GNS

Syli · · gru_s0

token id: #462
symbol: GNS
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-02-17
predictions: 3,999

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

63.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1871

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0247

actual -0.0603

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.499	0.482103	-3.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-20	oos	0.454	0.440951	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.408	0.393182	-3.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.4145	0.399349	-3.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.453	0.437305	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-16	oos	0.467	0.45139	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-15	oos	0.503	0.488299	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-14	oos	0.535	0.515374	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.7175	0.655379	-8.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.369	0.357555	-3.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-11	oos	0.3875	0.381032	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.3985	0.390253	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.3935	0.385513	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.3835	0.37355	-2.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-07	oos	0.3815	0.374643	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.403	0.402484	-0.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-05	oos	0.4235	0.423902	+0.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-04	oos	0.426	0.429134	+0.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-03	oos	0.421	0.421007	+0.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-02	oos	0.432	0.433705	+0.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-01	oos	0.461	0.464374	+0.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-30	oos	0.467	0.469309	+0.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-29	oos	0.483	0.483026	+0.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-28	oos	0.4795	0.481341	+0.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-27	oos	0.507	0.51481	+1.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-26	oos	0.4785	0.484488	+1.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-25	oos	0.486	0.493869	+1.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-24	oos	0.472	0.478499	+1.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-09-23	oos	0.464	0.472763	+1.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-09-22	oos	0.4795	0.495834	+3.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-21	oos	0.45	0.467946	+3.99%	0.499	+10.89%	0.0926	✓	0.61
2026-09-20	oos	0.4425	0.449758	+1.64%	0.454	+2.60%	0.0049	✓	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.436	0.443575	+1.74%	0.408	-6.42%	0.0885	✗	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.4365	0.442198	+1.31%	0.4145	-5.04%	0.0739	✗	0.66
2026-09-17	oos	0.416	0.411007	-1.20%	0.453	+8.89%	0.0562	✗	0.64
2026-09-16	oos	0.407	0.4028	-1.03%	0.467	+14.74%	0.1042	✗	0.64
2026-09-15	oos	0.4075	0.402364	-1.26%	0.503	+23.44%	0.1694	✗	0.65
2026-09-14	oos	0.4255	0.428829	+0.78%	0.535	+25.73%	0.1947	✓	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.4295	0.430875	+0.32%	0.7175	+67.05%	0.4597	✓	0.64
2026-09-12	oos	0.4305	0.434005	+0.81%	0.369	-14.29%	0.1983	✗	0.64
2026-09-11	oos	0.4425	0.446553	+0.92%	0.3875	-12.43%	0.1932	✗	0.64
