KAIA

Kaia · native · gru_s0

token id: #105
symbol: KAIA
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-10-30
predictions: 2,139

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

60.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0766

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0036

actual -0.0137

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04027	0.039841	-1.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.041885	0.041392	-1.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-19	oos	0.040865	0.040427	-1.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.041415	0.041053	-0.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-17	oos	0.044045	0.043581	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.04206	0.041648	-0.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-15	oos	0.04226	0.04189	-0.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.04303	0.042654	-0.87%	0.04027	-6.41%	0.0804	✓	1.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.046865	0.046202	-1.41%	0.041885	-10.63%	0.0949	✓	1.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.0451	0.044696	-0.90%	0.040865	-9.39%	0.0915	✓	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.05169	0.051033	-1.27%	0.041415	-19.88%	0.1791	✓	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.05665	0.055255	-2.46%	0.044045	-22.25%	0.1990	✓	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.0605	0.057306	-5.28%	0.04206	-30.48%	0.2903	✓	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.03702	0.036843	-0.48%	0.04226	+14.15%	0.1298	✗	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.0382	0.037952	-0.65%	0.04303	+12.64%	0.1545	✗	1.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.03959	0.039383	-0.52%	0.046865	+18.38%	0.2143	✗	1.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.040385	0.040242	-0.35%	0.0451	+11.68%	0.1805	✗	1.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.03753	0.037591	+0.16%	0.05169	+37.73%	0.3655	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.03741	0.037408	-0.01%	0.05665	+51.43%	0.4461	✗	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.03605	0.03609	+0.11%	0.0605	+67.82%	0.5500	✓	1.42
2026-10-01	oos	0.036805	0.036807	+0.00%	0.03702	+0.58%	0.0594	✓	1.42
2026-09-30	oos	0.034525	0.034564	+0.11%	0.0382	+10.64%	0.1047	✓	1.40
2026-09-29	oos	0.033875	0.033922	+0.14%	0.03959	+16.87%	0.1230	✓	1.40
2026-09-28	oos	0.032585	0.032705	+0.37%	0.040385	+23.94%	0.1739	✓	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.03336	0.033467	+0.32%	0.03753	+12.50%	0.0827	✓	1.33
2026-09-26	oos	0.03517	0.035221	+0.14%	0.03741	+6.37%	0.0552	✓	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.034845	0.034893	+0.14%	0.03605	+3.46%	0.0262	✓	1.32
2026-09-24	oos	0.033055	0.033106	+0.16%	0.036805	+11.34%	0.0986	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.031735	0.031732	-0.01%	0.034525	+8.79%	0.0975	✗	1.34
2026-09-22	oos	0.031995	0.032227	+0.72%	0.033875	+5.88%	0.0906	✓	1.35
2026-09-21	oos	0.032695	0.032932	+0.73%	0.032585	-0.34%	0.0404	✓	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.030345	0.030439	+0.31%	0.03336	+9.94%	0.0365	✓	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.0305	0.030546	+0.15%	0.03517	+15.31%	0.0875	✓	1.39
2026-09-18	oos	0.02997	0.029989	+0.06%	0.034845	+16.27%	0.0962	✓	1.38
2026-09-17	oos	0.0288	0.028485	-1.09%	0.033055	+14.77%	0.0051	✓	1.44
2026-09-16	oos	0.02783	0.027917	+0.31%	0.031735	+14.03%	0.0190	✗	1.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.027105	0.027288	+0.67%	0.031995	+18.04%	0.0278	✗	1.42
2026-09-14	oos	0.02897	0.029156	+0.64%	0.032695	+12.86%	0.0279	✗	1.39
2026-09-13	oos	0.029265	0.029418	+0.52%	0.030345	+3.69%	0.0463	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.0292	0.029346	+0.50%	0.0305	+4.45%	0.0317	✗	1.40
2026-09-11	oos	0.02925	0.029346	+0.33%	0.02997	+2.46%	0.0444	✗	1.41
2026-09-10	oos	0.02735	0.027474	+0.45%	0.0288	+5.30%	0.0506	✓	1.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.03007	0.030167	+0.32%	0.02783	-7.45%	0.0432	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.03181	0.031881	+0.22%	0.027105	-14.79%	0.1115	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.031045	0.031157	+0.36%	0.02897	-6.68%	0.0566	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.03147	0.031665	+0.62%	0.029265	-7.01%	0.0152	✗	1.41
