KAS

Kaspa · Kaspa · gru_s0

token id: #115
symbol: KAS
variant: –
chain: Kaspa
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-19
predictions: 2,079

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1263

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0194

actual +0.0126

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.037705	0.03588	-4.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-10-20	oos	0.03737	0.035765	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.21
2026-10-19	oos	0.0351	0.033326	-5.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-18	oos	0.035465	0.03375	-4.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-17	oos	0.035295	0.033472	-5.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-16	oos	0.036135	0.034423	-4.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.035945	0.034381	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.03702	0.035263	-4.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-13	oos	0.038605	0.037205	-3.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-12	oos	0.038425	0.036774	-4.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-11	oos	0.041375	0.039939	-3.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.040775	0.03918	-3.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-09	oos	0.0414	0.0398	-3.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.03917	0.037612	-3.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-07	oos	0.040535	0.039179	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.043225	0.041976	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-05	oos	0.04348	0.042491	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.042675	0.042004	-1.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.04
2026-10-03	oos	0.043115	0.042244	-2.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-02	oos	0.042085	0.041362	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-01	oos	0.041435	0.040942	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.043475	0.042644	-1.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-29	oos	0.042925	0.042259	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.04546	0.044791	-1.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-27	oos	0.04692	0.046324	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.04781	0.047141	-1.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-09-25	oos	0.04216	0.04178	-0.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-09-24	oos	0.0399	0.039771	-0.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.03851	0.038607	+0.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.04158	0.041844	+0.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-21	oos	0.043235	0.043554	+0.74%	0.037705	-12.79%	0.0957	✗	1.05
2026-09-20	oos	0.039935	0.039567	-0.92%	0.03737	-6.42%	0.0795	✓	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.03912	0.038887	-0.60%	0.0351	-10.28%	0.1101	✓	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.03804	0.037845	-0.51%	0.035465	-6.77%	0.0793	✓	1.03
2026-09-17	oos	0.0338	0.033193	-1.80%	0.035295	+4.42%	0.0021	✓	0.93
2026-09-16	oos	0.03291	0.032397	-1.56%	0.036135	+9.80%	0.0465	✗	0.92
2026-09-15	oos	0.032925	0.032401	-1.59%	0.035945	+9.17%	0.0255	✗	0.94
2026-09-14	oos	0.034885	0.034695	-0.55%	0.03702	+6.12%	0.0260	✗	0.92
2026-09-13	oos	0.033285	0.032996	-0.87%	0.038605	+15.98%	0.0858	✗	0.90
2026-09-12	oos	0.03521	0.034964	-0.70%	0.038425	+9.13%	0.0441	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.035965	0.035811	-0.43%	0.041375	+15.04%	0.0720	✗	0.90
2026-09-10	oos	0.035345	0.035199	-0.41%	0.040775	+15.36%	0.0752	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.03653	0.036536	+0.02%	0.0414	+13.33%	0.0779	✓	0.89
2026-09-08	oos	0.035455	0.035663	+0.59%	0.03917	+10.48%	0.0578	✓	0.89
2026-09-07	oos	0.03651	0.036791	+0.77%	0.040535	+11.02%	0.0516	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.0323	0.032969	+2.07%	0.043225	+33.82%	0.2091	✓	0.98
