TROLLSOL

? · · beta_5y

token id: #917
symbol: TROLLSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-23
predictions: 1,590

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

65.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3774

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0470

actual -0.0123

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.033085	0.031518	-4.73%	–	pending	–	–	2.24
2026-10-21	oos	0.036778	0.034887	-5.14%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-20	oos	0.037984	0.035967	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.033794	0.032096	-5.03%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-10-18	oos	0.033843	0.032146	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.035389	0.033488	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-10-16	oos	0.035893	0.033935	-5.46%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.036152	0.034222	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	2.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.037653	0.035526	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	2.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.037875	0.035943	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	2.36
2026-10-12	oos	0.036243	0.034318	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	2.36
2026-10-11	oos	0.03961	0.037654	-4.94%	–	pending	–	–	2.25
2026-10-10	oos	0.037829	0.03598	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.038198	0.036279	-5.02%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.037308	0.035395	-5.13%	–	pending	–	–	2.25
2026-10-07	oos	0.039808	0.037845	-4.93%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-06	oos	0.042549	0.040731	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-05	oos	0.042647	0.0409	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	2.23
2026-10-04	oos	0.045871	0.043827	-4.46%	–	pending	–	–	2.23
2026-10-03	oos	0.044561	0.042266	-5.15%	–	pending	–	–	2.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.044541	0.042166	-5.33%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-01	oos	0.046943	0.044191	-5.86%	–	pending	–	–	2.20
2026-09-30	oos	0.04658	0.043643	-6.30%	–	pending	–	–	2.21
2026-09-29	oos	0.045724	0.042828	-6.33%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-09-28	oos	0.044871	0.041992	-6.42%	–	pending	–	–	2.29
2026-09-27	oos	0.047287	0.044077	-6.79%	–	pending	–	–	2.25
2026-09-26	oos	0.049391	0.045779	-7.31%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-09-25	oos	0.051838	0.047847	-7.70%	–	pending	–	–	2.28
2026-09-24	oos	0.05056	0.046901	-7.24%	–	pending	–	–	2.28
2026-09-23	oos	0.04971	0.046126	-7.21%	–	pending	–	–	2.29
2026-09-22	oos	0.05964	0.054576	-8.49%	0.033085	-44.53%	0.4497	✓	2.19
2026-09-21	oos	0.05641	0.052234	-7.40%	0.036778	-34.80%	0.2476	✓	2.24
2026-09-20	oos	0.050383	0.046305	-8.09%	0.037984	-24.61%	0.2478	✓	2.29
2026-09-19	oos	0.047696	0.044139	-7.46%	0.033794	-29.15%	0.2840	✓	2.29
2026-09-18	oos	0.049463	0.045426	-8.16%	0.033843	-31.58%	0.3261	✓	2.28
2026-09-17	oos	0.043573	0.04042	-7.24%	0.035389	-18.78%	0.2786	✓	2.28
2026-09-16	oos	0.042624	0.03985	-6.51%	0.035893	-15.79%	0.2595	✓	2.28
2026-09-15	oos	0.042855	0.040269	-6.03%	0.036152	-15.64%	0.2950	✓	2.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.047112	0.044	-6.61%	0.037653	-20.08%	0.2516	✓	2.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.046599	0.043671	-6.28%	0.037875	-18.72%	0.3217	✓	2.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.048266	0.045255	-6.24%	0.036243	-24.91%	0.3492	✓	2.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.048729	0.045938	-5.73%	0.03961	-18.71%	0.3306	✓	2.27
2026-09-10	oos	0.047248	0.044994	-4.77%	0.037829	-19.94%	0.3564	✓	2.29
2026-09-09	oos	0.049799	0.047461	-4.69%	0.038198	-23.29%	0.3384	✓	2.29
2026-09-08	oos	0.052052	0.049777	-4.37%	0.037308	-28.33%	0.3793	✓	2.24