2026-09-05	oos	0.03087	0.031093	+0.72%	0.0292	-5.41%	0.0169	✗	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.03047	0.030695	+0.74%	0.02925	-4.00%	0.0059	✓	1.35
2026-09-03	oos	0.030325	0.030681	+1.17%	0.02735	-9.81%	0.0326	✗	1.37
2026-09-02	oos	0.028055	0.028376	+1.14%	0.03007	+7.18%	0.0410	✓	1.35
2026-09-01	oos	0.02888	0.029097	+0.75%	0.03181	+10.15%	0.0708	✓	1.36
2026-08-31	oos	0.029425	0.029719	+1.00%	0.031045	+5.51%	0.0348	✓	1.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.02756	0.027861	+1.09%	0.03147	+14.19%	0.0786	✓	1.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.02883	0.029169	+1.17%	0.03087	+7.08%	0.0323	✓	1.21
2026-08-28	oos	0.028945	0.029332	+1.34%	0.03047	+5.27%	0.0099	✓	1.21
2026-08-27	oos	0.03171	0.032135	+1.34%	0.030325	-4.37%	0.0723	✗	1.17
2026-08-26	oos	0.032735	0.033072	+1.03%	0.028055	-14.30%	0.1384	✗	1.19
2026-08-25	oos	0.03205	0.032376	+1.02%	0.02888	-9.89%	0.0973	✗	1.17
2026-08-24	oos	0.030985	0.031358	+1.20%	0.029425	-5.03%	0.0574	✗	1.18
2026-08-23	oos	0.03155	0.03183	+0.89%	0.02756	-12.65%	0.1431	✗	1.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.031965	0.032146	+0.57%	0.02883	-9.81%	0.1270	✗	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.03001	0.030251	+0.80%	0.028945	-3.55%	0.0365	✗	1.23
2026-08-20	oos	0.02631	0.026369	+0.23%	0.03171	+20.52%	0.0785	✓	1.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.023895	0.023986	+0.38%	0.032735	+37.00%	0.1749	✓	1.04
2026-08-18	oos	0.021505	0.021574	+0.32%	0.03205	+49.04%	0.2139	✓	0.94
2026-08-17	oos	0.022885	0.022915	+0.13%	0.030985	+35.39%	0.1068	✓	0.96
2026-08-16	oos	0.022865	0.022834	-0.14%	0.03155	+37.98%	0.1154	✗	0.98
2026-08-15	oos	0.02387	0.023764	-0.44%	0.031965	+33.91%	0.1002	✗	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.02463	0.024456	-0.71%	0.03001	+21.84%	0.0024	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.025825	0.025648	-0.68%	0.02631	+1.88%	0.1070	✓	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.02619	0.025965	-0.86%	0.023895	-8.76%	0.1669	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.02685	0.026622	-0.85%	0.021505	-19.91%	0.2303	✓	0.94
2026-08-10	oos	0.02669	0.026441	-0.93%	0.022885	-14.26%	0.1526	✓	0.93
2026-08-09	oos	0.02702	0.026785	-0.87%	0.022865	-15.38%	0.1287	✓	0.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.02723	0.027021	-0.77%	0.02387	-12.34%	0.0962	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.02709	0.026929	-0.59%	0.02463	-9.08%	0.0607	✓	0.95
2026-08-06	oos	0.0267	0.026448	-0.94%	0.025825	-3.28%	0.0114	✓	0.94
2026-08-05	oos	0.02689	0.026669	-0.82%	0.02619	-2.60%	0.0005	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.026835	0.026636	-0.74%	0.02685	+0.06%	0.0156	✗	0.94
2026-08-03	oos	0.02633	0.02608	-0.95%	0.02669	+1.37%	0.0166	✗	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.0263	0.026106	-0.74%	0.02702	+2.74%	0.0147	✗	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.02558	0.025422	-0.62%	0.02723	+6.45%	0.0375	✗	0.93
2026-07-31	oos	0.025195	0.025042	-0.61%	0.02709	+7.52%	0.0486	✗	0.93
2026-07-30	oos	0.026255	0.026111	-0.55%	0.0267	+1.69%	0.0288	✗	0.92
2026-07-29	oos	0.02592	0.025732	-0.73%	0.02689	+3.74%	0.0341	✗	0.90
2026-07-28	oos	0.02609	0.0258	-1.11%	0.026835	+2.86%	0.0365	✗	0.90
2026-07-27	oos	0.025815	0.02557	-0.95%	0.02633	+1.99%	0.0325	✗	0.90
2026-07-26	oos	0.030265	0.030106	-0.52%	0.0263	-13.10%	0.1125	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.02982	0.029697	-0.41%	0.02558	-14.22%	0.1303	✓	0.79
2026-07-24	oos	0.03133	0.031178	-0.48%	0.025195	-19.58%	0.1975	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.031295	0.031268	-0.09%	0.026255	-16.10%	0.1707	✓	0.80
2026-07-22	oos	0.032075	0.032078	+0.01%	0.02592	-19.19%	0.1865	✗	0.79
2026-07-21	oos	0.03283	0.032797	-0.10%	0.02609	-20.53%	0.1965	✓	0.79
2026-07-20	oos	0.032295	0.032209	-0.27%	0.025815	-20.07%	0.2033	✓	0.76
2026-07-19	oos	0.03226	0.03211	-0.47%	0.030265	-6.18%	0.0669	✓	0.76
