A

Vaulta · native · gru_s0

token id: #104
symbol: A
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-07-23
predictions: 1,344

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0242

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0023

actual -0.0023

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.10105	0.100644	-0.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-21	oos	0.10045	0.100142	-0.31%	0.10105	+0.60%	0.0066	✗	1.06
2026-10-20	oos	0.09785	0.097494	-0.36%	0.10045	+2.66%	0.0161	✗	1.06
2026-10-19	oos	0.0884	0.088267	-0.15%	0.09785	+10.69%	0.0893	✗	1.03
2026-10-18	oos	0.09015	0.09003	-0.13%	0.0884	-1.94%	0.0162	✓	1.03
2026-10-17	oos	0.1117	0.110998	-0.63%	0.09015	-19.29%	0.2161	✓	1.05
2026-10-16	oos	0.1047	0.104275	-0.41%	0.1117	+6.69%	0.0703	✗	1.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.09715	0.09688	-0.28%	0.1047	+7.77%	0.0859	✗	1.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.1036	0.102985	-0.59%	0.09715	-6.23%	0.0657	✓	1.09
2026-10-13	oos	0.0997	0.09923	-0.47%	0.1036	+3.91%	0.0643	✗	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.09905	0.098578	-0.48%	0.0997	+0.66%	0.0074	✓	1.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.1038	0.103294	-0.49%	0.09905	-4.58%	0.0169	✓	1.07
2026-10-10	oos	0.10325	0.102672	-0.56%	0.1038	+0.53%	0.0014	✓	1.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.10475	0.104035	-0.68%	0.10325	-1.43%	0.0121	✓	1.03
2026-10-08	oos	0.09735	0.096802	-0.56%	0.10475	+7.60%	0.0682	✗	1.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.09825	0.097767	-0.49%	0.09735	-0.92%	0.0155	✗	1.03
2026-10-06	oos	0.10315	0.102594	-0.54%	0.09825	-4.75%	0.0156	✓	1.03
2026-10-05	oos	0.10175	0.101135	-0.60%	0.10315	+1.38%	0.0222	✗	1.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.09665	0.096288	-0.37%	0.10175	+5.28%	0.0643	✗	1.04
2026-10-03	oos	0.09575	0.095404	-0.36%	0.09665	+0.94%	0.0086	✓	1.04
2026-10-02	oos	0.09425	0.093996	-0.27%	0.09575	+1.59%	0.0156	✗	1.04
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.095898	-0.26%	0.09425	-1.98%	0.0131	✓	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.09875	0.098437	-0.32%	0.09615	-2.63%	0.0400	✓	1.08
2026-09-29	oos	0.09635	0.096089	-0.27%	0.09875	+2.49%	0.0284	✗	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.0952	0.094937	-0.28%	0.09635	+1.21%	0.0125	✗	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.1039	0.103517	-0.37%	0.0952	-8.37%	0.0720	✓	0.98
2026-09-26	oos	0.1017	0.101358	-0.34%	0.1039	+2.16%	0.0242	✗	0.99
2026-09-25	oos	0.1023	0.101916	-0.38%	0.1017	-0.59%	0.0059	✓	0.99
2026-09-24	oos	0.0994	0.099027	-0.38%	0.1023	+2.92%	0.0360	✗	0.99
2026-09-23	oos	0.09175	0.091571	-0.20%	0.0994	+8.34%	0.0820	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.09795	0.097665	-0.29%	0.09175	-6.33%	0.0416	✓	0.98
2026-09-21	oos	0.0931	0.092887	-0.23%	0.09795	+5.21%	0.0577	✗	1.01
2026-09-20	oos	0.089	0.088775	-0.25%	0.0931	+4.61%	0.0191	✓	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.08995	0.089656	-0.33%	0.089	-1.06%	0.0064	✓	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.09185	0.09135	-0.54%	0.08995	-2.07%	0.0200	✓	1.03
2026-09-17	oos	0.0786	0.07842	-0.23%	0.09185	+16.86%	0.1081	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.0759	0.075771	-0.17%	0.0786	+3.56%	0.0344	✗	0.86
2026-09-15	oos	0.0762	0.076038	-0.21%	0.0759	-0.39%	0.0085	✓	0.90
2026-09-14	oos	0.08075	0.080583	-0.21%	0.0762	-5.63%	0.0274	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.08135	0.081134	-0.27%	0.08075	-0.74%	0.0200	✓	0.86
2026-09-12	oos	0.0783	0.078174	-0.16%	0.08135	+3.90%	0.0450	✗	0.87
2026-09-11	oos	0.07675	0.076667	-0.11%	0.0783	+2.02%	0.0205	✗	0.87
2026-09-10	oos	0.0775	0.077374	-0.16%	0.07675	-0.97%	0.0158	✓	0.88
