ZTC

ZenChain · native · beta_5y

token id: #875
symbol: ZTC
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-07
predictions: 840

Track record at +1d

assessed

279

of 280 predictions shown

direction hit

52.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0163

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0030

actual -0.0037

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.0005417	0.000539678	-0.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.00054315	0.00054119	-0.36%	0.0005417	+0.03%	0.0039	✗	-0.01
2026-10-20	oos	0.0005436	0.000541649	-0.36%	0.00054315	-0.08%	0.0027	✓	-0.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.0005429	0.000540891	-0.37%	0.0005436	+0.13%	0.0051	✗	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.0005441	0.000542076	-0.37%	0.0005429	-0.22%	0.0015	✓	-0.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.00054365	0.00054159	-0.38%	0.0005441	+0.08%	0.0047	✗	-0.01
2026-10-16	oos	0.00054425	0.000542191	-0.38%	0.00054365	-0.11%	0.0027	✓	-0.01
2026-10-15	oos	0.00054385	0.000541889	-0.36%	0.00054425	+0.07%	0.0043	✗	-0.01
2026-10-14	oos	0.0005436	0.000541577	-0.37%	0.00054385	+0.05%	0.0043	✗	-0.01
2026-10-13	oos	0.0005433	0.000541401	-0.35%	0.0005436	+0.06%	0.0040	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.00054265	0.000540641	-0.37%	0.0005433	+0.12%	0.0050	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.0005445	0.000542588	-0.35%	0.00054265	-0.34%	0.0001	✓	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.0005434	0.000541393	-0.37%	0.0005445	+0.20%	0.0058	✗	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.0005446	0.000542472	-0.39%	0.0005434	-0.22%	0.0017	✓	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.00054385	0.000541644	-0.41%	0.0005446	+0.14%	0.0055	✗	-0.01
2026-10-07	oos	0.0005433	0.000541192	-0.39%	0.00054385	+0.10%	0.0047	✗	-0.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.00054405	0.00054207	-0.36%	0.0005433	-0.14%	0.0020	✓	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.0005433	0.000541319	-0.36%	0.00054405	+0.14%	0.0050	✗	-0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.00054515	0.00054313	-0.37%	0.0005433	-0.34%	0.0002	✓	-0.01
2026-10-03	oos	0.0005438	0.000541655	-0.39%	0.00054515	+0.25%	0.0067	✗	-0.01
2026-10-02	oos	0.00054385	0.000541672	-0.40%	0.0005438	-0.01%	0.0040	✓	-0.01
2026-10-01	oos	0.00054395	0.000541779	-0.40%	0.00054385	-0.02%	0.0038	✓	-0.01
2026-09-30	oos	0.0005428	0.000540572	-0.41%	0.00054395	+0.21%	0.0064	✗	-0.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.0005439	0.000541708	-0.40%	0.0005428	-0.20%	0.0020	✓	-0.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.00054345	0.000541269	-0.40%	0.0005439	+0.08%	0.0049	✗	-0.01
2026-09-27	oos	0.0005433	0.000541163	-0.39%	0.00054345	+0.03%	0.0041	✗	-0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.00054415	0.000542019	-0.39%	0.0005433	-0.16%	0.0024	✓	-0.01
