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ESP

Espresso · Ethereum · gru_s0

token id
#281
symbol
ESP
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x031de51f3e8016514bd0963d0b2ab825a591db9a
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-13
predictions
726
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
212
of 242 predictions shown
direction hit
62.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1165
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0333
actual -0.0378

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.085780.082377-3.97%–pending––1.34
2026-10-20oos0.085150.081888-3.83%–pending––1.34
2026-10-19oos0.08390.080182-4.43%–pending––1.33
2026-10-18oos0.085280.081715-4.18%–pending––1.31
2026-10-17oos0.0882250.084565-4.15%–pending––1.31
2026-10-16oos0.0925750.089377-3.45%–pending––1.31
2026-10-15oos0.094110.091514-2.76%–pending––1.29
2026-10-14oos0.0969850.09415-2.92%–pending––1.29
2026-10-13oos0.103490.100964-2.44%–pending––1.25
2026-10-12oos0.106040.102724-3.13%–pending––1.26
2026-10-11oos0.119560.116308-2.72%–pending––1.18
2026-10-10oos0.117720.114453-2.78%–pending––1.12
2026-10-09oos0.113530.110463-2.70%–pending––1.13
2026-10-08oos0.1104350.107428-2.72%–pending––1.12
2026-10-07oos0.1155250.113096-2.10%–pending––1.11
2026-10-06oos0.1176450.116345-1.10%–pending––1.11
2026-10-05oos0.1135050.112823-0.60%–pending––1.11
2026-10-04oos0.1058650.106111+0.23%–pending––1.15
2026-10-03oos0.101920.10078-1.12%–pending––1.14
2026-10-02oos0.103590.102273-1.27%–pending––1.13
2026-10-01oos0.1053550.104386-0.92%–pending––1.13
2026-09-30oos0.1050950.103658-1.37%–pending––1.13
2026-09-29oos0.0973750.096435-0.97%–pending––1.14
2026-09-28oos0.0981050.097559-0.56%–pending––1.12
2026-09-27oos0.10420.104508+0.30%–pending––1.11
2026-09-26oos0.104920.105186+0.25%–pending––1.12
2026-09-25oos0.097510.09776+0.26%–pending––1.12
2026-09-24oos0.097280.097955+0.69%–pending––1.12
2026-09-23oos0.091820.092827+1.10%–pending––1.13
2026-09-22oos0.0951250.096789+1.75%–pending––1.06
2026-09-21oos0.0941450.096232+2.22%0.08578-8.89%0.0672✗1.04
2026-09-20oos0.0936750.093455-0.24%0.08515-9.10%0.1181✓1.15
2026-09-19oos0.095920.096091+0.18%0.0839-12.53%0.1441✗1.14
2026-09-18oos0.0888650.088851-0.02%0.08528-4.03%0.0567✓1.13
2026-09-17oos0.084810.082958-2.18%0.088225+4.03%0.0125✓1.16
2026-09-16oos0.082810.081297-1.83%0.092575+11.79%0.0518✗1.15
2026-09-15oos0.082450.080815-1.98%0.09411+14.14%0.0544✗1.18
2026-09-14oos0.0862450.085724-0.60%0.096985+12.45%0.0715✗1.22
2026-09-13oos0.084710.083833-1.03%0.10349+22.17%0.1155✗1.21
2026-09-12oos0.0898050.088596-1.35%0.10604+18.08%0.1125✗1.19
2026-09-11oos0.091860.09058-1.39%0.11956+30.15%0.1824✗1.18
2026-09-10oos0.0870850.086054-1.18%0.11772+35.18%0.2202✗1.16
2026-09-09oos0.092170.09166-0.55%0.11353+23.17%0.1539✗1.13
2026-09-08oos0.09260.092319-0.30%0.110435+19.26%0.1331✗1.14
2026-09-07oos0.087350.087628+0.32%0.115525+32.26%0.2160✓1.17
2026-09-06oos0.092110.092405+0.32%0.117645+27.72%0.1717✓1.11
2026-09-05oos0.087420.087896+0.54%0.113505+29.84%0.1764✓1.11