2026-09-05	oos	0.03057	0.031274	+2.30%	0.04348	+42.23%	0.2600	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.02944	0.03031	+2.95%	0.042675	+44.96%	0.2615	✓	0.98
2026-09-03	oos	0.029815	0.031042	+4.12%	0.043115	+44.61%	0.2870	✓	0.99
2026-09-02	oos	0.027975	0.028532	+1.99%	0.042085	+50.44%	0.3139	✓	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.027505	0.028182	+2.46%	0.041435	+50.65%	0.3070	✓	0.85
2026-08-31	oos	0.027895	0.028828	+3.34%	0.043475	+55.85%	0.3693	✓	0.67
2026-08-30	oos	0.02709	0.027969	+3.24%	0.042925	+58.45%	0.3762	✓	0.70
2026-08-29	oos	0.02766	0.028593	+3.37%	0.04546	+64.35%	0.4191	✓	0.69
2026-08-28	oos	0.02804	0.029072	+3.68%	0.04692	+67.33%	0.4223	✓	0.69
2026-08-27	oos	0.02955	0.031178	+5.51%	0.04781	+61.79%	0.3940	✓	0.67
2026-08-26	oos	0.02803	0.029549	+5.42%	0.04216	+50.41%	0.3150	✓	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.02765	0.029052	+5.07%	0.0399	+44.30%	0.2702	✓	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.029135	0.030575	+4.94%	0.03851	+32.18%	0.1879	✓	0.65
2026-08-23	oos	0.0293	0.03053	+4.20%	0.04158	+41.91%	0.2404	✓	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.029095	0.030312	+4.18%	0.043235	+48.60%	0.2778	✓	0.66
2026-08-21	oos	0.029695	0.031345	+5.56%	0.039935	+34.48%	0.2188	✓	0.66
2026-08-20	oos	0.02801	0.028607	+2.13%	0.03912	+39.66%	0.2461	✓	0.63
2026-08-19	oos	0.027	0.02695	-0.19%	0.03804	+40.89%	0.2463	✗	0.64
2026-08-18	oos	0.02527	0.024673	-2.36%	0.0338	+33.76%	0.2190	✗	0.58
2026-08-17	oos	0.02566	0.025034	-2.44%	0.03291	+28.25%	0.1750	✗	0.59
2026-08-16	oos	0.02552	0.024787	-2.87%	0.032925	+29.02%	0.1730	✗	0.60
2026-08-15	oos	0.025795	0.025083	-2.76%	0.034885	+35.24%	0.2014	✗	0.60
2026-08-14	oos	0.02542	0.024729	-2.72%	0.033285	+30.94%	0.1792	✗	0.59
2026-08-13	oos	0.0253	0.024651	-2.57%	0.03521	+39.17%	0.2377	✗	0.60
2026-08-12	oos	0.02554	0.024881	-2.58%	0.035965	+40.82%	0.2420	✗	0.64
2026-08-11	oos	0.02595	0.025305	-2.49%	0.035345	+36.20%	0.2149	✗	0.64
2026-08-10	oos	0.02587	0.025226	-2.49%	0.03653	+41.21%	0.2393	✗	0.65
2026-08-09	oos	0.02595	0.025343	-2.34%	0.035455	+36.63%	0.2082	✗	0.67
2026-08-08	oos	0.02667	0.02602	-2.44%	0.03651	+36.90%	0.2071	✗	0.67
2026-08-07	oos	0.026445	0.025845	-2.27%	0.0323	+22.14%	0.0770	✗	0.68
2026-08-06	oos	0.02562	0.024983	-2.49%	0.03057	+19.32%	0.0548	✗	0.68
2026-08-05	oos	0.02607	0.025412	-2.53%	0.02944	+12.93%	0.0042	✓	0.68
2026-08-04	oos	0.02641	0.025696	-2.70%	0.029815	+12.89%	0.0176	✓	0.70
2026-08-03	oos	0.02606	0.02527	-3.03%	0.027975	+7.35%	0.0390	✓	0.71
2026-08-02	oos	0.02682	0.025949	-3.25%	0.027505	+2.55%	0.0856	✓	0.73
2026-08-01	oos	0.02677	0.025837	-3.48%	0.027895	+4.20%	0.0845	✓	0.72
2026-07-31	oos	0.027205	0.026249	-3.52%	0.02709	-0.42%	0.1209	✓	0.72
2026-07-30	oos	0.02764	0.026852	-2.85%	0.02766	+0.07%	0.1084	✓	0.73
2026-07-29	oos	0.02739	0.0266	-2.89%	0.02804	+2.37%	0.0885	✓	0.72
2026-07-28	oos	0.027945	0.027227	-2.57%	0.02955	+5.74%	0.0820	✓	0.72
2026-07-27	oos	0.028125	0.027499	-2.23%	0.02803	-0.34%	0.1355	✓	0.72
2026-07-26	oos	0.02929	0.028854	-1.49%	0.02765	-5.60%	0.1718	✓	0.70
2026-07-25	oos	0.02807	0.027636	-1.55%	0.029135	+3.79%	0.0880	✓	0.68
2026-07-24	oos	0.027735	0.027349	-1.39%	0.0293	+5.64%	0.0629	✓	0.68
2026-07-23	oos	0.02799	0.027772	-0.78%	0.029095	+3.95%	0.0691	✓	0.68
2026-07-22	oos	0.02828	0.028186	-0.33%	0.029695	+5.00%	0.0645	✓	0.69
2026-07-21	oos	0.02861	0.028603	-0.02%	0.02801	-2.10%	0.0848	✓	0.69
2026-07-20	oos	0.028365	0.028252	-0.40%	0.027	-4.81%	0.0864	✓	0.68
2026-07-19	oos	0.02833	0.028192	-0.49%	0.02527	-10.80%	0.1094	✓	0.67
2026-07-18	oos	0.027785	0.027717	-0.25%	0.02566	-7.65%	0.0738	✓	0.67
2026-07-17	oos	0.02788	0.027736	-0.52%	0.02552	-8.46%	0.0722	✓	0.67
2026-07-16	oos	0.02816	0.027937	-0.79%	0.025795	-8.40%	0.0716	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	0.0289	0.028731	-0.58%	0.02542	-12.04%	0.1028	✓	0.72
