XNO

Nano · native · beta_5y

token id: #417
symbol: XNO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-11-02
predictions: 3,849

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1583

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0102

actual -0.0255

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.34266	0.339474	-0.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-21	oos	0.34606	0.341077	-1.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-20	oos	0.33846	0.335229	-0.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.333005	0.328535	-1.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.338215	0.334191	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.335595	0.331343	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-16	oos	0.341125	0.336822	-1.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-15	oos	0.32984	0.329235	-0.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	0.344615	0.339829	-1.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-13	oos	0.328575	0.328808	+0.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-12	oos	0.33287	0.330428	-0.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.34746	0.344811	-0.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.345915	0.344618	-0.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-09	oos	0.34373	0.342601	-0.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-08	oos	0.33524	0.334141	-0.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.35298	0.350337	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-06	oos	0.362635	0.361012	-0.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-05	oos	0.36259	0.363809	+0.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-04	oos	0.364235	0.366982	+0.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-03	oos	0.36174	0.362958	+0.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-02	oos	0.35914	0.362538	+0.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-01	oos	0.37341	0.374933	+0.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-30	oos	0.35865	0.360647	+0.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-09-29	oos	0.364715	0.366114	+0.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-09-28	oos	0.369635	0.371561	+0.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-09-27	oos	0.38062	0.38299	+0.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-26	oos	0.38113	0.382511	+0.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-09-25	oos	0.376805	0.381315	+1.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-09-24	oos	0.372925	0.383676	+2.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-23	oos	0.38447	0.393542	+2.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-22	oos	0.360625	0.37866	+5.00%	0.34266	-4.98%	0.0782	✗	0.94
2026-09-21	oos	0.388955	0.402234	+3.41%	0.34606	-11.03%	0.1082	✗	0.92
2026-09-20	oos	0.34467	0.355074	+3.02%	0.33846	-1.80%	0.0652	✗	0.80
2026-09-19	oos	0.3489	0.363988	+4.32%	0.333005	-4.56%	0.0948	✗	0.79
2026-09-18	oos	0.342225	0.363902	+6.33%	0.338215	-1.17%	0.0842	✗	0.79
2026-09-17	oos	0.32074	0.332263	+3.59%	0.335595	+4.63%	0.0387	✗	0.76
2026-09-16	oos	0.3212	0.331633	+3.25%	0.341125	+6.20%	0.0234	✓	0.76
2026-09-15	oos	0.312845	0.322773	+3.17%	0.32984	+5.43%	0.0424	✗	0.77
2026-09-14	oos	0.333015	0.349758	+5.03%	0.344615	+3.48%	0.0467	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.342665	0.353265	+3.09%	0.328575	-4.11%	0.1318	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.343655	0.361433	+5.17%	0.33287	-3.14%	0.1248	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.338685	0.365254	+7.84%	0.34746	+2.59%	0.1108	✗	0.76
2026-09-10	oos	0.32788	0.350164	+6.80%	0.345915	+5.50%	0.0726	✗	0.75