2026-09-04oos0.085090.085787+0.82%0.105865+24.42%0.1220✓1.07
2026-09-03oos0.087110.088375+1.45%0.10192+17.00%0.0979✓1.07
2026-09-02oos0.083120.083172+0.06%0.10359+24.63%0.1189✓1.13
2026-09-01oos0.083280.083456+0.21%0.105355+26.51%0.1313✓1.11
2026-08-31oos0.0782050.079364+1.48%0.105095+34.38%0.2187✓1.01
2026-08-30oos0.07870.07945+0.95%0.097375+23.73%0.1275✓1.03
2026-08-29oos0.0820450.08329+1.52%0.098105+19.57%0.0979✓1.02
2026-08-28oos0.084050.086057+2.39%0.1042+23.97%0.1077✓1.02
2026-08-27oos0.08660.08994+3.86%0.10492+21.15%0.1026✓1.02
2026-08-26oos0.0912150.093846+2.88%0.09751+6.90%0.0270✓1.05
2026-08-25oos0.0897450.092481+3.05%0.09728+8.40%0.0250✓1.05
2026-08-24oos0.089410.092896+3.90%0.09182+2.70%0.0809✗1.05
2026-08-23oos0.091150.094424+3.59%0.095125+4.36%0.1040✗1.08
2026-08-22oos0.086550.090111+4.11%0.094145+8.78%0.0816✗1.07
2026-08-21oos0.085920.089904+4.64%0.093675+9.03%0.0026✓1.08
2026-08-20oos0.0838350.085046+1.44%0.09592+14.42%0.0068✓1.19
2026-08-19oos0.079440.079158-0.36%0.088865+11.86%0.0732✓1.22
2026-08-18oos0.071170.069964-1.69%0.08481+19.17%0.0017✓1.17
2026-08-17oos0.072640.071202-1.98%0.08281+14.00%0.0443✓1.17
2026-08-16oos0.0710750.069267-2.54%0.08245+16.00%0.0449✓1.19
2026-08-15oos0.0723550.070419-2.68%0.086245+19.20%0.0519✓1.18
2026-08-14oos0.0733150.07125-2.82%0.08471+15.54%0.0647✓1.20
2026-08-13oos0.0751950.072991-2.93%0.089805+19.43%0.0335✓1.22
2026-08-12oos0.071470.069375-2.93%0.09186+28.53%0.0510✗1.17
2026-08-11oos0.0712050.069032-3.05%0.087085+22.30%0.0166✓1.16
2026-08-10oos0.0722650.070141-2.94%0.09217+27.54%0.0373✗1.16
2026-08-09oos0.07160.069718-2.63%0.0926+29.33%0.0595✗1.18
2026-08-08oos0.064450.062912-2.39%0.08735+35.53%0.0962✗1.17
2026-08-07oos0.0671150.065305-2.70%0.09211+37.24%0.0896✗1.19
2026-08-06oos0.061080.059576-2.46%0.08742+43.12%0.1343✗1.15
2026-08-05oos0.0607350.059198-2.53%0.08509+40.10%0.1200✗1.16
2026-08-04oos0.0611850.059569-2.64%0.08711+42.37%0.1072✗1.15
2026-08-03oos0.063690.061792-2.98%0.08312+30.51%0.0676✗1.16
2026-08-02oos0.0640.062039-3.06%0.08328+30.13%0.0622✗1.17
2026-08-01oos0.065720.063465-3.43%0.078205+19.00%0.0564✓1.18
2026-07-31oos0.0643550.062261-3.25%0.0787+22.29%0.0159✓1.18
2026-07-30oos0.070680.069007-2.37%0.082045+16.08%0.0398✓1.12
2026-07-29oos0.0655950.064043-2.37%0.08405+28.13%0.0620✗1.06
2026-07-28oos0.068750.067114-2.38%0.0866+25.96%0.0110✓1.07
2026-07-27oos0.080950.078625-2.87%0.091215+12.68%0.0867✓1.09
2026-07-26oos0.109890.104133-5.24%0.089745-18.33%0.3069✓0.86
2026-07-25oos0.074760.073338-1.90%0.08941+19.60%0.0658✗0.64
2026-07-24oos0.074610.073216-1.87%0.09115+22.17%0.0968✗0.63
2026-07-23oos0.071630.070714-1.28%0.08655+20.83%0.0937✗0.64
2026-07-22oos0.0731250.072461-0.91%0.08592+17.50%0.0650✗0.62
2026-07-21oos0.070470.070135-0.48%0.083835+18.97%0.1194✗0.63
2026-07-20oos0.071770.071119-0.91%0.07944+10.69%0.0712✗0.65
2026-07-19oos0.070160.069454-1.01%0.07117+1.44%0.0244✗0.64
2026-07-18oos0.0714450.07077-0.94%0.07264+1.67%0.0292✗0.64
2026-07-17oos0.0751150.073971-1.52%0.071075-5.38%0.0276✓0.74
