MINT

Mintana · Solana · beta_5y

token id: #971
symbol: MINT
variant: –
chain: Solana
address: 9VucGkAroxyVJzuVadJy2ErhxXxAnPCpyWhong2fSYdw
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-03-07
predictions: 408

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

130

of 136 predictions shown

direction hit

64.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1347

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0141

actual -0.0836

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.000013535	0.000012053	-10.95%	–	pending	–	–	-8.88
2026-10-21	oos	0.000033995	0.000030025	-11.68%	0.000013535	-0.88%	0.1334	✗	-7.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.00003745	0.000032732	-12.60%	0.000033995	-9.23%	0.0408	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.000411	0.000359865	-12.44%	0.00003745	-90.89%	2.2761	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.002685	0.002526	-5.93%	0.000411	-84.69%	1.8136	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00306	0.00281	-8.18%	0.002685	-12.25%	0.0531	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.00481	0.004536	-5.71%	0.00306	-36.38%	0.3921	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.00731	0.0071	-2.87%	0.00481	-34.20%	0.3818	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.01766	0.017542	-0.67%	0.00731	-58.61%	0.8822	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.010335	0.009666	-6.47%	0.01766	+70.88%	0.6214	✗	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.012735	0.011687	-8.23%	0.010335	-18.85%	0.1394	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.017775	0.016214	-8.78%	0.012735	-28.35%	0.2181	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	0.027955	0.025761	-7.85%	0.017775	-36.42%	0.3803	✓	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	0.04884	0.04659	-4.61%	0.027955	-42.76%	0.5152	✓	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.06625	0.064029	-3.35%	0.04884	-26.28%	0.2812	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.07635	0.072104	-5.56%	0.06625	-13.23%	0.0655	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.12605	0.124848	-0.95%	0.07635	-39.43%	0.4649	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.1777	0.177875	+0.10%	0.12605	-29.07%	0.3420	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.2981	0.299073	+0.33%	0.1777	-40.39%	0.5118	✗	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.2559	0.255647	-0.10%	0.2981	+16.49%	0.1330	✗	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.277	0.273135	-1.40%	0.2559	-7.62%	0.0680	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.35195	0.345853	-1.73%	0.277	-21.30%	0.2179	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.46955	0.461138	-1.79%	0.35195	-25.05%	0.2856	✓	1.00