2026-09-07	oos	0.048497	0.047044	-3.00%	0.039808	-17.92%	0.2850	✓	2.29
2026-09-06	oos	0.052082	0.050803	-2.46%	0.042549	-18.31%	0.3206	✓	2.28
2026-09-05	oos	0.061653	0.059369	-3.70%	0.042647	-30.83%	0.4947	✓	2.29
2026-09-04	oos	0.076665	0.071319	-6.97%	0.045871	-40.17%	0.6236	✓	2.22
2026-09-03	oos	0.055088	0.05497	-0.22%	0.044561	-19.11%	0.3129	✓	2.46
2026-09-02	oos	0.041738	0.041437	-0.72%	0.044541	+6.72%	0.1122	✓	2.07
2026-09-01	oos	0.043203	0.043461	+0.60%	0.046943	+8.66%	0.1145	✗	2.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.044504	0.045137	+1.42%	0.04658	+4.66%	0.0835	✗	1.87
2026-08-30	oos	0.047096	0.04732	+0.47%	0.045724	-2.91%	0.1667	✗	1.79
2026-08-29	oos	0.050108	0.050285	+0.35%	0.044871	-10.45%	0.2269	✗	1.75
2026-08-28	oos	0.04966	0.049983	+0.65%	0.047287	-4.78%	0.1988	✗	1.76
2026-08-27	oos	0.053453	0.054695	+2.32%	0.049391	-7.60%	0.1897	✗	1.74
2026-08-26	oos	0.051848	0.052764	+1.77%	0.051838	-0.02%	0.1253	✗	1.73
2026-08-25	oos	0.049368	0.050209	+1.70%	0.05056	+2.41%	0.1131	✗	1.67
2026-08-24	oos	0.051194	0.051959	+1.49%	0.04971	-2.90%	0.1623	✗	1.79
2026-08-23	oos	0.052031	0.05249	+0.88%	0.05964	+14.62%	0.0666	✗	1.88
2026-08-22	oos	0.054691	0.054547	-0.26%	0.05641	+3.14%	0.1867	✓	1.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.059058	0.05844	-1.05%	0.050383	-14.69%	0.2147	✓	1.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.048109	0.047998	-0.23%	0.047696	-0.86%	0.1926	✓	1.75
2026-08-19	oos	0.047886	0.046618	-2.65%	0.049463	+3.29%	0.2390	✓	1.93
2026-08-18	oos	0.041719	0.040179	-3.69%	0.043573	+4.44%	0.2344	✓	1.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.039132	0.037805	-3.39%	0.042624	+8.92%	0.1978	✓	1.91
2026-08-16	oos	0.041845	0.039895	-4.66%	0.042855	+2.41%	0.3015	✓	2.02
2026-08-15	oos	0.039066	0.03745	-4.14%	0.047112	+20.60%	0.2049	✓	2.02
2026-08-14	oos	0.037082	0.035706	-3.71%	0.046599	+25.66%	0.1333	✓	2.01
2026-08-13	oos	0.037614	0.036249	-3.63%	0.048266	+28.32%	0.1104	✓	2.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.038149	0.036697	-3.81%	0.048729	+27.73%	0.1199	✓	2.05
2026-08-11	oos	0.037296	0.036037	-3.38%	0.047248	+26.68%	0.1044	✓	2.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.038765	0.03748	-3.31%	0.049799	+28.46%	0.1010	✓	1.90
2026-08-09	oos	0.040031	0.038786	-3.11%	0.052052	+30.03%	0.0751	✓	1.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.043324	0.041573	-4.04%	0.048497	+11.94%	0.2298	✓	1.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.038756	0.037572	-3.06%	0.052082	+34.39%	0.1990	✓	2.46
2026-08-06	oos	0.037333	0.036212	-3.00%	0.061653	+65.14%	0.0062	✓	2.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.038876	0.037663	-3.12%	0.076665	+97.21%	0.1887	✗	2.49
2026-08-04	oos	0.038449	0.037258	-3.10%	0.055088	+43.28%	0.2117	✓	2.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.037962	0.036738	-3.22%	0.041738	+9.95%	0.3831	✓	2.59
2026-08-02	oos	0.038423	0.037302	-2.92%	0.043203	+12.44%	0.3583	✓	2.55
2026-08-01	oos	0.038862	0.037657	-3.10%	0.044504	+14.52%	0.3847	✓	2.46
2026-07-31	oos	0.039347	0.038248	-2.79%	0.047096	+19.69%	0.3171	✓	2.48
2026-07-30	oos	0.043061	0.041852	-2.81%	0.050108	+16.37%	0.2974	✓	2.52
2026-07-29	oos	0.043863	0.042671	-2.72%	0.04966	+13.22%	0.3759	✓	2.67
2026-07-28	oos	0.04822	0.046519	-3.53%	0.053453	+10.85%	0.4724	✓	2.67
2026-07-27	oos	0.042755	0.041697	-2.47%	0.051848	+21.27%	0.3593	✓	2.68
2026-07-26	oos	0.05082	0.048821	-3.93%	0.049368	-2.86%	0.4555	✓	2.54
2026-07-25	oos	0.038615	0.037947	-1.73%	0.051194	+32.58%	0.2073	✓	2.46
2026-07-24	oos	0.038026	0.03752	-1.33%	0.052031	+36.83%	0.1406	✓	2.42
2026-07-23	oos	0.0385	0.038269	-0.60%	0.054691	+42.05%	0.0524	✓	2.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.040317	0.04025	-0.17%	0.059058	+46.48%	0.0241	✓	2.40
2026-07-21	oos	0.044366	0.044163	-0.46%	0.048109	+8.44%	0.1370	✓	2.39