2026-07-14	oos	0.028605	0.028446	-0.56%	0.0253	-11.55%	0.0996	✓	0.72
2026-07-13	oos	0.0284	0.028042	-1.26%	0.02554	-10.07%	0.1074	✓	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.02847	0.028189	-0.99%	0.02595	-8.85%	0.0802	✓	0.78
2026-07-11	oos	0.029295	0.028978	-1.08%	0.02587	-11.69%	0.1152	✓	0.80
2026-07-10	oos	0.02949	0.029155	-1.14%	0.02595	-12.00%	0.1256	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.02951	0.029089	-1.43%	0.02667	-9.62%	0.1090	✓	0.82
2026-07-08	oos	0.02925	0.028797	-1.55%	0.026445	-9.59%	0.1201	✓	0.83
2026-07-07	oos	0.02924	0.028821	-1.43%	0.02562	-12.38%	0.1302	✓	0.84
2026-07-06	oos	0.0302	0.029777	-1.40%	0.02607	-13.68%	0.1408	✓	0.84
2026-07-05	oos	0.03094	0.030439	-1.62%	0.02641	-14.64%	0.1483	✓	0.86
2026-07-04	oos	0.03184	0.031268	-1.80%	0.02606	-18.15%	0.1874	✓	0.87
2026-07-03	oos	0.03138	0.030821	-1.78%	0.02682	-14.53%	0.1524	✓	0.86
2026-07-02	oos	0.03096	0.030386	-1.85%	0.02677	-13.53%	0.1444	✓	0.86
2026-07-01	oos	0.03083	0.030193	-2.07%	0.027205	-11.76%	0.1449	✓	0.87
2026-06-30	oos	0.029245	0.028588	-2.25%	0.02764	-5.49%	0.1198	✓	0.85
2026-06-29	oos	0.03032	0.029644	-2.23%	0.02739	-9.66%	0.1299	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.02775	0.027106	-2.32%	0.027945	+0.70%	0.0275	✓	0.82
2026-06-27	oos	0.027795	0.027159	-2.29%	0.028125	+1.19%	0.0139	✓	0.80
2026-06-26	oos	0.02811	0.027469	-2.28%	0.02929	+4.20%	0.0048	✓	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	0.02756	0.026923	-2.31%	0.02807	+1.85%	0.0181	✓	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	0.02795	0.027359	-2.11%	0.027735	-0.77%	0.0271	✓	0.82
2026-06-23	oos	0.02886	0.02823	-2.18%	0.02799	-3.01%	0.0407	✓	0.85
2026-06-22	oos	0.02934	0.028677	-2.26%	0.02828	-3.61%	0.0426	✓	0.87
2026-06-21	oos	0.02916	0.02846	-2.40%	0.02861	-1.89%	0.0388	✓	0.87
2026-06-20	oos	0.029775	0.029064	-2.39%	0.028365	-4.74%	0.0362	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.02992	0.029186	-2.45%	0.02833	-5.31%	0.0442	✓	0.76
2026-06-18	oos	0.03041	0.02963	-2.57%	0.027785	-8.63%	0.0882	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03193	0.031033	-2.81%	0.02788	-12.68%	0.1004	✓	0.78
2026-06-16	oos	0.03249	0.031514	-3.00%	0.02816	-13.33%	0.0897	✓	0.80
2026-06-15	oos	0.03302	0.031957	-3.22%	0.0289	-12.48%	0.0841	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	0.0324	0.031337	-3.28%	0.028605	-11.71%	0.0839	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	0.031385	0.030346	-3.31%	0.0284	-9.51%	0.0423	✓	0.70
2026-06-12	oos	0.03099	0.02997	-3.29%	0.02847	-8.13%	0.0536	✓	0.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.03109	0.030026	-3.42%	0.029295	-5.77%	0.0270	✓	0.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.030365	0.029345	-3.36%	0.02949	-2.88%	0.0249	✓	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.03018	0.02912	-3.51%	0.02951	-2.22%	0.0034	✓	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.03205	0.030753	-4.05%	0.02925	-8.74%	0.0413	✓	0.67
2026-06-07	oos	0.03126	0.029954	-4.18%	0.02924	-6.46%	0.0243	✓	0.67
2026-06-06	oos	0.02999	0.028752	-4.13%	0.0302	+0.70%	0.0166	✓	0.64
2026-06-05	oos	0.0309	0.029507	-4.51%	0.03094	+0.13%	0.0214	✓	0.64
2026-06-04	oos	0.02955	0.028138	-4.78%	0.03184	+7.75%	0.1319	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	0.03196	0.030289	-5.23%	0.03138	-1.81%	0.0523	✓	0.70
2026-06-02	oos	0.02844	0.026954	-5.23%	0.03096	+8.86%	0.2076	✗	0.85
2026-06-01	oos	0.03044	0.028951	-4.89%	0.03083	+1.28%	0.1939	✗	0.76
2026-05-31	oos	0.0307	0.029362	-4.36%	0.029245	-4.74%	0.1716	✗	0.77
2026-05-30	oos	0.03084	0.029466	-4.46%	0.03032	-1.69%	0.1838	✗	0.76
2026-05-29	oos	0.03102	0.029562	-4.70%	0.02775	-10.54%	0.0978	✗	0.77
2026-05-28	oos	0.031095	0.029654	-4.64%	0.027795	-10.61%	0.0905	✗	0.76
2026-05-27	oos	0.03209	0.030671	-4.42%	0.02811	-12.40%	0.0762	✗	0.76
2026-05-26	oos	0.032615	0.031456	-3.55%	0.02756	-15.50%	0.0492	✗	0.76
