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RAVE

RaveDAO · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id
#591
symbol
RAVE
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x17205fab260a7a6383a81452ce6315a39370db97
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-11
predictions
735
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +1d

assessed
244
of 245 predictions shown
direction hit
54.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0947
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0073
actual -0.0055

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22live0.156850.156366-0.31%–pending––1.16
2026-10-21oos0.15410.153644-0.30%0.15685+0.29%0.0032✗1.13
2026-10-20oos0.15460.154148-0.29%0.1541-0.32%0.0030✗1.12
2026-10-19oos0.15060.150222-0.25%0.1546+2.66%0.0140✗1.10
2026-10-18oos0.14960.149199-0.27%0.1506+0.67%0.0116✗1.10
2026-10-17oos0.15440.153862-0.35%0.1496-3.11%0.0366✓1.11
2026-10-16oos0.16390.163321-0.35%0.1544-5.80%0.0545✓1.11
2026-10-15oos0.1670.16633-0.40%0.1639-1.86%0.0062✓1.12
2026-10-14oos0.1660.165418-0.35%0.167+0.60%0.0019✓1.12
2026-10-13oos0.169650.168974-0.40%0.166-2.15%0.0019✓1.05
2026-10-12oos0.167850.167272-0.34%0.16965+1.07%0.0028✓1.02
2026-10-11oos0.178250.177687-0.32%0.16785-5.83%0.0337✓0.99
2026-10-10oos0.17630.175791-0.29%0.17825+1.11%0.0048✗0.99
2026-10-09oos0.17720.176663-0.30%0.1763-0.51%0.0064✓0.99
2026-10-08oos0.16820.167856-0.20%0.1772+5.35%0.0439✗0.99
2026-10-07oos0.18090.180531-0.20%0.1682-7.02%0.0525✓0.95
2026-10-06oos0.19320.192685-0.27%0.1809-6.37%0.0382✓0.93
2026-10-05oos0.18940.188984-0.22%0.1932+2.01%0.0243✗0.93
2026-10-04oos0.19220.191749-0.23%0.1894-1.46%0.0040✓0.94
2026-10-03oos0.19170.191233-0.24%0.1922+0.26%0.0145✓0.95
2026-10-02oos0.19790.197302-0.30%0.1917-3.13%0.0314✓0.94
2026-10-01oos0.19860.197984-0.31%0.1979-0.35%0.0035✗0.95
2026-09-30oos0.204950.204061-0.43%0.1986-3.10%0.0418✓0.96
2026-09-29oos0.20170.200632-0.53%0.20495+1.61%0.0222✗0.95
2026-09-28oos0.18520.184796-0.22%0.2017+8.91%0.0856✗0.88
2026-09-27oos0.19920.198385-0.41%0.1852-7.03%0.0568✓1.00
2026-09-26oos0.20230.201355-0.47%0.1992-1.53%0.0113✓1.04
2026-09-25oos0.20110.200145-0.47%0.2023+0.60%0.0070✗0.95
2026-09-24oos0.20230.201239-0.52%0.2011-0.59%0.0026✓0.94
2026-09-23oos0.19550.194641-0.44%0.2023+3.48%0.0385✗0.94
2026-09-22oos0.20430.203065-0.60%0.1955-4.31%0.0167✓1.00
2026-09-21oos0.20040.19929-0.55%0.2043+1.95%0.0296✗1.04
