STRAX

Xertra · native · beta_5y

token id: #188
symbol: STRAX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-12-30
predictions: 3,777

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

60.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0216

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0046

actual -0.0025

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.01043	0.010389	-0.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-20	oos	0.010376	0.010319	-0.55%	0.01043	+0.52%	0.0134	✗	0.92
2026-10-19	oos	0.010326	0.010291	-0.33%	0.010376	+0.49%	0.0041	✓	0.92
2026-10-18	oos	0.010688	0.010622	-0.62%	0.010326	-3.39%	0.0264	✓	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.01042	0.010381	-0.37%	0.010688	+2.58%	0.0222	✗	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.010692	0.010618	-0.69%	0.01042	-2.55%	0.0175	✓	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.010319	0.010282	-0.36%	0.010692	+3.61%	0.0461	✗	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.010199	0.010173	-0.25%	0.010319	+1.18%	0.0080	✗	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.0106	0.010564	-0.34%	0.010199	-3.79%	0.0185	✓	0.90
2026-10-12	oos	0.010821	0.01077	-0.48%	0.0106	-2.04%	0.0309	✓	0.91
2026-10-11	oos	0.011079	0.01103	-0.45%	0.010821	-2.33%	0.0021	✓	0.90
2026-10-10	oos	0.010996	0.01093	-0.60%	0.011079	+0.76%	0.0050	✓	0.92
2026-10-09	oos	0.010778	0.010729	-0.45%	0.010996	+2.02%	0.0205	✗	0.92
2026-10-08	oos	0.010488	0.010435	-0.50%	0.010778	+2.77%	0.0228	✗	0.92
2026-10-07	oos	0.010789	0.010752	-0.34%	0.010488	-2.79%	0.0074	✓	0.91
2026-10-06	oos	0.01132	0.01128	-0.36%	0.010789	-4.69%	0.0205	✓	0.89
2026-10-05	oos	0.011354	0.011313	-0.36%	0.01132	-0.30%	0.0028	✓	0.91
2026-10-04	oos	0.011441	0.011397	-0.39%	0.011354	-0.77%	0.0042	✗	0.91
2026-10-03	oos	0.011499	0.011448	-0.44%	0.011441	-0.50%	0.0196	✓	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.011429	0.011359	-0.61%	0.011499	+0.61%	0.0096	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.01146	0.011409	-0.44%	0.011429	-0.27%	0.0055	✗	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.011463	0.01141	-0.46%	0.01146	-0.02%	0.0098	✓	0.92
2026-09-29	oos	0.011352	0.011307	-0.40%	0.011463	+0.98%	0.0146	✗	0.92
2026-09-28	oos	0.011373	0.011327	-0.40%	0.011352	-0.19%	0.0002	✓	0.92
2026-09-27	oos	0.012044	0.011979	-0.54%	0.011373	-5.57%	0.0409	✓	0.92
2026-09-26	oos	0.011991	0.011922	-0.57%	0.012044	+0.44%	0.0097	✗	0.92
2026-09-25	oos	0.011898	0.011825	-0.61%	0.011991	+0.78%	0.0103	✗	0.93
2026-09-24	oos	0.011522	0.011449	-0.64%	0.011898	+3.26%	0.0417	✗	0.94
2026-09-23	oos	0.011014	0.010968	-0.42%	0.011522	+4.62%	0.0493	✗	0.94
2026-09-22	oos	0.011466	0.011396	-0.61%	0.011014	-3.94%	0.0150	✓	0.90
2026-09-21	oos	0.011139	0.011065	-0.66%	0.011466	+2.94%	0.0393	✗	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.010672	0.010624	-0.45%	0.011139	+4.37%	0.0097	✓	0.88
2026-09-19	oos	0.010718	0.010668	-0.46%	0.010672	-0.42%	0.0012	✓	0.89
2026-09-18	oos	0.010621	0.010567	-0.50%	0.010718	+0.91%	0.0105	✗	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	0.010108	0.010033	-0.74%	0.010621	+5.07%	0.0099	✗	0.82
2026-09-16	oos	0.010254	0.01021	-0.43%	0.010108	-1.42%	0.0122	✓	0.82
2026-09-15	oos	0.010639	0.010549	-0.85%	0.010254	-3.62%	0.0347	✓	0.86
2026-09-14	oos	0.012554	0.01236	-1.54%	0.010639	-15.25%	0.1256	✓	0.72
2026-09-13	oos	0.010762	0.010654	-1.01%	0.012554	+16.64%	0.1531	✗	0.62
2026-09-12	oos	0.010152	0.010109	-0.42%	0.010762	+6.02%	0.0664	✗	0.63
2026-09-11	oos	0.009724	0.00971	-0.15%	0.010152	+4.40%	0.0440	✗	0.62
2026-09-10	oos	0.009565	0.009553	-0.12%	0.009724	+1.67%	0.0124	✗	0.61
2026-09-09	oos	0.01004	0.010015	-0.25%	0.009565	-4.74%	0.0327	✓	0.59
