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MSFTX

Microsoft xStock · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id
#605
symbol
MSFTX
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x5621737f42dae558b81269fcb9e9e70c19aa6b35
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2025-11-25
predictions
786
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
188
of 262 predictions shown
direction hit
70.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0700
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0040
actual +0.0248

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos531.055528.8288-0.42%–pending––0.07
2026-10-21oos530.886527.4106-0.65%–pending––0.07
2026-10-20oos529.0269522.2848-1.27%–pending––0.08
2026-10-19oos532.8345523.2887-1.79%–pending––0.09
2026-10-18oos526.7454522.2985-0.84%–pending––0.09
2026-10-17oos527.6699522.4127-1.00%–pending––0.10
2026-10-16oos527.6898522.618-0.96%–pending––0.10
2026-10-15oos536.9949531.3588-1.05%–pending––0.09
2026-10-14oos531.9497524.7582-1.35%–pending––0.09
2026-10-13oos541.0907535.6622-1.00%–pending––0.08
2026-10-12oos541.1951532.1273-1.68%–pending––0.07
2026-10-11oos536.13536.3125+0.03%–pending––0.06
2026-10-10oos534.8327534.1955-0.12%–pending––0.08
2026-10-09oos534.9768533.6416-0.25%–pending––0.08
2026-10-08oos522.4756520.0247-0.47%–pending––0.07
2026-10-07oos529.6532533.026+0.64%–pending––0.06
2026-10-06oos529.4942535.4812+1.13%–pending––0.05
2026-10-05oos525.0852535.416+1.97%–pending––0.07
2026-10-04oos517.8778533.4216+3.00%–pending––0.06
2026-10-03oos518.4096530.6002+2.35%–pending––0.06
2026-10-02oos518.3699531.1356+2.46%–pending––0.06
2026-10-01oos514.8357529.0105+2.75%–pending––0.06
2026-09-30oos514.4331523.2693+1.72%–pending––0.06
2026-09-29oos509.4575517.6054+1.60%–pending––0.08
2026-09-28oos514.1746525.0957+2.12%–pending––0.09
2026-09-27oos516.9532531.2438+2.76%–pending––0.07
2026-09-26oos517.4155533.338+3.08%–pending––0.07
2026-09-25oos517.4155533.1983+3.05%–pending––0.07
2026-09-24oos495.992516.1485+4.06%–pending––0.07
2026-09-23oos499.9088517.7447+3.57%–pending––0.07
2026-09-22oos500.0928518.7051+3.72%531.055+6.19%0.0254✓0.08
2026-09-21oos500.5451520.4414+3.97%530.886+6.06%0.0228✓0.10
2026-09-20oos501.7629508.3089+1.30%529.0269+5.43%0.0373✓0.12
2026-09-19oos497.3092506.2469+1.80%532.8345+7.14%0.0503✓0.12
2026-09-18oos496.4343505.1563+1.76%526.7454+6.11%0.0402✓0.12
2026-09-17oos491.6874489.9521-0.35%527.6699+7.32%0.0666✗0.12
2026-09-16oos489.714487.846-0.38%527.6898+7.75%0.0705✗0.12
