ARK

ARK · native · gru_s0

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,270

Track record at +30d

assessed

359

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1427

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0032

actual -0.0248

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.173565	0.169708	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.170857	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.169761	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.165669	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.169347	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.175034	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.178028	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.17674	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.186615	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.183781	-2.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.201419	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.206435	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.208149	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.216638	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.207729	-3.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.204481	-2.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.213786	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.220286	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.225852	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.207321	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.236549	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.250685	-3.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.242856	-3.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.231627	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.240481	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.251833	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.24425	-3.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.190418	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.158901	+0.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.160205	+1.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.156674	+1.74%	0.173565	+12.70%	0.1480	✓	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.150331	-0.94%	0.17451	+14.99%	0.1257	✗	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.152008	-0.93%	0.173985	+13.39%	0.1271	✗	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.141903	-0.25%	0.16914	+18.90%	0.1606	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.1352	-1.38%	0.173255	+26.38%	0.1763	✗	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.146964	-1.86%	0.17946	+19.84%	0.1237	✗	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.142532	-1.81%	0.18215	+25.48%	0.1514	✗	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.164829	-2.23%	0.18125	+7.51%	0.0523	✗	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.136552	-0.87%	0.19077	+38.49%	0.2624	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.13309	+0.12%	0.188815	+42.05%	0.2978	✓	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.117479	+2.51%	0.20696	+80.59%	0.4911	✓	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.112836	+2.53%	0.21283	+93.39%	0.5603	✓	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.119755	+1.79%	0.21456	+82.38%	0.5357	✓	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.118711	+2.05%	0.22464	+93.11%	0.6021	✓	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.117494	+2.62%	0.2145	+87.34%	0.5566	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.121534	+3.17%	0.208695	+77.16%	0.4860	✓	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.121304	+3.15%	0.21823	+85.57%	0.5249	✓	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.121418	+3.25%	0.22409	+90.56%	0.5410	✓	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.119194	+4.64%	0.231185	+102.95%	0.6243	✓	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.113446	+3.22%	0.21165	+92.57%	0.5416	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.113037	+3.71%	0.243225	+123.16%	0.6814	✓	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.115507	+4.86%	0.26057	+136.55%	0.7570	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.114932	+5.15%	0.251205	+129.83%	0.7145	✓	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.118558	+6.29%	0.23865	+113.95%	0.6433	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.118889	+5.72%	0.247355	+119.96%	0.6617	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.120951	+5.79%	0.260575	+127.90%	0.7231	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.118844	+5.58%	0.25433	+125.95%	0.7062	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.113415	+6.20%	0.1933	+81.00%	0.4701	✓	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.114505	+6.82%	0.15873	+48.08%	0.2685	✓	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.115187	+6.29%	0.158	+45.79%	0.2236	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.11534	+6.30%	0.154	+41.94%	0.1845	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.115442	+7.98%	0.15176	+41.94%	0.2412	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.103487	