2026-07-16oos0.07410.072991-1.50%0.072355-2.35%0.0002✓0.76
2026-07-15oos0.072620.071811-1.11%0.073315+0.96%0.0415✗0.76
2026-07-14oos0.070420.069776-0.91%0.075195+6.78%0.0935✗0.77
2026-07-13oos0.067470.066434-1.54%0.07147+5.93%0.0592✗0.76
2026-07-12oos0.064410.063698-1.11%0.071205+10.55%0.1141✗0.81
2026-07-11oos0.0663350.065474-1.30%0.072265+8.94%0.0969✗0.84
2026-07-10oos0.066360.065405-1.44%0.0716+7.90%0.0807✗0.87
2026-07-09oos0.064070.063012-1.65%0.06445+0.59%0.0008✓0.86
2026-07-08oos0.064150.062909-1.94%0.067115+4.62%0.0287✗0.86
2026-07-07oos0.064630.063397-1.91%0.06108-5.49%0.0501✓0.87
2026-07-06oos0.066560.065211-2.03%0.060735-8.75%0.0795✓0.90
2026-07-05oos0.0666850.065218-2.20%0.061185-8.25%0.0711✓0.99
2026-07-04oos0.069950.068393-2.23%0.06369-8.95%0.0773✓1.01
2026-07-03oos0.06720.065651-2.30%0.064-4.76%0.0407✓0.98
2026-07-02oos0.0679850.066234-2.58%0.06572-3.33%0.0282✓0.99
2026-07-01oos0.066160.064217-2.94%0.064355-2.73%0.0439✓0.99
2026-06-30oos0.066520.063942-3.88%0.07068+6.25%0.0020✓1.01
2026-06-29oos0.069740.067518-3.19%0.065595-5.94%0.0891✓1.00
2026-06-28oos0.0661250.063977-3.25%0.06875+3.97%0.0035✓0.97
2026-06-27oos0.066540.064408-3.20%0.08095+21.66%0.1704✗0.96
2026-06-26oos0.069340.066889-3.53%0.10989+58.48%0.4152✗0.95
2026-06-25oos0.063360.06128-3.28%0.07476+17.99%0.1294✗0.94
2026-06-24oos0.058580.056775-3.08%0.07461+27.36%0.2216✗1.04
2026-06-23oos0.0585050.056702-3.08%0.07163+22.43%0.1929✗1.08
2026-06-22oos0.0599150.058105-3.02%0.073125+22.05%0.1945✗1.08
2026-06-21oos0.0616450.059671-3.20%0.07047+14.32%0.1108✗1.10
2026-06-20oos0.061780.059752-3.28%0.07177+16.17%0.1664✗1.10
2026-06-19oos0.061280.059237-3.33%0.07016+14.49%0.1490✗1.07
2026-06-18oos0.0635750.061476-3.30%0.071445+12.38%0.1171✗1.11
2026-06-17oos0.067850.065599-3.32%0.075115+10.71%0.1448✗1.09
2026-06-16oos0.074910.072262-3.53%0.0741-1.08%0.0550✗1.05
2026-06-15oos0.0725550.069941-3.60%0.07262+0.09%0.0631✗1.07
2026-06-14oos0.072160.069441-3.77%0.07042-2.41%0.0259✓1.08
2026-06-13oos0.071790.068848-4.10%0.06747-6.02%0.0185✓1.13
2026-06-12oos0.072520.069615-4.01%0.06441-11.18%0.0813✓1.13
2026-06-11oos0.066540.063901-3.97%0.066335-0.31%0.0337✓1.12
2026-06-10oos0.0636950.061142-4.01%0.06636+4.18%0.0346✓1.11
2026-06-09oos0.067980.064982-4.41%0.06407-5.75%0.0406✓1.11
2026-06-08oos0.066120.063082-4.59%0.06415-2.98%0.0318✓1.14
2026-06-07oos0.06680.063517-4.91%0.06463-3.25%0.0170✓1.10
2026-06-06oos0.066170.062833-5.04%0.06656+0.59%0.0016✓1.11
2026-06-05oos0.064740.061261-5.37%0.066685+3.00%0.0393✓1.11
2026-06-04oos0.070640.066103-6.42%0.06995-0.98%0.0688✗1.08
2026-06-03oos0.061860.058447-5.52%0.0672+8.63%0.1668✗1.14
2026-06-02oos0.057580.054359-5.59%0.067985+18.07%0.3220✗1.22
2026-06-01oos0.061980.058573-5.50%0.06616+6.74%0.3203✗1.14
2026-05-31oos0.063880.060626-5.09%0.06652+4.13%0.3569✗1.15
2026-05-30oos0.065240.062025-4.93%0.06974+6.90%0.3215✗1.00
2026-05-29oos0.064470.061304-4.91%0.066125+2.57%0.2763✗0.96
2026-05-28oos0.065880.06267-4.87%0.06654+1.00%0.2504✗0.93
2026-05-27oos0.066450.063468-4.49%0.06934+4.35%0.2967✗0.97
2026-05-26oos0.067280.064852-3.61%0.06336-5.83%0.2185✗1.01
