KAT

Katana · Base · gru_s0

token id: #157
symbol: KAT
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0xd5390300c5db71f80d46f0fa9983fc72d4d1e3da
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-18
predictions: 627

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

179

of 209 predictions shown

direction hit

70.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1497

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0279

actual -0.1638

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004091	0.003993	-2.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-20	oos	0.00408	0.004001	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.003988	0.003885	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.003837	0.003736	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.004005	0.003897	-2.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-16	oos	0.004156	0.004074	-1.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-15	oos	0.004154	0.004093	-1.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-14	oos	0.00421	0.004156	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-13	oos	0.004313	0.004311	-0.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-12	oos	0.00438	0.00434	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-11	oos	0.004635	0.004622	-0.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-10	oos	0.004614	0.004595	-0.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-09	oos	0.004588	0.004584	-0.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-08	oos	0.004441	0.004439	-0.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.004618	0.004632	+0.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-06	oos	0.004724	0.004788	+1.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-05	oos	0.004836	0.004912	+1.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-04	oos	0.004805	0.004915	+2.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-03	oos	0.004783	0.004856	+1.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-02	oos	0.004798	0.004899	+2.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-01	oos	0.004947	0.005053	+2.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.005049	0.005125	+1.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-29	oos	0.00486	0.004958	+2.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.004899	0.005	+2.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-27	oos	0.005221	0.005326	+2.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-26	oos	0.005144	0.005262	+2.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-25	oos	0.005188	0.005316	+2.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-24	oos	0.005001	0.005173	+3.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-23	oos	0.004896	0.005089	+3.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.005103	0.005338	+4.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-21	oos	0.004902	0.005165	+5.36%	0.004091	-16.55%	0.1872	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004699	0.004834	+2.87%	0.00408	-13.16%	0.1914	✗	1.01
2026-09-19	oos	0.004719	0.00486	+2.99%	0.003988	-15.49%	0.2052	✗	1.01
2026-09-18	oos	0.004691	0.004826	+2.88%	0.003837	-18.21%	0.2438	✗	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.004315	0.004364	+1.14%	0.004005	-7.20%	0.1494	✗	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.00421	0.004269	+1.41%	0.004156	-1.27%	0.0951	✗	1.01