2026-09-25	oos	0.00054385	0.000541741	-0.39%	0.00054415	+0.06%	0.0045	✗	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.0005431	0.000540998	-0.39%	0.00054385	+0.14%	0.0052	✗	-0.01
2026-09-23	oos	0.0005426	0.000540526	-0.38%	0.0005431	+0.09%	0.0048	✗	-0.01
2026-09-22	oos	0.0005429	0.000540954	-0.36%	0.0005426	-0.06%	0.0029	✓	-0.01
2026-09-21	oos	0.0005427	0.000540804	-0.35%	0.0005429	+0.04%	0.0038	✗	-0.01
2026-09-20	oos	0.00054725	0.000545028	-0.41%	0.0005427	-0.83%	0.0044	✓	0.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005459	0.000543723	-0.40%	0.00054725	+0.25%	0.0065	✗	0.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005464	0.000544273	-0.39%	0.0005459	-0.09%	0.0030	✓	0.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005466	0.000544464	-0.39%	0.0005464	-0.04%	0.0032	✓	0.01
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005482	0.000546119	-0.38%	0.0005466	-0.29%	0.0009	✓	0.01
2026-09-15	oos	0.00054725	0.000545337	-0.35%	0.0005482	+0.17%	0.0052	✗	0.01
2026-09-14	oos	0.00054695	0.000545283	-0.30%	0.00054725	+0.05%	0.0039	✗	0.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.0005471	0.000545662	-0.26%	0.00054695	-0.03%	0.0022	✓	0.01
2026-09-12	oos	0.00054985	0.000548693	-0.21%	0.0005471	-0.50%	0.0029	✓	0.01
2026-09-11	oos	0.00054895	0.000548274	-0.12%	0.00054985	+0.16%	0.0029	✗	0.01
2026-09-10	oos	0.0005485	0.000548267	-0.04%	0.00054895	+0.08%	0.0011	✗	0.01
2026-09-09	oos	0.00055	0.000550496	+0.09%	0.0005485	-0.27%	0.0034	✗	0.01
2026-09-08	oos	0.00055005	0.000551244	+0.22%	0.00055	-0.01%	0.0022	✗	0.02
2026-09-07	oos	0.00055	0.000551982	+0.36%	0.00055005	+0.01%	0.0034	✓	0.02
2026-09-06	oos	0.0005511	0.000553946	+0.52%	0.00055	-0.20%	0.0070	✗	0.01
2026-09-05	oos	0.00055025	0.000553708	+0.63%	0.0005511	+0.15%	0.0048	✓	0.01
2026-09-04	oos	0.00055045	0.000554421	+0.72%	0.00055025	-0.04%	0.0076	✗	0.02
2026-09-03	oos	0.0005514	0.000555956	+0.83%	0.00055045	-0.17%	0.0097	✗	0.01
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005536	0.000557468	+0.70%	0.0005514	-0.40%	0.0117	✗	0.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005542	0.000558034	+0.69%	0.0005536	-0.11%	0.0080	✗	0.01
2026-08-31	oos	0.0005535	0.000557306	+0.69%	0.0005542	+0.13%	0.0054	✓	0.01
2026-08-30	oos	0.0005537	0.000556803	+0.56%	0.0005535	-0.04%	0.0061	✗	0.01
2026-08-29	oos	0.0005552	0.000557828	+0.47%	0.0005537	-0.27%	0.0073	✗	0.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.0005545	0.000556449	+0.35%	0.0005552	+0.13%	0.0023	✓	0.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.0005583	0.000560013	+0.31%	0.0005545	-0.68%	0.0097	✗	0.01
2026-08-26	oos	0.0005574	0.00055834	+0.17%	0.0005583	+0.16%	0.0002	✓	0.01
2026-08-25	oos	0.0005551	0.000555561	+0.08%	0.0005574	+0.41%	0.0033	✓	0.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.0005567	0.00055679	+0.02%	0.0005551	-0.29%	0.0030	✗	0.01
