UNION

UNION · · beta_5y

token id: #925
symbol: UNION
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-13
predictions: 822

Track record at +1d

assessed

273

of 274 predictions shown

direction hit

62.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0496

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0057

actual -0.0100

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.0001228	0.000122852	+0.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-21	oos	0.00012275	0.000122942	+0.16%	0.0001228	+0.04%	0.0030	✗	0.80
2026-10-20	oos	0.00013755	0.000137571	+0.02%	0.00012275	-10.76%	0.1242	✗	0.79
2026-10-19	oos	0.00014485	0.000144774	-0.05%	0.00013755	-5.04%	0.0620	✓	0.81
2026-10-18	oos	0.00014775	0.000147652	-0.07%	0.00014485	-1.96%	0.0174	✓	0.86
2026-10-17	oos	0.0001601	0.00015969	-0.26%	0.00014775	-7.71%	0.0844	✓	0.87
2026-10-16	oos	0.00019345	0.000192659	-0.41%	0.0001601	-17.24%	0.1839	✓	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.00021225	0.000211254	-0.47%	0.00019345	-8.86%	0.0818	✓	0.81
2026-10-14	oos	0.0002144	0.000213339	-0.50%	0.00021225	-1.00%	0.0107	✓	0.81
2026-10-13	oos	0.00023545	0.000232842	-1.11%	0.0002144	-8.94%	0.0682	✓	0.77
2026-10-12	oos	0.00019	0.000189598	-0.21%	0.00023545	+23.92%	0.2053	✗	0.69
2026-10-11	oos	0.0002488	0.000247613	-0.48%	0.00019	-23.63%	0.2550	✓	0.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.0002485	0.000247298	-0.48%	0.0002488	+0.12%	0.0028	✓	0.35
2026-10-09	oos	0.0002502	0.000248823	-0.55%	0.0002485	-0.68%	0.0028	✓	0.35
2026-10-08	oos	0.0002485	0.00024697	-0.62%	0.0002502	+0.68%	0.0095	✗	0.34
2026-10-07	oos	0.0002536	0.000251329	-0.90%	0.0002485	-2.01%	0.0054	✓	0.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.00025615	0.000254825	-0.52%	0.0002536	-1.00%	0.0033	✓	0.30
2026-10-05	oos	0.0002497	0.000248607	-0.44%	0.00025615	+2.58%	0.0307	✗	0.35
2026-10-04	oos	0.00026125	0.000259919	-0.51%	0.0002497	-4.42%	0.0370	✓	0.36
2026-10-03	oos	0.0002568	0.000255463	-0.52%	0.00026125	+1.73%	0.0151	✗	0.35
2026-10-02	oos	0.000258	0.000256593	-0.55%	0.0002568	-0.47%	0.0002	✓	0.35
2026-10-01	oos	0.00025745	0.000256051	-0.54%	0.000258	+0.21%	0.0090	✗	0.35
2026-09-30	oos	0.0002593	0.000257857	-0.56%	0.00025745	-0.71%	0.0072	✓	0.37
2026-09-29	oos	0.00026385	0.000262341	-0.57%	0.0002593	-1.72%	0.0113	✓	0.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.00026275	0.000261248	-0.57%	0.00026385	+0.42%	0.0091	✗	0.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.0002808	0.000278643	-0.77%	0.00026275	-6.43%	0.0547	✓	0.33
2026-09-26	oos	0.00026415	0.000262491	-0.63%	0.0002808	+6.30%	0.0672	✗	0.34
2026-09-25	oos	0.00026715	0.000265335	-0.68%	0.00026415	-1.12%	0.0057	✓	0.33
2026-09-24	oos	0.0002802	0.000277158	-1.09%	0.00026715	-4.66%	0.0357	✓	0.32
2026-09-23	oos	0.000251	0.000249273	-0.69%	0.0002802	+11.63%	0.1169	✗	0.33
