KAIA

Kaia · native · beta_5y

token id: #105
symbol: KAIA
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-10-30
predictions: 2,142

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

56.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0255

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0035

actual -0.0020

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.04134	0.041145	-0.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-21	oos	0.04027	0.040095	-0.43%	0.04134	-1.85%	0.0182	✓	1.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.041885	0.041612	-0.65%	0.04027	-3.86%	0.0279	✓	1.66
2026-10-19	oos	0.040865	0.040719	-0.36%	0.041885	+2.50%	0.0061	✗	1.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.041415	0.041263	-0.37%	0.040865	-1.33%	0.0063	✓	1.65
2026-10-17	oos	0.044045	0.04379	-0.58%	0.041415	-5.97%	0.0685	✓	1.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.04206	0.041868	-0.46%	0.044045	+4.72%	0.0531	✗	1.67
2026-10-15	oos	0.04226	0.04209	-0.40%	0.04206	-0.47%	0.0119	✗	1.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.04303	0.042821	-0.48%	0.04226	-1.79%	0.0245	✓	1.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.046865	0.046391	-1.01%	0.04303	-8.18%	0.0450	✓	1.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.0451	0.044864	-0.52%	0.046865	+3.91%	0.0170	✗	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.05169	0.051162	-1.02%	0.0451	-12.75%	0.0916	✓	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.05665	0.055548	-1.95%	0.05169	-8.76%	0.0857	✓	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.0605	0.058527	-3.26%	0.05665	-6.36%	0.0392	✓	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.03702	0.036849	-0.46%	0.0605	+63.43%	0.4814	✗	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.0382	0.037925	-0.72%	0.03702	-3.09%	0.0026	✓	1.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.03959	0.039348	-0.61%	0.0382	-3.51%	0.0079	✗	1.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.040385	0.040021	-0.90%	0.03959	-1.97%	0.0074	✓	1.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.03753	0.037317	-0.57%	0.040385	+7.61%	0.0915	✗	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.03741	0.037227	-0.49%	0.03753	+0.32%	0.0212	✓	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.03605	0.035841	-0.58%	0.03741	+3.77%	0.0389	✗	1.42
2026-10-01	oos	0.036805	0.03655	-0.69%	0.03605	-2.05%	0.0080	✓	1.42
2026-09-30	oos	0.034525	0.034353	-0.50%	0.036805	+6.60%	0.0474	✗	1.40
2026-09-29	oos	0.033875	0.033717	-0.47%	0.034525	+1.92%	0.0251	✗	1.40
2026-09-28	oos	0.032585	0.032496	-0.27%	0.033875	+3.96%	0.0386	✗	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.03336	0.033206	-0.46%	0.032585	-2.32%	0.0029	✓	1.33
2026-09-26	oos	0.03517	0.035017	-0.43%	0.03336	-5.15%	0.0492	✓	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.034845	0.034659	-0.53%	0.03517	+0.93%	0.0096	✗	1.32
2026-09-24	oos	0.033055	0.032782	-0.83%	0.034845	+5.42%	0.0657	✗	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.031735	0.031508	-0.71%	0.033055	+4.16%	0.0478	✗	1.34
2026-09-22	oos	0.031995	0.031923	-0.23%	0.031735	-0.81%	0.0229	✗	1.35
2026-09-21	oos	0.032695	0.032587	-0.33%	0.031995	-2.14%	0.0120	✓	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.030345	0.030249	-0.32%	0.032695	+7.74%	0.0119	✓	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.0305	0.030393	-0.35%	0.030345	-0.51%	0.0003	✓	1.39
2026-09-18	oos	0.02997	0.02978	-0.63%	0.0305	+1.77%	0.0178	✗	1.38
2026-09-17	oos	0.0288	0.028558	-0.84%	0.02997	+4.06%	0.0344	✓	1.44
2026-09-16	oos	0.02783	0.02778	-0.18%	0.0288	+3.49%	0.0322	✗	1.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.027105	0.027068	-0.13%	0.02783	+2.67%	0.0172	✗	1.42
2026-09-14	oos	0.02897	0.028908	-0.21%	0.027105	-6.44%	0.0175	✓	1.39
2026-09-13	oos	0.029265	0.029218	-0.16%	0.02897	-1.01%	0.0334	✓	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.0292	0.029143	-0.19%	0.029265	+0.22%	0.0126	✗	1.40
2026-09-11	oos	0.02925	0.029167	-0.28%	0.0292	-0.17%	0.0001	✓	1.41
