APTM

Apertum · native · gru_s0

token id: #738
symbol: APTM
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-29
predictions: 1,569

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

72.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3230

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0304

actual -0.2239

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05044	0.049687	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.050485	0.049882	-1.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-19	oos	0.04955	0.048757	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.12
2026-10-18	oos	0.051575	0.050573	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.051415	0.050178	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-16	oos	0.05148	0.050229	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.05166	0.050396	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.05095	0.049525	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.04801	0.047054	-1.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.04597	0.044865	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.043545	0.042884	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.038075	0.037276	-2.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.04453	0.043368	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-08	oos	0.039705	0.038324	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-10-07	oos	0.048795	0.047172	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.05007	0.048683	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-05	oos	0.05562	0.054365	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.22
2026-10-04	oos	0.05554	0.054543	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.23
2026-10-03	oos	0.05556	0.053607	-3.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.24
2026-10-02	oos	0.059785	0.057409	-3.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.24
2026-10-01	oos	0.067895	0.065137	-4.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.069685	0.065944	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.28
2026-09-29	oos	0.07139	0.06724	-5.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.26
2026-09-28	oos	0.06487	0.06044	-6.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.07234	0.068339	-5.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.078755	0.074983	-4.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-09-25	oos	0.08103	0.077564	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.39
2026-09-24	oos	0.08097	0.077495	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.39
2026-09-23	oos	0.08203	0.078344	-4.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.39
2026-09-22	oos	0.08513	0.082491	-3.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.07953	0.07699	-3.19%	0.05044	-36.58%	0.4396	✓	-0.36
2026-09-20	oos	0.0812	0.07567	-6.81%	0.050485	-37.83%	0.3979	✓	-0.32
2026-09-19	oos	0.085365	0.080285	-5.95%	0.04955	-41.96%	0.4802	✓	-0.33
2026-09-18	oos	0.08565	0.080564	-5.94%	0.051575	-39.78%	0.4415	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.08507	0.077674	-8.69%	0.051415	-39.56%	0.3880	✓	-0.39
2026-09-16	oos	0.08344	0.076198	-8.68%	0.05148	-38.30%	0.3657	✓	-0.39
2026-09-15	oos	0.08708	0.079782	-8.38%	0.05166	-40.68%	0.4084	✓	-0.32
2026-09-14	oos	0.08585	0.080297	-6.47%	0.05095	-40.65%	0.4417	✓	-0.31
2026-09-13	oos	0.079525	0.073464	-7.62%	0.04801	-39.63%	0.3985	✓	-0.34
2026-09-12	oos	0.083605	0.07798	-6.73%	0.04597	-45.02%	0.5088	✓	-0.35
2026-09-11	oos	0.08481	0.079553	-6.20%	0.043545	-48.66%	0.5753	✓	-0.34