2026-07-20	oos	0.043322	0.042978	-0.79%	0.047886	+10.54%	0.0359	✓	2.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.043592	0.043205	-0.89%	0.041719	-4.30%	0.0350	✓	2.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.046336	0.045791	-1.18%	0.039132	-15.55%	0.1460	✓	2.27
2026-07-17	oos	0.041387	0.041042	-0.83%	0.041845	+1.11%	0.0525	✗	1.98
2026-07-16	oos	0.043618	0.043218	-0.92%	0.039066	-10.44%	0.0781	✓	1.93
2026-07-15	oos	0.047648	0.04725	-0.84%	0.037082	-22.18%	0.1950	✓	1.73
2026-07-14	oos	0.050717	0.050181	-1.06%	0.037614	-25.84%	0.2460	✓	1.73
2026-07-13	oos	0.050208	0.049313	-1.78%	0.038149	-24.02%	0.2905	✓	1.85
2026-07-12	oos	0.054903	0.053809	-1.99%	0.037296	-32.07%	0.3606	✓	1.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.054401	0.053288	-2.05%	0.038765	-28.74%	0.3221	✓	1.78
2026-07-10	oos	0.051832	0.05102	-1.57%	0.040031	-22.77%	0.2630	✓	1.83
2026-07-09	oos	0.054605	0.053439	-2.14%	0.043324	-20.66%	0.2605	✓	1.87
2026-07-08	oos	0.052663	0.051432	-2.34%	0.038756	-26.41%	0.3685	✓	2.05
2026-07-07	oos	0.055374	0.054066	-2.36%	0.037333	-32.58%	0.4001	✓	2.01
2026-07-06	oos	0.059639	0.058002	-2.75%	0.038876	-34.81%	0.4188	✓	2.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.059466	0.057726	-2.93%	0.038449	-35.34%	0.4210	✓	2.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.064273	0.061721	-3.97%	0.037962	-40.94%	0.4982	✓	2.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.06707	0.063761	-4.93%	0.038423	-42.71%	0.5373	✓	1.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.064804	0.061428	-5.21%	0.038862	-40.03%	0.4989	✓	1.99
2026-07-01	oos	0.061492	0.058118	-5.49%	0.039347	-36.01%	0.4836	✓	2.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.052371	0.050037	-4.46%	0.043061	-17.78%	0.3466	✓	1.95
2026-06-29	oos	0.054438	0.051489	-5.42%	0.043863	-19.43%	0.2776	✓	1.95
2026-06-28	oos	0.050641	0.047583	-6.04%	0.04822	-4.78%	0.1225	✓	1.91
2026-06-27	oos	0.054499	0.050504	-7.33%	0.042755	-21.55%	0.2814	✓	1.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.055757	0.051441	-7.74%	0.05082	-8.85%	0.1735	✓	1.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.053004	0.049026	-7.51%	0.038615	-27.15%	0.3788	✓	1.89
2026-06-24	oos	0.05462	0.050485	-7.57%	0.038026	-30.38%	0.3742	✓	1.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.061169	0.056284	-7.99%	0.0385	-37.06%	0.4480	✓	1.81
2026-06-22	oos	0.065839	0.060385	-8.28%	0.040317	-38.76%	0.4618	✓	1.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.068421	0.062422	-8.77%	0.044366	-35.16%	0.4320	✓	1.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.070529	0.063996	-9.26%	0.043322	-38.58%	0.4165	✓	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.067218	0.061081	-9.13%	0.043592	-35.15%	0.3702	✓	1.75
2026-06-18	oos	0.066817	0.060697	-9.16%	0.046336	-30.65%	0.3231	✓	1.77
2026-06-17	oos	0.068936	0.062495	-9.34%	0.041387	-39.96%	0.3971	✓	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.074075	0.066427	-10.32%	0.043618	-41.12%	0.3713	✓	1.73
2026-06-15	oos	0.07769	0.068689	-11.59%	0.047648	-38.67%	0.3239	✓	1.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.082312	0.071634	-12.97%	0.050717	-38.38%	0.3259	✓	1.77
2026-06-13	oos	0.07797	0.068341	-12.35%	0.050208	-35.61%	0.2495	✓	1.72
2026-06-12	oos	0.071386	0.063245	-11.40%	0.054903	-23.09%	0.1468	✓	1.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.067829	0.060421	-10.92%	0.054401	-19.80%	0.1105	✓	1.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.066021	0.059034	-10.58%	0.051832	-21.49%	0.2043	✓	1.74
2026-06-09	oos	0.071643	0.063448	-11.44%	0.054605	-23.78%	0.1913	✓	1.73
2026-06-08	oos	0.077125	0.067435	-12.56%	0.052663	-31.72%	0.2250	✓	1.69
2026-06-07	oos	0.073677	0.064583	-12.34%	0.055374	-24.84%	0.1544	✓	1.66
2026-06-06	oos	0.072464	0.063746	-12.03%	0.059639	-17.70%	0.1521	✓	1.69