+6.66%	0.15344	+58.14%	0.3048	✓	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.096248	+4.69%	0.142255	+54.73%	0.2647	✓	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.088126	+2.45%	0.13709	+59.37%	0.3132	✓	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.08943	+2.23%	0.149755	+71.19%	0.3854	✓	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.088452	+0.56%	0.145165	+65.04%	0.3459	✓	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.09031	+0.77%	0.168585	+88.11%	0.4503	✓	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.089277	+1.00%	0.13775	+55.83%	0.2730	✓	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.091149	+1.23%	0.132925	+47.62%	0.2172	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.089985	+0.77%	0.114605	+28.34%	0.0787	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.092619	+1.51%	0.11005	+20.62%	0.0190	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.093693	+1.26%	0.117645	+27.15%	0.0588	✓	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.094843	+1.47%	0.116325	+24.46%	0.0432	✓	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.096679	+2.27%	0.114495	+21.11%	0.0024	✓	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.096362	+2.25%	0.1178	+24.99%	0.0209	✓	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.095963	+1.41%	0.1176	+24.27%	0.0196	✓	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.094062	+1.11%	0.117595	+26.41%	0.0451	✓	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.094034	+0.70%	0.11391	+21.98%	0.0094	✗	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.094989	+0.23%	0.10991	+15.97%	0.0236	✗	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.093101	+0.21%	0.10899	+17.31%	0.0130	✗	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.092344	-0.26%	0.110155	+18.98%	0.0130	✓	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.093354	-0.43%	0.1093	+16.57%	0.0212	✓	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.094234	-0.20%	0.111545	+18.14%	0.0038	✗	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.092437	-0.48%	0.112455	+21.08%	0.0295	✗	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.096552	-0.11%	0.114335	+18.29%	0.0240	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.096972	-0.67%	0.11256	+15.30%	0.0342	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.104228	-0.02%	0.106795	+2.44%	0.1184	✓	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.10331	-0.28%	0.107195	+3.47%	0.1245	✓	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.101449	-0.54%	0.108375	+6.25%	0.0859	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.103135	-0.31%	0.1085	+4.87%	0.0830	✓	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.105602	+0.44%	0.106915	+1.69%	0.1208	✗	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.106392	+0.82%	0.097025	-8.06%	0.1652	✗	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.103569	+0.68%	0.09194	-10.62%	0.1646	✗	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.103368	+0.66%	0.08602	-16.23%	0.1837	✗	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.106117	+0.65%	0.08748	-17.03%	0.1894	✗	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.104668	+0.56%	0.08796	-15.50%	0.1608	✗	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.105021	+0.66%	0.08962	-14.10%	0.1492	✗	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.107854	+0.89%	0.088395	-17.31%	0.1776	✗	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.10814	+0.37%	0.090045	-16.43%	0.1639	✗	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.104673	-0.30%	0.089295	-14.95%	0.1736	✓	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.107122	+0.11%	0.09124	-14.73%	0.1578	✗	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.107765	-0.03%	0.092525	-14.17%	0.1542	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.108479	+0.07%	0.093465	-13.78%	0.1581	✗	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.106052	+0.06%	0.094535	-10.81%	0.1367	✗	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.104307	+0.05%	0.094245	-9.61%	0.1348	✗	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.106927	+0.09%	0.09463	-11.42%	0.1339	✗	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.110793	+0.03%	0.093025	-16.02%	0.1821	✗	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.110725	+0.01%	0.093385	-15.65%	0.1761	✗	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.111642	-0.07%	0.094775	-15.17%	0.1685	✓	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.111405	-0.53%	0.09291	-17.04%	0.1937	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.108601	-0.55%	0.092585	-15.22%	0.1754	✓	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.105251	-0.63%	0.09376	-11.48%	0.1510	✓	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.111124	-1.18%	0.09442	-16.03%	0.2472	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.108968	-1.30%	0.09666	-12.45%	0.1789	✓	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.110996	-1.64%	0.097625	-13.49%	0.1792	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.105849	-0.93%	0.10425	-2.42%	0.0867	✓	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.103262	-0.84%	0.1036	