2026-09-10	oos	0.090155	0.08499	-5.73%	0.038075	-57.77%	0.7771	✓	-0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.08912	0.0854	-4.17%	0.04453	-50.03%	0.6345	✓	-0.32
2026-09-08	oos	0.0919	0.088929	-3.23%	0.039705	-56.80%	0.7951	✓	-0.28
2026-09-07	oos	0.09638	0.094429	-2.02%	0.048795	-49.37%	0.6454	✓	-0.29
2026-09-06	oos	0.087055	0.085886	-1.34%	0.05007	-42.48%	0.5257	✓	-0.22
2026-09-05	oos	0.088895	0.088339	-0.63%	0.05562	-37.43%	0.4470	✓	-0.22
2026-09-04	oos	0.089055	0.089439	+0.43%	0.05554	-37.63%	0.4617	✗	-0.18
2026-09-03	oos	0.09121	0.093918	+2.97%	0.05556	-39.09%	0.5168	✗	-0.19
2026-09-02	oos	0.09298	0.094379	+1.50%	0.059785	-35.70%	0.4425	✗	-0.16
2026-09-01	oos	0.16979	0.164277	-3.25%	0.067895	-60.01%	0.8635	✓	-0.22
2026-08-31	oos	0.08124	0.083644	+2.96%	0.069685	-14.22%	0.1920	✗	0.15
2026-08-30	oos	0.07423	0.075938	+2.30%	0.07139	-3.83%	0.0676	✗	0.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.07457	0.076732	+2.90%	0.06487	-13.01%	0.1752	✗	0.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.07422	0.076008	+2.41%	0.07234	-2.53%	0.0585	✗	0.11
2026-08-27	oos	0.08533	0.091061	+6.72%	0.078755	-7.71%	0.1458	✗	0.01
2026-08-26	oos	0.10211	0.109135	+6.88%	0.08103	-20.64%	0.3024	✗	0.08
2026-08-25	oos	0.10665	0.114066	+6.95%	0.08097	-24.08%	0.3482	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.11217	0.120375	+7.31%	0.08203	-26.87%	0.3870	✗	0.05
2026-08-23	oos	0.12435	0.132015	+6.16%	0.08513	-31.54%	0.4488	✗	0.10
2026-08-22	oos	0.12235	0.12945	+5.80%	0.07953	-35.00%	0.4980	✗	0.09
2026-08-21	oos	0.1212	0.129543	+6.88%	0.0812	-33.00%	0.4707	✗	0.10
2026-08-20	oos	0.12097	0.124599	+3.00%	0.085365	-29.43%	0.3887	✗	0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.12915	0.129125	-0.02%	0.08565	-33.68%	0.4421	✓	0.20
2026-08-18	oos	0.13144	0.12746	-3.03%	0.08507	-35.28%	0.4492	✓	0.27
2026-08-17	oos	0.13321	0.129026	-3.14%	0.08344	-37.36%	0.4833	✓	0.28
2026-08-16	oos	0.13581	0.130567	-3.86%	0.08708	-35.88%	0.4621	✓	0.31
2026-08-15	oos	0.13355	0.128389	-3.86%	0.08585	-35.72%	0.4696	✓	0.31
2026-08-14	oos	0.1315	0.126391	-3.89%	0.079525	-39.52%	0.5263	✓	0.32
2026-08-13	oos	0.14032	0.134958	-3.82%	0.083605	-40.42%	0.5380	✓	0.30
2026-08-12	oos	0.14456	0.138861	-3.94%	0.08481	-41.33%	0.5420	✓	0.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.14696	0.14114	-3.96%	0.090155	-38.65%	0.5085	✓	0.32
2026-08-10	oos	0.14592	0.140219	-3.91%	0.08912	-38.93%	0.5187	✓	0.32
2026-08-09	oos	0.13868	0.133517	-3.72%	0.0919	-33.73%	0.4434	✓	0.37
2026-08-08	oos	0.14461	0.139188	-3.75%	0.09638	-33.35%	0.4406	✓	0.37
2026-08-07	oos	0.1437	0.13812	-3.88%	0.087055	-39.42%	0.5306	✓	0.32
2026-08-06	oos	0.14603	0.139979	-4.14%	0.088895	-39.13%	0.5260	✓	0.33
2026-08-05	oos	0.14513	0.139257	-4.05%	0.089055	-38.64%	0.5163	✓	0.33
2026-08-04	oos	0.14826	0.141869	-4.31%	0.09121	-38.48%	0.5178	✓	0.32
2026-08-03	oos	0.15172	0.144881	-4.51%	0.09298	-38.72%	0.5088	✓	0.33
2026-08-02	oos	0.15604	0.149191	-4.39%	0.16979	+8.81%	0.0686	✗	0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.15091	0.144082	-4.52%	0.08124	-46.17%	0.6360	✓	0.28
2026-07-31	oos	0.13661	0.130777	-4.27%	0.07423	-45.66%	0.6247	✓	0.28
2026-07-30	oos	0.14276	0.138475	-3.00%	0.07457	-47.77%	0.6675	✓	0.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.14754	0.14296	-3.10%	0.07422	-49.69%	0.7165	✓	0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.15216	0.147828	-2.85%	0.08533	-43.92%	0.6202	✓	0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.15277	0.148938	-2.51%	0.10211	-33.16%	0.4461	✓	0.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.15221	0.149599	-1.72%	0.10665	-29.93%	0.3989	✓	0.33
2026-07-25	oos	0.14016	0.137825	-1.67%	0.11217	-19.97%	0.2611	✓	0.27
