SOMI

Somnia · native · beta_5y

token id: #386
symbol: SOMI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-10-14
predictions: 1,074

Track record at +7d

assessed

344

of 358 predictions shown

direction hit

57.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0831

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0133

actual -0.0090

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.18905	0.186004	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.19005	0.186845	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-10-20	oos	0.1914	0.18814	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-10-19	oos	0.1878	0.184744	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-10-18	oos	0.1873	0.184473	-1.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-10-17	oos	0.1926	0.189683	-1.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-10-16	oos	0.20055	0.197172	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-10-15	oos	0.1998	0.196367	-1.72%	0.18905	-5.38%	0.0560	✓	0.71
2026-10-14	oos	0.20545	0.201742	-1.80%	0.19005	-7.50%	0.0696	✓	0.72
2026-10-13	oos	0.20605	0.201856	-2.04%	0.1914	-7.11%	0.0517	✓	0.73
2026-10-12	oos	0.2042	0.199783	-2.16%	0.1878	-8.03%	0.0627	✓	0.73
2026-10-11	oos	0.2049	0.201639	-1.59%	0.1873	-8.59%	0.0596	✓	0.70
2026-10-10	oos	0.20585	0.202659	-1.55%	0.1926	-6.44%	0.0379	✓	0.70
2026-10-09	oos	0.20265	0.199724	-1.44%	0.20055	-1.04%	0.0130	✓	0.70
2026-10-08	oos	0.2028	0.199834	-1.46%	0.1998	-1.48%	0.0039	✓	0.70
2026-10-07	oos	0.19975	0.197398	-1.18%	0.20545	+2.85%	0.0548	✗	0.71
2026-10-06	oos	0.2105	0.207241	-1.55%	0.20605	-2.11%	0.0138	✓	0.68
2026-10-05	oos	0.21625	0.212348	-1.80%	0.2042	-5.57%	0.0046	✓	0.72
2026-10-04	oos	0.21515	0.211502	-1.70%	0.2049	-4.76%	0.0072	✓	0.74
2026-10-03	oos	0.21535	0.211776	-1.66%	0.20585	-4.41%	0.0118	✓	0.76
2026-10-02	oos	0.20175	0.198555	-1.58%	0.20265	+0.45%	0.0382	✗	0.76
2026-10-01	oos	0.2105	0.205297	-2.47%	0.2028	-3.66%	0.0160	✓	0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.22455	0.216427	-3.62%	0.19975	-11.04%	0.0776	✓	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.19985	0.193542	-3.16%	0.2105	+5.33%	0.0662	✗	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	0.202	0.19498	-3.48%	0.21625	+7.05%	0.0817	✗	0.81
2026-09-27	oos	0.21745	0.208922	-3.92%	0.21515	-1.06%	0.0099	✓	0.82
2026-09-26	oos	0.2202	0.211242	-4.07%	0.21535	-2.20%	0.0161	✓	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.208	0.199691	-3.99%	0.20175	-3.00%	0.0063	✓	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.19865	0.190874	-3.91%	0.2105	+5.97%	0.0934	✗	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.1849	0.178041	-3.71%	0.22455	+21.44%	0.2402	✗	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.1932	0.185954	-3.75%	0.19985	+3.44%	0.0961	✗	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.1903	0.183335	-3.66%	0.202	+6.15%	0.1265	✗	0.80
2026-09-20	oos	0.2023	0.194184	-4.01%	0.21745	+7.49%	0.0723	✗	1.02
2026-09-19	oos	0.20375	0.19536	-4.12%	0.2202	+8.07%	0.0807	✗	1.01
2026-09-18	oos	0.19565	0.18718	-4.33%	0.208	+6.31%	0.0651	✗	1.03
2026-09-17	oos	0.1741	0.167398	-3.85%	0.19865	+14.10%	0.0774	✗	0.94
2026-09-16	oos	0.1611	0.155854	-3.26%	0.1849	+14.77%	0.0746	✗	0.94
2026-09-15	oos	0.1499	0.146088	-2.54%	0.1932	+28.89%	0.1556	✗	0.94