2026-09-09	oos	0.0815	0.081331	-0.21%	0.0775	-4.91%	0.0289	✓	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.08075	0.080609	-0.17%	0.0815	+0.93%	0.0130	✗	0.96
2026-09-07	oos	0.08045	0.080337	-0.14%	0.08075	+0.37%	0.0130	✗	0.97
2026-09-06	oos	0.0806	0.080544	-0.07%	0.08045	-0.19%	0.0139	✗	0.96
2026-09-05	oos	0.0801	0.080054	-0.06%	0.0806	+0.62%	0.0007	✗	0.96
2026-09-04	oos	0.07725	0.077243	-0.01%	0.0801	+3.69%	0.0344	✗	0.96
2026-09-03	oos	0.0787	0.078706	+0.01%	0.07725	-1.84%	0.0003	✓	0.96
2026-09-02	oos	0.07665	0.076574	-0.10%	0.0787	+2.67%	0.0250	✓	1.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.0745	0.074448	-0.07%	0.07665	+2.89%	0.0304	✗	1.06
2026-08-31	oos	0.07485	0.074822	-0.04%	0.0745	-0.47%	0.0107	✗	1.01
2026-08-30	oos	0.07375	0.073728	-0.03%	0.07485	+1.49%	0.0034	✗	1.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.07645	0.076397	-0.07%	0.07375	-3.53%	0.0280	✓	0.99
2026-08-28	oos	0.07615	0.076079	-0.09%	0.07645	+0.39%	0.0002	✓	0.99
2026-08-27	oos	0.0776	0.077557	-0.06%	0.07615	-1.87%	0.0126	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.07885	0.078722	-0.16%	0.0776	-1.59%	0.0303	✓	1.01
2026-08-25	oos	0.0731	0.073064	-0.05%	0.07885	+7.87%	0.0698	✗	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.07305	0.073027	-0.03%	0.0731	+0.07%	0.0068	✗	1.01
2026-08-23	oos	0.0753	0.075205	-0.13%	0.07305	-2.99%	0.0455	✓	1.03
2026-08-22	oos	0.07315	0.073088	-0.08%	0.0753	+2.94%	0.0209	✗	1.03
2026-08-21	oos	0.0773	0.077181	-0.15%	0.07315	-5.37%	0.0372	✓	1.01
2026-08-20	oos	0.06965	0.069498	-0.22%	0.0773	+10.98%	0.0398	✗	0.95
2026-08-19	oos	0.0665	0.066242	-0.39%	0.06965	+4.74%	0.0006	✓	0.97
2026-08-18	oos	0.06045	0.060152	-0.49%	0.0665	+10.01%	0.0382	✗	0.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.061	0.060752	-0.41%	0.06045	-0.90%	0.0078	✓	0.91
2026-08-16	oos	0.061	0.060709	-0.48%	0.061	+0.00%	0.0192	✓	0.93
2026-08-15	oos	0.0616	0.0613	-0.49%	0.061	-0.97%	0.0022	✓	0.93
2026-08-14	oos	0.0619	0.061572	-0.53%	0.0616	-0.48%	0.0002	✓	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.0624	0.062103	-0.48%	0.0619	-0.80%	0.0034	✓	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.06255	0.062307	-0.39%	0.0624	-0.24%	0.0013	✓	0.97
2026-08-11	oos	0.0631	0.062846	-0.40%	0.06255	-0.87%	0.0029	✓	0.96
2026-08-10	oos	0.0641	0.063835	-0.41%	0.0631	-1.56%	0.0058	✓	0.97
2026-08-09	oos	0.0644	0.064145	-0.40%	0.0641	-0.47%	0.0136	✗	0.98
2026-08-08	oos	0.0652	0.064936	-0.40%	0.0644	-1.23%	0.0074	✓	0.98
2026-08-07	oos	0.06435	0.064118	-0.36%	0.0652	+1.32%	0.0165	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.0652	0.064944	-0.39%	0.06435	-1.30%	0.0189	✓	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.0642	0.06397	-0.36%	0.0652	+1.56%	0.0243	✗	1.01
2026-08-04	oos	0.0649	0.064639	-0.40%	0.0642	-1.08%	0.0155	✓	1.01
2026-08-03	oos	0.06435	0.064073	-0.43%	0.0649	+0.85%	0.0034	✓	1.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.06335	0.06309	-0.41%	0.06435	+1.58%	0.0203	✗	1.01
2026-08-01	oos	0.06375	0.063471	-0.44%	0.06335	-0.63%	0.0136	✓	1.01
2026-07-31	oos	0.064	0.063726	-0.43%	0.06375	-0.39%	0.0014	✓	1.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.0613	0.061138	-0.26%	0.064	+4.40%	0.0778	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.0598	0.05965	-0.25%	0.0613	+2.51%	0.0137	✗	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.0623	0.062129	-0.27%	0.0598	-4.01%	0.0390	✓	1.04
2026-07-27	oos	0.0623	0.062133	-0.27%	0.0623	+0.00%	0.0002	✓	1.03
2026-07-26	oos	0.0636	0.063474	-0.20%	0.0623	-2.04%	0.0074	✗	1.02
2026-07-25	oos	0.0619	0.061807	-0.15%	0.0636	+2.75%	0.0122	✗	1.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.06265	0.062583	-0.11%	0.0619	-1.20%	0.0144	✓	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.065	0.064926	-0.11%	0.06265	-3.62%	0.0204	✓	1.02