2026-09-22	oos	0.00025205	0.000249976	-0.82%	0.000251	-0.42%	0.0123	✗	0.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.0002467	0.000245155	-0.63%	0.00025205	+2.17%	0.0300	✗	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.0002636	0.000261004	-0.98%	0.0002467	-6.41%	0.0957	✓	0.61
2026-09-19	oos	0.0002404	0.000239376	-0.43%	0.0002636	+9.65%	0.0970	✗	0.62
2026-09-18	oos	0.0002521	0.000251368	-0.29%	0.0002404	-4.64%	0.0479	✓	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.0002492	0.000248776	-0.17%	0.0002521	+1.16%	0.0326	✓	0.80
2026-09-16	oos	0.00024635	0.000246056	-0.12%	0.0002492	+1.16%	0.0107	✗	0.75
2026-09-15	oos	0.00023975	0.000239745	-0.00%	0.00024635	+2.75%	0.0226	✗	0.62
2026-09-14	oos	0.00026425	0.000263974	-0.10%	0.00023975	-9.27%	0.0897	✓	0.19
2026-09-13	oos	0.00026755	0.000267216	-0.12%	0.00026425	-1.23%	0.0145	✓	0.19
2026-09-12	oos	0.0002721	0.00027195	-0.06%	0.00026755	-1.67%	0.0152	✓	0.18
2026-09-11	oos	0.00026975	0.000269796	+0.02%	0.0002721	+0.87%	0.0084	✓	0.15
2026-09-10	oos	0.00028005	0.000279547	-0.18%	0.00026975	-3.68%	0.0371	✓	0.16
2026-09-09	oos	0.0002891	0.000288838	-0.09%	0.00028005	-3.13%	0.0274	✓	0.15
2026-09-08	oos	0.0002783	0.000278541	+0.09%	0.0002891	+3.88%	0.0376	✓	0.18
2026-09-07	oos	0.0002835	0.000284039	+0.19%	0.0002783	-1.83%	0.0190	✗	0.18
2026-09-06	oos	0.00028735	0.000288187	+0.29%	0.0002835	-1.34%	0.0124	✗	0.25
2026-09-05	oos	0.00029265	0.000293694	+0.36%	0.00028735	-1.81%	0.0235	✗	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.00028345	0.000284354	+0.32%	0.00029265	+3.25%	0.0282	✓	0.28
2026-09-03	oos	0.0002924	0.000293853	+0.50%	0.00028345	-3.06%	0.0307	✗	0.27
2026-09-02	oos	0.00029925	0.000299092	-0.05%	0.0002924	-2.29%	0.0433	✓	0.41
2026-09-01	oos	0.0002837	0.000283539	-0.06%	0.00029925	+5.48%	0.0544	✗	0.42
2026-08-31	oos	0.00029505	0.000295075	+0.01%	0.0002837	-3.85%	0.0355	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.00030415	0.000303676	-0.16%	0.00029505	-2.99%	0.0325	✓	0.32
2026-08-29	oos	0.00030385	0.000303388	-0.15%	0.00030415	+0.10%	0.0049	✗	0.33
2026-08-28	oos	0.0002997	0.000299311	-0.13%	0.00030385	+1.38%	0.0134	✗	0.33
2026-08-27	oos	0.0003054	0.000305184	-0.07%	0.0002997	-1.87%	0.0079	✓	0.33
2026-08-26	oos	0.0002961	0.000295691	-0.14%	0.0003054	+3.14%	0.0271	✗	0.33
2026-08-25	oos	0.0002981	0.00029739	-0.24%	0.0002961	-0.67%	0.0062	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.00029095	0.000290403	-0.19%	0.0002981	+2.46%	0.0282	✗	0.36
2026-08-23	oos	0.0003022	0.000301334	-0.29%	0.00029095	-3.72%	0.0412	✓	0.38
2026-08-22	oos	0.0003231	0.000321368	-0.54%	0.0003022	-6.47%	0.0649	✓	0.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.00032075	0.000318728	-0.63%	0.0003231	+0.73%	0.0202	✗	0.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.0002986	0.000297104	-0.50%	0.00032075	+7.42%	0.0551	✗	0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.00029885	0.000296936	-0.64%	0.0002986	-0.08%	0.0106	✓	0.31
2026-08-18	oos	0.000285	0.000283561	-0.51%	0.00029885	+4.86%	0.0367	✗	0.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.00029165	0.000289936	-0.59%	0.000285	-2.28%	0.0179	✓	0.23