2026-06-05	oos	0.067914	0.060124	-11.47%	0.059466	-12.44%	0.0812	✓	1.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.06834	0.060235	-11.86%	0.064273	-5.95%	0.0851	✓	1.78
2026-06-03	oos	0.076015	0.06611	-13.03%	0.06707	-11.77%	0.0572	✓	1.78
2026-06-02	oos	0.069034	0.060539	-12.31%	0.064804	-6.13%	0.2237	✗	1.93
2026-06-01	oos	0.074536	0.064344	-13.67%	0.061492	-17.50%	0.2613	✗	1.77
2026-05-31	oos	0.07637	0.06563	-14.06%	0.052371	-31.42%	0.1815	✗	1.78
2026-05-30	oos	0.08534	0.07236	-15.21%	0.054438	-36.21%	0.0587	✓	1.68
2026-05-29	oos	0.086672	0.073387	-15.33%	0.050641	-41.57%	0.0137	✓	1.70
2026-05-28	oos	0.075982	0.065338	-14.01%	0.054499	-28.27%	0.1643	✗	1.69
2026-05-27	oos	0.063912	0.055149	-13.71%	0.055757	-12.76%	0.3860	✗	1.75
2026-05-26	oos	0.084221	0.071514	-15.09%	0.053004	-37.07%	0.0876	✓	1.62
2026-05-25	oos	0.103826	0.087207	-16.01%	0.05462	-47.39%	0.1274	✓	1.44
2026-05-24	oos	0.10912	0.091322	-16.31%	0.061169	-43.94%	0.1038	✓	1.44
2026-05-23	oos	0.114713	0.095847	-16.45%	0.065839	-42.61%	0.1158	✓	1.43
2026-05-22	oos	0.102325	0.08656	-15.41%	0.068421	-33.13%	0.0152	✓	1.42
2026-05-21	oos	0.116733	0.097782	-16.23%	0.070529	-39.58%	0.0728	✓	1.35
2026-05-20	oos	0.115211	0.096955	-15.85%	0.067218	-41.66%	0.0932	✓	1.37
2026-05-19	oos	0.108436	0.092258	-14.92%	0.066817	-38.38%	0.0494	✓	1.37
2026-05-18	oos	0.113559	0.096609	-14.93%	0.068936	-39.29%	0.0998	✓	1.34
2026-05-17	oos	0.11052	0.094653	-14.36%	0.074075	-32.98%	0.0225	✓	1.35
2026-05-16	oos	0.115287	0.098634	-14.44%	0.07769	-32.61%	0.0195	✓	1.33
2026-05-15	oos	0.117633	0.10062	-14.46%	0.082312	-30.03%	0.0538	✓	1.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.13098	0.110313	-15.78%	0.07797	-40.47%	0.0396	✓	1.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.1313	0.1091	-16.91%	0.071386	-45.63%	0.1292	✓	1.33
2026-05-12	oos	0.10436	0.088615	-15.09%	0.067829	-35.00%	0.0719	✓	1.44
2026-05-11	oos	0.118506	0.098528	-16.86%	0.066021	-44.29%	0.0017	✓	1.40
2026-05-10	oos	0.119429	0.09575	-19.83%	0.071643	-40.01%	0.1158	✓	1.41
2026-05-09	oos	0.055455	0.046179	-16.73%	0.077125	+39.08%	0.7897	✗	1.12
2026-05-08	oos	0.049767	0.041917	-15.77%	0.073677	+48.04%	0.8243	✗	1.10
2026-05-07	oos	0.04613	0.03921	-15.00%	0.072464	+57.09%	0.9203	✗	1.12
2026-05-06	oos	0.051663	0.043411	-15.97%	0.067914	+31.46%	0.7751	✗	1.14
2026-05-05	oos	0.042961	0.036875	-14.17%	0.06834	+59.07%	0.8745	✗	1.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.044384	0.037712	-15.03%	0.076015	+71.27%	0.9415	✗	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.051022	0.041259	-19.13%	0.069034	+35.30%	0.7070	✗	1.17
2026-05-02	oos	0.027771	0.024683	-11.12%	0.074536	+168.40%	1.2242	✗	1.21
2026-05-01	oos	0.021138	0.019614	-7.21%	0.07637	+261.29%	1.4325	✗	1.19
2026-04-30	oos	0.017079	0.01618	-5.26%	0.08534	+399.68%	1.7010	✗	1.13
2026-04-29	oos	0.017214	0.01638	-4.85%	0.086672	+403.50%	1.7023	✗	1.13
2026-04-28	oos	0.019348	0.018292	-5.46%	0.075982	+292.71%	1.4668	✗	1.14
2026-04-27	oos	0.017751	0.016825	-5.22%	0.063912	+260.05%	1.3810	✗	1.15
2026-04-26	oos	0.020579	0.019334	-6.05%	0.084221	+309.26%	1.5136	✗	1.14
2026-04-25	oos	0.021359	0.01999	-6.41%	0.103826	+386.10%	1.6535	✗	1.15
2026-04-24	oos	0.022413	0.020879	-6.84%	0.10912	+386.86%	1.6611	✗	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.021945	0.020563	-6.30%	0.114713	+422.73%	1.7438	✗	1.18
2026-04-22	oos	0.020439	0.019306	-5.54%	0.102325	+400.64%	1.7100	✗	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.020099	0.01899	-5.52%	0.116733	+480.79%	1.7975	✗	1.19
2026-04-20	oos	0.021041	0.019762	-6.08%	0.115211	+447.55%	1.7373	✗	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.021534	0.019992	-7.16%	0.108436	+403.56%	1.6384	✗	1.34
2026-04-18	oos	0.016351	0.015793	-3.41%	0.113559	+594.51%	1.9502	✗	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.014813	0.014437	-2.54%	0.11052	+646.10%	2.0296	✗	1.45
2026-04-16	oos	0.016833	0.01615	-4.05%	0.115287	+584.89%	1.9078	✗	1.50