2026-07-22	oos	0.0661	0.066031	-0.10%	0.065	-1.66%	0.0001	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.0672	0.067138	-0.09%	0.0661	-1.64%	0.0091	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.0666	0.066561	-0.06%	0.0672	+0.90%	0.0109	✓	1.03
2026-07-19	oos	0.06795	0.067901	-0.07%	0.0666	-1.99%	0.0279	✓	1.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.0695	0.069439	-0.09%	0.06795	-2.23%	0.0198	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	0.07	0.069941	-0.08%	0.0695	-0.71%	0.0212	✓	1.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.0725	0.072409	-0.13%	0.07	-3.45%	0.0359	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.0755	0.07541	-0.12%	0.0725	-3.97%	0.0238	✓	1.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.0742	0.074123	-0.10%	0.0755	+1.75%	0.0229	✗	1.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.07395	0.073841	-0.15%	0.0742	+0.34%	0.0439	✓	1.14
2026-07-12	oos	0.0714	0.07133	-0.10%	0.07395	+3.57%	0.0638	✗	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.07405	0.073946	-0.14%	0.0714	-3.58%	0.0345	✓	1.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.0787	0.078533	-0.21%	0.07405	-5.91%	0.0525	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.0795	0.079286	-0.27%	0.0787	-1.01%	0.0246	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.0743	0.074128	-0.23%	0.0795	+7.00%	0.0531	✗	1.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.07375	0.073587	-0.22%	0.0743	+0.75%	0.0293	✗	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.074	0.073823	-0.24%	0.07375	-0.34%	0.0112	✗	1.14
2026-07-05	oos	0.0722	0.072021	-0.25%	0.074	+2.49%	0.0199	✗	1.11
2026-07-04	oos	0.0738	0.073558	-0.33%	0.0722	-2.17%	0.0274	✓	1.11
2026-07-03	oos	0.0674	0.067231	-0.25%	0.0738	+9.50%	0.0836	✗	1.06
2026-07-02	oos	0.0641	0.063965	-0.21%	0.0674	+5.15%	0.0348	✗	1.05
2026-07-01	oos	0.06395	0.063807	-0.22%	0.0641	+0.23%	0.0221	✓	1.06
2026-06-30	oos	0.06295	0.062816	-0.21%	0.06395	+1.59%	0.0082	✓	1.08
2026-06-29	oos	0.0614	0.061283	-0.19%	0.06295	+2.52%	0.0578	✗	1.12
2026-06-28	oos	0.06	0.059898	-0.17%	0.0614	+2.33%	0.0120	✗	1.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.0602	0.060099	-0.17%	0.06	-0.33%	0.0070	✗	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.06145	0.061334	-0.19%	0.0602	-2.03%	0.0174	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.0601	0.060009	-0.15%	0.06145	+2.25%	0.0182	✗	1.12
2026-06-24	oos	0.06195	0.06183	-0.19%	0.0601	-2.99%	0.0048	✓	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.0652	0.065027	-0.27%	0.06195	-4.98%	0.0188	✓	1.11
2026-06-22	oos	0.0646	0.064416	-0.28%	0.0652	+0.93%	0.0351	✗	1.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.06425	0.06409	-0.25%	0.0646	+0.54%	0.0046	✓	1.11
2026-06-20	oos	0.0662	0.066016	-0.28%	0.06425	-2.95%	0.0102	✓	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.06635	0.066181	-0.25%	0.0662	-0.23%	0.0126	✓	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.06895	0.068746	-0.30%	0.06635	-3.77%	0.0461	✓	1.12
2026-06-17	oos	0.07425	0.073932	-0.43%	0.06895	-7.14%	0.0430	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.0728	0.072508	-0.40%	0.07425	+1.99%	0.0433	✗	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.0737	0.073373	-0.44%	0.0728	-1.22%	0.0031	✓	1.10
2026-06-14	oos	0.0741	0.073758	-0.46%	0.0737	-0.54%	0.0103	✓	1.10
2026-06-13	oos	0.0724	0.072042	-0.50%	0.0741	+2.35%	0.0068	✗	1.09
2026-06-12	oos	0.0709	0.070573	-0.46%	0.0724	+2.12%	0.0101	✗	1.11
2026-06-11	oos	0.0727	0.072196	-0.69%	0.0709	-2.48%	0.0177	✓	1.11
2026-06-10	oos	0.06335	0.063193	-0.25%	0.0727	+14.76%	0.1057	✗	1.02
2026-06-09	oos	0.0639	0.063747	-0.24%	0.06335	-0.86%	0.0023	✓	1.02