2026-07-18	oos	0.03293	0.032744	-0.57%	0.02982	-9.44%	0.0875	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.033005	0.032778	-0.69%	0.03133	-5.07%	0.0475	✓	0.80
2026-07-16	oos	0.03388	0.033602	-0.82%	0.031295	-7.63%	0.0873	✓	0.81
2026-07-15	oos	0.033825	0.033595	-0.68%	0.032075	-5.17%	0.0643	✓	0.86
2026-07-14	oos	0.0341	0.033869	-0.68%	0.03283	-3.72%	0.0512	✓	0.86
2026-07-13	oos	0.033925	0.033632	-0.86%	0.032295	-4.80%	0.0826	✓	0.91
2026-07-12	oos	0.035005	0.034623	-1.09%	0.03226	-7.84%	0.0840	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.034775	0.034435	-0.98%	0.03293	-5.31%	0.0587	✓	0.88
2026-07-10	oos	0.0349	0.034536	-1.04%	0.033005	-5.43%	0.0421	✓	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.03361	0.033212	-1.18%	0.03388	+0.80%	0.0118	✓	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	0.033225	0.032836	-1.17%	0.033825	+1.81%	0.0038	✓	0.86
2026-07-07	oos	0.03386	0.033269	-1.75%	0.0341	+0.71%	0.0024	✓	0.86
2026-07-06	oos	0.03386	0.033262	-1.77%	0.033925	+0.19%	0.0435	✗	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.03527	0.034755	-1.46%	0.035005	-0.75%	0.0051	✓	0.85
2026-07-04	oos	0.03527	0.034799	-1.34%	0.034775	-1.40%	0.0099	✓	0.86
2026-07-03	oos	0.03542	0.034694	-2.05%	0.0349	-1.47%	0.0153	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.03445	0.033959	-1.43%	0.03361	-2.44%	0.0326	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.03365	0.033125	-1.56%	0.033225	-1.26%	0.0274	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.03491	0.034454	-1.31%	0.03386	-3.01%	0.0833	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.034985	0.034509	-1.36%	0.03386	-3.22%	0.0719	✓	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.034205	0.033839	-1.07%	0.03527	+3.11%	0.0164	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.03374	0.033413	-0.97%	0.03527	+4.53%	0.0097	✓	0.87
2026-06-26	oos	0.034035	0.033691	-1.01%	0.03542	+4.07%	0.0145	✗	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.03287	0.032572	-0.91%	0.03445	+4.81%	0.0308	✗	0.86
2026-06-24	oos	0.033615	0.033321	-0.88%	0.03365	+0.10%	0.0248	✗	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.036615	0.036174	-1.20%	0.03491	-4.66%	0.0216	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.037115	0.036594	-1.40%	0.034985	-5.74%	0.0060	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.035715	0.035314	-1.12%	0.034205	-4.23%	0.0185	✗	0.82
2026-06-20	oos	0.03611	0.035752	-0.99%	0.03374	-6.56%	0.0026	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.03627	0.035917	-0.97%	0.034035	-6.16%	0.0088	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.036305	0.036048	-0.71%	0.03287	-9.46%	0.0508	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03752	0.037199	-0.86%	0.033615	-10.41%	0.0575	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.03773	0.037401	-0.87%	0.036615	-2.96%	0.0163	✗	0.81
2026-06-15	oos	0.03768	0.037294	-1.02%	0.037115	-1.50%	0.0243	✗	0.81
2026-06-14	oos	0.037605	0.037093	-1.36%	0.035715	-5.03%	0.0067	✓	0.81
2026-06-13	oos	0.03622	0.035939	-0.78%	0.03611	-0.30%	0.0073	✓	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.035945	0.035695	-0.69%	0.03627	+0.90%	0.0168	✗	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.0362	0.03598	-0.61%	0.036305	+0.29%	0.0176	✗	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.03395	0.033976	+0.08%	0.03752	+10.52%	0.0632	✓	0.76
2026-06-09	oos	0.0353	0.035304	+0.01%	0.03773	+6.88%	0.0199	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.03753	0.03746	-0.19%	0.03768	+0.40%	0.0305	✓	0.73
2026-06-07	oos	0.03645	0.03651	+0.16%	0.037605	+3.17%	0.0006	✓	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.03665	0.036976	+0.89%	0.03622	-1.17%	0.0669	✗	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.03783	0.038125	+0.78%	0.035945	-4.98%	0.0925	✗	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.04057	0.040533	-0.09%	0.0362	-10.77%	0.1100	✓	0.79
2026-06-03	oos	0.04371	0.043513	-0.45%	0.03395	-22.33%	0.2163	✓	0.77
2026-06-02	oos	0.04449	0.04423	-0.58%	0.0353	-20.66%	0.1646	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.04831	0.047988	-0.67%	0.03753	-22.31%	0.1615	✓	0.69