2026-09-15oos496.9414493.6513-0.66%536.9949+8.06%0.0724✗0.14
2026-09-14oos499.8194501.6729+0.37%531.9497+6.43%0.0523✓0.15
2026-09-13oos492.2739494.2168+0.39%541.0907+9.92%0.0787✓0.15
2026-09-11oos492.4031498.5914+1.26%536.13+8.88%0.0620✓0.13
2026-09-10oos492.2739497.6101+1.08%534.8327+8.65%0.0594✓0.16
2026-09-09oos492.4479499.7745+1.49%534.9768+8.64%0.0596✓0.16
2026-09-08oos494.6449496.6554+0.41%522.4756+5.63%0.0454✓0.13
2026-09-07oos497.2893504.8108+1.51%529.6532+6.51%0.0413✓0.13
2026-09-06oos497.334512.1929+2.99%529.4942+6.47%0.0245✓0.14
2026-09-05oos497.339514.7067+3.49%525.0852+5.58%0.0099✓0.14
2026-09-04oos494.6896516.5587+4.42%517.8778+4.69%0.0090✓0.14
2026-09-03oos509.5122535.3901+5.08%518.4096+1.75%0.0372✓0.12
2026-09-02oos497.8908511.7213+2.78%518.3699+4.11%0.0011✓0.13
2026-09-01oos501.0123513.1425+2.42%514.8357+2.76%0.0088✓0.13
2026-08-31oos507.9514520.3106+2.43%514.4331+1.28%0.0214✓0.16
2026-08-30oos510.72522.3451+2.28%509.4575-0.25%0.0415✗0.22
2026-08-29oos510.5759528.4392+3.50%514.1746+0.70%0.0411✗0.21
2026-08-28oos509.88531.3154+4.20%516.9532+1.39%0.0448✗0.21
2026-08-27oos503.0404532.9499+5.95%517.4155+2.86%0.0410✓0.23
2026-08-26oos496.0466523.9165+5.62%517.4155+4.31%0.0263✓0.22
2026-08-25oos489.8234513.5735+4.85%495.992+1.26%0.0501✗0.21
2026-08-24oos487.4474514.5759+5.57%499.9088+2.56%0.0427✓0.21
2026-08-23oos478.7388504.8993+5.46%500.0928+4.46%0.0319✓0.22
2026-08-22oos478.7239506.867+5.88%500.5451+4.56%0.0379✓0.22
2026-08-21oos478.7935516.5087+7.88%501.7629+4.80%0.0367✓0.22
2026-08-20oos481.4528499.7566+3.80%497.3092+3.29%0.0339✓0.27
2026-08-19oos483.9431485.6667+0.36%496.4343+2.58%0.0256✗0.31
2026-08-18oos481.3295470.6442-2.22%491.6874+2.15%0.0173✓0.37
2026-08-17oos476.0188464.5321-2.41%489.714+2.88%0.0076✓0.36
2026-08-14oos494.1408478.951-3.07%492.2739-0.38%0.0444✓0.36
2026-08-13oos495.7335479.2216-3.33%–pending––0.36
2026-08-12oos488.631474.4589-2.90%492.4031+0.77%0.0313✓0.35
2026-08-11oos495.0118477.4944-3.54%492.2739-0.55%0.0337✓0.34
2026-08-10oos505.2897484.5764-4.10%492.4479-2.54%0.0547✓0.35
2026-08-09oos497.5054482.4273-3.03%494.6449-0.57%0.0431✓0.36
2026-08-08oos500.8899483.7446-3.42%497.2893-0.72%0.0433✓0.36
2026-08-07oos495.0018475.5988-3.92%497.334+0.47%0.0317✓0.36
2026-08-06oos498.6103476.6468-4.40%497.339-0.25%0.0368✓0.37
2026-08-05oos485.4855465.5966-4.10%494.6896+1.90%0.0157✓0.36
2026-08-04oos490.0645466.4131-4.83%509.5122+3.97%0.0014✓0.37
2026-08-03oos484.0869459.7084-5.04%497.8908+2.85%0.0073✓0.37
2026-08-02oos457.4987441.6099-3.47%501.0123+9.51%0.0574✗0.35
2026-08-01oos457.4987438.3015-4.20%507.9514+11.03%0.0684✗0.35
