BP

Backpack · Solana · gru_s0

token id: #474
symbol: BP
variant: –
chain: Solana
address: BPxxfRCXkUVhig4HS1Lh7kZqV6SPJhzfEk4x6fVBjPCy
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-23
predictions: 612

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

197

of 204 predictions shown

direction hit

56.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1617

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0172

actual +0.0676

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.0984	1.0704	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-20	oos	1.0962	1.0697	-2.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-19	oos	1.1594	1.1304	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-18	oos	1.1091	1.0811	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-17	oos	0.97705	0.955797	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	1.0034	0.97984	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-15	oos	1.0144	0.989704	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	1.0044	0.979718	-2.45%	1.0984	+9.37%	0.0964	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	1.0445	1.019	-2.44%	1.0962	+4.96%	0.0757	✗	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	1.0973	1.0692	-2.55%	1.1594	+5.66%	0.0793	✗	1.36
2026-10-11	oos	1.1975	1.1686	-2.42%	1.1091	-7.39%	0.0268	✓	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	1.1394	1.1118	-2.42%	0.97705	-14.24%	0.1055	✓	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	1.2027	1.1731	-2.46%	1.0034	-16.57%	0.1400	✓	1.28
2026-10-08	oos	1.126	1.0977	-2.51%	1.0144	-9.91%	0.0856	✓	1.26
2026-10-07	oos	1.0901	1.0656	-2.25%	1.0044	-7.87%	0.0322	✓	1.30
2026-10-06	oos	1.1856	1.1617	-2.01%	1.0445	-11.90%	0.0704	✓	1.24
2026-10-05	oos	1.2399	1.2148	-2.02%	1.0973	-11.50%	0.0414	✓	1.26
2026-10-04	oos	1.2509	1.2272	-1.89%	1.1975	-4.26%	0.0172	✓	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	1.2619	1.2347	-2.16%	1.1394	-9.72%	0.0524	✓	1.28
2026-10-02	oos	1.1594	1.1372	-1.91%	1.2027	+3.74%	0.0859	✗	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	1.268	1.2394	-2.26%	1.126	-11.21%	0.0489	✓	1.24
2026-09-30	oos	1.2865	1.2538	-2.54%	1.0901	-15.26%	0.1358	✓	1.22
2026-09-29	oos	1.1463	1.1237	-1.97%	1.1856	+3.42%	0.0261	✗	1.22
2026-09-28	oos	1.2709	1.2422	-2.25%	1.2399	-2.44%	0.0357	✓	1.25
2026-09-27	oos	1.3501	1.3138	-2.69%	1.2509	-7.35%	0.0764	✓	1.14
2026-09-26	oos	1.3079	1.2735	-2.63%	1.2619	-3.51%	0.0135	✓	1.15
2026-09-25	oos	1.3502	1.2859	-4.77%	1.1594	-14.14%	0.1094	✓	1.19
2026-09-24	oos	1.0486	1.022	-2.54%	1.268	+20.93%	0.2089	✗	1.25
2026-09-23	oos	0.848	0.834916	-1.54%	1.2865	+51.70%	0.4447	✗	1.27
2026-09-22	oos	0.76025	0.754952	-0.70%	1.1463	+50.78%	0.4615	✗	1.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.89395	0.875518	-2.06%	1.2709	+42.16%	0.4232	✗	1.37
2026-09-20	oos	0.82965	0.79703	-3.93%	1.3501	+62.73%	0.4692	✗	1.45
2026-09-19	oos	0.64225	0.637234	-0.78%	1.3079	+103.64%	0.6627	✗	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.57225	0.570937	-0.23%	1.3502	+135.95%	0.8051	✗	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.5342	0.531221	-0.56%	1.0486	+96.29%	0.5325	✗	1.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.4646	0.465268	+0.14%	0.848	+82.52%	0.4499	✓	1.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.4664	0.467092	+0.15%	0.76025	+63.00%	0.3222	✓	1.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.5093	0.510072	+0.15%	0.89395	+75.53%	0.4469	✓	1.12