2026-06-08	oos	0.0643	0.064144	-0.24%	0.0639	-0.62%	0.0189	✗	1.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.0638	0.063665	-0.21%	0.0643	+0.78%	0.0138	✗	1.01
2026-06-06	oos	0.0615	0.061466	-0.06%	0.0638	+3.74%	0.0014	✓	0.98
2026-06-05	oos	0.0621	0.062073	-0.04%	0.0615	-0.97%	0.0064	✓	0.97
2026-06-04	oos	0.0676	0.067435	-0.24%	0.0621	-8.14%	0.0411	✓	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0717	0.071432	-0.37%	0.0676	-5.72%	0.0519	✓	0.88
2026-06-02	oos	0.0711	0.070754	-0.49%	0.0717	+0.84%	0.0500	✗	0.92
2026-06-01	oos	0.077	0.076514	-0.63%	0.0711	-7.66%	0.0167	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	0.0773	0.076909	-0.51%	0.077	-0.39%	0.0282	✗	0.87
2026-05-30	oos	0.0769	0.076534	-0.48%	0.0773	+0.52%	0.0122	✗	0.83
2026-05-29	oos	0.0762	0.075852	-0.46%	0.0769	+0.92%	0.0092	✗	0.83
2026-05-28	oos	0.07425	0.07394	-0.42%	0.0762	+2.63%	0.0318	✗	0.83
2026-05-27	oos	0.07545	0.075111	-0.45%	0.07425	-1.59%	0.0026	✓	0.82
2026-05-26	oos	0.078	0.077685	-0.40%	0.07545	-3.27%	0.0127	✓	0.82
2026-05-25	oos	0.0794	0.079119	-0.35%	0.078	-1.76%	0.0013	✓	0.84
2026-05-24	oos	0.0776	0.077362	-0.31%	0.0794	+2.32%	0.0230	✗	0.84
2026-05-23	oos	0.0805	0.080201	-0.37%	0.0776	-3.60%	0.0364	✓	0.82
2026-05-22	oos	0.0778	0.077516	-0.36%	0.0805	+3.47%	0.0249	✗	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.08215	0.081816	-0.41%	0.0778	-5.30%	0.0286	✓	0.79
2026-05-20	oos	0.081	0.080696	-0.38%	0.08215	+1.42%	0.0171	✗	0.79
2026-05-19	oos	0.07975	0.0795	-0.31%	0.081	+1.57%	0.0115	✗	0.79
2026-05-18	oos	0.0815	0.081301	-0.24%	0.07975	-2.15%	0.0174	✓	0.79
2026-05-17	oos	0.08035	0.080218	-0.16%	0.0815	+1.43%	0.0206	✗	0.79
2026-05-16	oos	0.08395	0.083792	-0.19%	0.08035	-4.29%	0.0349	✓	0.78
2026-05-15	oos	0.0873	0.087144	-0.18%	0.08395	-3.84%	0.0278	✓	0.79
2026-05-14	oos	0.0922	0.092032	-0.18%	0.0873	-5.31%	0.0334	✓	0.77
2026-05-13	oos	0.0908	0.090637	-0.18%	0.0922	+1.54%	0.0002	✓	0.77
2026-05-12	oos	0.094	0.093836	-0.17%	0.0908	-3.40%	0.0217	✓	0.75
2026-05-11	oos	0.0974	0.097213	-0.19%	0.094	-3.49%	0.0226	✓	0.72
2026-05-10	oos	0.09885	0.098622	-0.23%	0.0974	-1.47%	0.0083	✓	0.72
2026-05-09	oos	0.0948	0.094589	-0.22%	0.09885	+4.27%	0.0306	✗	0.71
2026-05-08	oos	0.0964	0.096148	-0.26%	0.0948	-1.66%	0.0182	✓	0.70
2026-05-07	oos	0.0913	0.09113	-0.19%	0.0964	+5.59%	0.0546	✗	0.69
2026-05-06	oos	0.0914	0.091259	-0.15%	0.0913	-0.11%	0.0134	✗	0.73
2026-05-05	oos	0.08745	0.087345	-0.12%	0.0914	+4.52%	0.0400	✗	0.83
2026-05-04	oos	0.0878	0.087666	-0.15%	0.08745	-0.40%	0.0132	✓	0.82
2026-05-03	oos	0.0886	0.088464	-0.15%	0.0878	-0.90%	0.0210	✓	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.09046	-0.16%	0.0886	-2.21%	0.0195	✓	0.83
2026-05-01	oos	0.0894	0.08928	-0.13%	0.0906	+1.34%	0.0099	✗	0.83
2026-04-30	oos	0.0887	0.088547	-0.17%	0.0894	+0.79%	0.0117	✓	0.85
2026-04-29	oos	0.0942	0.093892	-0.33%	0.0887	-5.84%	0.0631	✓	0.86
2026-04-28	oos	0.09205	0.0918	-0.27%	0.0942	+2.34%	0.0323	✗	0.88
2026-04-27	oos	0.0891	0.088928	-0.19%	0.09205	+3.31%	0.0466	✗	0.89
2026-04-26	oos	0.09155	0.091376	-0.19%	0.0891	-2.68%	0.0104	✓	0.88
2026-04-25	oos	0.0878	0.087657	-0.16%	0.09155	+4.27%	0.0320	✗	0.88
2026-04-24	oos	0.0912	0.090975	-0.25%	0.0878	-3.73%	0.0377	✓	0.89
2026-04-23	oos	0.0873	0.087145	-0.18%	0.0912	+4.47%	0.0549	✗	0.89
2026-04-22	oos	0.0871	0.086908	-0.22%	0.0873	+0.23%	0.0037	✗	0.89
2026-04-21	oos	0.0829	0.082746	-0.19%	0.0871	+5.07%	0.0300	✗	0.88
2026-04-20	oos	0.0815	0.081383	-0.14%	0.0829	+1.72%	0.0128	✗	0.89
2026-04-19	oos	0.07895	0.07882	-0.17%	0.0815	+3.23%	0.0089	✗	0.90
2026-04-18	oos	0.0814	0.08129	-0.13%	0.07895	-3.01%	0.0062	✓	0.90
2026-04-17	oos	0.0848	0.084668	-0.16%	0.0814	-4.01%	0.0233	✓	0.90
2026-04-16	oos	0.08345	0.083272	-0.21%	0.0848	+1.62%	0.0048	✓	0.90
2026-04-15	oos	0.0811	0.080928	-0.21%	0.08345	+2.90%	0.0268	✗	0.90