2026-09-09	oos	0.331915	0.361789	+9.00%	0.34373	+3.56%	0.0916	✗	0.76
2026-09-08	oos	0.373055	0.396479	+6.28%	0.33524	-10.14%	0.1945	✗	0.66
2026-09-07	oos	0.390565	0.411659	+5.40%	0.35298	-9.62%	0.1867	✗	0.64
2026-09-06	oos	0.39018	0.416963	+6.86%	0.362635	-7.06%	0.1810	✗	0.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.39275	0.419763	+6.88%	0.36259	-7.68%	0.1937	✗	0.66
2026-09-04	oos	0.384545	0.414059	+7.68%	0.364235	-5.28%	0.1858	✗	0.70
2026-09-03	oos	0.395465	0.430784	+8.93%	0.36174	-8.53%	0.2040	✗	0.70
2026-09-02	oos	0.387715	0.409503	+5.62%	0.35914	-7.37%	0.1971	✗	0.74
2026-09-01	oos	0.38872	0.409107	+5.24%	0.37341	-3.94%	0.1591	✗	0.74
2026-08-31	oos	0.3909	0.41241	+5.50%	0.35865	-8.25%	0.1864	✗	0.76
2026-08-30	oos	0.376075	0.403314	+7.24%	0.364715	-3.02%	0.1529	✗	0.71
2026-08-29	oos	0.39877	0.425504	+6.70%	0.369635	-7.31%	0.1858	✗	0.70
2026-08-28	oos	0.376515	0.406436	+7.95%	0.38062	+1.09%	0.1218	✗	0.69
2026-08-27	oos	0.40503	0.43513	+7.43%	0.38113	-5.90%	0.1652	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.398875	0.430075	+7.82%	0.376805	-5.53%	0.1725	✗	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.394045	0.424006	+7.60%	0.372925	-5.36%	0.1746	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.398445	0.426281	+6.99%	0.38447	-3.51%	0.1457	✗	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	0.405	0.424947	+4.93%	0.360625	-10.96%	0.2310	✗	0.65
2026-08-22	oos	0.402065	0.422997	+5.21%	0.388955	-3.26%	0.1595	✗	0.65
2026-08-21	oos	0.40758	0.432634	+6.15%	0.34467	-15.44%	0.2502	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.381915	0.391982	+2.64%	0.3489	-8.64%	0.1818	✗	0.61
2026-08-19	oos	0.37764	0.375626	-0.53%	0.342225	-9.38%	0.1947	✓	0.66
2026-08-18	oos	0.360345	0.350444	-2.75%	0.32074	-10.99%	0.1972	✓	0.66
2026-08-17	oos	0.35789	0.348682	-2.57%	0.3212	-10.25%	0.1914	✓	0.66
2026-08-16	oos	0.35338	0.342841	-2.98%	0.312845	-11.47%	0.2136	✓	0.66
2026-08-15	oos	0.356795	0.347466	-2.61%	0.333015	-6.66%	0.1852	✓	0.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.36458	0.354549	-2.75%	0.342665	-6.01%	0.1654	✓	0.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.37319	0.363027	-2.72%	0.343655	-7.91%	0.1819	✓	0.64
2026-08-12	oos	0.38501	0.373633	-2.96%	0.338685	-12.03%	0.2269	✓	0.65
2026-08-11	oos	0.382065	0.370914	-2.92%	0.32788	-14.18%	0.2459	✓	0.66
2026-08-10	oos	0.40063	0.387143	-3.37%	0.331915	-17.15%	0.2913	✓	0.68
2026-08-09	oos	0.406245	0.39419	-2.97%	0.373055	-8.17%	0.1873	✓	0.69
2026-08-08	oos	0.40739	0.396453	-2.68%	0.390565	-4.13%	0.1519	✓	0.69
2026-08-07	oos	0.40121	0.39208	-2.28%	0.39018	-2.75%	0.1542	✓	0.70
2026-08-06	oos	0.403795	0.392362	-2.83%	0.39275	-2.74%	0.1501	✓	0.70
2026-08-05	oos	0.408635	0.396488	-2.97%	0.384545	-5.90%	0.1773	✓	0.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.40501	0.391657	-3.30%	0.395465	-2.36%	0.1578	✓	0.70
2026-08-03	oos	0.39567	0.382154	-3.42%	0.387715	-2.01%	0.1255	✓	0.71
2026-08-02	oos	0.39932	0.386528	-3.20%	0.38872	-2.65%	0.1368	✓	0.72
2026-08-01	oos	0.400715	0.386666	-3.51%	0.3909	-2.45%	0.1498	✓	0.72
2026-07-31	oos	0.400915	0.38718	-3.43%	0.376075	-6.20%	0.1809	✓	0.72
2026-07-30	oos	0.395785	0.387052	-2.21%	0.39877	+0.75%	0.1125	✓	0.75
2026-07-29	oos	0.41253	0.400137	-3.00%	0.376515	-8.73%	0.2184	✓	0.80
2026-07-28	oos	0.38929	0.380734	-2.20%	0.40503	+4.04%	0.1164	✓	0.78
2026-07-27	oos	0.38197	0.374129	-2.05%	0.398875	+4.43%	0.1034	✓	0.78
2026-07-26	oos	0.395485	0.389263	-1.57%	0.394045	-0.36%	0.1358	✓	0.81
2026-07-25	oos	0.390705	0.386178	-1.16%	0.398445	+1.98%	0.1379	✓	0.82
2026-07-24	oos	0.41415	0.406193	-1.92%	0.405	-2.21%	0.1667	✓	0.85
2026-07-23	oos	0.409065	0.403971	-1.25%	0.402065	-1.71%	0.1494	✓	0.85
2026-07-22	oos	0.39832	0.397586	-0.18%	0.40758	+2.32%	0.1212	✓	0.86