2026-07-31oos459.7086435.8934-5.18%510.72+11.10%0.0835✗0.35
2026-07-30oos446.0312429.8752-3.62%510.5759+14.47%0.0978✗0.39
2026-07-29oos425.5053414.9479-2.48%509.88+19.83%0.1297✗0.39
2026-07-28oos395.3485391.974-0.85%503.0404+27.24%0.1686✗0.35
2026-07-27oos381.4024378.1976-0.84%496.0466+30.06%0.1968✗0.35
2026-07-26oos388.475389.5313+0.27%489.8234+26.09%0.1680✓0.33
2026-07-25oos384.0005383.965-0.01%487.4474+26.94%0.1725✗0.32
2026-07-24oos381.6662381.4202-0.06%478.7388+25.43%0.1655✗0.32
2026-07-23oos385.9266390.0156+1.06%478.7239+24.05%0.1512✓0.32
2026-07-22oos391.5658396.7374+1.32%478.7935+22.28%0.1358✓0.31
2026-07-21oos399.5144404.46+1.24%481.4528+20.51%0.1462✓0.30
2026-07-20oos399.0863401.0374+0.49%483.9431+21.26%0.1696✓0.30
2026-07-19oos385.3692389.2777+1.01%481.3295+24.90%0.2123✓0.29
2026-07-17oos394.4327393.5642-0.22%–pending––0.29
2026-07-16oos400.3705398.398-0.49%–pending––0.30
2026-07-15oos396.9262399.5726+0.67%494.1408+24.49%0.2209✓0.31
2026-07-14oos386.7578390.1477+0.88%495.7335+28.18%0.2471✓0.31
2026-07-13oos389.8288388.0438-0.46%488.631+25.35%0.2235✗0.38
2026-07-12oos396.4982397.3379+0.21%495.0118+24.85%0.2210✓0.37
2026-07-11oos395.5028396.1575+0.17%505.2897+27.76%0.2425✓0.37
2026-07-10oos387.0565389.4518+0.62%497.5054+28.54%0.2407✓0.38
2026-07-09oos384.1996384.4617+0.07%500.8899+30.37%0.2544✓0.38
2026-07-08oos386.8325384.8315-0.52%495.0018+27.96%0.2354✗0.39
2026-07-07oos395.9656393.7015-0.57%498.6103+25.92%0.2307✗0.38
2026-07-06oos386.285386.7733+0.13%485.4855+25.68%0.2237✓0.39
2026-07-05oos416.0984411.351-1.14%490.0645+17.78%0.1721✗0.41
2026-07-02oos398.6235391.4735-1.79%457.4987+14.77%0.1475✗0.41
2026-07-01oos384.3041377.8995-1.67%459.7086+19.62%0.1784✗0.38
2026-06-30oos377.3061370.9839-1.68%446.0312+18.21%0.1469✗0.37
2026-06-29oos371.3086367.247-1.09%425.5053+14.60%0.1234✗0.40
2026-06-27oos400.4003389.7455-2.66%381.4024-4.74%0.0471✓0.42
2026-06-26oos372.7968364.8825-2.12%388.475+4.21%0.0275✗0.41
2026-06-25oos360.8665355.0708-1.61%384.0005+6.41%0.0485✗0.40
2026-06-24oos365.8735363.1275-0.75%381.6662+4.32%0.0292✗0.42
2026-06-23oos373.6131371.6728-0.52%385.9266+3.30%0.0226✗0.40
2026-06-22oos372.8565371.3161-0.41%391.5658+5.02%0.0395✗0.41
2026-06-21oos382.5023380.904-0.42%399.5144+4.45%0.0257✗0.43
2026-06-19oos382.5023379.2825-0.84%385.3692+0.75%0.0077✓0.43
2026-06-18oos380.7305375.4425-1.39%–pending––0.43
2026-06-17oos389.1668383.6723-1.41%394.4327+1.35%0.0313✗0.42
2026-06-16oos396.7122389.534-1.81%400.3705+0.92%0.0390✗0.40
2026-06-15oos403.093395.3077-1.93%396.9262-1.53%0.0141✓0.42
