VTHO

VeThor · native · beta_5y

token id: #321
symbol: VTHO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-13
predictions: 3,372

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

70.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1377

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0095

actual -0.0250

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.000680015	0.000629194	-7.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-21	oos	0.000669235	0.000613953	-8.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-20	oos	0.000643555	0.00059068	-8.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-19	oos	0.00062431	0.00057285	-8.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-18	oos	0.00063368	0.00058265	-8.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.00065124	0.000597908	-8.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-16	oos	0.00063382	0.000583996	-7.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.00063741	0.000588086	-7.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-14	oos	0.00064007	0.000587472	-8.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.000689545	0.000630401	-8.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.39
2026-10-12	oos	0.00069641	0.000632124	-9.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.000739555	0.00066956	-9.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2026-10-10	oos	0.00070241	0.000637681	-9.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-09	oos	0.00065773	0.000599821	-8.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-08	oos	0.000671515	0.000608822	-9.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-07	oos	0.000688965	0.000621498	-9.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-06	oos	0.00073003	0.000654044	-10.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-05	oos	0.000666415	0.000599772	-10.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-04	oos	0.00065977	0.000592286	-10.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-03	oos	0.00065726	0.000587591	-10.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.0006719	0.000598975	-10.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-01	oos	0.00067236	0.000599744	-10.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-09-30	oos	0.000684145	0.000608285	-11.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-09-29	oos	0.00069047	0.000614668	-10.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.000709025	0.000632408	-10.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-09-27	oos	0.00075311	0.000673886	-10.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-09-26	oos	0.000795955	0.000716472	-9.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-09-25	oos	0.000798705	0.000722447	-9.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.00075238	0.000687203	-8.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-09-23	oos	0.00071115	0.000654143	-8.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.00070052	0.000651599	-6.98%	0.000680015	-2.93%	0.0517	✓	0.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.000695975	0.000651619	-6.37%	0.000669235	-3.84%	0.0453	✓	0.40
2026-09-20	oos	0.00066688	0.000620737	-6.92%	0.000643555	-3.50%	0.0273	✓	0.41
2026-09-19	oos	0.000711465	0.000659914	-7.25%	0.00062431	-12.25%	0.0584	✓	0.40
2026-09-18	oos	0.00071238	0.000661593	-7.13%	0.00063368	-11.05%	0.0489	✓	0.41
2026-09-17	oos	0.00067768	0.000628703	-7.23%	0.00065124	-3.90%	0.0109	✓	0.38
2026-09-16	oos	0.000689695	0.000640234	-7.17%	0.00063382	-8.10%	0.0358	✓	0.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.00074268	0.000681846	-8.19%	0.00063741	-14.17%	0.1022	✓	0.42
2026-09-14	oos	0.00063838	0.000603858	-5.41%	0.00064007	+0.26%	0.0329	✓	0.60
2026-09-13	oos	0.00078042	0.000708603	-9.20%	0.000689545	-11.64%	0.0831	✓	0.71
2026-09-12	oos	0.000666995	0.000618006	-7.34%	0.00069641	+4.41%	0.0774	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.00058528	0.00055423	-5.31%	0.000739555	+26.36%	0.2283	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.000582645	0.000545773	-6.33%	0.00070241	+20.56%	0.1922	✗	0.75