2026-07-21	oos	0.37661	0.380099	+0.93%	0.381915	+1.41%	0.0759	✗	0.87
2026-07-20	oos	0.48354	0.459379	-5.00%	0.37764	-21.90%	0.2595	✓	1.05
2026-07-19	oos	0.325585	0.331082	+1.69%	0.360345	+10.68%	0.0847	✓	0.90
2026-07-18	oos	0.343045	0.346184	+0.92%	0.35789	+4.33%	0.0379	✓	0.94
2026-07-17	oos	0.32352	0.326945	+1.06%	0.35338	+9.23%	0.0926	✓	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.323335	0.325503	+0.67%	0.356795	+10.35%	0.1021	✓	0.87
2026-07-15	oos	0.32426	0.326517	+0.70%	0.36458	+12.43%	0.1340	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.3233	0.324968	+0.52%	0.37319	+15.43%	0.1598	✓	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.30837	0.308602	+0.08%	0.38501	+24.85%	0.2056	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	0.32136	0.321118	-0.08%	0.382065	+18.89%	0.1765	✗	0.84
2026-07-11	oos	0.33557	0.334259	-0.39%	0.40063	+19.39%	0.1794	✗	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.331155	0.330682	-0.14%	0.406245	+22.68%	0.1966	✗	0.82
2026-07-09	oos	0.327475	0.326014	-0.45%	0.40739	+24.40%	0.2005	✗	0.83
2026-07-08	oos	0.3289	0.328258	-0.20%	0.40121	+21.99%	0.1660	✗	0.83
2026-07-07	oos	0.32044	0.322789	+0.73%	0.403795	+26.01%	0.2113	✓	0.85
2026-07-06	oos	0.33525	0.335807	+0.17%	0.408635	+21.89%	0.1883	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.333905	0.334859	+0.29%	0.40501	+21.29%	0.1838	✓	0.88
2026-07-04	oos	0.336755	0.336316	-0.13%	0.39567	+17.49%	0.1572	✗	0.88
2026-07-03	oos	0.336785	0.336035	-0.22%	0.39932	+18.57%	0.1591	✗	0.87
2026-07-02	oos	0.32877	0.327285	-0.45%	0.400715	+21.88%	0.1846	✗	0.86
2026-07-01	oos	0.31114	0.310134	-0.32%	0.400915	+28.85%	0.2178	✗	0.84
2026-06-30	oos	0.305425	0.30332	-0.69%	0.395785	+29.59%	0.1817	✗	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.31101	0.308891	-0.68%	0.41253	+32.64%	0.2385	✗	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.31556	0.312138	-1.08%	0.38929	+23.36%	0.1609	✗	0.85
2026-06-27	oos	0.31744	0.314047	-1.07%	0.38197	+20.33%	0.1432	✗	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	0.322795	0.318419	-1.36%	0.395485	+22.52%	0.1425	✗	0.87
2026-06-25	oos	0.31255	0.309552	-0.96%	0.390705	+25.01%	0.1687	✗	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.330635	0.327071	-1.08%	0.41415	+25.26%	0.1939	✗	0.85
2026-06-23	oos	0.337635	0.335152	-0.74%	0.409065	+21.16%	0.1666	✗	0.87
2026-06-22	oos	0.34216	0.339897	-0.66%	0.39832	+16.41%	0.1297	✗	0.88
2026-06-21	oos	0.357425	0.352896	-1.27%	0.37661	+5.37%	0.0196	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	0.366945	0.362943	-1.09%	0.48354	+31.77%	0.2732	✗	0.90
2026-06-19	oos	0.35415	0.351978	-0.61%	0.325585	-8.07%	0.0946	✓	0.88
2026-06-18	oos	0.356655	0.354101	-0.72%	0.343045	-3.82%	0.0583	✓	0.89
2026-06-17	oos	0.37226	0.368324	-1.06%	0.32352	-13.09%	0.1222	✓	0.87
2026-06-16	oos	0.388165	0.382372	-1.49%	0.323335	-16.70%	0.1431	✓	0.86
2026-06-15	oos	0.37332	0.370192	-0.84%	0.32426	-13.14%	0.1128	✓	0.83
2026-06-14	oos	0.371885	0.368154	-1.00%	0.3233	-13.06%	0.1208	✓	0.83
2026-06-13	oos	0.36549	0.361657	-1.05%	0.30837	-15.63%	0.1318	✓	0.81
2026-06-12	oos	0.358285	0.354234	-1.13%	0.32136	-10.31%	0.0999	✓	0.78
2026-06-11	oos	0.364465	0.359086	-1.48%	0.33557	-7.93%	0.0703	✓	0.78
2026-06-10	oos	0.390355	0.379813	-2.70%	0.331155	-15.17%	0.1739	✓	0.86
2026-06-09	oos	0.37744	0.368601	-2.34%	0.327475	-13.24%	0.1389	✓	0.86
2026-06-08	oos	0.39089	0.380047	-2.77%	0.3289	-15.86%	0.1332	✓	0.86
2026-06-07	oos	0.39358	0.381286	-3.12%	0.32044	-18.58%	0.1741	✓	0.83
2026-06-06	oos	0.37037	0.361347	-2.44%	0.33525	-9.48%	0.1155	✓	0.80
2026-06-05	oos	0.38946	0.376278	-3.38%	0.333905	-14.26%	0.1525	✓	0.81
2026-06-04	oos	0.40872	0.392179	-4.05%	0.336755	-17.61%	0.1434	✓	0.79
