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SUP

Superfluid · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id
#884
symbol
SUP
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0xd05001db979ff2f1a3b2105875d3454e90dd2961
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-05
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
221
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
73.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3780
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0453
actual -0.3748

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos0.00024850.000250733+0.90%–pending––0.66
2026-10-21oos0.00024850.000250761+0.91%–pending––0.70
2026-10-20oos0.0002540.000254513+0.20%–pending––0.65
2026-10-19oos0.00027450.000271234-1.19%–pending––0.65
2026-10-18oos0.0002350.000228938-2.58%–pending––0.69
2026-10-17oos0.0002070.000193215-6.66%–pending––0.67
2026-10-16oos0.00025250.000240918-4.59%–pending––0.64
2026-10-15oos0.000250.000234012-6.40%–pending––0.67
2026-10-14oos0.00019650.000157971-19.61%–pending––0.64
2026-10-13oos0.0002430.000216526-10.89%–pending––0.50
2026-10-12oos0.0002570.000224866-12.50%–pending––0.51
2026-10-11oos0.00028150.000257342-8.58%–pending––0.51
2026-10-10oos0.00030150.000278927-7.49%–pending––0.51
2026-10-09oos0.00033650.00032003-4.89%–pending––0.51
2026-10-08oos0.00061250.000611233-0.21%–pending––0.59
2026-10-07oos0.0006860.000678998-1.02%–pending––0.49
2026-10-06oos0.0005510.000559565+1.55%–pending––0.71
2026-10-05oos0.00054950.000560581+2.02%–pending––0.73
2026-10-04oos0.0005780.000593124+2.62%–pending––0.73
2026-10-03oos0.00058350.000587309+0.65%–pending––0.74
2026-10-02oos0.00061050.000611502+0.16%–pending––0.74
2026-10-01oos0.00059450.000599727+0.88%–pending––0.76
2026-09-30oos0.0005880.000587793-0.04%–pending––0.73
2026-09-29oos0.00063650.000644189+1.21%–pending––0.76
2026-09-28oos0.00067150.000680245+1.30%–pending––0.76
2026-09-27oos0.000660.000677104+2.59%–pending––0.76
2026-09-26oos0.0006580.000679866+3.32%–pending––0.78
2026-09-25oos0.0006360.000652678+2.62%–pending––0.80
2026-09-24oos0.0005910.000612972+3.72%–pending––0.83
2026-09-23oos0.0006160.000641556+4.15%–pending––0.83
2026-09-22oos0.0006690.000697738+4.30%0.0002485-62.86%1.0132✗0.83
2026-09-21oos0.0005510.000580457+5.35%0.0002485-54.90%0.8185✗0.99
2026-09-20oos0.00044850.000453089+1.02%0.000254-43.37%0.5917✗0.60
2026-09-19oos0.0004820.000491254+1.92%0.0002745-43.05%0.5856✗0.48
2026-09-18oos0.00048850.000502702+2.91%0.000235-51.89%0.7660✗0.40
2026-09-17oos0.0004810.0004871+1.27%0.000207-56.96%0.8981✗0.66