2026-04-15	oos	0.015971	0.015391	-3.63%	0.117633	+636.54%	1.9516	✗	1.50
2026-04-14	oos	0.01568	0.015119	-3.57%	0.13098	+735.33%	2.0257	✗	1.50
2026-04-13	oos	0.0162	0.015594	-3.74%	0.1313	+710.49%	2.0369	✗	1.49
2026-04-12	oos	0.014801	0.014262	-3.64%	0.10436	+605.09%	1.7968	✗	1.50
2026-04-11	oos	0.016225	0.015568	-4.05%	0.118506	+630.39%	1.8638	✗	1.49
2026-04-10	oos	0.016809	0.01596	-5.05%	0.119429	+610.51%	1.8360	✗	1.49
2026-04-09	oos	0.011796	0.011742	-0.46%	0.055455	+370.12%	1.3877	✗	1.42
2026-04-08	oos	0.011923	0.011834	-0.75%	0.049767	+317.40%	1.2654	✗	1.42
2026-04-07	oos	0.012256	0.012167	-0.73%	0.04613	+276.39%	1.1814	✗	1.42
2026-04-06	oos	0.011104	0.01094	-1.48%	0.051663	+365.26%	1.3149	✗	1.41
2026-04-05	oos	0.011418	0.01122	-1.74%	0.042961	+276.26%	1.1175	✗	1.41
2026-04-04	oos	0.011593	0.011316	-2.39%	0.044384	+282.85%	1.1267	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.01142	0.011151	-2.36%	0.051022	+346.78%	1.2929	✗	1.43
2026-04-02	oos	0.011454	0.011167	-2.51%	0.027771	+142.46%	0.6791	✗	1.43
2026-04-01	oos	0.012049	0.011731	-2.64%	0.021138	+75.43%	0.3890	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.012335	0.012019	-2.56%	0.017079	+38.46%	0.1867	✗	1.47
2026-03-30	oos	0.01199	0.011713	-2.31%	0.017214	+43.57%	0.1980	✗	1.48
2026-03-29	oos	0.01185	0.011594	-2.16%	0.019348	+63.27%	0.2967	✗	1.48
2026-03-28	oos	0.012297	0.012046	-2.04%	0.017751	+44.35%	0.1598	✗	1.48
2026-03-27	oos	0.011262	0.01109	-1.53%	0.020579	+82.73%	0.3668	✗	1.48
2026-03-26	oos	0.011196	0.011182	-0.12%	0.021359	+90.77%	0.4647	✗	1.50
2026-03-25	oos	0.012216	0.012399	+1.50%	0.022413	+83.47%	0.4684	✓	1.49
2026-03-24	oos	0.01236	0.0125	+1.13%	0.021945	+77.55%	0.4070	✓	1.50
2026-03-23	oos	0.01244	0.012622	+1.47%	0.020439	+64.30%	0.3349	✓	1.49
2026-03-22	oos	0.011844	0.01182	-0.20%	0.020099	+69.70%	0.3530	✗	1.51
2026-03-21	oos	0.012769	0.012786	+0.13%	0.021041	+64.78%	0.3540	✓	1.50
2026-03-20	oos	0.013328	0.013431	+0.77%	0.021534	+61.57%	0.4029	✓	1.50
2026-03-19	oos	0.01359	0.013671	+0.60%	0.016351	+20.32%	0.0592	✓	1.50
2026-03-18	oos	0.014035	0.014193	+1.13%	0.014813	+5.54%	0.0733	✗	1.47
2026-03-17	oos	0.015245	0.015467	+1.46%	0.016833	+10.42%	0.0605	✓	1.46
2026-03-16	oos	0.014646	0.014973	+2.23%	0.015971	+9.05%	0.0655	✓	1.47
2026-03-15	oos	0.014532	0.014808	+1.90%	0.01568	+7.90%	0.0295	✓	1.51
2026-03-14	oos	0.013737	0.013976	+1.74%	0.0162	+17.93%	0.0810	✓	1.51
2026-03-13	oos	0.013603	0.013847	+1.80%	0.014801	+8.81%	0.0707	✓	1.52
2026-03-12	oos	0.013909	0.014141	+1.67%	0.016225	+16.65%	0.0832	✓	1.53
2026-03-11	oos	0.013887	0.01412	+1.67%	0.016809	+21.04%	0.1164	✓	1.49
2026-03-10	oos	0.014101	0.014323	+1.57%	0.011796	-16.35%	0.2329	✗	1.50
2026-03-09	oos	0.013936	0.014111	+1.26%	0.011923	-14.44%	0.2259	✗	1.51
2026-03-08	oos	0.013428	0.013527	+0.74%	0.012256	-8.73%	0.2298	✗	1.52
2026-03-07	oos	0.0141	0.014241	+1.00%	0.011104	-21.25%	0.2847	✗	1.53
2026-03-06	oos	0.014489	0.01466	+1.18%	0.011418	-21.20%	0.2701	✗	1.54
2026-03-05	oos	0.015377	0.015577	+1.30%	0.011593	-24.61%	0.2152	✗	1.54
2026-03-04	oos	0.015364	0.015574	+1.37%	0.01142	-25.67%	0.1844	✗	1.53
2026-03-03	oos	0.015245	0.015353	+0.71%	0.011454	-24.87%	0.2583	✗	1.63
2026-03-02	oos	0.015028	0.015168	+0.93%	0.012049	-19.82%	0.2131	✗	1.63
2026-03-01	oos	0.014585	0.014681	+0.66%	0.012335	-15.43%	0.2351	✗	1.67
2026-02-28	oos	0.015156	0.01526	+0.68%	0.01199	-20.89%	0.2353	✗	1.71
2026-02-27	oos	0.015152	0.015214	+0.41%	0.01185	-21.79%	0.2524	✗	1.71
2026-02-26	oos	0.015637	0.015687	+0.32%	0.012297	-21.36%	0.2135	✗	1.72
2026-02-25	oos	0.016497	0.016441	-0.34%	0.011262	-31.73%	0.3365	✓	1.71
2026-02-24	oos	0.015577	0.015525	-0.33%	0.011196	-28.12%	0.4499	✓	1.74
2026-02-23	oos	0.015402	0.015395	-0.05%	0.012216	-20.69%	0.3984	✓	1.70
2026-02-22	oos	0.015946	0.015939	-0.04%	0.01236	-22.49%	0.3271	✓	1.73