2026-08-23	oos	0.0005548	0.000554478	-0.06%	0.0005567	+0.34%	0.0039	✗	0.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0005551	0.000554477	-0.11%	0.0005548	-0.05%	0.0006	✓	0.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.0005529	0.000552263	-0.12%	0.0005551	+0.40%	0.0052	✗	0.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.0005548	0.000553582	-0.22%	0.0005529	-0.34%	0.0024	✓	0.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.0005557	0.00055408	-0.29%	0.0005548	-0.16%	0.0001	✓	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.0005567	0.00055465	-0.37%	0.0005557	-0.18%	0.0007	✓	0.04
2026-08-17	oos	0.0005567	0.000554632	-0.37%	0.0005567	+0.00%	0.0036	✓	0.04
2026-08-16	oos	0.0005557	0.000553496	-0.40%	0.0005567	+0.18%	0.0048	✗	0.04
2026-08-15	oos	0.0005572	0.000554822	-0.43%	0.0005557	-0.27%	0.0017	✓	0.04
2026-08-14	oos	0.0005471	0.000544915	-0.40%	0.0005572	+1.85%	0.0223	✗	0.04
2026-08-13	oos	0.0005428	0.000540771	-0.37%	0.0005471	+0.79%	0.0120	✗	0.05
2026-08-12	oos	0.0005426	0.000540583	-0.37%	0.0005428	+0.04%	0.0041	✗	0.05
2026-08-11	oos	0.0005433	0.000541243	-0.38%	0.0005426	-0.13%	0.0026	✓	0.05
2026-08-10	oos	0.000541	0.000539019	-0.37%	0.0005433	+0.43%	0.0082	✗	0.05
2026-08-09	oos	0.0005403	0.00053843	-0.35%	0.000541	+0.13%	0.0055	✗	0.05
2026-08-08	oos	0.0005409	0.000539023	-0.35%	0.0005403	-0.11%	0.0024	✓	0.05
2026-08-07	oos	0.0005417	0.000539805	-0.35%	0.0005409	-0.15%	0.0020	✓	0.05
2026-08-06	oos	0.0005407	0.00053876	-0.36%	0.0005417	+0.18%	0.0049	✗	0.05
2026-08-05	oos	0.0005391	0.000537236	-0.35%	0.0005407	+0.30%	0.0067	✗	0.05
2026-08-04	oos	0.0005396	0.000537691	-0.35%	0.0005391	-0.09%	0.0022	✓	0.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.0005391	0.000537133	-0.36%	0.0005396	+0.09%	0.0041	✗	0.05
2026-08-02	oos	0.0005402	0.000538204	-0.37%	0.0005391	-0.20%	0.0017	✓	0.05
2026-08-01	oos	0.0005405	0.000538419	-0.39%	0.0005402	-0.06%	0.0027	✓	0.05
2026-07-31	oos	0.0005383	0.000536297	-0.37%	0.0005405	+0.41%	0.0079	✗	0.05
2026-07-30	oos	0.0005384	0.000536652	-0.32%	0.0005383	-0.02%	0.0046	✗	0.05
2026-07-29	oos	0.0005393	0.000537467	-0.34%	0.0005384	-0.17%	0.0011	✓	0.05
2026-07-28	oos	0.0005392	0.000537392	-0.34%	0.0005393	+0.02%	0.0035	✗	0.05
2026-07-27	oos	0.0005426	0.000540751	-0.34%	0.0005392	-0.63%	0.0030	✓	0.05
2026-07-26	oos	0.000545	0.000543345	-0.30%	0.0005426	-0.44%	0.0000	✓	0.05
2026-07-25	oos	0.0005446	0.000542829	-0.33%	0.000545	+0.07%	0.0032	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.0005437	0.000541949	-0.32%	0.0005446	+0.17%	0.0047	✗	0.05
2026-07-23	oos	0.0005449	0.000543266	-0.30%	0.0005437	-0.22%	0.0016	✓	0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.0005456	0.000544081	-0.28%	0.0005449	-0.13%	0.0024	✓	0.06
2026-07-21	oos	0.0005464	0.000544921	-0.27%	0.0005456	-0.15%	0.0016	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.000546	0.000544429	-0.29%	0.0005464	+0.07%	0.0028	✓	0.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.0005462	0.00054458	-0.30%	0.000546	-0.04%	0.0023	✓	0.04