2026-09-09	oos	0.000433455	0.000442153	+2.01%	0.00065773	+51.74%	0.3445	✓	0.99
2026-09-08	oos	0.00045428	0.000458186	+0.86%	0.000671515	+47.82%	0.3421	✓	0.99
2026-09-07	oos	0.00041766	0.000431626	+3.34%	0.000688965	+64.96%	0.4148	✓	1.03
2026-09-06	oos	0.00042541	0.000446303	+4.91%	0.00073003	+71.61%	0.4282	✓	1.02
2026-09-05	oos	0.00041448	0.000438828	+5.87%	0.000666415	+60.78%	0.3451	✓	1.02
2026-09-04	oos	0.00040222	0.000431079	+7.18%	0.00065977	+64.03%	0.3443	✓	0.99
2026-09-03	oos	0.00040285	0.000440294	+9.29%	0.00065726	+63.15%	0.3586	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.000382395	0.000410842	+7.44%	0.0006719	+75.71%	0.3981	✓	1.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.00038735	0.000418406	+8.02%	0.00067236	+73.58%	0.3769	✓	1.06
2026-08-31	oos	0.000402	0.000436507	+8.58%	0.000684145	+70.19%	0.3890	✓	0.98
2026-08-30	oos	0.000395	0.000433063	+9.64%	0.00069047	+74.80%	0.3914	✓	1.01
2026-08-29	oos	0.0004105	0.000447097	+8.92%	0.000709025	+72.72%	0.3956	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.0003975	0.00043453	+9.32%	0.00075311	+89.46%	0.4669	✓	1.02
2026-08-27	oos	0.000415	0.0004567	+10.05%	0.000795955	+91.80%	0.5037	✓	1.03
2026-08-26	oos	0.000403	0.000437668	+8.60%	0.000798705	+98.19%	0.5379	✓	1.02
2026-08-25	oos	0.0003725	0.000412449	+10.72%	0.00075238	+101.98%	0.5280	✓	1.02
2026-08-24	oos	0.0003775	0.000414809	+9.88%	0.00071115	+88.38%	0.4722	✓	1.01
2026-08-23	oos	0.000373	0.000404236	+8.37%	0.00070052	+87.81%	0.4455	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.000368	0.000396353	+7.70%	0.000695975	+89.12%	0.4454	✓	1.01
2026-08-21	oos	0.000377	0.000404858	+7.39%	0.00066688	+76.89%	0.4634	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.000353	0.000366187	+3.74%	0.000711465	+101.55%	0.5564	✓	1.01
2026-08-19	oos	0.00033	0.000335632	+1.71%	0.00071238	+115.87%	0.6000	✓	0.99
2026-08-18	oos	0.0003095	0.000307479	-0.65%	0.00067768	+118.96%	0.6259	✗	0.99
2026-08-17	oos	0.0003135	0.000310312	-1.02%	0.000689695	+120.00%	0.6333	✗	0.99
2026-08-16	oos	0.0003135	0.000308547	-1.58%	0.00074268	+136.90%	0.6907	✗	1.02
2026-08-15	oos	0.0003195	0.000313752	-1.80%	0.00063838	+99.81%	0.4916	✗	1.01
2026-08-14	oos	0.000316	0.000311046	-1.57%	0.00078042	+146.97%	0.7182	✗	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	0.000323	0.000317042	-1.84%	0.000666995	+106.50%	0.5431	✗	1.02
2026-08-12	oos	0.0003205	0.000314259	-1.95%	0.00058528	+82.61%	0.4172	✗	1.04
2026-08-11	oos	0.0003265	0.000319391	-2.18%	0.000582645	+78.45%	0.4121	✗	1.02
2026-08-10	oos	0.000336	0.00032782	-2.43%	0.000433455	+29.00%	0.0735	✗	1.01
2026-08-09	oos	0.0003425	0.000333866	-2.52%	0.00045428	+32.64%	0.1128	✗	1.03
2026-08-08	oos	0.000342	0.000333253	-2.56%	0.00041766	+22.12%	0.0237	✓	1.02
2026-08-07	oos	0.0003325	0.000324101	-2.53%	0.00042541	+27.94%	0.0508	✗	1.04
2026-08-06	oos	0.0003325	0.000323623	-2.67%	0.00041448	+24.66%	0.0229	✓	1.04
2026-08-05	oos	0.0003305	0.000321649	-2.68%	0.00040222	+21.70%	0.0057	✓	1.04
2026-08-04	oos	0.000329	0.000319595	-2.86%	0.00040285	+22.45%	0.0140	✓	1.03
2026-08-03	oos	0.00033	0.000319543	-3.17%	0.000382395	+15.88%	0.0259	✓	1.04
2026-08-02	oos	0.000333	0.000322864	-3.04%	0.00038735	+16.32%	0.0268	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.0003305	0.00032104	-2.86%	0.000402	+21.63%	0.0100	✓	1.05
2026-07-31	oos	0.0003335	0.000324162	-2.80%	0.000395	+18.44%	0.0242	✓	1.05
2026-07-30	oos	0.000333	0.000327233	-1.73%	0.0004105	+23.27%	0.0215	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.0003275	0.000321381	-1.87%	0.0003975	+21.37%	0.0033	✓	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.00034	0.000332598	-2.18%	0.000415	+22.06%	0.0210	✓	1.06
2026-07-27	oos	0.0003425	0.000334625	-2.30%	0.000403	+17.66%	0.0425	✓	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.000363	0.000355441	-2.08%	0.0003725	+2.62%	0.1429	✓	1.03
2026-07-25	oos	0.0003595	0.000350877	-2.40%	0.0003775	+5.01%	0.1389	✓	1.03
2026-07-24	oos	0.0003575	0.00034879	-2.44%	0.000373	+4.34%	0.1312	✓	1.03
2026-07-23	oos	0.0003615	0.000354211	-2.02%	0.000368	+1.80%	0.1363	✓	1.03
