ONE
ONEchain · Binance Smart Chain · beta_5y
- token id
- #286
- symbol
- ONE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x6bf62ca91e397b5a7d1d6bce97d9092065d7a510
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-09
- predictions
- 105
Track record at +1d
assessed
34
of 35 predictions shown
direction hit
64.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0357
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0083
actual -0.0104
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.103715 | 0.103213 | -0.48% | – | pending | – | – | -0.35 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.10343 | 0.102913 | -0.50% | 0.103715 | -0.45% | 0.0013 | ✓ | -0.36 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.103945 | 0.103344 | -0.58% | 0.10343 | -0.50% | 0.0002 | ✓ | -0.36 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.10201 | 0.101566 | -0.44% | 0.103945 | +1.90% | 0.0283 | ✗ | -0.38 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1011 | 0.10072 | -0.38% | 0.10201 | +0.90% | 0.0119 | ✗ | -0.38 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.102135 | 0.101777 | -0.35% | 0.1011 | -1.01% | 0.0038 | ✓ | -0.38 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.10497 | 0.104609 | -0.34% | 0.102135 | -2.70% | 0.0245 | ✓ | -0.38 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.10694 | 0.106592 | -0.33% | 0.10497 | -1.84% | 0.0183 | ✓ | -0.40 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.10938 | 0.109061 | -0.29% | 0.10694 | -2.23% | 0.0170 | ✓ | -0.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.118885 | 0.118411 | -0.40% | 0.10938 | -8.00% | 0.0892 | ✓ | -0.53 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.122635 | 0.122047 | -0.48% | 0.118885 | -3.06% | 0.0180 | ✓ | -0.50 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.1296 | 0.128884 | -0.55% | 0.122635 | -5.37% | 0.0647 | ✓ | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.13565 | 0.13468 | -0.72% | 0.1296 | -4.46% | 0.0328 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.129045 | 0.128346 | -0.54% | 0.13565 | +5.12% | 0.0581 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.13182 | 0.131066 | -0.57% | 0.129045 | -2.11% | 0.0259 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.13752 | 0.136619 | -0.66% | 0.13182 | -4.14% | 0.0166 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.147335 | 0.146224 | -0.75% | 0.13752 | -6.66% | 0.0345 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.148475 | 0.147313 | -0.78% | 0.147335 | -0.77% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.145265 | 0.144105 | -0.80% | 0.148475 | +2.21% | 0.0387 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.147165 | 0.145482 | -1.14% | 0.145265 | -1.29% | 0.0221 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.1419 | 0.140626 | -0.90% | 0.147165 | +3.71% | 0.0426 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.13909 | 0.137785 | -0.94% | 0.1419 | +2.02% | 0.0335 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.13935 | 0.13798 | -0.98% | 0.13909 | -0.19% | 0.0073 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.13304 | 0.131782 | -0.95% | 0.13935 | +4.74% | 0.0568 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.15352 | 0.151669 | -1.21% | 0.13304 | -13.34% | 0.1332 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15001 | 0.148242 | -1.18% | 0.15352 | +2.34% | 0.0470 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.15468 | 0.152718 | -1.27% | 0.15001 | -3.02% | 0.0184 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.146485 | 0.144726 | -1.20% | 0.15468 | +5.59% | 0.0627 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.15333 | 0.1513 | -1.32% | 0.146485 | -4.46% | 0.0289 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.144105 | 0.142372 | -1.20% | 0.15333 | +6.40% | 0.0741 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.15384 | 0.151837 | -1.30% | 0.144105 | -6.33% | 0.0309 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.151575 | 0.149659 | -1.26% | 0.15384 | +1.49% | 0.0321 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.144335 | 0.142715 | -1.12% | 0.151575 | +5.02% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.154195 | 0.151985 | -1.43% | 0.144335 | -6.39% | 0.0507 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.14332 | 0.141626 | -1.18% | 0.154195 | +7.59% | 0.0806 | ✗ | 1.00 |