GRVT
GRVT Token · Ethereum · gru_s0
- token id
- #373
- symbol
- GRVT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-30
- predictions
- 225
Track record at +7d
assessed
68
of 75 predictions shown
direction hit
33.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1504
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0189
actual -0.0510
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2669 | 0.262582 | -1.62% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.25965 | 0.253962 | -2.19% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.23295 | 0.228431 | -1.94% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21595 | 0.212233 | -1.72% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.21555 | 0.211359 | -1.94% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.21338 | -2.07% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2297 | 0.224943 | -2.07% | – | pending | – | – | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2142 | 0.209708 | -2.10% | 0.2669 | +24.60% | 0.2400 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20665 | 0.202672 | -1.93% | 0.25965 | +25.65% | 0.2480 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2119 | 0.207303 | -2.17% | 0.23295 | +9.93% | 0.1165 | ✗ | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.226639 | -2.06% | 0.21595 | -6.68% | 0.0472 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.234 | 0.228657 | -2.28% | 0.21555 | -7.88% | 0.0580 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.22515 | 0.219305 | -2.60% | 0.2179 | -3.22% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2283 | 0.221131 | -3.14% | 0.2297 | +0.61% | 0.0377 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.223 | 0.216744 | -2.81% | 0.2142 | -3.95% | 0.0102 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.2265 | 0.221314 | -2.29% | 0.20665 | -8.76% | 0.0667 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.22355 | 0.218522 | -2.25% | 0.2119 | -5.21% | 0.0276 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.22175 | 0.21703 | -2.13% | 0.2314 | +4.35% | 0.0665 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.209901 | -2.78% | 0.234 | +8.38% | 0.1099 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2158 | 0.209605 | -2.87% | 0.22515 | +4.33% | 0.0729 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.20775 | 0.202069 | -2.73% | 0.2283 | +9.89% | 0.1246 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2074 | 0.201308 | -2.94% | 0.223 | +7.52% | 0.1026 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.2034 | 0.197328 | -2.99% | 0.2265 | +11.36% | 0.1363 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.2057 | 0.198829 | -3.34% | 0.22355 | +8.68% | 0.1153 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2017 | 0.195737 | -2.96% | 0.22175 | +9.94% | 0.1228 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.20385 | 0.197861 | -2.94% | 0.2159 | +5.91% | 0.0869 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.20935 | 0.203207 | -2.93% | 0.2158 | +3.08% | 0.0597 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2047 | 0.199036 | -2.77% | 0.20775 | +1.49% | 0.0424 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1944 | 0.189011 | -2.77% | 0.2074 | +6.69% | 0.0938 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.19575 | 0.191616 | -2.11% | 0.2034 | +3.91% | 0.0626 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.19225 | 0.188458 | -1.97% | 0.2057 | +7.00% | 0.0914 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.1913 | 0.184153 | -3.74% | 0.2017 | +5.44% | 0.0871 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.1938 | 0.186916 | -3.55% | 0.20385 | +5.19% | 0.0830 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1894 | 0.182507 | -3.64% | 0.20935 | +10.53% | 0.1335 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1787 | 0.170151 | -4.78% | 0.2047 | +14.55% | 0.1897 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1675 | 0.160002 | -4.48% | 0.1944 | +16.06% | 0.1994 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.16815 | 0.160931 | -4.29% | 0.19575 | +16.41% | 0.2020 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.1705 | 0.164142 | -3.73% | 0.19225 | +12.76% | 0.1643 | ✗ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.17025 | 0.163975 | -3.69% | 0.1913 | +12.36% | 0.1579 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.166042 | -3.30% | 0.1938 | +12.87% | 0.1580 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.17495 | 0.169654 | -3.03% | 0.1894 | +8.26% | 0.1134 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.16865 | 0.16395 | -2.79% | 0.1787 | +5.96% | 0.0859 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.16025 | 0.157109 | -1.96% | 0.1675 | +4.52% | 0.0640 | ✗ | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1672 | 0.164277 | -1.75% | 0.16815 | +0.57% | 0.0229 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.1687 | 0.166318 | -1.41% | 0.1705 | +1.07% | 0.0247 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1635 | 0.162181 | -0.81% | 0.17025 | +4.13% | 0.0501 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1627 | 0.161792 | -0.56% | 0.1717 | +5.53% | 0.0605 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1619 | 0.161647 | -0.16% | 0.17495 | +8.06% | 0.0802 | ✗ | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.162712 | +0.32% | 0.16865 | +3.98% | 0.0389 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1587 | 0.158779 | +0.05% | 0.16025 | +0.98% | 0.0097 | ✓ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1504 | 0.150668 | +0.18% | 0.1672 | +11.17% | 0.1042 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.1633 | 0.163857 | +0.34% | 0.1687 | +3.31% | 0.0298 | ✓ | -0.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.1744 | 0.174651 | +0.14% | 0.1635 | -6.25% | 0.0633 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.1704 | 0.170778 | +0.22% | 0.1627 | -4.52% | 0.0474 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1649 | 0.164772 | -0.08% | 0.1619 | -1.82% | 0.0409 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.172425 | +0.42% | 0.1622 | -5.53% | 0.0734 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1827 | 0.18331 | +0.33% | 0.1587 | -13.14% | 0.1222 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1968 | 0.197572 | +0.39% | 0.1504 | -23.58% | 0.2583 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.2039 | 0.205128 | +0.60% | 0.1633 | -19.91% | 0.2227 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.2315 | 0.232965 | +0.63% | 0.1744 | -24.67% | 0.2887 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2462 | 0.247673 | +0.60% | 0.1704 | -30.79% | 0.3892 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.2856 | 0.287547 | +0.68% | 0.1649 | -42.26% | 0.5498 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2785 | 0.278191 | -0.11% | 0.1717 | -38.35% | 0.5774 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.3042 | 0.301093 | -1.02% | 0.1827 | -39.94% | 0.6309 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.2932 | 0.287806 | -1.84% | 0.1968 | -32.88% | 0.5741 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.2813 | 0.276144 | -1.83% | 0.2039 | -27.52% | 0.5062 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.2828 | 0.277189 | -1.98% | 0.2315 | -18.14% | 0.3928 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.2924 | 0.286785 | -1.92% | 0.2462 | -15.80% | 0.3537 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.3029 | 0.297244 | -1.87% | 0.2856 | -5.71% | 0.2581 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.3229 | 0.316733 | -1.91% | 0.2785 | -13.75% | 0.2694 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.3174 | 0.3116 | -1.83% | 0.3042 | -4.16% | 0.1128 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.3169 | 0.310994 | -1.86% | 0.2932 | -7.48% | 0.0769 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.3277 | 0.320112 | -2.32% | 0.2813 | -14.16% | 0.1381 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.3111 | 0.305565 | -1.78% | 0.2828 | -9.10% | 0.0459 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.2961 | 0.291204 | -1.65% | 0.2924 | -1.25% | 0.0336 | ✗ | 1.00 |