UMXM

Manadia · Binance Smart Chain · beta_5y

token id: #947
symbol: UMXM
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x44fc58faaaca03e5d52e493dae930ffa63e2a664
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-23
predictions: 522

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

173

of 174 predictions shown

direction hit

41.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0591

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0061

actual -0.0217

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.0308	0.030879	+0.25%	–	pending	–	–	-1.52
2026-10-21	oos	0.03595	0.036022	+0.20%	0.0308	+0.98%	0.0108	✓	-1.33
2026-10-20	oos	0.04015	0.040131	-0.05%	0.03595	-10.46%	0.1135	✓	-1.20
2026-10-19	oos	0.04395	0.043878	-0.16%	0.04015	-8.65%	0.0733	✓	-1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.04805	0.047928	-0.25%	0.04395	-8.53%	0.0892	✓	-1.24
2026-10-17	oos	0.05595	0.055636	-0.56%	0.04805	-14.12%	0.1365	✓	-1.32
2026-10-16	oos	0.0651	0.064453	-0.99%	0.05595	-14.06%	0.1434	✓	-1.33
2026-10-15	oos	0.0648	0.064419	-0.59%	0.0651	+0.46%	0.0006	✓	-1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.25085	0.237018	-5.51%	0.0648	-74.17%	1.2890	✓	-1.16
2026-10-13	oos	0.0581	0.057971	-0.22%	0.25085	+331.76%	1.4601	✗	-0.26
2026-10-12	oos	0.0588	0.058622	-0.30%	0.0581	-1.19%	0.0042	✓	-0.29
2026-10-11	oos	0.05905	0.058857	-0.33%	0.0588	-0.42%	0.0061	✓	-0.22
2026-10-10	oos	0.0592	0.059059	-0.24%	0.05905	-0.25%	0.0022	✓	-0.25
2026-10-09	oos	0.0591	0.058946	-0.26%	0.0592	+0.17%	0.0054	✗	-0.26
2026-10-08	oos	0.0616	0.061415	-0.30%	0.0591	-4.06%	0.0356	✓	-0.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.0618	0.061596	-0.33%	0.0616	-0.32%	0.0044	✓	-0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.0634	0.063085	-0.50%	0.0618	-2.52%	0.0263	✓	-0.21
2026-10-05	oos	0.0619	0.0615	-0.65%	0.0634	+2.42%	0.0299	✗	-0.22
2026-10-04	oos	0.06095	0.060497	-0.74%	0.0619	+1.56%	0.0209	✗	-0.22
2026-10-03	oos	0.066	0.065349	-0.99%	0.06095	-7.65%	0.0655	✓	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.0647	0.064314	-0.60%	0.066	+2.01%	0.0264	✗	-0.19
2026-10-01	oos	0.06655	0.066418	-0.20%	0.0647	-2.78%	0.0270	✓	-0.19
2026-09-30	oos	0.06295	0.062886	-0.10%	0.06655	+5.72%	0.0597	✗	-0.20
2026-09-29	oos	0.0632	0.063158	-0.07%	0.06295	-0.40%	0.0035	✓	-0.16
2026-09-28	oos	0.06695	0.06687	-0.12%	0.0632	-5.60%	0.0562	✓	-0.14
2026-09-27	oos	0.0776	0.077282	-0.41%	0.06695	-13.72%	0.1461	✓	-0.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.0759	0.075589	-0.41%	0.0776	+2.24%	0.0264	✗	-0.20
2026-09-25	oos	0.07795	0.077781	-0.22%	0.0759	-2.63%	0.0237	✓	-0.21
2026-09-24	oos	0.0836	0.083417	-0.22%	0.07795	-6.76%	0.0686	✓	-0.23
2026-09-23	oos	0.089	0.088746	-0.28%	0.0836	-6.07%	0.0597	✓	-0.23
2026-09-22	oos	0.09335	0.092967	-0.41%	0.089	-4.66%	0.0493	✓	-0.27
