HAJIMI

? · · gru_s0

token id: #996
symbol: HAJIMI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-04
predictions: 516

Track record at +7d

assessed

144

of 172 predictions shown

direction hit

50.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1881

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0110

actual +0.0390

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.020435	0.020055	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.020605	0.020223	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.01981	0.019442	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-18	oos	0.01918	0.018822	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.02	0.019643	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.02154	0.021164	-1.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.02146	0.021098	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.02186	0.021514	-1.58%	0.020435	-6.52%	0.0652	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.025095	0.024739	-1.42%	0.020605	-17.89%	0.1812	✓	0.86
2026-10-12	oos	0.02587	0.025482	-1.50%	0.01981	-23.42%	0.2528	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.02807	0.027696	-1.33%	0.01918	-31.67%	0.3509	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.028755	0.028331	-1.47%	0.02	-30.45%	0.3329	✓	0.82
2026-10-09	oos	0.02823	0.027823	-1.44%	0.02154	-23.70%	0.2456	✓	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	0.02805	0.027633	-1.48%	0.02146	-23.49%	0.2570	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	0.02808	0.027733	-1.24%	0.02186	-22.15%	0.2201	✓	0.86
2026-10-06	oos	0.0278	0.027577	-0.80%	0.025095	-9.73%	0.0651	✓	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.025615	0.025446	-0.66%	0.02587	+1.00%	0.0644	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.02911	0.02897	-0.48%	0.02807	-3.57%	0.0017	✓	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.030485	0.030248	-0.78%	0.028755	-5.67%	0.0288	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.030735	0.030498	-0.77%	0.02823	-8.15%	0.0538	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.03306	0.03279	-0.82%	0.02805	-15.15%	0.1182	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.030975	0.030716	-0.84%	0.02808	-9.35%	0.0864	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.03383	0.033514	-0.93%	0.0278	-17.82%	0.2094	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.03435	0.03402	-0.96%	0.025615	-25.43%	0.3109	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.03413	0.033884	-0.72%	0.02911	-14.71%	0.1758	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.03457	0.034324	-0.71%	0.030485	-11.82%	0.1225	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03425	0.034023	-0.66%	0.030735	-10.26%	0.1065	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.03382	0.033651	-0.50%	0.03306	-2.25%	0.0232	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03548	0.035285	-0.55%	0.030975	-12.70%	0.1205	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03985	0.03956	-0.73%	0.03383	-15.11%	0.1263	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.033935	0.033913	-0.07%	0.03435	+1.22%	0.0497	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.034595	0.034313	-0.81%	0.03413	-1.34%	0.0452	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.033255	0.033061	-0.58%	0.03457	+3.95%	0.0062	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0348	0.034565	-0.67%	0.03425	-1.58%	0.0482	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03351	0.033141	-1.10%	0.03382	+0.93%	0.0798	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.03063	0.0304	-0.75%	0.03548	+15.83%	0.0519	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.03338	0.033136	-0.73%	0.03985	+19.38%	0.0531	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.013255	0.013111	-1.09%	–	pending	–	–	3.