-0.52%	0.0585	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.105713	-0.82%	0.102	-4.30%	0.0767	✓	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.1075	-1.01%	0.10346	-4.73%	0.0698	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.109687	-1.37%	0.105135	-5.46%	0.0698	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.111168	-1.51%	0.10553	-6.50%	0.0947	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.114579	-1.69%	0.102865	-11.74%	0.1208	✓	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.112234	-1.53%	0.102685	-9.91%	0.1050	✓	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.113598	-1.86%	0.105435	-8.92%	0.1006	✓	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.119017	-1.87%	0.10409	-14.18%	0.1267	✓	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.121508	-2.09%	0.104335	-15.93%	0.1283	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.122337	-2.08%	0.1069	-14.44%	0.1142	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.121881	-2.18%	0.107745	-13.53%	0.1138	✓	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.119349	-1.77%	0.10499	-13.58%	0.0973	✓	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.11754	-1.76%	0.107	-10.57%	0.0968	✓	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.11915	-1.87%	0.1078	-11.21%	0.1031	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.117599	-2.17%	0.1084	-9.82%	0.1208	✓	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.112966	-1.90%	0.10599	-7.96%	0.0859	✓	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.13656	-4.80%	0.112	-21.92%	0.1773	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.141406	-4.73%	0.1092	-26.43%	0.1882	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.152495	-3.37%	0.10592	-32.88%	0.2256	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.152536	-2.65%	0.11245	-28.23%	0.1149	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.148671	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.146164	-1.90%	0.110405	-25.90%	0.1137	✓	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.144491	-1.62%	0.112845	-23.17%	0.0851	✓	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.149164	-1.22%	0.10684	-29.25%	0.1646	✓	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.153569	-0.52%	0.10414	-32.54%	0.1998	✓	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.158861	-0.14%	0.106585	-33.00%	0.2090	✓	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.15757	-0.35%	0.108595	-31.32%	0.2067	✓	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.162195	-0.55%	0.11121	-31.81%	0.2301	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.157407	-0.53%	0.11287	-28.67%	0.1898	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.163919	+0.10%	0.116545	-28.83%	0.1898	✗	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.161042	+0.60%	0.113975	-28.80%	0.1855	✗	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.159455	+0.79%	0.115755	-26.83%	0.1602	✗	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.164675	+0.93%	0.121285	-25.66%	0.1623	✗	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.164948	+1.54%	0.1241	-23.60%	0.1511	✗	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.170473	+2.16%	0.124935	-25.13%	0.1788	✗	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.174443	+2.32%	0.1246	-26.91%	0.1841	✗	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.183262	+2.90%	0.121495	-31.78%	0.2237	✗	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.180684	+2.42%	0.11965	-32.18%	0.2210	✗	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.185906	+1.80%	0.121415	-33.51%	0.2266	✗	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.193221	+2.15%	0.120205	-36.45%	0.2370	✗	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.193818	+3.14%	0.115155	-38.72%	0.2853	✗	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.184681	+3.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.188543	+4.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.186888	+5.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.182802	+4.46%	0.14344	-18.03%	0.0011	✓	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.183749	+3.35%	0.14843	-16.51%	0.0331	✗	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.179112	+3.20%	0.156685	-9.72%	0.0659	✗	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.176729	+1.76%	0.151745	-12.62%	0.1150	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.178682	+1.78%	0.149	-15.13%	0.1462	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.185584	+2.03%	0.14687	-19.26%	0.1923	✗	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.176635	+2.76%	0.151	-12.15%	0.1117	✗	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.182058	+3.11%	0.15437	-12.58%	0.1236	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.179741	+3.49%	0.15909	-8.40%	0.1162	✗	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.177994	+3.22%	0.158125	-8.30%	0.1113	✗	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.177092	+3.14%	0.163095	-5.01%	0.0586	✗	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.17824	+3.25%	0.15824	-8.33%	0.0785	✗	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.177857	+2.36%	0.16376	