2026-06-14oos416.3522405.9233-2.50%386.7578-7.11%0.0434✓0.45
2026-06-13oos421.3493406.7497-3.46%389.8288-7.48%0.0263✓0.47
2026-06-12oos391.7251379.6606-3.08%396.4982+1.22%0.0421✗0.42
2026-06-11oos392.8201379.7489-3.33%395.5028+0.68%0.0393✗0.42
2026-06-10oos400.0669384.2075-3.96%387.0565-3.25%0.0121✓0.46
2026-06-09oos405.8056387.7846-4.44%384.1996-5.32%0.0208✓0.48
2026-06-08oos410.4991390.5329-4.86%386.8325-5.77%0.0036✓0.45
2026-06-05oos417.9947394.5516-5.61%416.0984-0.45%0.0354✓0.43
2026-06-04oos428.4369404.7228-5.54%–pending––0.42
2026-06-03oos427.7002403.9887-5.54%–pending––0.41
2026-06-02oos441.8255413.9237-6.32%398.6235-9.78%0.0086✓0.36
2026-06-01oos459.4547431.7322-6.03%384.3041-16.36%0.0698✓0.27
2026-05-31oos455.1246435.4126-4.33%377.3061-17.10%0.0771✓0.29
2026-05-29oos440.3224418.9814-4.85%–pending––0.29
2026-05-28oos431.6969414.79-3.92%400.4003-7.25%0.0238✓0.29
2026-05-27oos418.0295403.6959-3.43%372.7968-10.82%0.0174✓0.29
2026-05-26oos415.1428402.2377-3.11%360.8665-13.07%0.0358✓0.30
2026-05-25oos426.6948416.8775-2.30%365.8735-14.25%0.0540✓0.32
2026-05-24oos426.6899417.0782-2.25%373.6131-12.44%0.0442✓0.32
2026-05-23oos426.6749416.8172-2.31%372.8565-12.61%0.0535✓0.32
2026-05-22oos422.6036410.7361-2.81%382.5023-9.49%0.0152✓0.32
2026-05-21oos421.21416.1295-1.21%–pending––0.33
2026-05-20oos417.7398412.4446-1.27%382.5023-8.44%0.0105✓0.33
2026-05-19oos417.0968410.0745-1.68%380.7305-8.72%0.0089✓0.33
2026-05-18oos422.9837415.8479-1.69%389.1668-7.99%0.0095✓0.32
2026-05-17oos423.871418.1922-1.34%396.7122-6.41%0.0002✓0.32
2026-05-15oos412.0971417.3725+1.28%416.3522+1.03%0.0568✓0.32
2026-05-14oos408.4034423.1976+3.62%421.3493+3.17%0.0733✓0.34
2026-05-13oos405.3378414.4006+2.24%391.7251-3.36%0.0138✓0.32
2026-05-12oos411.8528425.7027+3.36%392.8201-4.62%0.0073✓0.31
2026-05-11oos413.8268437.7045+5.77%400.0669-3.33%0.0080✓0.34
2026-05-08oos418.2183442.803+5.88%–pending––0.33
2026-05-07oos420.7157446.0137+6.01%–pending––0.33
2026-05-06oos416.3092450.2934+8.16%417.9947+0.40%0.0159✓0.20
2026-05-05oos409.5798441.5978+7.82%428.4369+4.60%0.0104✓0.17
2026-05-04oos413.0442438.3517+6.13%427.7002+3.55%0.0130✓0.17
2026-05-01oos421.7674441.5821+4.70%455.1246+7.91%0.0424✓0.20
2026-04-30oos408.6427422.0323+3.28%–pending––0.19
2026-04-29oos425.6157430.678+1.19%440.3224+3.46%0.0283✓0.19
2026-04-28oos428.437434.3575+1.38%431.6969+0.76%0.0012✓0.20
2026-04-27oos425.4163435.8418+2.45%418.0295-1.74%0.0339✗0.19
2026-04-26oos422.1662437.4552+3.62%415.1428-1.66%0.0448✗0.21
2026-04-24oos425.7353441.3479+3.67%426.6899+0.22%0.0325✓0.21
