STONKEX

The Stonks Exchange · Base · beta_5y

token id: #762
symbol: STONKEX
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x5ab000ff9b9ffe0349ce5ffa5fd86f217c3680f5
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-06
predictions: 114

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 38 predictions shown

direction hit

64.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1194

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0088

actual -0.0153

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.00459	0.004554	-0.79%	–	pending	–	–	2.42
2026-10-21	oos	0.004745	0.004708	-0.78%	0.00459	+0.22%	0.0044	✓	2.44
2026-10-20	oos	0.004775	0.004733	-0.88%	0.004745	-0.63%	0.0097	✗	2.45
2026-10-19	oos	0.00498	0.004924	-1.12%	0.004775	-4.12%	0.0639	✓	2.48
2026-10-18	oos	0.0042	0.004179	-0.50%	0.00498	+18.57%	0.1805	✗	2.52
2026-10-17	oos	0.00435	0.004329	-0.48%	0.0042	-3.45%	0.0496	✓	2.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.004542	0.004521	-0.48%	0.00435	-4.24%	0.0348	✓	2.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.005359	0.005306	-1.00%	0.004542	-15.24%	0.1365	✓	2.47
2026-10-14	oos	0.004943	0.004913	-0.61%	0.005359	+8.42%	0.0705	✗	2.42
2026-10-13	oos	0.005723	0.005645	-1.35%	0.004943	-13.62%	0.0893	✓	2.33
2026-10-12	oos	0.004818	0.004798	-0.43%	0.005723	+18.76%	0.1412	✗	2.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.005999	0.005902	-1.62%	0.004818	-19.67%	0.1587	✓	1.88
2026-10-10	oos	0.004738	0.004724	-0.31%	0.005999	+26.59%	0.2231	✗	1.71
2026-10-09	oos	0.004928	0.004911	-0.35%	0.004738	-3.86%	0.0434	✓	1.71
2026-10-08	oos	0.004987	0.004977	-0.21%	0.004928	-1.17%	0.0273	✓	1.70
2026-10-07	oos	0.005561	0.005528	-0.58%	0.004987	-10.31%	0.0713	✓	1.65
2026-10-06	oos	0.005852	0.005806	-0.78%	0.005561	-4.98%	0.0041	✓	1.76
2026-10-05	oos	0.006299	0.006241	-0.92%	0.005852	-7.10%	0.0620	✓	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.007033	0.006956	-1.09%	0.006299	-10.44%	0.0904	✓	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.006914	0.006843	-1.03%	0.007033	+1.71%	0.0067	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.007618	0.00752	-1.29%	0.006914	-9.23%	0.0867	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.00807	0.007916	-1.90%	0.007618	-5.60%	0.0344	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.005442	0.005434	-0.13%	0.00807	+48.30%	0.3800	✗	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.005653	0.005641	-0.21%	0.005442	-3.74%	0.0351	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.007443	0.007379	-0.87%	0.005653	-24.05%	0.2686	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.008706	0.008601	-1.21%	0.007443	-14.50%	0.1325	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.007628	0.007561	-0.89%	0.008706	+14.12%	0.1405	✗	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.009231	0.009125	-1.15%	0.007628	-17.36%	0.1830	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.008653	0.008564	-1.02%	0.009231	+6.68%	0.0784	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.008165	0.008091	-0.91%	0.008653	+5.98%	0.0671	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.011108	0.010948	-1.44%	0.008165	-26.49%	0.2720	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.009522	0.009423	-1.03%	0.011108	+16.66%	0.1691	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.011372	0.011185	-1.64%	0.009522	-16.27%	0.2259	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.010559	0.010337	-2.10%	0.011372	+7.70%	0.0963	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.007548	0.0075	-0.64%	0.010559	+39.89%	0.3377	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.009253	0.009158	-1.02%	0.007548	-18.43%	0.2510	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.007736	0.007709	-0.35%	0.009253	+19.61%	0.1799	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.007789	0.007773	-0.20%	0.007736	-0.68%	0.0122	✓	1.00