2026-05-25	oos	0.03365	0.032671	-2.91%	0.02795	-16.94%	0.0268	✓	0.77
2026-05-24	oos	0.03334	0.032298	-3.12%	0.02886	-13.44%	0.0475	✗	0.78
2026-05-23	oos	0.0338	0.032692	-3.28%	0.02934	-13.20%	0.0303	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.03374	0.032434	-3.87%	0.02916	-13.57%	0.0297	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.03525	0.034231	-2.89%	0.029775	-15.53%	0.0029	✓	0.76
2026-05-20	oos	0.034845	0.033847	-2.86%	0.02992	-14.13%	0.0287	✓	0.76
2026-05-19	oos	0.03364	0.032602	-3.08%	0.03041	-9.60%	0.0804	✗	0.75
2026-05-18	oos	0.03485	0.033824	-2.94%	0.03193	-8.38%	0.0762	✗	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.03396	0.033031	-2.74%	0.03249	-4.33%	0.1087	✗	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.034185	0.033335	-2.49%	0.03302	-3.41%	0.1150	✗	0.76
2026-05-15	oos	0.035135	0.034485	-1.85%	0.0324	-7.78%	0.0789	✗	0.76
2026-05-14	oos	0.03758	0.037292	-0.77%	0.031385	-16.48%	0.0020	✓	0.74
2026-05-13	oos	0.03724	0.036646	-1.60%	0.03099	-16.78%	0.0036	✓	0.74
2026-05-12	oos	0.03807	0.037725	-0.91%	0.03109	-18.33%	0.0202	✓	0.73
2026-05-11	oos	0.04041	0.040141	-0.67%	0.030365	-24.86%	0.0814	✓	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.03867	0.038493	-0.46%	0.03018	-21.96%	0.0416	✓	0.70
2026-05-09	oos	0.03729	0.036873	-1.12%	0.03205	-14.05%	0.0322	✗	0.70
2026-05-08	oos	0.03648	0.036031	-1.23%	0.03126	-14.31%	0.0280	✗	0.72
2026-05-07	oos	0.03538	0.035006	-1.06%	0.02999	-15.23%	0.0430	✗	0.72
2026-05-06	oos	0.0366	0.036443	-0.43%	0.0309	-15.57%	0.0895	✗	0.88
2026-05-05	oos	0.034435	0.034243	-0.56%	0.02955	-14.19%	0.0627	✗	0.88
2026-05-04	oos	0.03338	0.033143	-0.71%	0.03196	-4.25%	0.1585	✗	0.88
2026-05-03	oos	0.03365	0.033117	-1.58%	0.02844	-15.48%	0.0066	✓	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.0332	0.032658	-1.63%	0.03044	-8.31%	0.0184	✗	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.03264	0.032051	-1.80%	0.0307	-5.94%	0.0132	✓	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.0325	0.031655	-2.60%	0.03084	-5.11%	0.0066	✓	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.032555	0.031692	-2.65%	0.03102	-4.72%	0.0095	✓	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.0328	0.032033	-2.34%	0.031095	-5.20%	0.0061	✓	0.96
2026-04-27	oos	0.0334	0.032816	-1.75%	0.03209	-3.92%	0.0161	✓	0.96
2026-04-26	oos	0.03391	0.03351	-1.18%	0.032615	-3.82%	0.0082	✓	0.96
2026-04-25	oos	0.03364	0.033133	-1.51%	0.03365	+0.03%	0.0204	✗	0.95
2026-04-24	oos	0.03369	0.033225	-1.38%	0.03334	-1.04%	0.0095	✓	0.96
2026-04-23	oos	0.034295	0.034081	-0.63%	0.0338	-1.44%	0.0119	✗	0.96
2026-04-22	oos	0.034285	0.034117	-0.49%	0.03374	-1.59%	0.0234	✗	0.96
2026-04-21	oos	0.034245	0.03375	-1.45%	0.03525	+2.93%	0.0285	✗	0.96
2026-04-20	oos	0.03484	0.034241	-1.72%	0.034845	+0.01%	0.0028	✓	0.97
2026-04-19	oos	0.03421	0.033356	-2.50%	0.03364	-1.67%	0.0298	✓	0.98
2026-04-18	oos	0.0343	0.03377	-1.55%	0.03485	+1.60%	0.0160	✗	0.98
2026-04-17	oos	0.03616	0.035752	-1.13%	0.03396	-6.08%	0.0553	✓	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.03409	0.033473	-1.81%	0.034185	+0.28%	0.0162	✓	0.97
2026-04-15	oos	0.03319	0.032614	-1.74%	0.035135	+5.86%	0.0214	✗	0.97
2026-04-14	oos	0.032345	0.031726	-1.91%	0.03758	+16.18%	0.0832	✗	0.97
2026-04-13	oos	0.03311	0.032453	-1.99%	0.03724	+12.47%	0.0768	✗	0.96