2026-09-13	oos	0.4988	0.499657	+0.17%	0.82965	+66.33%	0.4455	✓	1.11
2026-09-12	oos	0.5479	0.54701	-0.16%	0.64225	+17.22%	0.1074	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.56005	0.558709	-0.24%	0.57225	+2.18%	0.0342	✓	1.25
2026-09-10	oos	0.5563	0.55484	-0.26%	0.5342	-3.97%	0.0347	✓	1.30
2026-09-09	oos	0.59295	0.589896	-0.52%	0.4646	-21.65%	0.2038	✓	1.26
2026-09-08	oos	0.573	0.570889	-0.37%	0.4664	-18.60%	0.1529	✓	1.32
2026-09-07	oos	0.51165	0.513291	+0.32%	0.5093	-0.46%	0.0082	✓	1.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.4892	0.492832	+0.74%	0.4988	+1.96%	0.0759	✓	1.42
2026-09-05	oos	0.43585	0.441292	+1.25%	0.5479	+25.71%	0.2623	✓	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.4332	0.43889	+1.31%	0.56005	+29.28%	0.2902	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.45165	0.458229	+1.46%	0.5563	+23.17%	0.2820	✓	1.47
2026-09-02	oos	0.42545	0.430018	+1.07%	0.59295	+39.37%	0.3034	✓	1.42
2026-09-01	oos	0.3946	0.400217	+1.42%	0.573	+45.21%	0.3392	✓	1.46
2026-08-31	oos	0.4092	0.415619	+1.57%	0.51165	+25.04%	0.2023	✓	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.4054	0.411091	+1.40%	0.4892	+20.67%	0.1587	✓	0.45
2026-08-29	oos	0.4135	0.419179	+1.37%	0.43585	+5.41%	0.0287	✓	0.51
2026-08-28	oos	0.4334	0.438491	+1.17%	0.4332	-0.05%	0.0242	✗	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.4455	0.452478	+1.57%	0.45165	+1.38%	0.0081	✓	0.51
2026-08-26	oos	0.4339	0.440221	+1.46%	0.42545	-1.95%	0.0230	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.4389	0.444773	+1.34%	0.3946	-10.09%	0.1123	✗	0.51
2026-08-24	oos	0.4103	0.416925	+1.61%	0.4092	-0.27%	0.0160	✗	0.50
2026-08-23	oos	0.4431	0.44828	+1.17%	0.4054	-8.51%	0.1001	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.4304	0.43529	+1.14%	0.4135	-3.93%	0.0595	✗	0.53
2026-08-21	oos	0.4728	0.476804	+0.85%	0.4334	-8.33%	0.0924	✗	0.49
2026-08-20	oos	0.4026	0.403331	+0.18%	0.4455	+10.66%	0.0759	✓	0.25
2026-08-19	oos	0.4004	0.396495	-0.98%	0.4339	+8.37%	0.0515	✗	0.29
2026-08-18	oos	0.3608	0.355095	-1.58%	0.4389	+21.65%	0.1891	✗	0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.3692	0.36293	-1.70%	0.4103	+11.13%	0.1005	✗	0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.3661	0.359665	-1.76%	0.4431	+21.03%	0.1842	✗	0.12
2026-08-15	oos	0.3707	0.36386	-1.85%	0.4304	+16.10%	0.1441	✗	0.12
2026-08-14	oos	0.3817	0.374104	-1.99%	0.4728	+23.87%	0.2057	✗	0.13
2026-08-13	oos	0.3807	0.37257	-2.14%	0.4026	+5.75%	0.0586	✗	0.13
2026-08-12	oos	0.3817	0.373056	-2.26%	0.4004	+4.90%	0.0556	✗	0.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.3759	0.36676	-2.43%	0.3608	-4.02%	0.0191	✓	0.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.3539	0.344902	-2.54%	0.3692	+4.32%	0.0668	✗	0.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.4022	0.392115	-2.51%	0.3661	-8.98%	0.0647	✓	0.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.3854	0.375654	-2.53%	0.3707	-3.81%	0.0098	✓	0.12
2026-08-07	oos	0.4063	0.396103	-2.51%	0.3817	-6.05%	0.0335	✓	0.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.4411	0.429228	-2.69%	0.3807	-13.69%	0.1179	✓	0.15
2026-08-05	oos	0.4013	0.390947	-2.58%	0.3817	-4.88%	0.0208	✓	0.17
2026-08-04	oos	0.3902	0.379607	-2.71%	0.3759	-3.66%	0.0083	✓	0.18
2026-08-03	oos	0.3691	0.359173	-2.69%	0.3539	-4.12%	0.0160	✓	0.17