2026-08-16	oos	0.0002988	0.000296552	-0.75%	0.00029165	-2.39%	0.0232	✓	0.25
2026-08-15	oos	0.0003234	0.000319281	-1.27%	0.0002988	-7.61%	0.0656	✓	0.25
2026-08-14	oos	0.0002817	0.000280306	-0.49%	0.0003234	+14.80%	0.1428	✗	0.23
2026-08-13	oos	0.00031165	0.000309956	-0.54%	0.0002817	-9.61%	0.0938	✓	0.24
2026-08-12	oos	0.0003097	0.000308146	-0.50%	0.00031165	+0.63%	0.0113	✗	0.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.0003284	0.000326442	-0.60%	0.0003097	-5.69%	0.0523	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.0003302	0.000327896	-0.70%	0.0003284	-0.55%	0.0025	✓	0.16
2026-08-09	oos	0.00032805	0.000325748	-0.70%	0.0003302	+0.66%	0.0168	✗	0.22
2026-08-08	oos	0.0003274	0.000324584	-0.86%	0.00032805	+0.20%	0.0108	✗	0.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.0003154	0.000313176	-0.71%	0.0003274	+3.80%	0.0444	✗	0.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.0003193	0.000316785	-0.79%	0.0003154	-1.22%	0.0067	✓	0.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.00032445	0.000322461	-0.61%	0.0003193	-1.59%	0.0086	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.00032765	0.000325905	-0.53%	0.00032445	-0.98%	0.0066	✓	0.25
2026-08-03	oos	0.0003328	0.000330662	-0.64%	0.00032765	-1.55%	0.0114	✓	0.25
2026-08-02	oos	0.0003671	0.000363138	-1.08%	0.0003328	-9.34%	0.0871	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.0003089	0.000307553	-0.44%	0.0003671	+18.84%	0.1749	✗	0.18
2026-07-31	oos	0.0003216	0.000319938	-0.52%	0.0003089	-3.95%	0.0349	✓	0.18
2026-07-30	oos	0.00033825	0.000336506	-0.52%	0.0003216	-4.92%	0.0410	✓	0.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0003314	0.000329813	-0.48%	0.00033825	+2.07%	0.0237	✗	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.0003409	0.000339064	-0.54%	0.0003314	-2.79%	0.0230	✓	0.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.00034305	0.000341031	-0.59%	0.0003409	-0.63%	0.0007	✓	0.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0003416	0.000339792	-0.53%	0.00034305	+0.42%	0.0147	✗	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0003487	0.000346641	-0.59%	0.0003416	-2.04%	0.0163	✓	0.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0003463	0.000343811	-0.72%	0.0003487	+0.69%	0.0139	✗	0.08
2026-07-23	oos	0.00038195	0.000377835	-1.08%	0.0003463	-9.33%	0.0866	✓	0.04
2026-07-22	oos	0.0003606	0.000357192	-0.95%	0.00038195	+5.92%	0.0680	✗	0.06
2026-07-21	oos	0.000374	0.000368555	-1.46%	0.0003606	-3.58%	0.0215	✓	0.06
2026-07-20	oos	0.0003359	0.000334363	-0.46%	0.000374	+11.34%	0.1127	✗	-0.03
2026-07-19	oos	0.00032715	0.000325851	-0.40%	0.0003359	+2.67%	0.0307	✗	-0.04
2026-07-18	oos	0.0003441	0.000342643	-0.42%	0.00032715	-4.93%	0.0463	✓	-0.03
2026-07-17	oos	0.00036585	0.000363983	-0.51%	0.0003441	-5.95%	0.0551	✓	-0.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.0003579	0.00035624	-0.46%	0.00036585	+2.22%	0.0267	✗	-0.03
