ASSET

REAL · Ethereum · gru_s0

token id: #914
symbol: ASSET
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99e980265bf36516c442be982df1772a6ccb3233
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

160

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

52.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1028

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0208

actual +0.0344

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.17994	0.179286	-0.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.179535	0.179063	-0.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.18043	0.179744	-0.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.18359	0.18291	-0.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.184295	0.183831	-0.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.182895	0.182276	-0.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-16	oos	0.178165	0.177717	-0.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.181494	-0.36%	0.17994	-1.21%	0.0090	✓	0.02
2026-10-14	oos	0.18487	0.18396	-0.49%	0.179535	-2.89%	0.0248	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.182	0.181546	-0.25%	0.18043	-0.86%	0.0062	✓	-0.02
2026-10-12	oos	0.1805	0.179811	-0.38%	0.18359	+1.71%	0.0208	✗	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.18504	0.184435	-0.33%	0.184295	-0.40%	0.0010	✓	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.18501	0.184419	-0.32%	0.182895	-1.14%	0.0084	✓	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.182435	0.181962	-0.26%	0.178165	-2.34%	0.0211	✓	-0.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.1874	0.18647	-0.50%	0.18215	-2.80%	0.0234	✓	-0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.185	0.184397	-0.33%	0.18487	-0.07%	0.0029	✓	0.02
2026-10-06	oos	0.19033	0.18986	-0.25%	0.182	-4.38%	0.0426	✓	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.178	0.177867	-0.07%	0.1805	+1.40%	0.0157	✗	0.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.1936	0.1932	-0.21%	0.18504	-4.42%	0.0435	✓	-0.01
2026-10-03	oos	0.194695	0.193792	-0.46%	0.18501	-4.97%	0.0466	✓	-0.01
2026-10-02	oos	0.202175	0.201088	-0.54%	0.182435	-9.76%	0.0975	✓	-0.01
2026-10-01	oos	0.197955	0.196986	-0.49%	0.1874	-5.33%	0.0500	✓	-0.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.2008	0.199279	-0.76%	0.185	-7.87%	0.0743	✓	0.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.19782	0.196686	-0.57%	0.19033	-3.79%	0.0339	✓	0.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.195415	0.194365	-0.54%	0.178	-8.91%	0.0889	✓	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.2026	0.202057	-0.27%	0.1936	-4.44%	0.0406	✓	-0.09
2026-09-26	oos	0.22275	0.22189	-0.39%	0.194695	-12.59%	0.1304	✓	-0.10
2026-09-25	oos	0.22897	0.227704	-0.55%	0.202175	-11.70%	0.1184	✓	-0.10
2026-09-24	oos	0.23369	0.232355	-0.57%	0.197955	-15.29%	0.1597	✓	-0.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.24311	0.241766	-0.55%	0.2008	-17.40%	0.1867	✓	-0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.238275	0.237954	-0.13%	0.19782	-16.98%	0.1869	✓	-0.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.24739	-0.19%	0.195415	-21.16%	0.2412	✓	-0.15
2026-09-20	oos	0.24671	0.244061	-1.07%	0.2026	-17.88%	0.1804	✓	-0.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.23124	0.229441	-0.78%	0.22275	-3.67%	0.0243	✓	-0.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.23163	0.229736	-0.82%	0.22897	-1.15%	0.0022	✓	-0.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.23271	0.229145	-1.53%	0.23369	+0.42%	0.0342	✗	-0.15
2026-09-16	oos	0.2335	0.229539	-1.70%	0.24311	+4.12%	0.0728	✗	-0.15
2026-09-15	oos	0.24225	0.238063	-1.73%	0.238275	-1.64%	0.0133	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.24074	0.237602	-1.30%	0.24785	+2.95%	0.0503	✗	-0.08