2026-09-10	oos	0.02735	0.027306	-0.16%	0.02925	+6.95%	0.0566	✗	1.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.03007	0.029974	-0.32%	0.02735	-9.05%	0.0611	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.03181	0.031721	-0.28%	0.03007	-5.47%	0.0506	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.031045	0.030992	-0.17%	0.03181	+2.46%	0.0374	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.03147	0.031433	-0.12%	0.031045	-1.35%	0.0097	✗	1.41
2026-09-05	oos	0.03087	0.030842	-0.09%	0.03147	+1.94%	0.0113	✗	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.03047	0.030439	-0.10%	0.03087	+1.31%	0.0114	✗	1.35
2026-09-03	oos	0.030325	0.030299	-0.08%	0.03047	+0.48%	0.0327	✗	1.37
2026-09-02	oos	0.028055	0.028014	-0.15%	0.030325	+8.09%	0.0117	✗	1.35
2026-09-01	oos	0.02888	0.028731	-0.52%	0.028055	-2.86%	0.0222	✓	1.36
2026-08-31	oos	0.029425	0.02934	-0.29%	0.02888	-1.85%	0.0038	✗	1.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.02756	0.027552	-0.03%	0.029425	+6.77%	0.0511	✗	1.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.02883	0.028808	-0.08%	0.02756	-4.41%	0.0355	✓	1.21
2026-08-28	oos	0.028945	0.028925	-0.07%	0.02883	-0.40%	0.0094	✓	1.21
2026-08-27	oos	0.03171	0.031616	-0.30%	0.028945	-8.72%	0.0522	✓	1.17
2026-08-26	oos	0.032735	0.032594	-0.43%	0.03171	-3.13%	0.0461	✓	1.19
2026-08-25	oos	0.03205	0.031871	-0.56%	0.032735	+2.14%	0.0193	✗	1.17
2026-08-24	oos	0.030985	0.030833	-0.49%	0.03205	+3.44%	0.0455	✗	1.18
2026-08-23	oos	0.03155	0.031336	-0.68%	0.030985	-1.79%	0.0303	✓	1.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.031965	0.031679	-0.90%	0.03155	-1.30%	0.0145	✓	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.03001	0.029687	-1.08%	0.031965	+6.51%	0.0940	✗	1.23
2026-08-20	oos	0.02631	0.0261	-0.80%	0.03001	+14.06%	0.0611	✗	1.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.023895	0.023818	-0.32%	0.02631	+10.11%	0.0454	✗	1.04
2026-08-18	oos	0.021505	0.021496	-0.04%	0.023895	+11.11%	0.0411	✗	0.94
2026-08-17	oos	0.022885	0.022858	-0.12%	0.021505	-6.03%	0.0640	✓	0.96
2026-08-16	oos	0.022865	0.02284	-0.11%	0.022885	+0.09%	0.0232	✓	0.98
2026-08-15	oos	0.02387	0.023831	-0.16%	0.022865	-4.21%	0.0386	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.02463	0.024574	-0.23%	0.02387	-3.09%	0.0297	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.025825	0.025741	-0.33%	0.02463	-4.63%	0.0374	✓	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.02619	0.026096	-0.36%	0.025825	-1.39%	0.0107	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.02685	0.02676	-0.33%	0.02619	-2.46%	0.0198	✓	0.94
2026-08-10	oos	0.02669	0.026588	-0.38%	0.02685	+0.60%	0.0154	✗	0.93
2026-08-09	oos	0.02702	0.026937	-0.31%	0.02669	-1.22%	0.0044	✗	0.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.02723	0.02713	-0.37%	0.02702	-0.77%	0.0032	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.02709	0.026947	-0.53%	0.02723	+0.52%	0.0102	✗	0.95
2026-08-06	oos	0.0267	0.026564	-0.51%	0.02709	+1.46%	0.0105	✗	0.94
2026-08-05	oos	0.02689	0.026794	-0.36%	0.0267	-0.71%	0.0014	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.026835	0.026703	-0.49%	0.02689	+0.20%	0.0011	✓	0.94
2026-08-03	oos	0.02633	0.026208	-0.46%	0.026835	+1.92%	0.0151	✗	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.0263	0.02624	-0.23%	0.02633	+0.11%	0.0039	✗	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.02558	0.025525	-0.22%	0.0263	+2.81%	0.0191	✗	0.93
2026-07-31	oos	0.025195	0.025133	-0.25%	0.02558	+1.53%	0.0185	✗	0.93
2026-07-30	oos	0.026255	0.02619	-0.25%	0.025195	-4.04%	0.0114	✓	0.92
2026-07-29	oos	0.02592	0.025845	-0.29%	0.026255	+1.29%	0.0042	✗	0.90
2026-07-28	oos	0.02609	0.02597	-0.46%	0.02592	-0.65%	0.0026	✓	0.90
2026-07-27	oos	0.025815	0.025741	-0.29%	0.02609	+1.07%	0.0113	✗	0.90
2026-07-26	oos	0.030265	0.030197	-0.22%	0.025815	-14.70%	0.1366	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.02982	0.02976	-0.20%	0.030265	+1.49%	0.0041	✗	0.79
2026-07-24	oos	0.03133	0.031237	-0.30%	0.02982	-4.82%	0.0490	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.031295	0.031207	-0.28%	0.03133	+0.11%	0.0159	✗	0.80
2026-07-22	oos	0.032075	0.032009	-0.21%	0.031295	-2.43%	0.0101	✓	0.79
2026-07-21	oos	0.03283	0.032748	-0.25%	0.032075	-2.30%	0.0156	✓	0.79
