GITCOIN

GITCOIN · · beta_5y

token id: #910
symbol: GITCOIN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,274

Track record at +1d

assessed

396

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0362

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0060

actual +0.0010

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.305135	0.301229	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-20	oos	0.3197	0.312869	-2.14%	0.305135	-4.56%	0.0243	✓	0.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.34262	0.331067	-3.37%	0.3197	-6.69%	0.0389	✓	0.30
2026-10-18	oos	0.262905	0.256266	-2.53%	0.34262	+30.32%	0.2911	✗	0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.236285	0.229876	-2.71%	0.262905	+11.27%	0.1318	✗	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.194295	0.192647	-0.85%	0.236285	+21.61%	0.2047	✗	0.34
2026-10-15	oos	0.19959	0.197215	-1.19%	0.194295	-2.65%	0.0125	✓	0.32
2026-10-14	oos	0.22069	0.217043	-1.65%	0.19959	-9.56%	0.0861	✓	0.34
2026-10-13	oos	0.22483	0.22023	-2.05%	0.22069	-1.84%	0.0084	✓	0.34
2026-10-12	oos	0.28174	0.270562	-3.97%	0.22483	-20.20%	0.1924	✓	0.44
2026-10-11	oos	0.181495	0.179801	-0.93%	0.28174	+55.23%	0.4673	✗	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.18555	0.182703	-1.53%	0.181495	-2.19%	0.0139	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	0.191325	0.188113	-1.68%	0.18555	-3.02%	0.0172	✓	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.21178	0.205831	-2.81%	0.191325	-9.66%	0.0816	✓	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.190335	0.184873	-2.87%	0.21178	+11.27%	0.1530	✗	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.14877	0.146535	-1.50%	0.190335	+27.94%	0.2911	✗	1.10
2026-10-05	oos	0.187335	0.181994	-2.85%	0.14877	-20.59%	0.1990	✓	1.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.17482	0.168989	-3.34%	0.187335	+7.16%	0.1129	✗	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.11475	0.113097	-1.44%	0.17482	+52.35%	0.4166	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.13424	0.13136	-2.15%	0.11475	-14.52%	0.1378	✓	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.143895	0.139377	-3.14%	0.13424	-6.71%	0.0339	✓	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.09422	0.093015	-1.28%	0.143895	+52.72%	0.4244	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.08629	0.085547	-0.86%	0.09422	+9.19%	0.0973	✗	0.78
2026-09-28	oos	0.085545	0.084908	-0.74%	0.08629	+0.87%	0.0143	✗	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.0909	0.090478	-0.46%	0.085545	-5.89%	0.0463	✓	0.81
2026-09-26	oos	0.091	0.090422	-0.63%	0.0909	-0.11%	0.0048	✓	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.092755	0.091507	-1.35%	0.091	-1.89%	0.0087	✓	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.086435	0.086119	-0.37%	0.092755	+7.31%	0.0771	✗	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.083	0.082756	-0.29%	0.086435	+4.14%	0.0434	✗	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.088195	0.087715	-0.54%	0.083	-5.89%	0.0381	✓	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.087215	0.086378	-0.96%	0.088195	+1.12%	0.0245	✗	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.083935	0.083469	-0.55%	0.087215	+3.91%	0.0119	✓	0.86
2026-09-19	oos	0.08571	0.085086	-0.73%	0.083935	-2.07%	0.0128	✓	0.86
2026-09-18	oos	0.081885	0.080948	-1.14%	0.08571	+4.67%	0.0533	✗	0.87
2026-09-17	oos	0.07708	0.076339	-0.96%	0.081885	+6.23%	0.0208	✗	0.86
2026-09-16	oos	0.0758	0.075158	-0.85%	0.07708	+1.69%	0.0230	✗	0.85
2026-09-15	oos	0.07503	0.074493	-0.72%	0.0758	+1.03%	0.0109	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077365	0.076986	-0.49%	0.07503	-3.02%	0.0040	✓	0.88