2026-05-31	oos	0.046525	0.046377	-0.32%	0.03645	-21.66%	0.1287	✓	0.75
2026-05-30	oos	0.048565	0.048278	-0.59%	0.03665	-24.53%	0.1374	✓	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	0.0488	0.048536	-0.54%	0.03783	-22.48%	0.1169	✓	0.72
2026-05-28	oos	0.048795	0.048609	-0.38%	0.04057	-16.86%	0.0796	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.04745	0.047426	-0.05%	0.04371	-7.88%	0.0262	✗	0.72
2026-05-26	oos	0.048745	0.048813	+0.14%	0.04449	-8.73%	0.0001	✓	0.72
2026-05-25	oos	0.05025	0.050345	+0.19%	0.04831	-3.86%	0.0194	✓	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.05121	0.051274	+0.12%	0.046525	-9.15%	0.0629	✗	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.05229	0.052346	+0.11%	0.048565	-7.12%	0.0458	✗	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.05241	0.052386	-0.05%	0.0488	-6.89%	0.0494	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.05381	0.05384	+0.06%	0.048795	-9.32%	0.0574	✗	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.05157	0.05168	+0.21%	0.04745	-7.99%	0.0534	✗	0.77
2026-05-19	oos	0.0499	0.049998	+0.20%	0.048745	-2.31%	0.0160	✗	0.76
2026-05-18	oos	0.051035	0.05108	+0.09%	0.05025	-1.54%	0.0194	✗	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.05121	0.051025	-0.36%	0.05121	+0.00%	0.0078	✗	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.04589	0.046189	+0.65%	0.05229	+13.95%	0.1388	✓	0.79
2026-05-15	oos	0.04633	0.046697	+0.79%	0.05241	+13.12%	0.1530	✓	0.80
2026-05-14	oos	0.04779	0.048167	+0.79%	0.05381	+12.60%	0.1471	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	0.047315	0.047555	+0.51%	0.05157	+8.99%	0.0997	✓	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.04733	0.047623	+0.62%	0.0499	+5.43%	0.0846	✓	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	0.048525	0.049024	+1.03%	0.051035	+5.17%	0.0865	✓	0.77
2026-05-10	oos	0.049455	0.049986	+1.07%	0.05121	+3.55%	0.0702	✓	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.04786	0.048323	+0.97%	0.04589	-4.12%	0.0273	✗	0.76
2026-05-08	oos	0.04894	0.049306	+0.75%	0.04633	-5.33%	0.0515	✗	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.0471	0.047519	+0.89%	0.04779	+1.46%	0.0045	✓	0.76
2026-05-06	oos	0.04704	0.047646	+1.29%	0.047315	+0.58%	0.0163	✓	0.87
2026-05-05	oos	0.04714	0.047694	+1.18%	0.04733	+0.40%	0.0029	✓	0.91
2026-05-04	oos	0.04624	0.046771	+1.15%	0.048525	+4.94%	0.0160	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.04557	0.046066	+1.09%	0.049455	+8.53%	0.0296	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04565	0.046102	+0.99%	0.04786	+4.84%	0.0139	✓	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.04549	0.04595	+1.01%	0.04894	+7.58%	0.0396	✓	0.95
2026-04-30	oos	0.04543	0.04579	+0.79%	0.0471	+3.68%	0.0162	✗	0.94
2026-04-29	oos	0.04595	0.046235	+0.62%	0.04704	+2.37%	0.0508	✗	0.94
2026-04-28	oos	0.047225	0.047523	+0.63%	0.04714	-0.18%	0.0655	✗	0.98
2026-04-27	oos	0.047815	0.048208	+0.82%	0.04624	-3.29%	0.0727	✗	0.98
2026-04-26	oos	0.048465	0.048976	+1.05%	0.04557	-5.97%	0.0706	✗	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.048825	0.049209	+0.79%	0.04565	-6.50%	0.0878	✗	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.048445	0.048802	+0.74%	0.04549	-6.10%	0.0804	✗	1.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.048575	0.048988	+0.85%	0.04543	-6.47%	0.0496	✗	1.01
2026-04-22	oos	0.047775	0.048244	+0.98%	0.04595	-3.82%	0.0163	✗	1.02
2026-04-21	oos	0.04836	0.04855	+0.39%	0.047225	-2.35%	0.0273	✗	1.03
2026-04-20	oos	0.04868	0.048889	+0.43%	0.047815	-1.78%	0.0424	✗	1.03
2026-04-19	oos	0.04712	0.047354	+0.50%	0.048465	+2.85%	0.0433	✗	1.04
2026-04-18	oos	0.049175	0.04955	+0.76%	0.048825	-0.71%	0.0407	✗	1.04
2026-04-17	oos	0.051505	0.051829	+0.63%	0.048445	-5.94%	0.0724	✗	1.04
2026-04-16	oos	0.04826	0.048539	+0.58%	0.048575	+0.65%	0.0412	✗	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.047365	0.047701	+0.71%	0.047775	+0.87%	0.0438	✗	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.047	0.04728	+0.60%	0.04836	+2.89%	0.0072	✗	1.03
2026-04-13	oos	0.048025	0.048271	+0.51%	0.04868	+1.36%	0.0110	✗	1.03
2026-04-12	oos	0.046555	0.04661	+0.12%	0.04712	+1.21%	0.0336	✗	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.04747	0.047591	+0.25%	0.049175	+3.59%	0.0047	✗	1.05