2026-07-20	oos	0.032295	0.032215	-0.25%	0.03283	+1.66%	0.0038	✗	0.76
2026-07-19	oos	0.03226	0.032167	-0.29%	0.032295	+0.11%	0.0023	✓	0.76
2026-07-18	oos	0.03293	0.032799	-0.40%	0.03226	-2.03%	0.0152	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.033005	0.032912	-0.28%	0.03293	-0.23%	0.0106	✓	0.80
2026-07-16	oos	0.03388	0.033764	-0.34%	0.033005	-2.58%	0.0243	✓	0.81
2026-07-15	oos	0.033825	0.033701	-0.37%	0.03388	+0.16%	0.0180	✗	0.86
2026-07-14	oos	0.0341	0.034002	-0.29%	0.033825	-0.81%	0.0016	✓	0.86
2026-07-13	oos	0.033925	0.033804	-0.36%	0.0341	+0.52%	0.0302	✓	0.91
2026-07-12	oos	0.035005	0.034819	-0.53%	0.033925	-3.09%	0.0048	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.034775	0.034648	-0.36%	0.035005	+0.66%	0.0107	✗	0.88
2026-07-10	oos	0.0349	0.034725	-0.50%	0.034775	-0.36%	0.0063	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.03361	0.033425	-0.55%	0.0349	+3.84%	0.0303	✗	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	0.033225	0.033063	-0.49%	0.03361	+1.16%	0.0036	✓	0.86
2026-07-07	oos	0.03386	0.033611	-0.74%	0.033225	-1.88%	0.0033	✓	0.86
2026-07-06	oos	0.03386	0.033657	-0.60%	0.03386	+0.00%	0.0152	✗	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.03527	0.035109	-0.46%	0.03386	-4.00%	0.0418	✓	0.85
2026-07-04	oos	0.03527	0.03505	-0.62%	0.03527	+0.00%	0.0005	✓	0.86
2026-07-03	oos	0.03542	0.035073	-0.98%	0.03527	-0.42%	0.0019	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.03445	0.034221	-0.67%	0.03542	+2.82%	0.0207	✗	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.03365	0.033442	-0.62%	0.03445	+2.38%	0.0092	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.03491	0.034747	-0.47%	0.03365	-3.61%	0.0524	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.034985	0.034781	-0.58%	0.03491	-0.21%	0.0273	✗	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.034205	0.034087	-0.34%	0.034985	+2.28%	0.0160	✗	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.03374	0.033631	-0.32%	0.034205	+1.38%	0.0236	✗	0.87
2026-06-26	oos	0.034035	0.033919	-0.34%	0.03374	-0.87%	0.0043	✓	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.03287	0.032794	-0.23%	0.034035	+3.54%	0.0328	✗	0.86
2026-06-24	oos	0.033615	0.03354	-0.22%	0.03287	-2.22%	0.0015	✓	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.036615	0.036484	-0.36%	0.033615	-8.19%	0.0593	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.037115	0.036943	-0.46%	0.036615	-1.35%	0.0083	✗	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.035715	0.035619	-0.27%	0.037115	+3.92%	0.0319	✗	0.82
2026-06-20	oos	0.03611	0.036011	-0.27%	0.035715	-1.09%	0.0041	✗	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.03627	0.036159	-0.31%	0.03611	-0.44%	0.0107	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.036305	0.036214	-0.25%	0.03627	-0.10%	0.0060	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03752	0.037372	-0.40%	0.036305	-3.24%	0.0094	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.03773	0.037556	-0.46%	0.03752	-0.56%	0.0136	✗	0.81
2026-06-15	oos	0.03768	0.03746	-0.58%	0.03773	+0.13%	0.0153	✗	0.81
2026-06-14	oos	0.037605	0.03737	-0.63%	0.03768	+0.20%	0.0013	✓	0.81
2026-06-13	oos	0.03622	0.03615	-0.19%	0.037605	+3.82%	0.0237	✗	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.035945	0.03589	-0.15%	0.03622	+0.77%	0.0020	✓	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.0362	0.036149	-0.14%	0.035945	-0.70%	0.0054	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.03395	0.033961	+0.03%	0.0362	+6.63%	0.0382	✓	0.76
2026-06-09	oos	0.0353	0.035296	-0.01%	0.03395	-3.82%	0.0359	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.03753	0.037461	-0.18%	0.0353	-5.94%	0.0433	✓	0.73
2026-06-07	oos	0.03645	0.036419	-0.09%	0.03753	+2.96%	0.0330	✗	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.03665	0.036678	+0.08%	0.03645	-0.55%	0.0382	✗	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.03783	0.037851	+0.05%	0.03665	-3.12%	0.0297	✗	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.04057	0.040526	-0.11%	0.03783	-6.75%	0.0337	✓	0.79
2026-06-03	oos	0.04371	0.043614	-0.22%	0.04057	-7.18%	0.0695	✓	0.77
