EMBER
embercurve · Solana · gru_s0
- token id
- #783
- symbol
- EMBER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 5dvXTZ5qwgafnHtwu3Ls3QrWx1U4LQsFeCuJgkk4QEC6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 96
Track record at +1d
assessed
31
of 32 predictions shown
direction hit
54.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1336
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0065
actual -0.0513
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002465 | 0.002453 | -0.50% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.002424 | 0.002417 | -0.29% | 0.002465 | +1.69% | 0.0243 | ✗ | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.002855 | 0.002847 | -0.29% | 0.002424 | -15.11% | 0.1835 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003005 | 0.002997 | -0.28% | 0.002855 | -4.98% | 0.0447 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003031 | 0.00303 | -0.06% | 0.003005 | -0.87% | 0.0210 | ✓ | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002896 | 0.002899 | +0.12% | 0.003031 | +4.70% | 0.0471 | ✓ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003313 | 0.003309 | -0.13% | 0.002896 | -12.60% | 0.1209 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002646 | 0.002646 | -0.03% | 0.003313 | +25.18% | 0.2144 | ✗ | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003509 | 0.003512 | +0.07% | 0.002646 | -24.58% | 0.2605 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00415 | 0.004159 | +0.22% | 0.003509 | -15.45% | 0.1926 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005229 | 0.00521 | -0.37% | 0.00415 | -20.64% | 0.2039 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005076 | 0.005075 | -0.02% | 0.005229 | +3.02% | 0.0208 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005148 | 0.005155 | +0.13% | 0.005076 | -1.40% | 0.0198 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005587 | 0.005594 | +0.13% | 0.005148 | -7.86% | 0.0935 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.006234 | 0.006204 | -0.49% | 0.005587 | -10.38% | 0.0855 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005932 | 0.005867 | -1.09% | 0.006234 | +5.09% | 0.0875 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.004325 | 0.004259 | -1.53% | 0.005932 | +37.16% | 0.3338 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.004877 | 0.004798 | -1.61% | 0.004325 | -11.32% | 0.0950 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005381 | 0.005328 | -0.99% | 0.004877 | -9.37% | 0.1091 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006784 | 0.006728 | -0.84% | 0.005381 | -20.68% | 0.2261 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007134 | 0.007054 | -1.11% | 0.006784 | -4.89% | 0.0349 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006565 | 0.006478 | -1.33% | 0.007134 | +8.66% | 0.0811 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00693 | 0.006823 | -1.54% | 0.006565 | -5.27% | 0.0376 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00905 | 0.008985 | -0.72% | 0.00693 | -23.43% | 0.2619 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01286 | 0.012769 | -0.71% | 0.00905 | -29.63% | 0.3323 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013545 | 0.013445 | -0.74% | 0.01286 | -5.06% | 0.0450 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013902 | -0.77% | 0.013545 | -3.32% | 0.0299 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0134 | 0.013316 | -0.62% | 0.01401 | +4.55% | 0.0543 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01968 | 0.019355 | -1.65% | 0.0134 | -31.91% | 0.3678 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01742 | 0.017152 | -1.54% | 0.01968 | +12.97% | 0.1588 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.01335 | 0.013235 | -0.86% | 0.01742 | +30.49% | 0.2794 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011735 | 0.011621 | -0.97% | 0.01335 | +13.76% | 0.0739 | ✗ | 1.00 |