2026-06-03	oos	0.40773	0.390863	-4.14%	0.336785	-17.40%	0.1302	✓	0.78
2026-06-02	oos	0.42684	0.407827	-4.45%	0.32877	-22.98%	0.1548	✓	0.75
2026-06-01	oos	0.43886	0.426247	-2.87%	0.31114	-29.10%	0.1851	✓	0.75
2026-05-31	oos	0.450085	0.43899	-2.47%	0.305425	-32.14%	0.1916	✓	0.75
2026-05-30	oos	0.43754	0.429941	-1.74%	0.31101	-28.92%	0.1709	✓	0.75
2026-05-29	oos	0.433275	0.425543	-1.78%	0.31556	-27.17%	0.1381	✓	0.77
2026-05-28	oos	0.437855	0.429034	-2.01%	0.31744	-27.50%	0.1428	✓	0.78
2026-05-27	oos	0.435685	0.429093	-1.51%	0.322795	-25.91%	0.1214	✓	0.76
2026-05-26	oos	0.442495	0.439703	-0.63%	0.31255	-29.37%	0.1583	✓	0.77
2026-05-25	oos	0.44272	0.443534	+0.18%	0.330635	-25.32%	0.1084	✗	0.78
2026-05-24	oos	0.434325	0.436248	+0.44%	0.337635	-22.26%	0.0956	✗	0.78
2026-05-23	oos	0.44786	0.447664	-0.04%	0.34216	-23.60%	0.1301	✓	0.77
2026-05-22	oos	0.43337	0.432869	-0.12%	0.357425	-17.52%	0.0572	✓	0.76
2026-05-21	oos	0.44927	0.454703	+1.21%	0.366945	-18.32%	0.0726	✗	0.75
2026-05-20	oos	0.432055	0.44098	+2.07%	0.35415	-18.03%	0.0700	✗	0.75
2026-05-19	oos	0.426455	0.434551	+1.90%	0.356655	-16.37%	0.0485	✗	0.75
2026-05-18	oos	0.43816	0.447322	+2.09%	0.37226	-15.04%	0.0514	✗	0.75
2026-05-17	oos	0.446525	0.454621	+1.81%	0.388165	-13.07%	0.0356	✗	0.74
2026-05-16	oos	0.44364	0.454952	+2.55%	0.37332	-15.85%	0.0754	✗	0.75
2026-05-15	oos	0.428835	0.448499	+4.59%	0.371885	-13.28%	0.0473	✗	0.76
2026-05-14	oos	0.439395	0.466711	+6.22%	0.36549	-16.82%	0.0731	✗	0.75
2026-05-13	oos	0.430355	0.448281	+4.17%	0.358285	-16.75%	0.0624	✗	0.73
2026-05-12	oos	0.45982	0.477732	+3.90%	0.364465	-20.74%	0.1060	✗	0.70
2026-05-11	oos	0.48521	0.502814	+3.63%	0.390355	-19.55%	0.0622	✗	0.67
2026-05-10	oos	0.47958	0.497708	+3.78%	0.37744	-21.30%	0.0818	✗	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.46808	0.485002	+3.62%	0.39089	-16.49%	0.0502	✗	0.67
2026-05-08	oos	0.48016	0.497773	+3.67%	0.39358	-18.03%	0.0775	✗	0.67
2026-05-07	oos	0.46839	0.489362	+4.48%	0.37037	-20.93%	0.0989	✗	0.66
2026-05-06	oos	0.478935	0.513452	+7.21%	0.38946	-18.68%	0.1303	✗	0.51
2026-05-05	oos	0.45801	0.498535	+8.85%	0.40872	-10.76%	0.0813	✓	0.49
2026-05-04	oos	0.44539	0.480128	+7.80%	0.40773	-8.46%	0.0584	✓	0.48
2026-05-03	oos	0.44664	0.477617	+6.94%	0.42684	-4.43%	0.0352	✓	0.47
2026-05-02	oos	0.44915	0.484947	+7.97%	0.43886	-2.29%	0.0532	✓	0.47
2026-05-01	oos	0.44197	0.475038	+7.48%	0.450085	+1.84%	0.0249	✓	0.47
2026-04-30	oos	0.422945	0.443684	+4.90%	0.43754	+3.45%	0.0015	✓	0.46
2026-04-29	oos	0.44092	0.459495	+4.21%	0.433275	-1.73%	0.0440	✗	0.46
2026-04-28	oos	0.44498	0.468048	+5.18%	0.437855	-1.60%	0.0489	✓	0.48
2026-04-27	oos	0.498045	0.51483	+3.37%	0.435685	-12.52%	0.1484	✗	0.46
2026-04-26	oos	0.523205	0.538456	+2.92%	0.442495	-15.43%	0.1794	✗	0.46
2026-04-25	oos	0.5032	0.517852	+2.91%	0.44272	-12.02%	0.1544	✗	0.45
2026-04-24	oos	0.5207	0.53034	+1.85%	0.434325	-16.59%	0.1969	✗	0.45
2026-04-23	oos	0.501215	0.515248	+2.80%	0.44786	-10.65%	0.1305	✗	0.46
2026-04-22	oos	0.51946	0.52753	+1.55%	0.43337	-16.57%	0.1801	✗	0.46
2026-04-21	oos	0.517215	0.5209	+0.71%	0.44927	-13.14%	0.1551	✗	0.46
2026-04-20	oos	0.539015	0.535876	-0.58%	0.432055	-19.84%	0.2251	✓	0.47
2026-04-19	oos	0.50787	0.504973	-0.57%	0.426455	-16.03%	0.1865	✓	0.45
2026-04-18	oos	0.5061	0.511247	+1.02%	0.43816	-13.42%	0.1614	✗	0.45
2026-04-17	oos	0.49453	0.506063	+2.33%	0.446525	-9.71%	0.1270	✗	0.46
2026-04-16	oos	0.488175	0.49193	+0.77%	0.44364	-9.12%	0.1211	✗	0.46
2026-04-15	oos	0.463105	0.470271	+1.55%	0.428835	-7.40%	0.1174	✗	0.46
2026-04-14	oos	0.465785	0.468909	+0.67%	0.439395	-5.67%	0.1062	✗	0.46
2026-04-13	oos	0.45387	0.457864	+0.88%	0.430355	-5.18%	0.0915	✗	0.47
2026-04-12	oos	0.44509	0.437066	-1.80%	0.45982	+3.31%	0.0121	✓	0.49