2026-08-02	oos	0.3812	0.370916	-2.70%	0.4022	+5.51%	0.0780	✗	0.14
2026-08-01	oos	0.3678	0.358085	-2.64%	0.3854	+4.79%	0.0703	✗	0.09
2026-07-31	oos	0.3676	0.358086	-2.59%	0.4063	+10.53%	0.1232	✗	0.10
2026-07-30	oos	0.4028	0.393089	-2.41%	0.4411	+9.51%	0.1154	✗	0.02
2026-07-29	oos	0.4315	0.421971	-2.21%	0.4013	-7.00%	0.0510	✓	0.07
2026-07-28	oos	0.4521	0.442569	-2.11%	0.3902	-13.69%	0.1262	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.4452	0.435954	-2.08%	0.3691	-17.09%	0.1662	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.4715	0.460801	-2.27%	0.3812	-19.15%	0.1888	✓	0.03
2026-07-25	oos	0.4618	0.450791	-2.38%	0.3678	-20.36%	0.2029	✓	0.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.4467	0.436282	-2.33%	0.3676	-17.71%	0.1709	✓	0.02
2026-07-23	oos	0.4334	0.422619	-2.49%	0.4028	-7.06%	0.0479	✓	0.03
2026-07-22	oos	0.4646	0.451918	-2.73%	0.4315	-7.12%	0.0465	✓	-0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.4645	0.452432	-2.60%	0.4521	-2.67%	0.0012	✓	-0.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.4481	0.436296	-2.63%	0.4452	-0.65%	0.0193	✓	-0.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.4327	0.421411	-2.61%	0.4715	+8.97%	0.1128	✗	-0.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.4838	0.471473	-2.55%	0.4618	-4.55%	0.0210	✓	-0.03
2026-07-17	oos	0.472	0.459536	-2.64%	0.4467	-5.36%	0.0283	✓	-0.01
2026-07-16	oos	0.5022	0.489505	-2.53%	0.4334	-13.70%	0.1217	✓	-0.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.5499	0.537518	-2.25%	0.4646	-15.51%	0.1432	✓	-0.13
2026-07-14	oos	0.5377	0.525601	-2.25%	0.4645	-13.61%	0.1209	✓	-0.11
2026-07-13	oos	0.5299	0.515966	-2.63%	0.4481	-15.44%	0.1347	✓	-0.14
2026-07-12	oos	0.556	0.542931	-2.35%	0.4327	-22.18%	0.2243	✓	-0.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.5853	0.571797	-2.31%	0.4838	-17.34%	0.1650	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.5659	0.552866	-2.30%	0.472	-16.59%	0.1585	✓	-0.09
2026-07-09	oos	0.544	0.530573	-2.47%	0.5022	-7.68%	0.0540	✓	-0.10
2026-07-08	oos	0.5505	0.536153	-2.61%	0.5499	-0.11%	0.0291	✗	-0.10
2026-07-07	oos	0.5861	0.571813	-2.44%	0.5377	-8.26%	0.0577	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.5768	0.563056	-2.38%	0.5299	-8.13%	0.0644	✓	-0.13
2026-07-05	oos	0.5198	0.506453	-2.57%	0.556	+6.96%	0.0936	✗	-0.12
2026-07-04	oos	0.5456	0.531502	-2.58%	0.5853	+7.28%	0.0975	✗	-0.10
2026-07-03	oos	0.5821	0.566491	-2.68%	0.5659	-2.78%	0.0020	✓	-0.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.616	0.59785	-2.95%	0.544	-11.69%	0.0922	✓	-0.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.6116	0.591064	-3.36%	0.5505	-9.99%	0.0683	✓	-0.07
2026-06-30	oos	0.5575	0.538193	-3.46%	0.5861	+5.13%	0.0937	✗	-0.11
2026-06-29	oos	0.5169	0.499859	-3.30%	0.5768	+11.59%	0.1469	✗	-0.06
2026-06-28	oos	0.4789	0.462183	-3.49%	0.5198	+8.54%	0.1247	✗	-0.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.5447	0.526704	-3.30%	0.5456	+0.17%	0.0414	✗	-0.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.5608	0.541885	-3.37%	0.5821	+3.80%	0.0763	✗	-0.11
2026-06-25	oos	0.5105	0.494001	-3.23%	0.616	+20.67%	0.2244	✗	-0.13