2025-07-11	oos	0.008607	0.008525	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2025-07-09	oos	0.006578	0.006518	-0.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2025-07-07	oos	0.006508	0.006443	-1.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2025-07-06	oos	0.006383	0.006317	-1.04%	0.006508	+1.96%	0.0312	✗	0.15
2025-07-04	oos	0.006498	0.006392	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2025-07-03	oos	0.005248	0.005181	-1.28%	0.006498	+23.82%	0.2299	✗	0.23
2025-07-02	oos	0.00379	0.003788	-0.05%	0.005248	+38.47%	0.3247	✗	0.19
2025-07-01	oos	0.003903	0.003905	+0.05%	0.00379	-2.90%	0.0361	✗	0.21
2025-06-28	oos	0.004636	0.004631	-0.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2025-06-27	oos	0.005412	0.005384	-0.52%	0.004636	-14.34%	0.1500	✓	0.19
2025-06-26	oos	0.006122	0.006037	-1.38%	0.005412	-11.60%	0.1095	✓	0.24
2025-06-25	oos	0.004647	0.004654	+0.15%	0.006122	+31.74%	0.2751	✓	0.26
2025-06-24	oos	0.004654	0.004669	+0.32%	0.004647	-0.15%	0.0077	✗	0.25
2025-06-23	oos	0.004723	0.004744	+0.43%	0.004654	-1.46%	0.0209	✗	0.27
2025-06-22	oos	0.004525	0.004561	+0.80%	0.004723	+4.38%	0.0252	✓	0.22
2025-06-21	oos	0.006001	0.006003	+0.04%	0.004525	-24.60%	0.2810	✗	0.15
2025-06-20	oos	0.007463	0.007433	-0.40%	0.006001	-19.59%	0.2137	✓	0.03
2025-06-19	oos	0.008116	0.008071	-0.56%	0.007463	-8.05%	0.0783	✓	-0.01
2025-06-18	oos	0.008352	0.008299	-0.64%	0.008116	-2.83%	0.0223	✓	-0.00
2025-06-17	oos	0.008387	0.008331	-0.67%	0.008352	-0.42%	0.0024	✓	0.03
2025-06-16	oos	0.008756	0.00869	-0.76%	0.008387	-4.21%	0.0328	✓	0.12
2025-06-15	oos	0.008506	0.008455	-0.60%	0.008756	+2.94%	0.0338	✗	0.10
2025-06-14	oos	0.00868	0.008622	-0.67%	0.008506	-2.00%	0.0137	✓	0.15
2025-06-13	oos	0.008761	0.008703	-0.67%	0.00868	-0.92%	0.0014	✓	0.19
2025-06-12	oos	0.008999	0.008933	-0.73%	0.008761	-2.64%	0.0202	✓	0.20
2025-06-11	oos	0.009102	0.009018	-0.92%	0.008999	-1.13%	0.0015	✓	0.02
2025-06-10	oos	0.00855	0.008493	-0.66%	0.009102	+6.46%	0.0708	✗	0.11
2025-06-09	oos	0.008282	0.008248	-0.41%	0.00855	+3.24%	0.0360	✗	0.11
2025-06-08	oos	0.008941	0.008899	-0.47%	0.008282	-7.37%	0.0832	✓	0.27
2025-06-07	oos	0.009082	0.009047	-0.39%	0.008941	-1.55%	0.0124	✓	0.38
2025-06-06	oos	0.009631	0.009586	-0.47%	0.009082	-5.70%	0.0690	✓	1.29
2025-06-05	oos	0.009374	0.009349	-0.27%	0.009631	+2.74%	0.0065	✓	1.32
2025-06-04	oos	0.010007	0.009955	-0.52%	0.009374	-6.33%	0.0195	✓	1.32
2025-06-03	oos	0.009797	0.009761	-0.37%	0.010007	+2.14%	0.0337	✗	1.33
2025-06-02	oos	0.009884	0.009853	-0.31%	0.009797	-0.88%	0.0000	✓	1.33