2026-07-22	oos	0.0003655	0.000361267	-1.16%	0.000377	+3.15%	0.1319	✓	1.03
2026-07-21	oos	0.0003705	0.000367039	-0.93%	0.000353	-4.72%	0.1347	✓	1.03
2026-07-20	oos	0.000367	0.000361661	-1.45%	0.00033	-10.08%	0.1532	✓	1.01
2026-07-19	oos	0.0003685	0.0003628	-1.55%	0.0003095	-16.01%	0.1589	✓	1.01
2026-07-18	oos	0.0003755	0.000369565	-1.58%	0.0003135	-16.51%	0.1595	✓	1.02
2026-07-17	oos	0.0003655	0.000360057	-1.49%	0.0003135	-14.23%	0.1216	✓	1.01
2026-07-16	oos	0.0003675	0.000361393	-1.66%	0.0003195	-13.06%	0.1111	✓	1.02
2026-07-15	oos	0.0003755	0.000371211	-1.14%	0.000316	-15.85%	0.1332	✓	1.02
2026-07-14	oos	0.000372	0.000370374	-0.44%	0.000323	-13.17%	0.1119	✓	1.03
2026-07-13	oos	0.0003645	0.000358369	-1.68%	0.0003205	-12.07%	0.1311	✓	1.06
2026-07-12	oos	0.000365	0.000360202	-1.31%	0.0003265	-10.55%	0.0947	✓	1.08
2026-07-11	oos	0.0003705	0.000365667	-1.30%	0.000336	-9.31%	0.0869	✓	1.05
2026-07-10	oos	0.0003675	0.000364174	-0.91%	0.0003425	-6.80%	0.0730	✓	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.000364	0.000359644	-1.20%	0.000342	-6.04%	0.0785	✓	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0003625	0.000358109	-1.21%	0.0003325	-8.28%	0.1178	✓	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.0003655	0.000364076	-0.39%	0.0003325	-9.03%	0.1063	✓	1.05
2026-07-06	oos	0.00038	0.000378267	-0.46%	0.0003305	-13.03%	0.1448	✓	1.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.0003735	0.000371835	-0.45%	0.000329	-11.91%	0.1300	✓	1.03
2026-07-04	oos	0.0003785	0.000375347	-0.83%	0.00033	-12.81%	0.1350	✓	1.04
2026-07-03	oos	0.000376	0.000372168	-1.02%	0.000333	-11.44%	0.1270	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.0003655	0.00036177	-1.02%	0.0003305	-9.58%	0.1112	✓	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.000361	0.000356206	-1.33%	0.0003335	-7.62%	0.1134	✓	1.02
2026-06-30	oos	0.00035	0.000345013	-1.42%	0.000333	-4.86%	0.1359	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.0003615	0.000358591	-0.80%	0.0003275	-9.41%	0.1507	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.0003595	0.000356096	-0.95%	0.00034	-5.42%	0.1168	✓	0.99
2026-06-27	oos	0.0003595	0.000357268	-0.62%	0.0003425	-4.73%	0.1027	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.000363	0.000361329	-0.46%	0.000363	+0.00%	0.0802	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.000356	0.000355402	-0.17%	0.0003595	+0.98%	0.0621	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.0003665	0.000366856	+0.10%	0.0003575	-2.46%	0.0742	✗	0.97
2026-06-23	oos	0.0003755	0.000376946	+0.39%	0.0003615	-3.73%	0.0795	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.0003905	0.000390524	+0.01%	0.0003655	-6.40%	0.0984	✗	0.98
2026-06-21	oos	0.0003855	0.000385372	-0.03%	0.0003705	-3.89%	0.0887	✓	0.97
2026-06-20	oos	0.000395	0.000394051	-0.24%	0.000367	-7.09%	0.0857	✓	0.95
2026-06-19	oos	0.000388	0.000387703	-0.08%	0.0003685	-5.03%	0.0687	✓	0.95
2026-06-18	oos	0.0003905	0.000389103	-0.36%	0.0003755	-3.84%	0.0641	✓	0.95
2026-06-17	oos	0.000406	0.00040261	-0.83%	0.0003655	-9.98%	0.0886	✓	0.95
2026-06-16	oos	0.0004075	0.000403873	-0.89%	0.0003675	-9.82%	0.0670	✓	0.96
2026-06-15	oos	0.0004125	0.000407844	-1.13%	0.0003755	-8.97%	0.0597	✓	0.96
2026-06-14	oos	0.000405	0.000400873	-1.02%	0.000372	-8.15%	0.0643	✓	0.95
2026-06-13	oos	0.0004005	0.000396861	-0.91%	0.0003645	-8.99%	0.0520	✓	0.97
2026-06-12	oos	0.0003925	0.000389483	-0.77%	0.000365	-7.01%	0.0680	✓	0.97
2026-06-11	oos	0.000398	0.000393919	-1.03%	0.0003705	-6.91%	0.0645	✓	0.96
2026-06-10	oos	0.0003835	0.000380878	-0.68%	0.0003675	-4.17%	0.0766	✓	0.96
2026-06-09	oos	0.0003925	0.000388037	-1.14%	0.000364	-7.26%	0.0867	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	0.000399	0.000393571	-1.36%	0.0003625	-9.15%	0.0696	✓	0.96
2026-06-07	oos	0.0004	0.000395291	-1.18%	0.0003655	-8.63%	0.0787	✓	0.96
2026-06-06	oos	0.000396	0.000392045	-1.00%	0.00038	-4.04%	0.0804	✓	0.97
2026-06-05	oos	0.0004	0.000395928	-1.02%	0.0003735	-6.62%	0.0981	✓	0.97
2026-06-04	oos	0.000438	0.000427869	-2.31%	0.0003785	-13.58%	0.1122	✓	0.92