2026-06-24	oos	0.6027	0.583405	-3.20%	0.6116	+1.48%	0.0425	✗	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.59	0.572082	-3.04%	0.5575	-5.51%	0.0272	✓	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.6595	0.637144	-3.39%	0.5169	-21.62%	0.2167	✓	-0.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.6834	0.655691	-4.05%	0.4789	-29.92%	0.3195	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.6577	0.630652	-4.11%	0.5447	-17.18%	0.1518	✓	-0.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.5807	0.559788	-3.60%	0.5608	-3.43%	0.0049	✓	-0.12
2026-06-18	oos	0.592	0.562016	-5.06%	0.5105	-13.77%	0.1019	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.4729	0.452227	-4.37%	0.6027	+27.45%	0.2893	✗	0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.4182	0.403665	-3.48%	0.59	+41.08%	0.3840	✗	0.10
2026-06-15	oos	0.4219	0.406985	-3.54%	0.6595	+56.32%	0.4860	✗	0.09
2026-06-14	oos	0.4896	0.458176	-6.42%	0.6834	+39.58%	0.4051	✗	0.14
2026-06-13	oos	0.335	0.322077	-3.86%	0.6577	+96.33%	0.7137	✗	-0.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.291	0.280655	-3.55%	0.5807	+99.55%	0.7269	✗	-0.16
2026-06-11	oos	0.2692	0.260417	-3.26%	0.592	+119.91%	0.8195	✗	-0.16
2026-06-10	oos	0.2411	0.234184	-2.87%	0.4729	+96.14%	0.7168	✗	-0.29
2026-06-09	oos	0.2476	0.24	-3.07%	0.4182	+68.90%	0.5736	✗	-0.30
2026-06-08	oos	0.2589	0.250586	-3.21%	0.4219	+62.96%	0.5374	✗	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.2575	0.248519	-3.49%	0.4896	+90.14%	0.6904	✗	-0.33
2026-06-06	oos	0.2271	0.22091	-2.73%	0.335	+47.51%	0.4465	✗	-0.53
2026-06-05	oos	0.2316	0.224807	-2.93%	0.291	+25.65%	0.2793	✗	-0.53
2026-06-04	oos	0.2341	0.226618	-3.20%	0.2692	+14.99%	0.1700	✗	-0.58
2026-06-03	oos	0.2857	0.264145	-7.54%	0.2411	-15.61%	0.1160	✓	-0.60
2026-06-02	oos	0.1773	0.172146	-2.91%	0.2476	+39.65%	0.3707	✗	0.09
2026-06-01	oos	0.149	0.146275	-1.83%	0.2589	+73.76%	0.6547	✗	0.68
2026-05-31	oos	0.163	0.159497	-2.15%	0.2575	+57.98%	0.5666	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.1626	0.158323	-2.63%	0.2271	+39.67%	0.4732	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.1421	0.139602	-1.76%	0.2316	+62.98%	0.6074	✗	0.55
2026-05-28	oos	0.1254	0.123788	-1.29%	0.2341	+86.68%	0.7174	✗	0.57
2026-05-27	oos	0.1253	0.123862	-1.15%	0.2857	+128.01%	0.9215	✗	0.58
2026-05-26	oos	0.12	0.119099	-0.75%	0.1773	+47.75%	0.4812	✗	0.65
2026-05-25	oos	0.1201	0.119379	-0.60%	0.149	+24.06%	0.2751	✗	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.124	0.123253	-0.60%	0.163	+31.45%	0.3099	✗	0.67
2026-05-23	oos	0.1315	0.130511	-0.75%	0.1626	+23.65%	0.2459	✗	0.68
2026-05-22	oos	0.1326	0.131237	-1.03%	0.1421	+7.16%	0.0987	✗	0.69
2026-05-21	oos	0.1343	0.133037	-0.94%	0.1254	-6.63%	0.0210	✓	0.71
2026-05-20	oos	0.132	0.130821	-0.89%	0.1253	-5.08%	0.0134	✓	0.71
2026-05-19	oos	0.1354	0.133995	-1.04%	0.12	-11.37%	0.1014	✓	0.72
2026-05-18	oos	0.1376	0.136209	-1.01%	0.1201	-12.72%	0.1287	✓	0.72
2026-05-17	oos	0.1406	0.139266	-0.95%	0.124	-11.81%	0.1121	✓	0.72
2026-05-16	oos	0.1434	0.142187	-0.85%	0.1315	-8.30%	0.0647	✓	0.72
2026-05-15	oos	0.1443	0.143342	-0.66%	0.1326	-8.11%	0.0439	✓	0.73
2026-05-14	oos	0.1495	0.148913	-0.39%	0.1343	-10.17%	0.0714	✓	0.72
2026-05-13	oos	0.151	0.149874	-0.75%	0.132	-12.58%	0.1100	✓	0.74
2026-05-12	oos	0.1476	0.146953	-0.44%	0.1354	-8.27%	0.0449	✓	0.78
2026-05-11	oos	0.1573	0.156646	-0.42%	0.1376	-12.52%	0.0853	✓	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.151	0.150729	-0.18%	0.1406	-6.89%	0.0235	✓	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.1504	0.14972	-0.45%	0.1434	-4.65%	0.0185	✓	0.77