2026-09-15	oos	0.004137	0.004186	+1.19%	0.004154	+0.41%	0.0928	✗	1.02
2026-09-14	oos	0.004399	0.004487	+2.00%	0.00421	-4.30%	0.1059	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.004472	0.004514	+0.92%	0.004313	-3.58%	0.1249	✗	1.01
2026-09-12	oos	0.00477	0.004816	+0.97%	0.00438	-8.18%	0.1508	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.004781	0.00484	+1.25%	0.004635	-3.03%	0.1214	✗	0.97
2026-09-10	oos	0.004846	0.004872	+0.54%	0.004614	-4.78%	0.1303	✗	0.95
2026-09-09	oos	0.006317	0.006188	-2.03%	0.004588	-27.37%	0.3401	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.004799	0.004859	+1.24%	0.004441	-7.48%	0.1215	✗	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.004647	0.004729	+1.75%	0.004618	-0.65%	0.0635	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.004747	0.004886	+2.94%	0.004724	-0.48%	0.0745	✗	0.65
2026-09-05	oos	0.004658	0.004801	+3.08%	0.004836	+3.82%	0.0385	✗	0.64
2026-09-04	oos	0.004648	0.004794	+3.14%	0.004805	+3.38%	0.0506	✗	0.64
2026-09-03	oos	0.004535	0.004737	+4.45%	0.004783	+5.46%	0.0187	✓	0.68
2026-09-02	oos	0.004436	0.004532	+2.17%	0.004798	+8.16%	0.0139	✓	0.80
2026-09-01	oos	0.004487	0.0046	+2.51%	0.004947	+10.25%	0.0021	✓	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.004692	0.004839	+3.14%	0.005049	+7.62%	0.0034	✓	0.74
2026-08-30	oos	0.004442	0.004552	+2.48%	0.00486	+9.41%	0.0049	✓	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.004496	0.004613	+2.60%	0.004899	+8.96%	0.0093	✓	0.79
2026-08-28	oos	0.004483	0.004614	+2.93%	0.005221	+16.48%	0.0594	✓	0.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.004649	0.004873	+4.82%	0.005144	+10.66%	0.0150	✓	0.78
2026-08-26	oos	0.004582	0.00477	+4.09%	0.005188	+13.20%	0.0355	✓	0.78
2026-08-25	oos	0.004442	0.004624	+4.11%	0.005001	+12.58%	0.0216	✓	0.79
2026-08-24	oos	0.004572	0.004779	+4.54%	0.004896	+7.10%	0.0275	✓	0.78
2026-08-23	oos	0.004738	0.004911	+3.65%	0.005103	+7.70%	0.0457	✗	0.81
2026-08-22	oos	0.004697	0.004849	+3.23%	0.004902	+4.38%	0.0838	✗	0.81
2026-08-21	oos	0.004902	0.005089	+3.81%	0.004699	-4.14%	0.1081	✗	0.80
2026-08-20	oos	0.004634	0.004634	-0.01%	0.004719	+1.82%	0.0676	✓	0.80
2026-08-19	oos	0.004476	0.00435	-2.82%	0.004691	+4.79%	0.0529	✓	0.83
2026-08-18	oos	0.004288	0.004046	-5.65%	0.004315	+0.62%	0.0769	✓	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.004303	0.004053	-5.81%	0.00421	-2.16%	0.1046	✓	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.00443	0.00416	-6.08%	0.004137	-6.61%	0.1724	✓	0.90
2026-08-15	oos	0.004304	0.004039	-6.15%	0.004399	+2.21%	0.1091	✓	0.90
2026-08-14	oos	0.004249	0.003987	-6.18%	0.004472	+5.26%	0.0652	✓	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.00435	0.004088	-6.02%	0.00477	+9.66%	0.0236	✓	0.90
2026-08-12	oos	0.004339	0.00408	-5.98%	0.004781	+10.18%	0.0221	✓	0.92
2026-08-11	oos	0.00446	0.004196	-5.91%	0.004846	+8.65%	0.0255	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0046	0.004335	-5.77%	0.006317	+37.32%	0.1867	✗	0.94
2026-08-09	oos	0.00473	0.004467	-5.57%	0.004799	+1.47%	0.1085	✓	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.00462	0.004359	-5.65%	0.004647	+0.60%	0.1222	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.0046	0.004332	-5.83%	0.004747	+3.20%	0.1095	✓	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.00454	0.004271	-5.93%	0.004658	+2.60%	0.1189	✓	0.95
2026-08-05	oos	0.004415	0.004171	-5.52%	0.004648	+5.28%	0.0927	✓	0.96
2026-08-04	oos	0.00448	0.004236	-5.45%	0.004535	+1.23%	0.1608	✓	0.96