2026-04-12	oos	0.03149	0.030426	-3.38%	0.03807	+20.90%	0.1001	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.032925	0.032091	-2.53%	0.04041	+22.73%	0.1235	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.03341	0.032581	-2.48%	0.03867	+15.74%	0.0575	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.03219	0.031215	-3.03%	0.03729	+15.84%	0.0669	✗	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.031945	0.030894	-3.29%	0.03648	+14.20%	0.0513	✗	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.03278	0.031831	-2.89%	0.03538	+7.93%	0.0041	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.031225	0.029918	-4.18%	0.0366	+17.21%	0.0415	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.03142	0.03011	-4.17%	0.034435	+9.60%	0.0176	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.031165	0.029758	-4.52%	0.03338	+7.11%	0.0496	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.03098	0.029579	-4.52%	0.03365	+8.62%	0.0263	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.03126	0.029908	-4.32%	0.0332	+6.21%	0.0531	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.03208	0.030897	-3.69%	0.03264	+1.75%	0.0799	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.03262	0.031461	-3.55%	0.0325	-0.37%	0.0771	✓	0.98
2026-03-30	oos	0.03189	0.030706	-3.71%	0.032555	+2.09%	0.0656	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.03288	0.031681	-3.65%	0.0328	-0.24%	0.1090	✓	0.99
2026-03-28	oos	0.03477	0.033608	-3.34%	0.0334	-3.94%	0.1579	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.03448	0.033472	-2.92%	0.03391	-1.65%	0.1545	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.03602	0.035398	-1.73%	0.03364	-6.61%	0.1701	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.03857	0.038317	-0.66%	0.03369	-12.65%	0.2090	✓	0.97
2026-03-24	oos	0.03626	0.036082	-0.49%	0.034295	-5.42%	0.1510	✓	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.034985	0.034973	-0.03%	0.034285	-2.00%	0.1146	✓	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.03642	0.035988	-1.19%	0.034245	-5.97%	0.1690	✓	1.01
2026-03-21	oos	0.03576	0.035579	-0.51%	0.03484	-2.57%	0.1186	✓	1.02
2026-03-20	oos	0.03804	0.038021	-0.05%	0.03421	-10.07%	0.1521	✓	1.01
2026-03-19	oos	0.03729	0.037339	+0.13%	0.0343	-8.02%	0.1656	✗	1.01
2026-03-18	oos	0.03946	0.039576	+0.30%	0.03616	-8.36%	0.1704	✗	1.01
2026-03-17	oos	0.03628	0.036817	+1.48%	0.03409	-6.04%	0.0946	✗	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.03374	0.03439	+1.93%	0.03319	-1.63%	0.0348	✗	1.09
2026-03-15	oos	0.031	0.031463	+1.49%	0.032345	+4.34%	0.0079	✓	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.03066	0.030997	+1.10%	0.03311	+7.99%	0.0182	✓	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.03049	0.03081	+1.05%	0.03149	+3.28%	0.0247	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.03054	0.030824	+0.93%	0.032925	+7.81%	0.0272	✓	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.03036	0.030638	+0.92%	0.03341	+10.05%	0.0441	✓	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.03025	0.030503	+0.84%	0.03219	+6.41%	0.0257	✓	1.09
2026-03-09	oos	0.03006	0.030228	+0.56%	0.031945	+6.27%	0.0136	✓	1.09
2026-03-08	oos	0.02957	0.029595	+0.08%	0.03278	+10.86%	0.0088	✓	1.08
2026-03-07	oos	0.02957	0.029702	+0.45%	0.031225	+5.60%	0.0245	✓	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.03016	0.030324	+0.54%	0.03142	+4.18%	0.0213	✓	1.09
2026-03-05	oos	0.03043	0.030678	+0.82%	0.031165	+2.42%	0.0733	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.03075	0.031027	+0.90%	0.03098	+0.75%	0.0899	✓	1.12
2026-03-03	oos	0.03054	0.030685	+0.47%	0.03126	+2.36%	0.0435	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	0.03032	0.030472	+0.50%	0.03208	+5.80%	0.0638	✓	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	0.02943	0.029542	+0.38%	0.03262	+10.84%	0.0561	✓	1.18
2026-02-28	oos	0.03014	0.030294	+0.51%	0.03189	+5.81%	0.0555	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.03027	0.030405	+0.45%	0.03288	+8.62%	0.0765	✓	1.20
2026-02-26	oos	0.03135	0.03148	+0.41%	0.03477	+10.91%	0.1204	✓	1.20
2026-02-25	oos	0.030915	0.031053	+0.45%	0.03448	+11.53%	0.1340	✓	1.20
2026-02-24	oos	0.02909	0.029178	+0.30%	0.03602	+23.82%	0.1251	✓	1.21
2026-02-23	oos	0.02971	0.029812	+0.34%	0.03857	+29.82%	0.1338	✓	1.26
2026-02-22	oos	0.03041	0.030493	+0.27%	0.03626	+19.24%	0.1198	✓	1.27
2026-02-21	oos	0.031105	0.031158	+0.17%	0.034985	+12.47%	0.0615	✓	1.29
2026-02-20	oos	0.031165	0.031218	+0.17%	0.03642	+16.86%	0.1568	✓	1.30