2026-04-14	oos	0.0784	0.078253	-0.19%	0.0811	+3.44%	0.0278	✗	0.90
2026-04-13	oos	0.0793	0.079169	-0.17%	0.0784	-1.13%	0.0065	✓	0.89
2026-04-12	oos	0.0769	0.076724	-0.23%	0.0793	+3.12%	0.0138	✓	0.92
2026-04-11	oos	0.0804	0.08021	-0.24%	0.0769	-4.35%	0.0124	✓	0.92
2026-04-10	oos	0.081	0.080797	-0.25%	0.0804	-0.74%	0.0060	✓	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.07935	0.079175	-0.22%	0.081	+2.08%	0.0077	✗	0.91
2026-04-08	oos	0.07915	0.078985	-0.21%	0.07935	+0.25%	0.0045	✓	0.91
2026-04-07	oos	0.081	0.080844	-0.19%	0.07915	-2.28%	0.0107	✓	0.91
2026-04-06	oos	0.0789	0.078716	-0.23%	0.081	+2.66%	0.0113	✓	0.92
2026-04-05	oos	0.07845	0.078255	-0.25%	0.0789	+0.57%	0.0102	✗	0.92
2026-04-04	oos	0.0791	0.078859	-0.30%	0.07845	-0.82%	0.0287	✓	0.94
2026-04-03	oos	0.0796	0.079305	-0.37%	0.0791	-0.63%	0.0072	✓	0.94
2026-04-02	oos	0.0768	0.076563	-0.31%	0.0796	+3.65%	0.0380	✗	0.94
2026-04-01	oos	0.0791	0.078835	-0.34%	0.0768	-2.91%	0.0091	✓	0.95
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.075192	-0.28%	0.0791	+4.91%	0.0522	✗	0.95
2026-03-30	oos	0.0745	0.074298	-0.27%	0.0754	+1.21%	0.0062	✓	0.95
2026-03-29	oos	0.0723	0.072127	-0.24%	0.0745	+3.04%	0.0211	✗	0.96
2026-03-28	oos	0.0744	0.074212	-0.25%	0.0723	-2.82%	0.0209	✓	0.95
2026-03-27	oos	0.0736	0.073433	-0.23%	0.0744	+1.09%	0.0136	✗	0.95
2026-03-26	oos	0.0765	0.076328	-0.23%	0.0736	-3.79%	0.0021	✓	0.96
2026-03-25	oos	0.0805	0.080321	-0.22%	0.0765	-4.97%	0.0143	✓	0.95
2026-03-24	oos	0.0815	0.081348	-0.19%	0.0805	-1.23%	0.0208	✓	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.07885	0.078736	-0.14%	0.0815	+3.36%	0.0391	✗	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.0761	0.075982	-0.16%	0.07885	+3.61%	0.0047	✓	0.96
2026-03-21	oos	0.078	0.077869	-0.17%	0.0761	-2.44%	0.0081	✓	0.96
2026-03-20	oos	0.081	0.080857	-0.18%	0.078	-3.70%	0.0144	✓	0.95
2026-03-19	oos	0.0816	0.081463	-0.17%	0.081	-0.74%	0.0136	✓	0.96
2026-03-18	oos	0.0801	0.079993	-0.13%	0.0816	+1.87%	0.0385	✗	0.99
2026-03-17	oos	0.0842	0.084081	-0.14%	0.0801	-4.87%	0.0118	✓	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.0853	0.085173	-0.15%	0.0842	-1.29%	0.0013	✓	1.00
2026-03-15	oos	0.0837	0.083546	-0.18%	0.0853	+1.91%	0.0070	✓	1.00
2026-03-14	oos	0.0787	0.078559	-0.18%	0.0837	+6.35%	0.0415	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.0792	0.079011	-0.24%	0.0787	-0.63%	0.0080	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.0771	0.076949	-0.20%	0.0792	+2.72%	0.0231	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.0764	0.076299	-0.13%	0.0771	+0.92%	0.0059	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.0757	0.075598	-0.14%	0.0764	+0.92%	0.0071	✗	0.99
2026-03-09	oos	0.0764	0.076288	-0.15%	0.0757	-0.92%	0.0297	✓	0.99
2026-03-08	oos	0.0762	0.076083	-0.15%	0.0764	+0.26%	0.0332	✓	1.02
2026-03-07	oos	0.0765	0.076402	-0.13%	0.0762	-0.39%	0.0172	✗	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.0792	0.079078	-0.15%	0.0765	-3.41%	0.0204	✓	1.02
2026-03-05	oos	0.0788	0.07871	-0.11%	0.0792	+0.51%	0.0479	✗	1.04
2026-03-04	oos	0.0794	0.079309	-0.11%	0.0788	-0.76%	0.0199	✗	1.05
2026-03-03	oos	0.077	0.076887	-0.15%	0.0794	+3.12%	0.0345	✓	1.08
2026-03-02	oos	0.0793	0.079188	-0.14%	0.077	-2.90%	0.0202	✓	1.08
2026-03-01	oos	0.0788	0.078678	-0.15%	0.0793	+0.63%	0.0411	✓	1.08
2026-02-28	oos	0.08095	0.080814	-0.17%	0.0788	-2.66%	0.0059	✓	1.07
2026-02-27	oos	0.0801	0.079979	-0.15%	0.08095	+1.06%	0.0058	✓	1.07
2026-02-26	oos	0.0807	0.080593	-0.13%	0.0801	-0.74%	0.0202	✗	1.08
2026-02-25	oos	0.0829	0.082757	-0.17%	0.0807	-2.65%	0.0172	✓	1.08
2026-02-24	oos	0.078	0.077911	-0.11%	0.0829	+6.28%	0.0016	✓	1.07
2026-02-23	oos	0.0786	0.078502	-0.12%	0.078	-0.76%	0.0027	✗	1.06
2026-02-22	oos	0.08	0.079917	-0.10%	0.0786	-1.75%	0.0323	✗	1.08