2026-07-15	oos	0.0003639	0.00036229	-0.44%	0.0003579	-1.65%	0.0134	✓	-0.08
2026-07-14	oos	0.0003671	0.000365488	-0.44%	0.0003639	-0.87%	0.0046	✓	-0.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.0003881	0.000385647	-0.63%	0.0003671	-5.41%	0.0493	✓	-0.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.0003582	0.000356487	-0.48%	0.0003881	+8.35%	0.0864	✗	0.06
2026-07-11	oos	0.0003537	0.000352268	-0.40%	0.0003582	+1.27%	0.0167	✗	0.04
2026-07-10	oos	0.00033625	0.000335268	-0.29%	0.0003537	+5.19%	0.0538	✗	0.05
2026-07-09	oos	0.0003604	0.000359115	-0.36%	0.00033625	-6.70%	0.0670	✓	0.08
2026-07-08	oos	0.00037	0.000368601	-0.38%	0.0003604	-2.59%	0.0244	✓	0.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.000405	0.000403073	-0.48%	0.00037	-8.64%	0.0845	✓	0.06
2026-07-06	oos	0.00042735	0.000424741	-0.61%	0.000405	-5.23%	0.0471	✓	0.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.0004051	0.000403195	-0.47%	0.00042735	+5.49%	0.0573	✗	0.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.0004127	0.00041058	-0.51%	0.0004051	-1.84%	0.0146	✓	0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.000419	0.000416451	-0.61%	0.0004127	-1.50%	0.0107	✓	0.18
2026-07-02	oos	0.0004073	0.0004047	-0.64%	0.000419	+2.87%	0.0316	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.0003873	0.000385382	-0.50%	0.0004073	+5.16%	0.0517	✗	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.0004007	0.000397884	-0.70%	0.0003873	-3.34%	0.0333	✓	0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.00040025	0.000397937	-0.58%	0.0004007	+0.11%	0.0144	✗	0.27
2026-06-28	oos	0.0004086	0.000406119	-0.61%	0.00040025	-2.04%	0.0177	✓	0.28
2026-06-27	oos	0.000399	0.000396832	-0.54%	0.0004086	+2.41%	0.0316	✗	0.31
2026-06-26	oos	0.00041255	0.00041015	-0.58%	0.000399	-3.28%	0.0272	✓	0.30
2026-06-25	oos	0.00041245	0.000410247	-0.53%	0.00041255	+0.02%	0.0041	✓	0.30
2026-06-24	oos	0.0004483	0.000445645	-0.59%	0.00041245	-8.00%	0.0707	✓	0.32
2026-06-23	oos	0.0005133	0.000508475	-0.94%	0.0004483	-12.66%	0.1202	✓	0.21
2026-06-22	oos	0.00049685	0.000492495	-0.88%	0.0005133	+3.31%	0.0453	✗	0.19
2026-06-21	oos	0.0004866	0.000482883	-0.76%	0.00049685	+2.11%	0.0263	✗	0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.0006188	0.000608394	-1.68%	0.0004866	-21.36%	0.2166	✓	0.44
2026-06-19	oos	0.0005677	0.000558678	-1.59%	0.0006188	+9.00%	0.0975	✗	0.40
2026-06-18	oos	0.0006888	0.000666338	-3.26%	0.0005677	-17.58%	0.1643	✓	0.43
2026-06-17	oos	0.0006045	0.000580808	-3.92%	0.0006888	+13.95%	0.1832	✗	0.51
2026-06-16	oos	0.0003484	0.000347038	-0.39%	0.0006045	+73.51%	0.5690	✗	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.00033705	0.000336155	-0.27%	0.0003484	+3.37%	0.0435	✗	0.77
2026-06-14	oos	0.0003429	0.000341983	-0.27%	0.00033705	-1.71%	0.0212	✓	0.77
2026-06-13	oos	0.0003593	0.000358167	-0.32%	0.0003429	-4.56%	0.0592	✓	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.0003568	0.00035591	-0.25%	0.0003593	+0.70%	0.0016	✓	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.0004005	0.000398748	-0.44%	0.0003568	-10.91%	0.1108	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.0003938	0.000392342	-0.37%	0.0004005	+1.70%	0.0066	✓	0.80