2026-09-08	oos	0.009965	0.009932	-0.33%	0.01004	+0.75%	0.0115	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.00971	0.009699	-0.11%	0.009965	+2.63%	0.0293	✗	0.28
2026-09-06	oos	0.009645	0.009639	-0.06%	0.00971	+0.67%	0.0119	✗	0.30
2026-09-05	oos	0.009685	0.009674	-0.11%	0.009645	-0.41%	0.0049	✓	0.30
2026-09-04	oos	0.009505	0.009493	-0.12%	0.009685	+1.89%	0.0194	✗	0.30
2026-09-03	oos	0.0096	0.009588	-0.13%	0.009505	-0.99%	0.0027	✓	0.30
2026-09-02	oos	0.00933	0.00928	-0.53%	0.0096	+2.89%	0.0124	✗	0.43
2026-09-01	oos	0.00948	0.009398	-0.86%	0.00933	-1.58%	0.0068	✓	0.45
2026-08-31	oos	0.00919	0.009173	-0.18%	0.00948	+3.16%	0.0409	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.0093	0.009276	-0.26%	0.00919	-1.18%	0.0166	✓	0.63
2026-08-29	oos	0.00935	0.009319	-0.33%	0.0093	-0.53%	0.0034	✗	0.75
2026-08-28	oos	0.0094	0.009361	-0.42%	0.00935	-0.53%	0.0048	✓	0.73
2026-08-27	oos	0.00977	0.0097	-0.72%	0.0094	-3.79%	0.0093	✓	0.72
2026-08-26	oos	0.00952	0.009473	-0.50%	0.00977	+2.63%	0.0197	✗	0.71
2026-08-25	oos	0.0093	0.009235	-0.70%	0.00952	+2.37%	0.0259	✗	0.71
2026-08-24	oos	0.00938	0.009335	-0.48%	0.0093	-0.85%	0.0004	✓	0.72
2026-08-23	oos	0.00958	0.009523	-0.60%	0.00938	-2.09%	0.0269	✓	0.74
2026-08-22	oos	0.0092	0.009155	-0.48%	0.00958	+4.13%	0.0390	✗	0.73
2026-08-21	oos	0.00947	0.009389	-0.85%	0.0092	-2.85%	0.0085	✓	0.72
2026-08-20	oos	0.00884	0.008791	-0.55%	0.00947	+7.13%	0.0262	✗	0.69
2026-08-19	oos	0.008585	0.008529	-0.65%	0.00884	+2.97%	0.0000	✓	0.69
2026-08-18	oos	0.0084	0.008354	-0.54%	0.008585	+2.20%	0.0241	✓	0.74
2026-08-17	oos	0.00823	0.0082	-0.36%	0.0084	+2.07%	0.0217	✗	0.74
2026-08-16	oos	0.00833	0.0083	-0.37%	0.00823	-1.20%	0.0283	✓	0.77
2026-08-15	oos	0.00834	0.008308	-0.39%	0.00833	-0.12%	0.0049	✗	0.77
2026-08-14	oos	0.00826	0.00823	-0.37%	0.00834	+0.97%	0.0128	✗	0.78
2026-08-13	oos	0.00826	0.008229	-0.38%	0.00826	+0.00%	0.0093	✗	0.78
2026-08-12	oos	0.00828	0.008237	-0.52%	0.00826	-0.24%	0.0026	✓	0.79
2026-08-11	oos	0.00857	0.008523	-0.55%	0.00828	-3.38%	0.0274	✓	0.80
2026-08-10	oos	0.008655	0.008607	-0.56%	0.00857	-0.98%	0.0005	✓	0.80
2026-08-09	oos	0.00863	0.008601	-0.34%	0.008655	+0.29%	0.0182	✗	0.82
2026-08-08	oos	0.0087	0.008668	-0.37%	0.00863	-0.80%	0.0036	✓	0.82
2026-08-07	oos	0.00862	0.008588	-0.37%	0.0087	+0.93%	0.0127	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.0086	0.008566	-0.39%	0.00862	+0.23%	0.0018	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.00866	0.008627	-0.38%	0.0086	-0.69%	0.0012	✓	0.84
2026-08-04	oos	0.0085	0.008469	-0.37%	0.00866	+1.88%	0.0153	✗	0.83
2026-08-03	oos	0.008545	0.008505	-0.47%	0.0085	-0.53%	0.0083	✓	0.84
2026-08-02	oos	0.008635	0.008602	-0.39%	0.008545	-1.04%	0.0062	✓	0.84
2026-08-01	oos	0.008485	0.008454	-0.37%	0.008635	+1.77%	0.0115	✗	0.83
2026-07-31	oos	0.008465	0.008434	-0.37%	0.008485	+0.24%	0.0069	✗	0.83
2026-07-30	oos	0.00845	0.008414	-0.42%	0.008465	+0.18%	0.0315	✗	0.86
2026-07-29	oos	0.00839	0.008344	-0.55%	0.00845	+0.72%	0.0017	✓	0.85
2026-07-28	oos	0.00863	0.008565	-0.76%	0.00839	-2.78%	0.0213	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.00876	0.00869	-0.79%	0.00863	-1.48%	0.0090	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.00935	0.009318	-0.34%	0.00876	-6.31%	0.0409	✓	0.82
2026-07-25	oos	0.009295	0.009262	-0.36%	0.00935	+0.59%	0.0036	✓	0.81
2026-07-24	oos	0.00928	0.009248	-0.34%	0.009295	+0.16%	0.0024	✓	0.82
2026-07-23	oos	0.00937	0.009331	-0.41%	0.00928	-0.96%	0.0068	✗	0.82
2026-07-22	oos	0.00955	0.009505	-0.47%	0.00937	-1.88%	0.0014	✓	0.82
2026-07-21	oos	0.00965	0.009623	-0.28%	0.00955	-1.04%	0.0023	✓	0.82
2026-07-20	oos	0.00967	0.009643	-0.28%	0.00965	-0.21%	0.0153	✓	0.81