2026-08-03	oos	0.00438	0.004131	-5.68%	0.004436	+1.28%	0.1181	✓	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.0043	0.004058	-5.62%	0.004487	+4.35%	0.0820	✓	0.92
2026-08-01	oos	0.0043	0.004057	-5.66%	0.004692	+9.10%	0.0694	✓	0.96
2026-07-31	oos	0.00439	0.004157	-5.31%	0.004442	+1.18%	0.1364	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.004425	0.004242	-4.15%	0.004496	+1.60%	0.1280	✓	0.98
2026-07-29	oos	0.00425	0.00408	-4.01%	0.004483	+5.47%	0.0788	✓	0.88
2026-07-28	oos	0.00455	0.004387	-3.57%	0.004649	+2.18%	0.1426	✓	0.88
2026-07-27	oos	0.004485	0.004348	-3.06%	0.004582	+2.17%	0.1372	✓	0.88
2026-07-26	oos	0.004775	0.004679	-2.01%	0.004442	-6.97%	0.2068	✓	0.84
2026-07-25	oos	0.004795	0.004705	-1.87%	0.004572	-4.66%	0.2084	✓	0.87
2026-07-24	oos	0.0048	0.004726	-1.54%	0.004738	-1.29%	0.1419	✓	0.75
2026-07-23	oos	0.004675	0.004642	-0.70%	0.004697	+0.47%	0.1073	✓	0.70
2026-07-22	oos	0.0048	0.004808	+0.16%	0.004902	+2.13%	0.0711	✗	0.53
2026-07-21	oos	0.004875	0.004906	+0.63%	0.004634	-4.93%	0.1102	✗	0.57
2026-07-20	oos	0.004805	0.004825	+0.41%	0.004476	-6.85%	0.1079	✗	0.54
2026-07-19	oos	0.004695	0.004721	+0.55%	0.004288	-8.66%	0.0961	✗	0.53
2026-07-18	oos	0.004765	0.004806	+0.86%	0.004303	-9.70%	0.1077	✗	0.58
2026-07-17	oos	0.004805	0.004842	+0.77%	0.00443	-7.81%	0.0787	✗	0.62
2026-07-16	oos	0.005075	0.005104	+0.57%	0.004304	-15.19%	0.1631	✗	0.62
2026-07-15	oos	0.0048	0.004853	+1.11%	0.004249	-11.48%	0.1125	✗	0.75
2026-07-14	oos	0.00488	0.004939	+1.21%	0.00435	-10.86%	0.1086	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.004965	0.004986	+0.42%	0.004339	-12.61%	0.1542	✗	0.83
2026-07-12	oos	0.005055	0.005103	+0.95%	0.00446	-11.77%	0.1319	✗	0.84
2026-07-11	oos	0.00542	0.005453	+0.62%	0.0046	-15.13%	0.1721	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.00554	0.005557	+0.31%	0.00473	-14.62%	0.1712	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	0.004945	0.004976	+0.63%	0.00462	-6.57%	0.0971	✗	0.84
2026-07-08	oos	0.00459	0.004618	+0.61%	0.0046	+0.22%	0.0377	✗	0.81
2026-07-07	oos	0.00479	0.004826	+0.76%	0.00454	-5.22%	0.0728	✗	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.00505	0.005086	+0.71%	0.004415	-12.57%	0.1487	✗	0.78
2026-07-05	oos	0.005025	0.005056	+0.63%	0.00448	-10.85%	0.1269	✗	0.80
2026-07-04	oos	0.005155	0.00518	+0.49%	0.00438	-15.03%	0.1727	✗	0.81
2026-07-03	oos	0.0051	0.005121	+0.42%	0.0043	-15.69%	0.1865	✗	0.75
2026-07-02	oos	0.005045	0.005061	+0.31%	0.0043	-14.77%	0.1784	✗	0.76
2026-07-01	oos	0.00497	0.004975	+0.11%	0.00439	-11.67%	0.1604	✗	0.75
2026-06-30	oos	0.00485	0.004845	-0.11%	0.004425	-8.76%	0.1701	✓	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.004885	0.00489	+0.10%	0.00425	-13.00%	0.1888	✗	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	0.004875	0.004876	+0.02%	0.00455	-6.67%	0.1233	✗	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.005075	0.005066	-0.17%	0.004485	-11.63%	0.1672	✓	0.75
2026-06-26	oos	0.00494	0.004932	-0.16%	0.004775	-3.34%	0.0964	✓	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.00484	0.004838	-0.05%	0.004795	-0.93%	0.0642	✓	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.005135	0.005121	-0.27%	0.0048	-6.52%	0.1039	✓	0.79
2026-06-23	oos	0.005345	0.00531	-0.66%	0.004675	-12.54%	0.1498	✓	0.60
2026-06-22	oos	0.005355	0.005303	-0.97%	0.0048	-10.36%	0.1203	✓	0.63
2026-06-21	oos	0.00541	0.005357	-0.98%	0.004875	-9.89%	0.1268	✓	0.64