2026-06-09	oos	0.0004071	0.000405444	-0.41%	0.0003938	-3.27%	0.0260	✓	0.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.0004564	0.000454119	-0.50%	0.0004071	-10.80%	0.0930	✓	0.74
2026-06-07	oos	0.0004662	0.000463728	-0.53%	0.0004564	-2.10%	0.0131	✓	0.75
2026-06-06	oos	0.0004529	0.000450868	-0.45%	0.0004662	+2.94%	0.0082	✗	0.64
2026-06-05	oos	0.0004608	0.000458612	-0.47%	0.0004529	-1.71%	0.0107	✓	0.62
2026-06-04	oos	0.0005039	0.000500397	-0.70%	0.0004608	-8.55%	0.0569	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.0005097	0.000506094	-0.71%	0.0005039	-1.14%	0.0023	✓	0.56
2026-06-02	oos	0.0004586	0.000456499	-0.46%	0.0005097	+11.14%	0.1380	✗	0.69
2026-06-01	oos	0.0004863	0.000483617	-0.55%	0.0004586	-5.70%	0.0030	✓	0.83
2026-05-31	oos	0.000496	0.000493175	-0.57%	0.0004863	-1.96%	0.0124	✗	0.85
2026-05-30	oos	0.0005138	0.000510398	-0.66%	0.000496	-3.46%	0.0267	✓	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	0.0004875	0.000484485	-0.62%	0.0005138	+5.39%	0.0546	✗	0.76
2026-05-28	oos	0.0005483	0.000541635	-1.22%	0.0004875	-11.09%	0.1039	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.000479	0.000477022	-0.41%	0.0005483	+14.47%	0.1466	✗	0.67
2026-05-26	oos	0.0005493	0.000546469	-0.52%	0.000479	-12.80%	0.1214	✓	0.51
2026-05-25	oos	0.0005725	0.000569586	-0.51%	0.0005493	-4.05%	0.0262	✓	0.54
2026-05-24	oos	0.00058805	0.000584823	-0.55%	0.0005725	-2.64%	0.0233	✓	0.55
2026-05-23	oos	0.00058485	0.000581839	-0.51%	0.00058805	+0.55%	0.0083	✗	0.56
2026-05-22	oos	0.0005853	0.000582093	-0.55%	0.00058485	-0.08%	0.0042	✓	0.56
2026-05-21	oos	0.000587	0.000584182	-0.48%	0.0005853	-0.29%	0.0178	✗	0.58
2026-05-20	oos	0.0005868	0.000584064	-0.47%	0.000587	+0.03%	0.0045	✓	0.53
2026-05-19	oos	0.00059175	0.000588732	-0.51%	0.0005868	-0.84%	0.0081	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.0005995	0.000596203	-0.55%	0.00059175	-1.29%	0.0063	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.0005899	0.000587407	-0.42%	0.0005995	+1.63%	0.0236	✗	0.54
2026-05-16	oos	0.0005934	0.000591049	-0.40%	0.0005899	-0.59%	0.0029	✓	0.54
2026-05-15	oos	0.0006503	0.000645988	-0.66%	0.0005934	-8.75%	0.0791	✓	0.48
2026-05-14	oos	0.00060415	0.000601614	-0.42%	0.0006503	+7.64%	0.0916	✗	0.55
2026-05-13	oos	0.0006185	0.000616112	-0.39%	0.00060415	-2.32%	0.0312	✓	0.52
2026-05-12	oos	0.000628	0.00062549	-0.40%	0.0006185	-1.51%	0.0027	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.000715	0.000706848	-1.14%	0.000628	-12.17%	0.1099	✓	0.54
2026-05-10	oos	0.00061955	0.000616204	-0.54%	0.000715	+15.41%	0.1520	✗	0.58
2026-05-09	oos	0.0005873	0.000586028	-0.22%	0.00061955	+5.49%	0.0452	✗	0.55
2026-05-08	oos	0.0005998	0.000597974	-0.30%	0.0005873	-2.08%	0.0211	✓	0.53
2026-05-07	oos	0.0006156	0.000614564	-0.17%	0.0005998	-2.57%	0.0256	✓	0.55