2026-09-13	oos	0.07788	0.077276	-0.78%	0.077365	-0.66%	0.0145	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.077905	0.077556	-0.45%	0.07788	-0.03%	0.0095	✗	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.07607	0.075858	-0.28%	0.077905	+2.41%	0.0260	✗	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.075515	0.075297	-0.29%	0.07607	+0.73%	0.0024	✓	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.078425	0.078106	-0.41%	0.075515	-3.71%	0.0138	✓	0.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.082695	0.082379	-0.38%	0.078425	-5.16%	0.0472	✓	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.080165	0.079824	-0.42%	0.082695	+3.16%	0.0431	✗	0.95
2026-09-06	oos	0.08248	0.082291	-0.23%	0.080165	-2.81%	0.0114	✓	0.95
2026-09-05	oos	0.08222	0.082012	-0.25%	0.08248	+0.32%	0.0003	✓	0.95
2026-09-04	oos	0.079325	0.079156	-0.21%	0.08222	+3.65%	0.0362	✗	0.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.08127	0.081079	-0.24%	0.079325	-2.39%	0.0038	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.078745	0.078533	-0.27%	0.08127	+3.21%	0.0131	✓	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.07956	0.079176	-0.48%	0.078745	-1.02%	0.0043	✓	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.08127	0.080645	-0.77%	0.07956	-2.10%	0.0002	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.08009	0.079592	-0.62%	0.08127	+1.47%	0.0096	✗	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.083185	0.082931	-0.30%	0.08009	-3.72%	0.0282	✓	0.91
2026-08-28	oos	0.0849	0.084548	-0.41%	0.083185	-2.02%	0.0209	✓	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.08845	0.087655	-0.90%	0.0849	-4.01%	0.0042	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.085315	0.084757	-0.65%	0.08845	+3.67%	0.0287	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.08244	0.081971	-0.57%	0.085315	+3.49%	0.0343	✗	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.08557	0.085219	-0.41%	0.08244	-3.66%	0.0282	✓	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.08864	0.08808	-0.63%	0.08557	-3.46%	0.0432	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.08692	0.086155	-0.88%	0.08864	+1.98%	0.0207	✗	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.09159	0.090708	-0.96%	0.08692	-5.10%	0.0284	✓	0.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.085985	0.08562	-0.43%	0.09159	+6.52%	0.0074	✗	0.85
2026-08-19	oos	0.084035	0.083638	-0.47%	0.085985	+2.32%	0.0170	✓	0.86
2026-08-18	oos	0.08141	0.080995	-0.51%	0.084035	+3.22%	0.0267	✓	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.08341	0.082922	-0.59%	0.08141	-2.40%	0.0213	✓	0.93
2026-08-16	oos	0.085125	0.084557	-0.67%	0.08341	-2.01%	0.0387	✓	0.97
2026-08-15	oos	0.08596	0.085271	-0.80%	0.085125	-0.97%	0.0011	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.084925	0.083804	-1.32%	0.08596	+1.22%	0.0247	✗	0.98
2026-08-13	oos	0.08063	0.080121	-0.63%	0.084925	+5.33%	0.0653	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.081675	0.081188	-0.60%	0.08063	-1.28%	0.0071	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	0.083095	0.082552	-0.65%	0.081675	-1.71%	0.0088	✓	1.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.086115	0.085451	-0.77%	0.083095	-3.51%	0.0216	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.088645	0.08766	-1.11%	0.086115	-2.85%	0.0009	✓	1.16
2026-08-08	oos	0.088445	0.087565	-1.00%	0.088645	+0.23%	0.0133	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.084405	0.083685	-0.85%	0.088445	+4.79%	0.0550	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.08178	0.080963	-1.00%	0.084405	+3.21%	0.0313	✗	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.079185	0.078622	-0.71%	0.08178	+3.28%	0.0450	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.07476	0.074248	-0.69%	0.079185	+5.92%	0.0555	✗	1.04
