POD
Dolphin · Base · beta_5y
- token id
- #186
- symbol
- POD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xed664536023d8e4b1640c394777d34abaff1df8f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-05-11
- predictions
- 252
Track record at +1d
assessed
81
of 84 predictions shown
direction hit
50.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0977
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0069
actual +0.0090
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.5976 | 0.592875 | -0.79% | – | pending | – | – | 1.39 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.627 | 0.621761 | -0.84% | 0.5976 | -0.32% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.6579 | 0.650183 | -1.17% | 0.627 | -4.70% | 0.0320 | ✓ | 1.46 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.5335 | 0.530893 | -0.49% | 0.6579 | +23.32% | 0.1967 | ✗ | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.5441 | 0.541639 | -0.45% | 0.5335 | -1.95% | 0.0124 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.61085 | 0.607065 | -0.62% | 0.5441 | -10.93% | 0.1200 | ✓ | 1.38 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.6536 | 0.648973 | -0.71% | 0.61085 | -6.54% | 0.0585 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.7113 | 0.704855 | -0.91% | 0.6536 | -8.11% | 0.0654 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.7195 | 0.712222 | -1.01% | 0.7113 | -1.14% | 0.0104 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.66875 | 0.66326 | -0.82% | 0.7195 | +7.59% | 0.1083 | ✗ | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.68615 | 0.679405 | -0.98% | 0.66875 | -2.54% | 0.0403 | ✓ | 1.49 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.61085 | 0.607137 | -0.61% | 0.68615 | +12.33% | 0.1623 | ✗ | 1.71 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.59675 | 0.593856 | -0.48% | 0.61085 | +2.36% | 0.0125 | ✗ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.6003 | 0.597617 | -0.45% | 0.59675 | -0.59% | 0.0090 | ✓ | 1.71 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.5809 | 0.579103 | -0.31% | 0.6003 | +3.34% | 0.0183 | ✗ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.66895 | 0.666039 | -0.44% | 0.5809 | -13.16% | 0.1068 | ✓ | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.73025 | 0.726385 | -0.53% | 0.66895 | -8.39% | 0.0429 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.7983 | 0.793216 | -0.64% | 0.73025 | -8.52% | 0.0792 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.87205 | 0.862345 | -1.11% | 0.7983 | -8.46% | 0.0650 | ✓ | 1.38 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.78375 | 0.772737 | -1.41% | 0.87205 | +11.27% | 0.0942 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.56005 | 0.555946 | -0.73% | 0.78375 | +39.94% | 0.3398 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.42495 | 0.418357 | -1.55% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.3388 | 0.334415 | -1.29% | 0.42495 | +25.43% | 0.2395 | ✗ | 1.36 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.3664 | 0.361539 | -1.33% | 0.3388 | -7.53% | 0.0374 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.3979 | 0.391704 | -1.56% | 0.3664 | -7.92% | 0.0615 | ✓ | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.3583 | 0.352292 | -1.68% | 0.3979 | +11.05% | 0.0527 | ✗ | 1.06 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.3161 | 0.31164 | -1.41% | 0.3583 | +13.35% | 0.1405 | ✗ | 1.05 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.31685 | 0.312068 | -1.51% | 0.3161 | -0.24% | 0.0091 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.2885 | 0.285455 | -1.06% | 0.31685 | +9.83% | 0.0812 | ✗ | 0.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.2564 | 0.254989 | -0.55% | 0.2885 | +12.52% | 0.1221 | ✗ | 0.51 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.2937 | 0.29131 | -0.81% | 0.2564 | -12.70% | 0.1326 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.3089 | 0.30577 | -1.01% | 0.2937 | -4.92% | 0.0139 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.30325 | 0.300651 | -0.86% | 0.3089 | +1.86% | 0.0157 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.2928 | 0.291111 | -0.58% | 0.30325 | +3.57% | 0.0437 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.3036 | 0.30198 | -0.53% | 0.2928 | -3.56% | 0.0312 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.3418 | 0.338236 | -1.04% | 0.3036 | -11.18% | 0.1174 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.3149 | 0.312856 | -0.65% | 0.3418 | +8.54% | 0.1178 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.3033 | 0.301683 | -0.53% | 0.3149 | +3.82% | 0.0468 | ✗ | 1.86 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.2584 | 0.258989 | +0.23% | 0.3033 | +17.38% | 0.1740 | ✓ | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.2653 | 0.266178 | +0.33% | 0.2584 | -2.60% | 0.0000 | ✓ | 1.90 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.282725 | +0.35% | 0.2653 | -5.84% | 0.0760 | ✗ | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.3224 | 0.323009 | +0.19% | 0.28175 | -12.61% | 0.1418 | ✗ | 2.62 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.3468 | 0.347455 | +0.19% | 0.3224 | -7.04% | 0.0235 | ✗ | 2.60 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.3219 | 0.323067 | +0.36% | 0.3468 | +7.74% | 0.0810 | ✗ | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.3456 | 0.346229 | +0.18% | 0.3219 | -6.86% | 0.0692 | ✗ | 3.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.3517 | 0.351775 | +0.02% | 0.3456 | -1.73% | 0.0144 | ✓ | 2.15 |
