NES

Nesa · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #366
symbol: NES
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x863F08A3d3B14fbD3D42fFD061D0e290F7dBC538
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-24
predictions: 336

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 112 predictions shown

direction hit

96.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2501

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0376

actual -0.2731

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.115725	0.114397	-1.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.11832	0.116317	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2026-10-20	oos	0.12079	0.118629	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2026-10-19	oos	0.114105	0.112073	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.05
2026-10-18	oos	0.118045	0.115876	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-10-17	oos	0.11967	0.117263	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-16	oos	0.122125	0.11991	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.138695	0.134928	-2.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-14	oos	0.146385	0.141297	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.136455	0.133649	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-10-12	oos	0.13391	0.130953	-2.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-11	oos	0.14095	0.138473	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.14031	0.138256	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.05
2026-10-09	oos	0.13735	0.136105	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.13322	0.132594	-0.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.137455	0.137618	+0.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.137615	0.139407	+1.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.07
2026-10-05	oos	0.14428	0.144751	+0.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.14974	0.149149	-0.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-03	oos	0.14604	0.145436	-0.41%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-02	oos	0.14854	0.146932	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-01	oos	0.1514	0.148949	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.16
2026-09-30	oos	0.15126	0.148993	-1.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.15
2026-09-29	oos	0.16081	0.156383	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-09-28	oos	0.1614	0.157158	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.16563	0.160462	-3.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.163905	0.158746	-3.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.15964	0.155385	-2.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.16505	0.16028	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-09-23	oos	0.16465	0.159555	-3.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-09-22	oos	0.168615	0.164021	-2.72%	0.115725	-31.37%	0.3455	✓	0.14
2026-09-21	oos	0.16943	0.165563	-2.28%	0.11832	-30.17%	0.3295	✓	0.14
2026-09-20	oos	0.16252	0.157191	-3.28%	0.12079	-25.68%	0.2649	✓	0.07
2026-09-19	oos	0.162175	0.157099	-3.13%	0.114105	-29.64%	0.3203	✓	0.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.15727	0.153081	-2.66%	0.118045	-24.94%	0.2609	✓	0.07
2026-09-17	oos	0.15382	0.148147	-3.69%	0.11967	-22.20%	0.2150	✓	0.02
2026-09-16	oos	0.16251	0.154722	-4.79%	0.122125	-24.85%	0.2382	✓	0.02
2026-09-15	oos	0.1658	0.156498	-5.61%	0.138695	-16.35%	0.1230	✓	0.03
2026-09-14	oos	0.15123	0.147053	-2.76%	0.146385	-3.20%	0.0109	✓	0.15
2026-09-13	oos	0.14991	0.145478	-2.96%	0.136455	-8.98%	0.0753	✓	0.14
2026-09-12	oos	0.15991	0.153828	-3.80%	0.13391	-16.26%	0.1458	✓	0.13
2026-09-11	oos	0.149955	0.14599	-2.64%	0.14095	-6.01%	0.0457	✓	0.13
2026-09-10	oos	0.144685	0.140619	-2.81%	0.14031	-3.02%	0.0121	✓	0.12
2026-09-09	oos	0.11554	0.118607	+2.65%	0.13735	+18.88%	0.1288	✓	0.34
2026-09-08	oos	0.1225	0.125341	+2.32%	0.13322	+8.75%	0.0476	✓	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.13114	0.133925	+2.12%	0.137455	+4.82%	0.0102	✓	0.31
2026-09-06	oos	0.1288	0.133401	+3.57%	0.137615	+6.84%	0.0103	✓	0.33
2026-09-05	oos	0.12945	0.133128	+2.84%	0.14428	+11.46%	0.0568	✓	0.33
2026-09-04	oos	0.1378	0.141301	+2.54%	0.14974	+8.66%	0.0311	✓	0.33
2026-09-03	oos	0.13944	0.1458	+4.56%	0.14604	+4.73%	0.0123	✓	0.33
2026-09-02	oos	0.13736	0.137011	-0.25%	0.14854	+8.14%	0.0528	✗	0.31
2026-09-01	oos	0.14057	0.140077	-0.35%	0.1514	+7.70%	0.0490	✗	0.31
2026-08-31	oos	0.14442	0.145792	+0.95%	0.15126	+4.74%	0.0181	✓	0.30
2026-08-30	oos	0.156	0.156824	+0.53%	0.16081	+3.08%	0.0009	✓	0.33
2026-08-29	oos	0.15359	0.157184	+2.34%	0.1614	+5.08%	0.0046	✓	0.34
2026-08-28	oos	0.14335	0.147607	+2.97%	0.16563	+15.54%	0.0879	✓	0.33