2026-09-20oos0.19330.192593-0.37%0.2004+3.67%0.0284✓1.05
2026-09-19oos0.199750.198683-0.53%0.1933-3.23%0.0265✓1.05
2026-09-18oos0.20140.199817-0.79%0.19975-0.82%0.0050✓1.05
2026-09-17oos0.180.179673-0.18%0.2014+11.89%0.0597✗0.95
2026-09-16oos0.16460.164806+0.13%0.18+9.36%0.0857✓0.94
2026-09-15oos0.173450.173593+0.08%0.1646-5.10%0.0604✗0.97
2026-09-14oos0.181250.181516+0.15%0.17345-4.30%0.0135✗0.95
2026-09-13oos0.18280.183096+0.16%0.18125-0.85%0.0271✗0.96
2026-09-12oos0.19920.199192-0.00%0.1828-8.23%0.0803✓0.93
2026-09-11oos0.22950.229161-0.15%0.1992-13.20%0.1408✓0.91
2026-09-10oos0.204650.204872+0.11%0.2295+12.14%0.1059✓0.87
2026-09-09oos0.219350.219812+0.21%0.20465-6.70%0.0526✗0.84
2026-09-08oos0.250450.250549+0.04%0.21935-12.42%0.1312✗0.87
2026-09-07oos0.251750.252073+0.13%0.25045-0.52%0.0008✓0.89
2026-09-06oos0.25350.254118+0.24%0.25175-0.69%0.0048✓0.90
2026-09-05oos0.25230.253092+0.31%0.2535+0.48%0.0041✗0.90
2026-09-04oos0.25120.252053+0.34%0.2523+0.44%0.0009✓0.96
2026-09-03oos0.25530.256287+0.39%0.2512-1.61%0.0009✓0.97
2026-09-02oos0.24760.247837+0.10%0.2553+3.11%0.0261✗1.12
2026-09-01oos0.25540.25547+0.03%0.2476-3.05%0.0300✗1.13
2026-08-31oos0.26080.260905+0.04%0.2554-2.07%0.0062✗1.01
2026-08-30oos0.26110.260984-0.04%0.2608-0.11%0.0142✓1.18
2026-08-29oos0.27140.271116-0.10%0.2611-3.80%0.0296✓1.11
2026-08-28oos0.26880.268524-0.10%0.2714+0.97%0.0051✗1.11
2026-08-27oos0.28060.280271-0.12%0.2688-4.21%0.0077✓1.11
2026-08-26oos0.27560.275109-0.18%0.2806+1.81%0.0025✗1.10
2026-08-25oos0.268450.268057-0.15%0.2756+2.66%0.0206✗1.13
2026-08-24oos0.2760.275481-0.19%0.26845-2.74%0.0195✓1.11
2026-08-23oos0.2840.283249-0.26%0.276-2.82%0.0443✓1.15
2026-08-22oos0.28330.282527-0.27%0.284+0.25%0.0048✓1.15
2026-08-21oos0.31090.309263-0.53%0.2833-8.88%0.0694✓1.12
2026-08-20oos0.29750.295969-0.51%0.3109+4.50%0.0350✓1.20
2026-08-19oos0.28880.287531-0.44%0.2975+3.01%0.0306✓1.24
2026-08-18oos0.27910.277914-0.42%0.2888+3.48%0.0544✓1.35
2026-08-17oos0.27510.2741-0.36%0.2791+1.45%0.0138✗1.35
2026-08-16oos0.27820.27715-0.38%0.2751-1.11%0.0432✓1.39
2026-08-15oos0.278650.277535-0.40%0.2782-0.16%0.0064✗1.38
2026-08-14oos0.273350.272403-0.35%0.27865+1.94%0.0217✗1.39
2026-08-13oos0.286250.285046-0.42%0.27335-4.51%0.0320✓1.39
2026-08-12oos0.30170.300418-0.43%0.28625-5.12%0.0486✓1.40
2026-08-11oos0.312050.31045-0.51%0.3017-3.32%0.0260✓1.37
2026-08-10oos0.31370.312266-0.46%0.31205-0.53%0.0075✗1.38
2026-08-09oos0.3250.32308-0.59%0.3137-3.48%0.0097✓1.36