2026-09-14	oos	0.14685	0.143594	-2.22%	0.1903	+29.59%	0.1824	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.1445	0.141801	-1.87%	0.2023	+40.00%	0.3018	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.1484	0.145232	-2.13%	0.20375	+37.30%	0.2905	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.1401	0.138236	-1.33%	0.19565	+39.65%	0.3032	✗	0.95
2026-09-10	oos	0.13355	0.132968	-0.44%	0.1741	+30.36%	0.2719	✗	0.95
2026-09-09	oos	0.13245	0.132835	+0.29%	0.1611	+21.63%	0.2198	✓	0.97
2026-09-08	oos	0.13245	0.133369	+0.69%	0.1499	+13.17%	0.1541	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.1326	0.133979	+1.04%	0.14685	+10.75%	0.1035	✓	1.01
2026-09-06	oos	0.1335	0.135176	+1.26%	0.1445	+8.24%	0.1134	✓	1.04
2026-09-05	oos	0.1245	0.127545	+2.45%	0.1484	+19.20%	0.1850	✓	1.03
2026-09-04	oos	0.1169	0.121249	+3.72%	0.1401	+19.85%	0.1759	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.1155	0.121411	+5.12%	0.13355	+15.63%	0.1563	✓	1.02
2026-09-02	oos	0.1098	0.114159	+3.97%	0.13245	+20.63%	0.1347	✓	1.11
2026-09-01	oos	0.1096	0.113473	+3.53%	0.13245	+20.85%	0.1394	✓	1.13
2026-08-31	oos	0.1207	0.123429	+2.26%	0.1326	+9.86%	0.0650	✓	0.99
2026-08-30	oos	0.1094	0.112183	+2.54%	0.1335	+22.03%	0.1393	✓	1.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.1147	0.116804	+1.83%	0.1245	+8.54%	0.0438	✓	0.99
2026-08-28	oos	0.11645	0.117424	+0.84%	0.1169	+0.39%	0.0275	✗	0.99
2026-08-27	oos	0.1117	0.113394	+1.52%	0.1155	+3.40%	0.0055	✓	1.05
2026-08-26	oos	0.11225	0.112947	+0.62%	0.1098	-2.18%	0.0050	✓	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.1098	0.110201	+0.37%	0.1096	-0.18%	0.0099	✓	1.06
2026-08-24	oos	0.10745	0.107907	+0.43%	0.1207	+12.33%	0.1177	✓	1.06
2026-08-23	oos	0.11115	0.110649	-0.45%	0.1094	-1.57%	0.0105	✓	1.09
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.107926	-0.53%	0.1147	+5.71%	0.0444	✗	1.09
2026-08-21	oos	0.10995	0.109144	-0.73%	0.11645	+5.91%	0.0716	✗	1.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.10065	0.099526	-1.12%	0.1117	+10.98%	0.0133	✗	1.08
2026-08-19	oos	0.0948	0.093524	-1.35%	0.11225	+18.41%	0.0402	✗	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.09025	0.088961	-1.43%	0.1098	+21.66%	0.0110	✓	1.14
2026-08-17	oos	0.09045	0.08922	-1.36%	0.10745	+18.79%	0.0465	✓	1.15
2026-08-16	oos	0.0912	0.089742	-1.60%	0.11115	+21.87%	0.0369	✓	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.09485	0.092632	-2.34%	0.1085	+14.39%	0.0783	✓	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.08945	0.08804	-1.58%	0.10995	+22.92%	0.0346	✓	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.08925	0.087786	-1.64%	0.10065	+12.77%	0.0292	✓	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.0868	0.085457	-1.55%	0.0948	+9.22%	0.0015	✓	1.19
2026-08-11	oos	0.0872	0.086012	-1.36%	0.09025	+3.50%	0.0270	✗	1.18
2026-08-10	oos	0.0894	0.088047	-1.51%	0.09045	+1.17%	0.0164	✗	1.20
2026-08-09	oos	0.091	0.089193	-1.99%	0.0912	+0.22%	0.0603	✗	1.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0899	0.088563	-1.49%	0.09485	+5.51%	0.1043	✗	1.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.0887	0.087262	-1.62%	0.08945	+0.85%	0.0607	✗	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.08855	0.086895	-1.87%	0.08925	+0.79%	0.0425	✗	1.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0905	0.088544	-2.16%	0.0868	-4.09%	0.0025	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.08355	0.082411	-1.36%	0.0872	+4.37%	0.0659	✗	1.16