2026-02-19	oos	0.03012	0.03019	+0.23%	0.03576	+18.73%	0.1324	✓	1.29
2026-02-18	oos	0.031045	0.031052	+0.02%	0.03804	+22.53%	0.1253	✓	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	0.03191	0.031816	-0.29%	0.03729	+16.86%	0.1127	✗	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.03225	0.032085	-0.51%	0.03946	+22.36%	0.1628	✗	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.03206	0.031902	-0.49%	0.03628	+13.16%	0.0352	✗	1.30
2026-02-14	oos	0.033445	0.033174	-0.81%	0.03374	+0.88%	0.0740	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	0.03214	0.031918	-0.69%	0.031	-3.55%	0.1022	✓	1.29
2026-02-12	oos	0.031395	0.03128	-0.37%	0.03066	-2.34%	0.1153	✓	1.30
2026-02-11	oos	0.03148	0.03131	-0.54%	0.03049	-3.14%	0.1012	✓	1.31
2026-02-10	oos	0.03105	0.030815	-0.76%	0.03054	-1.64%	0.0419	✓	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.031485	0.031152	-1.06%	0.03036	-3.57%	0.0278	✓	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.03386	0.033326	-1.58%	0.03025	-10.66%	0.0908	✓	1.34
2026-02-07	oos	0.03134	0.030935	-1.29%	0.03006	-4.08%	0.0131	✓	1.32
2026-02-06	oos	0.03199	0.031462	-1.65%	0.02957	-7.56%	0.0255	✗	1.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.02706	0.027021	-0.14%	0.02957	+9.28%	0.0021	✗	1.28
2026-02-04	oos	0.030985	0.030282	-2.27%	0.03016	-2.66%	0.0985	✗	1.48
2026-02-03	oos	0.03206	0.031179	-2.75%	0.03043	-5.08%	0.0688	✗	1.43
2026-02-02	oos	0.03312	0.032018	-3.33%	0.03075	-7.16%	0.0755	✗	1.47
2026-02-01	oos	0.03069	0.029695	-3.24%	0.03054	-0.49%	0.1966	✗	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.03316	0.031888	-3.84%	0.03032	-8.56%	0.1432	✗	1.45
2026-01-30	oos	0.03736	0.035763	-4.27%	0.02943	-21.23%	0.1522	✗	1.41
2026-01-29	oos	0.03846	0.03678	-4.37%	0.03014	-21.63%	0.1290	✗	1.41
2026-01-28	oos	0.03977	0.038021	-4.40%	0.03027	-23.89%	0.2131	✗	1.46
2026-01-27	oos	0.03979	0.038033	-4.41%	0.03135	-21.21%	0.2178	✗	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	0.03979	0.037965	-4.59%	0.030915	-22.30%	0.1696	✗	1.44
2026-01-25	oos	0.03958	0.03771	-4.73%	0.02909	-26.50%	0.1773	✗	1.45
2026-01-24	oos	0.04162	0.039581	-4.90%	0.02971	-28.62%	0.1771	✗	1.45
2026-01-23	oos	0.04022	0.038131	-5.19%	0.03041	-24.39%	0.1691	✗	1.41
2026-01-22	oos	0.03987	0.037667	-5.53%	0.031105	-21.98%	0.2022	✗	1.43
2026-01-21	oos	0.04105	0.038783	-5.52%	0.031165	-24.08%	0.1749	✗	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.04018	0.037876	-5.73%	0.03012	-25.04%	0.1703	✗	1.44
2026-01-19	oos	0.04267	0.040427	-5.26%	0.031045	-27.24%	0.2201	✗	1.46
2026-01-18	oos	0.04269	0.040573	-4.96%	0.03191	-25.25%	0.2447	✗	1.48
2026-01-17	oos	0.04421	0.042514	-3.84%	0.03225	-27.05%	0.2026	✗	1.48
2026-01-16	oos	0.04515	0.043596	-3.44%	0.03206	-28.99%	0.1817	✗	1.49
2026-01-15	oos	0.04555	0.044063	-3.26%	0.033445	-26.58%	0.1907	✗	1.48
2026-01-14	oos	0.04799	0.046793	-2.49%	0.03214	-33.03%	0.1301	✗	1.47
2026-01-13	oos	0.04827	0.046899	-2.84%	0.031395	-34.96%	0.1486	✗	1.51
2026-01-12	oos	0.04629	0.044414	-4.05%	0.03148	-31.99%	0.1358	✗	1.56
2026-01-11	oos	0.04672	0.044854	-3.99%	0.03105	-33.54%	0.0717	✗	1.58
2026-01-10	oos	0.04649	0.044642	-3.98%	0.031485	-32.28%	0.0539	✗	1.59
2026-01-09	oos	0.04702	0.045322	-3.61%	0.03386	-27.99%	0.1142	✗	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.04699	0.045509	-3.15%	0.03134	-33.30%	0.0576	✗	1.57
2026-01-07	oos	0.04884	0.047371	-3.01%	0.03199	-34.50%	0.0892	✗	1.87
2026-01-06	oos	0.05147	0.05033	-2.21%	0.02706	-47.43%	0.1258	✗	1.86
2026-01-05	oos	0.05092	0.049872	-2.06%	0.030985	-39.15%	0.0108	✓	1.85
2026-01-04	oos	0.04943	0.048182	-2.53%	0.03206	-35.14%	0.0542	✓	1.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.04572	0.04452	-2.62%	0.03312	-27.56%	0.0350	✓	1.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.04603	0.044804	-2.66%	0.03069	-33.33%	0.0893	✓	1.84