2026-09-10	oos	0.44	0.444326	+0.98%	0.3985	-9.43%	0.1590	✗	0.63
2026-09-09	oos	0.4695	0.48074	+2.39%	0.3935	-16.19%	0.2312	✗	0.58
2026-09-08	oos	0.486	0.498423	+2.56%	0.3835	-21.09%	0.2881	✗	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.487	0.501542	+2.99%	0.3815	-21.66%	0.3062	✗	0.63
2026-09-06	oos	0.488	0.507384	+3.97%	0.403	-17.42%	0.2694	✗	0.62
2026-09-05	oos	0.4775	0.499191	+4.54%	0.4235	-11.31%	0.2083	✗	0.61
2026-09-04	oos	0.4745	0.498191	+4.99%	0.426	-10.22%	0.2090	✗	0.64
2026-09-03	oos	0.521	0.542947	+4.21%	0.421	-19.19%	0.2788	✗	0.58
2026-09-02	oos	0.512	0.525559	+2.65%	0.432	-15.62%	0.2553	✗	0.67
2026-09-01	oos	0.519	0.534367	+2.96%	0.461	-11.18%	0.2098	✗	0.68
2026-08-31	oos	0.521	0.539915	+3.63%	0.467	-10.36%	0.1787	✗	0.55
2026-08-30	oos	0.507	0.522742	+3.10%	0.483	-4.73%	0.1183	✗	0.53
2026-08-29	oos	0.523	0.541117	+3.46%	0.4795	-8.32%	0.1540	✗	0.51
2026-08-28	oos	0.523	0.542596	+3.75%	0.507	-3.06%	0.1097	✗	0.51
2026-08-27	oos	0.534	0.5671	+6.20%	0.4785	-10.39%	0.1957	✗	0.51
2026-08-26	oos	0.531	0.561155	+5.68%	0.486	-8.47%	0.1755	✗	0.51
2026-08-25	oos	0.536	0.564531	+5.32%	0.472	-11.94%	0.2159	✗	0.51
2026-08-24	oos	0.541	0.572234	+5.77%	0.464	-14.23%	0.2438	✗	0.52
2026-08-23	oos	0.554	0.582128	+5.08%	0.4795	-13.45%	0.2500	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.546	0.573747	+5.08%	0.45	-17.58%	0.3063	✗	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.537	0.568225	+5.81%	0.4425	-17.60%	0.2696	✗	0.55
2026-08-20	oos	0.529	0.538828	+1.86%	0.436	-17.58%	0.2785	✗	0.63
2026-08-19	oos	0.519	0.51669	-0.45%	0.4365	-15.90%	0.2690	✓	0.65
2026-08-18	oos	0.502	0.487456	-2.90%	0.416	-17.13%	0.2722	✓	0.69
2026-08-17	oos	0.507	0.492586	-2.84%	0.407	-19.72%	0.3019	✓	0.67
2026-08-16	oos	0.506	0.488815	-3.40%	0.4075	-19.47%	0.3084	✓	0.68
2026-08-15	oos	0.518	0.499174	-3.63%	0.4255	-17.86%	0.3063	✓	0.68
2026-08-14	oos	0.524	0.504492	-3.72%	0.4295	-18.03%	0.2996	✓	0.70
2026-08-13	oos	0.526	0.506517	-3.70%	0.4305	-18.16%	0.3027	✓	0.71
2026-08-12	oos	0.524	0.504523	-3.72%	0.4425	-15.55%	0.2770	✓	0.74
2026-08-11	oos	0.53	0.508783	-4.00%	0.44	-16.98%	0.2826	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.531	0.50849	-4.24%	0.4695	-11.58%	0.2331	✓	0.76
2026-08-09	oos	0.529	0.50759	-4.05%	0.486	-8.13%	0.1882	✓	0.76
2026-08-08	oos	0.515	0.493919	-4.09%	0.487	-5.44%	0.1654	✓	0.77
2026-08-07	oos	0.504	0.484884	-3.79%	0.488	-3.17%	0.1715	✓	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.496	0.476514	-3.93%	0.4775	-3.73%	0.1786	✓	0.83
2026-08-05	oos	0.495	0.475989	-3.84%	0.4745	-4.14%	0.1780	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.497	0.477167	-3.99%	0.521	+4.83%	0.1082	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	0.498	0.477951	-4.03%	0.512	+2.81%	0.0952	✓	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.499	0.478855	-4.04%	0.519	+4.01%	0.0809	✓	0.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.489	0.468147	-4.26%	0.521	+6.54%	0.0752	✓	0.81
2026-07-31	oos	0.491	0.470588	-4.16%	0.507	+3.26%	0.0975	✓	0.81
2026-07-30	oos	0.493	0.47504	-3.64%	0.523	+6.09%	0.0622	✓	0.84
2026-07-29	oos	0.487	0.468147	-3.87%	0.523	+7.39%	0.0605	✓	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.496	0.477376	-3.75%	0.534	+7.66%	0.0819	✓	0.85
2026-07-27	oos	0.498	0.480167	-3.58%	0.531	+6.63%	0.0897	✓	0.88
2026-07-26	oos	0.533	0.517115	-2.98%	0.536	+0.56%	0.1235	✓	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.538	0.521824	-3.01%	0.541	+0.56%	0.1455	✓	0.88
