STANDARD
STANDARD · Robinhood · beta_5y
- token id
- #761
- symbol
- STANDARD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x88ad8ddf1e3898412146a534538d418c6f8a9062
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-15
- predictions
- 87
Track record at +1d
assessed
28
of 29 predictions shown
direction hit
53.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0661
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0069
actual -0.0002
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.2418 | 0.240408 | -0.58% | – | pending | – | – | -0.71 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.23545 | 0.234151 | -0.55% | 0.2418 | -0.37% | 0.0035 | ✓ | -0.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.2408 | 0.239222 | -0.66% | 0.23545 | -2.22% | 0.0180 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.23085 | 0.22944 | -0.61% | 0.2408 | +4.31% | 0.0587 | ✗ | -0.78 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.2124 | 0.211511 | -0.42% | 0.23085 | +8.69% | 0.0860 | ✗ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.2349 | 0.233563 | -0.57% | 0.2124 | -9.58% | 0.0896 | ✓ | -0.70 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.22505 | 0.224149 | -0.40% | 0.2349 | +4.38% | 0.0458 | ✗ | -0.69 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2647 | 0.263117 | -0.60% | 0.22505 | -14.98% | 0.1626 | ✓ | -0.83 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.28125 | 0.279148 | -0.75% | 0.2647 | -5.88% | 0.0600 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.2955 | 0.292242 | -1.10% | 0.28125 | -4.82% | 0.0197 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.27675 | 0.272761 | -1.44% | 0.2955 | +6.78% | 0.0636 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.22535 | 0.22304 | -1.03% | 0.27675 | +22.81% | 0.2392 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.19045 | 0.189423 | -0.54% | 0.22535 | +18.33% | 0.1645 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.1907 | 0.189779 | -0.48% | 0.19045 | -0.13% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2006 | 0.199481 | -0.56% | 0.1907 | -4.94% | 0.0554 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.19435 | 0.193505 | -0.43% | 0.2006 | +3.22% | 0.0552 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.22395 | 0.222512 | -0.64% | 0.19435 | -13.22% | 0.1085 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.22 | 0.21849 | -0.69% | 0.22395 | +1.80% | 0.0271 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.20415 | 0.203036 | -0.55% | 0.22 | +7.76% | 0.0890 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2072 | 0.206012 | -0.57% | 0.20415 | -1.47% | 0.0297 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2077 | 0.206535 | -0.56% | 0.2072 | -0.24% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.2348 | 0.233354 | -0.62% | 0.2077 | -11.54% | 0.1124 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2489 | 0.247144 | -0.71% | 0.2348 | -5.66% | 0.0666 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.25825 | 0.256087 | -0.84% | 0.2489 | -3.62% | 0.0275 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.241 | 0.239198 | -0.75% | 0.25825 | +7.16% | 0.0745 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.238 | 0.236278 | -0.72% | 0.241 | +1.26% | 0.0318 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2334 | 0.231821 | -0.68% | 0.238 | +1.97% | 0.0258 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.2541 | 0.251903 | -0.86% | 0.2334 | -8.15% | 0.0801 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2438 | 0.241369 | -1.00% | 0.2541 | +4.22% | 0.0549 | ✗ | 1.00 |