2026-06-03	oos	0.00046	0.000446902	-2.85%	0.000376	-18.26%	0.1515	✓	0.89
2026-06-02	oos	0.000453	0.000442089	-2.41%	0.0003655	-19.32%	0.1140	✓	0.94
2026-06-01	oos	0.000496	0.000481507	-2.92%	0.000361	-27.22%	0.1423	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	0.0005175	0.000502035	-2.99%	0.00035	-32.37%	0.1712	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.000565	0.000540313	-4.37%	0.0003615	-36.02%	0.2449	✓	0.77
2026-05-29	oos	0.000478	0.000466007	-2.51%	0.0003595	-24.79%	0.1029	✓	0.75
2026-05-28	oos	0.0004765	0.000465031	-2.41%	0.0003595	-24.55%	0.1051	✓	0.75
2026-05-27	oos	0.000489	0.000476843	-2.49%	0.000363	-25.77%	0.1183	✓	0.72
2026-05-26	oos	0.000497	0.000485693	-2.27%	0.000356	-28.37%	0.1370	✓	0.73
2026-05-25	oos	0.0005055	0.000494727	-2.13%	0.0003665	-27.50%	0.1250	✓	0.74
2026-05-24	oos	0.000507	0.000495176	-2.33%	0.0003755	-25.94%	0.1218	✓	0.75
2026-05-23	oos	0.0005215	0.000506686	-2.84%	0.0003905	-25.12%	0.1302	✓	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.000509	0.000494097	-2.93%	0.0003855	-24.26%	0.1234	✓	0.71
2026-05-21	oos	0.0005305	0.000514343	-3.05%	0.000395	-25.54%	0.1332	✓	0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.0005185	0.000504156	-2.77%	0.000388	-25.17%	0.1232	✓	0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.0005145	0.0004996	-2.90%	0.0003905	-24.10%	0.1081	✓	0.69
2026-05-18	oos	0.000521	0.000506755	-2.73%	0.000406	-22.07%	0.0986	✓	0.69
2026-05-17	oos	0.000522	0.000508537	-2.58%	0.0004075	-21.93%	0.1062	✓	0.70
2026-05-16	oos	0.0005355	0.000521943	-2.53%	0.0004125	-22.97%	0.1214	✓	0.69
2026-05-15	oos	0.0005475	0.000534954	-2.29%	0.000405	-26.03%	0.1489	✓	0.70
2026-05-14	oos	0.000581	0.000568601	-2.13%	0.0004005	-31.07%	0.1943	✓	0.68
2026-05-13	oos	0.0005865	0.000567517	-3.24%	0.0003925	-33.08%	0.2150	✓	0.69
2026-05-12	oos	0.0006	0.00058325	-2.79%	0.000398	-33.67%	0.2267	✓	0.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.000627	0.000610127	-2.69%	0.0003835	-38.84%	0.2821	✓	0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.000621	0.000606841	-2.28%	0.0003925	-36.80%	0.2485	✓	0.65
2026-05-09	oos	0.000598	0.000584854	-2.20%	0.000399	-33.28%	0.2246	✓	0.64
2026-05-08	oos	0.000603	0.000590449	-2.08%	0.0004	-33.67%	0.2411	✓	0.63
2026-05-07	oos	0.000597	0.000587027	-1.67%	0.000396	-33.67%	0.2224	✓	0.63
2026-05-06	oos	0.0006015	0.000594813	-1.11%	0.0004	-33.50%	0.1878	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.0005865	0.000579643	-1.17%	0.000438	-25.32%	0.0743	✓	0.87
2026-05-04	oos	0.000566	0.000560947	-0.89%	0.00046	-18.73%	0.0091	✓	0.86
2026-05-03	oos	0.000567	0.0005582	-1.55%	0.000453	-20.11%	0.0699	✓	0.85
2026-05-02	oos	0.000569	0.000561547	-1.31%	0.000496	-12.83%	0.0405	✓	0.85
2026-05-01	oos	0.000563	0.000559172	-0.68%	0.0005175	-8.08%	0.0255	✓	0.85
2026-04-30	oos	0.0005615	0.000555549	-1.06%	0.000565	+0.62%	0.0461	✗	0.86
2026-04-29	oos	0.000569	0.0005613	-1.35%	0.000478	-15.99%	0.1329	✓	0.87
2026-04-28	oos	0.000576	0.000568872	-1.24%	0.0004765	-17.27%	0.1444	✓	0.87
2026-04-27	oos	0.0005795	0.000575976	-0.61%	0.000489	-15.62%	0.1285	✓	0.87
2026-04-26	oos	0.0005865	0.000586944	+0.08%	0.000497	-15.26%	0.1341	✗	0.87
2026-04-25	oos	0.0005835	0.000584082	+0.10%	0.0005055	-13.37%	0.1399	✗	0.88
2026-04-24	oos	0.0005835	0.000588715	+0.89%	0.000507	-13.11%	0.1439	✗	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.0005775	0.000590292	+2.22%	0.0005215	-9.70%	0.1053	✗	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.0005745	0.000587324	+2.23%	0.000509	-11.40%	0.1113	✗	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.0005755	0.000577983	+0.43%	0.0005305	-7.82%	0.0996	✗	0.89
2026-04-20	oos	0.0005795	0.0005825	+0.52%	0.0005185	-10.53%	0.1351	✗	0.89
2026-04-19	oos	0.000563	0.000560965	-0.36%	0.0005145	-8.61%	0.1217	✓	0.90
2026-04-18	oos	0.000583	0.000585207	+0.38%	0.000521	-10.63%	0.1304	✗	0.90
2026-04-17	oos	0.000605	0.000607918	+0.48%	0.000522	-13.72%	0.1560	✗	0.90
2026-04-16	oos	0.000593	0.000590115	-0.49%	0.0005355	-9.70%	0.1317	✓	0.90
2026-04-15	oos	0.0005735	0.000572197	-0.23%	0.0005475	-4.53%	0.0935	✓	0.90