2026-04-10	oos	0.04756	0.047646	+0.18%	0.051505	+8.29%	0.0205	✓	1.05
2026-04-09	oos	0.047155	0.047181	+0.05%	0.04826	+2.34%	0.0255	✗	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.046845	0.046898	+0.11%	0.047365	+1.11%	0.0441	✗	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.047935	0.047955	+0.04%	0.047	-1.95%	0.0527	✗	1.05
2026-04-06	oos	0.046955	0.046746	-0.45%	0.048025	+2.28%	0.0563	✓	1.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.047035	0.046787	-0.53%	0.046555	-1.02%	0.0317	✓	1.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.04762	0.047246	-0.79%	0.04747	-0.31%	0.0859	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.049055	0.048626	-0.87%	0.04756	-3.05%	0.1178	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.049145	0.048556	-1.20%	0.047155	-4.05%	0.1076	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.04795	0.047604	-0.72%	0.046845	-2.30%	0.0639	✓	1.12
2026-03-31	oos	0.046625	0.046357	-0.57%	0.047935	+2.81%	0.0254	✓	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.04476	0.044575	-0.41%	0.046955	+4.90%	0.0172	✗	1.11
2026-03-29	oos	0.044945	0.044838	-0.24%	0.047035	+4.65%	0.0026	✓	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.04481	0.044753	-0.13%	0.04762	+6.27%	0.0458	✗	1.12
2026-03-27	oos	0.04618	0.046133	-0.10%	0.049055	+6.23%	0.0512	✗	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.04903	0.04903	-0.00%	0.049145	+0.23%	0.0331	✗	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.05073	0.050759	+0.06%	0.04795	-5.48%	0.0060	✗	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.051635	0.051545	-0.17%	0.046625	-9.70%	0.0630	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.051015	0.051016	+0.00%	0.04476	-12.26%	0.0635	✗	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.050285	0.0502	-0.17%	0.044945	-10.62%	0.0784	✓	1.14
2026-03-21	oos	0.050655	0.050605	-0.10%	0.04481	-11.54%	0.0778	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.051575	0.051557	-0.04%	0.04618	-10.46%	0.0409	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.05155	0.051554	+0.01%	0.04903	-4.89%	0.0312	✗	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.053645	0.053646	+0.00%	0.05073	-5.43%	0.0568	✗	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.05554	0.055605	+0.12%	0.051635	-7.03%	0.0189	✗	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	0.056025	0.056158	+0.24%	0.051015	-8.94%	0.0303	✗	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	0.054755	0.054752	-0.01%	0.050285	-8.16%	0.0005	✓	1.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.05436	0.054336	-0.04%	0.050655	-6.82%	0.0304	✓	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.05408	0.05408	+0.00%	0.051575	-4.63%	0.0398	✗	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.054775	0.054732	-0.08%	0.05155	-5.89%	0.0494	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.0551	0.05505	-0.09%	0.053645	-2.64%	0.0435	✓	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.055055	0.054982	-0.13%	0.05554	+0.88%	0.0563	✓	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.05061	0.050583	-0.05%	0.056025	+10.70%	0.0047	✓	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.049545	0.049374	-0.34%	0.054755	+10.52%	0.0145	✓	1.19
2026-03-07	oos	0.05329	0.053121	-0.32%	0.05436	+2.01%	0.0448	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	0.052835	0.05269	-0.27%	0.05408	+2.36%	0.0222	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	0.0539	0.053731	-0.31%	0.054775	+1.62%	0.0253	✗	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.05495	0.054507	-0.81%	0.0551	+0.27%	0.0524	✗	1.20
2026-03-03	oos	0.0539	0.053723	-0.33%	0.055055	+2.14%	0.0048	✓	1.25
2026-03-02	oos	0.055295	0.055075	-0.40%	0.05061	-8.47%	0.0773	✓	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.05467	0.05452	-0.27%	0.049545	-9.37%	0.0995	✓	1.26
2026-02-28	oos	0.05555	0.055368	-0.33%	0.05329	-4.07%	0.0437	✓	1.24
2026-02-27	oos	0.055635	0.055447	-0.34%	0.052835	-5.03%	0.0902	✓	1.25
2026-02-26	oos	0.056585	0.056381	-0.36%	0.0539	-4.75%	0.1066	✓	1.25
2026-02-25	oos	0.05706	0.056843	-0.38%	0.05495	-3.70%	0.1175	✓	1.25