| 2026-06-26 | oos | 0.34005 | 0.337056 | -0.88% | – | pending | – | – | 2.52 |
| 2026-06-25 | oos | 0.2972 | 0.295439 | -0.59% | 0.34005 | +14.42% | 0.1284 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-06-24 | oos | 0.3087 | 0.306671 | -0.66% | 0.2972 | -3.73% | 0.0205 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-06-23 | oos | 0.3033 | 0.301534 | -0.58% | 0.3087 | +1.78% | 0.0915 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-06-22 | oos | 0.3263 | 0.323914 | -0.73% | 0.3033 | -7.05% | 0.0142 | ✓ | 2.50 |
| 2026-06-21 | oos | 0.3344 | 0.331181 | -0.96% | 0.3263 | -2.42% | 0.0437 | ✓ | 2.57 |
| 2026-06-20 | oos | 0.2912 | 0.289522 | -0.58% | 0.3344 | +14.84% | 0.1853 | ✗ | 2.66 |
| 2026-06-19 | oos | 0.3186 | 0.315744 | -0.90% | 0.2912 | -8.60% | 0.1138 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-06-18 | oos | 0.2782 | 0.276651 | -0.56% | 0.3186 | +14.52% | 0.1155 | ✗ | 2.72 |
| 2026-06-17 | oos | 0.2869 | 0.28527 | -0.57% | 0.2782 | -3.03% | 0.0424 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-06-16 | oos | 0.3279 | 0.324763 | -0.96% | 0.2869 | -12.50% | 0.0759 | ✓ | 2.67 |
| 2026-06-15 | oos | 0.2881 | 0.286398 | -0.59% | 0.3279 | +13.81% | 0.1624 | ✗ | 2.70 |
| 2026-06-14 | oos | 0.3328 | 0.329592 | -0.96% | 0.2881 | -13.43% | 0.1594 | ✓ | 2.88 |
| 2026-06-13 | oos | 0.3402 | 0.334841 | -1.58% | 0.3328 | -2.18% | 0.0661 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2026-06-12 | oos | 0.2506 | 0.249127 | -0.59% | 0.3402 | +35.75% | 0.2741 | ✗ | 2.69 |
| 2026-06-11 | oos | 0.2836 | 0.280233 | -1.19% | 0.2506 | -11.64% | 0.1107 | ✓ | 2.76 |
| 2026-06-10 | oos | 0.2301 | 0.228519 | -0.69% | 0.2836 | +23.25% | 0.1341 | ✗ | 2.42 |
| 2026-06-09 | oos | 0.2123 | 0.211167 | -0.53% | 0.2301 | +8.38% | 0.0897 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-08 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.212624 | -0.60% | 0.2123 | -0.75% | 0.0206 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-07 | oos | 0.2183 | 0.216463 | -0.84% | 0.2139 | -2.02% | 0.0081 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-06 | oos | 0.1647 | 0.164419 | -0.17% | 0.2183 | +32.54% | 0.2439 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-05 | oos | 0.1805 | 0.180063 | -0.24% | 0.1647 | -8.75% | 0.0862 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-04 | oos | 0.2083 | 0.207463 | -0.40% | 0.1805 | -13.35% | 0.0948 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-03 | oos | 0.263 | 0.260422 | -0.98% | 0.2083 | -20.80% | 0.2197 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-02 | oos | 0.2161 | 0.215119 | -0.45% | 0.263 | +21.70% | 0.2410 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-01 | oos | 0.2555 | 0.253547 | -0.76% | 0.2161 | -15.42% | 0.0923 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-31 | oos | 0.2595 | 0.257343 | -0.83% | 0.2555 | -1.54% | 0.0240 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-30 | oos | 0.2701 | 0.267188 | -1.08% | 0.2595 | -3.92% | 0.0265 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-29 | oos | 0.2474 | 0.244617 | -1.12% | 0.2701 | +9.18% | 0.0936 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-28 | oos | 0.2056 | 0.204327 | -0.62% | 0.2474 | +20.33% | 0.1933 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-27 | oos | 0.1846 | 0.184228 | -0.20% | 0.2056 | +11.38% | 0.1206 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-26 | oos | 0.2346 | 0.23272 | -0.80% | 0.1846 | -21.31% | 0.2115 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-25 | oos | 0.2073 | 0.206322 | -0.47% | 0.2346 | +13.17% | 0.1470 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-24 | oos | 0.2618 | 0.259666 | -0.82% | 0.2073 | -20.82% | 0.2288 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-23 | oos | 0.2748 | 0.271503 | -1.20% | 0.2618 | -4.73% | 0.0406 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-22 | oos | 0.205 | 0.20387 | -0.55% | 0.2748 | +34.05% | 0.2827 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-21 | oos | 0.2729 | 0.271139 | -0.65% | 0.205 | -24.88% | 0.2521 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-20 | oos | 0.2854 | 0.283645 | -0.61% | 0.2729 | -4.38% | 0.0395 | ✓ | 1.00 |