2026-04-11	oos	0.463955	0.463538	-0.09%	0.48521	+4.58%	0.0080	✓	0.48
2026-04-10	oos	0.44562	0.446413	+0.18%	0.47958	+7.62%	0.0151	✓	0.48
2026-04-09	oos	0.44253	0.441319	-0.27%	0.46808	+5.77%	0.0035	✗	0.48
2026-04-08	oos	0.43897	0.437756	-0.28%	0.48016	+9.38%	0.0352	✗	0.48
2026-04-07	oos	0.466105	0.463533	-0.55%	0.46839	+0.49%	0.0397	✓	0.47
2026-04-06	oos	0.443505	0.436434	-1.59%	0.478935	+7.99%	0.0159	✓	0.46
2026-04-05	oos	0.445685	0.437149	-1.92%	0.45801	+2.77%	0.0264	✓	0.46
2026-04-04	oos	0.44529	0.433626	-2.62%	0.44539	+0.02%	0.0530	✓	0.47
2026-04-03	oos	0.44003	0.429788	-2.33%	0.44664	+1.50%	0.0369	✓	0.47
2026-04-02	oos	0.442015	0.432163	-2.23%	0.44915	+1.61%	0.0379	✓	0.47
2026-04-01	oos	0.453505	0.444281	-2.03%	0.44197	-2.54%	0.0701	✓	0.47
2026-03-31	oos	0.44728	0.438448	-1.97%	0.422945	-5.44%	0.0896	✓	0.48
2026-03-30	oos	0.44441	0.434248	-2.29%	0.44092	-0.79%	0.0455	✓	0.48
2026-03-29	oos	0.421195	0.414282	-1.64%	0.44498	+5.65%	0.0031	✓	0.47
2026-03-28	oos	0.446195	0.43734	-1.98%	0.498045	+11.62%	0.0580	✗	0.47
2026-03-27	oos	0.4479	0.439946	-1.78%	0.523205	+16.81%	0.0938	✗	0.47
2026-03-26	oos	0.465255	0.460778	-0.96%	0.5032	+8.16%	0.0321	✗	0.46
2026-03-25	oos	0.488465	0.486574	-0.39%	0.5207	+6.60%	0.0305	✗	0.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.47489	0.471977	-0.61%	0.501215	+5.54%	0.0136	✗	0.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.47997	0.478202	-0.37%	0.51946	+8.23%	0.0388	✗	0.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.46207	0.457199	-1.05%	0.517215	+11.93%	0.0722	✗	0.43
2026-03-21	oos	0.46682	0.464152	-0.57%	0.539015	+15.47%	0.1078	✗	0.43
2026-03-20	oos	0.47651	0.478213	+0.36%	0.50787	+6.58%	0.0403	✓	0.43
2026-03-19	oos	0.48062	0.482822	+0.46%	0.5061	+5.30%	0.0125	✓	0.43
2026-03-18	oos	0.49359	0.498054	+0.90%	0.49453	+0.19%	0.0421	✗	0.44
2026-03-17	oos	0.4861	0.498415	+2.53%	0.488175	+0.43%	0.0283	✗	0.46
2026-03-16	oos	0.495095	0.507833	+2.57%	0.463105	-6.46%	0.0919	✗	0.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.497655	0.503268	+1.13%	0.465785	-6.40%	0.0858	✗	0.46
2026-03-14	oos	0.51064	0.5105	-0.03%	0.45387	-11.12%	0.1382	✓	0.47
2026-03-13	oos	0.51808	0.515561	-0.49%	0.44509	-14.09%	0.1457	✓	0.48
2026-03-12	oos	0.523065	0.518707	-0.83%	0.463955	-11.30%	0.1286	✓	0.48
2026-03-11	oos	0.522525	0.519176	-0.64%	0.44562	-14.72%	0.1715	✓	0.48
2026-03-10	oos	0.51612	0.512888	-0.63%	0.44253	-14.26%	0.1600	✓	0.48
2026-03-09	oos	0.52864	0.521998	-1.26%	0.43897	-16.96%	0.1919	✓	0.49
2026-03-08	oos	0.512065	0.503282	-1.72%	0.466105	-8.98%	0.1180	✓	0.48
2026-03-07	oos	0.526575	0.517006	-1.82%	0.443505	-15.78%	0.1645	✓	0.48
2026-03-06	oos	0.52998	0.520335	-1.82%	0.445685	-15.91%	0.1610	✓	0.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.541115	0.533948	-1.32%	0.44529	-17.71%	0.1570	✓	0.47
2026-03-04	oos	0.54116	0.538421	-0.51%	0.44003	-18.69%	0.1621	✓	0.48
2026-03-03	oos	0.53298	0.523731	-1.74%	0.442015	-17.07%	0.1591	✓	0.50
2026-03-02	oos	0.53544	0.52748	-1.49%	0.453505	-15.30%	0.1459	✓	0.50
2026-03-01	oos	0.519425	0.508497	-2.10%	0.44728	-13.89%	0.1466	✓	0.50
2026-02-28	oos	0.546595	0.532306	-2.61%	0.44441	-18.69%	0.1787	✓	0.51
2026-02-27	oos	0.528985	0.515195	-2.61%	0.421195	-20.38%	0.2022	✓	0.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.5266	0.515985	-2.02%	0.446195	-15.27%	0.1364	✓	0.51
2026-02-25	oos	0.53361	0.52286	-2.01%	0.4479	-16.06%	0.1424	✓	0.51
2026-02-24	oos	0.50804	0.496014	-2.37%	0.465255	-8.42%	0.0986	✓	0.49
2026-02-23	oos	0.506425	0.495509	-2.16%	0.488465	-3.55%	0.0635	✓	0.50
2026-02-22	oos	0.51858	0.509736	-1.71%	0.47489	-8.42%	0.0920	✓	0.50
2026-02-21	oos	0.5348	0.524992	-1.83%	0.47997	-10.25%	0.1109	✓	0.50