2026-07-24	oos	0.14238	0.140181	-1.54%	0.12435	-12.66%	0.1700	✓	0.26
2026-07-23	oos	0.14741	0.145659	-1.19%	0.12235	-17.00%	0.2156	✓	0.24
2026-07-22	oos	0.15841	0.15678	-1.03%	0.1212	-23.49%	0.2959	✓	0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.15839	0.157099	-0.81%	0.12097	-23.63%	0.2829	✓	0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.15106	0.149683	-0.91%	0.12915	-14.50%	0.1593	✓	0.19
2026-07-19	oos	0.14672	0.14529	-0.97%	0.13144	-10.41%	0.1002	✓	0.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.1545	0.15274	-1.14%	0.13321	-13.78%	0.1360	✓	0.17
2026-07-17	oos	0.15717	0.154724	-1.56%	0.13581	-13.59%	0.1267	✓	0.22
2026-07-16	oos	0.16458	0.161526	-1.86%	0.13355	-18.85%	0.1871	✓	0.26
2026-07-15	oos	0.14785	0.146146	-1.15%	0.1315	-11.06%	0.0977	✓	0.29
2026-07-14	oos	0.13584	0.134623	-0.90%	0.14032	+3.30%	0.0488	✗	0.30
2026-07-13	oos	0.12405	0.122238	-1.46%	0.14456	+16.53%	0.1645	✗	0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.11991	0.1185	-1.18%	0.14696	+22.56%	0.2159	✗	0.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.1254	0.123747	-1.32%	0.14592	+16.36%	0.1645	✗	0.16
2026-07-10	oos	0.12225	0.120834	-1.16%	0.13868	+13.44%	0.1352	✗	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.12308	0.121502	-1.28%	0.14461	+17.49%	0.1678	✗	0.23
2026-07-08	oos	0.12313	0.12132	-1.47%	0.1437	+16.71%	0.1581	✗	0.27
2026-07-07	oos	0.12172	0.120167	-1.28%	0.14603	+19.97%	0.1909	✗	0.27
2026-07-06	oos	0.11802	0.116592	-1.21%	0.14513	+22.97%	0.2167	✗	0.24
2026-07-05	oos	0.12421	0.122365	-1.49%	0.14826	+19.36%	0.1887	✗	0.44
2026-07-04	oos	0.12789	0.12574	-1.68%	0.15172	+18.63%	0.1851	✗	0.45
2026-07-03	oos	0.12756	0.12516	-1.88%	0.15604	+22.33%	0.2140	✗	0.42
2026-07-02	oos	0.13462	0.131534	-2.29%	0.15091	+12.10%	0.1281	✗	0.45
2026-07-01	oos	0.1334	0.12995	-2.59%	0.13661	+2.41%	0.0289	✗	0.45
2026-06-30	oos	0.1241	0.120753	-2.70%	0.14276	+15.04%	0.1254	✗	0.42
2026-06-29	oos	0.10165	0.099043	-2.56%	0.14754	+45.15%	0.3631	✗	0.59
2026-06-28	oos	0.10748	0.104592	-2.69%	0.15216	+41.57%	0.3324	✗	0.60
2026-06-27	oos	0.12679	0.123214	-2.82%	0.15277	+20.49%	0.1824	✗	0.54
2026-06-26	oos	0.12502	0.121325	-2.96%	0.15221	+21.75%	0.1811	✗	0.54
2026-06-25	oos	0.1193	0.115575	-3.12%	0.14016	+17.49%	0.1539	✗	0.53
2026-06-24	oos	0.12379	0.119834	-3.20%	0.14238	+15.02%	0.1442	✗	0.57
2026-06-23	oos	0.12526	0.121038	-3.37%	0.14741	+17.68%	0.1829	✗	0.38
2026-06-22	oos	0.13626	0.131854	-3.23%	0.15841	+16.26%	0.1732	✗	0.31
2026-06-21	oos	0.1432	0.138694	-3.15%	0.15839	+10.61%	0.1160	✗	0.33
2026-06-20	oos	0.14425	0.139571	-3.24%	0.15106	+4.72%	0.0735	✗	0.37
2026-06-19	oos	0.14924	0.144502	-3.17%	0.14672	-1.69%	0.0080	✓	0.38
2026-06-18	oos	0.152465	0.147497	-3.26%	0.1545	+1.33%	0.0346	✗	0.39
2026-06-17	oos	0.16544	0.159981	-3.30%	0.15717	-5.00%	0.0148	✓	0.34
2026-06-16	oos	0.1638	0.158215	-3.41%	0.16458	+0.48%	0.0495	✗	0.35
2026-06-15	oos	0.17088	0.165041	-3.42%	0.14785	-13.48%	0.1005	✓	0.40
2026-06-14	oos	0.17032	0.164232	-3.57%	0.13584	-20.24%	0.1852	✓	0.42
2026-06-13	oos	0.16995	0.163659	-3.70%	0.12405	-27.01%	0.2617	✓	0.45
2026-06-12	oos	0.16892	0.162531	-3.78%	0.11991	-29.01%	0.3055	✓	0.43
2026-06-11	oos	0.16948	0.162845	-3.91%	0.1254	-26.01%	0.2627	✓	0.43
2026-06-10	oos	0.16501	0.158678	-3.84%	0.12225	-25.91%	0.2803	✓	0.46
2026-06-09	oos	0.16981	0.162964	-4.03%	0.12308	-27.52%	0.2919	✓	0.47
2026-06-08	oos	0.17186	0.164496	-4.29%	0.12313	-28.35%	0.2836	✓	0.46
2026-06-07	oos	0.17355	0.165782	-4.48%	0.12172	-29.86%	0.3091	✓	0.42
2026-06-06	oos	0.16966	0.162221	-4.38%	0.11802	-30.44%	0.3340	✓	0.31
2026-06-05	oos	0.16953	0.161812	-4.55%	0.12421	-26.73%	0.2779	✓	0.33