-5.75%	0.1003	✗	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.175763	+2.30%	0.16008	-6.83%	0.1173	✗	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.169834	+1.79%	0.1582	-5.18%	0.1143	✗	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.178634	+2.43%	0.16315	-6.45%	0.1082	✗	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.18329	+2.48%	0.162445	-9.18%	0.1252	✗	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.179125	+1.80%	0.166865	-5.17%	0.1137	✗	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.175703	+1.87%	0.17048	-1.15%	0.0912	✗	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.17249	+2.30%	0.1781	+5.63%	0.0669	✗	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.17398	+1.89%	0.17641	+3.31%	0.0560	✗	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.165003	+0.74%	0.18261	+11.49%	0.0443	✗	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.17017	+0.99%	0.189155	+12.25%	0.0207	✗	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.172476	+1.06%	0.18791	+10.11%	0.0485	✗	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.170712	+0.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.169581	+0.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.172566	+0.88%	0.179	+4.64%	0.0842	✗	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.16566	-0.23%	0.1802	+8.52%	0.1046	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.16537	-0.41%	0.177505	+6.90%	0.1082	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.163855	-0.87%	0.175	+5.87%	0.1280	✓	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.165006	-1.07%	0.17779	+6.60%	0.1065	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.159025	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.164583	-1.16%	0.17355	+4.23%	0.1041	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.160847	-1.17%	0.17367	+6.71%	0.0503	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.158447	-1.73%	0.17556	+8.89%	0.0418	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.155555	-1.20%	0.181895	+15.53%	0.0089	✓	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.159865	-0.99%	0.17189	+6.46%	0.1017	✓	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.160581	-0.87%	0.176575	+9.00%	0.0977	✓	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.166356	-0.11%	0.173675	+4.29%	0.0955	✓	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.173837	+0.54%	0.17244	-0.27%	0.1028	✗	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.172281	+0.48%	0.171695	+0.14%	0.1226	✗	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.172755	+0.77%	0.172625	+0.69%	0.1134	✗	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.16431	+0.08%	0.17375	+5.83%	0.0795	✗	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.170785	+0.02%	0.17181	+0.62%	0.1040	✗	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.176973	+0.54%	0.16685	-5.21%	0.1115	✗	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.177107	+0.59%	0.1744	-0.94%	0.1068	✗	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.181132	+1.22%	0.17886	-0.05%	0.1034	✗	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.191838	+1.42%	0.175965	-6.97%	0.1053	✗	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.191299	+1.48%	0.17247	-8.51%	0.1028	✗	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.17752	+1.52%	0.168605	-3.58%	0.0722	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.172867	+1.35%	0.17076	+0.11%	0.0620	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.174953	+1.32%	0.16379	-5.15%	0.0629	✗	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.176666	+1.26%	0.16851	-3.42%	0.0875	✗	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.172163	+1.21%	0.17066	+0.32%	0.0527	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.168368	+1.43%	0.16953	+2.13%	0.0222	✗	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.165988	+1.26%	0.168575	+2.84%	0.0274	✗	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.163882	+0.54%	0.171065	+4.95%	0.0558	✗	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.165223	+0.71%	0.16605	+1.22%	0.0219	✗	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.170915	+0.61%	0.166055	-2.25%	0.0438	✗	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.173158	+0.82%	0.165295	-3.76%	0.0138	✓	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.176015	+0.79%	0.16679	-4.49%	0.0400	✓	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.172708	+0.30%	0.160885	-6.56%	0.0455	✗	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.172397	+0.28%	0.16651	-3.15%	0.0222	✗	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.171209	-0.08%	0.16275	-5.02%	0.0944	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.175353	+0.01%	0.16123	-8.04%	0.0798	✗	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.174119	-0.26%	0.15744	-9.82%	0.1025	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.178702	-0.19%	0.161465	-9.82%	0.0803	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.180015	-0.40%	0.161995	-10.37%	0.0759	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.170176	-0.22%	0.166535	-2.36%	0.1084	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.171813	-0.30%	