2026-02-21	oos	0.08305	0.082938	-0.13%	0.08	-3.67%	0.0307	✓	1.08
2026-02-20	oos	0.08205	0.081948	-0.12%	0.08305	+1.22%	0.0138	✗	1.08
2026-02-19	oos	0.0811	0.080968	-0.16%	0.08205	+1.17%	0.0028	✓	1.08
2026-02-18	oos	0.08255	0.082434	-0.14%	0.0811	-1.76%	0.0252	✓	1.08
2026-02-17	oos	0.0849	0.084753	-0.17%	0.08255	-2.77%	0.0096	✓	1.07
2026-02-16	oos	0.0864	0.086249	-0.17%	0.0849	-1.74%	0.0061	✗	1.07
2026-02-15	oos	0.0858	0.085659	-0.16%	0.0864	+0.70%	0.0076	✗	1.07
2026-02-14	oos	0.0897	0.089477	-0.25%	0.0858	-4.35%	0.0267	✓	1.06
2026-02-13	oos	0.0875	0.087316	-0.21%	0.0897	+2.51%	0.0120	✗	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.08485	0.084713	-0.16%	0.0875	+3.12%	0.0087	✓	1.06
2026-02-11	oos	0.0818	0.081726	-0.09%	0.08485	+3.73%	0.0504	✗	1.05
2026-02-10	oos	0.0808	0.080757	-0.05%	0.0818	+1.24%	0.0409	✗	1.07
2026-02-09	oos	0.0827	0.082675	-0.03%	0.0808	-2.30%	0.0029	✓	1.07
2026-02-08	oos	0.08285	0.082851	+0.00%	0.0827	-0.18%	0.0009	✓	1.08
2026-02-07	oos	0.0853	0.085342	+0.05%	0.08285	-2.87%	0.0459	✗	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.08535	0.085416	+0.08%	0.0853	-0.06%	0.0187	✓	1.09
2026-02-05	oos	0.0775	0.077919	+0.54%	0.08535	+10.13%	0.0406	✗	1.13
2026-02-04	oos	0.0912	0.091186	-0.02%	0.0775	-15.02%	0.0301	✗	1.28
2026-02-03	oos	0.09215	0.092087	-0.07%	0.0912	-1.03%	0.0360	✗	1.27
2026-02-02	oos	0.0951	0.094937	-0.17%	0.09215	-3.10%	0.0211	✗	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.09105	0.090989	-0.07%	0.0951	+4.45%	0.0157	✗	1.25
2026-01-31	oos	0.0923	0.092247	-0.06%	0.09105	-1.35%	0.0158	✗	1.28
2026-01-30	oos	0.1006	0.100389	-0.21%	0.0923	-8.25%	0.0028	✗	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.1017	0.101424	-0.27%	0.1006	-1.08%	0.0020	✓	1.30
2026-01-28	oos	0.1097	0.109367	-0.30%	0.1017	-7.29%	0.0033	✓	1.30
2026-01-27	oos	0.11	0.109644	-0.32%	0.1097	-0.27%	0.0002	✓	1.31
2026-01-26	oos	0.1109	0.110554	-0.31%	0.11	-0.81%	0.0177	✓	1.29
2026-01-25	oos	0.109	0.108626	-0.34%	0.1109	+1.74%	0.0044	✓	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	0.115	0.114575	-0.37%	0.109	-5.22%	0.0128	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	0.1126	0.112077	-0.46%	0.115	+2.13%	0.0314	✗	1.29
2026-01-22	oos	0.1092	0.108809	-0.36%	0.1126	+3.11%	0.0341	✗	1.29
2026-01-21	oos	0.1106	0.11027	-0.30%	0.1092	-1.27%	0.0112	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	0.1068	0.106481	-0.30%	0.1106	+3.56%	0.0227	✗	1.29
2026-01-19	oos	0.1149	0.114613	-0.25%	0.1068	-7.05%	0.0102	✓	1.29
2026-01-18	oos	0.1213	0.1211	-0.16%	0.1149	-5.28%	0.0378	✓	1.28
2026-01-17	oos	0.1275	0.127342	-0.12%	0.1213	-4.86%	0.0288	✓	1.27
2026-01-16	oos	0.1381	0.137961	-0.10%	0.1275	-7.68%	0.0736	✓	1.26
2026-01-15	oos	0.172	0.171685	-0.18%	0.1381	-19.71%	0.2166	✓	1.26
2026-01-14	oos	0.1801	0.179734	-0.20%	0.172	-4.50%	0.0262	✓	1.26
2026-01-13	oos	0.1811	0.180616	-0.27%	0.1801	-0.55%	0.0235	✓	1.27
2026-01-12	oos	0.1682	0.167752	-0.27%	0.1811	+7.67%	0.0202	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.1707	0.170243	-0.27%	0.1682	-1.46%	0.0164	✓	1.26
2026-01-10	oos	0.1766	0.176014	-0.33%	0.1707	-3.34%	0.0377	✓	1.28
2026-01-09	oos	0.175	0.17448	-0.30%	0.1766	+0.91%	0.0142	✗	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.1728	0.172355	-0.26%	0.175	+1.27%	0.0227	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.1784	0.177879	-0.29%	0.1728	-3.14%	0.0240	✓	1.79
2026-01-06	oos	0.1862	0.185575	-0.34%	0.1784	-4.19%	0.0079	✗	1.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.1866	0.185835	-0.41%	0.1862	-0.21%	0.0048	✗	1.78
2026-01-04	oos	0.1777	0.17712	-0.33%	0.1866	+5.01%	0.0069	✗	1.76
2026-01-03	oos	0.173	0.172471	-0.31%	0.1777	+2.72%	0.0125	✗	1.76
2026-01-02	oos	0.172	0.171421	-0.34%	0.173	+0.58%	0.0033	✓	1.76