2026-02-20	oos	0.53781	0.527574	-1.90%	0.46207	-14.08%	0.1315	✓	0.50
2026-02-19	oos	0.54084	0.528875	-2.21%	0.46682	-13.69%	0.1391	✓	0.50
2026-02-18	oos	0.54083	0.528613	-2.26%	0.47651	-11.89%	0.1343	✓	0.51
2026-02-17	oos	0.551315	0.538339	-2.35%	0.48062	-12.82%	0.1338	✓	0.57
2026-02-16	oos	0.55834	0.545227	-2.35%	0.49359	-11.60%	0.1192	✓	0.58
2026-02-15	oos	0.55709	0.543975	-2.35%	0.4861	-12.74%	0.1528	✓	0.56
2026-02-14	oos	0.560785	0.547541	-2.36%	0.495095	-11.71%	0.1352	✓	0.49
2026-02-13	oos	0.57799	0.561421	-2.87%	0.497655	-13.90%	0.1494	✓	0.51
2026-02-12	oos	0.571605	0.554348	-3.02%	0.51064	-10.67%	0.1202	✓	0.52
2026-02-11	oos	0.558645	0.54596	-2.27%	0.51808	-7.26%	0.0865	✓	0.60
2026-02-10	oos	0.56027	0.550749	-1.70%	0.523065	-6.64%	0.0674	✓	0.64
2026-02-09	oos	0.57625	0.565701	-1.83%	0.522525	-9.32%	0.0804	✓	0.65
2026-02-08	oos	0.577925	0.567338	-1.83%	0.51612	-10.69%	0.0920	✓	0.58
2026-02-07	oos	0.59266	0.580539	-2.05%	0.52864	-10.80%	0.0864	✓	0.62
2026-02-06	oos	0.59118	0.579581	-1.96%	0.512065	-13.38%	0.0837	✓	0.60
2026-02-05	oos	0.5915	0.583646	-1.33%	0.526575	-10.98%	0.1519	✓	0.71
2026-02-04	oos	0.63777	0.616829	-3.28%	0.52998	-16.90%	0.0923	✓	0.86
2026-02-03	oos	0.63172	0.612098	-3.11%	0.541115	-14.34%	0.0633	✓	0.92
2026-02-02	oos	0.636005	0.617884	-2.85%	0.54116	-14.91%	0.0539	✓	0.99
2026-02-01	oos	0.6208	0.603934	-2.72%	0.53298	-14.15%	0.0567	✓	0.58
2026-01-31	oos	0.63032	0.614281	-2.54%	0.53544	-15.05%	0.0542	✓	0.62
2026-01-30	oos	0.648105	0.635703	-1.91%	0.519425	-19.85%	0.0445	✓	0.64
2026-01-29	oos	0.66526	0.650941	-2.15%	0.546595	-17.84%	0.0243	✓	0.65
2026-01-28	oos	0.701995	0.691967	-1.43%	0.528985	-24.65%	0.0834	✓	0.61
2026-01-27	oos	0.715065	0.702406	-1.77%	0.5266	-26.36%	0.1149	✓	0.62
2026-01-26	oos	0.703825	0.689455	-2.04%	0.53361	-24.18%	0.0961	✓	0.61
2026-01-25	oos	0.69043	0.673081	-2.51%	0.50804	-26.42%	0.0962	✓	0.62
2026-01-24	oos	0.699055	0.683004	-2.30%	0.506425	-27.56%	0.1008	✓	0.62
2026-01-23	oos	0.697175	0.681341	-2.27%	0.51858	-25.62%	0.0982	✓	0.62
2026-01-22	oos	0.7026	0.684695	-2.55%	0.5348	-23.88%	0.0761	✓	0.62
2026-01-21	oos	0.71167	0.69147	-2.84%	0.53781	-24.43%	0.0795	✓	0.63
2026-01-20	oos	0.70452	0.682136	-3.18%	0.54084	-23.23%	0.0567	✓	0.63
2026-01-19	oos	0.718195	0.700981	-2.40%	0.54083	-24.70%	0.0443	✓	0.65
2026-01-18	oos	0.741195	0.726131	-2.03%	0.551315	-25.62%	0.0618	✓	0.65
2026-01-17	oos	0.77356	0.762086	-1.48%	0.55834	-27.82%	0.1040	✓	0.64
2026-01-16	oos	0.745525	0.736484	-1.21%	0.55709	-25.28%	0.0679	✓	0.64
2026-01-15	oos	0.732105	0.723341	-1.20%	0.560785	-23.40%	0.0511	✓	0.65
2026-01-14	oos	0.764515	0.759445	-0.66%	0.57799	-24.40%	0.0499	✓	0.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.745725	0.732417	-1.78%	0.571605	-23.35%	0.0099	✓	0.65
2026-01-12	oos	0.70686	0.683228	-3.34%	0.558645	-20.97%	0.0078	✓	0.63
2026-01-11	oos	0.71005	0.685619	-3.44%	0.56027	-21.09%	0.0255	✓	0.63
2026-01-10	oos	0.725385	0.69948	-3.57%	0.57625	-20.56%	0.0291	✓	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.71941	0.694668	-3.44%	0.577925	-19.67%	0.0031	✓	0.74
2026-01-08	oos	0.72419	0.701754	-3.10%	0.59266	-18.16%	0.0299	✓	0.73
2026-01-07	oos	0.7353	0.71185	-3.19%	0.59118	-19.60%	0.1019	✗	1.12
2026-01-06	oos	0.76625	0.747957	-2.39%	0.5915	-22.81%	0.2094	✗	1.11
2026-01-05	oos	0.77096	0.751051	-2.58%	0.63777	-17.28%	0.1135	✗	1.10
2026-01-04	oos	0.75372	0.726311	-3.64%	0.63172	-16.19%	0.0725	✗	1.12
2026-01-03	oos	0.71924	0.691195	-3.90%	0.636005	-11.57%	0.0737	✗	1.11
2026-01-02	oos	0.72234	0.69192	-4.21%	0.6208	-14.06%	0.0656	✗	1.11
2026-01-01	oos	0.72369	0.687842	-4.95%	0.63032	-12.90%	0.0474	✓	1.12
2025-12-31	oos	0.68405	0.649487	-5.05%	0.648105	-5.25%	0.0410	✓	1.09
2025-12-30	oos	0.698395	0.667862	-4.37%	0.66526	-4.74%	0.0449	✗	1.09