2026-06-04	oos	0.17312	0.164299	-5.10%	0.12789	-26.13%	0.2467	✓	0.33
2026-06-03	oos	0.17071	0.161759	-5.24%	0.12756	-25.28%	0.2293	✓	0.34
2026-06-02	oos	0.17298	0.163066	-5.73%	0.13462	-22.18%	0.1626	✓	0.36
2026-06-01	oos	0.17134	0.160474	-6.34%	0.1334	-22.14%	0.1221	✓	0.36
2026-05-31	oos	0.180875	0.169229	-6.44%	0.1241	-31.39%	0.2376	✓	0.32
2026-05-30	oos	0.18247	0.170694	-6.45%	0.10165	-44.29%	0.4554	✓	0.31
2026-05-29	oos	0.18313	0.170992	-6.63%	0.10748	-41.31%	0.3972	✓	0.32
2026-05-28	oos	0.18267	0.170597	-6.61%	0.12679	-30.59%	0.2326	✓	0.31
2026-05-27	oos	0.18145	0.169949	-6.34%	0.12502	-31.10%	0.2381	✓	0.32
2026-05-26	oos	0.17662	0.166896	-5.51%	0.1193	-32.45%	0.2510	✓	0.35
2026-05-25	oos	0.18038	0.172857	-4.17%	0.12379	-31.37%	0.2398	✓	0.40
2026-05-24	oos	0.18253	0.174898	-4.18%	0.12526	-31.38%	0.2512	✓	0.40
2026-05-23	oos	0.1803	0.172743	-4.19%	0.13626	-24.43%	0.1577	✓	0.44
2026-05-22	oos	0.18214	0.173838	-4.56%	0.1432	-21.38%	0.1155	✓	0.44
2026-05-21	oos	0.18351	0.178176	-2.91%	0.14425	-21.39%	0.1258	✓	0.45
2026-05-20	oos	0.19035	0.185126	-2.74%	0.14924	-21.60%	0.1257	✓	0.45
2026-05-19	oos	0.18468	0.179339	-2.89%	0.152465	-17.44%	0.0727	✓	0.45
2026-05-18	oos	0.19254	0.187608	-2.56%	0.16544	-14.07%	0.0480	✓	0.44
2026-05-17	oos	0.19675	0.192747	-2.03%	0.1638	-16.75%	0.0924	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.20489	0.201162	-1.82%	0.17088	-16.60%	0.0944	✓	0.42
2026-05-15	oos	0.20193	0.199962	-0.97%	0.17032	-15.65%	0.0789	✓	0.44
2026-05-14	oos	0.19072	0.191661	+0.49%	0.16995	-10.89%	0.0070	✗	0.49
2026-05-13	oos	0.17412	0.173562	-0.32%	0.16892	-2.99%	0.0592	✗	0.39
2026-05-12	oos	0.17421	0.174988	+0.45%	0.16948	-2.72%	0.0594	✓	0.39
2026-05-11	oos	0.18395	0.185619	+0.91%	0.16501	-10.30%	0.0139	✗	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.18566	0.188128	+1.33%	0.16981	-8.54%	0.0167	✓	0.41
2026-05-09	oos	0.19691	0.197813	+0.46%	0.17186	-12.72%	0.0322	✗	0.44
2026-05-08	oos	0.19567	0.196552	+0.45%	0.17355	-11.30%	0.0231	✗	0.43
2026-05-07	oos	0.19909	0.200916	+0.92%	0.16966	-14.78%	0.0488	✗	0.44
2026-05-06	oos	0.19352	0.198405	+2.52%	0.16953	-12.40%	0.0538	✗	0.36
2026-05-05	oos	0.19238	0.197288	+2.55%	0.17312	-10.01%	0.0296	✗	0.43
2026-05-04	oos	0.20175	0.20558	+1.90%	0.17071	-15.39%	0.0909	✗	0.43
2026-05-03	oos	0.20465	0.207076	+1.19%	0.17298	-15.48%	0.1190	✗	0.37
2026-05-02	oos	0.20929	0.211602	+1.10%	0.17134	-18.13%	0.1748	✗	0.37
2026-05-01	oos	0.20161	0.203217	+0.80%	0.180875	-10.28%	0.0935	✗	0.37
2026-04-30	oos	0.19292	0.191982	-0.49%	0.18247	-5.42%	0.0392	✓	0.34
2026-04-29	oos	0.19468	0.192816	-0.96%	0.18313	-5.93%	0.0406	✓	0.34
2026-04-28	oos	0.20541	0.203824	-0.77%	0.18267	-11.07%	0.0982	✓	0.30
2026-04-27	oos	0.20654	0.20636	-0.09%	0.18145	-12.15%	0.1163	✓	0.31
2026-04-26	oos	0.20357	0.205282	+0.84%	0.17662	-13.24%	0.1387	✗	0.32
2026-04-25	oos	0.20785	0.207635	-0.10%	0.18038	-13.22%	0.1390	✓	0.32
2026-04-24	oos	0.21439	0.214065	-0.15%	0.18253	-14.86%	0.1572	✓	0.35
2026-04-23	oos	0.22594	0.227565	+0.72%	0.1803	-20.20%	0.2255	✗	0.35
2026-04-22	oos	0.21641	0.217467	+0.49%	0.18214	-15.84%	0.1648	✗	0.35
2026-04-21	oos	0.21717	0.214492	-1.23%	0.18351	-15.50%	0.1614	✓	0.35
2026-04-20	oos	0.24333	0.241083	-0.92%	0.19035	-21.77%	0.2437	✓	0.35
2026-04-19	oos	0.23956	0.233987	-2.33%	0.18468	-22.91%	0.2515	✓	0.38
2026-04-18	oos	0.25684	0.254703	-0.83%	0.19254	-25.04%	0.2856	✓	0.37
2026-04-17	oos	0.27491	0.275176	+0.10%	0.19675	-28.43%	0.3369	✗	0.36
2026-04-16	oos	0.28018	0.277156	-1.08%	0.20489	-26.87%	0.3160	✓	0.36
2026-04-15	oos	0.27333	0.270322	-1.10%	0.20193	-26.12%	0.3115	✓	0.36
2026-04-14	oos	0.27129	0.267379	-1.44%	0.19072	-29.70%	0.3697	✓	0.36