2026-08-03	oos	0.08455	0.083341	-1.43%	0.0894	+5.74%	0.0620	✗	1.18
2026-08-02	oos	0.0837	0.082584	-1.33%	0.091	+8.72%	0.0723	✗	1.18
2026-08-01	oos	0.08345	0.082303	-1.37%	0.0899	+7.73%	0.0486	✗	1.18
2026-07-31	oos	0.08495	0.083872	-1.27%	0.0887	+4.41%	0.0177	✗	1.18
2026-07-30	oos	0.0843	0.08371	-0.70%	0.08855	+5.04%	0.0649	✗	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.08345	0.082854	-0.71%	0.0905	+8.45%	0.0752	✗	1.19
2026-07-28	oos	0.0882	0.087483	-0.81%	0.08355	-5.27%	0.0498	✓	1.21
2026-07-27	oos	0.0901	0.089395	-0.78%	0.08455	-6.16%	0.0514	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.0977	0.096927	-0.79%	0.0837	-14.33%	0.1140	✓	1.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.09785	0.097467	-0.39%	0.08345	-14.72%	0.1270	✓	1.17
2026-07-24	oos	0.096	0.095934	-0.07%	0.08495	-11.51%	0.0984	✓	1.17
2026-07-23	oos	0.09935	0.099341	-0.01%	0.0843	-15.15%	0.1582	✓	1.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.1004	0.10071	+0.31%	0.08345	-16.88%	0.1486	✗	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.10005	0.100498	+0.45%	0.0882	-11.84%	0.0825	✗	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.0976	0.097937	+0.35%	0.0901	-7.68%	0.0565	✗	1.14
2026-07-19	oos	0.0973	0.097521	+0.23%	0.0977	+0.41%	0.0098	✗	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.09935	0.099569	+0.22%	0.09785	-1.51%	0.0086	✗	1.13
2026-07-17	oos	0.0993	0.099503	+0.20%	0.096	-3.32%	0.0393	✗	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.10055	0.100758	+0.21%	0.09935	-1.19%	0.0378	✗	1.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.1027	0.10291	+0.20%	0.1004	-2.24%	0.0499	✗	1.20
2026-07-14	oos	0.1023	0.102529	+0.22%	0.10005	-2.20%	0.0526	✗	1.21
2026-07-13	oos	0.1019	0.101866	-0.03%	0.0976	-4.22%	0.1021	✓	1.28
2026-07-12	oos	0.1017	0.101846	+0.14%	0.0973	-4.33%	0.0648	✗	1.31
2026-07-11	oos	0.1028	0.102916	+0.11%	0.09935	-3.36%	0.0562	✗	1.31
2026-07-10	oos	0.10435	0.104397	+0.05%	0.0993	-4.84%	0.0453	✗	1.30
2026-07-09	oos	0.10405	0.104046	-0.00%	0.10055	-3.36%	0.0464	✓	1.31
2026-07-08	oos	0.1037	0.103728	+0.03%	0.1027	-0.96%	0.0617	✗	1.32
2026-07-07	oos	0.11365	0.11312	-0.47%	0.1023	-9.99%	0.1341	✓	1.29
2026-07-06	oos	0.118	0.116834	-0.99%	0.1019	-13.64%	0.1013	✓	1.29
2026-07-05	oos	0.10575	0.105587	-0.15%	0.1017	-3.83%	0.0404	✓	1.19
2026-07-04	oos	0.1049	0.104748	-0.14%	0.1028	-2.00%	0.0316	✓	1.19
2026-07-03	oos	0.10595	0.105593	-0.34%	0.10435	-1.51%	0.0426	✓	1.21
2026-07-02	oos	0.1016	0.101216	-0.38%	0.10405	+2.41%	0.0050	✓	1.20
2026-07-01	oos	0.0994	0.099069	-0.33%	0.1037	+4.33%	0.0007	✓	1.21
2026-06-30	oos	0.09435	0.094237	-0.12%	0.11365	+20.46%	0.0948	✗	1.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.1003	0.100084	-0.22%	0.118	+17.65%	0.0933	✗	1.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.09985	0.099478	-0.37%	0.10575	+5.91%	0.0157	✓	1.15
2026-06-27	oos	0.0995	0.099137	-0.36%	0.1049	+5.43%	0.0030	✓	1.16
2026-06-26	oos	0.0997	0.099296	-0.41%	0.10595	+6.27%	0.0171	✗	1.16
2026-06-25	oos	0.09915	0.098766	-0.39%	0.1016	+2.47%	0.0059	✓	1.16
2026-06-24	oos	0.0992	0.098968	-0.23%	0.0994	+0.20%	0.0238	✗	1.15
2026-06-23	oos	0.1008	0.100639	-0.16%	0.09435	-6.40%	0.0152	✗	1.17
2026-06-22	oos	0.1048	0.104513	-0.27%	0.1003	-4.29%	0.0304	✗	1.17
2026-06-21	oos	0.10665	0.106283	-0.34%	0.09985	-6.38%	0.0101	✗	1.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.11235	0.111614	-0.65%	0.0995	-11.44%	0.0376	✓	1.12
