% | 0.1805 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01419 | 0.014107 | -0.59% | 0.00964 | -32.06% | 0.3773 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01521 | 0.015132 | -0.51% | 0.01419 | -6.71% | 0.0644 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01505 | 0.015003 | -0.31% | 0.01521 | +1.06% | 0.0351 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.02248 | 0.022336 | -0.64% | 0.01505 | -33.05% | 0.3902 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.02179 | 0.021608 | -0.84% | 0.02248 | +3.17% | 0.0252 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021875 | 0.021668 | -0.95% | 0.02179 | -0.39% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 1.00 |