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.013	0.012855	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	3.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.01248	0.012345	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.013	0.012847	-1.18%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-06-14	oos	0.01264	0.012496	-1.14%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.01348	0.013306	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	3.29
2026-06-12	oos	0.01236	0.012227	-1.07%	–	pending	–	–	3.27
2026-06-11	oos	0.01294	0.012784	-1.21%	0.013255	+2.43%	0.0716	✗	3.27
2026-06-10	oos	0.01202	0.01192	-0.84%	0.013	+8.15%	0.0736	✓	3.37
2026-06-09	oos	0.01261	0.012497	-0.90%	0.01248	-1.03%	0.2093	✓	3.37
2026-06-08	oos	0.01487	0.014649	-1.48%	0.013	-12.58%	0.2817	✓	3.26
2026-06-07	oos	0.01372	0.01355	-1.24%	0.01264	-7.87%	0.1913	✓	3.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.01441	0.01424	-1.18%	0.01348	-6.45%	0.2699	✓	3.76
2026-06-05	oos	0.01224	0.012195	-0.37%	0.01236	+0.98%	0.1375	✓	3.75
2026-06-04	oos	0.0133	0.013167	-1.00%	0.01294	-2.71%	0.0024	✓	3.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0137	0.013557	-1.04%	0.01202	-12.26%	0.0422	✗	3.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.01373	0.013541	-1.38%	0.01261	-8.16%	0.2630	✗	4.31
2026-06-01	oos	0.01548	0.015194	-1.85%	0.01487	-3.94%	0.6435	✗	5.41
2026-05-31	oos	0.01792	0.017511	-2.28%	0.01372	-23.44%	0.5756	✗	5.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.01655	0.016179	-2.24%	0.01441	-12.93%	0.9374	✗	5.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.01367	0.013411	-1.90%	0.01224	-10.46%	0.8950	✗	5.36
2026-05-28	oos	0.01434	0.014065	-1.91%	0.0133	-7.25%	0.7020	✗	5.35
2026-05-27	oos	0.01417	0.013912	-1.82%	0.0137	-3.32%	0.7930	✗	5.43
2026-05-26	oos	0.01463	0.014395	-1.61%	0.01373	-6.15%	0.6761	✗	5.61
2026-05-25	oos	0.01469	0.014497	-1.32%	0.01548	+5.38%	0.5338	✗	5.86
2026-05-24	oos	0.0155	0.015286	-1.38%	0.01792	+15.61%	0.4249	✗	5.89
2026-05-23	oos	0.01662	0.016355	-1.60%	0.01655	-0.42%	0.2391	✗	5.93
2026-05-22	oos	0.0159	0.015653	-1.56%	0.01367	-14.03%	0.0335	✗	6.05
2026-05-21	oos	0.01805	0.017745	-1.69%	0.01434	-20.55%	0.1178	✗	6.19
2026-05-20	oos	0.01789	0.017594	-1.65%	0.01417	-20.79%	0.0414	✗	6.19
2026-05-19	oos	0.01798	0.017666	-1.75%	0.01463	-18.63%	0.1111	✓	6.28
2026-05-18	oos	0.0198	0.019342	-2.32%	0.01469	-25.81%	0.2998	✓	6.24
2026-05-17	oos	0.01949	0.01897	-2.67%	0.0155	-20.47%	0.1964	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.01506	0.01488	-1.20%	0.01662	+10.36%	0.1294	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01473	0.014582	-1.01%	0.0159	+7.94%	0.1334	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.0176	0.017185	-2.36%	0.01805	+2.56%	0.0936	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01145	0.011384	-0.58%	0.01789	+56.24%	0.4752	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01212	0.012076	-0.37%	0.01798	+48.35%	0.4454	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.01232	0.012305	-0.12%	0.0198	+60.71%	0.5360	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.01407	0.014034	-0.26%	0.01949	+38.52%	0.3885	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01243	0.012399	-0.25%	0.01506	+21.16%	0.2266	✗	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.0131	0.013055	-0.35%	0.01473	+12.44%	0.1349	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01278	0.012743	