2026-06-02	oos	0.04449	0.044401	-0.20%	0.04371	-1.75%	0.0158	✗	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.04831	0.048138	-0.36%	0.04449	-7.91%	0.0325	✓	0.69
2026-05-31	oos	0.046525	0.046376	-0.32%	0.04831	+3.84%	0.0641	✗	0.75
2026-05-30	oos	0.048565	0.048294	-0.56%	0.046525	-4.20%	0.0354	✓	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	0.0488	0.048625	-0.36%	0.048565	-0.48%	0.0052	✓	0.72
2026-05-28	oos	0.048795	0.048566	-0.47%	0.0488	+0.01%	0.0062	✗	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.04745	0.047345	-0.22%	0.048795	+2.83%	0.0380	✗	0.72
2026-05-26	oos	0.048745	0.048599	-0.30%	0.04745	-2.66%	0.0095	✓	0.72
2026-05-25	oos	0.05025	0.050052	-0.39%	0.048745	-3.00%	0.0124	✓	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.05121	0.051055	-0.30%	0.05025	-1.87%	0.0186	✓	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.05229	0.052063	-0.43%	0.05121	-2.07%	0.0198	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.05241	0.052135	-0.52%	0.05229	-0.23%	0.0092	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.05381	0.053526	-0.53%	0.05241	-2.60%	0.0000	✓	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.05157	0.051316	-0.49%	0.05381	+4.34%	0.0467	✗	0.77
2026-05-19	oos	0.0499	0.049644	-0.51%	0.05157	+3.35%	0.0311	✗	0.76
2026-05-18	oos	0.051035	0.050727	-0.60%	0.0499	-2.22%	0.0147	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.05121	0.050662	-1.07%	0.051035	-0.34%	0.0119	✗	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.04589	0.045785	-0.23%	0.05121	+11.59%	0.1190	✗	0.79
2026-05-15	oos	0.04633	0.046095	-0.51%	0.04589	-0.95%	0.0053	✗	0.80
2026-05-14	oos	0.04779	0.047517	-0.57%	0.04633	-3.06%	0.0047	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	0.047315	0.047062	-0.53%	0.04779	+1.00%	0.0027	✓	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.04733	0.04713	-0.42%	0.047315	-0.03%	0.0159	✗	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	0.048525	0.048449	-0.16%	0.04733	-2.46%	0.0116	✓	0.77
2026-05-10	oos	0.049455	0.049372	-0.17%	0.048525	-1.88%	0.0129	✓	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.04786	0.04779	-0.15%	0.049455	+3.33%	0.0199	✗	0.76
2026-05-08	oos	0.04894	0.048779	-0.33%	0.04786	-2.21%	0.0234	✓	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.0471	0.047037	-0.13%	0.04894	+3.91%	0.0379	✗	0.76
2026-05-06	oos	0.04704	0.046958	-0.17%	0.0471	+0.13%	0.0184	✗	0.87
2026-05-05	oos	0.04714	0.047024	-0.25%	0.04704	-0.21%	0.0056	✓	0.91
2026-05-04	oos	0.04624	0.046221	-0.04%	0.04714	+1.95%	0.0079	✗	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.04557	0.045509	-0.13%	0.04624	+1.47%	0.0010	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04565	0.045578	-0.16%	0.04557	-0.18%	0.0013	✓	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.04549	0.045466	-0.05%	0.04565	+0.35%	0.0014	✓	0.95
2026-04-30	oos	0.04543	0.045421	-0.02%	0.04549	+0.13%	0.0219	✓	0.94
2026-04-29	oos	0.04595	0.045885	-0.14%	0.04543	-1.13%	0.0168	✓	0.94
2026-04-28	oos	0.047225	0.047222	-0.01%	0.04595	-2.70%	0.0200	✓	0.98
2026-04-27	oos	0.047815	0.047823	+0.02%	0.047225	-1.23%	0.0008	✓	0.98
2026-04-26	oos	0.048465	0.04846	-0.01%	0.047815	-1.34%	0.0031	✗	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.048825	0.048763	-0.13%	0.048465	-0.74%	0.0188	✓	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.048445	0.048406	-0.08%	0.048825	+0.78%	0.0061	✗	1.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.048575	0.048537	-0.08%	0.048445	-0.27%	0.0087	✗	1.01
2026-04-22	oos	0.047775	0.047707	-0.14%	0.048575	+1.67%	0.0171	✗	1.02
2026-04-21	oos	0.04836	0.04811	-0.52%	0.047775	-1.21%	0.0317	✓	1.03
2026-04-20	oos	0.04868	0.048528	-0.31%	0.04836	-0.66%	0.0100	✓	1.03
2026-04-19	oos	0.04712	0.046927	-0.41%	0.04868	+3.31%	0.0082	✗	1.04
2026-04-18	oos	0.049175	0.04904	-0.27%	0.04712	-4.18%	0.0133	✓	1.04
2026-04-17	oos	0.051505	0.051216	-0.56%	0.049175	-4.52%	0.0221	✓	1.04
2026-04-16	oos	0.04826	0.048103	-0.33%	0.051505	+6.72%	0.0421	✗	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.047365	0.047318	-0.10%	0.04826	+1.89%	0.0152	✗	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.047	0.046928	-0.15%	0.047365	+0.78%	0.0002	✓	1.03
2026-04-13	oos	0.048025	0.047947	-0.16%	0.047	-2.13%	0.0163	✓	1.03