2026-02-24	oos	0.053045	0.052899	-0.28%	0.0539	+1.61%	0.0620	✓	1.25
2026-02-23	oos	0.05339	0.053243	-0.28%	0.055295	+3.57%	0.0398	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.055435	0.055227	-0.37%	0.05467	-1.38%	0.0242	✗	1.24
2026-02-21	oos	0.05691	0.056655	-0.45%	0.05555	-2.39%	0.0015	✓	1.24
2026-02-20	oos	0.05648	0.056229	-0.44%	0.055635	-1.50%	0.0287	✗	1.24
2026-02-19	oos	0.055895	0.055662	-0.42%	0.056585	+1.23%	0.0069	✗	1.24
2026-02-18	oos	0.056555	0.056297	-0.46%	0.05706	+0.89%	0.0158	✓	1.25
2026-02-17	oos	0.05746	0.057132	-0.57%	0.053045	-7.68%	0.0106	✓	1.23
2026-02-16	oos	0.058155	0.05782	-0.58%	0.05339	-8.19%	0.0013	✓	1.24
2026-02-15	oos	0.057145	0.056839	-0.54%	0.055435	-2.99%	0.0037	✓	1.24
2026-02-14	oos	0.06086	0.060363	-0.82%	0.05691	-6.49%	0.0262	✓	1.23
2026-02-13	oos	0.05754	0.057141	-0.69%	0.05648	-1.84%	0.0031	✓	1.22
2026-02-12	oos	0.056635	0.056318	-0.56%	0.055895	-1.31%	0.0217	✓	1.24
2026-02-11	oos	0.05547	0.055167	-0.55%	0.056555	+1.96%	0.0361	✗	1.25
2026-02-10	oos	0.05428	0.05399	-0.53%	0.05746	+5.86%	0.0871	✗	1.27
2026-02-09	oos	0.055225	0.054843	-0.69%	0.058155	+5.31%	0.0813	✗	1.27
2026-02-08	oos	0.055525	0.055137	-0.70%	0.057145	+2.92%	0.0630	✗	1.27
2026-02-07	oos	0.055175	0.054903	-0.49%	0.06086	+10.30%	0.0930	✗	1.28
2026-02-06	oos	0.05691	0.056495	-0.73%	0.05754	+1.11%	0.0495	✗	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.049765	0.050391	+1.26%	0.056635	+13.80%	0.0486	✓	1.29
2026-02-04	oos	0.05809	0.057645	-0.77%	0.05547	-4.51%	0.0865	✗	1.46
2026-02-03	oos	0.05907	0.058519	-0.93%	0.05428	-8.11%	0.0653	✗	1.48
2026-02-02	oos	0.06336	0.062523	-1.32%	0.055225	-12.84%	0.0475	✗	1.49
2026-02-01	oos	0.05406	0.053699	-0.67%	0.055525	+2.71%	0.1617	✗	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.05533	0.054839	-0.89%	0.055175	-0.28%	0.1942	✗	1.48
2026-01-30	oos	0.057685	0.057029	-1.14%	0.05691	-1.34%	0.2745	✗	1.57
2026-01-29	oos	0.057685	0.057037	-1.12%	0.049765	-13.73%	0.3308	✗	1.57
2026-01-28	oos	0.06564	0.06489	-1.14%	0.05809	-11.50%	0.1919	✗	1.51
2026-01-27	oos	0.0742	0.072989	-1.63%	0.05907	-20.39%	0.0389	✗	1.53
2026-01-26	oos	0.072245	0.070904	-1.86%	0.06336	-12.30%	0.0609	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.07789	0.075893	-2.56%	0.05406	-30.59%	0.1532	✓	1.57
2026-01-24	oos	0.09534	0.090536	-5.04%	0.05533	-41.97%	0.3106	✓	1.46
2026-01-23	oos	0.07218	0.068995	-4.41%	0.057685	-20.08%	0.0885	✓	1.46
2026-01-22	oos	0.05231	0.051847	-0.89%	0.057685	+10.28%	0.1887	✗	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	0.052375	0.051948	-0.82%	0.06564	+25.33%	0.2372	✗	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.0505	0.050091	-0.81%	0.0742	+46.93%	0.3799	✗	1.43
2026-01-19	oos	0.05454	0.054138	-0.74%	0.072245	+32.46%	0.3566	✗	1.43
2026-01-18	oos	0.05534	0.05495	-0.71%	0.07789	+40.75%	0.4604	✗	1.42
2026-01-17	oos	0.05924	0.058867	-0.63%	0.09534	+60.94%	0.5738	✗	1.40
2026-01-16	oos	0.05968	0.059274	-0.68%	0.07218	+20.95%	0.2887	✗	1.41
2026-01-15	oos	0.06045	0.060001	-0.74%	0.05231	-13.47%	0.0440	✓	1.41
2026-01-14	oos	0.06351	0.063113	-0.62%	0.052375	-17.53%	0.0721	✓	1.40
2026-01-13	oos	0.06458	0.064094	-0.75%	0.0505	-21.80%	0.1290	✓	1.42
2026-01-12	oos	0.060695	0.06002	-1.11%	0.05454	-10.14%	0.1169	✓	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.063625	0.062872	-1.18%	0.05534	-13.02%	0.1705	✓	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.06391	0.063159	-1.18%	0.05924	-7.31%	0.1377	✓	1.44
2026-01-09	oos	0.065735	0.064961	-1.18%	0.05968	-9.21%	0.1623	✓	1.44
2026-01-08	oos	0.066905	0.066085	-1.23%	0.06045	-9.65%	0.1586	✓	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.06723	0.066595	-0.95%	0.06351	-5.53%	0.1526	✓	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.07016	0.06892	-1.77%	0.06458	-7.95%	0.0958	✓	1.75
2026-01-05	oos	0.06713	0.066558	-0.85%	0.060695	-9.59%	0.0418	✓	1.74
2026-01-04	oos	0.06232	0.061419	-1.45%	0.063625	+2.09%	0.0470	✗	1.72
2026-01-03	oos	0.05887	0.058391	-0.81%	0.06391	+8.56%	0.0945	✗	1.71
2026-01-02	oos	0.05862	0.057991	-1.07%	0.065735	+12.14%	0.1148	✗	1.70
2026-01-01	oos	0.05654	0.056133	-0.72%	0.066905	+18.33%	0.1325	✗	1.69