2026-06-19	oos	0.1128	0.111913	-0.79%	0.0997	-11.61%	0.0519	✓	1.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.11	0.10924	-0.69%	0.09915	-9.86%	0.0393	✓	1.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.1145	0.113292	-1.06%	0.0992	-13.36%	0.0718	✓	1.11
2026-06-16	oos	0.11085	0.110064	-0.71%	0.1008	-9.07%	0.0354	✓	1.13
2026-06-15	oos	0.1116	0.110703	-0.80%	0.1048	-6.09%	0.0143	✓	1.13
2026-06-14	oos	0.1138	0.112577	-1.07%	0.10665	-6.28%	0.0103	✓	1.14
2026-06-13	oos	0.11345	0.112113	-1.18%	0.11235	-0.97%	0.0058	✓	1.15
2026-06-12	oos	0.11005	0.108818	-1.12%	0.1128	+2.50%	0.0371	✗	1.14
2026-06-11	oos	0.1074	0.106542	-0.80%	0.11	+2.42%	0.0443	✗	1.14
2026-06-10	oos	0.1007	0.100597	-0.10%	0.1145	+13.70%	0.0768	✗	1.11
2026-06-09	oos	0.1061	0.105782	-0.30%	0.11085	+4.48%	0.0213	✓	1.10
2026-06-08	oos	0.1112	0.110511	-0.62%	0.1116	+0.36%	0.0447	✓	1.10
2026-06-07	oos	0.1111	0.110617	-0.44%	0.1138	+2.43%	0.0114	✓	1.07
2026-06-06	oos	0.1102	0.110158	-0.04%	0.11345	+2.95%	0.0274	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.1102	0.110351	+0.14%	0.11005	-0.14%	0.0412	✗	0.95
2026-06-04	oos	0.1235	0.122628	-0.71%	0.1074	-13.04%	0.1293	✓	0.87
2026-06-03	oos	0.1429	0.140364	-1.77%	0.1007	-29.53%	0.2965	✓	0.86
2026-06-02	oos	0.1373	0.135688	-1.17%	0.1061	-22.72%	0.1751	✓	0.91
2026-06-01	oos	0.1525	0.150218	-1.50%	0.1112	-27.08%	0.2048	✓	0.78
2026-05-31	oos	0.15255	0.150455	-1.37%	0.1111	-27.17%	0.1822	✓	0.80
2026-05-30	oos	0.15195	0.149801	-1.41%	0.1102	-27.48%	0.1628	✓	0.75
2026-05-29	oos	0.15105	0.149001	-1.36%	0.1102	-27.04%	0.1527	✓	0.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.15165	0.149816	-1.21%	0.1235	-18.56%	0.0778	✓	0.81
2026-05-27	oos	0.15785	0.156045	-1.14%	0.1429	-9.47%	0.0348	✗	0.83
2026-05-26	oos	0.16095	0.159365	-0.98%	0.1373	-14.69%	0.0435	✓	0.82
2026-05-25	oos	0.1683	0.166283	-1.20%	0.1525	-9.39%	0.0289	✓	0.72
2026-05-24	oos	0.1647	0.16328	-0.86%	0.15255	-7.38%	0.0372	✓	0.68
2026-05-23	oos	0.1718	0.169197	-1.51%	0.15195	-11.55%	0.0785	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.161	0.159535	-0.91%	0.15105	-6.18%	0.0343	✓	0.73
2026-05-21	oos	0.1711	0.169022	-1.21%	0.15165	-11.37%	0.0708	✓	0.70
2026-05-20	oos	0.1596	0.159118	-0.30%	0.15785	-1.10%	0.0217	✗	0.71
2026-05-19	oos	0.1572	0.157075	-0.08%	0.16095	+2.39%	0.0333	✗	0.72
2026-05-18	oos	0.1602	0.160366	+0.10%	0.1683	+5.06%	0.0455	✓	0.71
2026-05-17	oos	0.1584	0.159303	+0.57%	0.1647	+3.98%	0.0373	✓	0.71
2026-05-16	oos	0.16635	0.166908	+0.34%	0.1718	+3.28%	0.0421	✓	0.70
2026-05-15	oos	0.1691	0.169614	+0.30%	0.161	-4.79%	0.0197	✗	0.69
2026-05-14	oos	0.1771	0.177629	+0.30%	0.1711	-3.39%	0.0075	✗	0.67
2026-05-13	oos	0.1754	0.175309	-0.05%	0.1596	-9.01%	0.0779	✓	0.69
2026-05-12	oos	0.18935	0.18897	-0.20%	0.1572	-16.98%	0.1533	✓	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.19845	0.197775	-0.34%	0.1602	-19.27%	0.1773	✓	0.55
2026-05-10	oos	0.2003	0.199763	-0.27%	0.1584	-20.92%	0.1984	✓	0.56
2026-05-09	oos	0.1989	0.197861	-0.52%	0.16635	-16.37%	0.1554	✓	0.56
2026-05-08	oos	0.2008	0.198894	-0.95%	0.1691	-15.79%	0.1543	✓	0.56
2026-05-07	oos	0.19215	0.190938	-0.63%	0.1771	-7.83%	0.0827	✓	0.56
2026-05-06	oos	0.19205	0.191109	-0.49%	0.1754	-8.67%	0.0702	✓	0.58
2026-05-05	oos	0.18645	0.18581	-0.34%	0.18935	+1.56%	0.0227	✗	0.72