2026-04-12	oos	0.046555	0.04644	-0.25%	0.048025	+3.16%	0.0197	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.04747	0.047399	-0.15%	0.046555	-1.93%	0.0161	✗	1.05
2026-04-10	oos	0.04756	0.047484	-0.16%	0.04747	-0.19%	0.0016	✓	1.05
2026-04-09	oos	0.047155	0.047073	-0.17%	0.04756	+0.86%	0.0071	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.046845	0.046768	-0.16%	0.047155	+0.66%	0.0022	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.047935	0.047825	-0.23%	0.046845	-2.27%	0.0086	✓	1.05
2026-04-06	oos	0.046955	0.046852	-0.22%	0.047935	+2.09%	0.0235	✓	1.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.047035	0.046932	-0.22%	0.046955	-0.17%	0.0028	✗	1.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.04762	0.047485	-0.28%	0.047035	-1.23%	0.0371	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.049055	0.048847	-0.42%	0.04762	-2.93%	0.0309	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.049145	0.048833	-0.63%	0.049055	-0.18%	0.0034	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.04795	0.047802	-0.31%	0.049145	+2.49%	0.0479	✗	1.12
2026-03-31	oos	0.046625	0.046477	-0.32%	0.04795	+2.84%	0.0330	✗	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.04476	0.044671	-0.20%	0.046625	+4.17%	0.0183	✗	1.11
2026-03-29	oos	0.044945	0.044846	-0.22%	0.04476	-0.41%	0.0150	✓	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.04481	0.044726	-0.19%	0.044945	+0.30%	0.0110	✗	1.12
2026-03-27	oos	0.04618	0.046049	-0.28%	0.04481	-2.97%	0.0267	✓	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.04903	0.048929	-0.21%	0.04618	-5.81%	0.0181	✓	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.05073	0.050628	-0.20%	0.04903	-3.35%	0.0082	✗	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.051635	0.0515	-0.26%	0.05073	-1.75%	0.0272	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.051015	0.050893	-0.24%	0.051635	+1.22%	0.0199	✗	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.050285	0.050162	-0.24%	0.051015	+1.45%	0.0330	✓	1.14
2026-03-21	oos	0.050655	0.05054	-0.23%	0.050285	-0.73%	0.0128	✗	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.051575	0.051472	-0.20%	0.050655	-1.78%	0.0100	✗	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.05155	0.051454	-0.19%	0.051575	+0.05%	0.0071	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.053645	0.053525	-0.22%	0.05155	-3.91%	0.0158	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.05554	0.055402	-0.25%	0.053645	-3.41%	0.0112	✗	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	0.056025	0.055858	-0.30%	0.05554	-0.87%	0.0096	✗	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	0.054755	0.054482	-0.50%	0.056025	+2.32%	0.0053	✓	1.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.05436	0.05416	-0.37%	0.054755	+0.73%	0.0157	✓	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.05408	0.053959	-0.22%	0.05436	+0.52%	0.0025	✗	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.054775	0.054642	-0.24%	0.05408	-1.27%	0.0174	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.0551	0.054943	-0.28%	0.054775	-0.59%	0.0086	✓	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.055055	0.054823	-0.42%	0.0551	+0.08%	0.0008	✓	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.05061	0.050455	-0.31%	0.055055	+8.78%	0.0611	✗	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.049545	0.049362	-0.37%	0.05061	+2.15%	0.0187	✓	1.19
2026-03-07	oos	0.05329	0.053146	-0.27%	0.049545	-7.03%	0.0473	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	0.052835	0.0527	-0.25%	0.05329	+0.86%	0.0260	✗	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	0.0539	0.053738	-0.30%	0.052835	-1.98%	0.0309	✗	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.05495	0.054617	-0.61%	0.0539	-1.91%	0.0168	✗	1.20
2026-03-03	oos	0.0539	0.053762	-0.26%	0.05495	+1.95%	0.0551	✓	1.25
2026-03-02	oos	0.055295	0.055131	-0.30%	0.0539	-2.52%	0.0136	✓	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.05467	0.054495	-0.32%	0.055295	+1.14%	0.0426	✓	1.26
2026-02-28	oos	0.05555	0.055329	-0.40%	0.05467	-1.58%	0.0105	✗	1.24
2026-02-27	oos	0.055635	0.055433	-0.36%	0.05555	-0.15%	0.0188	✓	1.25