2026-09-13	oos	0.240105	0.236433	-1.53%	0.24671	+2.75%	0.0467	✗	-0.08
2026-09-12	oos	0.2405	0.236742	-1.56%	0.23124	-3.85%	0.0198	✓	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.24871	0.244076	-1.86%	0.23163	-6.87%	0.0490	✓	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.25068	0.245547	-2.05%	0.23271	-7.17%	0.0539	✓	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.24441	0.24115	-1.33%	0.2335	-4.46%	0.0340	✓	-0.06
2026-09-08	oos	0.245365	0.242445	-1.19%	0.24225	-1.27%	0.0008	✓	-0.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.24287	0.240618	-0.93%	0.24074	-0.88%	0.0005	✓	-0.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.245	0.243208	-0.73%	0.240105	-2.00%	0.0164	✓	-0.08
2026-09-05	oos	0.245875	0.243928	-0.79%	0.2405	-2.19%	0.0172	✓	-0.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.252975	0.250819	-0.85%	0.24871	-1.69%	0.0108	✓	-0.07
2026-09-03	oos	0.26135	0.25978	-0.60%	0.25068	-4.08%	0.0413	✓	-0.09
2026-09-02	oos	0.25512	0.252887	-0.88%	0.24441	-4.20%	0.0335	✓	-0.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.26499	0.262027	-1.12%	0.245365	-7.41%	0.0646	✓	-0.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.252875	0.250833	-0.81%	0.24287	-3.96%	0.0314	✓	-0.13
2026-08-30	oos	0.259595	0.256238	-1.29%	0.245	-5.62%	0.0360	✓	-0.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.24012	0.238893	-0.51%	0.245875	+2.40%	0.0332	✗	-0.22
2026-08-28	oos	0.233425	0.232778	-0.28%	0.252975	+8.38%	0.0883	✗	-0.22
2026-08-27	oos	0.24205	0.24192	-0.05%	0.26135	+7.97%	0.0804	✗	-0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.2484	0.247813	-0.24%	0.25512	+2.71%	0.0236	✗	-0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.24627	0.245672	-0.24%	0.26499	+7.60%	0.0722	✗	-0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.25147	0.251127	-0.14%	0.252875	+0.56%	0.0054	✗	-0.29
2026-08-23	oos	0.25364	0.253208	-0.17%	0.259595	+2.35%	0.0247	✗	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.258565	0.258078	-0.19%	0.24012	-7.13%	0.0683	✓	-0.25
2026-08-21	oos	0.253835	0.254198	+0.14%	0.233425	-8.04%	0.0869	✗	-0.26
2026-08-20	oos	0.2488	0.248077	-0.29%	0.24205	-2.71%	0.0059	✗	-0.32
2026-08-19	oos	0.251865	0.250057	-0.72%	0.2484	-1.38%	0.0369	✗	-0.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.257515	0.254072	-1.34%	0.24627	-4.37%	0.0311	✗	-0.32
2026-08-17	oos	0.263055	0.259359	-1.41%	0.25147	-4.40%	0.0391	✗	-0.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.261825	0.25791	-1.50%	0.25364	-3.13%	0.0588	✗	-0.36
2026-08-15	oos	0.26281	0.259063	-1.43%	0.258565	-1.62%	0.0715	✗	-0.36
2026-08-14	oos	0.26914	0.265189	-1.47%	0.253835	-5.69%	0.0296	✗	-0.34
2026-08-13	oos	0.26543	0.261888	-1.33%	0.2488	-6.27%	0.0074	✓	-0.42
2026-08-12	oos	0.257655	0.254735	-1.13%	0.251865	-2.25%	0.0440	✗	-0.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.26611	0.262618	-1.31%	0.257515	-3.23%	0.0102	✓	-0.53
2026-08-10	oos	0.258425	0.255476	-1.14%	0.263055	+1.79%	0.0331	✗	-0.43
2026-08-09	oos	0.258105	0.255503	-1.01%	0.261825	+1.44%	0.0078	✓	-0.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.262765	0.260023	-1.04%	0.26281	+0.02%	0.0056	✓	-0.55
2026-08-07	oos	0.2584	0.255778	-1.01%	0.26914	+4.16%	0.0330	✗	-0.60
2026-08-06	oos	0.2601	0.257512	-0.99%	0.26543	+2.05%	0.0227	✗	-0.58
2026-08-05	oos	0.26411	0.261451	-1.01%	0.257655	-2.44%	0.0252	✓	-0.57
2026-08-04	oos	0.25658	0.253937	-1.03%	0.26611	+3.71%	0.0425	✗	-0.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.267695	0.264492	-1.20%	0.258425	-3.46%	0.0198	✓	-0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.266015	0.26281	-1.20%	0.258105	-2.97%	0.0073	✓	-0.51
2026-08-01	oos	0.258765	0.255854	-1.13%	0.262765	+1.55%	0.0415	✗	-0.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.26543	0.262296	-1.18%	0.2584	-2.65%	0.0004	✓	-0.45