2026-09-16oos0.00050450.000502956-0.31%0.0002525-49.95%0.7308✓0.61
2026-09-15oos0.00050.000494939-1.01%0.00025-50.00%0.7272✓0.53
2026-09-14oos0.0005020.000505055+0.61%0.0001965-60.86%0.9701✗0.61
2026-09-13oos0.00052350.000531078+1.45%0.000243-53.58%0.8260✗0.56
2026-09-12oos0.00049650.000501165+0.94%0.000257-48.24%0.6982✗0.54
2026-09-11oos0.0005190.000521112+0.41%0.0002815-45.76%0.6602✗0.55
2026-09-10oos0.0006110.000608984-0.33%0.0003015-50.65%0.7492✓0.58
2026-09-09oos0.0004630.000456076-1.50%0.0003365-27.32%0.3478✓0.83
2026-09-08oos0.0005230.000524174+0.22%0.0006125+17.11%0.1221✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0005590.000564993+1.07%0.000686+22.72%0.1522✓0.81
2026-09-06oos0.00058250.000595032+2.15%0.000551-5.41%0.1328✗0.89
2026-09-05oos0.0005920.000605357+2.26%0.0005495-7.18%0.1591✗0.87
2026-09-04oos0.00057250.000588167+2.74%0.000578+0.96%0.1064✗1.08
2026-09-03oos0.00069050.000716996+3.84%0.0005835-15.50%0.2481✗1.00
2026-09-02oos0.0006910.000701469+1.52%0.0006105-11.65%0.2194✗0.90
2026-09-01oos0.0006850.000697697+1.85%0.0005945-13.21%0.2455✗0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0006440.000656039+1.87%0.000588-8.70%0.1628✗0.86
2026-08-30oos0.0006890.000700715+1.70%0.0006365-7.62%0.1536✗0.78
2026-08-29oos0.00074650.00075434+1.05%0.0006715-10.05%0.1638✗0.73
2026-08-28oos0.00071250.000716054+0.50%0.00066-7.37%0.1414✗0.73
2026-08-27oos0.000730.000742294+1.68%0.000658-9.86%0.1581✗0.75
2026-08-26oos0.00078050.000788739+1.06%0.000636-18.51%0.2630✗0.77
2026-08-25oos0.000820.00083658+2.02%0.000591-27.93%0.4029✗0.77
2026-08-24oos0.0008160.000832959+2.08%0.000616-24.51%0.3514✗0.75
2026-08-23oos0.0008210.000835583+1.78%0.000669-18.51%0.3023✗0.77
2026-08-22oos0.0008570.000870874+1.62%0.000551-35.71%0.5491✗0.78
2026-08-21oos0.0008450.000858283+1.57%0.0004485-46.92%0.6774✗0.80
2026-08-20oos0.00074250.000680643-8.33%0.000482-35.08%0.4131✓0.64
2026-08-19oos0.00078450.000713622-9.03%0.0004885-37.73%0.4903✓0.72
2026-08-18oos0.0007690.000686913-10.67%0.000481-37.45%0.4811✓0.75
2026-08-17oos0.0009760.00094074-3.61%0.0005045-48.31%0.7538✓0.79
2026-08-16oos0.0009970.000959082-3.80%0.0005-49.85%0.8015✓0.81
2026-08-15oos0.0014310.001413-1.27%0.000502-64.92%1.2085✓0.81
2026-08-14oos0.0015580.001539-1.28%0.0005235-66.41%1.2377✓0.80
2026-08-13oos0.0017260.00169-2.09%0.0004965-71.24%1.3914✓0.84
2026-08-12oos0.0017280.001691-2.12%0.000519-69.96%1.3046✓0.63
2026-08-11oos0.0018950.001841-2.83%0.000611-67.76%1.1828✓0.43
2026-08-10oos0.0020760.002003-3.51%0.000463-77.70%1.5586✓0.46
2026-08-09oos0.0020690.002011-2.77%0.000523-74.72%1.4171✓0.37