2026-02-26	oos	0.056585	0.056396	-0.33%	0.055635	-1.68%	0.0171	✗	1.25
2026-02-25	oos	0.05706	0.056845	-0.38%	0.056585	-0.83%	0.0047	✗	1.25
2026-02-24	oos	0.053045	0.052873	-0.33%	0.05706	+7.57%	0.0018	✓	1.25
2026-02-23	oos	0.05339	0.053244	-0.27%	0.053045	-0.65%	0.0069	✗	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.055435	0.055286	-0.27%	0.05339	-3.69%	0.0212	✗	1.24
2026-02-21	oos	0.05691	0.05674	-0.30%	0.055435	-2.59%	0.0171	✓	1.24
2026-02-20	oos	0.05648	0.056323	-0.28%	0.05691	+0.76%	0.0109	✗	1.24
2026-02-19	oos	0.055895	0.055748	-0.26%	0.05648	+1.05%	0.0056	✓	1.24
2026-02-18	oos	0.056555	0.056395	-0.28%	0.055895	-1.17%	0.0193	✓	1.25
2026-02-17	oos	0.05746	0.057299	-0.28%	0.056555	-1.58%	0.0062	✗	1.23
2026-02-16	oos	0.058155	0.057991	-0.28%	0.05746	-1.20%	0.0160	✗	1.24
2026-02-15	oos	0.057145	0.057001	-0.25%	0.058155	+1.77%	0.0189	✗	1.24
2026-02-14	oos	0.06086	0.060622	-0.39%	0.057145	-6.10%	0.0414	✓	1.23
2026-02-13	oos	0.05754	0.057366	-0.30%	0.06086	+5.77%	0.0420	✗	1.22
2026-02-12	oos	0.056635	0.056452	-0.32%	0.05754	+1.60%	0.0286	✓	1.24
2026-02-11	oos	0.05547	0.055284	-0.34%	0.056635	+2.10%	0.0394	✗	1.25
2026-02-10	oos	0.05428	0.054167	-0.21%	0.05547	+2.19%	0.0569	✗	1.27
2026-02-09	oos	0.055225	0.055104	-0.22%	0.05428	-1.71%	0.0086	✗	1.27
2026-02-08	oos	0.055525	0.055397	-0.23%	0.055225	-0.54%	0.0001	✓	1.27
2026-02-07	oos	0.055175	0.055049	-0.23%	0.055525	+0.63%	0.0103	✓	1.28
2026-02-06	oos	0.05691	0.056661	-0.44%	0.055175	-3.05%	0.0033	✓	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.049765	0.049721	-0.09%	0.05691	+14.36%	0.0146	✓	1.29
2026-02-04	oos	0.05809	0.057881	-0.36%	0.049765	-14.33%	0.0694	✗	1.46
2026-02-03	oos	0.05907	0.058844	-0.38%	0.05809	-1.66%	0.0401	✗	1.48
2026-02-02	oos	0.06336	0.062971	-0.61%	0.05907	-6.77%	0.0060	✓	1.49
2026-02-01	oos	0.05406	0.053909	-0.28%	0.06336	+17.20%	0.1291	✗	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.05533	0.055097	-0.42%	0.05406	-2.30%	0.0143	✗	1.48
2026-01-30	oos	0.057685	0.057477	-0.36%	0.05533	-4.08%	0.0674	✗	1.57
2026-01-29	oos	0.057685	0.057449	-0.41%	0.057685	+0.00%	0.0116	✗	1.57
2026-01-28	oos	0.06564	0.065216	-0.65%	0.057685	-12.12%	0.0417	✓	1.51
2026-01-27	oos	0.0742	0.073241	-1.29%	0.06564	-11.54%	0.1103	✓	1.53
2026-01-26	oos	0.072245	0.071163	-1.50%	0.0742	+2.71%	0.0271	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.07789	0.076339	-1.99%	0.072245	-7.25%	0.0855	✓	1.57
2026-01-24	oos	0.09534	0.092096	-3.40%	0.07789	-18.30%	0.1257	✓	1.46
2026-01-23	oos	0.07218	0.070266	-2.65%	0.09534	+32.09%	0.3116	✗	1.46
2026-01-22	oos	0.05231	0.052181	-0.25%	0.07218	+37.99%	0.3243	✗	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	0.052375	0.052254	-0.23%	0.05231	-0.12%	0.0005	✓	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.0505	0.050416	-0.17%	0.052375	+3.71%	0.0211	✗	1.43
2026-01-19	oos	0.05454	0.054397	-0.26%	0.0505	-7.41%	0.0073	✓	1.43
2026-01-18	oos	0.05534	0.055193	-0.27%	0.05454	-1.45%	0.0045	✗	1.42
2026-01-17	oos	0.05924	0.059063	-0.30%	0.05534	-6.58%	0.0432	✓	1.40
2026-01-16	oos	0.05968	0.059491	-0.32%	0.05924	-0.74%	0.0016	✓	1.41
2026-01-15	oos	0.06045	0.060257	-0.32%	0.05968	-1.27%	0.0084	✓	1.41
2026-01-14	oos	0.06351	0.06328	-0.36%	0.06045	-4.82%	0.0258	✓	1.40
2026-01-13	oos	0.06458	0.064324	-0.40%	0.06351	-1.66%	0.0359	✓	1.42
2026-01-12	oos	0.060695	0.060493	-0.33%	0.06458	+6.40%	0.0017	✓	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.063625	0.063338	-0.45%	0.060695	-4.61%	0.0476	✓	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.06391	0.063641	-0.42%	0.063625	-0.45%	0.0082	✓	1.44
2026-01-09	oos	0.065735	0.065383	-0.54%	0.06391	-2.78%	0.0205	✓	1.44
2026-01-08	oos	0.066905	0.066285	-0.93%	0.065735	-1.75%	0.0003	✓	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.06723	0.066705	-0.78%	0.066905	-0.48%	0.0079	✗	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.07016	0.069278	-1.26%	0.06723	-4.18%	0.0162	✗	1.75
2026-01-05	oos	0.06713	0.066699	-0.64%	0.07016	+4.51%	0.0533	✗	1.74
2026-01-04	oos	0.06232	0.061626	-1.11%	0.06713	+7.72%	0.0414	✗	1.72
2026-01-03	oos	0.05887	0.058489	-0.65%	0.06232	+5.86%	0.0466	✗	1.71
2026-01-02	oos	0.05862	0.058247	-0.64%	0.05887	+0.43%	0.0014	✓	1.70
