ARGUS
Argus · Arc · gru_s0
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +1d
assessed
26
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
69.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0984
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0052
actual -0.0397
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008324 | 0.008205 | -1.43% | – | pending | – | – | -1.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007258 | -1.01% | 0.008324 | +13.52% | 0.1322 | ✗ | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006817 | -0.59% | 0.007332 | +6.92% | 0.0963 | ✗ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005696 | -0.35% | 0.006858 | +19.99% | 0.1823 | ✗ | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.006859 | -0.12% | 0.005716 | -16.77% | 0.1700 | ✓ | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007654 | -0.12% | 0.006867 | -10.39% | 0.1109 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.00867 | -0.34% | 0.007663 | -11.92% | 0.1158 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008621 | -0.33% | 0.0087 | +0.58% | 0.0023 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007479 | -0.48% | 0.00865 | +15.10% | 0.1641 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008675 | -0.17% | 0.007515 | -13.52% | 0.1600 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.01104 | -0.54% | 0.00869 | -21.71% | 0.2159 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010615 | -0.42% | 0.0111 | +4.13% | 0.0355 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012509 | -0.56% | 0.01066 | -15.26% | 0.1644 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013507 | -0.69% | 0.01258 | -7.50% | 0.0814 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013902 | -0.77% | 0.0136 | -2.93% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013476 | -0.55% | 0.01401 | +3.39% | 0.0657 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013887 | -0.53% | 0.01355 | -2.94% | 0.0221 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.014247 | -0.48% | 0.01396 | -2.48% | 0.0115 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013266 | -0.48% | 0.014315 | +7.39% | 0.0555 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015399 | -0.59% | 0.01333 | -13.94% | 0.1471 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.014173 | -0.44% | 0.01549 | +8.82% | 0.0929 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013978 | -0.44% | 0.014235 | +1.39% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014633 | -0.32% | 0.01404 | -4.36% | 0.0404 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.019115 | -0.39% | 0.01468 | -23.50% | 0.2662 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.021386 | -0.53% | 0.01919 | -10.74% | 0.0964 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023812 | -0.87% | 0.0215 | -10.49% | 0.1027 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.024434 | -1.30% | 0.02402 | -2.97% | 0.0209 | ✓ | 1.00 |