2026-07-19	oos	0.00971	0.009681	-0.30%	0.00967	-0.41%	0.0077	✓	0.81
2026-07-18	oos	0.00962	0.009588	-0.33%	0.00971	+0.94%	0.0140	✗	0.81
2026-07-17	oos	0.009545	0.009504	-0.43%	0.00962	+0.79%	0.0008	✓	0.81
2026-07-16	oos	0.009535	0.009508	-0.29%	0.009545	+0.10%	0.0024	✓	0.81
2026-07-15	oos	0.009575	0.009548	-0.28%	0.009535	-0.42%	0.0108	✗	0.83
2026-07-14	oos	0.009645	0.009618	-0.28%	0.009575	-0.73%	0.0009	✓	0.83
2026-07-13	oos	0.00933	0.009302	-0.30%	0.009645	+3.38%	0.0002	✓	0.84
2026-07-12	oos	0.009805	0.009772	-0.34%	0.00933	-4.84%	0.0271	✓	0.82
2026-07-11	oos	0.009615	0.009588	-0.28%	0.009805	+1.98%	0.0228	✗	0.79
2026-07-10	oos	0.009645	0.009617	-0.29%	0.009615	-0.31%	0.0043	✗	0.80
2026-07-09	oos	0.00948	0.009455	-0.27%	0.009645	+1.74%	0.0079	✗	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.00937	0.009349	-0.23%	0.00948	+1.17%	0.0021	✓	0.79
2026-07-07	oos	0.009815	0.00979	-0.26%	0.00937	-4.53%	0.0304	✓	0.78
2026-07-06	oos	0.00994	0.009913	-0.27%	0.009815	-1.26%	0.0016	✓	0.78
2026-07-05	oos	0.00995	0.009923	-0.28%	0.00994	-0.10%	0.0033	✓	0.77
2026-07-04	oos	0.01007	0.010038	-0.32%	0.00995	-1.19%	0.0149	✓	0.78
2026-07-03	oos	0.01008	0.010043	-0.36%	0.01007	-0.10%	0.0044	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.009905	0.009854	-0.51%	0.01008	+1.77%	0.0097	✗	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.009755	0.009724	-0.32%	0.009905	+1.54%	0.0010	✓	0.78
2026-06-30	oos	0.0096	0.009569	-0.32%	0.009755	+1.61%	0.0004	✓	0.78
2026-06-29	oos	0.0101	0.01006	-0.40%	0.0096	-4.95%	0.0260	✓	0.75
2026-06-28	oos	0.010105	0.010071	-0.34%	0.0101	-0.05%	0.0058	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.01069	0.01064	-0.46%	0.010105	-5.47%	0.0459	✓	0.75
2026-06-26	oos	0.010585	0.010537	-0.45%	0.01069	+0.99%	0.0152	✗	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.011035	0.010972	-0.57%	0.010585	-4.08%	0.0397	✓	0.76
2026-06-24	oos	0.01074	0.010678	-0.58%	0.011035	+2.75%	0.0498	✗	0.80
2026-06-23	oos	0.0098	0.009769	-0.31%	0.01074	+9.59%	0.1186	✗	0.89
2026-06-22	oos	0.01083	0.010753	-0.71%	0.0098	-9.51%	0.0754	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.010395	0.01031	-0.82%	0.01083	+4.18%	0.0399	✗	0.83
2026-06-20	oos	0.00941	0.009378	-0.34%	0.010395	+10.47%	0.1162	✗	0.86
2026-06-19	oos	0.00958	0.009534	-0.49%	0.00941	-1.77%	0.0232	✓	0.87
2026-06-18	oos	0.009335	0.009302	-0.35%	0.00958	+2.62%	0.0212	✗	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.00994	0.009889	-0.51%	0.009335	-6.09%	0.0369	✓	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	0.01026	0.010162	-0.95%	0.00994	-3.12%	0.0070	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.009395	0.009369	-0.27%	0.01026	+9.21%	0.0994	✗	0.86
2026-06-14	oos	0.009335	0.009311	-0.26%	0.009395	+0.64%	0.0016	✓	0.85
2026-06-13	oos	0.009485	0.009452	-0.35%	0.009335	-1.58%	0.0297	✓	0.88
2026-06-12	oos	0.00964	0.009595	-0.47%	0.009485	-1.61%	0.0239	✓	0.89
2026-06-11	oos	0.010735	0.010625	-1.02%	0.00964	-10.20%	0.0970	✓	0.89
2026-06-10	oos	0.013415	0.013001	-3.08%	0.010735	-19.98%	0.2298	✓	1.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.00833	0.008294	-0.43%	0.013415	+61.04%	0.4853	✗	1.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.0085	0.008491	-0.11%	0.00833	-2.00%	0.0067	✗	1.17
2026-06-07	oos	0.00864	0.008631	-0.11%	0.0085	-1.62%	0.0109	✓	1.16
2026-06-06	oos	0.00854	0.00854	-0.00%	0.00864	+1.17%	0.0344	✓	1.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.00888	0.008873	-0.08%	0.00854	-3.83%	0.0348	✓	1.16
2026-06-04	oos	0.01002	0.00997	-0.50%	0.00888	-11.38%	0.0677	✓	1.08
2026-06-03	oos	0.01127	0.011186	-0.75%	0.01002	-11.09%	0.1062	✓	1.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.01221	0.012073	-1.13%	0.01127	-7.70%	0.0273	✓	1.04