2026-07-18	oos	0.000548	0.000546353	-0.30%	0.0005462	-0.33%	0.0003	✓	0.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.0005454	0.000543723	-0.31%	0.000548	+0.48%	0.0070	✗	0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.0005452	0.000543565	-0.30%	0.0005454	+0.04%	0.0032	✗	0.11
2026-07-15	oos	0.000549	0.00054738	-0.30%	0.0005452	-0.69%	0.0038	✓	0.01
2026-07-14	oos	0.0005493	0.000547695	-0.29%	0.000549	-0.05%	0.0024	✓	0.01
2026-07-13	oos	0.0005492	0.000547325	-0.34%	0.0005493	+0.02%	0.0005	✓	0.07
2026-07-12	oos	0.0005482	0.00054652	-0.31%	0.0005492	+0.18%	0.0066	✗	0.07
2026-07-11	oos	0.0005488	0.000547119	-0.31%	0.0005482	-0.11%	0.0021	✓	0.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.0005495	0.000547842	-0.30%	0.0005488	-0.13%	0.0026	✓	0.16
2026-07-09	oos	0.0005489	0.000547181	-0.31%	0.0005495	+0.11%	0.0018	✓	0.16
2026-07-08	oos	0.0005488	0.000547041	-0.32%	0.0005489	+0.02%	0.0011	✓	0.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.0005472	0.000545553	-0.30%	0.0005488	+0.29%	0.0086	✗	0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.0005505	0.000548853	-0.30%	0.0005472	-0.60%	0.0012	✓	0.17
2026-07-05	oos	0.0005502	0.000548527	-0.30%	0.0005505	+0.05%	0.0029	✓	0.11
2026-07-04	oos	0.0005488	0.000547135	-0.30%	0.0005502	+0.26%	0.0047	✗	0.11
2026-07-03	oos	0.0005502	0.000548452	-0.32%	0.0005488	-0.25%	0.0003	✓	0.10
2026-07-02	oos	0.0005477	0.000545806	-0.35%	0.0005502	+0.46%	0.0064	✗	0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.0005421	0.000540174	-0.36%	0.0005477	+1.03%	0.0117	✗	0.09
2026-06-30	oos	0.0005457	0.000543554	-0.39%	0.0005421	-0.66%	0.0045	✓	0.08
2026-06-29	oos	0.0005456	0.000543597	-0.37%	0.0005457	+0.02%	0.0061	✗	0.08
2026-06-28	oos	0.0005473	0.000545104	-0.40%	0.0005456	-0.31%	0.0002	✓	0.07
2026-06-27	oos	0.0005443	0.000542193	-0.39%	0.0005473	+0.55%	0.0100	✗	0.08
2026-06-26	oos	0.0005442	0.000542031	-0.40%	0.0005443	+0.02%	0.0043	✗	0.09
2026-06-25	oos	0.000544	0.000541773	-0.41%	0.0005442	+0.04%	0.0040	✓	0.09
2026-06-24	oos	0.000545	0.000542861	-0.39%	0.000544	-0.18%	0.0037	✓	0.07
2026-06-23	oos	0.0005452	0.0005432	-0.37%	0.000545	-0.04%	0.0055	✗	0.08
2026-06-22	oos	0.0005422	0.000540384	-0.33%	0.0005452	+0.55%	0.0106	✗	0.08
2026-06-21	oos	0.0005405	0.000538629	-0.35%	0.0005422	+0.31%	0.0057	✗	0.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.0005424	0.000540578	-0.34%	0.0005405	-0.35%	0.0006	✓	0.05
2026-06-19	oos	0.0005427	0.000540782	-0.35%	0.0005424	-0.06%	0.0023	✓	0.06
2026-06-18	oos	0.0005408	0.000538844	-0.36%	0.0005427	+0.35%	0.0064	✗	0.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.0005414	0.000539573	-0.34%	0.0005408	-0.11%	0.0039	✗	0.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.0005423	0.000540506	-0.33%	0.0005414	-0.17%	0.0034	✗	0.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.0005437	0.000541866	-0.34%	0.0005423	-0.26%	0.0020	✓	0.12