2026-08-08oos0.0022770.002202-3.29%0.000559-75.45%1.4496✓0.40
2026-08-07oos0.0024550.002357-3.97%0.0005825-76.27%1.4745✓0.36
2026-08-06oos0.0024550.002348-4.38%0.000592-75.89%1.4540✓0.35
2026-08-05oos0.0025920.002463-4.98%0.0005725-77.91%1.5303✓0.34
2026-08-04oos0.0023330.002224-4.66%0.0006905-70.40%1.1608✓-0.04
2026-08-03oos0.0023080.002195-4.91%0.000691-70.06%1.1425✓-0.07
2026-08-02oos0.0022490.002142-4.76%0.000685-69.54%1.1351✓-0.02
2026-08-01oos0.002390.002254-5.70%0.000644-73.05%1.2473✓-0.02
2026-07-31oos0.0023260.002194-5.69%0.000689-70.38%1.1523✓-0.03
2026-07-30oos0.0023570.002218-5.91%0.0007465-68.33%1.0847✓-0.02
2026-07-29oos0.0023950.002243-6.34%0.0007125-70.25%1.1596✓0.06
2026-07-28oos0.0024650.002302-6.58%0.00073-70.38%1.1603✓0.05
2026-07-27oos0.002310.002155-6.72%0.0007805-66.21%1.0282✓0.06
2026-07-26oos0.0025310.002357-6.87%0.00082-67.60%1.0491✓-0.04
2026-07-25oos0.0026350.002446-7.19%0.000816-69.03%1.0968✓-0.00
2026-07-24oos0.0023310.002164-7.15%0.000821-64.77%0.9624✓-0.03
2026-07-23oos0.0025930.0024-7.43%0.000857-66.95%1.0161✓-0.08
2026-07-22oos0.0024650.00228-7.48%0.000845-65.71%0.9902✓-0.01
2026-07-21oos0.0023840.002201-7.65%0.0007425-68.85%1.0880✓0.01
2026-07-20oos0.002360.002171-7.98%0.0007845-66.75%1.0165✓-0.03
2026-07-19oos0.0024210.002227-8.00%0.000769-68.24%1.0634✓-0.01
2026-07-18oos0.0024670.002261-8.33%0.000976-60.44%0.8407✓-0.09
2026-07-17oos0.002440.002221-8.97%0.000997-59.14%0.8023✓-0.08
2026-07-16oos0.0025540.002316-9.35%0.001431-43.98%0.4824✓-0.09
2026-07-15oos0.0024640.002228-9.60%0.001558-36.75%0.3592✓-0.07
2026-07-14oos0.0025560.002309-9.66%0.001726-32.44%0.2920✓-0.06
2026-07-13oos0.0024840.002221-10.57%0.001728-30.45%0.2492✓-0.12
2026-07-12oos0.002540.002274-10.46%0.001895-25.38%0.1826✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0026550.002375-10.53%0.002076-21.79%0.1346✓0.04
2026-07-10oos0.0022370.001967-12.09%0.002069-7.55%0.0493✓0.10
2026-07-09oos0.0025650.00227-11.50%0.002277-11.23%0.0012✓0.16
2026-07-08oos0.0025830.002276-11.87%0.002455-4.97%0.0688✓0.16
2026-07-07oos0.0027620.002444-11.51%0.002455-11.10%0.0029✓0.12
2026-07-06oos0.0029330.002612-10.96%0.002592-11.63%0.0081✓0.06
2026-07-05oos0.0029030.002573-11.38%0.002333-19.63%0.0972✓-0.09
2026-07-04oos0.0029270.002596-11.33%0.002308-21.16%0.1170✓-0.08
2026-07-03oos0.0027910.002477-11.23%0.002249-19.41%0.0951✓-0.10
2026-07-02oos0.0029620.00264-10.89%0.00239-19.31%0.0978✓-0.07
2026-07-01oos0.0027790.00245-11.81%0.002326-16.29%0.0461✓-0.13
2026-06-30oos0.0028180.002492-11.54%0.002357-16.34%0.0445✓-0.11