2025-12-31	oos	0.055285	0.054898	-0.70%	0.06723	+21.61%	0.1315	✗	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.05597	0.055571	-0.71%	0.07016	+25.35%	0.1353	✗	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.05549	0.055052	-0.79%	0.06713	+20.98%	0.0754	✗	1.65
2025-12-28	oos	0.05652	0.055912	-1.08%	0.06232	+10.26%	0.0421	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	0.05792	0.057191	-1.26%	0.05887	+1.64%	0.0221	✓	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	0.055645	0.055444	-0.36%	0.05862	+5.35%	0.0071	✗	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.05553	0.055374	-0.28%	0.05654	+1.82%	0.0080	✓	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.057815	0.057693	-0.21%	0.055285	-4.38%	0.0406	✓	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.058405	0.058282	-0.21%	0.05597	-4.17%	0.0578	✓	1.57
2025-12-22	oos	0.059805	0.05968	-0.21%	0.05549	-7.22%	0.0469	✓	1.57
2025-12-21	oos	0.05937	0.059311	-0.10%	0.05652	-4.80%	0.0346	✓	1.57
2025-12-20	oos	0.060085	0.060013	-0.12%	0.05792	-3.60%	0.0262	✓	1.58
2025-12-19	oos	0.060155	0.06014	-0.02%	0.055645	-7.50%	0.0633	✓	1.58
2025-12-18	oos	0.055325	0.055431	+0.19%	0.05553	+0.37%	0.0290	✗	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.06288	0.062841	-0.06%	0.057815	-8.06%	0.1081	✓	1.54
2025-12-16	oos	0.071135	0.070874	-0.37%	0.058405	-17.90%	0.1862	✓	1.50
2025-12-15	oos	0.07128	0.07097	-0.43%	0.059805	-16.10%	0.2082	✓	1.51
2025-12-14	oos	0.07386	0.073463	-0.54%	0.05937	-19.62%	0.2210	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	0.07598	0.075573	-0.54%	0.060085	-20.92%	0.1964	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.07473	0.074368	-0.48%	0.060155	-19.50%	0.1748	✓	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	0.07647	0.076129	-0.45%	0.055325	-27.65%	0.1973	✓	1.53
2025-12-10	oos	0.07613	0.075858	-0.36%	0.06288	-17.40%	0.0875	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	0.07899	0.078635	-0.45%	0.071135	-9.94%	0.0185	✓	1.52
2025-12-08	oos	0.07802	0.077637	-0.49%	0.07128	-8.64%	0.0127	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	0.07829	0.077673	-0.79%	0.07386	-5.66%	0.0124	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	0.078055	0.077711	-0.44%	0.07598	-2.66%	0.0394	✓	1.53
2025-12-05	oos	0.07697	0.07666	-0.40%	0.07473	-2.91%	0.0415	✓	1.54
2025-12-04	oos	0.080285	0.07992	-0.45%	0.07647	-4.75%	0.0516	✓	1.54
2025-12-03	oos	0.080975	0.08062	-0.44%	0.07613	-5.98%	0.0336	✓	1.55
2025-12-02	oos	0.07936	0.079022	-0.43%	0.07899	-0.47%	0.0238	✓	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.0755	0.07525	-0.33%	0.07802	+3.34%	0.0434	✓	1.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.077974	-0.35%	0.07829	+0.05%	0.0034	✓	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.078775	0.078505	-0.34%	0.078055	-0.91%	0.0228	✗	1.65
2025-11-28	oos	0.07946	0.079197	-0.33%	0.07697	-3.13%	0.0001	✓	1.65
2025-11-27	oos	0.08123	0.080917	-0.39%	0.080285	-1.16%	0.0218	✓	1.65
2025-11-26	oos	0.08201	0.081702	-0.38%	0.080975	-1.26%	0.0626	✓	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.081745	0.081387	-0.44%	0.07936	-2.92%	0.1014	✓	1.71
2025-11-24	oos	0.08123	0.080886	-0.42%	0.0755	-7.05%	0.0300	✓	1.71
2025-11-23	oos	0.07965	0.079383	-0.33%	0.07825	-1.76%	0.0832	✓	1.71
2025-11-22	oos	0.07711	0.077026	-0.11%	0.078775	+2.16%	0.0980	✓	1.72
2025-11-21	oos	0.076	0.075997	-0.00%	0.07946	+4.55%	0.0693	✓	1.72
2025-11-20	oos	0.079975	0.079948	-0.03%	0.08123	+1.57%	0.0759	✓	1.71
2025-11-19	oos	0.083305	0.083136	-0.20%	0.08201	-1.55%	0.0058	✗	1.78
2025-11-18	oos	0.085825	0.085553	-0.32%	0.081745	-4.75%	0.0650	✗	1.78
2025-11-17	oos	0.084675	0.084496	-0.21%	0.08123	-4.07%	0.0367	✗	1.79
2025-11-16	oos	0.087205	0.086937	-0.31%	0.07965	-8.66%	0.0593	✗	1.80
2025-11-15	oos	0.087915	0.087651	-0.30%	0.07711	-12.29%	0.0900	✗	1.81
2025-11-14	oos	0.086695	0.086597	-0.11%	0.076	-12.34%	0.0598	✗	1.81
2025-11-13	oos	0.093305	0.093082	-0.24%	0.079975	-14.29%	0.1081	✗	1.85
2025-11-12	oos	0.097945	0.097684	-0.27%	0.083305	-14.95%	0.0351	✗	1.84
2025-11-11	oos	0.098925	0.09868	-0.25%	0.085825	-13.24%	0.0432	✗	1.77
2025-11-10	oos	0.104335	0.103982	-0.34%	0.084675	-18.84%	0.0428	✗	1.77