2026-08-08oos0.35110.346696-1.25%0.325-7.43%0.0634✓1.36
2026-08-07oos0.30580.304142-0.54%0.3511+14.81%0.1433✗1.24
2026-08-06oos0.30450.302488-0.66%0.3058+0.43%0.0014✓1.27
2026-08-05oos0.28960.288196-0.48%0.3045+5.15%0.0617✗1.29
2026-08-04oos0.280850.279653-0.43%0.2896+3.12%0.0243✗1.24
2026-08-03oos0.291350.289696-0.57%0.28085-3.60%0.0423✓1.23
2026-08-02oos0.28930.287697-0.55%0.29135+0.71%0.0132✗1.16
2026-08-01oos0.275850.274528-0.48%0.2893+4.88%0.0375✗1.28
2026-07-31oos0.27890.277504-0.50%0.27585-1.09%0.0047✓1.28
2026-07-30oos0.278450.277137-0.47%0.2789+0.16%0.0455✗1.32
2026-07-29oos0.296850.294916-0.65%0.27845-6.20%0.0740✓1.29
2026-07-28oos0.28220.280624-0.56%0.29685+5.19%0.0552✗1.26
2026-07-27oos0.266750.265684-0.40%0.2822+5.79%0.0573✗1.26
2026-07-26oos0.30510.303325-0.58%0.26675-12.57%0.0983✓1.18
2026-07-25oos0.29450.29305-0.49%0.3051+3.60%0.0213✗1.18
2026-07-24oos0.29750.296025-0.50%0.2945-1.01%0.0090✓1.17
2026-07-23oos0.292750.291526-0.42%0.2975+1.62%0.0382✗1.19
2026-07-22oos0.295650.294428-0.41%0.29275-0.98%0.0139✗1.24
2026-07-21oos0.28380.282874-0.33%0.29565+4.18%0.0523✗1.25
2026-07-20oos0.281650.280784-0.31%0.2838+0.76%0.0068✓0.88
2026-07-19oos0.27930.278553-0.27%0.28165+0.84%0.0029✗0.99
2026-07-18oos0.306250.304962-0.42%0.2793-8.80%0.0853✓1.48
2026-07-17oos0.30070.299347-0.45%0.30625+1.85%0.0138✓2.61
2026-07-16oos0.32040.317367-0.95%0.3007-6.15%0.0609✓3.61
2026-07-15oos0.28490.282957-0.68%0.3204+12.46%0.1813✗3.87
2026-07-14oos0.25130.250803-0.20%0.2849+13.37%0.1441✗3.97
2026-07-13oos0.244550.244095-0.19%0.2513+2.76%0.1414✓3.98
2026-07-12oos0.250650.250278-0.15%0.24455-2.43%0.0709✗4.01
2026-07-11oos0.264450.26392-0.20%0.25065-5.22%0.0495✓4.16
2026-07-10oos0.27630.275599-0.25%0.26445-4.29%0.0246✓3.01
2026-07-09oos0.281750.280925-0.29%0.2763-1.93%0.0625✓3.06
2026-07-08oos0.27620.275429-0.28%0.28175+2.01%0.0268✓3.31
2026-07-07oos0.28260.281675-0.33%0.2762-2.26%0.0447✗3.72
2026-07-06oos0.29350.292478-0.35%0.2826-3.71%0.0046✗3.66
2026-07-05oos0.29040.289396-0.35%0.2935+1.07%0.0092✓3.55
2026-07-04oos0.29780.296372-0.48%0.2904-2.48%0.0483✓3.56
2026-07-03oos0.27950.278471-0.37%0.2978+6.55%0.0356✗3.49
2026-07-02oos0.28470.283497-0.42%0.2795-1.83%0.0731✓3.52
2026-07-01oos0.28340.282231-0.41%0.2847+0.46%0.0814✓3.59
2026-06-30oos0.32130.318544-0.86%0.2834-11.80%0.2067✓3.70
2026-06-29oos0.3940.384107-2.51%0.3213-18.45%0.0788✓3.61
2026-06-28oos0.32750.321904-1.71%0.394+20.31%0.1621✗3.47