-0.29%	0.0176	+37.72%	0.3096	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01372	0.013708	-0.09%	0.01145	-16.55%	0.1532	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01414	0.014114	-0.18%	0.01212	-14.29%	0.1471	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.0147	0.014637	-0.43%	0.01232	-16.19%	0.1955	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01436	0.014279	-0.56%	0.01407	-2.02%	0.0600	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01562	0.015487	-0.85%	0.01243	-20.42%	0.2447	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01347	0.013397	-0.54%	0.0131	-2.75%	0.0471	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01318	0.013072	-0.82%	0.01278	-3.03%	0.0700	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.01246	0.012362	-0.79%	0.01372	+10.11%	0.0319	✗	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.01247	0.012395	-0.60%	0.01414	+13.39%	0.0733	✗	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.01326	0.013212	-0.36%	0.0147	+10.86%	0.0751	✗	1.00
2026-02-13	oos	0.02087	0.020526	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-02-12	oos	0.01921	0.018914	-1.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-02-11	oos	0.01657	0.016302	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-02-10	oos	0.01683	0.016552	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-02-09	oos	0.01782	0.017548	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-02-08	oos	0.01952	0.019225	-1.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-02-07	oos	0.0161	0.015891	-1.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-02-06	oos	0.01679	0.016597	-1.15%	0.02087	+24.30%	0.2634	✗	1.39
2026-02-05	oos	0.01441	0.014563	+1.06%	0.01921	+33.31%	0.2008	✓	1.44
2026-02-04	oos	0.01967	0.01958	-0.46%	0.01657	-15.76%	0.0767	✓	1.06
2026-02-03	oos	0.02106	0.020977	-0.39%	0.01683	-20.09%	0.1079	✓	1.18
2026-02-02	oos	0.02438	0.024277	-0.42%	0.01782	-26.91%	0.1526	✓	1.36
2026-02-01	oos	0.02551	0.025469	-0.16%	0.01952	-23.48%	0.1381	✓	1.42
2026-01-31	oos	0.02839	0.028328	-0.22%	0.0161	-43.29%	0.3907	✓	1.37
2026-01-30	oos	0.02879	0.028654	-0.47%	0.01679	-41.68%	0.2685	✓	1.51
2026-01-18	oos	0.04019	0.039852	-0.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-01-17	oos	0.0415	0.041166	-0.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-01-16	oos	0.04227	0.041908	-0.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-01-15	oos	0.04026	0.039959	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-01-14	oos	0.04247	0.042113	-0.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-01-13	oos	0.04033	0.039955	-0.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-01-12	oos	0.03617	0.035829	-0.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.03813	0.037737	-1.03%	0.04019	+5.40%	0.0201	✗	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.03571	0.035404	-0.86%	0.0415	+16.21%	0.0864	✗	1.42
2026-01-09	oos	0.03562	0.035345	-0.77%	0.04227	+18.67%	0.1028	✗	1.42
2026-01-08	oos	0.03617	0.035902	-0.74%	0.04026	+11.31%	0.0453	✗	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.03658	0.03632	-0.71%	0.04247	+16.10%	0.0710	✗	1.42
2026-01-06	oos	0.04091	0.040547	-0.89%	0.04033	-1.42%	0.0287	✓	1.33
2026-01-05	oos	0.04253	0.042074	-1.07%	0.03617	-14.95%	0.1127	✓	1.33
2026-01-04	oos	0.04192	0.041339	-1.38%	0.03813	-9.04%	0.0715	✓	1.37
2026-01-03	oos	0.03634	0.035934	-1.12%	0.03571	-1.73%	0.0030	✓	1.32
2026-01-02	oos	0.03165	0.031359	-0.92%	0.03562	+12.54%	0.1195	✗	1.28
2026-01-01	oos	0.02802	0.027779	-0.86%	0.03617	+29.09%	0.2330	✗	1.22
2025-12-31	oos	0.02892	0.02864	-0.97%	0.03658	+26.49%	0.1914	✗	1.26