2026-01-01	oos	0.1638	0.16332	-0.29%	0.172	+5.01%	0.0280	✗	1.74
2025-12-31	oos	0.1581	0.157717	-0.24%	0.1638	+3.61%	0.0135	✗	1.73
2025-12-30	oos	0.162	0.161572	-0.26%	0.1581	-2.41%	0.0041	✓	1.72
2025-12-29	oos	0.1553	0.154933	-0.24%	0.162	+4.31%	0.0198	✗	1.69
2025-12-28	oos	0.1565	0.156165	-0.21%	0.1553	-0.77%	0.0093	✗	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.1583	0.157936	-0.23%	0.1565	-1.14%	0.0104	✓	1.67
2025-12-26	oos	0.1507	0.150427	-0.18%	0.1583	+5.04%	0.0413	✗	1.66
2025-12-25	oos	0.1533	0.153012	-0.19%	0.1507	-1.70%	0.0176	✓	1.66
2025-12-24	oos	0.1615	0.161185	-0.19%	0.1533	-5.08%	0.0419	✓	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.1645	0.16418	-0.19%	0.1615	-1.82%	0.0198	✓	1.65
2025-12-22	oos	0.1649	0.16462	-0.17%	0.1645	-0.24%	0.0204	✗	1.65
2025-12-21	oos	0.163	0.162758	-0.15%	0.1649	+1.17%	0.0146	✗	1.65
2025-12-20	oos	0.1697	0.169374	-0.19%	0.163	-3.95%	0.0443	✓	1.67
2025-12-19	oos	0.1605	0.160298	-0.13%	0.1697	+5.73%	0.0526	✗	1.66
2025-12-18	oos	0.1465	0.146439	-0.04%	0.1605	+9.56%	0.0423	✗	1.63
2025-12-17	oos	0.153	0.15289	-0.07%	0.1465	-4.25%	0.0285	✓	1.63
2025-12-16	oos	0.1628	0.162617	-0.11%	0.153	-6.02%	0.0304	✓	1.62
2025-12-15	oos	0.1624	0.162244	-0.10%	0.1628	+0.25%	0.0234	✓	1.63
2025-12-14	oos	0.1675	0.167297	-0.12%	0.1624	-3.04%	0.0030	✗	1.63
2025-12-13	oos	0.1754	0.175136	-0.15%	0.1675	-4.50%	0.0066	✓	1.63
2025-12-12	oos	0.1751	0.174875	-0.13%	0.1754	+0.17%	0.0034	✗	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	0.1818	0.181546	-0.14%	0.1751	-3.69%	0.0043	✗	1.63
2025-12-10	oos	0.1851	0.184735	-0.20%	0.1818	-1.78%	0.0250	✓	1.64
2025-12-09	oos	0.1891	0.188693	-0.22%	0.1851	-2.12%	0.0076	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	0.1798	0.179487	-0.17%	0.1891	+5.17%	0.0163	✗	1.62
2025-12-07	oos	0.1767	0.176452	-0.14%	0.1798	+1.75%	0.0143	✗	1.61
2025-12-06	oos	0.1812	0.180872	-0.18%	0.1767	-2.48%	0.0439	✓	1.63
2025-12-05	oos	0.179	0.178705	-0.16%	0.1812	+1.23%	0.0153	✗	1.63
2025-12-04	oos	0.1893	0.188887	-0.22%	0.179	-5.44%	0.0044	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.1949	0.194438	-0.24%	0.1893	-2.87%	0.0029	✓	1.63
2025-12-02	oos	0.1904	0.189986	-0.22%	0.1949	+2.36%	0.0126	✓	1.64
2025-12-01	oos	0.1869	0.186534	-0.20%	0.1904	+1.87%	0.0783	✓	1.75
2025-11-30	oos	0.195	0.194643	-0.18%	0.1869	-4.15%	0.0423	✗	1.79
2025-11-29	oos	0.2012	0.200866	-0.17%	0.195	-3.08%	0.0206	✓	1.78
2025-11-28	oos	0.20235	0.202039	-0.15%	0.2012	-0.57%	0.0027	✓	1.78
2025-11-27	oos	0.2057	0.205366	-0.16%	0.20235	-1.63%	0.0067	✓	1.78
2025-11-26	oos	0.20555	0.205208	-0.17%	0.2057	+0.07%	0.0140	✓	1.75
2025-11-25	oos	0.2049	0.204527	-0.18%	0.20555	+0.32%	0.0591	✓	1.81
2025-11-24	oos	0.2115	0.211043	-0.22%	0.2049	-3.12%	0.0101	✓	1.81
2025-11-23	oos	0.20805	0.207684	-0.18%	0.2115	+1.66%	0.0120	✓	1.81
2025-11-22	oos	0.207	0.206751	-0.12%	0.20805	+0.51%	0.0393	✓	1.84
2025-11-21	oos	0.21175	0.211479	-0.13%	0.207	-2.24%	0.0131	✓	1.83
2025-11-20	oos	0.2175	0.217186	-0.14%	0.21175	-2.64%	0.0059	✗	1.83
2025-11-19	oos	0.22935	0.228902	-0.20%	0.2175	-5.17%	0.0535	✗	1.89
2025-11-18	oos	0.2355	0.234983	-0.22%	0.22935	-2.61%	0.0055	✗	1.89
2025-11-17	oos	0.23525	0.234752	-0.21%	0.2355	+0.11%	0.0135	✓	1.90
2025-11-16	oos	0.24075	0.240235	-0.21%	0.23525	-2.28%	0.0211	✗	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.24695	0.246427	-0.21%	0.24075	-2.51%	0.0038	✗	1.89
2025-11-14	oos	0.24405	0.243688	-0.15%	0.24695	+1.19%	0.0074	✓	1.89
2025-11-13	oos	0.25205	0.25167	-0.15%	0.24405	-3.17%	0.0744	✗	2.00
2025-11-12	oos	0.2673	0.266683	-0.23%	0.25205	-5.71%	0.0164	✓	1.99
2025-11-11	oos	0.27265	0.272139	-0.19%	0.2673	-1.96%	0.0085	✗	1.98
2025-11-10	oos	0.2966	0.295742	-0.29%	0.27265	-8.07%	0.0265	✓	1.93