2026-06-14	oos	0.0005436	0.000541678	-0.35%	0.0005437	+0.02%	0.0027	✓	0.12
2026-06-13	oos	0.0005394	0.000537398	-0.37%	0.0005436	+0.78%	0.0092	✗	0.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.0005388	0.000536584	-0.41%	0.0005394	+0.11%	0.0037	✓	0.11
2026-06-11	oos	0.0005368	0.000534615	-0.41%	0.0005388	+0.37%	0.0078	✗	0.11
2026-06-10	oos	0.0005325	0.000530172	-0.44%	0.0005368	+0.81%	0.0091	✗	0.10
2026-06-09	oos	0.0005299	0.00052756	-0.44%	0.0005325	+0.49%	0.0097	✗	0.10
2026-06-08	oos	0.000527	0.0005247	-0.44%	0.0005299	+0.55%	0.0124	✗	0.11
2026-06-07	oos	0.0005274	0.000524963	-0.46%	0.000527	-0.08%	0.0043	✓	0.11
2026-06-06	oos	0.0005248	0.000522094	-0.52%	0.0005274	+0.50%	0.0053	✗	0.12
2026-06-05	oos	0.0005229	0.000520067	-0.54%	0.0005248	+0.36%	0.0094	✗	0.13
2026-06-04	oos	0.0005203	0.000517542	-0.53%	0.0005229	+0.50%	0.0170	✗	0.15
2026-06-03	oos	0.0005151	0.000512325	-0.54%	0.0005203	+1.01%	0.0163	✗	0.24
2026-06-02	oos	0.0005146	0.000511904	-0.52%	0.0005151	+0.10%	0.0174	✗	0.28
2026-06-01	oos	0.0005145	0.000512062	-0.47%	0.0005146	+0.02%	0.0258	✗	0.31
2026-05-31	oos	0.0005144	0.000512105	-0.45%	0.0005145	+0.02%	0.0151	✗	0.34
2026-05-30	oos	0.000514	0.000511679	-0.45%	0.0005144	+0.08%	0.0061	✗	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.0005126	0.000510201	-0.47%	0.000514	+0.27%	0.0058	✗	0.29
2026-05-28	oos	0.000511	0.000508591	-0.47%	0.0005126	+0.31%	0.0084	✗	0.29
2026-05-27	oos	0.0005097	0.000507378	-0.46%	0.000511	+0.26%	0.0104	✗	0.31
2026-05-26	oos	0.0005106	0.000508377	-0.44%	0.0005097	-0.18%	0.0088	✗	0.31
2026-05-25	oos	0.0005088	0.000506777	-0.40%	0.0005106	+0.35%	0.0152	✗	0.42
2026-05-24	oos	0.0005094	0.000507328	-0.41%	0.0005088	-0.12%	0.0014	✓	0.42
2026-05-23	oos	0.0005092	0.00050709	-0.41%	0.0005094	+0.04%	0.0028	✓	0.41
2026-05-22	oos	0.0005063	0.000504238	-0.41%	0.0005092	+0.57%	0.0034	✓	0.40
2026-05-21	oos	0.0005089	0.000507026	-0.37%	0.0005063	-0.51%	0.0099	✗	0.41
2026-05-20	oos	0.0005079	0.000506098	-0.35%	0.0005089	+0.20%	0.0051	✗	0.42
2026-05-19	oos	0.000507	0.000505155	-0.36%	0.0005079	+0.18%	0.0017	✓	0.40
2026-05-18	oos	0.0005085	0.000506722	-0.35%	0.000507	-0.29%	0.0014	✓	0.38
2026-05-17	oos	0.0005107	0.000509032	-0.33%	0.0005085	-0.43%	0.0010	✓	0.34
2026-05-16	oos	0.0005189	0.000517186	-0.33%	0.0005107	-1.58%	0.0095	✓	0.34
2026-05-15	oos	0.0005252	0.000523474	-0.33%	0.0005189	-1.20%	0.0045	✓	0.35
2026-05-14	oos	0.0005298	0.000528153	-0.31%	0.0005252	-0.87%	0.0039	✗	0.37
2026-05-13	oos	0.0005302	0.000528345	-0.35%	0.0005298	-0.08%	0.0048	✓	0.34
2026-05-12	oos	0.0005296	0.000527855	-0.33%	0.0005302	+0.11%	0.0094	✗	0.33
2026-05-11	oos	0.0005294	0.000527755	-0.31%	0.0005296	+0.04%	0.0089	✗	0.35
2026-05-10	oos	0.0005281	0.000526514	-0.30%	0.0005294	+0.25%	0.0075	✗	0.36
2026-05-09	oos	0.0005257	0.00052403	-0.32%	0.0005281	+0.46%	0.0010	✓	0.36