2026-06-01	oos	0.01342	0.013223	-1.47%	0.01221	-9.02%	0.0115	✓	1.01
2026-05-31	oos	0.01606	0.015588	-2.94%	0.01342	-16.44%	0.1224	✓	0.88
2026-05-30	oos	0.01152	0.011475	-0.39%	0.01606	+39.41%	0.3385	✗	0.87
2026-05-29	oos	0.011315	0.01127	-0.40%	0.01152	+1.81%	0.0172	✗	0.87
2026-05-28	oos	0.011425	0.011353	-0.63%	0.011315	-0.96%	0.0017	✓	0.86
2026-05-27	oos	0.011485	0.011425	-0.52%	0.011425	-0.52%	0.0092	✗	0.85
2026-05-26	oos	0.012025	0.011946	-0.66%	0.011485	-4.49%	0.0224	✓	0.84
2026-05-25	oos	0.012355	0.01231	-0.36%	0.012025	-2.67%	0.0079	✓	0.84
2026-05-24	oos	0.012315	0.012269	-0.37%	0.012355	+0.32%	0.0040	✗	0.83
2026-05-23	oos	0.012495	0.01244	-0.44%	0.012315	-1.44%	0.0137	✓	0.85
2026-05-22	oos	0.01228	0.012223	-0.47%	0.012495	+1.75%	0.0086	✗	0.85
2026-05-21	oos	0.012495	0.012404	-0.73%	0.01228	-1.72%	0.0136	✗	0.86
2026-05-20	oos	0.012365	0.012274	-0.74%	0.012495	+1.05%	0.0171	✗	0.85
2026-05-19	oos	0.01218	0.0121	-0.65%	0.012365	+1.52%	0.0138	✗	0.86
2026-05-18	oos	0.012435	0.012334	-0.81%	0.01218	-2.05%	0.0106	✓	0.86
2026-05-17	oos	0.01249	0.012421	-0.55%	0.012435	-0.44%	0.0063	✗	0.86
2026-05-16	oos	0.01282	0.012727	-0.73%	0.01249	-2.57%	0.0111	✓	0.86
2026-05-15	oos	0.01297	0.012839	-1.01%	0.01282	-1.16%	0.0090	✓	0.87
2026-05-14	oos	0.01354	0.013381	-1.17%	0.01297	-4.21%	0.0094	✓	0.87
2026-05-13	oos	0.013285	0.013145	-1.06%	0.01354	+1.92%	0.0099	✓	0.88
2026-05-12	oos	0.01358	0.013434	-1.07%	0.013285	-2.17%	0.0019	✓	0.87
2026-05-11	oos	0.014195	0.014041	-1.09%	0.01358	-4.33%	0.0204	✓	0.84
2026-05-10	oos	0.01402	0.013855	-1.18%	0.014195	+1.25%	0.0291	✗	0.84
2026-05-09	oos	0.01357	0.013449	-0.89%	0.01402	+3.32%	0.0258	✗	0.83
2026-05-08	oos	0.01339	0.013261	-0.96%	0.01357	+1.34%	0.0182	✗	0.83
2026-05-07	oos	0.01334	0.013285	-0.41%	0.01339	+0.37%	0.0060	✗	0.81
2026-05-06	oos	0.013445	0.013372	-0.54%	0.01334	-0.78%	0.0116	✗	0.79
2026-05-05	oos	0.01312	0.013003	-0.90%	0.013445	+2.48%	0.0279	✗	0.84
2026-05-04	oos	0.01288	0.012822	-0.45%	0.01312	+1.86%	0.0121	✗	0.83
2026-05-03	oos	0.0129	0.012821	-0.62%	0.01288	-0.16%	0.0091	✓	0.84
2026-05-02	oos	0.01299	0.012891	-0.76%	0.0129	-0.69%	0.0020	✓	0.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.01295	0.012849	-0.78%	0.01299	+0.31%	0.0062	✓	0.82
2026-04-30	oos	0.012865	0.012835	-0.24%	0.01295	+0.66%	0.0127	✓	0.87
2026-04-29	oos	0.01299	0.012958	-0.25%	0.012865	-0.96%	0.0135	✓	0.87
2026-04-28	oos	0.01319	0.013153	-0.28%	0.01299	-1.52%	0.0060	✓	0.87
2026-04-27	oos	0.01341	0.013362	-0.36%	0.01319	-1.64%	0.0011	✓	0.87
2026-04-26	oos	0.013445	0.013417	-0.21%	0.01341	-0.26%	0.0140	✗	0.87
2026-04-25	oos	0.01318	0.013154	-0.20%	0.013445	+2.01%	0.0106	✗	0.87
2026-04-24	oos	0.013215	0.013182	-0.25%	0.01318	-0.26%	0.0023	✓	0.87
2026-04-23	oos	0.01326	0.013234	-0.20%	0.013215	-0.34%	0.0077	✗	0.87
2026-04-22	oos	0.013285	0.013261	-0.18%	0.01326	-0.19%	0.0009	✓	0.87
2026-04-21	oos	0.01332	0.013289	-0.23%	0.013285	-0.26%	0.0214	✓	0.88
2026-04-20	oos	0.01343	0.013396	-0.25%	0.01332	-0.82%	0.0113	✓	0.88
2026-04-19	oos	0.013225	0.013182	-0.32%	0.01343	+1.55%	0.0055	✓	0.88
2026-04-18	oos	0.01363	0.01358	-0.37%	0.013225	-2.97%	0.0038	✓	0.89
2026-04-17	oos	0.01392	0.013868	-0.37%	0.01363	-2.08%	0.0015	✓	0.89
2026-04-16	oos	0.01348	0.013424	-0.41%	0.01392	+3.26%	0.0139	✗	0.88
2026-04-15	oos	0.013125	0.013091	-0.26%	0.01348	+2.70%	0.0255	✗	0.88
2026-04-14	oos	0.012865	0.012833	-0.25%	0.013125	+2.02%	0.0147	✗	0.88
2026-04-13	oos	0.01305	0.013002	-0.37%	0.012865	-1.42%	0.0075	✓	0.88
2026-04-12	oos	0.01273	0.01265	-0.63%	0.01305	+2.51%	0.0141	✓	0.89
2026-04-11	oos	0.013215	0.01317	-0.34%	0.01273	-3.67%	0.0053	✓	0.88
2026-04-10	oos	0.01322	0.013167	-0.40%	0.013215	-0.04%	0.0026	✓	0.88