2026-06-20	oos	0.00582	0.005711	-1.88%	0.004805	-17.44%	0.1830	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.00569	0.005599	-1.60%	0.004695	-17.49%	0.1874	✓	0.60
2026-06-18	oos	0.00533	0.005268	-1.16%	0.004765	-10.60%	0.1186	✓	0.60
2026-06-17	oos	0.00564	0.00552	-2.14%	0.004805	-14.80%	0.1335	✓	0.60
2026-06-16	oos	0.005695	0.005538	-2.76%	0.005075	-10.89%	0.0686	✓	0.66
2026-06-15	oos	0.005765	0.005578	-3.24%	0.0048	-16.74%	0.1346	✓	0.66
2026-06-14	oos	0.00577	0.005584	-3.22%	0.00488	-15.42%	0.1276	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	0.00589	0.005707	-3.10%	0.004965	-15.70%	0.1163	✓	0.67
2026-06-12	oos	0.00628	0.006045	-3.74%	0.005055	-19.51%	0.1811	✓	0.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.00671	0.006376	-4.98%	0.00542	-19.23%	0.1647	✓	0.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.00679	0.006442	-5.12%	0.00554	-18.41%	0.1822	✓	0.73
2026-06-09	oos	0.00619	0.005938	-4.08%	0.004945	-20.11%	0.2006	✓	0.74
2026-06-08	oos	0.00539	0.005261	-2.39%	0.00459	-14.84%	0.1254	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0052	0.005065	-2.60%	0.00479	-7.88%	0.0561	✓	0.84
2026-06-06	oos	0.00506	0.004946	-2.25%	0.00505	-0.20%	0.0215	✓	0.84
2026-06-05	oos	0.00521	0.00504	-3.26%	0.005025	-3.55%	0.0373	✓	0.84
2026-06-04	oos	0.00584	0.005504	-5.76%	0.005155	-11.73%	0.0570	✓	0.74
2026-06-03	oos	0.00661	0.006135	-7.19%	0.0051	-22.84%	0.1672	✓	0.73
2026-06-02	oos	0.00654	0.006008	-8.14%	0.005045	-22.86%	0.1104	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.00727	0.006553	-9.86%	0.00497	-31.64%	0.1609	✓	0.67
2026-05-31	oos	0.007225	0.006516	-9.81%	0.00485	-32.87%	0.1324	✓	0.71
2026-05-30	oos	0.007175	0.006485	-9.62%	0.004885	-31.92%	0.1378	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.007195	0.006501	-9.64%	0.004875	-32.24%	0.1380	✓	0.71
2026-05-28	oos	0.00722	0.006544	-9.37%	0.005075	-29.71%	0.1083	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.00769	0.007021	-8.70%	0.00494	-35.76%	0.2039	✓	0.69
2026-05-26	oos	0.00782	0.007223	-7.63%	0.00484	-38.11%	0.2347	✓	0.69
2026-05-25	oos	0.008245	0.007709	-6.50%	0.005135	-37.72%	0.2496	✓	0.66
2026-05-24	oos	0.00813	0.007549	-7.14%	0.005345	-34.26%	0.2091	✓	0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.008385	0.007795	-7.03%	0.005355	-36.14%	0.2551	✓	0.66
2026-05-22	oos	0.00805	0.007462	-7.30%	0.00541	-32.80%	0.2086	✓	0.64
2026-05-21	oos	0.00854	0.008001	-6.32%	0.00582	-31.85%	0.2066	✓	0.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.00854	0.007988	-6.46%	0.00569	-33.37%	0.2212	✓	0.59
2026-05-19	oos	0.00841	0.007866	-6.47%	0.00533	-36.62%	0.2722	✓	0.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.00821	0.007691	-6.32%	0.00564	-31.30%	0.2053	✓	0.59
2026-05-17	oos	0.00824	0.007775	-5.64%	0.005695	-30.89%	0.2133	✓	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.00863	0.008238	-4.55%	0.005765	-33.20%	0.2623	✓	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.00865	0.008328	-3.72%	0.00577	-33.29%	0.2591	✓	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.00909	0.00888	-2.31%	0.00589	-35.20%	0.2858	✓	0.54
2026-05-13	oos	0.00904	0.008754	-3.16%	0.00628	-30.53%	0.2116	✓	0.54
2026-05-12	oos	0.00985	0.009614	-2.40%	0.00671	-31.88%	0.2463	✓	0.48
2026-05-11	oos	0.01041	0.010236	-1.67%	0.00679	-34.77%	0.2855	✓	0.44
2026-05-10	oos	0.01024	0.010103	-1.34%	0.00619	-39.55%	0.3613	✓	0.45
2026-05-09	oos	0.01013	0.009909	-2.19%	0.00539	-46.79%	0.4998	✓	0.44