2026-05-04	oos	0.1846	0.183097	-0.81%	0.19845	+7.50%	0.0640	✗	0.71
2026-05-03	oos	0.1809	0.179695	-0.67%	0.2003	+10.72%	0.0753	✗	0.73
2026-05-02	oos	0.1849	0.183397	-0.81%	0.1989	+7.57%	0.0627	✗	0.75
2026-05-01	oos	0.1838	0.182207	-0.87%	0.2008	+9.25%	0.0775	✗	0.80
2026-04-30	oos	0.18825	0.18491	-1.77%	0.19215	+2.07%	0.0022	✓	0.86
2026-04-29	oos	0.1783	0.176073	-1.25%	0.19205	+7.71%	0.0256	✗	0.85
2026-04-28	oos	0.18035	0.177303	-1.69%	0.18645	+3.38%	0.0038	✓	0.93
2026-04-27	oos	0.1724	0.170462	-1.12%	0.1846	+7.08%	0.0499	✗	0.94
2026-04-26	oos	0.1829	0.179927	-1.63%	0.1809	-1.09%	0.0068	✓	0.93
2026-04-25	oos	0.1811	0.178446	-1.47%	0.1849	+2.10%	0.0234	✗	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.17125	0.169718	-0.89%	0.1838	+7.33%	0.0698	✗	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.16895	0.167979	-0.57%	0.18825	+11.42%	0.1392	✗	0.99
2026-04-22	oos	0.1679	0.166745	-0.69%	0.1783	+6.19%	0.0986	✗	0.99
2026-04-21	oos	0.16895	0.167352	-0.95%	0.18035	+6.75%	0.0752	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.16645	0.164981	-0.88%	0.1724	+3.57%	0.0245	✗	0.99
2026-04-19	oos	0.16375	0.162176	-0.96%	0.1829	+11.69%	0.0567	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.17675	0.174459	-1.30%	0.1811	+2.46%	0.0128	✓	0.98
2026-04-17	oos	0.18695	0.183639	-1.77%	0.17125	-8.40%	0.0744	✓	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.1802	0.176999	-1.78%	0.16895	-6.24%	0.0861	✓	0.97
2026-04-15	oos	0.1738	0.17184	-1.13%	0.1679	-3.39%	0.0660	✓	0.97
2026-04-14	oos	0.1693	0.167991	-0.77%	0.16895	-0.21%	0.0224	✓	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.1695	0.167872	-0.96%	0.16645	-1.80%	0.0267	✓	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.1585	0.15739	-0.70%	0.16375	+3.31%	0.0004	✓	0.94
2026-04-11	oos	0.16385	0.162726	-0.69%	0.17675	+7.87%	0.0493	✗	0.94
2026-04-10	oos	0.16715	0.165689	-0.87%	0.18695	+11.85%	0.0692	✗	0.94
2026-04-09	oos	0.1607	0.159584	-0.69%	0.1802	+12.13%	0.0786	✗	0.94
2026-04-08	oos	0.15895	0.157297	-1.04%	0.1738	+9.34%	0.0516	✗	0.94
2026-04-07	oos	0.16325	0.162121	-0.69%	0.1693	+3.71%	0.0143	✗	0.93
2026-04-06	oos	0.16465	0.162842	-1.10%	0.1695	+2.95%	0.0359	✓	0.97
2026-04-05	oos	0.1669	0.164503	-1.44%	0.1585	-5.03%	0.0616	✓	0.97
2026-04-04	oos	0.1581	0.156065	-1.29%	0.16385	+3.64%	0.0308	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.1554	0.153378	-1.30%	0.16715	+7.56%	0.0031	✓	0.96
2026-04-02	oos	0.1546	0.152247	-1.52%	0.1607	+3.95%	0.0138	✓	0.96
2026-04-01	oos	0.1545	0.151912	-1.68%	0.15895	+2.88%	0.0038	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.1563	0.153658	-1.69%	0.16325	+4.45%	0.0095	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.1541	0.152011	-1.36%	0.16465	+6.85%	0.0495	✗	0.97
2026-03-29	oos	0.1495	0.147591	-1.28%	0.1669	+11.64%	0.0793	✗	0.97
2026-03-28	oos	0.1532	0.15101	-1.43%	0.1581	+3.20%	0.0318	✗	0.97
2026-03-27	oos	0.1561	0.152814	-2.11%	0.1554	-0.45%	0.0080	✓	0.97
2026-03-26	oos	0.1586	0.156304	-1.45%	0.1546	-2.52%	0.0161	✗	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.1676	0.164876	-1.63%	0.1545	-7.82%	0.0206	✓	0.97
2026-03-24	oos	0.1633	0.161434	-1.14%	0.1563	-4.29%	0.0002	✓	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.1675	0.16559	-1.14%	0.1541	-8.00%	0.0141	✓	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.1667	0.164278	-1.45%	0.1495	-10.32%	0.0668	✓	0.97