2026-04-14	oos	0.000562	0.000561569	-0.08%	0.000581	+3.38%	0.0458	✓	0.90
2026-04-13	oos	0.000572	0.000570248	-0.31%	0.0005865	+2.53%	0.0284	✓	0.90
2026-04-12	oos	0.0005525	0.000543781	-1.58%	0.0006	+8.60%	0.0188	✓	0.91
2026-04-11	oos	0.000564	0.000560061	-0.70%	0.000627	+11.17%	0.0110	✗	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.0005665	0.000561253	-0.93%	0.000621	+9.62%	0.0070	✓	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.000561	0.000553029	-1.42%	0.000598	+6.60%	0.0279	✓	0.91
2026-04-08	oos	0.0005535	0.000545903	-1.37%	0.000603	+8.94%	0.0102	✓	0.91
2026-04-07	oos	0.0005615	0.000555645	-1.04%	0.000597	+6.32%	0.0253	✓	0.91
2026-04-06	oos	0.000542	0.000530361	-2.15%	0.0006015	+10.98%	0.0280	✓	0.92
2026-04-05	oos	0.0005425	0.000530837	-2.15%	0.0005865	+8.11%	0.0462	✓	0.92
2026-04-04	oos	0.0005435	0.000529182	-2.63%	0.000566	+4.14%	0.0914	✓	0.93
2026-04-03	oos	0.000546	0.000530401	-2.86%	0.000567	+3.85%	0.0823	✓	0.93
2026-04-02	oos	0.000544	0.00052733	-3.06%	0.000569	+4.60%	0.0750	✓	0.93
2026-04-01	oos	0.0005415	0.000527377	-2.61%	0.000563	+3.97%	0.0644	✓	0.94
2026-03-31	oos	0.000535	0.000522218	-2.39%	0.0005615	+4.95%	0.0334	✓	0.95
2026-03-30	oos	0.000527	0.000513672	-2.53%	0.000569	+7.97%	0.0179	✓	0.95
2026-03-29	oos	0.0005265	0.000513312	-2.50%	0.000576	+9.40%	0.0232	✓	0.95
2026-03-28	oos	0.000537	0.000524379	-2.35%	0.0005795	+7.91%	0.0464	✓	0.95
2026-03-27	oos	0.0005385	0.000527495	-2.04%	0.0005865	+8.91%	0.0558	✓	0.95
2026-03-26	oos	0.0005515	0.000546178	-0.96%	0.0005835	+5.80%	0.0499	✓	0.95
2026-03-25	oos	0.0005845	0.000583666	-0.14%	0.0005835	-0.17%	0.0786	✓	0.94
2026-03-24	oos	0.000599	0.000593575	-0.91%	0.0005775	-3.59%	0.1265	✓	0.95
2026-03-23	oos	0.000595	0.00059269	-0.39%	0.0005745	-3.45%	0.1246	✓	0.95
2026-03-22	oos	0.0005815	0.00057356	-1.37%	0.0005755	-1.03%	0.1107	✓	0.97
2026-03-21	oos	0.0005925	0.000588043	-0.75%	0.0005795	-2.19%	0.1075	✓	0.97
2026-03-20	oos	0.000604	0.000602942	-0.18%	0.000563	-6.79%	0.1136	✓	0.98
2026-03-19	oos	0.0005865	0.000588202	+0.29%	0.000583	-0.60%	0.0868	✗	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.000604	0.000609253	+0.87%	0.000605	+0.17%	0.0850	✗	0.99
2026-03-17	oos	0.00063	0.000639547	+1.52%	0.000593	-5.87%	0.0919	✗	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.000622	0.000635217	+2.12%	0.0005735	-7.80%	0.1015	✗	1.00
2026-03-15	oos	0.0005975	0.000607935	+1.75%	0.000562	-5.94%	0.0966	✗	0.98
2026-03-14	oos	0.0005835	0.000591097	+1.30%	0.000572	-1.97%	0.0766	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.0005885	0.00059573	+1.23%	0.0005525	-6.12%	0.0727	✗	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.000591	0.000597231	+1.05%	0.000564	-4.57%	0.0926	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.0005915	0.000595905	+0.74%	0.0005665	-4.23%	0.0891	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.0005835	0.000587787	+0.73%	0.000561	-3.86%	0.0721	✗	0.98
2026-03-09	oos	0.000575	0.000576975	+0.34%	0.0005535	-3.74%	0.0791	✗	0.99
2026-03-08	oos	0.000563	0.000562087	-0.16%	0.0005615	-0.27%	0.0875	✓	1.00
2026-03-07	oos	0.000572	0.00057402	+0.35%	0.000542	-5.24%	0.0810	✗	1.01
2026-03-06	oos	0.000579	0.000581512	+0.43%	0.0005425	-6.30%	0.0825	✗	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000587	0.000593691	+1.14%	0.0005435	-7.41%	0.0355	✗	1.02
2026-03-04	oos	0.000602	0.000609788	+1.29%	0.000546	-9.30%	0.0274	✗	1.01
2026-03-03	oos	0.000588	0.00059095	+0.50%	0.000544	-7.48%	0.0605	✗	1.05
2026-03-02	oos	0.000594	0.000596455	+0.41%	0.0005415	-8.84%	0.0857	✗	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.000597	0.000593858	-0.53%	0.000535	-10.39%	0.1437	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.000602	0.000599849	-0.36%	0.000527	-12.46%	0.1257	✓	1.08
2026-02-27	oos	0.000598	0.000594396	-0.60%	0.0005265	-11.96%	0.1229	✓	1.08
2026-02-26	oos	0.000594	0.000592952	-0.18%	0.000537	-9.60%	0.0800	✓	1.09
2026-02-25	oos	0.000609	0.000606747	-0.37%	0.0005385	-11.58%	0.0927	✓	1.09
2026-02-24	oos	0.0005795	0.000576834	-0.46%	0.0005515	-4.83%	0.1234	✓	1.11
2026-02-23	oos	0.000611	0.000603251	-1.27%	0.0005845	-4.34%	0.1381	✓	1.08