2025-12-29	oos	0.70299	0.670189	-4.67%	0.701995	-0.14%	0.0204	✓	1.12
2025-12-28	oos	0.709505	0.67574	-4.76%	0.715065	+0.78%	0.0409	✓	1.12
2025-12-27	oos	0.717275	0.68362	-4.69%	0.703825	-1.88%	0.0236	✓	1.10
2025-12-26	oos	0.70967	0.67662	-4.66%	0.69043	-2.71%	0.0294	✓	1.09
2025-12-25	oos	0.6978	0.666135	-4.54%	0.699055	+0.18%	0.0246	✓	1.09
2025-12-24	oos	0.707015	0.675327	-4.48%	0.697175	-1.39%	0.0088	✓	1.09
2025-12-23	oos	0.704845	0.673551	-4.44%	0.7026	-0.32%	0.0170	✓	1.10
2025-12-22	oos	0.70533	0.675939	-4.17%	0.71167	+0.90%	0.0415	✓	1.10
2025-12-21	oos	0.69846	0.670359	-4.02%	0.70452	+0.87%	0.0538	✗	1.10
2025-12-20	oos	0.716845	0.684261	-4.55%	0.718195	+0.19%	0.0041	✓	1.12
2025-12-19	oos	0.69621	0.664696	-4.53%	0.741195	+6.46%	0.0408	✓	1.12
2025-12-18	oos	0.666735	0.634212	-4.88%	0.77356	+16.02%	0.0797	✗	1.11
2025-12-17	oos	0.687405	0.652916	-5.02%	0.745525	+8.45%	0.0185	✓	1.11
2025-12-16	oos	0.69065	0.658973	-4.59%	0.732105	+6.00%	0.0111	✓	1.12
2025-12-15	oos	0.702555	0.666583	-5.12%	0.764515	+8.82%	0.0068	✓	1.13
2025-12-14	oos	0.710215	0.676586	-4.74%	0.745725	+5.00%	0.0081	✓	1.13
2025-12-13	oos	0.74532	0.711029	-4.60%	0.70686	-5.16%	0.0174	✓	1.12
2025-12-12	oos	0.7369	0.703572	-4.52%	0.71005	-3.64%	0.0018	✓	1.12
2025-12-11	oos	0.75033	0.72023	-4.01%	0.725385	-3.32%	0.0339	✓	1.13
2025-12-10	oos	0.7453	0.71464	-4.11%	0.71941	-3.47%	0.0255	✓	1.13
2025-12-09	oos	0.77974	0.745114	-4.44%	0.72419	-7.12%	0.0081	✓	1.12
2025-12-08	oos	0.78526	0.74576	-5.03%	0.7353	-6.36%	0.0220	✓	1.14
2025-12-07	oos	0.78478	0.744921	-5.08%	0.76625	-2.36%	0.0128	✓	1.14
2025-12-06	oos	0.8023	0.756928	-5.66%	0.77096	-3.91%	0.0394	✓	1.15
2025-12-05	oos	0.79229	0.748872	-5.48%	0.75372	-4.87%	0.0210	✓	1.15
2025-12-04	oos	0.82378	0.778946	-5.44%	0.71924	-12.69%	0.0609	✓	1.15
2025-12-03	oos	0.846955	0.801395	-5.38%	0.72234	-14.71%	0.0601	✓	1.15
2025-12-02	oos	0.836055	0.788825	-5.65%	0.72369	-13.44%	0.0530	✓	1.16
2025-12-01	oos	0.806305	0.758957	-5.87%	0.68405	-15.16%	0.1209	✓	1.21
2025-11-30	oos	0.856215	0.804622	-6.03%	0.698395	-18.43%	0.1151	✓	1.20
2025-11-29	oos	0.865275	0.8129	-6.05%	0.70299	-18.76%	0.0952	✓	1.20
2025-11-28	oos	0.904475	0.842	-6.91%	0.709505	-21.56%	0.1305	✓	1.20
2025-11-27	oos	0.89524	0.837101	-6.49%	0.717275	-19.88%	0.1073	✓	1.20
2025-11-26	oos	0.889755	0.830049	-6.71%	0.70967	-20.24%	0.1132	✓	1.22
2025-11-25	oos	0.86056	0.804607	-6.50%	0.6978	-18.91%	0.1403	✓	1.23
2025-11-24	oos	0.877655	0.816896	-6.92%	0.707015	-19.44%	0.1353	✓	1.22
2025-11-23	oos	0.8679	0.807326	-6.98%	0.704845	-18.79%	0.1447	✓	1.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.86898	0.813865	-6.34%	0.70533	-18.83%	0.2020	✓	1.32
2025-11-21	oos	0.852085	0.803024	-5.76%	0.69846	-18.03%	0.1937	✓	1.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.913385	0.854481	-6.45%	0.716845	-21.52%	0.2022	✓	1.30
2025-11-19	oos	1.0311	0.950244	-7.84%	0.69621	-32.48%	0.2658	✓	1.21
2025-11-18	oos	1.0746	0.991932	-7.69%	0.666735	-37.95%	0.2971	✓	1.20
2025-11-17	oos	1.2052	1.0862	-9.87%	0.687405	-42.96%	0.3752	✓	1.25
2025-11-16	oos	0.923325	0.870326	-5.74%	0.69065	-25.20%	0.1338	✓	1.40
2025-11-15	oos	1.0101	0.941899	-6.75%	0.702555	-30.44%	0.1550	✓	1.38
2025-11-14	oos	0.95881	0.900718	-6.06%	0.710215	-25.93%	0.1432	✓	1.36
2025-11-13	oos	1.115	1.0327	-7.39%	0.74532	-33.16%	0.2038	✓	1.24
2025-11-12	oos	1.3493	1.2207	-9.52%	0.7369	-45.38%	0.3688	✓	1.15
2025-11-11	oos	1.578	1.3862	-12.16%	0.75033	-52.45%	0.4931	✓	1.13
2025-11-10	oos	1.273	1.1537	-9.37%	0.7453	-41.45%	0.2548	✓	1.29
2025-11-09	oos	1.1109	1.0251	-7.73%	0.77974	-29.81%	0.1206	✓	1.26
2025-11-08	oos	1.1578	1.0488	-9.41%	0.78526	-32.18%	0.1311	✓	1.31
2025-11-07	oos	0.93374	0.873744	-6.43%	0.78478	-15.95%	0.0703	✗	1.33
