OTC

OTC · Solana · beta_5y

token id: #810
symbol: OTC
variant: –
chain: Solana
address: MukLDtJ8Cx9DxLbeyLRSWPSposTMWuwHANbuaudpump
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-01
predictions: 126

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 42 predictions shown

direction hit

51.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2404

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0334

actual -0.0122

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00756	0.00742	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	3.22
2026-10-20	oos	0.00718	0.007032	-2.06%	0.00756	+5.29%	0.0306	✗	3.21
2026-10-19	oos	0.00615	0.006031	-1.94%	0.00718	+16.75%	0.1325	✗	3.14
2026-10-18	oos	0.00623	0.006111	-1.92%	0.00615	-1.28%	0.0129	✓	3.14
2026-10-17	oos	0.006705	0.00658	-1.87%	0.00623	-7.08%	0.0789	✓	3.18
2026-10-16	oos	0.007635	0.007479	-2.04%	0.006705	-12.18%	0.1046	✓	3.16
2026-10-15	oos	0.008356	0.008124	-2.78%	0.007635	-8.63%	0.0383	✓	3.12
2026-10-14	oos	0.006277	0.006133	-2.30%	0.008356	+33.12%	0.2887	✗	3.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.006016	0.005867	-2.48%	0.006277	+4.34%	0.1262	✗	3.15
2026-10-12	oos	0.006045	0.005899	-2.42%	0.006016	-0.48%	0.0332	✓	3.20
2026-10-11	oos	0.00643	0.006261	-2.62%	0.006045	-5.99%	0.0401	✗	3.22
2026-10-10	oos	0.005902	0.005749	-2.59%	0.00643	+8.95%	0.0825	✗	3.19
2026-10-09	oos	0.006872	0.00672	-2.21%	0.005902	-14.12%	0.1441	✓	3.22
2026-10-08	oos	0.009193	0.008946	-2.68%	0.006872	-25.25%	0.2992	✓	3.42
2026-10-07	oos	0.008138	0.007952	-2.29%	0.009193	+12.96%	0.2152	✗	3.66
2026-10-06	oos	0.00976	0.009496	-2.70%	0.008138	-16.62%	0.0616	✓	3.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.009547	0.009239	-3.22%	0.00976	+2.23%	0.0633	✗	3.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.007319	0.007116	-2.78%	0.009547	+30.44%	0.3266	✗	3.71
2026-10-03	oos	0.006463	0.006278	-2.87%	0.007319	+13.24%	0.0782	✗	3.65
2026-10-02	oos	0.006731	0.006553	-2.64%	0.006463	-3.98%	0.0241	✓	3.65
2026-10-01	oos	0.010041	0.009656	-3.83%	0.006731	-32.96%	0.3469	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.008327	0.007896	-5.17%	0.010041	+20.58%	0.2250	✗	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.004592	0.004423	-3.69%	0.008327	+81.34%	0.6338	✗	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.004503	0.004336	-3.70%	0.004592	+1.98%	0.0551	✗	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.005458	0.005257	-3.68%	0.004503	-17.50%	0.1429	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.005492	0.005277	-3.92%	0.005458	-0.62%	0.0333	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004899	0.004723	-3.58%	0.005492	+12.10%	0.1469	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.008762	0.00845	-3.56%	0.004899	-44.09%	0.5417	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.009116	0.008796	-3.51%	0.008762	-3.88%	0.0040	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.013579	0.012616	-7.09%	0.009116	-32.87%	0.3036	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.004341	0.004201	-3.23%	0.013579	+212.81%	1.1778	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.006353	0.006129	-3.52%	0.004341	-31.67%	0.4098	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.007269	0.006965	-4.19%	0.006353	-12.60%	0.0910	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.006606	0.006296	-4.69%	0.007269	+10.04%	0.1393	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005193	0.004911	-5.42%	0.006606	+27.21%	0.2388	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.002827	0.00268	-5.21%	0.005193	+83.69%	0.6589	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.004285	0.004119	-3.88%	0.002827	-34.03%	0.3837	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008484	0.008067	-4.92%	0.004285	-49.49%	0.5989	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.004687	0.004549	-2.95%	0.008484	+80.99%	0.6054	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.009999	0.009763	-2.37%	0.004687	-53.12%	0.7277	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.012071	0.011715	-2.95%	0.009999	-17.16%	0.1590	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.01169	0.011357	-2.85%	0.012071	+3.25%	0.0522	✗	1.00