2026-04-09	oos	0.0132	0.013156	-0.34%	0.01322	+0.15%	0.0097	✓	0.88
2026-04-08	oos	0.013205	0.013157	-0.36%	0.0132	-0.04%	0.0055	✓	0.88
2026-04-07	oos	0.01335	0.013293	-0.43%	0.013205	-1.09%	0.0035	✓	0.88
2026-04-06	oos	0.01299	0.012929	-0.47%	0.01335	+2.77%	0.0058	✓	0.87
2026-04-05	oos	0.01311	0.013008	-0.78%	0.01299	-0.92%	0.0005	✓	0.87
2026-04-04	oos	0.01291	0.012831	-0.61%	0.01311	+1.55%	0.0005	✓	0.88
2026-04-03	oos	0.01296	0.012864	-0.74%	0.01291	-0.39%	0.0008	✓	0.88
2026-04-02	oos	0.01269	0.012643	-0.37%	0.01296	+2.13%	0.0239	✗	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.012915	0.012855	-0.47%	0.01269	-1.74%	0.0030	✓	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.01288	0.012824	-0.44%	0.012915	+0.27%	0.0085	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.01269	0.012628	-0.48%	0.01288	+1.50%	0.0002	✓	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.01258	0.012526	-0.43%	0.01269	+0.87%	0.0027	✓	0.87
2026-03-28	oos	0.01293	0.012877	-0.41%	0.01258	-2.71%	0.0186	✓	0.87
2026-03-27	oos	0.012925	0.012838	-0.67%	0.01293	+0.04%	0.0075	✗	0.87
2026-03-26	oos	0.01347	0.013412	-0.43%	0.012925	-4.05%	0.0059	✓	0.87
2026-03-25	oos	0.013955	0.013894	-0.44%	0.01347	-3.48%	0.0004	✓	0.87
2026-03-24	oos	0.01387	0.013776	-0.68%	0.013955	+0.61%	0.0035	✓	0.87
2026-03-23	oos	0.013715	0.013634	-0.59%	0.01387	+1.13%	0.0213	✗	0.87
2026-03-22	oos	0.013475	0.013411	-0.47%	0.013715	+1.78%	0.0159	✓	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.013835	0.013794	-0.30%	0.013475	-2.60%	0.0097	✓	0.87
2026-03-20	oos	0.014275	0.014221	-0.38%	0.013835	-3.08%	0.0076	✓	0.87
2026-03-19	oos	0.01405	0.014006	-0.31%	0.014275	+1.60%	0.0118	✗	0.87
2026-03-18	oos	0.01437	0.014311	-0.41%	0.01405	-2.23%	0.0018	✓	0.88
2026-03-17	oos	0.01482	0.014698	-0.82%	0.01437	-3.04%	0.0102	✗	0.88
2026-03-16	oos	0.014555	0.014515	-0.27%	0.01482	+1.82%	0.0323	✗	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.014015	0.013984	-0.22%	0.014555	+3.85%	0.0151	✗	0.89
2026-03-14	oos	0.013745	0.013715	-0.22%	0.014015	+1.96%	0.0016	✓	0.90
2026-03-13	oos	0.0139	0.013863	-0.26%	0.013745	-1.12%	0.0122	✓	0.91
2026-03-12	oos	0.013925	0.013874	-0.37%	0.0139	-0.18%	0.0034	✓	0.91
2026-03-11	oos	0.01398	0.013877	-0.74%	0.013925	-0.39%	0.0007	✓	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.013805	0.013775	-0.21%	0.01398	+1.27%	0.0116	✗	0.90
2026-03-09	oos	0.013675	0.013643	-0.23%	0.013805	+0.95%	0.0083	✓	0.91
2026-03-08	oos	0.0135	0.013464	-0.27%	0.013675	+1.30%	0.0181	✓	0.92
2026-03-07	oos	0.01377	0.013734	-0.26%	0.0135	-1.96%	0.0006	✓	0.92
2026-03-06	oos	0.0141	0.01406	-0.28%	0.01377	-2.34%	0.0094	✓	0.91
2026-03-05	oos	0.014565	0.014503	-0.42%	0.0141	-3.19%	0.0085	✗	0.92
2026-03-04	oos	0.0153	0.015218	-0.54%	0.014565	-4.80%	0.0212	✓	0.90
2026-03-03	oos	0.01422	0.014191	-0.21%	0.0153	+7.59%	0.0205	✗	0.89
2026-03-02	oos	0.014455	0.014419	-0.25%	0.01422	-1.63%	0.0075	✓	0.89
2026-03-01	oos	0.014395	0.014354	-0.29%	0.014455	+0.42%	0.0337	✓	0.90
2026-02-28	oos	0.01469	0.014634	-0.38%	0.014395	-2.01%	0.0003	✓	0.93
2026-02-27	oos	0.01463	0.01459	-0.28%	0.01469	+0.41%	0.0087	✓	0.93
2026-02-26	oos	0.014705	0.014668	-0.25%	0.01463	-0.51%	0.0204	✗	0.94
2026-02-25	oos	0.01505	0.015008	-0.28%	0.014705	-2.29%	0.0134	✓	0.94
2026-02-24	oos	0.01436	0.014323	-0.26%	0.01505	+4.81%	0.0067	✓	0.95
2026-02-23	oos	0.014365	0.014333	-0.22%	0.01436	-0.03%	0.0101	✗	0.95
2026-02-22	oos	0.01514	0.015105	-0.23%	0.014365	-5.12%	0.0075	✓	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.015795	0.015747	-0.31%	0.01514	-4.15%	0.0346	✓	0.94
2026-02-20	oos	0.015955	0.015893	-0.39%	0.015795	-1.00%	0.0058	✓	0.95
2026-02-19	oos	0.016015	0.015901	-0.71%	0.015955	-0.37%	0.0110	✓	0.96