2026-06-29oos0.0028860.002574-10.80%0.002395-17.01%0.0644✓-0.13
2026-06-28oos0.0026460.002377-10.17%0.002465-6.88%0.0442✓-0.12
2026-06-27oos0.0028870.002617-9.33%0.00231-19.97%0.1177✓-0.12
2026-06-26oos0.003110.00283-9.01%0.002531-18.63%0.1023✓-0.11
2026-06-25oos0.0031060.00283-8.89%0.002635-15.18%0.0633✓-0.11
2026-06-24oos0.0033670.003071-8.80%0.002331-30.79%0.2711✓-0.10
2026-06-23oos0.0040830.003683-9.80%0.002593-36.49%0.3435✓-0.20
2026-06-22oos0.0036950.003397-8.06%0.002465-33.30%0.3168✓-0.12
2026-06-21oos0.006010.00522-13.14%0.002384-60.34%0.7868✓0.06
2026-06-20oos0.0053330.004619-13.40%0.00236-55.76%0.6741✓0.16
2026-06-19oos0.0020.00194-3.02%0.002421+21.05%0.2249✗-0.17
2026-06-18oos0.002530.002448-3.20%0.002467-2.47%0.0105✓-0.10
2026-06-17oos0.0023760.002327-2.08%0.00244+2.69%0.0472✗-0.05
2026-06-16oos0.0026290.002563-2.53%0.002554-2.85%0.0068✓-0.12
2026-06-15oos0.0022170.002194-1.00%0.002464+11.17%0.1161✗0.01
2026-06-14oos0.0026860.002608-2.91%0.002556-4.86%0.0199✓0.04
2026-06-13oos0.0026450.002573-2.71%0.002484-6.09%0.0353✓-0.00
2026-06-12oos0.0027040.002623-2.98%0.00254-6.08%0.0324✓-0.04
2026-06-11oos0.0030630.002935-4.20%0.002655-13.35%0.1003✓-0.02
2026-06-10oos0.0029880.002896-3.06%0.002237-25.10%0.2552✓-0.07
2026-06-09oos0.0029880.002904-2.84%0.002565-14.17%0.1231✓-0.04
2026-06-08oos0.0034730.003345-3.68%0.002583-25.63%0.2602✓-0.12
2026-06-07oos0.0031970.003108-2.78%0.002762-13.61%0.1180✓-0.09
2026-06-06oos0.0025870.002556-1.19%0.002933+13.37%0.1551✗-0.35
2026-06-05oos0.002950.002889-2.07%0.002903-1.59%0.0179✓-0.32
2026-06-04oos0.0028320.00278-1.84%0.002927+3.37%0.0487✗-0.27
2026-06-03oos0.0033180.003219-2.98%0.002791-15.90%0.1480✓-0.21
2026-06-02oos0.0031980.003124-2.32%0.002962-7.38%0.0675✓-0.18
2026-06-01oos0.0032510.003219-0.98%0.002779-14.53%0.1830✓-0.21
2026-05-31oos0.0032590.003267+0.25%0.002818-13.55%0.1952✗-0.21
2026-05-30oos0.0035730.003551-0.61%0.002886-19.23%0.2605✓-0.26
2026-05-29oos0.0036460.003604-1.16%0.002646-27.41%0.3552✓-0.22
2026-05-28oos0.003740.003683-1.53%0.002887-22.83%0.2675✓-0.12
2026-05-27oos0.0037810.003736-1.17%0.00311-17.74%0.1924✓-0.04
2026-05-26oos0.0037390.003741+0.07%0.003106-16.91%0.1980✗-0.05
2026-05-25oos0.0040490.004045-0.08%0.003367-16.82%0.2200✓-0.16
2026-05-24oos0.0040120.004019+0.15%0.004083+1.76%0.0097✗-0.12
2026-05-23oos0.0041810.004163-0.43%0.003695-11.61%0.0103✓0.60
2026-05-22oos0.0040240.003998-0.64%0.00601+49.36%0.4844✗0.43
2026-05-21oos0.0040270.004044+0.43%0.005333+32.43%0.3614✓0.45
2026-05-20oos0.004060.004094+0.84%0.002-50.74%0.6249✗0.46
2026-05-19oos0.0041690.004161-0.17%0.00253-39.32%0.4072✓0.45