2026-05-06	oos	0.000634	0.000632686	-0.21%	0.0006156	-2.90%	0.0211	✓	0.35
2026-05-05	oos	0.0006436	0.000642133	-0.23%	0.000634	-1.49%	0.0140	✓	0.19
2026-05-04	oos	0.0006481	0.000646194	-0.29%	0.0006436	-0.69%	0.0069	✓	0.22
2026-05-03	oos	0.0006428	0.000640825	-0.31%	0.0006481	+0.82%	0.0073	✗	0.24
2026-05-02	oos	0.0006444	0.000642837	-0.24%	0.0006428	-0.25%	0.0003	✓	0.24
2026-05-01	oos	0.0006384	0.000636635	-0.28%	0.0006444	+0.94%	0.0107	✗	0.25
2026-04-30	oos	0.0006505	0.000648028	-0.38%	0.0006384	-1.86%	0.0221	✓	0.29
2026-04-29	oos	0.0006306	0.000628897	-0.27%	0.0006505	+3.16%	0.0317	✗	0.28
2026-04-28	oos	0.000658	0.000655843	-0.33%	0.0006306	-4.16%	0.0371	✓	0.29
2026-04-27	oos	0.0007584	0.000752993	-0.71%	0.000658	-13.24%	0.1311	✓	0.27
2026-04-26	oos	0.0006143	0.000612856	-0.24%	0.0007584	+23.46%	0.2183	✗	0.31
2026-04-25	oos	0.0006453	0.00064289	-0.37%	0.0006143	-4.80%	0.0495	✓	0.31
2026-04-24	oos	0.00065425	0.000651771	-0.38%	0.0006453	-1.37%	0.0107	✓	0.31
2026-04-23	oos	0.0006497	0.000648217	-0.23%	0.00065425	+0.70%	0.0126	✗	0.31
2026-04-22	oos	0.00067115	0.000669737	-0.21%	0.0006497	-3.20%	0.0307	✓	0.31
2026-04-21	oos	0.0006797	0.000677358	-0.34%	0.00067115	-1.26%	0.0167	✓	0.31
2026-04-20	oos	0.00067895	0.000676442	-0.37%	0.0006797	+0.11%	0.0027	✓	0.33
2026-04-19	oos	0.0006767	0.00067315	-0.52%	0.00067895	+0.33%	0.0003	✓	0.33
2026-04-18	oos	0.0006167	0.000615449	-0.20%	0.0006767	+9.73%	0.1042	✗	0.36
2026-04-17	oos	0.0006849	0.000682956	-0.28%	0.0006167	-9.96%	0.0959	✓	0.35
2026-04-16	oos	0.0007269	0.000722695	-0.58%	0.0006849	-5.78%	0.0629	✓	0.36
2026-04-15	oos	0.0006878	0.000684217	-0.52%	0.0007269	+5.68%	0.0590	✗	0.36
2026-04-14	oos	0.0006938	0.000689386	-0.64%	0.0006878	-0.86%	0.0056	✓	0.37
2026-04-13	oos	0.0006568	0.000653306	-0.53%	0.0006938	+5.63%	0.0615	✗	0.38
2026-04-12	oos	0.000669	0.000664859	-0.62%	0.0006568	-1.82%	0.0320	✓	0.39
2026-04-11	oos	0.000678	0.000673687	-0.64%	0.000669	-1.33%	0.0058	✓	0.40
2026-04-10	oos	0.0006807	0.000675832	-0.72%	0.000678	-0.40%	0.0027	✓	0.39
2026-04-09	oos	0.00064095	0.000637147	-0.59%	0.0006807	+6.20%	0.0599	✗	0.38
2026-04-08	oos	0.0006903	0.000684942	-0.78%	0.00064095	-7.15%	0.0702	✓	0.39
2026-04-07	oos	0.0006805	0.000675099	-0.79%	0.0006903	+1.44%	0.0268	✗	0.39
2026-04-06	oos	0.0006281	0.000624474	-0.58%	0.0006805	+8.34%	0.0709	✗	0.35
2026-04-05	oos	0.0006706	0.000665272	-0.79%	0.0006281	-6.34%	0.0567	✓	0.35
2026-04-04	oos	0.0006384	0.000634345	-0.64%	0.0006706	+5.04%	0.0474	✗	0.33
2026-04-03	oos	0.0005835	0.000581575	-0.33%	0.0006384	+9.41%	0.0917	✗	0.31
2026-04-02	oos	0.00059785	0.000595986	-0.31%	0.0005835	-2.40%	0.0215	✓	0.31
2026-04-01	oos	0.0007258	0.000720976	-0.66%	0.00059785	-17.63%	0.1821	✓	0.29
2026-03-31	oos	0.0008132	0.000806712	-0.80%	0.0007258	-10.75%	0.1052	✓	0.29
2026-03-30	oos	0.0008181	0.000809662	-1.03%	0.0008132	-0.60%	0.0020	✓	0.29
2026-03-29	oos	0.0007707	0.000764277	-0.83%	0.0008181	+6.15%	0.0649	✗	0.27
