ARX

Arcium · Solana · gru_s0

token id: #310
symbol: ARX
variant: –
chain: Solana
address: ARXwZkNAtzPfdcoqQiduJn8EPv9fKiDfGn2KyggyDrFs
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-22
predictions: 339

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 113 predictions shown

direction hit

63.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3616

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0556

actual +0.0949

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.2285	0.215951	-5.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.70
2026-10-20	oos	0.23045	0.218625	-5.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-19	oos	0.22725	0.215442	-5.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-18	oos	0.23265	0.220956	-5.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-17	oos	0.23705	0.224888	-5.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-16	oos	0.23935	0.227129	-5.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-15	oos	0.2303	0.218576	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-14	oos	0.2421	0.229178	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-13	oos	0.25125	0.239134	-4.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.2508	0.237862	-5.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-11	oos	0.2821	0.267927	-5.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.2784	0.263727	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-09	oos	0.25605	0.242519	-5.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-08	oos	0.26245	0.247875	-5.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-07	oos	0.27185	0.257871	-5.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.27005	0.258342	-4.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-05	oos	0.2923	0.2792	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-04	oos	0.2751	0.263286	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.2819	0.268578	-4.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.2895	0.275987	-4.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-01	oos	0.284	0.271073	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.2786	0.265052	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-29	oos	0.27045	0.257855	-4.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.25885	0.247178	-4.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-27	oos	0.2513	0.24102	-4.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-09-26	oos	0.2266	0.218569	-3.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-25	oos	0.2494	0.239022	-4.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-24	oos	0.2518	0.242054	-3.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-23	oos	0.2311	0.223419	-3.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-22	oos	0.2222	0.2173	-2.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-21	oos	0.20055	0.198686	-0.93%	0.2285	+13.94%	0.1779	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.19665	0.190619	-3.07%	0.23045	+17.19%	0.1725	✗	0.80
2026-09-19	oos	0.19445	0.189082	-2.76%	0.22725	+16.87%	0.1780	✗	0.80
2026-09-18	oos	0.1914	0.186209	-2.71%	0.23265	+21.55%	0.2116	✗	0.80
2026-09-17	oos	0.1731	0.166617	-3.75%	0.23705	+36.94%	0.3086	✗	0.69
2026-09-16	oos	0.1693	0.163365	-3.51%	0.23935	+41.38%	0.3351	✗	0.69
2026-09-15	oos	0.1623	0.156882	-3.34%	0.2303	+41.90%	0.3273	✗	0.68
2026-09-14	oos	0.16235	0.158641	-2.28%	0.2421	+49.12%	0.3922	✗	0.72
2026-09-13	oos	0.15375	0.150458	-2.14%	0.25125	+63.41%	0.4582	✗	0.69
2026-09-12	oos	0.15455	0.151538	-1.95%	0.2508	+62.28%	0.4647	✗	0.69
2026-09-11	oos	0.1391	0.137958	-0.82%	0.2821	+102.80%	0.6589	✗	0.70
2026-09-10	oos	0.13475	0.134068	-0.51%	0.2784	+106.60%	0.6753	✗	0.69
2026-09-09	oos	0.1473	0.146842	-0.31%	0.25605	+73.83%	0.5221	✗	0.64
2026-09-08	oos	0.1524	0.151754	-0.42%	0.26245	+72.21%	0.5220	✗	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.14595	0.1467	+0.51%	0.27185	+86.26%	0.5829	✓	0.66
2026-09-06	oos	0.1413	0.143739	+1.73%	0.27005	+91.12%	0.5871	✓	0.69
2026-09-05	oos	0.1321	0.134067	+1.49%	0.2923	+121.27%	0.7305	✓	0.68
2026-09-04	oos	0.1363	0.138286	+1.46%	0.2751	+101.83%	0.6315	✓	0.68
2026-09-03	oos	0.129	0.13207	+2.38%	0.2819	+118.53%	0.7268	✓	0.75
2026-09-02	oos	0.1263	0.124824	-1.17%	0.2895	+129.22%	0.7742	✗	0.75
2026-09-01	oos	0.1232	0.12237	-0.67%	0.284	+130.52%	0.7722	✗	0.76
2026-08-31	oos	0.12885	0.129527	+0.53%	0.2786	+116.22%	0.7199	✓	0.75
2026-08-30	oos	0.11945	0.119368	-0.07%	0.27045	+126.41%	0.7646	✗	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.12315	0.123731	+0.47%	0.25885	+110.19%	0.6919	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.1217	0.122407	+0.58%	0.2513	+106.49%	0.6611	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.132	0.135561	+2.70%	0.2266	+71.67%	0.4809	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.1292	0.131256	+1.59%	0.2494	+93.03%	0.6021	✓	0.64