0.1729	+0.33%	0.1121	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.179177	-0.71%	0.17146	-4.99%	0.0951	✓	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.184208	-0.86%	0.17144	-7.74%	0.1226	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.182834	-0.84%	0.164175	-10.96%	0.1052	✓	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.180912	-0.83%	0.17075	-6.40%	0.0925	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.180125	-0.88%	0.176025	-3.14%	0.0956	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.186935	-1.22%	0.17606	-6.96%	0.1024	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.188257	-1.64%	0.17895	-6.51%	0.0914	✓	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.187099	-1.50%	0.18915	-0.42%	0.0750	✓	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.200691	-2.07%	0.18851	-8.01%	0.1456	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.196561	-2.05%	0.17487	-12.86%	0.1837	✓	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.182006	-1.71%	0.17057	-7.89%	0.1492	✓	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.178727	-1.57%	0.17268	-4.90%	0.0985	✓	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.181813	-1.70%	0.17447	-5.67%	0.0694	✓	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.178713	-1.86%	0.17011	-6.59%	0.0511	✓	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.17759	-2.18%	0.165995	-8.56%	0.0624	✓	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.181176	-2.43%	0.163925	-11.72%	0.0867	✓	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.180445	-2.47%	0.162995	-11.90%	0.0258	✓	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.15732	-1.68%	0.164055	+2.52%	0.0344	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.196512	-3.32%	0.169885	-16.42%	0.0841	✓	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.201262	-3.35%	0.171755	-17.52%	0.1025	✓	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.209702	-3.39%	0.17464	-19.54%	0.1150	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.202601	-3.66%	0.172185	-18.12%	0.0612	✓	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.212722	-3.12%	0.17192	-21.70%	0.0892	✓	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.229753	-2.28%	0.171345	-27.12%	0.0679	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.232211	-2.37%	0.175335	-26.28%	0.0661	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.251704	-1.66%	0.17458	-31.79%	0.0976	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.254925	-2.05%	0.17904	-31.21%	0.1046	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.253515	-2.21%	0.18074	-30.28%	0.1082	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.24354	-2.33%	0.170555	-31.60%	0.0939	✓	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.253299	-1.78%	0.172325	-33.18%	0.1074	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.252381	-1.77%	0.18046	-29.76%	0.0924	✓	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.254873	-1.64%	0.185815	-28.29%	0.0766	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.256426	-2.33%	0.182425	-30.52%	0.0975	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.258968	-1.47%	0.181725	-30.86%	0.0447	✓	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.271274	-0.94%	0.189235	-30.90%	0.0551	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.286283	-0.91%	0.191405	-33.75%	0.1072	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.284435	-0.81%	0.189955	-33.76%	0.1027	✓	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.285983	-0.60%	0.20493	-28.77%	0.0449	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.296069	-0.32%	0.20067	-32.44%	0.0721	✓	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.294646	-0.59%	0.18518	-37.52%	0.1200	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.271759	-1.32%	0.181585	-34.06%	0.1253	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.277437	-1.76%	0.18496	-34.50%	0.1476	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.282927	-2.25%	0.182105	-37.08%	0.2034	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.282533	-2.48%	0.18154	-37.34%	0.1899	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.282994	-2.71%	0.18568	-36.17%	0.1506	✓	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.284522	-2.90%	0.18501	-36.86%	0.1205	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.27712	-2.29%	0.160015	-43.58%	0.0530	✓	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.272866	-2.60%	0.20325	-27.45%	0.0139	✓	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.262875	-3.34%	0.21705	-20.19%	0.0182	✓	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.265611	-3.67%	0.2103	-23.73%	0.0406	✓	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.252535	-3.78%	0.219565	-16.34%	0.0065	✓	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.247549	-4.02%	0.23511	-8.84%	0.0041	✓	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.255874	-3.08%	0.23785	-9.91%	0.0185	✓	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.255509	-3.55%	0.255955	-3.39%	0.0261	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.253049	-3.23%	0.26027	-0.47%	0.0113	✓	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.255728	