2026-09-21	oos	0.09665	0.096249	-0.41%	0.09335	-3.41%	0.0319	✓	-0.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.09805	0.097431	-0.63%	0.09665	-1.43%	0.0175	✗	-0.39
2026-09-19	oos	0.0989	0.098227	-0.68%	0.09805	-0.86%	0.0021	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.0993	0.098282	-1.03%	0.0989	-0.40%	0.0080	✓	-0.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.09925	0.098607	-0.65%	0.0993	+0.05%	0.0341	✗	-0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.0999	0.09915	-0.75%	0.09925	-0.65%	0.0022	✓	-0.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.09935	0.09838	-0.98%	0.0999	+0.55%	0.0189	✗	-0.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.09945	0.098243	-1.21%	0.09935	-0.10%	0.0050	✓	-0.48
2026-09-13	oos	0.0999	0.099171	-0.73%	0.09945	-0.45%	0.0119	✗	-0.51
2026-09-12	oos	0.0998	0.099092	-0.71%	0.0999	+0.10%	0.0052	✓	-0.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.0995	0.098699	-0.81%	0.0998	+0.30%	0.0114	✗	-0.47
2026-09-10	oos	0.0997	0.09847	-1.23%	0.0995	-0.20%	0.0144	✗	-0.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.09985	0.098733	-1.12%	0.0997	-0.15%	0.0003	✓	-0.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.10035	0.099662	-0.69%	0.09985	-0.50%	0.0010	✓	-0.40
2026-09-07	oos	0.1002	0.0995	-0.70%	0.10035	+0.15%	0.0052	✓	-0.40
2026-09-06	oos	0.09995	0.099204	-0.75%	0.1002	+0.25%	0.0038	✓	-0.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.1004	0.0996	-0.80%	0.09995	-0.45%	0.0061	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.09975	0.09886	-0.89%	0.1004	+0.65%	0.0162	✗	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.10045	0.099665	-0.78%	0.09975	-0.70%	0.0061	✓	-0.35
2026-09-02	oos	0.12235	0.120575	-1.45%	0.10045	-17.90%	0.1745	✓	-0.16
2026-09-01	oos	0.10025	0.099377	-0.87%	0.12235	+22.04%	0.2078	✗	-0.15
2026-08-31	oos	0.09965	0.098433	-1.22%	0.10025	+0.60%	0.0152	✗	-0.21
2026-08-30	oos	0.1011	0.100143	-0.95%	0.09965	-1.43%	0.0036	✓	-0.12
2026-08-29	oos	0.10075	0.100003	-0.74%	0.1011	+0.35%	0.0098	✗	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.1007	0.100069	-0.63%	0.10075	+0.05%	0.0076	✗	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.10085	0.100081	-0.76%	0.1007	-0.15%	0.0022	✓	-0.13
2026-08-26	oos	0.1005	0.099877	-0.62%	0.10085	+0.35%	0.0120	✗	-0.14
2026-08-25	oos	0.1009	0.100324	-0.57%	0.1005	-0.40%	0.0027	✓	-0.16
2026-08-24	oos	0.1008	0.100218	-0.58%	0.1009	+0.10%	0.0058	✗	-0.17
2026-08-23	oos	0.10075	0.100285	-0.46%	0.1008	+0.05%	0.0082	✗	-0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.09985	0.099411	-0.44%	0.10075	+0.90%	0.0151	✗	-0.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.0995	0.099197	-0.30%	0.09985	+0.35%	0.0037	✗	-0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.1003	0.100413	+0.11%	0.0995	-0.80%	0.0071	✓	-0.23