2026-07-24	oos	0.533	0.518172	-2.78%	0.554	+3.94%	0.1032	✓	0.88
2026-07-23	oos	0.55	0.536624	-2.43%	0.546	-0.73%	0.1305	✓	0.87
2026-07-22	oos	0.559	0.547623	-2.04%	0.537	-3.94%	0.1662	✓	0.86
2026-07-21	oos	0.559	0.549308	-1.73%	0.529	-5.37%	0.1181	✓	0.86
2026-07-20	oos	0.561	0.550256	-1.92%	0.519	-7.49%	0.1101	✓	0.85
2026-07-19	oos	0.602	0.587091	-2.48%	0.502	-16.61%	0.1566	✓	0.88
2026-07-18	oos	0.607	0.59206	-2.46%	0.507	-16.47%	0.1507	✓	0.88
2026-07-17	oos	0.614	0.597398	-2.70%	0.506	-17.59%	0.1508	✓	0.91
2026-07-16	oos	0.618	0.600947	-2.76%	0.518	-16.18%	0.1377	✓	0.91
2026-07-15	oos	0.636	0.619014	-2.67%	0.524	-17.61%	0.1417	✓	0.91
2026-07-14	oos	0.628	0.611624	-2.61%	0.526	-16.24%	0.1286	✓	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.598	0.577953	-3.35%	0.524	-12.37%	0.1142	✓	0.89
2026-07-12	oos	0.61	0.590905	-3.13%	0.53	-13.11%	0.1059	✓	0.89
2026-07-11	oos	0.614	0.594442	-3.19%	0.531	-13.52%	0.1147	✓	0.83
2026-07-10	oos	0.615	0.595502	-3.17%	0.529	-13.98%	0.1278	✓	0.84
2026-07-09	oos	0.606	0.585313	-3.41%	0.515	-15.02%	0.1507	✓	0.84
2026-07-08	oos	0.606	0.583786	-3.67%	0.504	-16.83%	0.1819	✓	0.84
2026-07-07	oos	0.615	0.59359	-3.48%	0.496	-19.35%	0.1920	✓	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.629	0.607972	-3.34%	0.495	-21.30%	0.2134	✓	0.84
2026-07-05	oos	0.636	0.613655	-3.51%	0.497	-21.86%	0.2170	✓	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.641	0.618216	-3.55%	0.498	-22.31%	0.2213	✓	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.635	0.611011	-3.78%	0.499	-21.42%	0.2152	✓	0.82
2026-07-02	oos	0.632	0.606968	-3.96%	0.489	-22.63%	0.2331	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.605	0.580039	-4.13%	0.491	-18.84%	0.2042	✓	0.80
2026-06-30	oos	0.568	0.543654	-4.29%	0.493	-13.20%	0.1755	✓	0.77
2026-06-29	oos	0.5255	0.504699	-3.96%	0.487	-7.33%	0.0870	✓	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.511	0.4899	-4.13%	0.496	-2.94%	0.0475	✓	0.84
2026-06-27	oos	0.518	0.496657	-4.12%	0.498	-3.86%	0.0488	✓	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.518	0.495856	-4.27%	0.533	+2.90%	0.0001	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	0.515	0.491849	-4.50%	0.538	+4.47%	0.0270	✓	0.85
2026-06-24	oos	0.524	0.500613	-4.46%	0.533	+1.72%	0.0207	✓	0.85
2026-06-23	oos	0.542	0.517878	-4.45%	0.55	+1.48%	0.0280	✓	0.85
2026-06-22	oos	0.562	0.537294	-4.40%	0.559	-0.53%	0.0120	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.57	0.544391	-4.49%	0.559	-1.93%	0.0164	✓	0.85
2026-06-20	oos	0.583	0.557307	-4.41%	0.561	-3.77%	0.0066	✓	0.86
2026-06-19	oos	0.568	0.542145	-4.55%	0.602	+5.99%	0.0886	✗	0.86
2026-06-18	oos	0.569	0.542694	-4.62%	0.607	+6.68%	0.0861	✗	0.86
2026-06-17	oos	0.585	0.557872	-4.64%	0.614	+4.96%	0.1033	✗	0.86
2026-06-16	oos	0.588	0.560936	-4.60%	0.618	+5.10%	0.1219	✗	0.88
2026-06-15	oos	0.604	0.575252	-4.76%	0.636	+5.30%	0.1220	✗	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.6	0.570319	-4.95%	0.628	+4.67%	0.1062	✗	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.596	0.564888	-5.22%	0.598	+0.34%	0.0879	✗	0.91
2026-06-12	oos	0.611	0.57575	-5.77%	0.61	-0.16%	0.0549	✓	0.92
2026-06-11	oos	0.563	0.532567	-5.41%	0.614	+9.06%	0.1393	✗	0.92
2026-06-10	oos	0.519	0.491093	-5.38%	0.615	+18.50%	0.1880	✗	0.87
2026-06-09	oos	0.498	0.471148	-5.39%	0.606	+21.69%	0.2309	✗	0.87
2026-06-08	oos	0.495	0.46746	-5.56%	0.606	+22.42%	0.2714	✗	0.89
2026-06-07	oos	0.481	0.45402	-5.61%	0.615	+27.86%	0.3032	✗	0.89
2026-06-06	oos	0.46	0.434449	-5.55%	0.629	+36.74%	0.3266	✗	0.86