2026-04-13	oos	0.26811	0.264848	-1.22%	0.17412	-35.06%	0.4421	✓	0.36
2026-04-12	oos	0.27622	0.267312	-3.22%	0.17421	-36.93%	0.4789	✓	0.39
2026-04-11	oos	0.29991	0.292877	-2.35%	0.18395	-38.66%	0.5069	✓	0.37
2026-04-10	oos	0.28573	0.27961	-2.14%	0.18566	-35.02%	0.4533	✓	0.37
2026-04-09	oos	0.26827	0.261488	-2.53%	0.19691	-26.60%	0.3249	✓	0.35
2026-04-08	oos	0.27586	0.267192	-3.14%	0.19567	-29.07%	0.3548	✓	0.36
2026-04-07	oos	0.24535	0.239786	-2.27%	0.19909	-18.85%	0.2257	✓	0.37
2026-04-06	oos	0.21158	0.204894	-3.16%	0.19352	-8.54%	0.1064	✓	0.29
2026-04-05	oos	0.19818	0.19169	-3.27%	0.19238	-2.93%	0.0429	✓	0.29
2026-04-04	oos	0.2031	0.19589	-3.55%	0.20175	-0.66%	0.0239	✓	0.31
2026-04-03	oos	0.19894	0.191769	-3.60%	0.20465	+2.87%	0.0149	✓	0.31
2026-04-02	oos	0.20104	0.19409	-3.46%	0.20929	+4.10%	0.0245	✓	0.31
2026-04-01	oos	0.21028	0.203897	-3.04%	0.20161	-4.12%	0.0543	✓	0.31
2026-03-31	oos	0.2115	0.205284	-2.94%	0.19292	-8.78%	0.0977	✓	0.32
2026-03-30	oos	0.21399	0.207424	-3.07%	0.19468	-9.02%	0.1043	✓	0.32
2026-03-29	oos	0.23271	0.225771	-2.98%	0.20541	-11.73%	0.1451	✓	0.35
2026-03-28	oos	0.23595	0.229618	-2.68%	0.20654	-12.46%	0.1595	✓	0.35
2026-03-27	oos	0.24364	0.23759	-2.48%	0.20357	-16.45%	0.2138	✓	0.35
2026-03-26	oos	0.2636	0.258301	-2.01%	0.20785	-21.15%	0.2574	✓	0.33
2026-03-25	oos	0.22177	0.219089	-1.21%	0.21439	-3.33%	0.0557	✓	0.41
2026-03-24	oos	0.237085	0.234351	-1.15%	0.22594	-4.70%	0.0801	✓	0.42
2026-03-23	oos	0.24136	0.239041	-0.96%	0.21641	-10.34%	0.1406	✓	0.42
2026-03-22	oos	0.2329	0.229522	-1.45%	0.21717	-6.75%	0.1009	✓	0.39
2026-03-21	oos	0.23942	0.236466	-1.23%	0.24333	+1.63%	0.0083	✓	0.38
2026-03-20	oos	0.24414	0.241917	-0.91%	0.23956	-1.88%	0.0273	✓	0.38
2026-03-19	oos	0.25525	0.252613	-1.03%	0.25684	+0.62%	0.0147	✓	0.39
2026-03-18	oos	0.25961	0.257974	-0.63%	0.27491	+5.89%	0.0249	✗	0.49
2026-03-17	oos	0.28038	0.27948	-0.32%	0.28018	-0.07%	0.0052	✓	0.47
2026-03-16	oos	0.300425	0.299576	-0.28%	0.27333	-9.02%	0.0914	✓	0.43
2026-03-15	oos	0.28623	0.284605	-0.57%	0.27129	-5.22%	0.0557	✓	0.42
2026-03-14	oos	0.29323	0.290855	-0.81%	0.26811	-8.57%	0.1003	✓	0.43
2026-03-13	oos	0.30095	0.298197	-0.91%	0.27622	-8.22%	0.0754	✓	0.44
2026-03-12	oos	0.238945	0.237295	-0.69%	0.29991	+25.51%	0.2195	✗	0.41
2026-03-11	oos	0.21947	0.217422	-0.93%	0.28573	+30.19%	0.2579	✗	0.39
2026-03-10	oos	0.24161	0.239292	-0.96%	0.26827	+11.03%	0.1039	✗	0.40
2026-03-09	oos	0.2527	0.249678	-1.20%	0.27586	+9.17%	0.0839	✗	0.42
2026-03-08	oos	0.275275	0.271741	-1.28%	0.24535	-10.87%	0.1416	✓	0.46
2026-03-07	oos	0.285105	0.281709	-1.19%	0.21158	-25.79%	0.2971	✓	0.46
2026-03-06	oos	0.29572	0.292197	-1.19%	0.19818	-32.98%	0.3941	✓	0.45
2026-03-05	oos	0.30314	0.299633	-1.16%	0.2031	-33.00%	0.3655	✓	0.45
2026-03-04	oos	0.31296	0.30984	-1.00%	0.19894	-36.43%	0.4070	✓	0.44
2026-03-03	oos	0.32191	0.318143	-1.17%	0.20104	-37.55%	0.4488	✓	0.48
2026-03-02	oos	0.30972	0.306048	-1.19%	0.21028	-32.11%	0.3701	✓	0.50
2026-03-01	oos	0.30922	0.305779	-1.11%	0.2115	-31.60%	0.3880	✓	0.53
2026-02-28	oos	0.31967	0.315976	-1.16%	0.21399	-33.06%	0.3879	✓	0.53
2026-02-27	oos	0.32496	0.320891	-1.25%	0.23271	-28.39%	0.3221	✓	0.54
2026-02-26	oos	0.33098	0.326826	-1.25%	0.23595	-28.71%	0.3164	✓	0.54
2026-02-25	oos	0.34717	0.342728	-1.28%	0.24364	-29.82%	0.3282	✓	0.53
2026-02-24	oos	0.33162	0.327866	-1.13%	0.2636	-20.51%	0.2554	✓	0.53
2026-02-23	oos	0.33904	0.335019	-1.19%	0.22177	-34.59%	0.4618	✓	0.50
2026-02-22	oos	0.36056	0.355399	-1.43%	0.237085	-34.25%	0.4250	✓	0.48
2026-02-21	oos	0.36987	0.36415	-1.55%	0.24136	-34.74%	0.4315	✓	0.48
2026-02-20	oos	0.3689	0.363001	-1.60%	0.2329	-36.87%	0.4428	✓	0.47
