STONKBROKER
StonkBroker · Robinhood · beta_5y
- token id
- #639
- symbol
- STONKBROKER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xe934e36a439c94017b64a3fece66af12099abf50
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-20
- predictions
- 258
Track record at +1d
assessed
85
of 86 predictions shown
direction hit
54.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1233
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0131
actual -0.0059
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.007696 | 0.007585 | -1.44% | – | pending | – | – | 1.48 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00746 | 0.007351 | -1.46% | 0.007696 | +0.03% | 0.0120 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007255 | 0.007117 | -1.90% | 0.00746 | +2.83% | 0.0509 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.005923 | 0.005852 | -1.20% | 0.007255 | +22.49% | 0.1982 | ✗ | 1.25 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005398 | 0.005353 | -0.83% | 0.005923 | +9.73% | 0.1036 | ✗ | 1.18 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.005615 | 0.005566 | -0.87% | 0.005398 | -3.86% | 0.0398 | ✓ | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.006092 | 0.006014 | -1.27% | 0.005615 | -7.83% | 0.0670 | ✓ | 1.18 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.005558 | 0.005509 | -0.89% | 0.006092 | +9.61% | 0.1098 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.005643 | 0.00559 | -0.94% | 0.005558 | -1.51% | 0.0140 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.006001 | 0.005904 | -1.62% | 0.005643 | -5.97% | 0.0231 | ✓ | 1.18 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004649 | 0.004641 | -0.17% | 0.006001 | +29.08% | 0.2389 | ✗ | 1.09 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.00497 | 0.004953 | -0.34% | 0.004649 | -6.46% | 0.0385 | ✓ | 1.06 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.004744 | 0.004743 | -0.02% | 0.00497 | +4.75% | 0.0370 | ✗ | 1.05 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.004862 | 0.004863 | +0.02% | 0.004744 | -2.43% | 0.0294 | ✗ | 1.05 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.004577 | 0.004597 | +0.44% | 0.004862 | +6.24% | 0.0453 | ✓ | 1.04 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005002 | 0.005015 | +0.26% | 0.004577 | -8.50% | 0.0723 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005439 | 0.005441 | +0.04% | 0.005002 | -8.03% | 0.0588 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005548 | 0.005554 | +0.11% | 0.005439 | -1.96% | 0.0187 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005992 | 0.005983 | -0.15% | 0.005548 | -7.41% | 0.0675 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005942 | 0.00595 | +0.13% | 0.005992 | +0.83% | 0.0120 | ✗ | 0.92 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.005814 | 0.00584 | +0.44% | 0.005942 | +2.21% | 0.0149 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.006333 | 0.006348 | +0.22% | 0.005814 | -8.20% | 0.0842 | ✗ | 0.90 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.007866 | 0.007821 | -0.57% | 0.006333 | -19.48% | 0.2261 | ✓ | 0.99 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008198 | 0.008144 | -0.66% | 0.007866 | -4.05% | 0.0337 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.007942 | 0.007914 | -0.36% | 0.008198 | +3.22% | 0.0332 | ✗ | 0.98 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0089 | 0.008834 | -0.75% | 0.007942 | -10.76% | 0.0953 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.009899 | 0.009807 | -0.93% | 0.0089 | -10.09% | 0.0975 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010774 | 0.010642 | -1.23% | 0.009899 | -8.12% | 0.0759 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.010347 | 0.010237 | -1.06% | 0.010774 | +4.13% | 0.0543 | ✗ | 0.92 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.011044 | 0.010907 | -1.24% | 0.010347 | -6.31% | 0.0528 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.012434 | 0.012204 | -1.85% | 0.011044 | -11.18% | 0.0825 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012413 | 0.012147 | -2.14% | 0.012434 | +0.17% | 0.0271 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.010263 | 0.010178 | -0.83% | 0.012413 | +20.95% | 0.1637 | ✗ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.009929 | 0.009875 | -0.55% | 0.010263 | +3.36% | 0.0391 | ✗ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.010887 | 0.010785 | -0.94% | 0.009929 | -8.80% | 0.0851 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.010963 | 0.01088 | -0.76% | 0.010887 | -0.69% | 0.0379 | ✓ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.010188 | 0.010162 | -0.25% | 0.010963 | +7.61% | 0.0741 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.009227 | 0.009263 | +0.39% | 0.010188 | +10.42% | 0.0903 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.010925 | 0.010894 | -0.29% | 0.009227 | -15.55% | 0.1529 | ✓ | 0.39 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.011269 | 0.011244 | -0.22% | 0.010925 | -3.04% | 0.0363 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.011761 | 0.01172 | -0.35% | 0.011269 | -4.19% | 0.0369 | ✓ | 0.40 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.012001 | 0.011968 | -0.27% | 0.011761 | -2.00% | 0.0177 | ✓ | 0.40 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.013322 | 0.013195 | -0.95% | 0.012001 | -9.91% | 0.0986 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.011418 | 0.011443 | +0.22% | 0.013322 | +16.68% | 0.1656 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.013807 | 0.013699 | -0.78% | 0.011418 | -17.31% | 0.1810 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.016192 | 0.015859 | -2.06% | 0.013807 | -14.73% | 0.1350 | ✓ | 0.44 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.014126 | 0.013967 | -1.13% | 0.016192 | +14.63% | 0.1565 | ✗ | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.015506 | 0.015287 | -1.41% | 0.014126 | -8.90% | 0.0826 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.015697 | 0.015475 | -1.42% | 0.015506 | -1.22% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.020957 | 0.020575 | -1.82% | 0.015697 | -25.10% | 0.2669 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.020104 | 0.01981 | -1.46% | 0.020957 | +4.24% | 0.0462 | ✗ | 0.20 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.025569 | 0.025174 | -1.54% | 0.020104 | -21.37% | 0.2248 | ✓ | 0.12 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.03115 | 0.030418 | -2.35% | 0.025569 | -17.92% | 0.1757 | ✓ | -0.14 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.022452 | 0.02208 | -1.66% | 0.03115 | +38.74% | 0.3470 | ✗ | -0.25 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.027114 | 0.026408 | -2.61% | 0.022452 | -17.19% | 0.1652 | ✓ | -0.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.019989 | 0.019538 | -2.26% | 0.027114 | +35.64% | 0.3298 | ✗ | -0.41 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016403 | 0.016155 | -1.51% | 0.019989 | +21.86% | 0.2097 | ✗ | -0.11 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.021352 | 0.020797 | -2.60% | 0.016403 | -23.18% | 0.2387 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.016317 | 0.016066 | -1.54% | 0.021352 | +30.86% | 0.2840 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.01815 | 0.017776 | -2.06% | 0.016317 | -10.10% | 0.0858 | ✓ | -0.03 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01781 | 0.017396 | -2.33% | 0.01815 | +1.91% | 0.0427 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.01405 | 0.013845 | -1.46% | 0.01781 | +26.76% | 0.2523 | ✗ | -0.06 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.015669 | 0.015362 | -1.96% | 0.01405 | -10.33% | 0.0937 | ✓ | -0.27 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.014685 | 0.014429 | -1.74% | 0.015669 | +6.70% | 0.1163 | ✗ | -0.48 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.023114 | 0.022543 | -2.47% | 0.014685 | -36.47% | 0.5431 | ✓ | 2.19 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.016841 | 0.016637 | -1.21% | 0.023114 | +37.25% | 0.2598 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.020764 | 0.020454 | -1.49% | 0.016841 | -18.89% | 0.1975 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.021221 | 0.020938 | -1.33% | 0.020764 | -2.15% | 0.0341 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.028649 | 0.028196 | -1.58% | 0.021221 | -25.93% | 0.2813 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.033967 | 0.033208 | -2.24% | 0.028649 | -15.66% | 0.1483 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.031055 | 0.030342 | -2.29% | 0.033967 | +9.38% | 0.1200 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.027253 | 0.026833 | -1.54% | 0.031055 | +13.95% | 0.1459 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.034774 | 0.034023 | -2.16% | 0.027253 | -21.63% | 0.2200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.035165 | 0.034253 | -2.59% | 0.034774 | -1.11% | 0.0211 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.031429 | 0.030653 | -2.47% | 0.035165 | +11.89% | 0.1519 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.029565 | 0.028698 | -2.93% | 0.031429 | +6.30% | 0.0918 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.023165 | 0.022608 | -2.41% | 0.029565 | +27.63% | 0.2680 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.022378 | 0.02168 | -3.12% | 0.023165 | +3.52% | 0.0566 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.015726 | 0.015403 | -2.05% | 0.022378 | +42.30% | 0.3787 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.015313 | 0.014989 | -2.11% | 0.015726 | +2.70% | 0.0394 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.014085 | 0.013836 | -1.77% | 0.015313 | +8.72% | 0.0923 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.016108 | 0.01569 | -2.59% | 0.014085 | -12.56% | 0.1074 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.01455 | 0.014028 | -3.59% | 0.016108 | +10.71% | 0.1266 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.008754 | 0.008628 | -1.44% | 0.01455 | +66.21% | 0.5236 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.010147 | 0.009931 | -2.13% | 0.008754 | -13.73% | 0.0964 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.010074 | 0.009737 | -3.35% | 0.010147 | +0.72% | 0.0285 | ✓ | 1.00 |