2026-02-18	oos	0.015415	0.015376	-0.25%	0.016015	+3.89%	0.0327	✗	0.96
2026-02-17	oos	0.015795	0.015749	-0.29%	0.015415	-2.41%	0.0067	✓	0.95
2026-02-16	oos	0.0161	0.016046	-0.34%	0.015795	-1.89%	0.0037	✗	0.95
2026-02-15	oos	0.01599	0.015931	-0.37%	0.0161	+0.69%	0.0097	✗	0.95
2026-02-14	oos	0.01676	0.016643	-0.70%	0.01599	-4.59%	0.0266	✓	0.94
2026-02-13	oos	0.01614	0.015974	-1.03%	0.01676	+3.84%	0.0349	✗	0.93
2026-02-12	oos	0.01533	0.015284	-0.30%	0.01614	+5.28%	0.0191	✗	0.92
2026-02-11	oos	0.01507	0.01503	-0.26%	0.01533	+1.73%	0.0310	✗	0.92
2026-02-10	oos	0.01511	0.015074	-0.24%	0.01507	-0.26%	0.0242	✗	0.93
2026-02-09	oos	0.01524	0.015202	-0.25%	0.01511	-0.85%	0.0114	✗	0.94
2026-02-08	oos	0.01514	0.015099	-0.27%	0.01524	+0.66%	0.0116	✗	0.91
2026-02-07	oos	0.015245	0.015198	-0.31%	0.01514	-0.69%	0.0174	✓	0.91
2026-02-06	oos	0.014975	0.014935	-0.27%	0.015245	+1.80%	0.0374	✗	0.92
2026-02-05	oos	0.01383	0.013837	+0.05%	0.014975	+8.28%	0.0328	✗	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.016085	0.016023	-0.38%	0.01383	-14.02%	0.0001	✓	0.98
2026-02-03	oos	0.01625	0.016193	-0.35%	0.016085	-1.02%	0.0280	✗	0.97
2026-02-02	oos	0.01696	0.016854	-0.63%	0.01625	-4.19%	0.0008	✓	0.96
2026-02-01	oos	0.016795	0.016631	-0.98%	0.01696	+0.98%	0.0020	✓	0.95
2026-01-31	oos	0.01633	0.01621	-0.73%	0.016795	+2.85%	0.0590	✗	1.05
2026-01-30	oos	0.018285	0.018195	-0.49%	0.01633	-10.69%	0.0423	✓	0.98
2026-01-29	oos	0.018945	0.018779	-0.88%	0.018285	-3.48%	0.0220	✓	0.98
2026-01-28	oos	0.019745	0.019652	-0.47%	0.018945	-4.05%	0.0165	✗	0.99
2026-01-27	oos	0.019875	0.019781	-0.47%	0.019745	-0.65%	0.0023	✓	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.019775	0.019674	-0.51%	0.019875	+0.51%	0.0006	✓	0.98
2026-01-25	oos	0.0195	0.0194	-0.51%	0.019775	+1.41%	0.0001	✓	0.98
2026-01-24	oos	0.020355	0.020253	-0.50%	0.0195	-4.20%	0.0099	✓	0.98
2026-01-23	oos	0.020375	0.020272	-0.50%	0.020355	-0.10%	0.0084	✗	0.98
2026-01-22	oos	0.020195	0.020097	-0.48%	0.020375	+0.89%	0.0136	✗	0.97
2026-01-21	oos	0.020515	0.020411	-0.51%	0.020195	-1.56%	0.0117	✓	0.98
2026-01-20	oos	0.01997	0.019871	-0.49%	0.020515	+2.73%	0.0204	✗	0.97
2026-01-19	oos	0.020855	0.020753	-0.49%	0.01997	-4.24%	0.0073	✗	0.97
2026-01-18	oos	0.022025	0.021906	-0.54%	0.020855	-5.31%	0.0380	✓	0.96
2026-01-17	oos	0.02257	0.022418	-0.67%	0.022025	-2.41%	0.0027	✓	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.022515	0.022397	-0.53%	0.02257	+0.24%	0.0117	✗	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.0217	0.021604	-0.44%	0.022515	+3.76%	0.0421	✗	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.02243	0.022319	-0.50%	0.0217	-3.25%	0.0146	✓	0.95
2026-01-13	oos	0.022435	0.022311	-0.55%	0.02243	-0.02%	0.0103	✓	0.96
2026-01-12	oos	0.021575	0.021471	-0.48%	0.022435	+3.99%	0.0003	✓	0.97
2026-01-11	oos	0.022685	0.022562	-0.54%	0.021575	-4.89%	0.0481	✓	0.97
2026-01-10	oos	0.02385	0.023681	-0.71%	0.022685	-4.88%	0.0484	✓	0.99
2026-01-09	oos	0.02363	0.023441	-0.80%	0.02385	+0.93%	0.0189	✗	1.01
2026-01-08	oos	0.0246	0.024189	-1.67%	0.02363	-3.94%	0.0178	✓	1.00
2026-01-07	oos	0.0225	0.022288	-0.94%	0.0246	+9.33%	0.1018	✗	1.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.02168	0.021557	-0.57%	0.0225	+3.78%	0.0737	✗	1.17
2026-01-05	oos	0.02168	0.02149	-0.87%	0.02168	+0.00%	0.0106	✗	1.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.02104	0.020922	-0.56%	0.02168	+3.04%	0.0055	✓	1.17
2026-01-03	oos	0.02096	0.020838	-0.58%	0.02104	+0.38%	0.0020	✓	1.18
2026-01-02	oos	0.02098	0.020829	-0.72%	0.02096	-0.10%	0.0021	✓	1.18
2026-01-01	oos	0.02027	0.020143	-0.63%	0.02098	+3.50%	0.0248	✗	1.16
2025-12-31	oos	0.01998	0.019825	-0.77%	0.02027	+1.45%	0.0059	✓	1.16