2026-02-19	oos	0.37199	0.366589	-1.45%	0.23942	-35.64%	0.4396	✓	0.47
2026-02-18	oos	0.36234	0.357427	-1.36%	0.24414	-32.62%	0.4095	✓	0.48
2026-02-17	oos	0.36101	0.355919	-1.41%	0.25525	-29.30%	0.3495	✓	0.48
2026-02-16	oos	0.35947	0.354198	-1.47%	0.25961	-27.78%	0.3273	✓	0.49
2026-02-15	oos	0.3796	0.374372	-1.38%	0.28038	-26.14%	0.3245	✓	0.49
2026-02-14	oos	0.39839	0.39276	-1.41%	0.300425	-24.59%	0.3030	✓	0.50
2026-02-13	oos	0.39596	0.391173	-1.21%	0.28623	-27.71%	0.3399	✓	0.49
2026-02-12	oos	0.42051	0.41623	-1.02%	0.29323	-30.27%	0.3881	✓	0.52
2026-02-11	oos	0.41563	0.411506	-0.99%	0.30095	-27.59%	0.3430	✓	0.53
2026-02-10	oos	0.419	0.414264	-1.13%	0.238945	-42.97%	0.5636	✓	0.54
2026-02-09	oos	0.47437	0.466853	-1.58%	0.21947	-53.73%	0.7556	✓	0.51
2026-02-08	oos	0.49868	0.489464	-1.85%	0.24161	-51.55%	0.7035	✓	0.54
2026-02-07	oos	0.51882	0.508552	-1.98%	0.2527	-51.29%	0.6928	✓	0.55
2026-02-06	oos	0.54166	0.528236	-2.48%	0.275275	-49.18%	0.6155	✓	0.54
2026-02-05	oos	0.54685	0.536272	-1.93%	0.285105	-47.86%	0.6790	✓	0.69
2026-02-04	oos	0.60577	0.583146	-3.73%	0.29572	-51.18%	0.6320	✓	0.68
2026-02-03	oos	0.62096	0.593686	-4.39%	0.30314	-51.18%	0.6295	✓	0.65
2026-02-02	oos	0.56247	0.537076	-4.51%	0.31296	-44.36%	0.4803	✓	0.76
2026-02-01	oos	0.56928	0.544278	-4.39%	0.32191	-43.45%	0.4392	✓	0.73
2026-01-31	oos	0.5988	0.569369	-4.92%	0.30972	-48.28%	0.5120	✓	0.73
2026-01-30	oos	0.60888	0.575928	-5.41%	0.30922	-49.21%	0.4313	✓	0.77
2026-01-29	oos	0.59124	0.559111	-5.43%	0.31967	-45.93%	0.3793	✓	0.77
2026-01-28	oos	0.57403	0.54424	-5.19%	0.32496	-43.39%	0.2526	✓	0.87
2026-01-27	oos	0.57841	0.549127	-5.06%	0.33098	-42.78%	0.2645	✓	0.87
2026-01-26	oos	0.56422	0.534242	-5.31%	0.34717	-38.47%	0.2131	✓	0.84
2026-01-25	oos	0.55145	0.521085	-5.51%	0.33162	-39.86%	0.1953	✓	0.85
2026-01-24	oos	0.61442	0.582266	-5.23%	0.33904	-44.82%	0.2865	✓	0.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.63296	0.60064	-5.11%	0.36056	-43.04%	0.3201	✓	0.68
2026-01-22	oos	0.66735	0.632862	-5.17%	0.36987	-44.58%	0.3503	✓	0.68
2026-01-21	oos	0.67395	0.638342	-5.28%	0.3689	-45.26%	0.3663	✓	0.67
2026-01-20	oos	0.69983	0.662313	-5.36%	0.37199	-46.85%	0.3904	✓	0.67
2026-01-19	oos	0.77066	0.737105	-4.35%	0.36234	-52.98%	0.5140	✓	0.59
2026-01-18	oos	0.77974	0.747579	-4.12%	0.36101	-53.70%	0.5248	✓	0.62
2026-01-17	oos	0.78625	0.756114	-3.83%	0.35947	-54.28%	0.5429	✓	0.62
2026-01-16	oos	0.84274	0.812114	-3.63%	0.3796	-54.96%	0.5633	✓	0.60
2026-01-15	oos	0.80277	0.773795	-3.61%	0.39839	-50.37%	0.4730	✓	0.61
2026-01-14	oos	0.80498	0.77875	-3.26%	0.39596	-50.81%	0.4696	✓	0.60
2026-01-13	oos	0.79915	0.770613	-3.57%	0.42051	-47.38%	0.3775	✓	0.63
2026-01-12	oos	0.77905	0.744786	-4.40%	0.41563	-46.65%	0.3891	✓	0.63
2026-01-11	oos	0.78271	0.748777	-4.34%	0.419	-46.47%	0.4039	✓	0.64
2026-01-10	oos	0.81372	0.779252	-4.24%	0.47437	-41.70%	0.3330	✓	0.64
2026-01-09	oos	0.77048	0.739827	-3.98%	0.49868	-35.28%	0.2442	✓	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.80087	0.770253	-3.82%	0.51882	-35.22%	0.2367	✓	0.58
2026-01-07	oos	0.81518	0.785091	-3.69%	0.54166	-33.55%	0.2402	✓	0.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.83361	0.806674	-3.23%	0.54685	-34.40%	0.1798	✓	0.52
2026-01-05	oos	0.8552	0.827479	-3.24%	0.60577	-29.17%	0.1883	✓	0.49
2026-01-04	oos	0.82596	0.797218	-3.48%	0.62096	-24.82%	0.1528	✓	0.51
2026-01-03	oos	0.8105	0.782294	-3.48%	0.56247	-30.60%	0.2606	✓	0.49
2026-01-02	oos	0.81724	0.787974	-3.58%	0.56928	-30.34%	0.2488	✓	0.49
2026-01-01	oos	0.82222	0.790787	-3.82%	0.5988	-27.17%	0.2190	✓	0.49
2025-12-31	oos	0.79806	0.767936	-3.77%	0.60888	-23.70%	0.2136	✓	0.47