2026-06-27oos0.25440.253006-0.55%0.3275+28.73%0.2850✗3.48
2026-06-26oos0.22750.227241-0.11%0.2544+11.82%0.1168✗3.48
2026-06-25oos0.22130.221232-0.03%0.2275+2.80%0.0106✗3.48
2026-06-24oos0.25090.250471-0.17%0.2213-11.80%0.0553✓3.23
2026-06-23oos0.26940.26873-0.25%0.2509-6.87%0.0141✗3.08
2026-06-22oos0.266250.265774-0.18%0.2694+1.18%0.0777✗3.11
2026-06-21oos0.26240.262064-0.13%0.26625+1.47%0.0193✓3.12
2026-06-20oos0.26770.267375-0.12%0.2624-1.98%0.0279✗3.01
2026-06-19oos0.27040.270106-0.11%0.2677-1.00%0.0443✓3.02
2026-06-18oos0.27450.274218-0.10%0.2704-1.49%0.0419✓2.95
2026-06-17oos0.29110.290643-0.16%0.2745-5.70%0.0152✗2.94
2026-06-16oos0.289950.289687-0.09%0.2911+0.40%0.0573✗2.92
2026-06-15oos0.2940.293765-0.08%0.28995-1.38%0.0155✗2.85
2026-06-14oos0.31040.31-0.13%0.294-5.28%0.0779✓2.88
2026-06-13oos0.3120.311714-0.09%0.3104-0.51%0.0603✓2.86
2026-06-12oos0.32960.329102-0.15%0.312-5.34%0.0929✓2.84
2026-06-11oos0.33540.3348-0.18%0.3296-1.73%0.0145✓2.85
2026-06-10oos0.30960.309576-0.01%0.3354+8.33%0.0171✓2.87
2026-06-09oos0.32890.328705-0.06%0.3096-5.87%0.0487✓2.88
2026-06-08oos0.34240.342074-0.10%0.3289-3.94%0.0241✗2.87
2026-06-07oos0.34720.346861-0.10%0.3424-1.38%0.0022✓2.83
2026-06-06oos0.31940.319992+0.19%0.3472+8.70%0.0249✗2.70
2026-06-05oos0.32950.33022+0.22%0.3194-3.07%0.0252✗2.71
2026-06-04oos0.38050.380174-0.09%0.3295-13.40%0.0239✓2.68
2026-06-03oos0.41760.416188-0.34%0.3805-8.88%0.0796✓2.73
2026-06-02oos0.3980.397415-0.15%0.4176+4.92%0.1655✗2.89
2026-06-01oos0.47250.469985-0.53%0.398-15.77%0.0235✗2.81
2026-05-31oos0.45280.451076-0.38%0.4725+4.35%0.1385✗2.95
2026-05-30oos0.46010.458175-0.42%0.4528-1.59%0.0043✓2.81
2026-05-29oos0.45350.451949-0.34%0.4601+1.46%0.0027✓2.77
2026-05-28oos0.444150.442993-0.26%0.4535+2.11%0.0289✗2.77
2026-05-27oos0.5110.508447-0.50%0.44415-13.08%0.1053✓2.75
2026-05-26oos0.5030.500845-0.43%0.511+1.59%0.0751✗2.73
2026-05-25oos0.55190.54849-0.62%0.503-8.86%0.0363✓2.70
2026-05-24oos0.5660.562169-0.68%0.5519-2.49%0.0282✓2.75
2026-05-23oos0.57780.573429-0.76%0.566-2.04%0.0280✓3.52
2026-05-22oos0.54190.539092-0.52%0.5778+6.62%0.0137✗3.51
2026-05-21oos0.56170.558274-0.61%0.5419-3.53%0.0679✗3.55
2026-05-20oos0.60020.595428-0.80%0.5617-6.41%0.0616✓3.59
2026-05-19oos0.59070.585548-0.87%0.6002+1.61%0.0086✓3.63
2026-05-18oos0.57830.574001-0.74%0.5907+2.14%0.0370✗3.62
2026-05-17oos0.55160.548614-0.54%0.5783+4.84%0.0743✗3.59
2026-05-16oos0.60110.596307-0.80%0.5516-8.23%0.0458✓3.57