2026-08-25	oos	0.13065	0.131764	+0.85%	0.2518	+92.73%	0.6016	✓	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.13355	0.13616	+1.95%	0.2311	+73.04%	0.4868	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	0.1465	0.147651	+0.79%	0.2222	+51.67%	0.3379	✓	0.68
2026-08-22	oos	0.1243	0.124824	+0.42%	0.20055	+61.34%	0.3989	✓	0.64
2026-08-21	oos	0.1294	0.12942	+0.02%	0.19665	+51.97%	0.3958	✓	0.63
2026-08-20	oos	0.117	0.109603	-6.32%	0.19445	+66.20%	0.5326	✗	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.1163	0.105055	-9.67%	0.1914	+64.57%	0.5424	✗	0.37
2026-08-18	oos	0.1134	0.101912	-10.13%	0.1731	+52.65%	0.4833	✗	0.28
2026-08-17	oos	0.1128	0.101554	-9.97%	0.1693	+50.09%	0.4653	✗	0.28
2026-08-16	oos	0.1097	0.099718	-9.10%	0.1623	+47.95%	0.4522	✗	0.19
2026-08-15	oos	0.10755	0.097816	-9.05%	0.16235	+50.95%	0.4640	✗	0.20
2026-08-14	oos	0.11125	0.101088	-9.13%	0.15375	+38.20%	0.3798	✗	0.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.1114	0.100814	-9.50%	0.15455	+38.73%	0.3857	✗	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.1143	0.103249	-9.67%	0.1391	+21.70%	0.2566	✗	0.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.11885	0.107	-9.97%	0.13475	+13.38%	0.1919	✗	0.21
2026-08-10	oos	0.1269	0.113678	-10.42%	0.1473	+16.08%	0.2218	✗	0.18
2026-08-09	oos	0.1266	0.112723	-10.96%	0.1524	+20.38%	0.2609	✗	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.13015	0.11587	-10.97%	0.14595	+12.14%	0.1887	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.14055	0.125445	-10.75%	0.1413	+0.53%	0.0737	✓	0.21
2026-08-06	oos	0.1461	0.130488	-10.69%	0.1321	-9.58%	0.0382	✓	0.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.15025	0.134223	-10.67%	0.1363	-9.28%	0.0324	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.14175	0.126295	-10.90%	0.129	-8.99%	0.0198	✓	0.17
2026-08-03	oos	0.1479	0.131695	-10.96%	0.1263	-14.60%	0.0803	✓	0.19
2026-08-02	oos	0.1524	0.135569	-11.04%	0.1232	-19.16%	0.1341	✓	0.19
2026-08-01	oos	0.16225	0.144446	-10.97%	0.12885	-20.59%	0.1699	✓	0.25
2026-07-31	oos	0.15805	0.140809	-10.91%	0.11945	-24.42%	0.2175	✓	0.25
2026-07-30	oos	0.1536	0.137583	-10.43%	0.12315	-19.82%	0.1880	✓	0.41
2026-07-29	oos	0.156	0.139955	-10.28%	0.1217	-21.99%	0.2208	✓	0.41
2026-07-28	oos	0.1527	0.137295	-10.09%	0.132	-13.56%	0.1326	✓	0.41
2026-07-27	oos	0.1502	0.135248	-9.95%	0.1292	-13.98%	0.1318	✓	0.40
2026-07-26	oos	0.16	0.145865	-8.83%	0.13065	-18.34%	0.1661	✓	0.30
2026-07-25	oos	0.1795	0.163667	-8.82%	0.13355	-25.60%	0.3031	✓	0.48
2026-07-24	oos	0.1715	0.156489	-8.75%	0.1465	-14.58%	0.1553	✓	0.46
2026-07-23	oos	0.17255	0.158656	-8.05%	0.1243	-27.96%	0.3280	✓	0.50
2026-07-22	oos	0.16805	0.155823	-7.28%	0.1294	-23.00%	0.2879	✓	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	0.1516	0.141013	-6.98%	0.117	-22.82%	0.2799	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.15445	0.143212	-7.28%	0.1163	-24.70%	0.2689	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.1477	0.13658	-7.53%	0.1134	-23.22%	0.1860	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.1512	0.140265	-7.23%	0.1128	-25.40%	0.2130	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.1625	0.15081	-7.19%	0.1097	-32.49%	0.3016	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.1622	0.150591	-7.16%	0.10755	-33.69%	0.3248	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.16265	0.151885	-6.62%	0.11125	-31.60%	0.2841	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.16555	0.154939	-6.41%	0.1114	-32.71%	0.3056	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.1726	0.160355	-7.09%	0.1143	-33.78%	0.3568	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.1679	0.156381	-6.86%	0.11885	-29.21%	0.2712	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.1814	0.169976	-6.30%	0.1269	-30.04%	0.2944	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.1783	0.16695	-6.37%	0.1266	-29.00%	0.2878	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.17915	0.167296	-6.62%	0.13015	-27.35%	0.2781	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.18075	0.168531	-6.76%	0.14055	-22.24%	0.2233	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.1964	0.185214	-5.70%	0.1461	-25.61%	0.2520	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.2184	0.207813	-4.85%	0.15025	-31.20%	0.3337	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.2388	0.227367	-4.79%	0.14175	-40.64%	0.4798	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.2062	0.195358	-5.26%	0.1479	-28.27%	0.2843	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.2145	0.203207	-5.26%	0.1524	-28.95%	0.3033	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.2256	0.213716	-5.27%	0.16225	-28.08%	0.2961	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.2228	0.210204	-5.65%	0.15805	-29.06%	0.3318	✓	1.00