2026-01-01	oos	0.05654	0.056377	-0.29%	0.05862	+3.68%	0.0159	✗	1.69
2025-12-31	oos	0.055285	0.055123	-0.29%	0.05654	+2.27%	0.0017	✓	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.05597	0.055707	-0.47%	0.055285	-1.22%	0.0095	✗	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.05549	0.055268	-0.40%	0.05597	+0.87%	0.0115	✓	1.65
2025-12-28	oos	0.05652	0.056296	-0.40%	0.05549	-1.82%	0.0000	✓	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	0.05792	0.057497	-0.73%	0.05652	-2.42%	0.0184	✓	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	0.055645	0.055552	-0.17%	0.05792	+4.09%	0.0323	✗	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.05553	0.055457	-0.13%	0.055645	+0.21%	0.0011	✓	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.057815	0.057728	-0.15%	0.05553	-3.95%	0.0307	✓	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.058405	0.058317	-0.15%	0.057815	-1.01%	0.0119	✓	1.57
2025-12-22	oos	0.059805	0.059713	-0.15%	0.058405	-2.34%	0.0020	✓	1.57
2025-12-21	oos	0.05937	0.059296	-0.12%	0.059805	+0.73%	0.0100	✗	1.57
2025-12-20	oos	0.060085	0.060021	-0.11%	0.05937	-1.19%	0.0166	✓	1.58
2025-12-19	oos	0.060155	0.060106	-0.08%	0.060085	-0.12%	0.0045	✓	1.58
2025-12-18	oos	0.055325	0.055349	+0.04%	0.060155	+8.73%	0.0362	✓	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.06288	0.062825	-0.09%	0.055325	-12.01%	0.1137	✓	1.54
2025-12-16	oos	0.071135	0.070951	-0.26%	0.06288	-11.60%	0.0923	✓	1.50
2025-12-15	oos	0.07128	0.071141	-0.19%	0.071135	-0.20%	0.0251	✓	1.51
2025-12-14	oos	0.07386	0.07371	-0.20%	0.07128	-3.49%	0.0030	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	0.07598	0.07583	-0.20%	0.07386	-2.79%	0.0092	✗	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.07473	0.074612	-0.16%	0.07598	+1.67%	0.0186	✗	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	0.07647	0.076354	-0.15%	0.07473	-2.28%	0.0164	✗	1.53
2025-12-10	oos	0.07613	0.076038	-0.12%	0.07647	+0.45%	0.0027	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	0.07899	0.078849	-0.18%	0.07613	-3.62%	0.0243	✓	1.52
2025-12-08	oos	0.07802	0.077848	-0.22%	0.07899	+1.24%	0.0192	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	0.07829	0.077974	-0.40%	0.07802	-0.34%	0.0036	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	0.078055	0.077926	-0.17%	0.07829	+0.30%	0.0147	✓	1.53
2025-12-05	oos	0.07697	0.076864	-0.14%	0.078055	+1.41%	0.0167	✗	1.54
2025-12-04	oos	0.080285	0.080157	-0.16%	0.07697	-4.13%	0.0061	✗	1.54
2025-12-03	oos	0.080975	0.080833	-0.18%	0.080285	-0.85%	0.0159	✗	1.55
2025-12-02	oos	0.07936	0.079237	-0.16%	0.080975	+2.04%	0.0144	✓	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.0755	0.075405	-0.13%	0.07936	+5.11%	0.0400	✓	1.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.078158	-0.12%	0.0755	-3.51%	0.0418	✗	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.078775	0.078683	-0.12%	0.07825	-0.67%	0.0028	✗	1.65
2025-11-28	oos	0.07946	0.079359	-0.13%	0.078775	-0.86%	0.0060	✓	1.65
2025-11-27	oos	0.08123	0.08111	-0.15%	0.07946	-2.18%	0.0131	✓	1.65
2025-11-26	oos	0.08201	0.081868	-0.17%	0.08123	-0.95%	0.0232	✓	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.081745	0.081593	-0.19%	0.08201	+0.32%	0.0553	✓	1.71
2025-11-24	oos	0.08123	0.081069	-0.20%	0.081745	+0.63%	0.0266	✗	1.71
2025-11-23	oos	0.07965	0.079511	-0.17%	0.08123	+1.98%	0.0071	✓	1.71
2025-11-22	oos	0.07711	0.077017	-0.12%	0.07965	+3.29%	0.0090	✓	1.72
2025-11-21	oos	0.076	0.07588	-0.16%	0.07711	+1.46%	0.0239	✗	1.72
2025-11-20	oos	0.079975	0.079873	-0.13%	0.076	-4.97%	0.0205	✓	1.71
2025-11-19	oos	0.083305	0.083157	-0.18%	0.079975	-4.00%	0.0597	✗	1.78
2025-11-18	oos	0.085825	0.085616	-0.24%	0.083305	-2.94%	0.0007	✓	1.78
2025-11-17	oos	0.084675	0.084515	-0.19%	0.085825	+1.36%	0.0004	✓	1.79
2025-11-16	oos	0.087205	0.087045	-0.18%	0.084675	-2.90%	0.0127	✗	1.80
2025-11-15	oos	0.087915	0.087788	-0.15%	0.087205	-0.81%	0.0193	✗	1.81
2025-11-14	oos	0.086695	0.086597	-0.11%	0.087915	+1.41%	0.0047	✓	1.81
2025-11-13	oos	0.093305	0.093182	-0.13%	0.086695	-7.08%	0.0251	✗	1.85
2025-11-12	oos	0.097945	0.097778	-0.17%	0.093305	-4.74%	0.0098	✓	1.84