2026-06-05	oos	0.458	0.432541	-5.56%	0.636	+38.86%	0.3506	✗	0.85
2026-06-04	oos	0.494	0.465093	-5.85%	0.641	+29.76%	0.3300	✗	0.81
2026-06-03	oos	0.53	0.496916	-6.24%	0.635	+19.81%	0.2641	✗	0.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.487	0.4591	-5.73%	0.632	+29.77%	0.3930	✗	0.91
2026-06-01	oos	0.502	0.477123	-4.96%	0.605	+20.52%	0.3941	✗	0.90
2026-05-31	oos	0.503	0.481601	-4.25%	0.568	+12.92%	0.3785	✗	0.93
2026-05-30	oos	0.502	0.482436	-3.90%	0.5255	+4.68%	0.2761	✗	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.483	0.46378	-3.98%	0.511	+5.80%	0.2923	✗	0.93
2026-05-28	oos	0.464	0.446055	-3.87%	0.518	+11.64%	0.3385	✗	0.93
2026-05-27	oos	0.465	0.451887	-2.82%	0.518	+11.40%	0.3360	✗	0.93
2026-05-26	oos	0.474	0.465426	-1.81%	0.515	+8.65%	0.3241	✗	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.492	0.488181	-0.78%	0.524	+6.50%	0.3041	✗	0.99
2026-05-24	oos	0.478	0.474068	-0.82%	0.542	+13.39%	0.3367	✗	0.98
2026-05-23	oos	0.493	0.488833	-0.85%	0.562	+14.00%	0.3044	✗	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.459	0.45181	-1.57%	0.57	+24.18%	0.3891	✗	0.89
2026-05-21	oos	0.466	0.462724	-0.70%	0.583	+25.11%	0.4002	✗	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	0.455	0.452448	-0.56%	0.568	+24.84%	0.4080	✗	0.91
2026-05-19	oos	0.476	0.474526	-0.31%	0.569	+19.54%	0.3638	✗	0.91
2026-05-18	oos	0.496	0.495575	-0.09%	0.585	+17.94%	0.3376	✗	0.97
2026-05-17	oos	0.483	0.483298	+0.06%	0.588	+21.74%	0.3573	✓	0.98
2026-05-16	oos	0.52	0.518607	-0.27%	0.604	+16.15%	0.3103	✗	0.96
2026-05-15	oos	0.541	0.542687	+0.31%	0.6	+10.91%	0.2769	✓	0.95
2026-05-14	oos	0.572	0.578145	+1.07%	0.596	+4.20%	0.2454	✓	0.94
2026-05-13	oos	0.564	0.566135	+0.38%	0.611	+8.33%	0.2846	✓	0.94
2026-05-12	oos	0.594	0.601637	+1.29%	0.563	-5.22%	0.1480	✓	0.91
2026-05-11	oos	0.599	0.612328	+2.23%	0.519	-13.36%	0.0963	✓	0.92
2026-05-10	oos	0.64	0.654175	+2.21%	0.498	-22.19%	0.0090	✓	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	0.573	0.580197	+1.26%	0.495	-13.61%	0.0575	✓	0.88
2026-05-08	oos	0.563	0.569001	+1.07%	0.481	-14.56%	0.0380	✓	0.87
2026-05-07	oos	0.561	0.567148	+1.10%	0.46	-18.00%	0.0229	✓	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.553	0.564824	+2.14%	0.458	-17.18%	0.0356	✓	0.85
2026-05-05	oos	0.544	0.557779	+2.53%	0.494	-9.19%	0.0522	✓	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.554	0.56516	+2.01%	0.53	-4.33%	0.0979	✓	0.73
2026-05-03	oos	0.546	0.552339	+1.16%	0.487	-10.81%	0.0065	✓	0.73
2026-05-02	oos	0.545	0.550902	+1.08%	0.502	-7.89%	0.0213	✗	0.73
2026-05-01	oos	0.53	0.535287	+1.00%	0.503	-5.09%	0.0175	✗	0.73
2026-04-30	oos	0.5	0.497086	-0.58%	0.502	+0.40%	0.0332	✗	0.69
2026-04-29	oos	0.534	0.530178	-0.72%	0.483	-9.55%	0.0709	✓	0.70
2026-04-28	oos	0.649	0.64292	-0.94%	0.464	-28.51%	0.3004	✓	0.69
2026-04-27	oos	0.691	0.685676	-0.77%	0.465	-32.71%	0.3610	✓	0.68
2026-04-26	oos	0.705	0.704217	-0.11%	0.474	-32.77%	0.3707	✓	0.68
2026-04-25	oos	0.698	0.69317	-0.69%	0.492	-29.51%	0.3392	✓	0.69
2026-04-24	oos	0.701	0.696258	-0.68%	0.478	-31.81%	0.3718	✓	0.69
2026-04-23	oos	0.687	0.685466	-0.22%	0.493	-28.24%	0.3150	✓	0.69
2026-04-22	oos	0.696	0.694687	-0.19%	0.459	-34.05%	0.3894	✓	0.69
2026-04-21	oos	0.705	0.696175	-1.25%	0.466	-33.90%	0.4124	✓	0.70
2026-04-20	oos	0.691	0.681292	-1.40%	0.455	-34.15%	0.4183	✓	0.69
2026-04-19	oos	0.673	0.654389	-2.77%	0.476	-29.27%	0.3454	✓	0.69
2026-04-18	oos	0.707	0.701466	-0.78%	0.496	-29.84%	0.3574	✓	0.69
2026-04-17	oos	0.715	0.717536	+0.35%	0.483	-32.45%	0.3986	✗	0.69