2026-02-22	oos	0.000615	0.000608706	-1.02%	0.000599	-2.60%	0.0629	✓	1.11
2026-02-21	oos	0.0005905	0.000588118	-0.40%	0.000595	+0.76%	0.0355	✓	1.12
2026-02-20	oos	0.000599	0.000594381	-0.77%	0.0005815	-2.92%	0.0196	✓	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.0005915	0.000586089	-0.91%	0.0005925	+0.17%	0.0209	✓	1.11
2026-02-18	oos	0.000598	0.00058973	-1.38%	0.000604	+1.00%	0.0427	✓	1.12
2026-02-17	oos	0.0006095	0.000601507	-1.31%	0.0005865	-3.77%	0.0642	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.000623	0.00061342	-1.54%	0.000604	-3.05%	0.0527	✓	1.09
2026-02-15	oos	0.0006145	0.000605926	-1.40%	0.00063	+2.52%	0.0399	✓	1.09
2026-02-14	oos	0.000638	0.000624266	-2.15%	0.000622	-2.51%	0.0808	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.0006215	0.000609087	-2.00%	0.0005975	-3.86%	0.0813	✓	1.09
2026-02-12	oos	0.000604	0.000591938	-2.00%	0.0005835	-3.39%	0.0948	✓	1.10
2026-02-11	oos	0.000556	0.000553071	-0.53%	0.0005885	+5.85%	0.0004	✓	1.10
2026-02-10	oos	0.0005605	0.000557112	-0.60%	0.000591	+5.44%	0.0316	✗	1.11
2026-02-09	oos	0.0005805	0.000573776	-1.16%	0.0005915	+1.89%	0.0288	✗	1.10
2026-02-08	oos	0.0005805	0.000574005	-1.12%	0.0005835	+0.52%	0.0214	✗	1.10
2026-02-07	oos	0.000605	0.000595198	-1.62%	0.000575	-4.96%	0.0214	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.000611	0.000599481	-1.89%	0.000563	-7.86%	0.0111	✓	1.11
2026-02-05	oos	0.000542	0.000547118	+0.94%	0.000572	+5.54%	0.0325	✗	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.0006525	0.000635071	-2.67%	0.000579	-11.26%	0.0134	✓	1.14
2026-02-03	oos	0.000667	0.0006494	-2.64%	0.000587	-11.99%	0.0274	✓	1.13
2026-02-02	oos	0.0006695	0.000654913	-2.18%	0.000602	-10.08%	0.0097	✓	1.19
2026-02-01	oos	0.000647	0.000633682	-2.06%	0.000588	-9.12%	0.0601	✗	1.14
2026-01-31	oos	0.000653	0.000642606	-1.59%	0.000594	-9.04%	0.0798	✗	1.19
2026-01-30	oos	0.0007045	0.000697422	-1.00%	0.000597	-15.26%	0.1380	✗	1.19
2026-01-29	oos	0.0007105	0.00070405	-0.91%	0.000602	-15.27%	0.1211	✗	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0007555	0.000751244	-0.56%	0.000598	-20.85%	0.1316	✗	1.19
2026-01-27	oos	0.000766	0.000760394	-0.73%	0.000594	-22.45%	0.0866	✗	1.20
2026-01-26	oos	0.0007715	0.000762382	-1.18%	0.000609	-21.06%	0.0875	✗	1.20
2026-01-25	oos	0.0007515	0.000740677	-1.44%	0.0005795	-22.89%	0.1143	✗	1.20
2026-01-24	oos	0.000783	0.000770207	-1.63%	0.000611	-21.97%	0.1513	✗	1.19
2026-01-23	oos	0.000777	0.000764698	-1.58%	0.000615	-20.85%	0.1218	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.000761	0.000749754	-1.48%	0.0005905	-22.40%	0.0936	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0007765	0.000762851	-1.76%	0.000599	-22.86%	0.0889	✗	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.00076	0.000746721	-1.75%	0.0005915	-22.17%	0.1004	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.0008115	0.000799153	-1.52%	0.000598	-26.31%	0.1088	✗	1.20
2026-01-18	oos	0.000831	0.00081852	-1.50%	0.0006095	-26.65%	0.0964	✗	1.19
2026-01-17	oos	0.0008725	0.000862325	-1.17%	0.000623	-28.60%	0.0533	✗	1.17
2026-01-16	oos	0.000869	0.000860059	-1.03%	0.0006145	-29.29%	0.0539	✗	1.19
2026-01-15	oos	0.000851	0.000844207	-0.80%	0.000638	-25.03%	0.0944	✗	1.19
2026-01-14	oos	0.0008665	0.000863839	-0.31%	0.0006215	-28.27%	0.0799	✗	1.19
2026-01-13	oos	0.0008615	0.000854983	-0.76%	0.000604	-29.89%	0.0905	✗	1.20
2026-01-12	oos	0.000816	0.000805904	-1.24%	0.000556	-31.86%	0.0005	✓	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0008315	0.000819572	-1.43%	0.0005605	-32.59%	0.0424	✓	1.21
2026-01-10	oos	0.0008425	0.000828184	-1.70%	0.0005805	-31.10%	0.0444	✓	1.22
2026-01-09	oos	0.0008495	0.000835704	-1.62%	0.0005805	-31.67%	0.0409	✓	1.28
2026-01-08	oos	0.000858	0.0008471	-1.27%	0.000605	-29.49%	0.0215	✗	1.31
2026-01-07	oos	0.000829	0.000822722	-0.76%	0.000611	-26.30%	0.0834	✗	1.48
2026-01-06	oos	0.000867	0.000861784	-0.60%	0.000542	-37.49%	0.1279	✗	1.48
2026-01-05	oos	0.000862	0.000856273	-0.66%	0.0006525	-24.30%	0.0975	✗	1.47
2026-01-04	oos	0.000837	0.000829241	-0.93%	0.000667	-20.31%	0.0631	✗	1.48