2026-08-19	oos	0.10025	0.100612	+0.36%	0.1003	+0.05%	0.0137	✓	-0.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.10475	0.105307	+0.53%	0.10025	-4.30%	0.0253	✗	-0.35
2026-08-17	oos	0.1043	0.105044	+0.71%	0.10475	+0.43%	0.0018	✓	-0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.13135	0.131814	+0.35%	0.1043	-20.59%	0.2306	✗	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.13905	0.139455	+0.29%	0.13135	-5.54%	0.0603	✗	-0.15
2026-08-14	oos	0.1395	0.139888	+0.28%	0.13905	-0.32%	0.0059	✗	-0.16
2026-08-13	oos	0.1552	0.155584	+0.25%	0.1395	-10.12%	0.1105	✗	-0.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.16135	0.161809	+0.28%	0.1552	-3.81%	0.0417	✗	-0.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.1805	0.180713	+0.12%	0.16135	-10.61%	0.1137	✗	-0.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.20565	0.205468	-0.09%	0.1805	-12.23%	0.1308	✓	-0.22
2026-08-09	oos	0.2128	0.212719	-0.04%	0.20565	-3.36%	0.0372	✓	-0.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.2366	0.236227	-0.16%	0.2128	-10.06%	0.1047	✓	-0.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.2354	0.235089	-0.13%	0.2366	+0.51%	0.0065	✗	-0.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.244	0.243837	-0.07%	0.2354	-3.52%	0.0330	✓	-0.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.2479	0.247777	-0.05%	0.244	-1.57%	0.0165	✓	-0.22
2026-08-04	oos	0.24485	0.24514	+0.12%	0.2479	+1.25%	0.0130	✓	-0.21
2026-08-03	oos	0.2522	0.252657	+0.18%	0.24485	-2.91%	0.0294	✗	-0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.2667	0.267398	+0.26%	0.2522	-5.44%	0.0586	✗	-0.19
2026-08-01	oos	0.2733	0.274168	+0.32%	0.2667	-2.41%	0.0251	✗	-0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.2786	0.279014	+0.15%	0.2733	-1.90%	0.0209	✗	-0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.25295	0.249934	-1.19%	0.2786	+10.14%	0.1054	✗	-0.11
2026-07-29	oos	0.25285	0.24445	-3.32%	0.25295	+0.04%	0.0362	✗	-0.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.26005	0.247536	-4.81%	0.25285	-2.77%	0.0213	✓	-0.09
2026-07-27	oos	0.2189	0.200727	-8.30%	0.26005	+18.80%	0.2591	✗	-0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.288	0.269774	-6.33%	0.2189	-23.99%	0.2159	✓	-0.27
2026-07-25	oos	0.43055	0.433205	+0.62%	0.288	-33.11%	0.4064	✗	-0.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.5458	0.552464	+1.22%	0.43055	-21.12%	0.2493	✗	-0.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.67405	0.680687	+0.98%	0.5458	-19.03%	0.2218	✗	-0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.8973	0.901931	+0.52%	0.67405	-24.88%	0.2948	✗	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	1.0072	1.0106	+0.33%	0.8973	-10.92%	0.1205	✗	-0.25
2026-07-20	oos	1.2409	1.2431	+0.18%	1.0072	-18.83%	0.2085	✗	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	2.3075	2.2988	-0.38%	1.2409	-46.22%	0.6176	✓	0.13