2026-04-16	oos	0.692	0.686762	-0.76%	0.52	-24.86%	0.3043	✓	0.68
2026-04-15	oos	0.7	0.692894	-1.02%	0.541	-22.71%	0.2849	✓	0.68
2026-04-14	oos	0.712	0.70257	-1.32%	0.572	-19.66%	0.2668	✓	0.69
2026-04-13	oos	0.703	0.694621	-1.19%	0.564	-19.77%	0.2526	✓	0.70
2026-04-12	oos	0.696	0.675235	-2.98%	0.594	-14.66%	0.2146	✓	0.67
2026-04-11	oos	0.723	0.709555	-1.86%	0.599	-17.15%	0.2438	✓	0.67
2026-04-10	oos	0.727	0.716114	-1.50%	0.64	-11.97%	0.1907	✓	0.66
2026-04-09	oos	0.729	0.714497	-1.99%	0.573	-21.40%	0.2977	✓	0.66
2026-04-08	oos	0.729	0.713937	-2.07%	0.563	-22.77%	0.3174	✓	0.66
2026-04-07	oos	0.749	0.734016	-2.00%	0.561	-25.10%	0.3393	✓	0.66
2026-04-06	oos	0.724	0.701625	-3.09%	0.553	-23.62%	0.3490	✓	0.66
2026-04-05	oos	0.719	0.694391	-3.42%	0.544	-24.34%	0.3493	✓	0.66
2026-04-04	oos	0.726	0.697109	-3.98%	0.554	-23.69%	0.3432	✓	0.66
2026-04-03	oos	0.722	0.693084	-4.01%	0.546	-24.38%	0.3441	✓	0.66
2026-04-02	oos	0.723	0.693982	-4.01%	0.545	-24.62%	0.3489	✓	0.66
2026-04-01	oos	0.738	0.707926	-4.08%	0.53	-28.18%	0.3810	✓	0.66
2026-03-31	oos	0.733	0.704132	-3.94%	0.5	-31.79%	0.4165	✓	0.66
2026-03-30	oos	0.721	0.692812	-3.91%	0.534	-25.94%	0.3439	✓	0.66
2026-03-29	oos	0.711	0.683904	-3.81%	0.649	-8.72%	0.1486	✓	0.66
2026-03-28	oos	0.721	0.696897	-3.34%	0.691	-4.16%	0.1098	✓	0.66
2026-03-27	oos	0.726	0.704505	-2.96%	0.705	-2.89%	0.1112	✓	0.66
2026-03-26	oos	0.75	0.73503	-2.00%	0.698	-6.93%	0.1305	✓	0.65
2026-03-25	oos	0.786	0.777282	-1.11%	0.701	-10.81%	0.1563	✓	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.793	0.784272	-1.10%	0.687	-13.37%	0.1994	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.795	0.789321	-0.71%	0.696	-12.45%	0.1890	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.758	0.745784	-1.61%	0.705	-6.99%	0.1301	✓	0.63
2026-03-21	oos	0.776	0.765011	-1.42%	0.691	-10.95%	0.1617	✓	0.62
2026-03-20	oos	0.796	0.788895	-0.89%	0.673	-15.45%	0.1876	✓	0.62
2026-03-19	oos	0.79	0.781922	-1.02%	0.707	-10.51%	0.1504	✓	0.62
2026-03-18	oos	0.824	0.816984	-0.85%	0.715	-13.23%	0.1831	✓	0.63
2026-03-17	oos	0.885	0.879424	-0.63%	0.692	-21.81%	0.2497	✓	0.61
2026-03-16	oos	0.873	0.868818	-0.48%	0.7	-19.82%	0.2156	✓	0.62
2026-03-15	oos	0.852	0.843284	-1.02%	0.712	-16.43%	0.1805	✓	0.62
2026-03-14	oos	0.838	0.825974	-1.44%	0.703	-16.11%	0.1885	✓	0.62
2026-03-13	oos	0.835	0.822756	-1.47%	0.696	-16.65%	0.1657	✓	0.62
2026-03-12	oos	0.831	0.817928	-1.57%	0.723	-13.00%	0.1455	✓	0.62
2026-03-11	oos	0.815	0.800885	-1.73%	0.727	-10.80%	0.1211	✓	0.62
2026-03-10	oos	0.787	0.772006	-1.91%	0.729	-7.37%	0.0733	✓	0.62
2026-03-09	oos	0.787	0.770247	-2.13%	0.729	-7.37%	0.0787	✓	0.62
2026-03-08	oos	0.774	0.755754	-2.36%	0.749	-3.23%	0.0632	✓	0.63
2026-03-07	oos	0.776	0.757602	-2.37%	0.724	-6.70%	0.0602	✓	0.63
2026-03-06	oos	0.779	0.761575	-2.24%	0.719	-7.70%	0.0658	✓	0.63
2026-03-05	oos	0.796	0.7796	-2.06%	0.726	-8.79%	0.0382	✓	0.63
2026-03-04	oos	0.804	0.789138	-1.85%	0.722	-10.20%	0.0361	✓	0.64
2026-03-03	oos	0.797	0.779528	-2.19%	0.723	-9.28%	0.0610	✓	0.67
2026-03-02	oos	0.8065	0.788223	-2.27%	0.738	-8.49%	0.0587	✓	0.68
2026-03-01	oos	0.777	0.758332	-2.40%	0.733	-5.66%	0.0583	✓	0.66
2026-02-28	oos	0.796	0.776482	-2.45%	0.721	-9.42%	0.0718	✓	0.67
2026-02-27	oos	0.807	0.786207	-2.58%	0.711	-11.90%	0.1015	✓	0.68
2026-02-26	oos	0.834	0.811482	-2.70%	0.721	-13.55%	0.1064	✓	0.67
2026-02-25	oos	0.832	0.809778	-2.67%	0.726	-12.74%	0.0927	✓	0.68
2026-02-24	oos	0.76	0.739819	-2.66%	0.75	-1.32%	0.0309	✓	0.63