2026-05-18oos0.0043180.004292-0.60%0.002376-44.97%0.5103✓0.46
2026-05-17oos0.0044440.004401-0.97%0.002629-40.83%0.4347✓0.49
2026-05-16oos0.0043310.004325-0.15%0.002217-48.82%0.5868✓0.50
2026-05-15oos0.0051390.005016-2.40%0.002686-47.73%0.5332✓0.49
2026-05-14oos0.0040440.004151+2.64%0.002645-34.59%0.2623✗0.82
2026-05-13oos0.0050950.004982-2.21%0.002704-46.93%0.3522✓1.17
2026-05-12oos0.005760.00555-3.66%0.003063-46.82%0.2904✓1.29
2026-05-11oos0.0046310.004646+0.33%0.002988-35.49%0.0153✗1.49
2026-05-10oos0.0058260.005657-2.90%0.002988-48.70%0.2144✓1.48
2026-05-09oos0.0062120.005924-4.63%0.003473-44.09%0.1616✓1.51
2026-05-08oos0.0063760.006026-5.49%0.003197-49.86%0.2821✓1.49
2026-05-07oos0.0067420.006253-7.26%0.002587-61.63%0.4471✓1.59
2026-05-06oos0.0035320.003646+3.22%0.00295-16.48%0.0184✓0.80
2026-05-05oos0.0038170.003861+1.14%0.002832-25.81%0.1194✗0.80
2026-05-04oos0.0035320.003586+1.54%0.003318-6.06%0.0957✓0.79
2026-05-03oos0.0036960.00372+0.64%0.003198-13.47%0.0204✗0.80
2026-05-02oos0.0039810.003953-0.70%0.003251-18.34%0.1177✓0.79
2026-05-01oos0.0038070.003791-0.42%0.003259-14.39%0.1028✓0.79
2026-04-30oos0.0034990.003464-1.00%0.003573+2.11%0.0565✗0.75
2026-04-29oos0.0037020.003627-2.04%0.003646-1.51%0.0296✗0.76
2026-04-28oos0.0041130.003979-3.26%0.00374-9.06%0.0339✓0.74
2026-04-27oos0.003860.003761-2.57%0.003781-2.06%0.0363✗0.77
2026-04-26oos0.0039530.003868-2.16%0.003739-5.43%0.0055✓0.77
2026-04-25oos0.0040290.003921-2.68%0.004049+0.48%0.0360✗0.78
2026-04-24oos0.0041250.004012-2.75%0.004012-2.73%0.0051✓0.78
2026-04-23oos0.0047770.004626-3.16%0.004181-12.49%0.0856✓0.75
2026-04-22oos0.0038120.003713-2.61%0.004024+5.53%0.1075✗0.76
2026-04-21oos0.0039560.003807-3.76%0.004027+1.79%0.0442✗0.77
2026-04-20oos0.0037890.003671-3.14%0.00406+7.14%0.0848✗0.76
2026-04-19oos0.0041630.003973-4.56%0.004169+0.14%0.0165✓0.81
2026-04-18oos0.0042930.004116-4.13%0.004318+0.57%0.0350✓0.81
2026-04-17oos0.0041640.004032-3.17%0.004444+6.72%0.0940✗0.84
2026-04-16oos0.0041950.004004-4.54%0.004331+3.24%0.0460✓0.84
2026-04-15oos0.0038650.003689-4.56%0.005139+32.96%0.2855✗0.84
2026-04-14oos0.0039650.003747-5.50%0.004044+2.01%0.0016✓0.84
2026-04-13oos0.0041640.003901-6.32%0.005095+22.34%0.2141✗0.84
2026-04-12oos0.0037950.003559-6.21%0.00576+51.81%0.3830✗0.77
2026-04-11oos0.0039510.003747-5.16%0.004631+17.23%0.1257✗0.77
2026-04-10oos0.0041610.003934-5.45%0.005826+40.01%0.3012✗0.77
2026-04-09oos0.0042060.003959-5.86%0.006212+47.71%0.3609✗0.77
2026-04-08oos0.0043650.004098-6.12%0.006376+46.07%0.3488✗0.77
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