FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s0

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

56.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0474

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0082

actual -0.0051

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.047427	-0.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.04827	-0.64%	0.04772	-1.77%	0.0090	✓	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.047258	-0.53%	0.04858	+2.25%	0.0165	✗	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.047518	-0.57%	0.04751	-0.59%	0.0016	✓	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.050831	-0.58%	0.04779	-6.53%	0.0683	✓	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.05235	-0.65%	0.05113	-2.96%	0.0223	✓	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.052453	-0.75%	0.05269	-0.30%	0.0111	✗	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.053453	-0.70%	0.05285	-1.82%	0.0172	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.059741	-0.79%	0.05383	-10.60%	0.0897	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.058879	-0.89%	0.060215	+1.36%	0.0098	✗	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.065885	-1.39%	0.059405	-11.08%	0.0886	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.06472	-1.01%	0.06681	+2.19%	0.0260	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.063864	-0.96%	0.06538	+1.39%	0.0207	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.061169	-0.99%	0.064485	+4.38%	0.0466	✗	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.063798	-0.96%	0.06178	-4.09%	0.0211	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.068388	-0.90%	0.064415	-6.66%	0.0465	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.072838	-1.16%	0.06901	-6.35%	0.0528	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.069338	-1.09%	0.07369	+5.12%	0.0655	✗	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.071771	-1.45%	0.0701	-3.74%	0.0354	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.063532	-0.99%	0.072825	+13.49%	0.1349	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.066947	-1.05%	0.06417	-5.15%	0.0401	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.068051	-1.40%	0.067655	-1.97%	0.0145	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.065223	-1.21%	0.069015	+4.53%	0.0571	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.060346	-1.13%	0.066025	+8.18%	0.0887	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.068102	-1.34%	0.061035	-11.58%	0.1038	✓	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.065847	-1.54%	0.06903	+3.22%	0.0469	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.058007	-1.21%	0.066875	+13.90%	0.1405	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.058934	-1.28%	0.058715	-1.65%	0.0021	✓	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.058981	-1.22%	0.0597	-0.02%	0.0120	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.059713	-1.01%	0.05971	-1.02%	0.0213	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.060497	-0.92%	0.060325	-1.20%	0.0017	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.061331	-1.10%	0.06106	-1.54%	0.0693	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.069381	-1.52%	0.062015	-11.97%	0.1113	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.065789	-1.45%	0.07045	+5.54%	0.0640	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.062926	-1.83%	0.066755	+4.14%	0.0015	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.053857	-1.56%	0.0641	+17.16%	0.1714	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.043765	+0.07%	0.05471	+25.09%	0.2158	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.048919	-0.34%	0.043735	-10.90%	0.0783	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.048116	-0.13%	0.049085	+1.88%	0.0022	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.050453	-0.18%	0.04818	-4.68%	0.0401	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.051032	-0.12%	0.050545	-1.08%	0.0103	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.052242	-0.17%	0.051095	-2.36%	0.0309	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.051322	-0.11%	0.05233	+1.85%	0.0420	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.053415	-0.14%	0.05138	-3.94%	0.0367	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.055247	-0.15%	0.05349	-3.33%	0.0242	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.055994	-0.14%	0.05533	-1.32%	0.0037	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.055129	-0.01%	0.05607	+1.70%	0.0106	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.055431	+0.07%	0.055135	-0.46%	0.0073	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.059118	+0.16%	0.05539	-6.16%	0.0454	✗	1.00