2026-02-23	oos	0.769	0.74904	-2.60%	0.786	+2.21%	0.0132	✓	0.62
2026-02-22	oos	0.756	0.735346	-2.73%	0.793	+4.89%	0.0480	✗	0.65
2026-02-21	oos	0.761	0.738439	-2.96%	0.795	+4.47%	0.0459	✗	0.66
2026-02-20	oos	0.734	0.71237	-2.95%	0.758	+3.27%	0.0634	✗	0.66
2026-02-19	oos	0.711	0.691251	-2.78%	0.776	+9.14%	0.0969	✗	0.66
2026-02-18	oos	0.714	0.694689	-2.70%	0.796	+11.48%	0.0968	✗	0.66
2026-02-17	oos	0.841	0.815395	-3.04%	0.79	-6.06%	0.0540	✓	0.63
2026-02-16	oos	0.864	0.836792	-3.15%	0.824	-4.63%	0.0366	✓	0.62
2026-02-15	oos	0.861	0.834036	-3.13%	0.885	+2.79%	0.0143	✓	0.62
2026-02-14	oos	0.878	0.850044	-3.18%	0.873	-0.57%	0.0170	✓	0.62
2026-02-13	oos	0.881	0.851953	-3.30%	0.852	-3.29%	0.0352	✓	0.62
2026-02-12	oos	0.85	0.823031	-3.17%	0.838	-1.41%	0.0273	✓	0.62
2026-02-11	oos	0.816	0.791035	-3.06%	0.835	+2.33%	0.0193	✓	0.61
2026-02-10	oos	0.846	0.817478	-3.37%	0.831	-1.77%	0.0013	✓	0.61
2026-02-09	oos	0.886	0.853723	-3.64%	0.815	-8.01%	0.0473	✓	0.60
2026-02-08	oos	0.892	0.858492	-3.76%	0.787	-11.77%	0.0842	✓	0.61
2026-02-07	oos	0.903	0.868859	-3.78%	0.787	-12.85%	0.0917	✓	0.61
2026-02-06	oos	0.879	0.84597	-3.76%	0.774	-11.95%	0.0474	✓	0.62
2026-02-05	oos	0.806	0.780523	-3.16%	0.776	-3.72%	0.0463	✓	0.59
2026-02-04	oos	0.867	0.832446	-3.99%	0.779	-10.15%	0.0174	✓	0.71
2026-02-03	oos	0.896	0.860941	-3.91%	0.796	-11.16%	0.0329	✓	0.70
2026-02-02	oos	0.915	0.882237	-3.58%	0.804	-12.13%	0.0358	✓	0.72
2026-02-01	oos	0.899	0.865257	-3.75%	0.797	-11.35%	0.0023	✓	0.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.924	0.891373	-3.53%	0.8065	-12.72%	0.0013	✓	0.76
2026-01-30	oos	0.948	0.919182	-3.04%	0.777	-18.04%	0.0303	✓	0.81
2026-01-29	oos	0.935	0.906413	-3.06%	0.796	-14.87%	0.0588	✗	0.81
2026-01-28	oos	0.978	0.953378	-2.52%	0.807	-17.48%	0.0819	✗	0.82
2026-01-27	oos	0.974	0.952102	-2.25%	0.834	-14.37%	0.0940	✗	0.81
2026-01-26	oos	0.949	0.928714	-2.14%	0.832	-12.33%	0.0971	✗	0.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.912	0.891055	-2.30%	0.76	-16.67%	0.0749	✗	0.78
2026-01-24	oos	0.94	0.918053	-2.33%	0.769	-18.19%	0.0714	✗	0.77
2026-01-23	oos	0.93	0.911203	-2.02%	0.756	-18.71%	0.0361	✗	0.80
2026-01-22	oos	0.912	0.893691	-2.01%	0.761	-16.56%	0.0577	✗	0.79
2026-01-21	oos	0.911	0.894488	-1.81%	0.734	-19.43%	0.0206	✗	0.80
2026-01-20	oos	0.945	0.921414	-2.50%	0.711	-24.76%	0.0354	✓	0.81
2026-01-19	oos	0.983	0.964455	-1.89%	0.714	-27.37%	0.0321	✓	0.81
2026-01-18	oos	0.991	0.972939	-1.82%	0.841	-15.14%	0.1193	✗	0.81
2026-01-17	oos	1.006	0.992242	-1.37%	0.864	-14.12%	0.1220	✗	0.81
2026-01-16	oos	1.014	1.0047	-0.92%	0.861	-15.09%	0.1112	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.987	0.979719	-0.74%	0.878	-11.04%	0.1457	✗	0.81
2026-01-14	oos	1.026	1.0206	-0.53%	0.881	-14.13%	0.1244	✗	0.79
2026-01-13	oos	0.951	0.938065	-1.36%	0.85	-10.62%	0.1791	✗	0.76
2026-01-12	oos	1.007	0.974053	-3.27%	0.816	-18.97%	0.0945	✗	0.88
2026-01-11	oos	1.007	0.975575	-3.12%	0.846	-15.99%	0.1043	✗	0.89
2026-01-10	oos	1.078	1.0417	-3.37%	0.886	-17.81%	0.0700	✗	0.91
2026-01-09	oos	1.078	1.0448	-3.08%	0.892	-17.25%	0.0746	✗	0.92
2026-01-08	oos	1.087	1.0556	-2.89%	0.903	-16.93%	0.0982	✗	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	1.116	1.0855	-2.74%	0.879	-21.24%	0.0981	✗	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	1.157	1.1324	-2.13%	0.806	-30.34%	0.1425	✗	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	1.155	1.1301	-2.16%	0.867	-24.94%	0.0372	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	1.159	1.1306	-2.45%	0.896	-22.69%	0.0034	✓	1.24