2025-12-30	oos	0.021855	0.021565	-1.33%	0.01998	-8.58%	0.0646	✓	1.15
2025-12-29	oos	0.02313	0.02268	-1.95%	0.021855	-5.51%	0.0543	✓	1.18
2025-12-28	oos	0.021215	0.020892	-1.52%	0.02313	+9.03%	0.1122	✗	1.19
2025-12-27	oos	0.019825	0.019752	-0.37%	0.021215	+7.01%	0.0705	✗	1.16
2025-12-26	oos	0.01927	0.019209	-0.32%	0.019825	+2.88%	0.0249	✗	1.15
2025-12-25	oos	0.019475	0.01941	-0.33%	0.01927	-1.05%	0.0089	✓	1.15
2025-12-24	oos	0.01946	0.019394	-0.34%	0.019475	+0.08%	0.0099	✗	1.16
2025-12-23	oos	0.01933	0.019266	-0.33%	0.01946	+0.67%	0.0077	✗	1.16
2025-12-22	oos	0.01931	0.019238	-0.37%	0.01933	+0.10%	0.0196	✗	1.16
2025-12-21	oos	0.019745	0.019605	-0.71%	0.01931	-2.20%	0.0141	✓	1.16
2025-12-20	oos	0.019295	0.019217	-0.40%	0.019745	+2.33%	0.0229	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.019015	0.018961	-0.29%	0.019295	+1.47%	0.0144	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.01811	0.018074	-0.20%	0.019015	+5.00%	0.0156	✗	1.16
2025-12-17	oos	0.01868	0.018647	-0.18%	0.01811	-3.05%	0.0191	✓	1.16
2025-12-16	oos	0.020235	0.020189	-0.23%	0.01868	-7.68%	0.0562	✓	1.14
2025-12-15	oos	0.020345	0.020302	-0.21%	0.020235	-0.54%	0.0222	✓	1.15
2025-12-14	oos	0.022005	0.021949	-0.25%	0.020345	-7.54%	0.0533	✓	1.13
2025-12-13	oos	0.022715	0.022658	-0.25%	0.022005	-3.13%	0.0030	✓	1.12
2025-12-12	oos	0.022535	0.022487	-0.21%	0.022715	+0.80%	0.0104	✗	1.12
2025-12-11	oos	0.023045	0.023	-0.20%	0.022535	-2.21%	0.0076	✗	1.13
2025-12-10	oos	0.023525	0.023473	-0.22%	0.023045	-2.04%	0.0246	✓	1.13
2025-12-09	oos	0.024345	0.024276	-0.28%	0.023525	-3.37%	0.0234	✓	1.13
2025-12-08	oos	0.02372	0.023653	-0.28%	0.024345	+2.63%	0.0040	✗	1.12
2025-12-07	oos	0.023335	0.023281	-0.23%	0.02372	+1.65%	0.0156	✗	1.12
2025-12-06	oos	0.02396	0.023889	-0.30%	0.023335	-2.61%	0.0377	✓	1.13
2025-12-05	oos	0.023665	0.023591	-0.31%	0.02396	+1.25%	0.0165	✗	1.13
2025-12-04	oos	0.02402	0.023963	-0.24%	0.023665	-1.48%	0.0222	✗	1.15
2025-12-03	oos	0.024665	0.024599	-0.27%	0.02402	-2.62%	0.0070	✓	1.15
2025-12-02	oos	0.024285	0.024222	-0.26%	0.024665	+1.56%	0.0086	✓	1.15
2025-12-01	oos	0.023545	0.023491	-0.23%	0.024285	+3.14%	0.0347	✓	1.20
2025-11-30	oos	0.02629	0.026153	-0.52%	0.023545	-10.44%	0.0525	✓	1.13
2025-11-29	oos	0.02459	0.024513	-0.31%	0.02629	+6.91%	0.0757	✗	1.13
2025-11-28	oos	0.02442	0.024344	-0.31%	0.02459	+0.70%	0.0110	✗	1.13
2025-11-27	oos	0.025505	0.025402	-0.40%	0.02442	-4.25%	0.0343	✓	1.13
2025-11-26	oos	0.02503	0.024895	-0.54%	0.025505	+1.90%	0.0137	✗	1.12
2025-11-25	oos	0.02415	0.024038	-0.46%	0.02503	+3.64%	0.0008	✓	1.12
2025-11-24	oos	0.02418	0.024068	-0.46%	0.02415	-0.12%	0.0155	✗	1.12
2025-11-23	oos	0.024255	0.02408	-0.72%	0.02418	-0.31%	0.0148	✓	1.14
2025-11-22	oos	0.0228	0.02272	-0.35%	0.024255	+6.38%	0.0380	✗	1.11
2025-11-21	oos	0.02302	0.022941	-0.34%	0.0228	-0.96%	0.0012	✓	1.10
2025-11-20	oos	0.0245	0.024425	-0.30%	0.02302	-6.04%	0.0407	✓	1.09
2025-11-19	oos	0.025315	0.025217	-0.39%	0.0245	-3.22%	0.0339	✗	1.13
2025-11-18	oos	0.02673	0.026576	-0.58%	0.025315	-5.29%	0.0310	✓	1.12
2025-11-17	oos	0.02681	0.026603	-0.77%	0.02673	-0.30%	0.0051	✓	1.13
2025-11-16	oos	0.02637	0.026177	-0.73%	0.02681	+1.67%	0.0499	✗	1.16
2025-11-15	oos	0.02667	0.026582	-0.33%	0.02637	-1.12%	0.0087	✗	1.16
2025-11-14	oos	0.0268	0.026718	-0.31%	0.02667	-0.49%	0.0146	✓	1.17
2025-11-13	oos	0.0281	0.028001	-0.35%	0.0268	-4.63%	0.0192	✗	1.20
2025-11-12	oos	0.03018	0.029976	-0.67%	0.0281	-6.89%	0.0412	✓	1.17
2025-11-11	oos	0.030845	0.030529	-1.03%	0.03018	-2.16%	0.0043	✓	1.18
2025-11-10	oos	0.02897	0.028851	-0.41%	0.030845	+6.47%	0.1023	✗	1.25
2025-11-09	oos	0.02878	0.028639	-0.49%	0.02897	+0.66%	0.0038	✓	1.25
2025-11-08	oos	0.02834	0.028238	-0.36%	0.02878	+1.55%	0.0104	✓	1.26