2026-07-18	oos	2.3811	2.3699	-0.47%	2.3075	-3.09%	0.0265	✓	0.13
2026-07-17	oos	2.3614	2.3469	-0.61%	2.3811	+0.83%	0.0126	✗	0.13
2026-07-16	oos	2.2402	2.2305	-0.43%	2.3614	+5.41%	0.0568	✗	0.12
2026-07-15	oos	2.2807	2.2693	-0.50%	2.2402	-1.78%	0.0112	✓	0.11
2026-07-14	oos	2.2208	2.2077	-0.59%	2.2807	+2.69%	0.0330	✗	0.12
2026-07-13	oos	2.2458	2.2354	-0.46%	2.2208	-1.11%	0.0133	✓	0.16
2026-07-12	oos	2.2386	2.2283	-0.46%	2.2458	+0.32%	0.0115	✗	0.16
2026-07-11	oos	2.2285	2.2181	-0.47%	2.2386	+0.45%	0.0093	✗	0.16
2026-07-10	oos	2.2295	2.2186	-0.49%	2.2285	-0.05%	0.0053	✗	0.16
2026-07-09	oos	2.2182	2.2022	-0.72%	2.2295	+0.51%	0.0099	✗	0.16
2026-07-08	oos	2.2142	2.1975	-0.76%	2.2182	+0.18%	0.0069	✓	0.17
2026-07-07	oos	2.214	2.1981	-0.72%	2.2142	+0.01%	0.0101	✗	0.16
2026-07-06	oos	2.1901	2.1787	-0.52%	2.214	+1.09%	0.0178	✗	0.16
2026-07-05	oos	2.1837	2.1664	-0.80%	2.1901	+0.29%	0.0098	✗	0.17
2026-07-04	oos	2.1444	2.134	-0.49%	2.1837	+1.83%	0.0218	✗	0.16
2026-07-03	oos	2.1366	2.1258	-0.50%	2.1444	+0.37%	0.0072	✗	0.17
2026-07-02	oos	2.1222	2.1101	-0.57%	2.1366	+0.68%	0.0096	✗	0.17
2026-07-01	oos	2.0958	2.0794	-0.79%	2.1222	+1.26%	0.0161	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	2.0838	2.0721	-0.56%	2.0958	+0.58%	0.0070	✗	0.18
2026-06-29	oos	2.0821	2.0677	-0.69%	2.0838	+0.08%	0.0126	✗	0.18
2026-06-28	oos	2.0604	2.0424	-0.88%	2.0821	+1.05%	0.0172	✗	0.18
2026-06-27	oos	2.0261	2.0118	-0.71%	2.0604	+1.69%	0.0252	✗	0.18
2026-06-26	oos	2.0122	1.9985	-0.68%	2.0261	+0.69%	0.0139	✗	0.18
2026-06-25	oos	1.9861	1.9652	-1.05%	2.0122	+1.32%	0.0228	✗	0.18
2026-06-24	oos	1.964	1.9464	-0.90%	1.9861	+1.12%	0.0241	✗	0.18
2026-06-23	oos	1.9527	1.9354	-0.89%	1.964	+0.58%	0.0197	✗	0.18
2026-06-22	oos	1.8978	1.8788	-1.00%	1.9527	+2.90%	0.0428	✗	0.20
2026-06-21	oos	1.819	1.8112	-0.43%	1.8978	+4.33%	0.0446	✗	0.18
2026-06-20	oos	1.8041	1.7963	-0.44%	1.819	+0.82%	0.0154	✗	0.18
2026-06-19	oos	1.7939	1.7845	-0.52%	1.8041	+0.57%	0.0087	✗	0.19
2026-06-18	oos	1.775	1.7603	-0.83%	1.7939	+1.06%	0.0171	✗	0.19
2026-06-17	oos	1.7866	1.7753	-0.63%	1.775	-0.65%	0.0042	✓	0.18
2026-06-16	oos	1.7721	1.7651	-0.40%	1.7866	+0.82%	0.0153	✗	0.18
2026-06-15	oos	1.7686	1.7616	-0.40%	1.7721	+0.20%	0.0077	✗	0.18
2026-06-14	oos	1.7635	1.7552	-0.48%	1.7686	+0.29%	0.0061	✗	0.18
2026-06-13	oos	1.7518	1.7379	-0.80%	1.7635	+0.67%	0.0110	✗	0.19
2026-06-12	oos	1.732	1.7248	-0.41%	1.7518	+1.15%	0.0129	✗	0.19
2026-06-11	oos	1.7178	1.7105	-0.42%	1.732	+0.83%	0.0125	✗	0.19
2026-06-10	oos	1.7223	1.7143	-0.47%	1.7178	-0.26%	0.0057	✓	0.23
2026-06-09	oos	1.7114	1.7028	-0.51%	1.7223	+0.63%	0.0123	✗	0.23
2026-06-08	oos	1.7274	1.7175	-0.57%	1.7114	-0.92%	0.0012	✓	0.21
2026-06-07	oos	1.6827	1.6725	-0.60%	1.7274	+2.66%	0.0331	✗	0.21
2026-06-06	oos	1.6853	1.6753	-0.59%	1.6827	-0.15%	0.0064	✓	0.27
2026-06-05	oos	1.6878	1.6739	-0.83%	1.6853	-0.15%	0.0076	✓	0.27