2026-05-25oos0.070450.068317-3.03%0.05858-16.85%0.0257✓0.76
2026-05-24oos0.065660.063789-2.85%0.058505-10.90%0.0381✗0.60
2026-05-23oos0.066040.063956-3.16%0.059915-9.27%0.0326✓0.18
2026-05-22oos0.064450.061994-3.81%0.061645-4.35%0.0269✓0.18
2026-05-21oos0.067540.065254-3.38%0.06178-8.53%0.0262✓0.15
2026-05-20oos0.065590.063219-3.62%0.06128-6.57%0.0032✓0.14
2026-05-19oos0.064840.062366-3.82%0.063575-1.95%0.0397✗0.10
2026-05-18oos0.0663050.063869-3.67%0.06785+2.33%0.0499✗-0.06
2026-05-17oos0.064320.062344-3.07%0.07491+16.46%0.1747✗-0.05
2026-05-16oos0.068910.067165-2.53%0.072555+5.29%0.0653✗-0.07
2026-05-15oos0.0750350.07341-2.17%0.07216-3.83%0.0272✓-0.05
2026-05-14oos0.0725750.071486-1.50%0.07179-1.08%0.0060✓-0.04
2026-05-13oos0.071220.069813-1.98%0.07252+1.83%0.0262✗-0.05
2026-05-12oos0.0731850.072282-1.23%0.06654-9.08%0.0983✓-0.07
2026-05-11oos0.0753550.07494-0.55%0.063695-15.47%0.1852✓-0.08
2026-05-10oos0.0766850.076414-0.35%0.06798-11.35%0.1409✓-0.08
2026-05-09oos0.073520.07299-0.72%0.06612-10.07%0.1236✓-0.10
2026-05-08oos0.075260.074414-1.12%0.0668-11.24%0.1312✓-0.10
2026-05-07oos0.0712650.070665-0.84%0.06617-7.15%0.0928✓-0.10
2026-05-06oos0.0700550.070314+0.37%0.06474-7.59%0.1092✗-0.09
2026-05-05oos0.0709750.071175+0.28%0.07064-0.47%0.0290✗-0.09
2026-05-04oos0.068120.067849-0.40%0.06186-9.19%0.1149✓-0.10
2026-05-03oos0.067960.066768-1.75%0.05758-15.27%0.1650✓-0.10
2026-05-02oos0.06820.066869-1.95%0.06198-9.12%0.0861✓-0.10
2026-05-01oos0.067640.066311-1.96%0.06388-5.56%0.0437✓-0.10
2026-04-30oos0.06790.065914-2.92%0.06524-3.92%0.0137✓-0.10
2026-04-29oos0.0677350.065187-3.76%0.06447-4.82%0.0144✓-0.10
2026-04-28oos0.068310.065798-3.68%0.06588-3.56%0.0027✓-0.11
2026-04-27oos0.0681950.065769-3.56%0.06645-2.56%0.0061✓-0.11
2026-04-26oos0.0701150.068066-2.92%0.06728-4.04%0.0161✓-0.12
2026-04-25oos0.07080.067791-4.25%0.07045-0.49%0.0379✓-0.12
2026-04-24oos0.077960.074074-4.98%0.06566-15.78%0.1213✓-0.12
2026-04-23oos0.074640.071168-4.65%0.06604-11.52%0.0770✓-0.10
2026-04-22oos0.068860.065511-4.86%0.06445-6.40%0.0200✓-0.10
2026-04-21oos0.068450.06423-6.17%0.06754-1.33%0.0519✓-0.11
2026-04-20oos0.068050.063573-6.58%0.06559-3.61%0.0335✓-0.11
2026-04-19oos0.067120.062186-7.35%0.06484-3.40%0.0464✓-0.12
2026-04-18oos0.074840.069714-6.85%0.066305-11.40%0.0470✓-0.20
2026-04-17oos0.07830.073828-5.71%0.06432-17.85%0.1370✓-0.23
2026-04-16oos0.077370.072088-6.83%0.06891-10.93%0.0359✓-0.24
2026-04-15oos0.076030.070773-6.91%0.075035-1.31%0.0717✗-0.24
2026-04-14oos0.074310.068852-7.35%0.072575-2.33%0.0745✓-0.25
2026-04-13oos0.0771950.071499-7.38%0.07122-7.74%0.0119✓-0.25
2026-04-12oos0.072870.067012-8.04%0.073185+0.43%0.1337✗-0.35
2026-04-11oos0.0778450.071246-8.48%0.075355-3.20%0.1052✗-0.44
2026-04-10oos0.0781450.071213-8.87%0.076685-1.87%0.1262✗-0.44
2026-04-09oos0.0781250.070895-9.25%0.07352-5.89%0.0876✓-0.44
2026-04-08oos0.0772950.069628-9.92%0.07526-2.63%0.1313✗-0.44
2026-04-07oos0.087850.078638-10.49%0.071265-18.88%0.0453✓-0.50
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