2026-08-27	oos	0.14355	0.157943	+10.03%	0.163905	+14.18%	0.0187	✓	0.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.1493	0.162504	+8.84%	0.15964	+6.93%	0.0415	✓	0.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.1605	0.171478	+6.84%	0.16505	+2.83%	0.0661	✓	0.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.13701	0.148353	+8.28%	0.16465	+20.17%	0.0737	✓	0.46
2026-08-23	oos	0.195165	0.196371	+0.62%	0.168615	-13.60%	0.2189	✗	0.64
2026-08-22	oos	0.205345	0.203994	-0.66%	0.16943	-17.49%	0.2619	✓	0.65
2026-08-21	oos	0.220915	0.219833	-0.49%	0.16252	-26.43%	0.3235	✓	0.60
2026-08-20	oos	0.215955	0.208768	-3.33%	0.162175	-24.90%	0.3221	✓	0.65
2026-08-19	oos	0.21345	0.204533	-4.18%	0.15727	-26.32%	0.3713	✓	0.70
2026-08-18	oos	0.20579	0.19687	-4.33%	0.15382	-25.25%	0.3690	✓	0.74
2026-08-17	oos	0.21233	0.202204	-4.77%	0.16251	-23.46%	0.3421	✓	0.74
2026-08-16	oos	0.214555	0.203598	-5.11%	0.1658	-22.72%	0.3532	✓	0.80
2026-08-15	oos	0.20837	0.198258	-4.85%	0.15123	-27.42%	0.4459	✓	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.20957	0.199043	-5.02%	0.14991	-28.47%	0.4448	✓	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.20644	0.196134	-4.99%	0.15991	-22.54%	0.3686	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.200645	0.191139	-4.74%	0.149955	-25.26%	0.4070	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.203145	0.193209	-4.89%	0.144685	-28.78%	0.4445	✓	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.204145	0.193973	-4.98%	0.11554	-43.40%	0.6882	✓	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.20451	0.194156	-5.06%	0.1225	-40.10%	0.6255	✓	0.87
2026-08-08	oos	0.208985	0.197804	-5.35%	0.13114	-37.25%	0.5817	✓	0.86
2026-08-07	oos	0.20336	0.192672	-5.26%	0.1288	-36.66%	0.5880	✓	0.87
2026-08-06	oos	0.20365	0.192773	-5.34%	0.12945	-36.44%	0.5866	✓	0.87
2026-08-05	oos	0.19656	0.186474	-5.13%	0.1378	-29.89%	0.4913	✓	0.90
2026-08-04	oos	0.2043	0.193314	-5.38%	0.13944	-31.75%	0.5476	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.20654	0.195317	-5.43%	0.13736	-33.49%	0.5369	✓	0.94
2026-08-02	oos	0.204585	0.193802	-5.27%	0.14057	-31.29%	0.5072	✓	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.211265	0.199674	-5.49%	0.14442	-31.64%	0.5436	✓	0.98
2026-07-31	oos	0.20703	0.196324	-5.17%	0.156	-24.65%	0.4385	✓	0.98
2026-07-30	oos	0.214655	0.20344	-5.22%	0.15359	-28.45%	0.4687	✓	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	0.219455	0.207562	-5.42%	0.14335	-34.68%	0.5723	✓	1.02
2026-07-28	oos	0.217385	0.206029	-5.22%	0.14355	-33.97%	0.5961	✓	1.03
2026-07-27	oos	0.22475	0.212443	-5.48%	0.1493	-33.57%	0.5746	✓	1.03
2026-07-26	oos	0.241925	0.226881	-6.22%	0.1605	-33.66%	0.5097	✓	0.89
2026-07-25	oos	0.2425	0.226897	-6.43%	0.13701	-43.50%	0.6916	✓	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.253825	0.235597	-7.18%	0.195165	-23.11%	0.3657	✓	0.92
2026-07-23	oos	0.2701	0.24809	-8.15%	0.205345	-23.97%	0.3584	✓	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.270695	0.248181	-8.32%	0.220915	-18.39%	0.2863	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.23121	0.21664	-6.30%	0.215955	-6.60%	0.0963	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.22897	0.21468	-6.24%	0.21345	-6.78%	0.0665	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.223245	0.209972	-5.95%	0.20579	-7.82%	0.0201	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.225605	0.212023	-6.02%	0.21233	-5.88%	0.0064	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.238	0.222057	-6.70%	0.214555	-9.85%	0.0177	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.24992	0.23162	-7.32%	0.20837	-16.63%	0.0939	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.23956	0.223127	-6.86%	0.20957	-12.52%	0.0354	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.242325	0.225478	-6.95%	0.20644	-14.81%	0.0639	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.246155	0.227615	-7.53%	0.200645	-18.49%	0.1444	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.2359	0.219255	-7.06%	0.203145	-13.89%	0.0730	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.266755	0.244145	-8.48%	0.204145	-23.47%	0.1811	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.276415	0.251248	-9.10%	0.20451	-26.01%	0.2170	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.273545	0.248323	-9.22%	0.208985	-23.60%	0.1995	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.29756	0.265204	-10.87%	0.20336	-31.66%	0.3073	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.27962	0.251429	-10.08%	0.20365	-27.17%	0.2256	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.252165	0.230839	-8.46%	0.19656	-22.05%	0.1701	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.27204	0.243678	-10.43%	0.2043	-24.90%	0.1836	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.236725	0.217143	-8.27%	0.20654	-12.75%	0.0561	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.22291	0.205525	-7.80%	0.204585	-8.22%	0.0201	✓	1.00