-2.24%	0.25924	-0.90%	0.0077	✓	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.244906	-2.05%	0.24934	-0.27%	0.0278	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.245718	-1.94%	0.25788	+2.92%	0.0230	✗	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.252825	-2.05%	0.25693	-0.46%	0.0086	✓	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.253079	-1.88%	0.259115	+0.46%	0.0037	✓	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.256005	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.250168	-1.53%	0.26255	+3.34%	0.0527	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.253646	-1.81%	0.26284	+1.74%	0.0203	✓	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.249674	-1.83%	0.27386	+7.68%	0.0198	✗	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.238254	-1.90%	0.28892	+18.96%	0.0662	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.248913	-1.90%	0.28677	+13.02%	0.0203	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.257631	-1.85%	0.28772	+9.61%	0.0107	✓	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.259559	-2.48%	0.29702	+11.59%	0.0030	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.26985	-1.69%	0.296395	+7.98%	0.0003	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.278365	-1.61%	0.27538	-2.66%	0.0229	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.275683	-1.56%	0.2824	+0.84%	0.0164	✗	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.282486	-1.37%	0.28944	+1.05%	0.0523	✗	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.287208	-1.74%	0.28973	-0.87%	0.0285	✗	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.288027	-1.78%	0.29088	-0.81%	0.0313	✗	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.27952	-1.88%	0.29302	+2.86%	0.0391	✗	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.282474	-1.59%	0.2836	-1.20%	0.0383	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.285297	-1.74%	0.28016	-3.51%	0.0781	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.292155	-1.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.289371	-1.02%	0.27195	-6.98%	0.0420	✓	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.290541	-0.90%	0.27572	-5.96%	0.0054	✓	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.283141	-1.36%	0.26246	-8.56%	0.0406	✓	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.273121	-1.66%	0.257905	-7.14%	0.0754	✓	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.292668	-1.45%	0.264	-11.11%	0.0748	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.305758	-1.50%	0.264925	-14.65%	0.0903	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.283724	-0.90%	0.26149	-8.67%	0.0387	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.28087	-0.73%	0.26159	-7.55%	0.0214	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.27179	-0.87%	0.250025	-8.80%	0.0385	✓	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.270955	-0.92%	0.250575	-8.37%	0.0759	✓	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.272208	-1.33%	0.25811	-6.44%	0.0435	✓	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.267454	-1.40%	0.25794	-4.91%	0.0456	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.255629	-1.24%	0.26017	+0.51%	0.0422	✓	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.257953	-1.35%	0.25406	-2.84%	0.0702	✓	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.264794	-1.60%	0.258335	-4.00%	0.0518	✓	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.273841	-1.31%	0.25433	-8.35%	0.0204	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.28201	-1.65%	0.24288	-15.29%	0.0299	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.283287	-2.03%	0.253725	-12.25%	0.0139	✓	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.283675	-1.87%	0.2625	-9.20%	0.0244	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.290769	-1.56%	0.26616	-9.89%	0.0589	✗	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.289188	-2.15%	0.2745	-7.12%	0.0501	✗	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.294885	-1.73%	0.28291	-5.72%	0.1135	✗	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.307768	-1.74%	0.28005	-10.59%	0.0909	✗	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.316247	-1.89%	0.28642	-11.14%	0.0679	✗	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.307581	-1.37%	0.292285	-6.28%	0.1752	✗	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.303285	-2.25%	0.28704	-7.48%	0.1484	✗	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.278491	-2.46%	0.29035	+1.70%	0.2303	✗	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.27103	-1.08%	0.296505	+8.21%	0.3219	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.26226	-1.34%	0.292345	+9.98%	0.2590	✗	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.27667	-0.88%	0.29318	+5.03%	0.2682	✗	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.318946	+0.01%	0.287035	-10.00%	0.1859	✓	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.320308	-0.03%	0.27774	-13.32%	0.2306	✗	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.310445	+0.19%	0.296985	-4.16%	0.2501	✓	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.30711	-0.46%	0.31041	+0.61%	0.2807	✗	