2026-01-03	oos	1.167	1.1381	-2.47%	0.915	-21.59%	0.0413	✓	1.25
2026-01-02	oos	1.162	1.1322	-2.56%	0.899	-22.63%	0.0353	✓	1.25
2026-01-01	oos	1.149	1.1182	-2.68%	0.924	-19.58%	0.0406	✓	1.24
2025-12-31	oos	1.136	1.1045	-2.77%	0.948	-16.55%	0.1045	✓	1.22
2025-12-30	oos	1.135	1.1068	-2.48%	0.935	-17.62%	0.1134	✓	1.23
2025-12-29	oos	1.119	1.088	-2.77%	0.978	-12.60%	0.1356	✓	1.25
2025-12-28	oos	1.106	1.0757	-2.74%	0.974	-11.93%	0.1169	✓	1.25
2025-12-27	oos	1.141	1.1115	-2.58%	0.949	-16.83%	0.1644	✓	1.25
2025-12-26	oos	1.203	1.1696	-2.78%	0.912	-24.19%	0.2381	✓	1.26
2025-12-25	oos	1.233	1.1977	-2.86%	0.94	-23.76%	0.2697	✓	1.26
2025-12-24	oos	1.266	1.2299	-2.85%	0.93	-26.54%	0.3062	✓	1.27
2025-12-23	oos	1.3	1.2621	-2.91%	0.912	-29.85%	0.3546	✓	1.29
2025-12-22	oos	1.286	1.2509	-2.73%	0.911	-29.16%	0.3288	✓	1.30
2025-12-21	oos	1.274	1.2369	-2.91%	0.945	-25.82%	0.2643	✓	1.30
2025-12-20	oos	1.267	1.2276	-3.11%	0.983	-22.42%	0.2850	✓	1.34
2025-12-19	oos	1.281	1.2409	-3.13%	0.991	-22.64%	0.3068	✓	1.34
2025-12-18	oos	1.218	1.1737	-3.63%	1.006	-17.41%	0.2970	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	1.229	1.184	-3.66%	1.014	-17.49%	0.2929	✓	1.35
2025-12-16	oos	1.266	1.2207	-3.58%	0.987	-22.04%	0.3257	✓	1.34
2025-12-15	oos	1.24	1.1914	-3.92%	1.026	-17.26%	0.3038	✓	1.34
2025-12-14	oos	1.285	1.2359	-3.82%	0.951	-25.99%	0.3674	✓	1.34
2025-12-13	oos	1.321	1.2722	-3.69%	1.007	-23.77%	0.2476	✓	1.34
2025-12-12	oos	1.308	1.2604	-3.64%	1.007	-23.01%	0.2332	✓	1.34
2025-12-11	oos	1.352	1.306	-3.40%	1.078	-20.27%	0.1600	✓	1.34
2025-12-10	oos	1.392	1.3445	-3.41%	1.078	-22.56%	0.1983	✓	1.35
2025-12-09	oos	1.44	1.3918	-3.35%	1.087	-24.51%	0.2227	✓	1.35
2025-12-08	oos	1.394	1.3433	-3.64%	1.116	-19.94%	0.1947	✓	1.35
2025-12-07	oos	1.391	1.3393	-3.71%	1.157	-16.82%	0.1951	✓	1.35
2025-12-06	oos	1.416	1.3608	-3.90%	1.155	-18.43%	0.2327	✓	1.37
2025-12-05	oos	1.389	1.3351	-3.88%	1.159	-16.56%	0.1740	✓	1.37
2025-12-04	oos	1.454	1.4025	-3.54%	1.167	-19.74%	0.1615	✓	1.37
2025-12-03	oos	1.482	1.4335	-3.28%	1.162	-21.59%	0.1578	✓	1.37
2025-12-02	oos	1.429	1.3814	-3.33%	1.149	-19.59%	0.1452	✓	1.37
2025-12-01	oos	1.393	1.3409	-3.74%	1.136	-18.45%	0.1861	✓	1.45
2025-11-30	oos	1.472	1.4197	-3.55%	1.135	-22.89%	0.1917	✓	1.46
2025-11-29	oos	1.4735	1.4206	-3.59%	1.119	-24.06%	0.1779	✓	1.45
2025-11-28	oos	1.492	1.4378	-3.63%	1.106	-25.87%	0.2131	✓	1.45
2025-11-27	oos	1.496	1.4415	-3.64%	1.141	-23.73%	0.1767	✓	1.46
2025-11-26	oos	1.484	1.4285	-3.74%	1.203	-18.94%	0.1200	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	1.471	1.4101	-4.14%	1.233	-16.18%	0.1316	✓	1.50
2025-11-24	oos	1.466	1.4053	-4.14%	1.266	-13.64%	0.0932	✓	1.50
2025-11-23	oos	1.396	1.3373	-4.20%	1.3	-6.88%	0.0390	✓	1.50
2025-11-22	oos	1.377	1.3172	-4.35%	1.286	-6.61%	0.0927	✓	1.54
2025-11-21	oos	1.369	1.3098	-4.33%	1.274	-6.94%	0.0908	✓	1.53
2025-11-20	oos	1.415	1.3517	-4.48%	1.267	-10.46%	0.0960	✓	1.53
2025-11-19	oos	1.452	1.387	-4.47%	1.281	-11.78%	0.0165	✓	1.68
2025-11-18	oos	1.463	1.3956	-4.60%	1.218	-16.75%	0.0051	✓	1.69
2025-11-17	oos	1.43	1.363	-4.69%	1.229	-14.06%	0.0093	✓	1.71
2025-11-16	oos	1.429	1.3619	-4.70%	1.266	-11.41%	0.0463	✓	1.71
2025-11-15	oos	1.451	1.3808	-4.84%	1.24	-14.54%	0.0650	✗	1.72
2025-11-14	oos	1.403	1.3355	-4.81%	1.285	-8.41%	0.0803	✗	1.71
2025-11-13	oos	1.424	1.3579	-4.64%	1.321	-7.23%	0.1528	✗	1.83
2025-11-12	oos	1.468	1.4021	-4.49%	1.308	-10.90%	0.1471	✗	1.83
2025-11-11	oos	1.468	1.4047	-4.31%	1.352	-7.90%	0.1598	✗	1.85