2026-02-21	oos	0.016789	0.016673	-0.69%	0.01244	-25.90%	0.3661	✓	1.74
2026-02-20	oos	0.018878	0.018401	-2.53%	0.011844	-37.26%	0.4370	✓	1.74
2026-02-19	oos	0.016883	0.01668	-1.21%	0.012769	-24.37%	0.3161	✓	1.71
2026-02-18	oos	0.015944	0.015853	-0.57%	0.013328	-16.41%	0.2756	✓	1.71
2026-02-17	oos	0.015125	0.015149	+0.16%	0.01359	-10.15%	0.1675	✗	1.65
2026-02-16	oos	0.015343	0.015346	+0.02%	0.014035	-8.53%	0.1457	✗	1.66
2026-02-15	oos	0.014757	0.014823	+0.45%	0.015245	+3.31%	0.0934	✗	1.69
2026-02-14	oos	0.016816	0.016585	-1.38%	0.014646	-12.90%	0.2432	✓	1.69
2026-02-13	oos	0.015044	0.015021	-0.15%	0.014532	-3.40%	0.1276	✓	1.67
2026-02-12	oos	0.014501	0.014571	+0.49%	0.013737	-5.27%	0.1820	✗	1.68
2026-02-11	oos	0.015041	0.015083	+0.28%	0.013603	-9.56%	0.2034	✗	1.76
2026-02-10	oos	0.015571	0.01555	-0.14%	0.013909	-10.67%	0.1554	✓	1.77
2026-02-09	oos	0.01632	0.016184	-0.84%	0.013887	-14.91%	0.1557	✓	1.76
2026-02-08	oos	0.016504	0.016347	-0.95%	0.014101	-14.56%	0.1396	✓	1.81
2026-02-07	oos	0.016871	0.016698	-1.03%	0.013936	-17.40%	0.1593	✓	1.82
2026-02-06	oos	0.01778	0.017416	-2.05%	0.013428	-24.48%	0.1356	✓	1.86
2026-02-05	oos	0.015059	0.015264	+1.36%	0.0141	-6.37%	0.2140	✗	1.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.017318	0.017009	-1.79%	0.014489	-16.34%	0.0192	✗	2.59
2026-02-03	oos	0.017718	0.017384	-1.89%	0.015377	-13.21%	0.0530	✗	2.69
2026-02-02	oos	0.020235	0.019547	-3.40%	0.015364	-24.07%	0.0329	✓	2.63
2026-02-01	oos	0.017641	0.017285	-2.02%	0.015245	-13.58%	0.1811	✗	2.60
2026-01-31	oos	0.017935	0.017578	-1.99%	0.015028	-16.21%	0.2094	✗	2.75
2026-01-30	oos	0.01915	0.018679	-2.46%	0.014585	-23.84%	0.4770	✗	2.94
2026-01-29	oos	0.02071	0.020097	-2.96%	0.015156	-26.82%	0.4007	✗	2.93
2026-01-28	oos	0.022679	0.021933	-3.29%	0.015152	-33.19%	0.5460	✗	3.02
2026-01-27	oos	0.024479	0.023504	-3.98%	0.015637	-36.12%	0.4389	✗	3.05
2026-01-26	oos	0.022605	0.021789	-3.61%	0.016497	-27.02%	0.5037	✗	3.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.022063	0.021259	-3.65%	0.015577	-29.40%	0.5969	✗	3.02
2026-01-24	oos	0.024473	0.023404	-4.37%	0.015402	-37.07%	0.5475	✗	3.01
2026-01-23	oos	0.026456	0.02515	-4.94%	0.015946	-39.73%	0.4087	✗	3.09
2026-01-22	oos	0.032191	0.029878	-7.19%	0.016789	-47.85%	0.2738	✗	3.09
2026-01-21	oos	0.023171	0.021977	-5.15%	0.018878	-18.53%	0.6850	✗	3.06
2026-01-20	oos	0.018313	0.017741	-3.12%	0.016883	-7.81%	0.7712	✗	2.97
2026-01-19	oos	0.023505	0.022483	-4.35%	0.015944	-32.17%	0.6017	✗	2.85
2026-01-18	oos	0.02579	0.024615	-4.56%	0.015125	-41.35%	0.4472	✗	2.85
2026-01-17	oos	0.02673	0.025661	-4.00%	0.015343	-42.60%	0.4050	✗	2.85
2026-01-16	oos	0.027192	0.026154	-3.82%	0.014757	-45.73%	0.3523	✗	2.82
2026-01-15	oos	0.029237	0.028214	-3.50%	0.016816	-42.48%	0.3797	✗	2.85
2026-01-14	oos	0.030749	0.029941	-2.63%	0.015044	-51.07%	0.2918	✗	2.86
2026-01-13	oos	0.031931	0.030879	-3.29%	0.014501	-54.59%	0.2996	✗	2.89
2026-01-12	oos	0.028533	0.02755	-3.45%	0.015041	-47.29%	0.2999	✗	2.94
2026-01-11	oos	0.029619	0.028662	-3.23%	0.015571	-47.43%	0.2177	✗	2.98
2026-01-10	oos	0.029067	0.028197	-2.99%	0.01632	-43.85%	0.2122	✗	2.99
2026-01-09	oos	0.030445	0.029505	-3.09%	0.016504	-45.79%	0.2160	✗	3.15
2026-01-08	oos	0.032313	0.031133	-3.65%	0.016871	-47.79%	0.2559	✗	3.18
2026-01-07	oos	0.032088	0.030884	-3.75%	0.01778	-44.59%	0.2704	✗	3.19
2026-01-06	oos	0.036131	0.034476	-4.58%	0.015059	-58.32%	0.4424	✗	3.17
2026-01-05	oos	0.03737	0.035509	-4.98%	0.017318	-53.66%	0.0822	✗	3.18
2026-01-04	oos	0.039302	0.03703	-5.78%	0.017718	-54.92%	0.1128	✓	3.29
2026-01-03	oos	0.033125	0.031839	-3.88%	0.020235	-38.91%	0.0032	✓	3.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.032199	0.031005	-3.71%	0.017641	-45.21%	0.0594	✓	3.22
2026-01-01	oos	0.029207	0.028363	-2.89%	0.017935	-38.59%	0.0744	✓	3.18
2025-12-31	oos	0.024929	0.024506	-1.70%	0.01915	-23.18%	0.1241	✓	3.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.027256	0.026727	-1.94%	0.02071	-24.02%	0.1152	✓	3.11