2026-05-08	oos	0.0005253	0.000523587	-0.33%	0.0005257	+0.08%	0.0020	✓	0.35
2026-05-07	oos	0.0005247	0.000522924	-0.34%	0.0005253	+0.11%	0.0037	✗	0.36
2026-05-06	oos	0.0005203	0.00051881	-0.29%	0.0005247	+0.85%	0.0129	✗	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.0005188	0.000517323	-0.28%	0.0005203	+0.29%	0.0032	✗	0.38
2026-05-04	oos	0.0005191	0.000517529	-0.30%	0.0005188	-0.06%	0.0031	✓	0.42
2026-05-03	oos	0.0005192	0.000517538	-0.32%	0.0005191	-0.02%	0.0025	✓	0.34
2026-05-02	oos	0.00052	0.000518347	-0.32%	0.0005192	-0.15%	0.0022	✓	0.36
2026-05-01	oos	0.0005182	0.000516547	-0.32%	0.00052	+0.35%	0.0046	✗	0.36
2026-04-30	oos	0.0005171	0.000515283	-0.35%	0.0005182	+0.21%	0.0032	✓	0.35
2026-04-29	oos	0.0005154	0.000513603	-0.35%	0.0005171	+0.33%	0.0042	✗	0.35
2026-04-28	oos	0.0005164	0.00051465	-0.34%	0.0005154	-0.19%	0.0039	✗	0.33
2026-04-27	oos	0.0005171	0.000515433	-0.32%	0.0005164	-0.14%	0.0065	✗	0.34
2026-04-26	oos	0.0005161	0.000514644	-0.28%	0.0005171	+0.19%	0.0103	✗	0.33
2026-04-25	oos	0.000513	0.000511572	-0.28%	0.0005161	+0.60%	0.0044	✗	0.34
2026-04-24	oos	0.0005125	0.00051112	-0.27%	0.000513	+0.10%	0.0029	✗	0.30
2026-04-23	oos	0.0005208	0.00051967	-0.22%	0.0005125	-1.59%	0.0107	✓	0.30
2026-04-22	oos	0.000545	0.000543696	-0.24%	0.0005208	-4.44%	0.0433	✓	0.30
2026-04-21	oos	0.0005526	0.000551251	-0.24%	0.000545	-1.38%	0.0186	✓	0.30
2026-04-20	oos	0.0005617	0.000560439	-0.22%	0.0005526	-1.62%	0.0159	✓	0.29
2026-04-19	oos	0.00058	0.000578737	-0.22%	0.0005617	-3.16%	0.0377	✓	0.29
2026-04-18	oos	0.0006256	0.000624227	-0.22%	0.00058	-7.29%	0.0666	✓	0.27
2026-04-17	oos	0.0006875	0.000685799	-0.25%	0.0006256	-9.00%	0.0874	✓	0.25
2026-04-16	oos	0.000765	0.000761444	-0.46%	0.0006875	-10.13%	0.1093	✓	0.28
2026-04-15	oos	0.00077	0.000764654	-0.69%	0.000765	-0.65%	0.0008	✓	0.28
2026-04-14	oos	0.0006452	0.000642713	-0.39%	0.00077	+19.34%	0.1783	✗	0.27
2026-04-13	oos	0.0006245	0.000622261	-0.36%	0.0006452	+3.31%	0.0372	✗	0.29
2026-04-12	oos	0.000595	0.00059335	-0.28%	0.0006245	+4.96%	0.0377	✗	0.26
2026-04-11	oos	0.0006059	0.000604323	-0.26%	0.000595	-1.80%	0.0073	✓	0.25
2026-04-10	oos	0.0006133	0.000611806	-0.24%	0.0006059	-1.21%	0.0100	✓	0.25
2026-04-09	oos	0.0006173	0.000615947	-0.22%	0.0006133	-0.65%	0.0085	✓	0.25
2026-04-08	oos	0.0006253	0.000624109	-0.19%	0.0006173	-1.28%	0.0135	✓	0.26
2026-04-07	oos	0.0006596	0.000658236	-0.21%	0.0006253	-5.20%	0.0484	✓	0.25
2026-04-06	oos	0.0006871	0.000685307	-0.26%	0.0006596	-4.00%	0.0500	✓	0.27
2026-04-05	oos	0.0007029	0.000700926	-0.28%	0.0006871	-2.25%	0.0193	✓	0.27
2026-04-04	oos	0.0007114	0.000709198	-0.31%	0.0007029	-1.19%	0.0157	✓	0.27
2026-04-03	oos	0.0007161	0.000713977	-0.30%	0.0007114	-0.66%	0.0049	✓	0.27
2026-04-02	oos	0.0007436	0.00074082	-0.37%	0.0007161	-3.70%	0.0342	✓	0.27
2026-04-01	oos	0.0007253	0.000723177	-0.29%	0.0007436	+2.52%	0.0329	✗	0.28
