CSPR

Casper Network · native · gru_s0

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +7d

assessed

77

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

61.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0885

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0160

actual -0.0015

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002215	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002212	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002143	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002228	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002297	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002292	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.00226	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002392	-2.34%	0.002257	-7.85%	0.0659	✓	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002441	-1.96%	0.002253	-9.52%	0.0791	✓	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002372	-2.59%	0.002189	-10.10%	0.0808	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002434	-1.95%	0.002275	-8.36%	0.0565	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002386	-2.35%	0.002348	-3.87%	0.0054	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002434	-2.55%	0.002345	-6.12%	0.0302	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002271	-3.08%	0.002311	-1.36%	0.0147	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002378	-2.18%	0.002449	+0.71%	0.0400	✗	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002465	-1.36%	0.00249	-0.37%	0.0246	✗	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.00257	-1.30%	0.002435	-6.48%	0.0301	✓	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002553	-1.05%	0.002483	-3.79%	0.0115	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002532	-1.49%	0.002443	-4.96%	0.0249	✓	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002497	-1.58%	0.002498	-1.56%	0.0120	✓	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002526	-1.43%	0.002343	-8.56%	0.0561	✓	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.0026	-1.78%	0.002432	-8.16%	0.0654	✓	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.00267	-1.74%	0.002499	-8.02%	0.0777	✓	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002682	-1.80%	0.002604	-4.67%	0.0436	✓	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002751	-1.41%	0.00258	-7.53%	0.0761	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002705	-1.37%	0.002571	-6.28%	0.0531	✓	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.00267	-1.34%	0.002537	-6.26%	0.0536	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002645	-1.10%	0.002563	-4.18%	0.0344	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002701	-1.07%	0.002648	-3.03%	0.0151	✓	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002767	-0.75%	0.002717	-2.55%	0.0036	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002768	-0.62%	0.002731	-1.95%	0.0046	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002616	-1.31%	0.00279	+5.25%	0.0458	✗	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.00281	-1.39%	0.002743	-3.76%	0.0416	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002666	-1.13%	0.002707	+0.37%	0.0024	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002551	-1.26%	0.002674	+3.52%	0.0045	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002467	-0.95%	0.00273	+9.61%	0.0574	✗	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002553	-1.01%	0.002788	+8.13%	0.0308	✗	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002851	-1.34%	0.002786	-3.60%	0.0500	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002864	-1.31%	0.002651	-8.63%	0.0923	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002995	-1.42%	0.00285	-6.20%	0.0624	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.0029	-1.13%	0.002697	-8.05%	0.0844	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002939	-1.16%	0.002583	-13.11%	0.1282	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002987	-1.03%	0.002491	-17.47%	0.1750	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002872	-0.76%	0.002579	-10.88%	0.0985	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002837	-0.58%	0.00289	+1.25%	0.0211	✗	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.0028	-0.31%	0.002902	+3.31%	0.0472	✗	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002833	-0.41%	0.003038	+6.79%	0.0783	✗	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002658	-0.13%	0.002933	+10.19%	0.1066	✗	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002661	+0.14%	0.002973	+11.91%	0.1267	✓	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002666	-0.49%	0.003018	+12.66%	0.1198	✗	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002743	-0.50%	0.002894	+4.95%	0.0489	✗	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.00276	-0.31%	0.002854	+3.10%	0.0314	✗	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002622	-0.34%	0.002809	+6.75%	0.0585	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002866	-0.51%	0.002845	-1.22%	0.0120	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002948	-0.48%	0.002662	-10.15%	0.1078	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002921	+0.11%	0.002657	-8.94%	0.0979	✗	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.00276	-0.02%	0.002679	-2.95%	0.0247	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.003012	-0.83%	0.002757	-9.23%	0.0850	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002844	-0.39%	0.002768	-3.04%	0.0255	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002483	+0.13%	0.002631	+6.10%	0.0581	✓	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002635	-0.11%	0.00288	+9.21%	0.0860	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002829	-0.10%	0.002962	+4.60%	0.0465	✗	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002617	-0.99%	0.002917	+10.37%	0.1251	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002495	-1.81%	0.002761	+8.62%	0.0303	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002678	-3.22%	0.003037	+9.77%	0.0680	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.00298	-4.35%	0.002855	-8.38%	0.2459	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002587	-3.71%	0.00248	-7.70%	0.2551	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002684	-4.09%	0.002637	-5.74%	0.2184	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002457	-3.38%	0.002832	+11.36%	0.0761	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.0023	-2.92%	0.002643	+11.58%	0.0015	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002169	-2.69%	0.002541	+14.00%	0.0695	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.00214	-2.73%	0.002767	+25.79%	0.2391	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.002003	-2.52%	0.003116	+51.64%	0.4330	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001912	-2.14%	0.002687	+37.51%	0.3717	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001889	-2.19%	0.002798	+44.91%	0.4226	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001959	-2.60%	0.002543	+26.43%	0.2908	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001797	-2.25%	0.002369	+28.84%	0.2893	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001799	-2.25%	0.002229	+21.14%	0.2331	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001877	-2.54%	0.0022	+14.21%	0.1667	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001843	-2.56%	0.002055	+8.63%	0.1018	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001847	-2.63%	0.001954	+2.98%	0.0351	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001873	-2.95%	0.001931	+0.06%	0.0031	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001806	-2.92%	0.002011	+8.13%	0.0754	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001767	-3.79%	0.001839	+0.13%	0.0470	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.