2026-03-21	oos	0.1737	0.17126	-1.40%	0.1532	-11.80%	0.0744	✓	0.97
2026-03-20	oos	0.1747	0.173009	-0.97%	0.1561	-10.65%	0.0440	✓	0.97
2026-03-16	oos	0.1893	0.188205	-0.58%	0.1675	-11.52%	0.0605	✓	1.02
2026-03-14	oos	0.1838	0.181827	-1.07%	0.1737	-5.50%	0.0120	✓	1.02
2026-03-13	oos	0.1882	0.186117	-1.11%	0.1747	-7.17%	0.0570	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.1884	0.185979	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-03-11	oos	0.1875	0.185624	-1.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-03-10	oos	0.182	0.18044	-0.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-03-09	oos	0.1863	0.184306	-1.07%	0.1893	+1.61%	0.0662	✓	1.03
2026-03-08	oos	0.1983	0.194892	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-03-07	oos	0.1883	0.185837	-1.31%	0.1838	-2.39%	0.0753	✓	1.12
2026-03-06	oos	0.1924	0.190195	-1.15%	0.1882	-2.18%	0.0555	✓	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.2008	0.198738	-1.03%	0.1884	-6.18%	0.0479	✓	1.10
2026-03-04	oos	0.1953	0.193873	-0.73%	0.1875	-3.99%	0.0056	✓	1.13
2026-03-03	oos	0.1898	0.188005	-0.95%	0.182	-4.11%	0.0599	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	0.189	0.187409	-0.84%	0.1863	-1.43%	0.0009	✓	1.18
2026-03-01	oos	0.1907	0.188719	-1.04%	0.1983	+3.99%	0.0459	✗	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.21555	0.212263	-1.52%	0.1883	-12.64%	0.1250	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.21115	0.207949	-1.52%	0.1924	-8.88%	0.1181	✓	1.20
2026-02-26	oos	0.22225	0.218262	-1.79%	0.2008	-9.65%	0.1421	✓	1.20
2026-02-25	oos	0.21835	0.214168	-1.92%	0.1953	-10.56%	0.1721	✓	1.20
2026-02-24	oos	0.22035	0.213516	-3.10%	0.1898	-13.86%	0.1997	✓	1.27
2026-02-23	oos	0.1948	0.192257	-1.31%	0.189	-2.98%	0.0959	✓	1.25
2026-02-22	oos	0.2145	0.210785	-1.73%	0.1907	-11.10%	0.0663	✓	1.22
2026-02-21	oos	0.20635	0.203336	-1.46%	0.21555	+4.46%	0.0763	✗	1.23
2026-02-20	oos	0.21495	0.210938	-1.87%	0.21115	-1.77%	0.0392	✗	1.20
2026-02-19	oos	0.20865	0.204731	-1.88%	0.22225	+6.52%	0.0728	✗	1.20
2026-02-18	oos	0.19505	0.192081	-1.52%	0.21835	+11.95%	0.1005	✗	1.18
2026-02-17	oos	0.19215	0.189637	-1.31%	0.22035	+14.68%	0.2110	✗	1.18
2026-02-16	oos	0.196	0.193377	-1.34%	0.1948	-0.61%	0.0825	✗	1.18
2026-02-15	oos	0.20125	0.198223	-1.50%	0.2145	+6.58%	0.0994	✗	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.2004	0.197263	-1.57%	0.20635	+2.97%	0.0767	✗	1.19
2026-02-13	oos	0.2005	0.196818	-1.84%	0.21495	+7.21%	0.1027	✗	1.20
2026-02-12	oos	0.19225	0.188779	-1.81%	0.20865	+8.53%	0.0863	✗	1.20
2026-02-11	oos	0.18795	0.18394	-2.13%	0.19505	+3.78%	0.0697	✗	1.22
2026-02-10	oos	0.1709	0.169312	-0.93%	0.19215	+12.43%	0.1515	✗	1.27
2026-02-09	oos	0.17465	0.172631	-1.16%	0.196	+12.22%	0.1496	✗	1.27
2026-02-08	oos	0.1788	0.17666	-1.20%	0.20125	+12.56%	0.1581	✗	1.30
2026-02-07	oos	0.1801	0.177884	-1.23%	0.2004	+11.27%	0.1090	✗	1.31
2026-02-06	oos	0.1826	0.179602	-1.64%	0.2005	+9.80%	0.1421	✗	1.30
2026-02-05	oos	0.1695	0.170029	+0.31%	0.19225	+13.42%	0.0461	✓	1.45
2026-02-04	oos	0.1987	0.194835	-1.95%	0.18795	-5.41%	0.1128	✗	1.74
2026-02-03	oos	0.19995	0.1957	-2.13%	0.1709	-14.53%	0.0369	✗	1.81
2026-02-02	oos	0.21505	0.209607	-2.53%	0.17465	-18.79%	0.0334	✗	1.87
2026-02-01	oos	0.2026	0.199341	-1.61%	0.1788	-11.75%	0.0543	✗	1.81
2026-01-31	oos	0.2487	0.239789	-3.58%	0.1801	-27.58%	0.0592	✓	1.78