2025-11-11	oos	0.098925	0.098758	-0.17%	0.097945	-0.99%	0.0155	✗	1.77
2025-11-10	oos	0.104335	0.104027	-0.29%	0.098925	-5.19%	0.0000	✓	1.77
2025-11-09	oos	0.10086	0.100665	-0.19%	0.104335	+3.45%	0.0142	✗	1.77
2025-11-08	oos	0.1009	0.100651	-0.25%	0.10086	-0.04%	0.0399	✓	1.80
2025-11-07	oos	0.0989	0.098639	-0.26%	0.1009	+2.02%	0.0398	✗	1.77
2025-11-06	oos	0.090015	0.089872	-0.16%	0.0989	+9.87%	0.0620	✗	1.73
2025-11-05	oos	0.091255	0.091169	-0.09%	0.090015	-1.36%	0.0312	✗	1.75
2025-11-04	oos	0.085255	0.085258	+0.00%	0.091255	+7.04%	0.0276	✓	1.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.092745	0.09274	-0.00%	0.085255	-8.08%	0.0006	✗	1.73
2025-11-02	oos	0.104155	0.104053	-0.10%	0.092745	-10.95%	0.0535	✓	1.68
2025-11-01	oos	0.105	0.104896	-0.10%	0.104155	-0.80%	0.0145	✓	1.69
2025-10-31	oos	0.103525	0.103463	-0.06%	0.105	+1.42%	0.0071	✗	1.68
2025-10-30	oos	0.101955	0.101916	-0.04%	0.103525	+1.54%	0.0036	✓	1.68
2025-10-29	oos	0.107075	0.106979	-0.09%	0.101955	-4.78%	0.0216	✓	1.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.108125	0.10803	-0.09%	0.107075	-0.97%	0.0354	✗	1.72
2025-10-27	oos	0.110265	0.110117	-0.13%	0.108125	-1.94%	0.0004	✓	1.72
2025-10-26	oos	0.111155	0.110977	-0.16%	0.110265	-0.80%	0.0005	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.108175	0.108001	-0.16%	0.111155	+2.75%	0.0156	✓	1.74
2025-10-24	oos	0.108975	0.10878	-0.18%	0.108175	-0.73%	0.0153	✓	1.74
2025-10-23	oos	0.108495	0.108271	-0.21%	0.108975	+0.44%	0.0082	✓	1.75
2025-10-22	oos	0.104775	0.104602	-0.17%	0.108495	+3.55%	0.0040	✓	1.74
2025-10-21	oos	0.105805	0.105597	-0.20%	0.104775	-0.97%	0.0047	✗	1.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.10745	0.107221	-0.21%	0.105805	-1.53%	0.0226	✗	1.78
2025-10-19	oos	0.106295	0.106072	-0.21%	0.10745	+1.09%	0.0179	✓	1.78
2025-10-18	oos	0.103095	0.102947	-0.14%	0.106295	+3.10%	0.0078	✗	1.78
2025-10-17	oos	0.102195	0.102002	-0.19%	0.103095	+0.88%	0.0017	✓	1.77
2025-10-16	oos	0.106325	0.106164	-0.15%	0.102195	-3.88%	0.0095	✓	1.77
2025-10-15	oos	0.110215	0.110068	-0.13%	0.106325	-3.53%	0.0073	✗	1.76
2025-10-14	oos	0.113465	0.113271	-0.17%	0.110215	-2.86%	0.0085	✗	1.77
2025-10-13	oos	0.118965	0.118595	-0.31%	0.113465	-4.62%	0.0101	✓	1.77
2025-10-12	oos	0.11111	0.110987	-0.11%	0.118965	+7.07%	0.0663	✗	1.75
2025-10-11	oos	0.105225	0.105158	-0.06%	0.11111	+5.59%	0.0118	✓	1.76
2025-10-10	oos	0.103165	0.103157	-0.01%	0.105225	+2.00%	0.0552	✗	1.79
2025-10-09	oos	0.139145	0.138975	-0.12%	0.103165	-25.86%	0.2082	✓	1.21
2025-10-08	oos	0.143215	0.143015	-0.14%	0.139145	-2.84%	0.0117	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.142045	0.141791	-0.18%	0.143215	+0.82%	0.0088	✓	1.18
2025-10-06	oos	0.150835	0.150565	-0.18%	0.142045	-5.83%	0.0277	✓	1.13
2025-10-05	oos	0.149505	0.149207	-0.20%	0.150835	+0.89%	0.0000	✓	1.13
2025-10-04	oos	0.150845	0.150561	-0.19%	0.149505	-0.89%	0.0168	✓	1.13
2025-10-03	oos	0.154465	0.154116	-0.23%	0.150845	-2.34%	0.0228	✓	1.13
2025-10-02	oos	0.155515	0.15511	-0.26%	0.154465	-0.68%	0.0201	✓	1.14
2025-10-01	oos	0.155355	0.154861	-0.32%	0.155515	+0.10%	0.0153	✓	1.19
2025-09-30	oos	0.151005	0.150551	-0.30%	0.155355	+2.88%	0.0169	✓	1.22
2025-09-29	oos	0.153365	0.152804	-0.37%	0.151005	-1.54%	0.0086	✓	1.24
2025-09-28	oos	0.154735	0.154174	-0.36%	0.153365	-0.89%	0.0295	✓	1.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.151745	0.151148	-0.39%	0.154735	+1.97%	0.0062	✓	1.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.153365	0.15253	-0.54%	0.151745	-1.06%	0.0050	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.14934	0.148131	-0.81%	0.153365	+2.70%	0.0269	✗	1.30
2025-09-24	oos	0.151035	0.150538	-0.33%	0.14934	-1.12%	0.0456	✗	1.38
2025-09-23	oos	0.150805	0.150288	-0.34%	0.151035	+0.15%	0.0116	✓	1.40
2025-09-22	oos	0.151295	0.15064	-0.43%	0.150805	-0.32%	0.0098	✗	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.162385	0.161609	-0.48%	0.151295	-6.83%	0.0368	✓	1.31
2025-09-20	oos	0.156835	0.15625	-0.37%	0.162385	+3.54%	0.0444	✗	1.44
2025-09-19	oos	0.156755	0.156164	-0.38%	0.156835	+0.05%	0.0035	✓	1.41
2025-09-18	oos	0.15924	0.158612	-0.39%	0.156755	-1.56%	0.0058	✗	1.44

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.