FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s0

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

47.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1253

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0320

actual -0.0241

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.046371	-2.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.047162	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.04611	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.046248	-3.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.049455	-3.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.050814	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.050802	-3.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.051683	-3.99%	0.04772	-11.35%	0.0917	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.057973	-3.72%	0.04858	-19.32%	0.1752	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.056853	-4.30%	0.04751	-20.02%	0.1804	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.064037	-4.15%	0.04779	-28.47%	0.2798	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.06277	-3.99%	0.05113	-21.80%	0.1934	✓	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.061676	-4.36%	0.05269	-18.29%	0.1495	✓	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.058714	-4.96%	0.05285	-14.45%	0.1084	✓	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.061531	-4.48%	0.05383	-16.43%	0.1218	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.066493	-3.65%	0.060215	-12.74%	0.0848	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.070929	-3.75%	0.059405	-19.39%	0.1543	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.067592	-3.58%	0.06681	-4.69%	0.0059	✓	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.069657	-4.35%	0.06538	-10.22%	0.0508	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.061477	-4.20%	0.064485	+0.49%	0.0610	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.064935	-4.02%	0.06178	-8.68%	0.0289	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.06579	-4.67%	0.064415	-6.67%	0.0192	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.063056	-4.50%	0.06901	+4.52%	0.0773	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.05815	-4.73%	0.07369	+20.73%	0.2213	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.066085	-4.27%	0.0701	+1.55%	0.0475	✗	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.063932	-4.40%	0.072825	+8.90%	0.1284	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.056174	-4.33%	0.06417	+9.29%	0.1308	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.057174	-4.23%	0.067655	+13.32%	0.1657	✗	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.057249	-4.12%	0.069015	+15.58%	0.1967	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.058263	-3.42%	0.066025	+9.45%	0.1552	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.05915	-3.13%	0.061035	-0.04%	0.0683	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.059215	-4.52%	0.06903	+11.31%	0.1135	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.067243	-4.55%	0.066875	-5.07%	0.0439	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.063835	-4.37%	0.058715	-12.04%	0.1226	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.060102	-6.24%	0.0597	-6.86%	0.1068	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.051913	-5.11%	0.05971	+9.14%	0.0373	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.042985	-1.71%	0.060325	+37.93%	0.2075	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.048142	-1.92%	0.06106	+24.40%	0.1354	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.047464	-1.49%	0.062015	+28.72%	0.2122	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.049916	-1.24%	0.07045	+39.38%	0.2944	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.050624	-0.92%	0.066755	+30.65%	0.2302	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.051868	-0.88%	0.0641	+22.49%	0.2142	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.051145	-0.46%	0.05471	+6.48%	0.0951	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.053294	-0.37%	0.043735	-18.24%	0.1605	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.055238	-0.17%	0.049085	-11.29%	0.1064	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.056153	+0.15%	0.04818	-14.07%	0.1081	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.055233	+0.18%	0.050545	-8.33%	0.0560	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.055596	+0.37%	0.051095	-7.75%	0.0530	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.059494	+0.79%	0.05233	-11.34%	0.0684	✗	1.00