2026-04-23oos418.7816443.5602+5.92%426.6749+1.88%0.0344✓0.21
2026-04-22oos427.6743449.6266+5.13%422.6036-1.19%0.0544✗0.21
2026-04-21oos425.9746440.159+3.33%421.21-1.12%0.0473✗0.21
2026-04-20oos417.9691430.8063+3.07%417.7398-0.05%0.0350✗0.20
2026-04-17oos426.2487445.3388+4.48%423.871-0.56%0.0502✗0.20
2026-04-16oos420.0627430.4755+2.48%–pending––0.19
2026-04-15oos416.0649422.5906+1.57%412.0971-0.95%0.0357✗0.19
2026-04-14oos394.6206401.5981+1.77%408.4034+3.49%0.0005✓0.18
2026-04-13oos386.8644395.6445+2.27%405.3378+4.78%0.0131✓0.18
2026-04-10oos377.6526379.889+0.59%–pending––0.15
2026-04-09oos373.1265372.9077-0.06%–pending––0.14
2026-04-08oos373.939372.7862-0.31%418.2183+11.84%0.0982✗0.14
2026-04-07oos382.6075382.8505+0.06%420.7157+9.96%0.0797✓0.14
2026-04-06oos378.6047372.9868-1.48%416.3092+9.96%0.0903✗0.12
2026-04-03oos379.7363370.1105-2.53%–pending––0.12
2026-04-02oos379.7562369.8639-2.60%–pending––0.12
2026-04-01oos382.6374374.4121-2.15%421.7674+10.23%0.1030✗0.12
2026-03-31oos384.0829376.1938-2.05%408.6427+6.39%0.0698✗0.12
2026-03-30oos371.5713363.3005-2.23%425.6157+14.54%0.1455✗0.10
2026-03-27oos368.7998358.996-2.66%422.1662+14.47%0.1446✗0.10
2026-03-26oos378.9487372.5301-1.69%–pending––0.09
2026-03-25oos382.2785383.3366+0.28%425.7353+11.37%0.0972✓0.09
2026-03-24oos375.0008375.093+0.02%418.7816+11.67%0.1010✓0.09
2026-03-23oos390.1344390.2618+0.03%427.6743+9.62%0.0830✓0.09
2026-03-20oos388.5193388.1284-0.10%–pending––0.09
2026-03-19oos389.6758389.563-0.03%–pending––0.09
2026-03-18oos387.652393.4228+1.49%426.2487+9.96%0.0730✓0.09
2026-03-17oos398.6084416.421+4.47%420.0627+5.38%0.0074✓0.08
2026-03-16oos413.5925434.463+5.05%416.0649+0.60%0.0432✓0.07
2026-03-13oos396.3753402.5748+1.56%–pending––0.07
2026-03-12oos416.1547416.5644+0.10%–pending––0.08
2026-03-11oos389.9988392.775+0.71%377.6526-3.17%0.0419✗0.07
2026-03-10oos420.004417.6485-0.56%373.1265-11.16%0.1147✓0.08
2026-03-09oos422.5885417.1684-1.28%373.939-11.51%0.1125✓0.08
2026-03-06oos407.8403404.0681-0.92%–pending––0.08
2026-03-05oos410.1653412.8905+0.66%–pending––0.08
2026-03-04oos406.124413.1463+1.73%379.7363-6.50%0.0792✗0.06
2026-03-03oos403.0805400.6752-0.60%379.7562-5.79%0.0521✓0.07
2026-03-02oos398.4006397.6531-0.19%382.6374-3.96%0.0376✓0.08
2026-02-27oos399.6529392.3278-1.83%–pending––0.06
2026-02-26oos397.1134393.8236-0.83%–pending––0.07
2026-02-25oos401.2545398.399-0.71%368.7998-8.09%0.0755✓0.07
2026-02-24oos388.4571379.8652-2.21%378.9487-2.45%0.0050✓0.04
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