2026-01-03	oos	0.000803	0.000798591	-0.55%	0.0006695	-16.63%	0.0319	✗	1.47
2026-01-02	oos	0.000814	0.00080805	-0.73%	0.000647	-20.52%	0.0091	✗	1.47
2026-01-01	oos	0.000795	0.000787955	-0.89%	0.000653	-17.86%	0.0105	✓	1.47
2025-12-31	oos	0.0007505	0.000746089	-0.59%	0.0007045	-6.13%	0.0003	✓	1.44
2025-12-30	oos	0.000773	0.00076791	-0.66%	0.0007105	-8.09%	0.0129	✓	1.44
2025-12-29	oos	0.000767	0.000760966	-0.79%	0.0007555	-1.50%	0.0408	✓	1.44
2025-12-28	oos	0.000788	0.000779454	-1.08%	0.000766	-2.79%	0.0376	✓	1.44
2025-12-27	oos	0.000785	0.000776684	-1.06%	0.0007715	-1.72%	0.0138	✓	1.42
2025-12-26	oos	0.00078	0.00077213	-1.01%	0.0007515	-3.65%	0.0151	✓	1.41
2025-12-25	oos	0.0008	0.000791193	-1.10%	0.000783	-2.13%	0.0411	✓	1.42
2025-12-24	oos	0.000826	0.000816533	-1.15%	0.000777	-5.93%	0.0796	✓	1.42
2025-12-23	oos	0.000861	0.000849439	-1.34%	0.000761	-11.61%	0.1428	✓	1.43
2025-12-22	oos	0.000933	0.000914343	-2.00%	0.0007765	-16.77%	0.1762	✓	1.41
2025-12-21	oos	0.00094	0.000917893	-2.35%	0.00076	-19.15%	0.1835	✓	1.41
2025-12-20	oos	0.0008195	0.000813038	-0.79%	0.0008115	-0.98%	0.0677	✓	1.41
2025-12-19	oos	0.000822	0.000816075	-0.72%	0.000831	+1.09%	0.0676	✓	1.41
2025-12-18	oos	0.000768	0.000764215	-0.49%	0.0008725	+13.61%	0.0155	✓	1.38
2025-12-17	oos	0.000802	0.000795487	-0.81%	0.000869	+8.35%	0.0532	✓	1.38
2025-12-16	oos	0.000842	0.000833783	-0.98%	0.000851	+1.07%	0.0958	✓	1.38
2025-12-15	oos	0.000864	0.000850893	-1.52%	0.0008665	+0.29%	0.1426	✓	1.40
2025-12-14	oos	0.000922	0.000905521	-1.79%	0.0008615	-6.56%	0.1587	✓	1.38
2025-12-13	oos	0.000947	0.000932369	-1.54%	0.000816	-13.83%	0.1476	✓	1.39
2025-12-12	oos	0.000941	0.00092684	-1.50%	0.0008315	-11.64%	0.1177	✓	1.39
2025-12-11	oos	0.00094	0.000930473	-1.01%	0.0008425	-10.37%	0.0659	✓	1.41
2025-12-10	oos	0.000957	0.000943802	-1.38%	0.0008495	-11.23%	0.0817	✓	1.41
2025-12-09	oos	0.000999	0.00098077	-1.82%	0.000858	-14.11%	0.1082	✓	1.41
2025-12-08	oos	0.000949	0.000932567	-1.73%	0.000829	-12.64%	0.1273	✓	1.39
2025-12-07	oos	0.0009315	0.000917582	-1.49%	0.000867	-6.92%	0.1066	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.000945	0.000927888	-1.81%	0.000862	-8.78%	0.1437	✓	1.39
2025-12-05	oos	0.0009455	0.000930101	-1.63%	0.000837	-11.48%	0.1386	✓	1.39
2025-12-04	oos	0.0009705	0.000958118	-1.28%	0.000803	-17.26%	0.1536	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.000997	0.00098508	-1.20%	0.000814	-18.36%	0.1371	✓	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.000997	0.000984158	-1.29%	0.000795	-20.26%	0.1727	✓	1.43
2025-12-01	oos	0.000938	0.000924801	-1.41%	0.0007505	-19.99%	0.2291	✓	1.45
2025-11-30	oos	0.0009965	0.000981639	-1.49%	0.000773	-22.43%	0.2066	✓	1.46
2025-11-29	oos	0.001011	0.000996349	-1.45%	0.000767	-24.13%	0.2009	✓	1.45
2025-11-28	oos	0.001032	0.001016	-1.47%	0.000788	-23.61%	0.2054	✓	1.45
2025-11-27	oos	0.00104	0.001024	-1.55%	0.000785	-24.56%	0.2092	✓	1.45
2025-11-26	oos	0.001007	0.000993496	-1.39%	0.00078	-22.58%	0.1909	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.001012	0.00099325	-1.90%	0.0008	-20.99%	0.2138	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.001017	0.0009974	-1.93%	0.000826	-18.78%	0.1774	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.000955	0.000940203	-1.55%	0.000861	-9.84%	0.0985	✓	1.47
2025-11-22	oos	0.000959	0.000941218	-1.85%	0.000933	-2.71%	0.0766	✓	1.52
2025-11-21	oos	0.000963	0.000945315	-1.84%	0.00094	-2.39%	0.0679	✓	1.51
2025-11-20	oos	0.001002	0.000979598	-2.28%	0.0008195	-18.25%	0.2092	✓	1.50
2025-11-19	oos	0.001028	0.001008	-2.03%	0.000822	-20.08%	0.1435	✓	1.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.001043	0.001024	-1.83%	0.000768	-26.40%	0.1536	✓	1.61
2025-11-17	oos	0.001015	0.000999427	-1.58%	0.000802	-21.02%	0.1131	✓	1.62
2025-11-16	oos	0.001058	0.00104	-1.77%	0.000842	-20.45%	0.0987	✓	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	0.001091	0.00107	-1.96%	0.000864	-20.81%	0.0516	✓	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	0.00108	0.001062	-1.65%	0.000922	-14.63%	0.0297	✓	1.61
2025-11-13	oos	0.001128	0.001112	-1.39%	0.000947	-16.05%	0.0050	✓	1.68