2025-11-07	oos	0.02822	0.028098	-0.43%	0.02834	+0.43%	0.0207	✗	1.24
2025-11-06	oos	0.02643	0.026291	-0.52%	0.02822	+6.77%	0.0471	✗	1.22
2025-11-05	oos	0.0256	0.02553	-0.27%	0.02643	+3.24%	0.0663	✗	1.26
2025-11-04	oos	0.02542	0.025359	-0.24%	0.0256	+0.71%	0.0203	✓	1.27
2025-11-03	oos	0.02633	0.026277	-0.20%	0.02542	-3.46%	0.0316	✗	1.32
2025-11-02	oos	0.03021	0.030119	-0.30%	0.02633	-12.84%	0.0894	✓	1.23
2025-11-01	oos	0.03048	0.030414	-0.22%	0.03021	-0.89%	0.0122	✓	1.24
2025-10-31	oos	0.03031	0.030246	-0.21%	0.03048	+0.56%	0.0021	✓	1.24
2025-10-30	oos	0.030465	0.030389	-0.25%	0.03031	-0.51%	0.0168	✓	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.031435	0.031353	-0.26%	0.030465	-3.09%	0.0090	✓	1.25
2025-10-28	oos	0.031465	0.031385	-0.26%	0.031435	-0.10%	0.0343	✗	1.27
2025-10-27	oos	0.031945	0.031854	-0.29%	0.031465	-1.50%	0.0009	✓	1.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.032555	0.032453	-0.31%	0.031945	-1.87%	0.0106	✓	1.27
2025-10-25	oos	0.03182	0.031727	-0.29%	0.032555	+2.31%	0.0070	✓	1.28
2025-10-24	oos	0.03197	0.031854	-0.36%	0.03182	-0.47%	0.0083	✓	1.29
2025-10-23	oos	0.03175	0.031651	-0.31%	0.03197	+0.69%	0.0008	✓	1.29
2025-10-22	oos	0.0312	0.031106	-0.30%	0.03175	+1.76%	0.0098	✓	1.30
2025-10-21	oos	0.031615	0.03153	-0.27%	0.0312	-1.31%	0.0011	✓	1.31
2025-10-20	oos	0.03246	0.032358	-0.31%	0.031615	-2.60%	0.0036	✗	1.33
2025-10-19	oos	0.032155	0.032059	-0.30%	0.03246	+0.95%	0.0121	✓	1.42
2025-10-18	oos	0.031935	0.031822	-0.36%	0.032155	+0.69%	0.0089	✓	1.42
2025-10-17	oos	0.03215	0.031987	-0.51%	0.031935	-0.67%	0.0115	✓	1.42
2025-10-16	oos	0.03262	0.032507	-0.35%	0.03215	-1.44%	0.0120	✗	1.43
2025-10-15	oos	0.03352	0.03341	-0.33%	0.03262	-2.68%	0.0098	✗	1.42
2025-10-14	oos	0.035065	0.034903	-0.46%	0.03352	-4.41%	0.0120	✓	1.41
2025-10-13	oos	0.035415	0.035276	-0.39%	0.035065	-0.99%	0.0214	✗	1.42
2025-10-12	oos	0.034095	0.033962	-0.39%	0.035415	+3.87%	0.0394	✗	1.37
2025-10-11	oos	0.03228	0.032159	-0.37%	0.034095	+5.62%	0.0067	✗	1.36
2025-10-10	oos	0.032655	0.032537	-0.36%	0.03228	-1.15%	0.0191	✗	1.36
2025-10-09	oos	0.038095	0.037873	-0.58%	0.032655	-14.28%	0.0598	✓	1.19
2025-10-08	oos	0.03818	0.038112	-0.18%	0.038095	-0.22%	0.0156	✗	1.20
2025-10-07	oos	0.037515	0.037466	-0.13%	0.03818	+1.77%	0.0006	✓	1.15
2025-10-06	oos	0.039275	0.039189	-0.22%	0.037515	-4.48%	0.0132	✓	1.13
2025-10-05	oos	0.03846	0.038396	-0.17%	0.039275	+2.12%	0.0118	✗	1.12
2025-10-04	oos	0.03878	0.038707	-0.19%	0.03846	-0.83%	0.0162	✓	1.14
2025-10-03	oos	0.04	0.039894	-0.26%	0.03878	-3.05%	0.0296	✓	1.12
2025-10-02	oos	0.04003	0.039913	-0.29%	0.04	-0.07%	0.0136	✓	1.13
2025-10-01	oos	0.03943	0.039298	-0.33%	0.04003	+1.52%	0.0008	✓	1.07
2025-09-30	oos	0.037685	0.037579	-0.28%	0.03943	+4.63%	0.0063	✗	1.06
2025-09-29	oos	0.03798	0.037901	-0.21%	0.037685	-0.78%	0.0028	✓	1.12
2025-09-28	oos	0.039005	0.038914	-0.23%	0.03798	-2.63%	0.0469	✓	1.18
2025-09-27	oos	0.03861	0.038513	-0.25%	0.039005	+1.02%	0.0136	✓	1.16
2025-09-26	oos	0.038815	0.038706	-0.28%	0.03861	-0.53%	0.0023	✓	1.16
2025-09-25	oos	0.037915	0.037822	-0.25%	0.038815	+2.37%	0.0190	✗	1.15
2025-09-24	oos	0.039985	0.039882	-0.26%	0.037915	-5.18%	0.0065	✓	1.14
2025-09-23	oos	0.039735	0.039637	-0.25%	0.039985	+0.63%	0.0048	✓	1.15
2025-09-22	oos	0.040125	0.040018	-0.27%	0.039735	-0.97%	0.0004	✓	1.17
2025-09-21	oos	0.042765	0.04264	-0.29%	0.040125	-6.17%	0.0357	✓	1.12
2025-09-20	oos	0.04302	0.042891	-0.30%	0.042765	-0.59%	0.0019	✓	1.18
2025-09-19	oos	0.04305	0.042915	-0.31%	0.04302	-0.07%	0.0018	✓	1.21
2025-09-18	oos	0.044335	0.044182	-0.35%	0.04305	-2.90%	0.0109	✓	1.23
2025-09-17	oos	0.044145	0.04398	-0.37%	0.044335	+0.43%	0.0016	✓	1.19

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.