2026-03-31	oos	0.0007375	0.000735298	-0.30%	0.0007253	-1.65%	0.0132	✓	0.28
2026-03-30	oos	0.0007548	0.000752084	-0.36%	0.0007375	-2.29%	0.0257	✓	0.28
2026-03-29	oos	0.0007253	0.000723248	-0.28%	0.0007548	+4.07%	0.0395	✗	0.27
2026-03-28	oos	0.0007457	0.000743334	-0.32%	0.0007253	-2.74%	0.0231	✓	0.27
2026-03-27	oos	0.0007477	0.000745348	-0.31%	0.0007457	-0.27%	0.0006	✓	0.27
2026-03-26	oos	0.0007423	0.0007404	-0.26%	0.0007477	+0.73%	0.0199	✗	0.28
2026-03-25	oos	0.0007499	0.000748442	-0.19%	0.0007423	-1.01%	0.0023	✗	0.29
2026-03-24	oos	0.0007605	0.000759011	-0.20%	0.0007499	-1.39%	0.0152	✓	0.29
2026-03-23	oos	0.0007535	0.000752596	-0.12%	0.0007605	+0.93%	0.0119	✗	0.29
2026-03-22	oos	0.0007758	0.00077459	-0.16%	0.0007535	-2.87%	0.0408	✓	0.30
2026-03-21	oos	0.0008116	0.000810475	-0.14%	0.0007758	-4.41%	0.0390	✓	0.30
2026-03-20	oos	0.0008466	0.000845674	-0.11%	0.0008116	-4.13%	0.0344	✓	0.30
2026-03-19	oos	0.0009051	0.00090374	-0.15%	0.0008466	-6.46%	0.0678	✓	0.30
2026-03-18	oos	0.000957	0.000955378	-0.17%	0.0009051	-5.42%	0.0484	✓	0.30
2026-03-17	oos	0.000994	0.000992296	-0.17%	0.000957	-3.72%	0.0252	✓	0.30
2026-03-16	oos	0.001002	0.001	-0.16%	0.000994	-0.80%	0.0026	✓	0.30
2026-03-15	oos	0.001001	0.000999404	-0.16%	0.001002	+0.10%	0.0056	✓	0.29
2026-03-14	oos	0.001014	0.001012	-0.19%	0.001001	-1.28%	0.0175	✓	0.29
2026-03-13	oos	0.001002	0.001	-0.16%	0.001014	+1.20%	0.0124	✗	0.29
2026-03-12	oos	0.001023	0.001021	-0.19%	0.001002	-2.05%	0.0205	✓	0.29
2026-03-11	oos	0.001009	0.001007	-0.17%	0.001023	+1.39%	0.0141	✗	0.28
2026-03-10	oos	0.001002	0.001001	-0.15%	0.001009	+0.70%	0.0074	✗	0.28
2026-03-09	oos	0.001011	0.001009	-0.16%	0.001002	-0.89%	0.0134	✓	0.28
2026-03-08	oos	0.000996	0.000994375	-0.16%	0.001011	+1.51%	0.0071	✗	0.26
2026-03-07	oos	0.001022	0.001021	-0.14%	0.000996	-2.54%	0.0193	✓	0.26
2026-03-06	oos	0.001029	0.001028	-0.09%	0.001022	-0.68%	0.0027	✓	0.26
2026-03-05	oos	0.001134	0.001133	-0.12%	0.001029	-9.26%	0.0866	✓	0.23
2026-03-04	oos	0.001185	0.001183	-0.14%	0.001134	-4.30%	0.0369	✓	0.23
2026-03-03	oos	0.001192	0.00119	-0.17%	0.001185	-0.59%	0.0180	✓	0.22
2026-03-02	oos	0.001251	0.001248	-0.21%	0.001192	-4.72%	0.0446	✓	0.22
2026-03-01	oos	0.001285	0.001281	-0.29%	0.001251	-2.65%	0.0345	✓	0.23
2026-02-28	oos	0.001283	0.001279	-0.28%	0.001285	+0.16%	0.0087	✗	0.24
2026-02-27	oos	0.001277	0.001273	-0.29%	0.001283	+0.47%	0.0037	✗	0.23
2026-02-26	oos	0.001313	0.001309	-0.33%	0.001277	-2.74%	0.0188	✓	0.23
2026-02-25	oos	0.001292	0.001287	-0.37%	0.001313	+1.63%	0.0215	✗	0.23
2026-02-24	oos	0.001197	0.001193	-0.30%	0.001292	+7.94%	0.0717	✗	0.13
2026-02-23	oos	0.00123	0.001226	-0.30%	0.001197	-2.68%	0.0231	✓	0.13
2026-02-22	oos	0.001252	0.001248	-0.29%	0.00123	-1.76%	0.0085	✓	0.14
2026-02-21	oos	0.001262	0.001258	-0.31%	0.001252	-0.79%	0.0041	✓	0.14
2026-02-20	oos	0.001255	0.001251	-0.31%	0.001262	+0.56%	0.0087	✗	0.14
2026-02-19	oos	0.001232	0.001229	-0.26%	0.001255	+1.87%	0.0194	✗	0.12