2025-12-30	oos	0.84257	0.810932	-3.75%	0.59124	-29.83%	0.2958	✓	0.45
2025-12-29	oos	0.805	0.774895	-3.74%	0.57403	-28.69%	0.3101	✓	0.43
2025-12-28	oos	0.83292	0.801057	-3.83%	0.57841	-30.56%	0.3317	✓	0.43
2025-12-27	oos	0.84932	0.815381	-4.00%	0.56422	-33.57%	0.3704	✓	0.43
2025-12-26	oos	0.83272	0.798922	-4.06%	0.55145	-33.78%	0.3672	✓	0.42
2025-12-25	oos	0.83327	0.79876	-4.14%	0.61442	-26.26%	0.2715	✓	0.42
2025-12-24	oos	0.80289	0.771176	-3.95%	0.63296	-21.16%	0.2063	✓	0.42
2025-12-23	oos	0.79958	0.766735	-4.11%	0.66735	-16.54%	0.1484	✓	0.42
2025-12-22	oos	0.71958	0.695584	-3.33%	0.67395	-6.34%	0.0355	✓	0.43
2025-12-21	oos	0.7579	0.729153	-3.79%	0.69983	-7.66%	0.0394	✓	0.43
2025-12-20	oos	0.8103	0.773369	-4.56%	0.77066	-4.89%	0.0243	✓	0.44
2025-12-19	oos	0.729805	0.699509	-4.15%	0.77974	+6.84%	0.0824	✗	0.43
2025-12-18	oos	0.56897	0.550798	-3.19%	0.78625	+38.19%	0.3292	✗	0.25
2025-12-17	oos	0.56168	0.543618	-3.22%	0.84274	+50.04%	0.4124	✗	0.25
2025-12-16	oos	0.50399	0.490099	-2.76%	0.80277	+59.28%	0.4673	✗	0.31
2025-12-15	oos	0.48578	0.471783	-2.88%	0.80498	+65.71%	0.5008	✗	0.29
2025-12-14	oos	0.48116	0.468023	-2.73%	0.79915	+66.09%	0.5117	✗	0.30
2025-12-13	oos	0.50201	0.488596	-2.67%	0.77905	+55.19%	0.4636	✗	0.29
2025-12-12	oos	0.49457	0.481439	-2.65%	0.78271	+58.26%	0.4841	✗	0.28
2025-12-11	oos	0.48276	0.471236	-2.39%	0.81372	+68.56%	0.5535	✗	0.31
2025-12-10	oos	0.48155	0.46966	-2.47%	0.77048	+60.00%	0.5001	✗	0.31
2025-12-09	oos	0.48623	0.474465	-2.42%	0.80087	+64.71%	0.5289	✗	0.30
2025-12-08	oos	0.49425	0.481212	-2.64%	0.81518	+64.93%	0.5249	✗	0.32
2025-12-07	oos	0.44899	0.438811	-2.27%	0.83361	+85.66%	0.6304	✗	0.31
2025-12-06	oos	0.46421	0.452893	-2.44%	0.8552	+84.23%	0.6191	✗	0.33
2025-12-05	oos	0.47895	0.46723	-2.45%	0.82596	+72.45%	0.5620	✗	0.32
2025-12-04	oos	0.48164	0.470043	-2.41%	0.8105	+68.28%	0.5503	✗	0.33
2025-12-03	oos	0.46809	0.457594	-2.24%	0.81724	+74.59%	0.5932	✗	0.35
2025-12-02	oos	0.4468	0.436765	-2.25%	0.82222	+84.02%	0.6417	✗	0.32
2025-12-01	oos	0.42344	0.413979	-2.23%	0.79806	+88.47%	0.6530	✗	0.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.44	0.429801	-2.32%	0.84257	+91.49%	0.6782	✗	0.23
2025-11-29	oos	0.41408	0.405018	-2.19%	0.805	+94.41%	0.6967	✗	0.24
2025-11-28	oos	0.40946	0.400685	-2.14%	0.83292	+103.42%	0.7396	✗	0.23
2025-11-27	oos	0.40698	0.397991	-2.21%	0.84932	+108.69%	0.7671	✗	0.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.39521	0.38659	-2.18%	0.83272	+110.70%	0.7741	✗	0.19
2025-11-25	oos	0.40539	0.396682	-2.15%	0.83327	+105.55%	0.7426	✗	0.21
2025-11-24	oos	0.40428	0.39519	-2.25%	0.80289	+98.60%	0.7104	✗	0.21
2025-11-23	oos	0.39642	0.387909	-2.15%	0.79958	+101.70%	0.7219	✗	0.20
2025-11-22	oos	0.40187	0.39352	-2.08%	0.71958	+79.06%	0.5947	✗	0.20
2025-11-21	oos	0.4076	0.398476	-2.24%	0.7579	+85.94%	0.6350	✗	0.19
2025-11-20	oos	0.42	0.409639	-2.47%	0.8103	+92.93%	0.6784	✗	0.18
2025-11-19	oos	0.431	0.418314	-2.94%	0.729805	+69.33%	0.5632	✗	0.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.457	0.442222	-3.23%	0.56897	+24.50%	0.2654	✗	0.16
2025-11-17	oos	0.457	0.442303	-3.22%	0.56168	+22.91%	0.2496	✗	0.16
2025-11-16	oos	0.484	0.467007	-3.51%	0.50399	+4.13%	0.0854	✗	0.13
2025-11-15	oos	0.454	0.438918	-3.32%	0.48578	+7.00%	0.1171	✗	0.16
2025-11-14	oos	0.486	0.46945	-3.41%	0.48116	-1.00%	0.0368	✗	0.18
2025-11-13	oos	0.508	0.489346	-3.67%	0.50201	-1.18%	0.0397	✗	0.14
2025-11-12	oos	0.532	0.511186	-3.91%	0.49457	-7.04%	0.0180	✓	0.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.52	0.50109	-3.64%	0.48276	-7.16%	0.0222	✓	0.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.58	0.555025	-4.31%	0.48155	-16.97%	0.1330	✓	0.06