2025-11-06	oos	0.8732	0.821585	-5.91%	0.8023	-8.12%	0.1417	✗	1.31
2025-11-05	oos	0.94788	0.881487	-7.00%	0.79229	-16.41%	0.0839	✗	1.27
2025-11-04	oos	0.860875	0.802205	-6.82%	0.82378	-4.31%	0.1458	✗	1.23
2025-11-03	oos	0.61213	0.60683	-0.87%	0.846955	+38.36%	0.5737	✗	1.83
2025-11-02	oos	0.66405	0.656418	-1.15%	0.836055	+25.90%	0.5897	✗	1.82
2025-11-01	oos	0.674925	0.664788	-1.50%	0.806305	+19.47%	0.6376	✗	1.83
2025-10-31	oos	0.646735	0.64412	-0.40%	0.856215	+32.39%	0.6366	✗	1.83
2025-10-30	oos	0.65003	0.645918	-0.63%	0.865275	+33.11%	0.6159	✗	1.84
2025-10-29	oos	0.673295	0.66524	-1.20%	0.904475	+34.34%	0.6547	✗	1.82
2025-10-28	oos	0.675675	0.675586	-0.01%	0.89524	+32.50%	0.6804	✗	1.88
2025-10-27	oos	0.69324	0.693334	+0.01%	0.889755	+28.35%	0.6852	✓	1.88
2025-10-26	oos	0.707275	0.707417	+0.02%	0.86056	+21.67%	0.7053	✓	1.88
2025-10-25	oos	0.689735	0.684002	-0.83%	0.877655	+27.25%	0.6971	✗	1.90
2025-10-24	oos	0.695195	0.687182	-1.15%	0.8679	+24.84%	0.7037	✗	1.91
2025-10-23	oos	0.678315	0.670141	-1.21%	0.86898	+28.11%	0.7605	✗	1.91
2025-10-22	oos	0.66128	0.654837	-0.97%	0.852085	+28.85%	0.7133	✗	1.92
2025-10-21	oos	0.677385	0.672692	-0.69%	0.913385	+34.84%	0.7359	✗	1.91
2025-10-20	oos	0.699755	0.695837	-0.56%	1.0311	+47.35%	0.7607	✗	1.94
2025-10-19	oos	0.68723	0.684131	-0.45%	1.0746	+56.37%	0.7540	✗	1.93
2025-10-18	oos	0.679925	0.677288	-0.39%	1.2052	+77.25%	0.8704	✗	1.94
2025-10-17	oos	0.666935	0.665195	-0.26%	0.923325	+38.44%	0.5640	✗	1.93
2025-10-16	oos	0.701185	0.698134	-0.44%	1.0101	+44.05%	0.6079	✗	1.92
2025-10-15	oos	0.719505	0.721631	+0.30%	0.95881	+33.26%	0.5919	✓	1.93
2025-10-14	oos	0.738545	0.745218	+0.90%	1.115	+50.98%	0.6491	✓	1.94
2025-10-13	oos	0.753725	0.763592	+1.31%	1.3493	+79.01%	0.8170	✓	1.97
2025-10-12	oos	0.705175	0.717738	+1.78%	1.578	+123.78%	1.0010	✓	1.93
2025-10-11	oos	0.631735	0.637619	+0.93%	1.273	+101.51%	0.7737	✓	1.86
2025-10-10	oos	0.62339	0.631884	+1.36%	1.1109	+78.21%	0.7091	✓	1.90
2025-10-09	oos	0.82541	0.832207	+0.82%	1.1578	+40.27%	0.5765	✓	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.839735	0.849773	+1.20%	0.93374	+11.19%	0.3423	✓	1.40
2025-10-07	oos	0.837125	0.837698	+0.07%	0.8732	+4.31%	0.2887	✓	1.37
2025-10-06	oos	0.874475	0.879719	+0.60%	0.94788	+8.39%	0.3245	✓	1.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.847375	0.853365	+0.71%	0.860875	+1.59%	0.2770	✓	1.36
2025-10-04	oos	0.853565	0.858716	+0.60%	0.61213	-28.29%	0.1472	✗	1.38
2025-10-03	oos	0.85415	0.858434	+0.50%	0.66405	-22.26%	0.1171	✗	1.38
2025-10-02	oos	0.853765	0.854178	+0.05%	0.674925	-20.95%	0.1082	✗	1.39
2025-10-01	oos	0.845265	0.842299	-0.35%	0.646735	-23.49%	0.1514	✓	1.41
2025-09-30	oos	0.79235	0.786178	-0.78%	0.65003	-17.96%	0.1183	✓	1.39
2025-09-29	oos	0.806935	0.799783	-0.89%	0.673295	-16.56%	0.1172	✓	1.42
2025-09-28	oos	0.81925	0.809087	-1.24%	0.675675	-17.53%	0.1895	✓	1.47
2025-09-27	oos	0.807575	0.794305	-1.64%	0.69324	-14.16%	0.1953	✓	1.50
2025-09-26	oos	0.807705	0.794915	-1.58%	0.707275	-12.43%	0.1822	✓	1.51
2025-09-25	oos	0.77902	0.767779	-1.44%	0.689735	-11.46%	0.1430	✓	1.50
2025-09-24	oos	0.815455	0.805735	-1.19%	0.695195	-14.75%	0.1161	✓	1.53
2025-09-23	oos	0.798885	0.789557	-1.17%	0.678315	-15.09%	0.1257	✓	1.53
2025-09-22	oos	0.80539	0.795502	-1.23%	0.66128	-17.89%	0.1139	✓	1.52
2025-09-21	oos	0.851065	0.838223	-1.51%	0.677385	-20.41%	0.1207	✓	1.49
2025-09-20	oos	0.860485	0.845049	-1.79%	0.699755	-18.68%	0.1189	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.856565	0.8416	-1.75%	0.68723	-19.77%	0.1076	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.892515	0.875076	-1.95%	0.679925	-23.82%	0.1173	✓	1.53

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.