2025-12-30	oos	0.02701	0.026776	-0.87%	0.04091	+51.46%	0.3490	✗	1.28
2025-12-29	oos	0.02795	0.027702	-0.89%	0.04253	+52.16%	0.3295	✗	1.33
2025-12-28	oos	0.02852	0.028297	-0.78%	0.04192	+46.98%	0.3397	✗	1.32
2025-12-27	oos	0.03008	0.029854	-0.75%	0.03634	+20.81%	0.1549	✗	1.33
2025-12-26	oos	0.03048	0.030261	-0.72%	0.03165	+3.84%	0.0045	✓	1.34
2025-12-25	oos	0.03247	0.03222	-0.77%	0.02802	-13.70%	0.1639	✓	1.36
2025-12-24	oos	0.03236	0.032127	-0.72%	0.02892	-10.63%	0.1034	✓	1.36
2025-12-23	oos	0.03228	0.03205	-0.71%	0.02701	-16.33%	0.1861	✓	1.36
2025-12-22	oos	0.03319	0.032964	-0.68%	0.02795	-15.79%	0.1427	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.03697	0.036599	-1.00%	0.02852	-22.86%	0.2377	✓	1.36
2025-12-20	oos	0.03573	0.035356	-1.05%	0.03008	-15.81%	0.1537	✓	1.36
2025-12-19	oos	0.03309	0.032775	-0.95%	0.03048	-7.89%	0.0604	✓	1.35
2025-12-18	oos	0.03151	0.031182	-1.04%	0.03247	+3.05%	0.0134	✗	1.36
2025-12-17	oos	0.03225	0.031851	-1.24%	0.03236	+0.34%	0.0060	✓	1.36
2025-12-16	oos	0.02812	0.027868	-0.90%	0.03228	+14.79%	0.1540	✗	1.45
2025-12-15	oos	0.02815	0.02786	-1.03%	0.03319	+17.90%	0.1385	✗	1.49
2025-12-14	oos	0.02679	0.026547	-0.91%	0.03697	+38.00%	0.3230	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.02917	0.028886	-0.97%	0.03573	+22.49%	0.2446	✗	1.48
2025-12-12	oos	0.02983	0.0295	-1.11%	0.03309	+10.93%	0.1512	✗	1.48
2025-12-11	oos	0.02945	0.029091	-1.22%	0.03151	+6.99%	0.2003	✗	1.51
2025-12-10	oos	0.02442	0.024173	-1.01%	0.03225	+32.06%	0.3831	✗	1.45
2025-12-09	oos	0.02448	0.024224	-1.05%	0.02812	+14.87%	0.2268	✗	1.45
2025-12-08	oos	0.02409	0.023805	-1.18%	0.02815	+16.85%	0.2389	✗	1.49
2025-12-07	oos	0.02244	0.022155	-1.27%	0.02679	+19.39%	0.2267	✗	1.47
2025-12-06	oos	0.02155	0.021254	-1.37%	0.02917	+35.36%	0.3005	✗	1.47
2025-12-05	oos	0.0227	0.022411	-1.28%	0.02983	+31.41%	0.2706	✗	1.48
2025-12-04	oos	0.02301	0.022744	-1.16%	0.02945	+27.99%	0.2511	✗	1.50
2025-12-03	oos	0.02497	0.024696	-1.10%	0.02442	-2.20%	0.0040	✓	1.00
2025-12-02	oos	0.02613	0.025796	-1.28%	0.02448	-6.31%	0.0674	✓	1.00
2025-12-01	oos	0.02323	0.022914	-1.36%	0.02409	+3.70%	0.0006	✓	1.00
2025-11-30	oos	0.02678	0.026426	-1.32%	0.02244	-16.21%	0.1639	✓	1.00
2025-11-29	oos	0.0263	0.025947	-1.34%	0.02155	-18.06%	0.1683	✓	1.00
2025-11-28	oos	0.02881	0.028295	-1.79%	0.0227	-21.21%	0.2030	✓	1.00
2025-11-27	oos	0.02423	0.023876	-1.46%	0.02301	-5.04%	0.0454	✓	1.00
2025-11-26	oos	0.02497	0.024558	-1.65%	0.02497	+0.00%	0.0158	✓	1.00
2025-11-25	oos	0.02264	0.022252	-1.71%	0.02613	+15.42%	0.1161	✗	1.00
2025-11-24	oos	0.02171	0.021333	-1.74%	0.02323	+7.00%	0.1079	✗	1.00
2025-11-23	oos	0.0226	0.022207	-1.74%	0.02678	+18.50%	0.1471	✗	1.00
2025-11-22	oos	0.02268	0.022293	-1.71%	0.0263	+15.96%	0.0953	✗	1.00
2025-11-21	oos	0.02678	0.026193	-2.19%	0.02881	+7.58%	0.0289	✗	1.00
2025-11-20	oos	0.02092	0.020542	-1.81%	0.02423	+15.82%	0.1114	✗	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	0.01944	0.019069	-1.91%	0.02497	+28.45%	0.2805	✗	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	0.0214	0.021044	-1.66%	0.02264	+5.79%	0.1351	✗	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	0.02315	0.022793	-1.54%	0.02171	-6.22%	0.0062	✓	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	0.03151	0.030764	-2.37%	0.0226	-28.28%	0.2269	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.03674	0.035324	-3.85%	0.02268	-38.27%	0.3224	✓	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	0.02743	0.02672	-2.59%	0.02678	-2.37%	0.1074	✗	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	0.02199	0.021533	-2.08%	0.02092	-4.87%	0.1118	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.