2026-05-08	oos	0.00975	0.009505	-2.51%	0.0052	-46.67%	0.5001	✓	0.44
2026-05-07	oos	0.00939	0.009145	-2.61%	0.00506	-46.11%	0.4725	✓	0.44
2026-05-06	oos	0.00956	0.009396	-1.72%	0.00521	-45.50%	0.4657	✓	0.43
2026-05-05	oos	0.0094	0.009213	-1.99%	0.00584	-37.87%	0.3548	✓	0.43
2026-05-04	oos	0.01	0.009748	-2.52%	0.00661	-33.90%	0.2864	✓	0.46
2026-05-03	oos	0.00941	0.009082	-3.49%	0.00654	-30.50%	0.2598	✓	0.42
2026-05-02	oos	0.00988	0.009565	-3.18%	0.00727	-26.42%	0.2342	✓	0.41
2026-05-01	oos	0.00985	0.009512	-3.43%	0.007225	-26.65%	0.2500	✓	0.41
2026-04-30	oos	0.01068	0.010217	-4.33%	0.007175	-32.82%	0.3358	✓	0.52
2026-04-29	oos	0.01092	0.010428	-4.51%	0.007195	-34.11%	0.3540	✓	0.53
2026-04-28	oos	0.01151	0.011022	-4.24%	0.00722	-37.27%	0.4040	✓	0.51
2026-04-27	oos	0.01139	0.010975	-3.64%	0.00769	-32.48%	0.3347	✓	0.52
2026-04-26	oos	0.01224	0.011844	-3.24%	0.00782	-36.11%	0.3985	✓	0.45
2026-04-25	oos	0.01554	0.01462	-5.92%	0.008245	-46.94%	0.5696	✓	0.61
2026-04-24	oos	0.02469	0.020584	-16.63%	0.00813	-67.07%	0.9251	✓	0.62
2026-04-23	oos	0.01414	0.013039	-7.79%	0.008385	-40.70%	0.4193	✓	1.06
2026-04-22	oos	0.00937	0.009089	-3.00%	0.00805	-14.09%	0.0818	✓	1.10
2026-04-21	oos	0.009565	0.009168	-4.15%	0.00854	-10.72%	0.0889	✓	1.15
2026-04-20	oos	0.00957	0.009151	-4.38%	0.00854	-10.76%	0.0933	✓	1.15
2026-04-19	oos	0.00903	0.008507	-5.79%	0.00841	-6.87%	0.0543	✓	1.09
2026-04-18	oos	0.00968	0.009268	-4.25%	0.00821	-15.19%	0.1375	✓	1.03
2026-04-17	oos	0.00971	0.009381	-3.38%	0.00824	-15.14%	0.1340	✓	1.06
2026-04-16	oos	0.00858	0.008139	-5.14%	0.00863	+0.58%	0.0202	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.00816	0.007701	-5.63%	0.00865	+6.00%	0.0614	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.00801	0.007519	-6.13%	0.00909	+13.48%	0.1008	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.00829	0.007842	-5.41%	0.00904	+9.05%	0.0792	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.00788	0.007221	-8.37%	0.00985	+25.00%	0.1817	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.00849	0.007975	-6.07%	0.01041	+22.61%	0.1548	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.0086	0.008099	-5.83%	0.01024	+19.07%	0.1159	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.00856	0.008013	-6.40%	0.01013	+18.34%	0.1182	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.00875	0.008177	-6.55%	0.00975	+11.43%	0.0555	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.00898	0.008464	-5.74%	0.00939	+4.57%	0.0029	✓	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.008595	0.007942	-7.60%	0.00956	+11.23%	0.0176	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.00868	0.008045	-7.31%	0.0094	+8.29%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.009165	0.008502	-7.23%	0.01	+9.11%	0.0089	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.0089	0.00824	-7.42%	0.00941	+5.73%	0.0270	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.00903	0.008397	-7.01%	0.00988	+9.41%	0.0004	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.01009	0.009536	-5.49%	0.00985	-2.38%	0.1062	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.01048	0.00995	-5.06%	0.01068	+1.91%	0.0412	✓	1.00
2026-03-30	oos	0.01104	0.010465	-5.21%	0.01092	-1.09%	0.0842	✓	1.00
2026-03-29	oos	0.01139	0.010799	-5.19%	0.01151	+1.05%	0.0821	✓	1.00
2026-03-28	oos	0.01209	0.011493	-4.94%	0.01139	-5.79%	0.1630	✓	1.00
2026-03-27	oos	0.0119	0.011325	-4.83%	0.01224	+2.86%	0.0926	✓	1.00