2026-01-01	oos	0.04474	0.043468	-2.84%	0.03316	-25.88%	0.0492	✓	1.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.04288	0.041613	-2.95%	0.03736	-12.87%	0.0363	✓	1.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.04387	0.042684	-2.70%	0.03846	-12.33%	0.0230	✓	1.81
2025-12-29	oos	0.04348	0.042166	-3.02%	0.03977	-8.53%	0.1005	✓	1.80
2025-12-28	oos	0.04453	0.043239	-2.90%	0.03979	-10.64%	0.1084	✓	1.80
2025-12-27	oos	0.04555	0.044186	-2.99%	0.03979	-12.65%	0.1137	✓	1.78
2025-12-26	oos	0.0449	0.043527	-3.06%	0.03958	-11.85%	0.0801	✓	1.77
2025-12-25	oos	0.04362	0.042314	-2.99%	0.04162	-4.59%	0.0548	✓	1.77
2025-12-24	oos	0.04453	0.043258	-2.86%	0.04022	-9.68%	0.1101	✓	1.77
2025-12-23	oos	0.04512	0.043808	-2.91%	0.03987	-11.64%	0.1344	✓	1.75
2025-12-22	oos	0.04661	0.045373	-2.65%	0.04105	-11.93%	0.1159	✓	1.74
2025-12-21	oos	0.04686	0.045626	-2.63%	0.04018	-14.26%	0.1206	✓	1.74
2025-12-20	oos	0.04493	0.043731	-2.67%	0.04267	-5.03%	0.1058	✓	1.74
2025-12-19	oos	0.04325	0.042083	-2.70%	0.04269	-1.29%	0.0913	✓	1.73
2025-12-18	oos	0.04057	0.039272	-3.20%	0.04421	+8.97%	0.0658	✓	1.72
2025-12-17	oos	0.04197	0.040689	-3.05%	0.04515	+7.58%	0.0725	✓	1.72
2025-12-16	oos	0.04481	0.043576	-2.75%	0.04555	+1.65%	0.1001	✓	1.71
2025-12-15	oos	0.04296	0.041619	-3.12%	0.04799	+11.71%	0.0536	✓	1.70
2025-12-14	oos	0.04428	0.042984	-2.93%	0.04827	+9.01%	0.0186	✓	1.71
2025-12-13	oos	0.04682	0.045539	-2.74%	0.04629	-1.13%	0.0012	✓	1.70
2025-12-12	oos	0.04629	0.045036	-2.71%	0.04672	+0.93%	0.0255	✓	1.70
2025-12-11	oos	0.04775	0.046613	-2.38%	0.04649	-2.64%	0.0379	✗	1.71
2025-12-10	oos	0.0486	0.047376	-2.52%	0.04702	-3.25%	0.0211	✓	1.72
2025-12-09	oos	0.04996	0.048714	-2.49%	0.04699	-5.94%	0.0047	✓	1.73
2025-12-08	oos	0.05214	0.050676	-2.81%	0.04884	-6.33%	0.0491	✓	1.77
2025-12-07	oos	0.05151	0.050051	-2.83%	0.05147	-0.08%	0.0357	✓	1.76
2025-12-06	oos	0.05103	0.049502	-2.99%	0.05092	-0.22%	0.0606	✓	1.77
2025-12-05	oos	0.05251	0.05098	-2.91%	0.04943	-5.87%	0.0730	✓	1.77
2025-12-04	oos	0.05509	0.053581	-2.74%	0.04572	-17.01%	0.1296	✓	1.78
2025-12-03	oos	0.05674	0.055284	-2.57%	0.04603	-18.88%	0.1155	✓	1.78
2025-12-02	oos	0.0545	0.05308	-2.61%	0.04474	-17.91%	0.1202	✓	1.78
2025-12-01	oos	0.05196	0.050486	-2.84%	0.04288	-17.47%	0.1893	✓	1.86
2025-11-30	oos	0.057285	0.055548	-3.03%	0.04387	-23.42%	0.1955	✓	1.84
2025-11-29	oos	0.056335	0.054645	-3.00%	0.04348	-22.82%	0.1521	✓	1.83
2025-11-28	oos	0.057835	0.056043	-3.10%	0.04453	-23.01%	0.1680	✓	1.83
2025-11-27	oos	0.05831	0.056399	-3.28%	0.04555	-21.88%	0.1419	✓	1.83
2025-11-26	oos	0.05813	0.055994	-3.68%	0.0449	-22.76%	0.1557	✓	1.82
2025-11-25	oos	0.0506	0.048977	-3.21%	0.04362	-13.79%	0.1128	✓	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.04514	0.043899	-2.75%	0.04453	-1.35%	0.0276	✓	1.78
2025-11-23	oos	0.040015	0.039002	-2.53%	0.04512	+12.76%	0.1333	✗	1.74
2025-11-22	oos	0.03809	0.037119	-2.55%	0.04661	+22.37%	0.1498	✗	1.74
2025-11-21	oos	0.038595	0.037613	-2.55%	0.04686	+21.41%	0.1485	✗	1.73
2025-11-20	oos	0.04001	0.03891	-2.75%	0.04493	+12.30%	0.1084	✗	1.73
2025-11-19	oos	0.042245	0.041021	-2.90%	0.04325	+2.38%	0.1212	✗	1.82
2025-11-18	oos	0.04326	0.04198	-2.96%	0.04057	-6.22%	0.1179	✗	1.82
2025-11-17	oos	0.042685	0.041394	-3.03%	0.04197	-1.68%	0.1350	✗	1.83
2025-11-16	oos	0.04344	0.042086	-3.12%	0.04481	+3.15%	0.1913	✗	1.85
2025-11-15	oos	0.045145	0.04372	-3.16%	0.04296	-4.84%	0.1681	✗	1.85
2025-11-14	oos	0.04449	0.043169	-2.97%	0.04428	-0.47%	0.1538	✗	1.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.04827	0.046907	-2.82%	0.04682	-3.00%	0.1837	✗	1.88
2025-11-12	oos	0.04948	0.048143	-2.70%	0.04629	-6.45%	0.1845	✗	1.89
2025-11-11	oos	0.04936	0.048102	-2.55%	0.04775	-3.26%	0.1974	✗	1.91
2025-11-10	oos	0.052515	0.051355	-2.21%	0.0486	-7.46%	0.2114	✗	1.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.05211	0.05088	-2.36%	0.04996	-4.13%	0.2151	✗	1.92
2025-11-08	oos	0.05182	0.050552	-2.45%	0.05214	+0.62%	0.2656	✗	1.94