2025-11-10	oos	1.519	1.4581	-4.01%	1.392	-8.36%	0.2134	✗	1.84
2025-11-09	oos	1.509	1.4474	-4.08%	1.44	-4.57%	0.2221	✗	1.87
2025-11-08	oos	1.483	1.4196	-4.27%	1.394	-6.00%	0.2096	✗	1.89
2025-11-07	oos	1.522	1.4581	-4.20%	1.391	-8.61%	0.1972	✗	1.83
2025-11-06	oos	1.378	1.3196	-4.24%	1.416	+2.76%	0.2972	✗	1.79
2025-11-05	oos	1.397	1.3408	-4.02%	1.389	-0.57%	0.3077	✗	1.81
2025-11-04	oos	1.345	1.2931	-3.86%	1.454	+8.10%	0.2950	✗	1.83
2025-11-03	oos	1.391	1.3423	-3.50%	1.482	+6.54%	0.3511	✗	1.92
2025-11-02	oos	1.527	1.4748	-3.42%	1.429	-6.42%	0.3305	✗	1.89
2025-11-01	oos	1.5255	1.4745	-3.35%	1.393	-8.69%	0.4071	✗	1.91
2025-10-31	oos	1.496	1.4482	-3.19%	1.472	-1.60%	0.3841	✗	1.91
2025-10-30	oos	1.455	1.408	-3.23%	1.4735	+1.27%	0.3815	✗	1.91
2025-10-29	oos	1.455	1.408	-3.23%	1.492	+2.54%	0.4285	✗	1.94
2025-10-28	oos	1.457	1.4157	-2.83%	1.496	+2.68%	0.4773	✗	1.99
2025-10-27	oos	1.471	1.4293	-2.84%	1.484	+0.88%	0.4997	✗	1.99
2025-10-26	oos	1.496	1.4484	-3.18%	1.471	-1.67%	0.5557	✗	1.99
2025-10-25	oos	1.432	1.3821	-3.49%	1.466	+2.37%	0.5302	✗	2.00
2025-10-24	oos	1.428	1.3776	-3.53%	1.396	-2.24%	0.5107	✗	2.02
2025-10-23	oos	1.4	1.3515	-3.47%	1.377	-1.64%	0.5487	✗	2.02
2025-10-22	oos	1.389	1.3402	-3.51%	1.369	-1.44%	0.5011	✗	2.04
2025-10-21	oos	1.386	1.3368	-3.55%	1.415	+2.09%	0.5174	✗	2.05
2025-10-20	oos	1.408	1.3542	-3.82%	1.452	+3.12%	0.4645	✗	2.08
2025-10-19	oos	1.399	1.3468	-3.73%	1.463	+4.57%	0.4044	✗	2.05
2025-10-18	oos	1.375	1.323	-3.78%	1.43	+4.00%	0.3902	✗	2.06
2025-10-17	oos	1.356	1.3059	-3.69%	1.429	+5.38%	0.3417	✗	2.05
2025-10-16	oos	1.341	1.29	-3.80%	1.451	+8.20%	0.3760	✗	2.08
2025-10-15	oos	1.37	1.3185	-3.76%	1.403	+2.41%	0.3975	✗	2.11
2025-10-14	oos	1.399	1.3506	-3.46%	1.424	+1.79%	0.3222	✗	2.13
2025-10-13	oos	1.44	1.3955	-3.09%	1.468	+1.94%	0.3196	✗	2.14
2025-10-12	oos	1.342	1.2962	-3.41%	1.468	+9.39%	0.3552	✗	2.08
2025-10-11	oos	1.288	1.2369	-3.97%	1.519	+17.93%	0.2994	✗	2.12
2025-10-10	oos	1.341	1.2889	-3.89%	1.509	+12.53%	0.3184	✗	2.11
2025-10-09	oos	1.685	1.6406	-2.64%	1.483	-11.99%	0.2230	✗	1.86
2025-10-08	oos	1.772	1.7263	-2.58%	1.522	-14.11%	0.2052	✗	1.87
2025-10-07	oos	1.751	1.6955	-3.17%	1.378	-21.30%	0.1249	✗	1.84
2025-10-06	oos	1.868	1.8259	-2.26%	1.397	-25.21%	0.0603	✗	1.79
2025-10-05	oos	1.818	1.7657	-2.88%	1.345	-26.02%	0.0801	✗	1.79
2025-10-04	oos	1.855	1.7999	-2.97%	1.391	-25.01%	0.0066	✓	1.81
2025-10-03	oos	1.903	1.8495	-2.81%	1.527	-19.76%	0.0085	✓	1.81
2025-10-02	oos	1.983	1.917	-3.33%	1.5255	-23.07%	0.0590	✓	1.85
2025-10-01	oos	1.92	1.8509	-3.60%	1.496	-22.08%	0.0652	✓	1.85
2025-09-30	oos	1.804	1.7248	-4.39%	1.455	-19.35%	0.0734	✓	1.87
2025-09-29	oos	1.881	1.7972	-4.46%	1.455	-22.65%	0.1440	✓	1.74
2025-09-28	oos	1.84	1.7484	-4.98%	1.457	-20.82%	0.1935	✓	1.78
2025-09-27	oos	1.806	1.7092	-5.36%	1.471	-18.55%	0.2230	✓	1.85
2025-09-26	oos	1.787	1.6851	-5.70%	1.496	-16.28%	0.1999	✓	1.87
2025-09-25	oos	1.729	1.6248	-6.03%	1.432	-17.18%	0.1709	✓	1.87
2025-09-24	oos	1.87	1.7669	-5.51%	1.428	-23.64%	0.1748	✓	1.86
2025-09-23	oos	1.83	1.7279	-5.58%	1.4	-23.50%	0.1785	✓	1.87
2025-09-22	oos	1.925	1.8231	-5.29%	1.389	-27.84%	0.1797	✓	1.97
2025-09-21	oos	2.176	2.073	-4.73%	1.386	-36.31%	0.2887	✓	1.84
2025-09-20	oos	2.156	2.0527	-4.79%	1.408	-34.69%	0.3090	✓	1.48
2025-09-19	oos	2.134	2.0323	-4.77%	1.399	-34.44%	0.2946	✓	1.26
2025-09-18	oos	2.295	2.193	-4.44%	1.375	-40.09%	0.3610	✓	1.20
2025-09-17	oos	2.329	2.2243	-4.50%	1.356	-41.78%	0.3896	✓	1.17

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.