2026-01-30	oos	0.2788	0.265178	-4.89%	0.1826	-34.51%	0.0591	✓	1.78
2026-01-29	oos	0.2493	0.240463	-3.54%	0.1695	-32.01%	0.1814	✗	1.79
2026-01-28	oos	0.2986	0.28232	-5.45%	0.1987	-33.46%	0.0167	✓	1.67
2026-01-27	oos	0.2379	0.230467	-3.12%	0.19995	-15.95%	0.1354	✗	1.69
2026-01-26	oos	0.2425	0.233734	-3.61%	0.21505	-11.32%	0.1133	✗	1.71
2026-01-25	oos	0.2492	0.240876	-3.34%	0.2026	-18.70%	0.0342	✗	1.75
2026-01-24	oos	0.3389	0.314929	-7.07%	0.2487	-26.62%	0.0421	✓	1.56
2026-01-23	oos	0.2033	0.201232	-1.02%	0.2788	+37.14%	0.4233	✗	1.57
2026-01-22	oos	0.1866	0.185705	-0.48%	0.2493	+33.60%	0.3839	✗	1.57
2026-01-21	oos	0.212	0.210204	-0.85%	0.2986	+40.85%	0.3546	✗	1.58
2026-01-19	oos	0.1996	0.199344	-0.13%	0.2425	+21.49%	0.2731	✗	1.62
2026-01-16	oos	0.2266	0.225961	-0.28%	0.2033	-10.28%	0.0018	✓	1.59
2026-01-15	oos	0.2304	0.229056	-0.58%	0.1866	-19.01%	0.1000	✓	1.59
2026-01-14	oos	0.2457	0.243675	-0.82%	0.212	-13.72%	0.0127	✓	1.55
2026-01-13	oos	0.253	0.250204	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-01-12	oos	0.2473	0.243863	-1.39%	0.1996	-19.29%	0.2251	✓	1.66
2026-01-11	oos	0.2667	0.26291	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.68
2026-01-10	oos	0.2529	0.249598	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-01-09	oos	0.2592	0.255184	-1.55%	0.2266	-12.58%	0.2081	✓	1.66
2026-01-08	oos	0.2654	0.260857	-1.71%	0.2304	-13.19%	0.2055	✓	1.66
2026-01-07	oos	0.2617	0.256865	-1.85%	0.2457	-6.11%	0.1448	✓	1.66
2026-01-06	oos	0.2794	0.273778	-2.01%	0.253	-9.45%	0.1080	✓	1.65
2026-01-05	oos	0.2635	0.259676	-1.45%	0.2473	-6.15%	0.0010	✓	1.65
2026-01-04	oos	0.258	0.254547	-1.34%	0.2667	+3.37%	0.0580	✗	1.66
2026-01-03	oos	0.258	0.254439	-1.38%	0.2529	-1.98%	0.0019	✓	1.67
2026-01-02	oos	0.2578	0.254171	-1.41%	0.2592	+0.54%	0.0093	✓	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.2441	0.241355	-1.12%	0.2654	+8.73%	0.0529	✗	1.65
2025-12-31	oos	0.2436	0.24076	-1.17%	0.2617	+7.43%	0.0132	✗	1.66
2025-12-30	oos	0.2502	0.247001	-1.28%	0.2794	+11.67%	0.0262	✗	1.66
2025-12-29	oos	0.2501	0.24692	-1.27%	0.2635	+5.36%	0.0598	✓	1.67
2025-12-28	oos	0.2557	0.252275	-1.34%	0.258	+0.90%	0.0449	✓	1.67
2025-12-27	oos	0.2561	0.252249	-1.50%	0.258	+0.74%	0.0296	✓	1.67
2025-12-26	oos	0.2454	0.242114	-1.34%	0.2578	+5.05%	0.0130	✓	1.66
2025-12-25	oos	0.2566	0.25246	-1.61%	0.2441	-4.87%	0.0633	✓	1.66
2025-12-24	oos	0.2433	0.240258	-1.25%	0.2436	+0.12%	0.0159	✗	1.67
2025-12-23	oos	0.2566	0.250703	-2.30%	0.2502	-2.49%	0.0205	✓	1.68
2025-12-22	oos	0.2422	0.239544	-1.10%	0.2501	+3.26%	0.0711	✗	1.70
2025-12-21	oos	0.2723	0.267485	-1.77%	0.2557	-6.10%	0.0303	✓	1.71
2025-12-20	oos	0.2728	0.266871	-2.17%	0.2561	-6.12%	0.0312	✓	1.71
2025-12-19	oos	0.2656	0.260489	-1.92%	0.2454	-7.61%	0.0442	✓	1.70
2025-12-18	oos	0.2517	0.24744	-1.69%	0.2566	+1.95%	0.0027	✓	1.70
2025-12-17	oos	0.2856	0.279078	-2.28%	0.2433	-14.81%	0.1643	✓	1.68
2025-12-16	oos	0.3231	0.310442	-3.92%	0.2566	-20.58%	0.1825	✓	1.64
2025-12-15	oos	0.2964	0.288385	-2.70%	0.2422	-18.29%	0.2135	✓	1.60
2025-12-14	oos	0.2834	0.275088	-2.93%	0.2723	-3.92%	0.0189	✓	1.64
2025-12-13	oos	0.2653	0.259282	-2.27%	0.2728	+2.83%	0.0878	✗	1.71
2025-12-12	oos	0.2628	0.25557	-2.75%	0.2656	+1.07%	0.0804	✗	1.71
2025-12-11	oos	0.2766	0.267212	-3.39%	0.2517	-9.00%	0.0761	✗	1.71
2025-12-10	oos	0.2375	0.232562	-2.08%	0.2856	+20.25%	0.3140	✗	1.66
2025-12-09	oos	0.2415	0.237413	-1.69%	0.3231	+33.79%	0.3972	✗	1.66