2025-11-07	oos	0.05215	0.050954	-2.29%	0.05151	-1.23%	0.2644	✗	1.90
2025-11-06	oos	0.05107	0.049839	-2.41%	0.05103	-0.08%	0.2650	✗	1.91
2025-11-05	oos	0.04678	0.045874	-1.94%	0.05251	+12.25%	0.4362	✗	2.00
2025-11-04	oos	0.04401	0.043092	-2.09%	0.05509	+25.18%	0.4378	✗	1.98
2025-11-03	oos	0.04672	0.045976	-1.59%	0.05674	+21.45%	0.4789	✗	2.05
2025-11-02	oos	0.05215	0.051534	-1.18%	0.0545	+4.51%	0.4416	✗	2.02
2025-11-01	oos	0.05323	0.052579	-1.22%	0.05196	-2.39%	0.4835	✗	2.04
2025-10-31	oos	0.05282	0.052185	-1.20%	0.057285	+8.45%	0.4856	✗	2.04
2025-10-30	oos	0.05363	0.052848	-1.46%	0.056335	+5.04%	0.4252	✗	2.05
2025-10-29	oos	0.05846	0.057561	-1.54%	0.057835	-1.07%	0.3914	✗	2.02
2025-10-28	oos	0.056465	0.055986	-0.85%	0.05831	+3.27%	0.4885	✗	2.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.05729	0.056719	-1.00%	0.05813	+1.47%	0.5150	✗	2.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.05812	0.057542	-0.99%	0.0506	-12.94%	0.4452	✗	2.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.05877	0.057722	-1.78%	0.04514	-23.19%	0.2679	✗	2.18
2025-10-24	oos	0.053045	0.052207	-1.58%	0.040015	-24.56%	0.2727	✗	2.19
2025-10-23	oos	0.05144	0.050336	-2.15%	0.03809	-25.95%	0.2934	✗	2.18
2025-10-22	oos	0.04925	0.048132	-2.27%	0.038595	-21.63%	0.2892	✗	2.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.0517	0.050411	-2.49%	0.04001	-22.61%	0.2570	✗	2.17
2025-10-20	oos	0.05496	0.053287	-3.04%	0.042245	-23.14%	0.1809	✗	2.18
2025-10-19	oos	0.05275	0.051194	-2.95%	0.04326	-17.99%	0.1649	✗	2.13
2025-10-18	oos	0.05055	0.049105	-2.86%	0.042685	-15.56%	0.1832	✗	2.13
2025-10-17	oos	0.05184	0.050369	-2.84%	0.04344	-16.20%	0.1134	✗	2.13
2025-10-16	oos	0.05353	0.051922	-3.00%	0.045145	-15.66%	0.1258	✗	2.14
2025-10-15	oos	0.056935	0.05527	-2.92%	0.04449	-21.86%	0.1217	✗	2.13
2025-10-14	oos	0.060645	0.059082	-2.58%	0.04827	-20.41%	0.0658	✗	2.11
2025-10-13	oos	0.06486	0.063431	-2.20%	0.04948	-23.71%	0.0180	✓	2.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.06167	0.060294	-2.23%	0.04936	-19.96%	0.0297	✗	2.08
2025-10-11	oos	0.05713	0.055603	-2.67%	0.052515	-8.08%	0.0344	✗	2.07
2025-10-10	oos	0.05531	0.053568	-3.15%	0.05211	-5.79%	0.1346	✗	2.13
2025-10-09	oos	0.07384	0.072263	-2.14%	0.05182	-29.82%	0.0410	✓	1.68
2025-10-08	oos	0.07499	0.07356	-1.91%	0.05215	-30.46%	0.0495	✓	1.66
2025-10-07	oos	0.07491	0.073238	-2.23%	0.05107	-31.82%	0.0594	✓	1.66
2025-10-06	oos	0.07812	0.077146	-1.25%	0.04678	-40.12%	0.1916	✓	1.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.07493	0.07379	-1.52%	0.04401	-41.27%	0.1861	✓	1.68
2025-10-04	oos	0.07636	0.074938	-1.86%	0.04672	-38.82%	0.2364	✓	1.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.08047	0.078893	-1.96%	0.05215	-35.19%	0.2415	✓	1.70
2025-10-02	oos	0.081495	0.07974	-2.15%	0.05323	-34.68%	0.2462	✓	1.72
2025-10-01	oos	0.07985	0.077814	-2.55%	0.05282	-33.85%	0.2490	✓	1.73
2025-09-30	oos	0.0752	0.072701	-3.32%	0.05363	-28.68%	0.2138	✓	1.75
2025-09-29	oos	0.07694	0.074392	-3.31%	0.05846	-24.02%	0.1735	✓	1.75
2025-09-28	oos	0.077705	0.075004	-3.48%	0.056465	-27.33%	0.2952	✓	1.78
2025-09-27	oos	0.07633	0.073375	-3.87%	0.05729	-24.94%	0.3191	✓	1.82
2025-09-26	oos	0.07817	0.0751	-3.93%	0.05812	-25.65%	0.3350	✓	1.82
2025-09-25	oos	0.07547	0.072333	-4.16%	0.05877	-22.13%	0.2509	✓	1.81
2025-09-24	oos	0.078745	0.075683	-3.89%	0.053045	-32.64%	0.3169	✓	1.87
2025-09-23	oos	0.07816	0.074933	-4.13%	0.05144	-34.19%	0.3439	✓	1.89
2025-09-22	oos	0.078845	0.07563	-4.08%	0.04925	-37.54%	0.3400	✓	1.90
2025-09-21	oos	0.08139	0.078201	-3.92%	0.0517	-36.48%	0.2953	✓	1.91
2025-09-20	oos	0.08414	0.080888	-3.87%	0.05496	-34.68%	0.2941	✓	2.02
2025-09-19	oos	0.08403	0.08086	-3.77%	0.05275	-37.22%	0.3009	✓	2.02
2025-09-18	oos	0.088075	0.084876	-3.63%	0.05055	-42.61%	0.3402	✓	2.01
2025-09-17	oos	0.08874	0.085403	-3.76%	0.05184	-41.58%	0.3183	✓	2.01

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.