SODA
SODAX · Ethereum · beta_5y
- token id
- #607
- symbol
- SODA
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x4a1c82744cddee675a255fb289cb0917a482e7c7
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-14
- predictions
- 183
Track record at +1d
assessed
60
of 61 predictions shown
direction hit
61.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0730
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0057
actual -0.0102
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.0093 | 0.009253 | -0.51% | – | pending | – | – | 0.46 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00903 | 0.00899 | -0.44% | 0.0093 | +0.00% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00922 | 0.009174 | -0.50% | 0.00903 | -2.06% | 0.0145 | ✓ | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.009435 | 0.009362 | -0.78% | 0.00922 | -2.28% | 0.0214 | ✓ | 0.46 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.00924 | 0.009191 | -0.53% | 0.009435 | +2.11% | 0.0272 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.009955 | 0.009853 | -1.02% | 0.00924 | -7.18% | 0.0679 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.00921 | 0.009158 | -0.57% | 0.009955 | +8.09% | 0.0842 | ✗ | 0.49 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.00979 | 0.009726 | -0.66% | 0.00921 | -5.92% | 0.0509 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009835 | 0.009771 | -0.65% | 0.00979 | -0.46% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.009835 | 0.009769 | -0.67% | 0.009835 | +0.00% | 0.0158 | ✗ | 0.49 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.01042 | 0.010313 | -1.03% | 0.009835 | -5.61% | 0.0558 | ✓ | 0.51 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.009394 | -0.75% | 0.01042 | +10.09% | 0.1182 | ✗ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.009 | 0.008946 | -0.59% | 0.009465 | +5.17% | 0.0507 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.009095 | 0.009038 | -0.62% | 0.009 | -1.04% | 0.0070 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.009145 | 0.009084 | -0.66% | 0.009095 | -0.55% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.009585 | 0.009502 | -0.87% | 0.009145 | -4.59% | 0.0269 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00934 | 0.009281 | -0.63% | 0.009585 | +2.62% | 0.0500 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.00901 | 0.008956 | -0.60% | 0.00934 | +3.66% | 0.0437 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.009785 | 0.009703 | -0.84% | 0.00901 | -7.92% | 0.0684 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.00857 | 0.008525 | -0.53% | 0.009785 | +14.18% | 0.1261 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00839 | 0.008352 | -0.46% | 0.00857 | +2.15% | 0.0242 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.0089 | 0.008859 | -0.47% | 0.00839 | -5.73% | 0.0521 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.0103 | 0.010246 | -0.52% | 0.0089 | -13.59% | 0.1502 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01182 | 0.011753 | -0.57% | 0.0103 | -12.86% | 0.1314 | ✓ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.013025 | 0.012933 | -0.71% | 0.01182 | -9.25% | 0.0912 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01418 | 0.014032 | -1.05% | 0.013025 | -8.15% | 0.0682 | ✓ | 0.52 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013 | 0.012911 | -0.68% | 0.01418 | +9.08% | 0.0934 | ✗ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01406 | 0.013939 | -0.86% | 0.013 | -7.54% | 0.0718 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01284 | 0.012749 | -0.71% | 0.01406 | +9.50% | 0.0999 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.0138 | 0.013672 | -0.92% | 0.01284 | -6.96% | 0.0629 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.014495 | 0.014255 | -1.66% | 0.0138 | -4.79% | 0.0212 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012945 | 0.012729 | -1.67% | 0.014495 | +11.97% | 0.1327 | ✗ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.010485 | 0.010397 | -0.84% | 0.012945 | +23.46% | 0.2121 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.010525 | 0.010426 | -0.94% | 0.010485 | -0.38% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.009745 | 0.009681 | -0.65% | 0.010525 | +8.00% | 0.0830 | ✗ | 0.12 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.009605 | 0.009559 | -0.48% | 0.009745 | +1.46% | 0.0160 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00964 | 0.009598 | -0.43% | 0.009605 | -0.36% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011075 | 0.011001 | -0.67% | 0.00964 | -12.96% | 0.1325 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.011995 | 0.011864 | -1.09% | 0.011075 | -7.67% | 0.0712 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.01129 | 0.011222 | -0.60% | 0.011995 | +6.24% | 0.0687 | ✗ | -0.12 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.012015 | 0.011931 | -0.70% | 0.01129 | -6.03% | 0.0493 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.012345 | 0.012267 | -0.63% | 0.012015 | -2.67% | 0.0214 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.011905 | 0.011852 | -0.44% | 0.012345 | +3.70% | 0.0320 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.012875 | 0.012807 | -0.53% | 0.011905 | -7.53% | 0.0504 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.015315 | 0.015126 | -1.24% | 0.012875 | -15.93% | 0.1590 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012585 | 0.012513 | -0.57% | 0.015315 | +21.69% | 0.2102 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.012795 | 0.012708 | -0.68% | 0.012585 | -1.64% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.01463 | 0.014337 | -2.00% | 0.012795 | -12.54% | 0.1201 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.01162 | 0.011571 | -0.42% | 0.01463 | +25.90% | 0.2326 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.00913 | 0.0092 | +0.76% | 0.01162 | +27.27% | 0.2533 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00859 | 0.008685 | +1.11% | 0.00913 | +6.29% | 0.0000 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.01134 | 0.011388 | +0.42% | 0.00859 | -24.25% | 0.2807 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.01109 | 0.011147 | +0.51% | 0.01134 | +2.25% | 0.0321 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01266 | 0.012684 | +0.19% | 0.01109 | -12.40% | 0.1458 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.014015 | +0.04% | 0.01266 | -9.64% | 0.0944 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.0142 | 0.014197 | -0.02% | 0.01401 | -1.34% | 0.0183 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.01418 | 0.014179 | -0.01% | 0.0142 | +0.14% | 0.0323 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.014915 | 0.014903 | -0.08% | 0.01418 | -4.93% | 0.0654 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.01639 | 0.016364 | -0.16% | 0.014915 | -9.00% | 0.0990 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.01672 | 0.016688 | -0.19% | 0.01639 | -1.97% | 0.0123 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.017095 | 0.017055 | -0.23% | 0.01672 | -2.19% | 0.0358 | ✓ | 1.00 |