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.319893	+0.19%	0.2863	-10.33%	0.1791	✓	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.323552	+1.37%	0.282945	-11.35%	0.1973	✓	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.331967	+1.12%	0.274165	-16.49%	0.1703	✓	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.341445	+0.43%	0.273475	-19.56%	0.2004	✓	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.331516	-0.06%	0.27588	-16.84%	0.1878	✗	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.326875	-0.20%	0.27126	-17.18%	0.2039	✗	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.32555	-0.03%	0.25884	-20.51%	0.1870	✗	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.316041	+0.15%	0.26148	-17.14%	0.1835	✓	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.323008	+0.26%	0.26911	-16.47%	0.1747	✓	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.332408	+0.07%	0.27749	-16.46%	0.1183	✓	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.32764	+0.01%	0.28673	-12.47%	0.1085	✓	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.320134	-0.53%	0.289155	-10.16%	0.1327	✗	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.318718	-0.77%	0.289095	-10.00%	0.0914	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.335768	-0.52%	0.29537	-12.49%	0.0622	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.352699	+0.12%	0.29554	-16.10%	0.0639	✓	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.363944	+0.44%	0.300075	-17.19%	0.0013	✓	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.385279	+0.47%	0.31321	-18.33%	0.0194	✗	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.385561	+0.05%	0.32233	-16.36%	0.0168	✗	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.351652	-0.23%	0.311865	-11.52%	0.0580	✓	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.354097	+0.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.430382	+0.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.440741	+0.63%	0.31026	-29.16%	0.1658	✗	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.440293	+0.08%	0.285505	-35.11%	0.2510	✗	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.455902	+0.73%	0.274	-39.46%	0.3254	✗	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.444185	+0.69%	0.26582	-39.75%	0.3171	✗	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.447144	+0.85%	0.27914	-37.04%	0.3303	✗	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.453354	+0.45%	0.318915	-29.34%	0.2486	✗	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.453242	+0.08%	0.320415	-29.25%	0.2526	✗	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.432379	-0.23%	0.309865	-28.50%	0.2591	✓	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.421031	-0.75%	0.308515	-27.27%	0.2618	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.413687	-0.71%	0.319275	-23.37%	0.2176	✓	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.418115	-1.15%	0.31918	-24.54%	0.2770	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.409377	-1.48%	0.328305	-20.99%	0.2656	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.41481	-1.29%	0.33998	-19.09%	0.2482	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.402717	-1.41%	0.33173	-18.79%	0.2209	✓	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.428008	-1.63%	0.327525	-24.72%	0.2452	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.431901	-2.30%	0.32564	-26.33%	0.2634	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.408989	-2.76%	0.31558	-24.97%	0.2065	✓	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.440804	-2.34%	0.32218	-28.62%	0.2465	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.450875	-2.44%	0.332165	-28.13%	0.2542	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.44071	-2.73%	0.327595	-27.70%	0.2265	✓	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.458051	-2.88%	0.32185	-31.76%	0.2533	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.452355	-3.08%	0.3212	-31.18%	0.2397	✓	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.44455	-2.98%	0.337535	-26.34%	0.1877	✓	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.444385	-3.29%	0.352265	-23.34%	0.1856	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.477207	-3.56%	0.36235	-26.77%	0.2519	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.442935	-2.98%	0.38349	-16.00%	0.1368	✓	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.441594	-2.59%	0.385365	-14.99%	0.1253	✓	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.443981	-2.55%	0.35246	-22.64%	0.1795	✓	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.43797	-3.17%	0.35363	-21.82%	0.2032	✓	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.432522	-3.69%	0.42924	-4.43%	0.1159	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.432759	-3.99%	0.438	-2.83%	0.1076	✓	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.410725	-4.46%	0.439955	+2.33%	0.0403	✓	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.405131	-5.00%	0.452595	+6.13%	0.0353	✓	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.405346	-5.34%	0.44116	+3.02%	0.0451	✓	1.18
2025-09-04	oos	0.425515	0.40696	-4.36%	0.443395	+4.20%	0.0335	✓	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.