KNOTS
KNOTS · Solana · beta_5y
- token id
- #767
- symbol
- KNOTS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 8RVBk8vxLiUHueLUW1f4izFVqN3nWippLhkohKg6EGkS
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 102
Track record at +1d
assessed
33
of 34 predictions shown
direction hit
57.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1949
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0064
actual -0.0572
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.003428 | 0.003377 | -1.49% | – | pending | – | – | 4.24 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.003417 | 0.003368 | -1.44% | 0.003428 | -1.66% | 0.0120 | ✓ | 4.25 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00358 | 0.003514 | -1.84% | 0.003417 | -4.54% | 0.0154 | ✓ | 4.26 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003164 | 0.003117 | -1.49% | 0.00358 | +13.15% | 0.0832 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.002509 | 0.002494 | -0.60% | 0.003164 | +26.11% | 0.2468 | ✗ | 4.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002929 | 0.002902 | -0.93% | 0.002509 | -14.34% | 0.1782 | ✓ | 4.29 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002911 | 0.002889 | -0.76% | 0.002929 | +0.62% | 0.0200 | ✗ | 4.31 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003261 | 0.003228 | -1.03% | 0.002911 | -10.73% | 0.0704 | ✓ | 4.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.003038 | 0.003016 | -0.71% | 0.003261 | +7.34% | 0.0489 | ✗ | 4.26 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.002995 | 0.002981 | -0.48% | 0.003038 | +1.42% | 0.1037 | ✗ | 4.55 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.003356 | 0.003336 | -0.59% | 0.002995 | -10.74% | 0.1847 | ✓ | 4.67 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0045 | 0.00443 | -1.54% | 0.003356 | -25.41% | 0.1739 | ✓ | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.003239 | 0.003227 | -0.37% | 0.0045 | +38.92% | 0.2934 | ✗ | 4.23 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.002974 | 0.002977 | +0.11% | 0.003239 | +8.91% | 0.0798 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.003605 | 0.003596 | -0.25% | 0.002974 | -17.50% | 0.2003 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.003288 | 0.003294 | +0.17% | 0.003605 | +9.64% | 0.1095 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005163 | 0.005097 | -1.26% | 0.003288 | -36.31% | 0.4116 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.002456 | 0.002472 | +0.63% | 0.005163 | +110.16% | 0.7388 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.003661 | 0.003666 | +0.14% | 0.002456 | -32.90% | 0.3916 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.002535 | 0.002532 | -0.14% | 0.003661 | +44.39% | 0.3481 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.002868 | 0.002852 | -0.54% | 0.002535 | -11.59% | 0.1206 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.004975 | 0.005011 | +0.72% | 0.002868 | -42.35% | 0.5539 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006722 | 0.006748 | +0.39% | 0.004975 | -25.99% | 0.3202 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.007297 | 0.007317 | +0.27% | 0.006722 | -7.87% | 0.0838 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006679 | 0.006715 | +0.53% | 0.007297 | +9.24% | 0.0809 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00815 | 0.008159 | +0.11% | 0.006679 | -18.04% | 0.1881 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.011331 | 0.011217 | -1.00% | 0.00815 | -28.07% | 0.3200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.00964 | 0.009562 | -0.81% | 0.011331 | +17.54% | 0.1659 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01419 | 0.014015 | -1.23% | 0.00964 | -32.06% | 0.3708 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01521 | 0.015018 | -1.26% | 0.01419 | -6.71% | 0.0568 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01505 | 0.014842 | -1.38% | 0.01521 | +1.06% | 0.0459 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.02248 | 0.022175 | -1.36% | 0.01505 | -33.05% | 0.3830 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.02179 | 0.021477 | -1.44% | 0.02248 | +3.17% | 0.0192 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021875 | 0.021523 | -1.61% | 0.02179 | -0.39% | 0.0132 | ✓ | 1.00 |