2025-11-09	oos	0.10086	0.100622	-0.24%	0.087205	-13.54%	0.0444	✗	1.77
2025-11-08	oos	0.1009	0.100617	-0.28%	0.087915	-12.87%	0.0120	✓	1.80
2025-11-07	oos	0.0989	0.09871	-0.19%	0.086695	-12.34%	0.0273	✗	1.77
2025-11-06	oos	0.090015	0.090044	+0.03%	0.093305	+3.65%	0.0644	✓	1.73
2025-11-05	oos	0.091255	0.091336	+0.09%	0.097945	+7.33%	0.1078	✓	1.75
2025-11-04	oos	0.085255	0.085689	+0.51%	0.098925	+16.03%	0.1176	✓	1.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.092745	0.09315	+0.44%	0.104335	+12.50%	0.1228	✓	1.73
2025-11-02	oos	0.104155	0.104379	+0.21%	0.10086	-3.16%	0.0569	✓	1.68
2025-11-01	oos	0.105	0.105169	+0.16%	0.1009	-3.90%	0.0825	✓	1.69
2025-10-31	oos	0.103525	0.103841	+0.31%	0.0989	-4.47%	0.0503	✓	1.68
2025-10-30	oos	0.101955	0.102302	+0.34%	0.090015	-11.71%	0.0151	✗	1.68
2025-10-29	oos	0.107075	0.107302	+0.21%	0.091255	-14.77%	0.0654	✗	1.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.108125	0.108458	+0.31%	0.085255	-21.15%	0.0573	✗	1.72
2025-10-27	oos	0.110265	0.110446	+0.16%	0.092745	-15.89%	0.0574	✗	1.72
2025-10-26	oos	0.111155	0.111	-0.14%	0.104155	-6.30%	0.0024	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.108175	0.107841	-0.31%	0.105	-2.94%	0.0013	✓	1.74
2025-10-24	oos	0.108975	0.108511	-0.43%	0.103525	-5.00%	0.0235	✓	1.74
2025-10-23	oos	0.108495	0.107776	-0.66%	0.101955	-6.03%	0.0266	✓	1.75
2025-10-22	oos	0.104775	0.103954	-0.78%	0.107075	+2.20%	0.0096	✓	1.74
2025-10-21	oos	0.105805	0.104849	-0.90%	0.108125	+2.19%	0.0410	✓	1.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.10745	0.106294	-1.08%	0.110265	+2.62%	0.0192	✓	1.78
2025-10-19	oos	0.106295	0.1051	-1.12%	0.111155	+4.57%	0.0379	✓	1.78
2025-10-18	oos	0.103095	0.101944	-1.12%	0.108175	+4.93%	0.0132	✓	1.78
2025-10-17	oos	0.102195	0.101063	-1.11%	0.108975	+6.63%	0.0008	✓	1.77
2025-10-16	oos	0.106325	0.105176	-1.08%	0.108495	+2.04%	0.0000	✓	1.77
2025-10-15	oos	0.110215	0.109081	-1.03%	0.104775	-4.94%	0.0116	✗	1.76
2025-10-14	oos	0.113465	0.112434	-0.91%	0.105805	-6.75%	0.0146	✗	1.77
2025-10-13	oos	0.118965	0.1179	-0.89%	0.10745	-9.68%	0.0192	✓	1.77
2025-10-12	oos	0.11111	0.110163	-0.85%	0.106295	-4.33%	0.0641	✗	1.75
2025-10-11	oos	0.105225	0.104364	-0.82%	0.103095	-2.02%	0.0451	✗	1.76
2025-10-10	oos	0.103165	0.10215	-0.98%	0.102195	-0.94%	0.1066	✗	1.79
2025-10-09	oos	0.139145	0.138751	-0.28%	0.106325	-23.59%	0.1241	✓	1.21
2025-10-08	oos	0.143215	0.143017	-0.14%	0.110215	-23.04%	0.1336	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.142045	0.141591	-0.32%	0.113465	-20.12%	0.1378	✓	1.18
2025-10-06	oos	0.150835	0.150739	-0.06%	0.118965	-21.13%	0.1478	✓	1.13
2025-10-05	oos	0.149505	0.149266	-0.16%	0.11111	-25.68%	0.2154	✓	1.13
2025-10-04	oos	0.150845	0.150363	-0.32%	0.105225	-30.24%	0.2434	✓	1.13
2025-10-03	oos	0.154465	0.153866	-0.39%	0.103165	-33.21%	0.3099	✓	1.13
2025-10-02	oos	0.155515	0.154662	-0.55%	0.139145	-10.53%	0.1160	✓	1.14
2025-10-01	oos	0.155355	0.154147	-0.78%	0.143215	-7.81%	0.1196	✓	1.19
2025-09-30	oos	0.151005	0.149362	-1.09%	0.142045	-5.93%	0.1264	✓	1.22
2025-09-29	oos	0.153365	0.151493	-1.22%	0.150835	-1.65%	0.1116	✓	1.24
2025-09-28	oos	0.154735	0.152677	-1.33%	0.149505	-3.38%	0.1430	✓	1.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.151745	0.149648	-1.38%	0.150845	-0.59%	0.1363	✓	1.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.153365	0.150998	-1.54%	0.154465	+0.72%	0.1198	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.14934	0.146158	-2.13%	0.155515	+4.13%	0.0691	✓	1.30
2025-09-24	oos	0.151035	0.149162	-1.24%	0.155355	+2.86%	0.0226	✓	1.38
2025-09-23	oos	0.150805	0.14893	-1.24%	0.151005	+0.13%	0.0116	✓	1.40
2025-09-22	oos	0.151295	0.149383	-1.26%	0.153365	+1.37%	0.0069	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.162385	0.160479	-1.17%	0.154735	-4.71%	0.0010	✓	1.31
2025-09-20	oos	0.156835	0.155155	-1.07%	0.151745	-3.25%	0.0554	✗	1.44
2025-09-19	oos	0.156755	0.155084	-1.07%	0.153365	-2.16%	0.0640	✗	1.41
2025-09-18	oos	0.15924	0.157657	-0.99%	0.14934	-6.22%	0.0484	✗	1.44
2025-09-17	oos	0.160025	0.15835	-1.05%	0.151035	-5.62%	0.0092	✓	1.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.