2025-12-29	oos	0.026787	0.026251	-2.00%	0.022679	-15.34%	0.2177	✓	3.07
2025-12-28	oos	0.028949	0.028231	-2.48%	0.024479	-15.44%	0.1855	✓	3.06
2025-12-27	oos	0.029139	0.028443	-2.39%	0.022605	-22.42%	0.2449	✓	3.03
2025-12-26	oos	0.029035	0.028398	-2.19%	0.022063	-24.01%	0.2263	✓	3.09
2025-12-25	oos	0.029036	0.02843	-2.09%	0.024473	-15.71%	0.2166	✓	3.08
2025-12-24	oos	0.029699	0.02907	-2.12%	0.026456	-10.92%	0.1595	✓	3.10
2025-12-23	oos	0.030548	0.029949	-1.96%	0.032191	+5.38%	0.0054	✓	2.91
2025-12-22	oos	0.033229	0.032516	-2.14%	0.023171	-30.27%	0.3649	✓	2.87
2025-12-21	oos	0.03253	0.031919	-1.88%	0.018313	-43.70%	0.5449	✓	2.87
2025-12-20	oos	0.032407	0.031845	-1.74%	0.023505	-27.47%	0.4316	✓	2.73
2025-12-19	oos	0.034559	0.033852	-2.05%	0.02579	-25.38%	0.4392	✓	2.74
2025-12-18	oos	0.035919	0.034965	-2.66%	0.02673	-25.58%	0.5701	✓	2.82
2025-12-17	oos	0.037548	0.036471	-2.87%	0.027192	-27.58%	0.5816	✓	2.81
2025-12-16	oos	0.038119	0.03698	-2.99%	0.029237	-23.30%	0.4712	✓	2.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.032456	0.031848	-1.87%	0.030749	-5.26%	0.3511	✓	2.75
2025-12-14	oos	0.035177	0.03442	-2.15%	0.031931	-9.23%	0.2907	✓	2.74
2025-12-13	oos	0.038643	0.037755	-2.30%	0.028533	-26.16%	0.3081	✓	2.73
2025-12-12	oos	0.03879	0.037858	-2.40%	0.029619	-23.64%	0.2634	✓	2.73
2025-12-11	oos	0.035229	0.034759	-1.33%	0.029067	-17.49%	0.1119	✓	2.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.031928	0.031698	-0.72%	0.030445	-4.64%	0.0064	✓	2.80
2025-12-09	oos	0.034859	0.034475	-1.10%	0.032313	-7.30%	0.0139	✓	2.81
2025-12-08	oos	0.033084	0.032713	-1.12%	0.032088	-3.01%	0.0383	✓	2.76
2025-12-07	oos	0.027594	0.027548	-0.17%	0.036131	+30.94%	0.1724	✗	2.74
2025-12-06	oos	0.025938	0.025943	+0.02%	0.03737	+44.07%	0.2270	✓	2.74
2025-12-05	oos	0.028883	0.028933	+0.17%	0.039302	+36.07%	0.2409	✓	2.75
2025-12-04	oos	0.028854	0.029116	+0.91%	0.033125	+14.80%	0.1751	✓	2.82
2025-12-03	oos	0.033821	0.033966	+0.43%	0.032199	-4.80%	0.0526	✓	2.78
2025-12-02	oos	0.032976	0.033071	+0.29%	0.029207	-11.43%	0.0450	✗	2.78
2025-12-01	oos	0.029651	0.029749	+0.33%	0.024929	-15.93%	0.2167	✗	2.86
2025-11-30	oos	0.034603	0.034624	+0.06%	0.027256	-21.23%	0.1738	✗	2.97
2025-11-29	oos	0.035765	0.035792	+0.08%	0.026787	-25.10%	0.1671	✗	2.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.038231	0.038075	-0.41%	0.028949	-24.28%	0.1747	✓	2.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.039315	0.039045	-0.69%	0.029139	-25.88%	0.1784	✓	2.92
2025-11-26	oos	0.041459	0.040812	-1.56%	0.029035	-29.97%	0.2345	✓	2.97
2025-11-25	oos	0.042225	0.041332	-2.12%	0.029036	-31.24%	0.3477	✓	3.10
2025-11-24	oos	0.042309	0.041211	-2.60%	0.029699	-29.80%	0.3043	✓	3.11
2025-11-23	oos	0.03884	0.038082	-1.95%	0.030548	-21.35%	0.2424	✓	3.09
2025-11-22	oos	0.038014	0.037319	-1.83%	0.033229	-12.59%	0.2579	✓	3.17
2025-11-21	oos	0.035996	0.035548	-1.25%	0.03253	-9.63%	0.2185	✓	3.16
2025-11-20	oos	0.038646	0.037859	-2.04%	0.032407	-16.14%	0.2203	✓	3.17
2025-11-19	oos	0.038101	0.037454	-1.70%	0.034559	-9.30%	0.0530	✗	3.56
2025-11-18	oos	0.039606	0.038723	-2.23%	0.035919	-9.31%	0.2212	✗	3.54
2025-11-17	oos	0.032313	0.032339	+0.08%	0.037548	+16.20%	0.3863	✓	3.59
2025-11-16	oos	0.035815	0.035634	-0.51%	0.038119	+6.43%	0.3073	✗	3.45
2025-11-15	oos	0.036976	0.036857	-0.32%	0.032456	-12.22%	0.2216	✗	3.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.03601	0.036392	+1.06%	0.035177	-2.31%	0.2070	✓	3.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.044999	0.044259	-1.65%	0.038643	-14.12%	0.2027	✗	3.43
2025-11-12	oos	0.04727	0.046196	-2.27%	0.03879	-17.94%	0.2337	✗	3.45
2025-11-11	oos	0.047855	0.046716	-2.38%	0.035229	-26.38%	0.0887	✗	3.46
2025-11-10	oos	0.057997	0.054993	-5.18%	0.031928	-44.95%	0.0652	✓	3.39
2025-11-09	oos	0.056993	0.054071	-5.13%	0.034859	-38.84%	0.0251	✓	3.40