2026-07-30	oos	0.26337	0.260872	-0.95%	0.2601	-1.24%	0.0063	✓	-0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.27105	0.268271	-1.03%	0.26411	-2.56%	0.0134	✓	-0.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.27033	0.267956	-0.88%	0.25658	-5.09%	0.0427	✓	-0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.27	0.267795	-0.82%	0.267695	-0.85%	0.0011	✓	-0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.27424	0.27227	-0.72%	0.266015	-3.00%	0.0299	✓	-0.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.285335	0.283021	-0.81%	0.258765	-9.31%	0.0944	✓	-0.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.27427	0.272379	-0.69%	0.26543	-3.22%	0.0299	✓	-0.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.28433	0.282262	-0.73%	0.26337	-7.37%	0.0704	✓	-0.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.27796	0.276306	-0.60%	0.27105	-2.49%	0.0269	✓	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.28398	0.282119	-0.66%	0.27033	-4.81%	0.0523	✓	-0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.28799	0.285722	-0.79%	0.27	-6.25%	0.0616	✓	-0.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.27379	0.27207	-0.63%	0.27424	+0.16%	0.0102	✗	-0.23
2026-07-18	oos	0.281705	0.279653	-0.73%	0.285335	+1.29%	0.0184	✗	-0.23
2026-07-17	oos	0.28486	0.282411	-0.86%	0.27427	-3.72%	0.0286	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.27849	0.275976	-0.90%	0.28433	+2.10%	0.0340	✗	-0.21
2026-07-15	oos	0.252995	0.251218	-0.70%	0.27796	+9.87%	0.1049	✗	-0.18
2026-07-14	oos	0.26841	0.266121	-0.85%	0.28398	+5.80%	0.0692	✗	-0.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.26562	0.263046	-0.97%	0.28799	+8.42%	0.0991	✗	-0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.26993	0.267064	-1.06%	0.27379	+1.43%	0.0280	✗	-0.22
2026-07-11	oos	0.27867	0.275177	-1.25%	0.281705	+1.09%	0.0268	✗	-0.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.27803	0.274695	-1.20%	0.28486	+2.46%	0.0356	✗	-0.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.27415	0.270726	-1.25%	0.27849	+1.58%	0.0303	✗	-0.21
2026-07-08	oos	0.28	0.276078	-1.40%	0.252995	-9.64%	0.0801	✓	-0.18
2026-07-07	oos	0.29089	0.286538	-1.50%	0.26841	-7.73%	0.0596	✓	-0.22
2026-07-06	oos	0.28952	0.284986	-1.57%	0.26562	-8.26%	0.0766	✓	-0.23
2026-07-05	oos	0.29238	0.287541	-1.65%	0.26993	-7.68%	0.0627	✓	-0.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.29104	0.2862	-1.66%	0.27867	-4.25%	0.0244	✓	-0.21
2026-07-03	oos	0.29352	0.288336	-1.77%	0.27803	-5.28%	0.0315	✓	-0.19
2026-07-02	oos	0.292	0.286404	-1.92%	0.27415	-6.11%	0.0388	✓	-0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.27333	0.26819	-1.88%	0.28	+2.44%	0.0521	✗	-0.24
2026-06-30	oos	0.280855	0.274937	-2.11%	0.29089	+3.57%	0.0710	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.24758	0.242582	-2.02%	0.28952	+16.94%	0.1816	✗	-0.08
2026-06-28	oos	0.25	0.24495	-2.02%	0.29238	+16.95%	0.1806	✗	-0.05
2026-06-27	oos	0.250875	0.245744	-2.05%	0.29104	+16.01%	0.1721	✗	-0.06
2026-06-26	oos	0.25667	0.251113	-2.17%	0.29352	+14.36%	0.1582	✗	-0.05
2026-06-25	oos	0.258	0.25209	-2.29%	0.292	+13.18%	0.1481	✗	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.26441	0.257461	-2.63%	0.27333	+3.37%	0.0585	✗	-0.08
2026-06-23	oos	0.243305	0.237272	-2.48%	0.280855	+15.43%	0.1676	✗	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.25176	0.244695	-2.81%	0.24758	-1.66%	0.0077	✓	-0.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.25175	0.245302	-2.56%	0.25	-0.70%	0.0160	✓	-0.05
2026-06-20	oos	0.24887	0.242371	-2.61%	0.250875	+0.81%	0.0305	✗	-0.06
2026-06-19	oos	0.245725	0.239448	-2.55%	0.25667	+4.45%	0.0668	✗	-0.05
2026-06-18	oos	0.25078	0.244132	-2.65%	0.258	+2.88%	0.0545	✗	-0.01