2025-11-09	oos	0.29045	0.289604	-0.29%	0.2966	+2.12%	0.0002	✓	1.94
2025-11-08	oos	0.29515	0.294053	-0.37%	0.29045	-1.59%	0.0585	✓	1.98
2025-11-07	oos	0.3126	0.310638	-0.63%	0.29515	-5.58%	0.0323	✓	1.94
2025-11-06	oos	0.26315	0.262307	-0.32%	0.3126	+18.79%	0.1393	✗	1.85
2025-11-05	oos	0.25415	0.253643	-0.20%	0.26315	+3.54%	0.0848	✗	1.91
2025-11-04	oos	0.24405	0.243738	-0.13%	0.25415	+4.14%	0.0030	✓	1.92
2025-11-03	oos	0.25155	0.251127	-0.17%	0.24405	-2.98%	0.0702	✗	2.02
2025-11-02	oos	0.27195	0.271108	-0.31%	0.25155	-7.50%	0.0008	✓	2.02
2025-11-01	oos	0.27175	0.271108	-0.24%	0.27195	+0.07%	0.0058	✓	2.03
2025-10-31	oos	0.2666	0.266018	-0.22%	0.27175	+1.93%	0.0122	✗	2.02
2025-10-30	oos	0.2652	0.264492	-0.27%	0.2666	+0.53%	0.0153	✓	2.03
2025-10-29	oos	0.28125	0.280535	-0.25%	0.2652	-5.71%	0.0246	✓	2.00
2025-10-28	oos	0.2852	0.284473	-0.25%	0.28125	-1.38%	0.0412	✗	2.04
2025-10-27	oos	0.2965	0.295741	-0.26%	0.2852	-3.81%	0.0151	✓	2.03
2025-10-26	oos	0.2991	0.298227	-0.29%	0.2965	-0.87%	0.0024	✓	2.04
2025-10-25	oos	0.29355	0.292617	-0.32%	0.2991	+1.89%	0.0308	✓	2.07
2025-10-24	oos	0.29495	0.29398	-0.33%	0.29355	-0.47%	0.0130	✓	2.07
2025-10-23	oos	0.2875	0.286626	-0.30%	0.29495	+2.59%	0.0114	✗	2.06
2025-10-22	oos	0.27735	0.276658	-0.25%	0.2875	+3.66%	0.0096	✓	2.07
2025-10-21	oos	0.2829	0.28211	-0.28%	0.27735	-1.96%	0.0022	✓	2.07
2025-10-20	oos	0.29235	0.291378	-0.33%	0.2829	-3.23%	0.0123	✗	2.08
2025-10-19	oos	0.2889	0.288009	-0.31%	0.29235	+1.19%	0.0211	✓	2.09
2025-10-18	oos	0.28685	0.286067	-0.27%	0.2889	+0.71%	0.0186	✓	2.10
2025-10-17	oos	0.2824	0.281808	-0.21%	0.28685	+1.58%	0.0031	✗	2.09
2025-10-16	oos	0.2888	0.288151	-0.22%	0.2824	-2.22%	0.0138	✗	2.10
2025-10-15	oos	0.29865	0.297899	-0.25%	0.2888	-3.30%	0.0195	✗	2.12
2025-10-14	oos	0.3155	0.3147	-0.25%	0.29865	-5.34%	0.0095	✓	2.12
2025-10-13	oos	0.32845	0.327368	-0.33%	0.3155	-3.94%	0.0041	✗	2.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.306	0.305224	-0.25%	0.32845	+7.34%	0.0695	✗	2.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.27425	0.27382	-0.16%	0.306	+11.58%	0.0326	✗	2.06
2025-10-10	oos	0.2654	0.264999	-0.15%	0.27425	+3.33%	0.0764	✗	2.12
2025-10-09	oos	0.3868	0.386355	-0.12%	0.2654	-31.39%	0.2767	✓	1.33
2025-10-08	oos	0.40045	0.400051	-0.10%	0.3868	-3.41%	0.0161	✓	1.32
2025-10-07	oos	0.39895	0.398473	-0.12%	0.40045	+0.38%	0.0162	✓	1.33
2025-10-06	oos	0.4093	0.40901	-0.07%	0.39895	-2.53%	0.0117	✗	1.35
2025-10-05	oos	0.4024	0.402152	-0.06%	0.4093	+1.71%	0.0046	✗	1.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.4036	0.403356	-0.06%	0.4024	-0.30%	0.0140	✓	1.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.4156	0.415329	-0.07%	0.4036	-2.89%	0.0302	✓	1.35
2025-10-02	oos	0.4167	0.416286	-0.10%	0.4156	-0.26%	0.0207	✓	1.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.4109	0.410422	-0.12%	0.4167	+1.41%	0.0072	✓	1.37
2025-09-30	oos	0.3938	0.39325	-0.14%	0.4109	+4.34%	0.0107	✓	1.38
2025-09-29	oos	0.4029	0.402193	-0.18%	0.3938	-2.26%	0.0175	✓	1.38
2025-09-28	oos	0.41305	0.412035	-0.25%	0.4029	-2.46%	0.0500	✓	1.44
2025-09-27	oos	0.4041	0.40308	-0.25%	0.41305	+2.21%	0.0084	✓	1.45
2025-09-26	oos	0.41015	0.409263	-0.22%	0.4041	-1.48%	0.0125	✓	1.45
2025-09-25	oos	0.39875	0.398058	-0.17%	0.41015	+2.86%	0.0212	✗	1.44
2025-09-24	oos	0.4212	0.420362	-0.20%	0.39875	-5.33%	0.0036	✗	1.45
2025-09-23	oos	0.42185	0.421162	-0.16%	0.4212	-0.15%	0.0172	✓	1.47
2025-09-22	oos	0.427	0.426374	-0.15%	0.42185	-1.21%	0.0013	✓	1.47
2025-09-21	oos	0.46255	0.461495	-0.23%	0.427	-7.69%	0.0465	✓	1.40
2025-09-20	oos	0.4707	0.469465	-0.26%	0.46255	-1.73%	0.0092	✓	1.39
2025-09-19	oos	0.4696	0.468363	-0.26%	0.4707	+0.23%	0.0042	✗	1.39
2025-09-18	oos	0.4854	0.483827	-0.32%	0.4696	-3.26%	0.0129	✓	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.