2026-03-28	oos	0.0007611	0.000754345	-0.89%	0.0007707	+1.26%	0.0229	✗	0.27
2026-03-27	oos	0.0007675	0.000762474	-0.65%	0.0007611	-0.83%	0.0017	✓	0.27
2026-03-26	oos	0.0008237	0.000817488	-0.75%	0.0007675	-6.82%	0.0540	✓	0.25
2026-03-25	oos	0.000827	0.000821422	-0.67%	0.0008237	-0.40%	0.0123	✗	0.26
2026-03-24	oos	0.0009455	0.000935969	-1.01%	0.000827	-12.53%	0.1269	✓	0.29
2026-03-23	oos	0.001078	0.001056	-1.97%	0.0009455	-12.27%	0.1096	✓	0.29
2026-03-22	oos	0.0008176	0.000808881	-1.07%	0.001078	+31.81%	0.2822	✗	0.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.0008102	0.000801927	-1.02%	0.0008176	+0.91%	0.0211	✗	0.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.0007869	0.000779892	-0.89%	0.0008102	+2.96%	0.0410	✗	0.13
2026-03-19	oos	0.0008301	0.000823488	-0.80%	0.0007869	-5.20%	0.0465	✓	0.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.000844	0.00083713	-0.81%	0.0008301	-1.65%	0.0059	✓	0.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.0008544	0.00084824	-0.72%	0.000844	-1.22%	0.0001	✓	0.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.0008665	0.000860227	-0.72%	0.0008544	-1.40%	0.0050	✓	0.14
2026-03-15	oos	0.0008603	0.00085358	-0.78%	0.0008665	+0.72%	0.0114	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.000847	0.000840332	-0.79%	0.0008603	+1.57%	0.0209	✗	0.12
2026-03-13	oos	0.0008553	0.000848722	-0.77%	0.000847	-0.97%	0.0025	✓	0.11
2026-03-12	oos	0.0008518	0.000844876	-0.81%	0.0008553	+0.41%	0.0116	✗	0.11
2026-03-11	oos	0.0008565	0.000850252	-0.73%	0.0008518	-0.55%	0.0013	✓	0.11
2026-03-10	oos	0.0009532	0.000945212	-0.84%	0.0008565	-10.14%	0.0990	✓	0.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00092295	0.000916386	-0.71%	0.0009532	+3.28%	0.0372	✗	0.10
2026-03-08	oos	0.001003	0.000995238	-0.80%	0.00092295	-8.00%	0.0805	✓	0.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.0009919	0.000984846	-0.71%	0.001003	+1.14%	0.0213	✗	0.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.001065	0.001057	-0.82%	0.0009919	-6.90%	0.0614	✓	0.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.001085	0.001074	-0.96%	0.001065	-1.77%	0.0023	✓	0.15
2026-03-04	oos	0.001084	0.001074	-0.92%	0.001085	+0.06%	0.0136	✗	0.15
2026-03-03	oos	0.0009642	0.000957367	-0.71%	0.001084	+12.42%	0.1234	✗	0.01
2026-03-02	oos	0.0009868	0.000979739	-0.72%	0.0009642	-2.29%	0.0159	✓	0.01
2026-03-01	oos	0.001057	0.001048	-0.80%	0.0009868	-6.61%	0.0628	✓	0.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.001174	0.001162	-1.04%	0.001057	-10.02%	0.0944	✓	0.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.001293	0.001267	-2.01%	0.001174	-9.14%	0.0767	✓	0.07
2026-02-26	oos	0.00117	0.001146	-2.02%	0.001293	+10.46%	0.1224	✗	0.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.0007948	0.000788635	-0.78%	0.00117	+47.22%	0.3953	✗	0.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.000754	0.000750651	-0.44%	0.0007948	+5.41%	0.0570	✗	0.00