2026-05-08	oos	0.1498	0.148999	-0.53%	0.1443	-3.67%	0.0212	✓	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.1431	0.142494	-0.42%	0.1495	+4.47%	0.0378	✗	0.77
2026-05-06	oos	0.1475	0.147259	-0.16%	0.151	+2.37%	0.0454	✗	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.1451	0.144838	-0.18%	0.1476	+1.72%	0.0228	✗	0.75
2026-05-04	oos	0.1507	0.150022	-0.45%	0.1573	+4.38%	0.0293	✗	0.78
2026-05-03	oos	0.1578	0.156418	-0.88%	0.151	-4.31%	0.0725	✓	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.1554	0.154113	-0.83%	0.1504	-3.22%	0.0449	✓	0.83
2026-05-01	oos	0.1461	0.14503	-0.73%	0.1498	+2.53%	0.0123	✗	0.81
2026-04-30	oos	0.1427	0.141186	-1.06%	0.1431	+0.28%	0.0238	✓	0.79
2026-04-29	oos	0.1429	0.141253	-1.15%	0.1475	+3.22%	0.0135	✓	0.78
2026-04-28	oos	0.1479	0.146272	-1.10%	0.1451	-1.89%	0.0533	✓	0.77
2026-04-27	oos	0.1495	0.148166	-0.89%	0.1507	+0.80%	0.0081	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.1465	0.145714	-0.54%	0.1578	+7.71%	0.0809	✗	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.1442	0.143157	-0.72%	0.1554	+7.77%	0.0709	✗	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.1421	0.141102	-0.70%	0.1461	+2.81%	0.0264	✗	0.85
2026-04-23	oos	0.1417	0.141049	-0.46%	0.1427	+0.71%	0.0340	✗	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.1404	0.139761	-0.45%	0.1429	+1.78%	0.0503	✗	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.1404	0.139146	-0.89%	0.1479	+5.34%	0.0614	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.1408	0.139391	-1.00%	0.1495	+6.18%	0.0504	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.1367	0.13472	-1.45%	0.1465	+7.17%	0.0202	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.1404	0.139062	-0.95%	0.1442	+2.71%	0.0113	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.1379	0.137141	-0.55%	0.1421	+3.05%	0.0308	✗	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.1495	0.147843	-1.11%	0.1417	-5.22%	0.0831	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.1394	0.137898	-1.08%	0.1404	+0.72%	0.0261	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.1439	0.142103	-1.25%	0.1404	-2.43%	0.0409	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.1496	0.147759	-1.23%	0.1408	-5.88%	0.0671	✓	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.1443	0.141427	-1.99%	0.1367	-5.27%	0.0764	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.1479	0.145685	-1.50%	0.1404	-5.07%	0.0726	✓	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.1474	0.145201	-1.49%	0.1379	-6.45%	0.1062	✓	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.1478	0.145257	-1.72%	0.1495	+1.15%	0.0170	✓	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.1503	0.147526	-1.85%	0.1394	-7.25%	0.1081	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.1543	0.151626	-1.73%	0.1439	-6.74%	0.0834	✓	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.1488	0.145611	-2.14%	0.1496	+0.54%	0.0511	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.1473	0.144237	-2.08%	0.1443	-2.04%	0.0246	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.1534	0.149936	-2.26%	0.1479	-3.59%	0.0963	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.1494	0.146148	-2.18%	0.1474	-1.34%	0.0778	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.1444	0.141524	-1.99%	0.1478	+2.35%	0.0273	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.1506	0.147905	-1.79%	0.1503	-0.20%	0.0267	✓	1.00