MHA
Magic Hash · Binance Smart Chain · beta_5y
- token id
- #375
- symbol
- MHA
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x37c563cdf4606d4302abb395cdb94e79d31233ed
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-17
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +1d
assessed
26
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
46.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0970
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0015
actual -0.0398
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.004878 | 0.004821 | -1.16% | – | pending | – | – | 2.49 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00488 | 0.004814 | -1.35% | 0.004878 | -0.04% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 2.49 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004452 | 0.004411 | -0.93% | 0.00488 | +9.60% | 0.0702 | ✗ | 2.36 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004386 | 0.004352 | -0.79% | 0.004452 | +1.50% | 0.0079 | ✓ | 2.30 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004248 | 0.004225 | -0.55% | 0.004386 | +3.25% | 0.0423 | ✗ | 2.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004329 | 0.00431 | -0.44% | 0.004248 | -1.86% | 0.0321 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005066 | 0.005015 | -1.01% | 0.004329 | -14.55% | 0.1456 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003665 | 0.003672 | +0.19% | 0.005066 | +38.21% | 0.3293 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002988 | 0.003017 | +0.98% | 0.003665 | +22.67% | 0.1878 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003361 | 0.003393 | +0.92% | 0.002988 | -11.11% | 0.1083 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.003776 | 0.003808 | +0.85% | 0.003361 | -10.98% | 0.1412 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004693 | 0.004715 | +0.46% | 0.003776 | -19.54% | 0.1986 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005151 | 0.005172 | +0.39% | 0.004693 | -8.90% | 0.1064 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.006203 | 0.006205 | +0.02% | 0.005151 | -16.96% | 0.1905 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.006692 | -0.05% | 0.006203 | -7.35% | 0.0862 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00735 | 0.007334 | -0.21% | 0.006696 | -8.90% | 0.0719 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.007624 | 0.007606 | -0.23% | 0.00735 | -3.60% | 0.0075 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.007561 | 0.00755 | -0.14% | 0.007624 | +0.84% | 0.0122 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.007475 | 0.007473 | -0.02% | 0.007561 | +1.14% | 0.0204 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.007325 | 0.007338 | +0.19% | 0.007475 | +2.05% | 0.0022 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00776 | 0.007776 | +0.20% | 0.007325 | -5.61% | 0.0626 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007845 | 0.007869 | +0.30% | 0.00776 | -1.08% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008263 | 0.008285 | +0.26% | 0.007845 | -5.06% | 0.0699 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008261 | 0.008273 | +0.15% | 0.008263 | +0.02% | 0.0003 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.009286 | 0.009262 | -0.26% | 0.008261 | -11.03% | 0.1165 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.014172 | 0.014043 | -0.91% | 0.009286 | -34.48% | 0.4016 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013131 | 0.012891 | -1.83% | 0.014172 | +7.93% | 0.0942 | ✗ | 1.00 |