2026-02-23	oos	0.0008021	0.000798828	-0.41%	0.000754	-6.00%	0.0577	✓	0.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.0008279	0.00082451	-0.41%	0.0008021	-3.12%	0.0274	✓	0.00
2026-02-21	oos	0.0008661	0.000862769	-0.38%	0.0008279	-4.41%	0.0412	✓	0.00
2026-02-20	oos	0.000957	0.000953007	-0.42%	0.0008661	-9.50%	0.0956	✓	0.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001101	0.001096	-0.48%	0.000957	-13.08%	0.1363	✓	0.07
2026-02-18	oos	0.001148	0.001142	-0.51%	0.001101	-4.09%	0.0373	✓	0.07
2026-02-17	oos	0.001199	0.001192	-0.61%	0.001148	-4.25%	0.0363	✓	0.07
2026-02-16	oos	0.001202	0.001195	-0.62%	0.001199	-0.25%	0.0053	✓	0.07
2026-02-15	oos	0.001245	0.001237	-0.67%	0.001202	-3.45%	0.0285	✓	0.08
2026-02-14	oos	0.001165	0.001159	-0.48%	0.001245	+6.87%	0.0725	✗	0.08
2026-02-13	oos	0.001148	0.001144	-0.38%	0.001165	+1.48%	0.0176	✗	0.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.001191	0.001188	-0.23%	0.001148	-3.61%	0.0371	✓	0.07
2026-02-11	oos	0.001407	0.001401	-0.42%	0.001191	-15.35%	0.1502	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.001486	0.001479	-0.50%	0.001407	-5.32%	0.0234	✓	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.001543	0.001532	-0.69%	0.001486	-3.69%	0.0120	✓	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.001427	0.001422	-0.33%	0.001543	+8.13%	0.0840	✗	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.001508	0.001502	-0.38%	0.001427	-5.37%	0.0662	✓	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.001589	0.001581	-0.51%	0.001508	-5.10%	0.0289	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.001658	0.001655	-0.17%	0.001589	-4.16%	0.1570	✓	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.001626	0.00162	-0.38%	0.001658	+1.97%	0.1739	✗	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.001753	0.001743	-0.58%	0.001626	-7.24%	0.0336	✓	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.001893	0.001881	-0.62%	0.001753	-7.40%	0.0317	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.001907	0.001897	-0.55%	0.001893	-0.73%	0.0246	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.002009	0.001995	-0.68%	0.001907	-5.08%	0.0227	✓	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.002156	0.00214	-0.76%	0.002009	-6.82%	0.0042	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.002235	0.002218	-0.74%	0.002156	-3.53%	0.0238	✓	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.002329	0.002309	-0.87%	0.002235	-4.04%	0.0211	✗	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.00229	0.002271	-0.85%	0.002329	+1.70%	0.0249	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.002304	0.002288	-0.71%	0.00229	-0.61%	0.0087	✓	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.002421	0.002403	-0.73%	0.002304	-4.83%	0.0615	✓	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.002488	0.002468	-0.80%	0.002421	-2.69%	0.0094	✗	1.00
2026-01-23	oos	0.002529	0.002505	-0.95%	0.002488	-1.62%	0.0024	✓	1.00
2026-01-22	oos	0.002458	0.002433	-1.00%	0.002529	+2.89%	0.0384	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.