2026-06-17	oos	0.265975	0.25838	-2.86%	0.26441	-0.59%	0.0168	✓	-0.11
2026-06-16	oos	0.27077	0.26261	-3.01%	0.243305	-10.14%	0.0834	✓	-0.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.27511	0.266251	-3.22%	0.25176	-8.49%	0.0620	✓	-0.17
2026-06-14	oos	0.274525	0.26538	-3.33%	0.25175	-8.30%	0.0586	✓	-0.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.27333	0.263706	-3.52%	0.24887	-8.95%	0.0583	✓	-0.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.282715	0.271796	-3.86%	0.245725	-13.08%	0.1009	✓	-0.05
2026-06-11	oos	0.281995	0.269967	-4.27%	0.25078	-11.07%	0.0742	✓	-0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.26464	0.253366	-4.26%	0.265975	+0.50%	0.0543	✗	-0.12
2026-06-09	oos	0.256955	0.244775	-4.74%	0.27077	+5.38%	0.1083	✗	-0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.23368	0.223935	-4.17%	0.27511	+17.73%	0.2086	✗	-0.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.2178	0.208841	-4.11%	0.274525	+26.04%	0.2756	✗	-0.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.21444	0.205448	-4.19%	0.27333	+27.46%	0.2862	✗	-0.01
2026-06-05	oos	0.21939	0.208802	-4.83%	0.282715	+28.86%	0.3030	✗	0.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.23152	0.217287	-6.15%	0.281995	+21.80%	0.2596	✗	-0.29
2026-06-03	oos	0.1936	0.184687	-4.60%	0.26464	+36.69%	0.3472	✗	-0.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.18198	0.17312	-4.87%	0.256955	+41.20%	0.3764	✗	-0.24
2026-06-01	oos	0.16522	0.156931	-5.02%	0.23368	+41.44%	0.4300	✗	0.26
2026-05-31	oos	0.169535	0.160347	-5.42%	0.2178	+28.47%	0.3079	✗	0.01
2026-05-30	oos	0.17431	0.164432	-5.67%	0.21444	+23.02%	0.2646	✗	-0.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.177695	0.167246	-5.88%	0.21939	+23.46%	0.4555	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.178315	0.167286	-6.19%	0.23152	+29.84%	0.4666	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.180295	0.168595	-6.49%	0.1936	+7.38%	0.2871	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.164055	0.152986	-6.75%	0.18198	+10.93%	0.3024	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.17311	0.161622	-6.64%	0.16522	-4.56%	0.1020	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.17411	0.162513	-6.66%	0.169535	-2.63%	0.0875	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.18742	0.174638	-6.82%	0.17431	-6.99%	0.0364	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.185295	0.172383	-6.97%	0.177695	-4.10%	0.0583	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.181295	0.169002	-6.78%	0.178315	-1.64%	0.1071	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.17322	0.161758	-6.62%	0.180295	+4.08%	0.1501	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.18601	0.173023	-6.98%	0.164055	-11.80%	0.0409	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.19024	0.176207	-7.38%	0.17311	-9.00%	0.0217	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.17619	0.163707	-7.08%	0.17411	-1.18%	0.0672	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.19502	0.177389	-9.04%	0.18742	-3.90%	0.0738	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.15268	0.142382	-6.74%	0.185295	+21.36%	0.3102	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.116155	0.11231	-3.31%	0.181295	+56.08%	0.5234	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10455	0.101262	-3.15%	0.17322	+65.68%	0.5600	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.12761	0.121053	-5.14%	0.18601	+45.76%	0.4769	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.10276	0.100268	-2.42%	0.19024	+85.13%	0.7007	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.08032	0.079541	-0.97%	0.17619	+119.36%	0.8554	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.08549	0.084263	-1.43%	0.19502	+128.12%	0.8713	✗	1.00