2025-06-01	oos	0.00971	0.0097	-0.10%	0.009884	+1.79%	0.0162	✗	1.33
2025-05-31	oos	0.010515	0.010494	-0.20%	0.00971	-7.66%	0.0911	✓	1.34
2025-05-30	oos	0.012109	0.012044	-0.53%	0.010515	-13.16%	0.1437	✓	1.35
2025-05-29	oos	0.012458	0.012385	-0.59%	0.012109	-2.80%	0.0026	✓	1.35
2025-05-28	oos	0.012408	0.012336	-0.58%	0.012458	+0.40%	0.0389	✗	1.38
2025-05-27	oos	0.012361	0.012304	-0.46%	0.012408	+0.38%	0.0233	✗	1.39
2025-05-26	oos	0.012895	0.012832	-0.49%	0.012361	-4.14%	0.0312	✓	1.39
2025-05-25	oos	0.013673	0.013594	-0.58%	0.012895	-5.69%	0.0581	✓	1.39
2025-05-24	oos	0.015677	0.015488	-1.21%	0.013673	-12.78%	0.1410	✓	1.41
2025-05-23	oos	0.012926	0.012854	-0.56%	0.015677	+21.28%	0.1925	✗	1.41
2025-05-22	oos	0.013058	0.012985	-0.56%	0.012926	-1.01%	0.0544	✗	1.47
2025-05-21	oos	0.013786	0.013686	-0.73%	0.013058	-5.28%	0.0741	✓	1.49
2025-05-20	oos	0.013592	0.013482	-0.81%	0.013786	+1.43%	0.0163	✓	1.48
2025-05-19	oos	0.012622	0.012551	-0.56%	0.013592	+7.68%	0.0622	✗	1.47
2025-05-18	oos	0.012556	0.012489	-0.53%	0.012622	+0.53%	0.0225	✗	1.48
2025-05-17	oos	0.012631	0.012559	-0.57%	0.012556	-0.59%	0.0475	✓	1.49
2025-05-16	oos	0.012515	0.012439	-0.61%	0.012631	+0.93%	0.0203	✗	1.50
2025-05-15	oos	0.012938	0.012873	-0.50%	0.012515	-3.27%	0.0241	✓	1.50
2025-05-14	oos	0.015052	0.014964	-0.58%	0.012938	-14.04%	0.1490	✓	1.50
2025-05-13	oos	0.015211	0.015122	-0.58%	0.015052	-1.05%	0.0038	✓	1.50
2025-05-12	oos	0.016292	0.016154	-0.85%	0.015211	-6.64%	0.0796	✓	1.52
2025-05-11	oos	0.015353	0.015244	-0.71%	0.016292	+6.12%	0.0865	✗	1.55
2025-05-10	oos	0.015721	0.015607	-0.73%	0.015353	-2.34%	0.0063	✓	1.55
2025-05-09	oos	0.015945	0.015761	-1.15%	0.015721	-1.40%	0.0300	✓	1.56
2025-05-08	in	0.01255	0.012478	-0.57%	0.015945	+27.05%	0.2493	✗	1.59
2025-05-07	in	0.013118	0.012954	-1.25%	0.01255	-4.33%	0.1396	✓	1.74
2025-05-06	in	0.010186	0.010111	-0.74%	0.013118	+28.78%	0.2564	✗	1.74
2025-05-05	in	0.011479	0.011357	-1.06%	0.010186	-11.26%	0.1484	✓	1.80
2025-05-04	in	0.011387	0.011234	-1.34%	0.011479	+0.81%	0.0128	✓	1.80
2025-05-03	in	0.009914	0.009799	-1.16%	0.011387	+14.86%	0.1817	✗	1.89
2025-05-02	in	0.009395	0.009285	-1.17%	0.009914	+5.52%	0.0868	✗	1.92
2025-05-01	in	0.008947	0.008849	-1.09%	0.009395	+5.01%	0.0518	✗	1.92
2025-04-30	in	0.009077	0.008976	-1.12%	0.008947	-1.43%	0.0505	✓	1.93
2025-04-29	in	0.00897	0.008865	-1.18%	0.009077	+1.19%	0.0255	✗	1.93
2025-04-28	in	0.008979	0.00887	-1.21%	0.00897	-0.10%	0.0270	✗	1.94
2025-04-27	in	0.008818	0.008719	-1.12%	0.008979	+1.83%	0.0035	✓	1.93
2025-04-26	in	0.00886	0.008757	-1.16%	0.008818	-0.47%	0.0253	✗	1.95
2025-04-25	in	0.009323	0.009186	-1.47%	0.00886	-4.97%	0.0353	✓	1.95
2025-04-24	in	0.00838	0.008294	-1.02%	0.009323	+11.25%	0.1028	✗	1.93