2025-12-08	oos	0.223	0.220208	-1.25%	0.2964	+32.91%	0.3743	✗	1.61
2025-12-07	oos	0.2124	0.210042	-1.11%	0.2834	+33.43%	0.3395	✗	1.60
2025-12-06	oos	0.2278	0.224671	-1.37%	0.2653	+16.46%	0.1481	✗	1.65
2025-12-05	oos	0.2304	0.226497	-1.69%	0.2628	+14.06%	0.1316	✗	1.65
2025-12-04	oos	0.2435	0.239874	-1.49%	0.2766	+13.59%	0.1344	✗	1.65
2025-12-03	oos	0.2543	0.249733	-1.80%	0.2375	-6.61%	0.0250	✓	1.65
2025-12-02	oos	0.239	0.236015	-1.25%	0.2415	+1.05%	0.0012	✓	1.61
2025-12-01	oos	0.2309	0.227683	-1.39%	0.223	-3.42%	0.1067	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.25605	0.251889	-1.62%	0.2124	-17.05%	0.1711	✓	1.71
2025-11-29	oos	0.2621	0.258392	-1.41%	0.2278	-13.09%	0.0964	✓	1.71
2025-11-28	oos	0.27995	0.274819	-1.83%	0.2304	-17.70%	0.1465	✓	1.72
2025-11-27	oos	0.2882	0.283184	-1.74%	0.2435	-15.51%	0.1656	✓	1.72
2025-11-26	oos	0.2832	0.278011	-1.83%	0.2543	-10.20%	0.1449	✓	1.72
2025-11-25	oos	0.2866	0.280218	-2.23%	0.239	-16.61%	0.2420	✓	1.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.2745	0.268208	-2.29%	0.2309	-15.88%	0.1071	✓	1.88
2025-11-23	oos	0.26155	0.256118	-2.08%	0.25605	-2.10%	0.0745	✓	1.85
2025-11-22	oos	0.2711	0.265597	-2.03%	0.2621	-3.32%	0.1522	✓	1.98
2025-11-21	oos	0.2775	0.27202	-1.97%	0.27995	+0.88%	0.1030	✓	1.99
2025-11-20	oos	0.27065	0.266145	-1.66%	0.2882	+6.48%	0.0291	✓	2.02
2025-11-19	oos	0.2846	0.279499	-1.79%	0.2832	-0.49%	0.0377	✗	2.25
2025-11-18	oos	0.29755	0.291435	-2.06%	0.2866	-3.68%	0.1225	✗	2.24
2025-11-17	oos	0.2904	0.285081	-1.83%	0.2745	-5.48%	0.0571	✗	2.23
2025-11-16	oos	0.29935	0.293626	-1.91%	0.26155	-12.63%	0.0689	✗	2.26
2025-11-15	oos	0.31415	0.307543	-2.10%	0.2711	-13.70%	0.1464	✗	2.26
2025-11-14	oos	0.31055	0.30418	-2.05%	0.2775	-10.64%	0.1465	✗	2.27
2025-11-13	oos	0.33765	0.329401	-2.44%	0.27065	-19.84%	0.1472	✗	2.44
2025-11-12	oos	0.3667	0.356188	-2.87%	0.2846	-22.39%	0.1189	✓	1.00
2025-11-11	oos	0.35675	0.346844	-2.78%	0.29755	-16.59%	0.0502	✓	1.00
2025-11-10	oos	0.4079	0.395683	-3.00%	0.2904	-28.81%	0.1690	✓	1.00
2025-11-09	oos	0.3969	0.383185	-3.46%	0.29935	-24.58%	0.1411	✓	1.00
2025-11-08	oos	0.39335	0.380468	-3.28%	0.31415	-20.13%	0.1234	✓	1.00
2025-11-07	oos	0.39905	0.384051	-3.76%	0.31055	-22.18%	0.1236	✓	1.00
2025-11-06	oos	0.34355	0.333553	-2.91%	0.33765	-1.72%	0.0289	✓	1.00
2025-11-05	oos	0.3754	0.360276	-4.03%	0.3667	-2.32%	0.0394	✓	1.00
2025-11-04	oos	0.32925	0.320893	-2.54%	0.35675	+8.35%	0.0909	✗	1.00
2025-11-03	oos	0.3453	0.335676	-2.79%	0.4079	+18.13%	0.2003	✗	1.00
2025-11-02	oos	0.3916	0.380882	-2.74%	0.3969	+1.35%	0.0955	✗	1.00
2025-11-01	oos	0.4051	0.394245	-2.68%	0.39335	-2.90%	0.0709	✗	1.00
2025-10-31	oos	0.40815	0.39748	-2.61%	0.39905	-2.23%	0.0629	✗	1.00
2025-10-30	oos	0.3888	0.37896	-2.53%	0.34355	-11.64%	0.0311	✓	1.00
2025-10-29	oos	0.437	0.426712	-2.35%	0.3754	-14.10%	0.0705	✓	1.00
2025-10-28	oos	0.46135	0.450225	-2.41%	0.32925	-28.63%	0.2061	✓	1.00
2025-10-27	oos	0.47955	0.468536	-2.30%	0.3453	-27.99%	0.2369	✓	1.00
2025-10-26	oos	0.5294	0.516274	-2.48%	0.3916	-26.03%	0.2407	✓	1.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.52345	0.509082	-2.74%	0.4051	-22.61%	0.2139	✓	1.00
2025-10-24	oos	0.51695	0.5036	-2.58%	0.40815	-21.05%	0.1967	✓	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.5185	0.50432	-2.73%	0.3888	-25.01%	0.2436	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.