2025-11-08	oos	0.047953	0.04661	-2.80%	0.033084	-31.01%	0.0578	✗	3.32
2025-11-07	oos	0.052006	0.04997	-3.91%	0.027594	-46.94%	0.1532	✓	3.31
2025-11-06	oos	0.043195	0.043075	-0.28%	0.025938	-39.95%	0.1005	✓	3.22
2025-11-05	oos	0.050941	0.049653	-2.53%	0.028883	-43.30%	0.0652	✓	3.16
2025-11-04	oos	0.051417	0.050558	-1.67%	0.028854	-43.88%	0.2639	✓	3.06
2025-11-03	oos	0.059831	0.057756	-3.47%	0.033821	-43.47%	0.1200	✓	3.16
2025-11-02	oos	0.078164	0.073899	-5.46%	0.032976	-57.81%	0.2599	✓	2.86
2025-11-01	oos	0.079799	0.075355	-5.57%	0.029651	-62.84%	0.2231	✓	2.92
2025-10-31	oos	0.082447	0.077765	-5.68%	0.034603	-58.03%	0.2406	✓	2.96
2025-10-30	oos	0.083171	0.078671	-5.41%	0.035765	-57.00%	0.2707	✓	2.94
2025-10-29	oos	0.092022	0.086702	-5.78%	0.038231	-58.45%	0.2996	✓	2.72
2025-10-28	oos	0.095911	0.090114	-6.04%	0.039315	-59.01%	0.2652	✓	2.66
2025-10-27	oos	0.101254	0.094483	-6.69%	0.041459	-59.05%	0.2101	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.101013	0.094004	-6.94%	0.042225	-58.20%	0.0857	✓	2.63
2025-10-25	oos	0.084765	0.080106	-5.50%	0.042309	-50.09%	0.0238	✓	2.61
2025-10-24	oos	0.086585	0.082057	-5.23%	0.03884	-55.14%	0.0430	✓	2.86
2025-10-23	oos	0.084859	0.080572	-5.05%	0.038014	-55.20%	0.0104	✓	2.90
2025-10-22	oos	0.081677	0.078014	-4.48%	0.035996	-55.93%	0.0842	✓	2.94
2025-10-21	oos	0.08843	0.084279	-4.69%	0.038646	-56.30%	0.1230	✓	2.92
2025-10-20	oos	0.097409	0.092144	-5.41%	0.038101	-60.89%	0.3285	✓	2.92
2025-10-19	oos	0.095651	0.090517	-5.37%	0.039606	-58.59%	0.3854	✓	2.82
2025-10-18	oos	0.099645	0.093919	-5.75%	0.032313	-67.57%	0.6295	✓	2.88
2025-10-17	oos	0.085138	0.081687	-4.05%	0.035815	-57.93%	0.4784	✓	2.82
2025-10-16	oos	0.091482	0.087626	-4.21%	0.036976	-59.58%	0.5150	✓	2.80
2025-10-15	oos	0.098	0.093606	-4.48%	0.03601	-63.26%	0.5076	✓	2.81
2025-10-14	oos	0.112299	0.106108	-5.51%	0.044999	-59.93%	0.5111	✓	2.74
2025-10-13	oos	0.127404	0.118386	-7.08%	0.04727	-62.90%	0.5829	✓	2.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.113702	0.106474	-6.36%	0.047855	-57.91%	0.5009	✓	2.70
2025-10-11	oos	0.088263	0.084422	-4.35%	0.057997	-34.29%	0.2666	✓	2.46
2025-10-10	oos	0.100527	0.095513	-4.99%	0.056993	-43.31%	0.3421	✓	2.29
2025-10-09	oos	0.128993	0.120779	-6.37%	0.047953	-62.83%	0.5984	✓	1.87
2025-10-08	oos	0.135084	0.127123	-5.89%	0.052006	-61.50%	0.5857	✓	1.74
2025-10-07	oos	0.126468	0.117877	-6.79%	0.043195	-65.85%	0.6754	✓	1.81
2025-10-06	oos	0.142165	0.134452	-5.43%	0.050941	-64.17%	0.6589	✓	1.70
2025-10-05	oos	0.141855	0.13361	-5.81%	0.051417	-63.75%	0.6142	✓	1.73
2025-10-04	oos	0.145562	0.13651	-6.22%	0.059831	-58.90%	0.5759	✓	1.79
2025-10-03	oos	0.160385	0.15079	-5.98%	0.078164	-51.26%	0.4746	✓	1.80
2025-10-02	oos	0.164899	0.154003	-6.61%	0.079799	-51.61%	0.4879	✓	1.85
2025-10-01	oos	0.152239	0.140715	-7.57%	0.082447	-45.84%	0.3795	✓	1.94
2025-09-30	oos	0.143427	0.131868	-8.06%	0.083171	-42.01%	0.3596	✓	1.96
2025-09-29	oos	0.1601	0.146695	-8.37%	0.092022	-42.52%	0.3710	✓	2.47
2025-09-28	oos	0.163044	0.148763	-8.76%	0.095911	-41.17%	0.4554	✓	2.61
2025-09-27	oos	0.138059	0.126741	-8.20%	0.101254	-26.66%	0.3165	✓	2.34
2025-09-26	oos	0.169959	0.15384	-9.48%	0.101013	-40.57%	0.5203	✓	2.30
2025-09-25	oos	0.153142	0.13809	-9.83%	0.084765	-44.65%	0.5425	✓	2.29
2025-09-24	oos	0.136167	0.122665	-9.92%	0.086585	-36.41%	0.2924	✓	2.72
2025-09-23	oos	0.142865	0.127177	-10.98%	0.084859	-40.60%	0.3561	✓	2.83
2025-09-22	oos	0.137713	0.121553	-11.73%	0.081677	-40.69%	0.2626	✓	2.89
2025-09-21	oos	0.107217	0.096383	-10.10%	0.08843	-17.52%	0.1203	✗	3.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.109754	0.098353	-10.39%	0.097409	-11.25%	0.1471	✗	3.42
2025-09-19	oos	0.121625	0.108041	-11.17%	0.095651	-21.36%	0.0996	✓	3.54
2025-09-18	oos	0.123611	0.109454	-11.45%	0.099645	-19.39%	0.2131	✗	3.47

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.