2025-04-23	in	0.008137	0.008067	-0.87%	0.00838	+2.99%	0.0324	✗	1.93
2025-04-22	in	0.008297	0.008225	-0.87%	0.008137	-1.93%	0.0159	✓	1.93
2025-04-21	in	0.008465	0.008404	-0.72%	0.008297	-1.98%	0.1514	✓	2.10
2025-04-20	in	0.007925	0.007892	-0.42%	0.008465	+6.81%	0.0142	✗	2.06
2025-04-19	in	0.008188	0.008151	-0.45%	0.007925	-3.21%	0.0306	✓	2.06
2025-04-18	in	0.00811	0.008083	-0.33%	0.008188	+0.96%	0.0018	✓	2.05
2025-04-17	in	0.008985	0.008941	-0.48%	0.00811	-9.74%	0.0856	✓	2.04
2025-04-16	in	0.009239	0.009196	-0.46%	0.008985	-2.75%	0.0458	✓	2.04
2025-04-15	in	0.009467	0.009426	-0.43%	0.009239	-2.41%	0.0298	✓	2.04
2025-04-14	in	0.00997	0.009922	-0.48%	0.009467	-5.05%	0.0236	✓	2.05
2025-04-13	in	0.01053	0.010477	-0.50%	0.00997	-5.32%	0.0706	✓	2.06
2025-04-12	in	0.01178	0.011693	-0.74%	0.01053	-10.61%	0.0676	✓	2.04
2025-04-11	in	0.01168	0.011603	-0.66%	0.01178	+0.86%	0.0305	✓	2.04
2025-04-10	in	0.01122	0.011168	-0.46%	0.01168	+4.10%	0.0514	✓	2.05
2025-04-09	in	0.01196	0.011888	-0.60%	0.01122	-6.19%	0.0216	✗	2.12
2025-04-08	in	0.01172	0.011667	-0.45%	0.01196	+2.05%	0.1716	✓	2.46
2025-04-07	in	0.01214	0.012075	-0.53%	0.01172	-3.46%	0.0670	✗	2.61
2025-04-06	in	0.01204	0.011983	-0.47%	0.01214	+0.83%	0.0123	✓	2.59
2025-04-05	in	0.01223	0.012156	-0.61%	0.01204	-1.55%	0.0538	✗	1.00
2025-04-04	in	0.01091	0.010887	-0.21%	0.01223	+12.10%	0.1206	✗	1.00
2025-04-03	in	0.01209	0.012036	-0.45%	0.01091	-9.76%	0.1064	✓	1.00
2025-04-02	in	0.01154	0.011519	-0.18%	0.01209	+4.77%	0.0401	✗	1.00
2025-04-01	in	0.01238	0.012346	-0.28%	0.01154	-6.79%	0.0355	✓	1.00
2025-03-31	in	0.0136	0.01355	-0.37%	0.01238	-8.97%	0.1217	✓	1.00
2025-03-30	in	0.0147	0.014629	-0.48%	0.0136	-7.48%	0.0748	✓	1.00
2025-03-29	in	0.01484	0.014776	-0.43%	0.0147	-0.94%	0.0023	✓	1.00
2025-03-28	in	0.01658	0.016477	-0.62%	0.01484	-10.49%	0.0835	✓	1.00
2025-03-27	in	0.01644	0.016343	-0.59%	0.01658	+0.85%	0.0475	✗	1.00
2025-03-26	in	0.01709	0.016993	-0.57%	0.01644	-3.80%	0.0364	✓	1.00
2025-03-25	in	0.01916	0.019019	-0.74%	0.01709	-10.80%	0.1012	✓	1.00
2025-03-24	in	0.01925	0.01911	-0.73%	0.01916	-0.47%	0.0037	✓	1.00
2025-03-23	in	0.01921	0.019085	-0.65%	0.01925	+0.21%	0.0079	✓	1.00
2025-03-22	in	0.02144	0.021244	-0.91%	0.01921	-10.40%	0.1270	✓	1.00
2025-03-21	in	0.02051	0.020357	-0.74%	0.02144	+4.53%	0.0543	✗	1.00
2025-03-20	in	0.02158	0.021398	-0.84%	0.02051	-4.96%	0.0410	✓	1.00
2025-03-19	in	0.02278	0.022512	-1.17%	0.02158	-5.27%	0.0108	✓	1.00
2025-03-18	in	0.02064	0.020455	-0.90%	0.02278	+10.37%	0.0584	✗	1.00
2025-03-17	in	0.02004	0.019839	-1.00%	0.02064	+2.99%	0.0553	✗	1.00
2025-03-16	in	0.01732	0.017219	-0.58%	0.02004	+15.70%	0.1343	✗	1.00