2026-06-04	oos	1.6892	1.6794	-0.58%	1.6878	-0.08%	0.0174	✗	0.28
2026-06-03	oos	1.6755	1.665	-0.63%	1.6892	+0.82%	0.0154	✗	0.28
2026-06-02	oos	1.6107	1.6001	-0.66%	1.6755	+4.02%	0.0623	✗	0.41
2026-06-01	oos	1.7272	1.7166	-0.61%	1.6107	-6.75%	0.0671	✓	-0.05
2026-05-31	oos	1.6968	1.6865	-0.61%	1.7272	+1.79%	0.0232	✗	-0.02
2026-05-30	oos	1.6992	1.6878	-0.67%	1.6968	-0.14%	0.0053	✓	-0.02
2026-05-29	oos	1.6483	1.6393	-0.55%	1.6992	+3.09%	0.0362	✗	-0.05
2026-05-28	oos	1.6386	1.6293	-0.57%	1.6483	+0.60%	0.0115	✗	-0.05
2026-05-27	oos	1.641	1.6317	-0.57%	1.6386	-0.15%	0.0035	✓	-0.06
2026-05-26	oos	1.6222	1.613	-0.57%	1.641	+1.16%	0.0160	✗	-0.06
2026-05-25	oos	1.6498	1.6405	-0.56%	1.6222	-1.67%	0.0140	✓	-0.15
2026-05-24	oos	1.6164	1.6076	-0.55%	1.6498	+2.06%	0.0265	✗	-0.16
2026-05-23	oos	1.6125	1.6037	-0.55%	1.6164	+0.24%	0.0085	✗	-0.15
2026-05-22	oos	1.6076	1.5985	-0.57%	1.6125	+0.31%	0.0071	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	1.6017	1.5932	-0.53%	1.6076	+0.37%	0.0365	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	1.6625	1.6517	-0.65%	1.6017	-3.66%	0.0317	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	1.617	1.6068	-0.63%	1.6625	+2.82%	0.0249	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	1.6751	1.6613	-0.82%	1.617	-3.47%	0.0248	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	1.5775	1.5633	-0.89%	1.6751	+6.19%	0.0751	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	1.5375	1.5293	-0.54%	1.5775	+2.60%	0.0400	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	1.5322	1.5241	-0.53%	1.5375	+0.35%	0.0209	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	1.5186	1.5114	-0.47%	1.5322	+0.90%	0.0389	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	1.5346	1.5265	-0.53%	1.5186	-1.05%	0.0276	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	1.5227	1.515	-0.50%	1.5346	+0.78%	0.0279	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	1.5116	1.5047	-0.46%	1.5227	+0.73%	0.0272	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	1.5148	1.5082	-0.44%	1.5116	-0.21%	0.0081	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.5776	1.5698	-0.50%	1.5148	-3.98%	0.0546	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	1.5512	1.5438	-0.48%	1.5776	+1.70%	0.0159	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	1.5268	1.5198	-0.46%	1.5512	+1.60%	0.0182	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	1.6231	1.6151	-0.49%	1.5268	-5.93%	0.0385	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	1.6713	1.6624	-0.53%	1.6231	-2.89%	0.0305	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	1.6419	1.6333	-0.52%	1.6713	+1.79%	0.0099	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	1.7622	1.7517	-0.60%	1.6419	-6.83%	0.0810	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	1.7539	1.744	-0.57%	1.7622	+0.47%	0.0120	✗	1.00