2026-05-15oos0.62360.618207-0.86%0.6011-3.61%0.0151✗3.56
2026-05-14oos0.651750.645503-0.96%0.6236-4.32%0.0557✗3.58
2026-05-13oos0.65550.649062-0.98%0.65175-0.57%0.0751✓3.55
2026-05-12oos0.6830.67573-1.06%0.6555-4.03%0.0228✗3.55
2026-05-11oos0.66940.662747-0.99%0.683+2.03%0.0849✗3.58
2026-05-10oos0.69910.69161-1.07%0.6694-4.25%0.0120✓3.58
2026-05-09oos0.7960.783206-1.61%0.6991-12.17%0.1829✓3.65
2026-05-08oos0.7230.713654-1.29%0.796+10.10%0.0880✗3.65
2026-05-07oos0.67320.665532-1.14%0.723+7.40%0.0745✗3.65
2026-05-06oos0.64340.637072-0.98%0.6732+4.63%0.1208✗3.70
2026-05-05oos0.68860.680414-1.19%0.6434-6.56%0.0802✓3.71
2026-05-04oos0.78730.767918-2.46%0.6886-12.54%0.1584✓3.76
2026-05-03oos0.62060.615152-0.88%0.7873+26.86%0.1864✗3.70
2026-05-02oos0.66030.65393-0.96%0.6206-6.01%0.0465✓3.69
2026-05-01oos0.67230.666048-0.93%0.6603-1.78%0.0298✓3.70
2026-04-30oos0.70420.698116-0.86%0.6723-4.53%0.1319✓3.78
2026-04-29oos0.77020.762355-1.02%0.7042-8.57%0.1069✓3.79
2026-04-28oos0.85810.84807-1.17%0.7702-10.24%0.0683✓3.77
2026-04-27oos0.87130.861214-1.16%0.8581-1.51%0.0479✗3.79
2026-04-26oos0.9110.897469-1.49%0.8713-4.36%0.0341✗3.79
2026-04-25oos0.92030.906501-1.50%0.911-1.01%0.0449✓3.81
2026-04-24oos0.89380.883249-1.18%0.9203+2.96%0.0318✗3.81
2026-04-23oos1.05531.0363-1.80%0.8938-15.30%0.1082✓3.77
2026-04-22oos1.06691.0522-1.38%1.0553-1.09%0.0005✓3.77
2026-04-21oos1.611.5654-2.77%1.0669-33.73%0.4810✓4.06
2026-04-20oos1.07681.0535-2.17%1.61+49.52%0.3986✗4.01
2026-04-19oos0.63510.620695-2.27%1.0768+69.55%0.4489✗3.74
2026-04-18oos2.89852.8655-1.14%0.6351-78.09%1.4376✓2.70
2026-04-17oos22.07320.9942-4.89%2.8985-86.87%1.9511✓1.63
2026-04-16oos17.163716.2679-5.22%22.073+28.60%0.2663✗1.53
2026-04-15oos10.910.4671-3.97%17.1637+57.47%0.4880✗1.50
2026-04-14oos16.599315.6553-5.69%10.9-34.33%0.3761✓1.60
2026-04-13oos8.17927.7465-5.29%16.5993+102.95%0.7682✗1.69
2026-04-12oos6.27665.904-5.94%8.1792+30.31%0.2497✗1.50
2026-04-11oos2.16742.0543-5.22%6.2766+189.59%1.2009✗2.59
2026-04-10oos1.60621.5191-5.42%2.1674+34.94%0.3523✗2.59
2026-04-09oos0.99660.939339-5.75%1.6062+61.17%0.4967✗2.40
2026-04-08oos0.31530.311332-1.26%0.9966+216.08%1.1426✗2.10
2026-04-07oos0.2660.264496-0.57%0.3153+18.53%0.2008✗2.18
2026-04-06oos0.246850.245606-0.50%0.266+7.76%0.0155✓2.19
2026-04-05oos0.250950.249654-0.52%0.24685-1.63%0.0065✓2.19
2026-04-04oos0.24830.246898-0.56%0.25095+1.07%0.0396✓2.22