2025-11-09	oos	0.581	0.55532	-4.42%	0.48623	-16.31%	0.1256	✓	0.06
2025-11-08	oos	0.58	0.554738	-4.36%	0.49425	-14.78%	0.1094	✓	0.05
2025-11-07	oos	0.589	0.561838	-4.61%	0.44899	-23.77%	0.2176	✓	0.05
2025-11-06	oos	0.583	0.556987	-4.46%	0.46421	-20.38%	0.1778	✓	0.03
2025-11-05	oos	0.568	0.541739	-4.62%	0.47895	-15.68%	0.1134	✓	0.07
2025-11-04	oos	0.562	0.53722	-4.41%	0.48164	-14.30%	0.1051	✓	0.04
2025-11-03	oos	0.557	0.529186	-4.99%	0.46809	-15.96%	0.1097	✓	0.10
2025-11-02	oos	0.581	0.548168	-5.65%	0.4468	-23.10%	0.1928	✓	0.06
2025-11-01	oos	0.574	0.541072	-5.74%	0.42344	-26.23%	0.2324	✓	0.05
2025-10-31	oos	0.582	0.546597	-6.08%	0.44	-24.40%	0.2055	✓	0.06
2025-10-30	oos	0.574	0.538873	-6.12%	0.41408	-27.86%	0.2541	✓	0.05
2025-10-29	oos	0.582	0.543446	-6.62%	0.40946	-29.65%	0.2715	✓	0.06
2025-10-28	oos	0.566	0.524895	-7.26%	0.40698	-28.10%	0.2348	✓	0.09
2025-10-27	oos	0.63	0.581874	-7.64%	0.39521	-37.27%	0.3734	✓	0.06
2025-10-26	oos	0.628	0.578401	-7.90%	0.40539	-35.45%	0.3394	✓	0.06
2025-10-25	oos	0.713	0.655998	-7.99%	0.40428	-43.30%	0.4477	✓	0.15
2025-10-24	oos	0.721	0.662484	-8.12%	0.39642	-45.02%	0.4690	✓	0.18
2025-10-23	oos	0.754	0.691765	-8.25%	0.40187	-46.70%	0.4936	✓	0.19
2025-10-22	oos	0.752	0.693596	-7.77%	0.4076	-45.80%	0.5008	✓	0.13
2025-10-21	oos	0.752	0.692488	-7.91%	0.42	-44.15%	0.4726	✓	0.12
2025-10-20	oos	0.807	0.736722	-8.71%	0.431	-46.59%	0.5233	✓	0.07
2025-10-19	oos	0.796	0.729924	-8.30%	0.457	-42.59%	0.4470	✓	0.14
2025-10-18	oos	0.818	0.751351	-8.15%	0.457	-44.13%	0.4742	✓	0.15
2025-10-17	oos	0.792	0.730802	-7.73%	0.484	-38.89%	0.3930	✓	0.16
2025-10-16	oos	0.789	0.725638	-8.03%	0.454	-42.46%	0.4489	✓	0.16
2025-10-15	oos	0.827	0.754104	-8.81%	0.486	-41.23%	0.4192	✓	0.13
2025-10-14	oos	0.839	0.763241	-9.03%	0.508	-39.45%	0.3926	✓	0.11
2025-10-13	oos	0.854	0.776785	-9.04%	0.532	-37.70%	0.3631	✓	0.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.867	0.789273	-8.97%	0.52	-40.02%	0.4019	✓	0.14
2025-10-11	oos	0.883	0.805871	-8.73%	0.58	-34.31%	0.3214	✓	0.17
2025-10-10	oos	0.872	0.793305	-9.02%	0.581	-33.37%	0.2966	✓	0.19
2025-10-09	oos	0.872	0.799438	-8.32%	0.58	-33.49%	0.2735	✓	0.27
2025-10-08	oos	0.95	0.887001	-6.63%	0.589	-38.00%	0.3751	✓	0.19
2025-10-07	oos	1.01	0.943226	-6.61%	0.583	-42.28%	0.4126	✓	0.38
2025-10-06	oos	1.09	1.0402	-4.57%	0.568	-47.89%	0.5430	✓	0.34
2025-10-05	oos	1.141	1.0907	-4.41%	0.562	-50.74%	0.5876	✓	0.38
2025-10-04	oos	1.165	1.1069	-4.98%	0.557	-52.19%	0.6337	✓	0.38
2025-10-03	oos	1.175	1.1145	-5.15%	0.581	-50.55%	0.6141	✓	0.37
2025-10-02	oos	1.198	1.1361	-5.17%	0.574	-52.09%	0.6471	✓	0.39
2025-10-01	oos	1.223	1.1564	-5.45%	0.582	-52.41%	0.6441	✓	0.53
2025-09-30	oos	1.204	1.1234	-6.70%	0.574	-52.33%	0.6407	✓	0.59
2025-09-29	oos	1.219	1.1422	-6.30%	0.582	-52.26%	0.6401	✓	0.88
2025-09-28	oos	1.21	1.1303	-6.59%	0.566	-53.22%	0.6970	✓	0.85
2025-09-27	oos	1.22	1.1377	-6.74%	0.63	-48.36%	0.6289	✓	0.96
2025-09-26	oos	1.223	1.1441	-6.45%	0.628	-48.65%	0.6412	✓	0.96
2025-09-25	oos	1.249	1.1736	-6.04%	0.713	-42.91%	0.5213	✓	0.96
2025-09-24	oos	1.271	1.2111	-4.71%	0.721	-43.27%	0.4981	✓	1.00
2025-09-23	oos	1.3	1.2408	-4.55%	0.754	-42.00%	0.4806	✓	1.03
2025-09-22	oos	1.29	1.2328	-4.44%	0.752	-41.71%	0.4470	✓	1.01
2025-09-21	oos	1.31	1.2594	-3.86%	0.752	-42.60%	0.4532	✓	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	1.325	1.2763	-3.68%	0.807	-39.09%	0.4196	✓	0.85
2025-09-19	oos	1.336	1.2878	-3.60%	0.796	-40.42%	0.4280	✓	0.85
2025-09-18	oos	1.363	1.3197	-3.18%	0.818	-39.99%	0.4049	✓	0.83
2025-09-17	oos	1.283	1.2351	-3.73%	0.792	-38.27%	0.3680	✓	0.85

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.