2026-02-18	oos	0.001351	0.001345	-0.44%	0.001232	-8.81%	0.0889	✓	0.14
2026-02-17	oos	0.001287	0.001282	-0.38%	0.001351	+4.97%	0.0547	✗	0.15
2026-02-16	oos	0.00122	0.001217	-0.27%	0.001287	+5.49%	0.0596	✗	0.17
2026-02-15	oos	0.001247	0.001244	-0.28%	0.00122	-2.17%	0.0193	✓	0.17
2026-02-14	oos	0.001297	0.001293	-0.33%	0.001247	-3.86%	0.0336	✓	0.17
2026-02-13	oos	0.001236	0.001233	-0.26%	0.001297	+4.94%	0.0488	✗	0.13
2026-02-12	oos	0.001285	0.001281	-0.31%	0.001236	-3.81%	0.0412	✓	0.14
2026-02-11	oos	0.001257	0.001254	-0.24%	0.001285	+2.23%	0.0262	✗	0.15
2026-02-10	oos	0.001306	0.001303	-0.26%	0.001257	-3.75%	0.0318	✓	0.15
2026-02-09	oos	0.001349	0.001345	-0.26%	0.001306	-3.19%	0.0270	✓	0.15
2026-02-08	oos	0.001377	0.001374	-0.25%	0.001349	-2.03%	0.0177	✓	0.15
2026-02-07	oos	0.001415	0.001412	-0.23%	0.001377	-2.69%	0.0270	✓	0.14
2026-02-06	oos	0.001466	0.001463	-0.21%	0.001415	-3.48%	0.0307	✓	0.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.001635	0.001631	-0.23%	0.001466	-10.34%	0.2230	✓	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.001961	0.001951	-0.52%	0.001635	-16.62%	0.0260	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.002207	0.002185	-0.98%	0.001961	-11.15%	0.0725	✓	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.001926	0.001914	-0.60%	0.002207	+14.59%	0.1812	✗	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.001811	0.001802	-0.47%	0.001926	+6.35%	0.0435	✗	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.001863	0.001854	-0.49%	0.001811	-2.79%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.001924	0.001914	-0.52%	0.001863	-3.17%	0.0401	✗	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.002035	0.002022	-0.65%	0.001924	-5.45%	0.0448	✓	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.002025	0.00201	-0.75%	0.002035	+0.49%	0.0661	✗	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.001891	0.001881	-0.52%	0.002025	+7.09%	0.0732	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.002038	0.002021	-0.84%	0.001891	-7.21%	0.0762	✓	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.001985	0.001964	-1.05%	0.002038	+2.67%	0.0176	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.00179	0.001782	-0.46%	0.001985	+10.89%	0.1368	✗	1.00
2026-01-23	oos	0.00185	0.001841	-0.49%	0.00179	-3.24%	0.0237	✓	1.00
2026-01-22	oos	0.001871	0.001863	-0.44%	0.00185	-1.12%	0.0070	✓	1.00
2026-01-21	oos	0.001968	0.001958	-0.50%	0.001871	-4.93%	0.0467	✓	1.00
2026-01-20	oos	0.002134	0.00212	-0.67%	0.001968	-7.78%	0.0861	✓	1.00
2026-01-19	oos	0.002142	0.002127	-0.69%	0.002134	-0.37%	0.0502	✗	1.00
2026-01-18	oos	0.002129	0.002113	-0.76%	0.002142	+0.61%	0.0252	✗	1.00
2026-01-17	oos	0.002058	0.002046	-0.59%	0.002129	+3.45%	0.0554	✗	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.002108	0.002096	-0.59%	0.002058	-2.37%	0.0139	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.