2025-11-12	oos	0.00116	0.001144	-1.40%	0.000941	-18.88%	0.0044	✓	1.68
2025-11-11	oos	0.001171	0.001154	-1.44%	0.00094	-19.73%	0.0247	✓	1.68
2025-11-10	oos	0.001192	0.001176	-1.38%	0.000957	-19.71%	0.0313	✗	1.68
2025-11-09	oos	0.001195	0.001175	-1.64%	0.000999	-16.40%	0.0448	✗	1.70
2025-11-08	oos	0.001185	0.001161	-2.06%	0.000949	-19.92%	0.0074	✓	1.73
2025-11-07	oos	0.001216	0.001186	-2.43%	0.0009315	-23.40%	0.0162	✓	1.69
2025-11-06	oos	0.00105	0.001036	-1.34%	0.000945	-10.00%	0.1132	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.001031	0.001023	-0.75%	0.0009455	-8.29%	0.1712	✗	1.66
2025-11-04	oos	0.0009715	0.000968249	-0.33%	0.0009705	-0.10%	0.1630	✗	1.66
2025-11-03	oos	0.000993	0.000997137	+0.42%	0.000997	+0.40%	0.2299	✓	1.75
2025-11-02	oos	0.001089	0.001092	+0.26%	0.000997	-8.49%	0.2395	✓	1.73
2025-11-01	oos	0.001109	0.00111	+0.05%	0.000938	-15.42%	0.2551	✓	1.74
2025-10-31	oos	0.001103	0.001105	+0.17%	0.0009965	-9.66%	0.2324	✓	1.74
2025-10-30	oos	0.001123	0.001121	-0.20%	0.001011	-10.01%	0.2060	✗	1.76
2025-10-29	oos	0.001184	0.001178	-0.47%	0.001032	-12.88%	0.1982	✗	1.74
2025-10-28	oos	0.001206	0.001205	-0.08%	0.00104	-13.72%	0.2273	✗	1.76
2025-10-27	oos	0.001233	0.001228	-0.39%	0.001007	-18.29%	0.2110	✗	1.76
2025-10-26	oos	0.001275	0.001264	-0.92%	0.001012	-20.62%	0.2560	✗	1.76
2025-10-25	oos	0.001209	0.001199	-0.85%	0.001017	-15.88%	0.2509	✗	1.77
2025-10-24	oos	0.001216	0.001204	-1.06%	0.000955	-21.50%	0.2039	✗	1.77
2025-10-23	oos	0.001211	0.001196	-1.25%	0.000959	-20.81%	0.2448	✗	1.77
2025-10-22	oos	0.001181	0.001169	-1.01%	0.000963	-18.46%	0.2228	✗	1.77
2025-10-21	oos	0.00123	0.001212	-1.47%	0.001002	-18.50%	0.2087	✗	1.77
2025-10-20	oos	0.001249	0.001228	-1.69%	0.001028	-17.65%	0.1648	✗	1.80
2025-10-19	oos	0.001254	0.00123	-1.95%	0.001043	-16.79%	0.1144	✗	1.78
2025-10-18	oos	0.001188	0.001169	-1.56%	0.001015	-14.52%	0.1264	✗	1.76
2025-10-17	oos	0.001172	0.001156	-1.36%	0.001058	-9.68%	0.1267	✗	1.75
2025-10-16	oos	0.001205	0.001187	-1.47%	0.001091	-9.46%	0.1338	✗	1.76
2025-10-15	oos	0.001244	0.001228	-1.27%	0.00108	-13.18%	0.1519	✗	1.76
2025-10-14	oos	0.001297	0.001281	-1.20%	0.001128	-13.03%	0.0954	✗	1.76
2025-10-13	oos	0.001346	0.001335	-0.85%	0.00116	-13.82%	0.0813	✗	1.76
2025-10-12	oos	0.001277	0.001271	-0.45%	0.001171	-8.26%	0.1095	✗	1.73
2025-10-11	oos	0.001161	0.001156	-0.45%	0.001192	+2.67%	0.1048	✗	1.67
2025-10-10	oos	0.001273	0.001266	-0.54%	0.001195	-6.13%	0.0667	✗	1.63
2025-10-09	oos	0.001552	0.001555	+0.19%	0.001185	-23.65%	0.0322	✗	1.38
2025-10-08	oos	0.0016	0.00161	+0.62%	0.001216	-24.02%	0.0400	✗	1.36
2025-10-07	oos	0.001596	0.001595	-0.04%	0.00105	-34.21%	0.1715	✓	1.36
2025-10-06	oos	0.001682	0.001692	+0.60%	0.001031	-38.69%	0.2454	✗	1.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.001629	0.001645	+1.01%	0.0009715	-40.36%	0.2595	✗	1.36
2025-10-04	oos	0.001643	0.001653	+0.66%	0.000993	-39.54%	0.3201	✗	1.36
2025-10-03	oos	0.001683	0.001702	+1.16%	0.001089	-35.26%	0.3080	✗	1.37
2025-10-02	oos	0.001687	0.0017	+0.73%	0.001109	-34.28%	0.3008	✗	1.38
2025-10-01	oos	0.001652	0.001656	+0.23%	0.001103	-33.23%	0.2953	✗	1.39
2025-09-30	oos	0.001575	0.001567	-0.50%	0.001123	-28.67%	0.2604	✓	1.40
2025-09-29	oos	0.00161	0.001599	-0.67%	0.001184	-26.46%	0.2455	✓	1.43
2025-09-28	oos	0.00163	0.001605	-1.54%	0.001206	-26.01%	0.2951	✓	1.47
2025-09-27	oos	0.001605	0.001569	-2.18%	0.001233	-23.15%	0.3003	✓	1.50
2025-09-26	oos	0.001628	0.001589	-2.40%	0.001275	-21.65%	0.2850	✓	1.51
2025-09-25	oos	0.001575	0.001539	-2.29%	0.001209	-23.24%	0.2771	✓	1.50
2025-09-24	oos	0.001677	0.001639	-2.28%	0.001216	-27.48%	0.2675	✓	1.50
2025-09-23	oos	0.001676	0.001629	-2.80%	0.001211	-27.74%	0.2707	✓	1.51
2025-09-22	oos	0.00168	0.001635	-2.70%	0.001181	-29.72%	0.2558	✓	1.49
2025-09-21	oos	0.001798	0.001748	-2.81%	0.00123	-31.61%	0.2615	✓	1.45
2025-09-20	oos	0.001816	0.001765	-2.81%	0.001249	-31.22%	0.2768	✓	1.50
2025-09-19	oos	0.001817	0.001769	-2.63%	0.001254	-30.99%	0.2489	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.001881	0.001831	-2.69%	0.001188	-36.86%	0.2981	✓	1.52

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.