2026-04-03oos0.2550.253344-0.65%0.2483-2.63%0.0311✓2.23
2026-04-02oos0.25260.25066-0.77%0.255+0.95%0.0150✗2.23
2026-04-01oos0.23670.235397-0.55%0.2526+6.72%0.1120✗2.30
2026-03-31oos0.259150.257623-0.59%0.2367-8.66%0.0810✓2.29
2026-03-30oos0.26950.267766-0.64%0.25915-3.84%0.0845✓2.35
2026-03-29oos0.287250.285111-0.74%0.2695-6.18%0.0844✓2.39
2026-03-28oos0.288850.286645-0.76%0.28725-0.55%0.0152✗2.39
2026-03-27oos0.30620.30297-1.06%0.28885-5.67%0.0465✓2.39
2026-03-26oos0.27920.276984-0.79%0.3062+9.67%0.1942✗2.63
2026-03-25oos0.26580.264059-0.65%0.2792+5.04%0.1585✗2.84
2026-03-24oos0.26090.259169-0.66%0.2658+1.88%0.0055✓2.84
2026-03-23oos0.26810.26612-0.74%0.2609-2.69%0.0061✓2.84
2026-03-22oos0.257350.255399-0.76%0.2681+4.18%0.0811✓2.97
2026-03-21oos0.2610.25871-0.88%0.25735-1.40%0.0415✗3.00
2026-03-20oos0.24390.242213-0.69%0.261+7.01%0.1462✗3.15
2026-03-19oos0.255350.253294-0.81%0.2439-4.48%0.0639✓3.16
2026-03-18oos0.244050.242472-0.65%0.25535+4.63%0.1132✗3.27
2026-03-17oos0.25320.251661-0.61%0.24405-3.61%0.0972✗3.45
2026-03-16oos0.26830.266593-0.64%0.2532-5.63%0.0073✓3.46
2026-03-15oos0.26720.265282-0.72%0.2683+0.41%0.0874✓3.55
2026-03-14oos0.27670.274096-0.94%0.2672-3.43%0.1062✓3.64
2026-03-13oos0.242950.240911-0.84%0.2767+13.89%0.1238✗3.63
2026-03-12oos0.24170.239552-0.89%0.24295+0.52%0.0083✓1.00
2026-03-11oos0.21350.212434-0.50%0.2417+13.21%0.1245✗1.00
2026-03-10oos0.2450.243623-0.56%0.2135-12.86%0.1355✓1.00
2026-03-09oos0.24560.24453-0.44%0.245-0.24%0.0202✓1.00
2026-03-08oos0.259750.258826-0.36%0.2456-5.45%0.0891✓1.00
2026-03-07oos0.28420.283156-0.37%0.25975-8.60%0.0669✓1.00
2026-03-06oos0.29360.292585-0.35%0.2842-3.20%0.0165✓1.00
2026-03-05oos0.34390.341755-0.62%0.2936-14.63%0.1119✓1.00
2026-03-04oos0.36380.360512-0.90%0.3439-5.47%0.0222✓1.00
2026-03-03oos0.32540.323698-0.52%0.3638+11.80%0.0551✗1.00
2026-03-02oos0.36780.365374-0.66%0.3254-11.53%0.1086✓1.00
2026-03-01oos0.36190.359573-0.64%0.3678+1.63%0.0229✓1.00
2026-02-28oos0.35290.350771-0.60%0.3619+2.55%0.0493✗1.00
2026-02-27oos0.33670.334784-0.57%0.3529+4.81%0.0360✗1.00
2026-02-26oos0.37020.365167-1.36%0.3367-9.05%0.0567✓1.00
2026-02-25oos0.290.28854-0.50%0.3702+27.66%0.2566✗1.00
2026-02-24oos0.24720.246146-0.43%0.29+17.31%0.1045✗1.00
2026-02-23oos0.30030.299249-0.35%0.2472-17.68%0.1824✓1.00
2026-02-22oos0.68430.666117-2.66%0.3003-56.12%0.7514✓1.00
2026-02-21oos0.66930.650511-2.81%0.6843+2.24%0.0556✗1.00
2026-02-20oos0.5780.561983-2.77%0.6693+15.80%0.1752✗1.00