2026-08-03	oos	0.077655	0.076923	-0.94%	0.07476	-3.73%	0.0383	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.07726	0.076761	-0.65%	0.077655	+0.51%	0.0121	✗	1.03
2026-08-01	oos	0.07626	0.075771	-0.64%	0.07726	+1.31%	0.0076	✗	1.02
2026-07-31	oos	0.07421	0.073773	-0.59%	0.07626	+2.76%	0.0342	✗	1.02
2026-07-30	oos	0.073465	0.073054	-0.56%	0.07421	+1.01%	0.0472	✗	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.073065	0.072669	-0.54%	0.073465	+0.55%	0.0028	✓	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.07689	0.076359	-0.69%	0.073065	-4.97%	0.0449	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.07114	0.070716	-0.60%	0.07689	+8.08%	0.0812	✗	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.068975	0.068678	-0.43%	0.07114	+3.14%	0.0635	✗	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.0688	0.0685	-0.44%	0.068975	+0.25%	0.0104	✓	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.065655	0.065407	-0.38%	0.0688	+4.79%	0.0471	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.06713	0.066884	-0.37%	0.065655	-2.20%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.06796	0.067713	-0.36%	0.06713	-1.22%	0.0069	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.06845	0.068202	-0.36%	0.06796	-0.72%	0.0029	✓	0.99
2026-07-20	oos	0.06732	0.067068	-0.37%	0.06845	+1.68%	0.0019	✓	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.06641	0.066161	-0.37%	0.06732	+1.37%	0.0099	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.06636	0.066088	-0.41%	0.06641	+0.08%	0.0065	✗	0.93
2026-07-17	oos	0.066405	0.066132	-0.41%	0.06636	-0.07%	0.0081	✓	0.82
2026-07-16	oos	0.067165	0.066872	-0.44%	0.066405	-1.13%	0.0085	✓	0.77
2026-07-15	oos	0.06929	0.068972	-0.46%	0.067165	-3.07%	0.0153	✓	0.76
2026-07-14	oos	0.070405	0.069842	-0.80%	0.06929	-1.58%	0.0047	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.0674	0.067047	-0.52%	0.070405	+4.46%	0.0159	✗	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.06919	0.068799	-0.57%	0.0674	-2.59%	0.0026	✓	0.77
2026-07-11	oos	0.068475	0.068157	-0.46%	0.06919	+1.04%	0.0155	✗	0.87
2026-07-10	oos	0.069415	0.068967	-0.65%	0.068475	-1.35%	0.0023	✓	0.88
2026-07-09	oos	0.06843	0.068074	-0.52%	0.069415	+1.44%	0.0064	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.069165	0.068881	-0.41%	0.06843	-1.06%	0.0197	✓	0.88
2026-07-07	oos	0.070535	0.070177	-0.51%	0.069165	-1.94%	0.0005	✓	0.87
2026-07-06	oos	0.074435	0.07387	-0.76%	0.070535	-5.24%	0.0371	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.07528	0.074673	-0.81%	0.074435	-1.12%	0.0086	✓	0.83
2026-07-04	oos	0.07538	0.074913	-0.62%	0.07528	-0.13%	0.0016	✓	0.83
2026-07-03	oos	0.08036	0.07933	-1.28%	0.07538	-6.20%	0.0584	✓	0.81
2026-07-02	oos	0.07374	0.073166	-0.78%	0.08036	+8.98%	0.0808	✗	0.78
2026-07-01	oos	0.073425	0.072545	-1.20%	0.07374	+0.43%	0.0035	✓	0.79
2026-06-30	oos	0.066145	0.065625	-0.79%	0.073425	+11.01%	0.0943	✗	0.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.068145	0.067603	-0.79%	0.066145	-2.93%	0.0015	✓	0.73
2026-06-28	oos	0.06846	0.068084	-0.55%	0.068145	-0.46%	0.0076	✓	0.74
2026-06-27	oos	0.068265	0.067627	-0.94%	0.06846	+0.29%	0.0180	✗	0.74
2026-06-26	oos	0.06861	0.067985	-0.91%	0.068265	-0.50%	0.0049	✓	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.068195	0.06763	-0.83%	0.06861	+0.61%	0.0107	✗	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.06986	0.069289	-0.82%	0.068195	-2.38%	0.0012	✓	0.70
2026-06-23	oos	0.07161	0.071059	-0.77%	0.06986	-2.44%	0.0029	✓	0.74
2026-06-22	oos	0.07623	0.075887	-0.45%	0.07161	-6.06%	0.0435	✓	0.70
2026-06-21	oos	0.075245	0.074901	-0.46%	0.07623	+1.31%	0.0098	✗	0.70
2026-06-20	oos	0.07835	0.077902	-0.57%	0.075245	-3.96%	0.0242	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.075955	0.075335	-0.82%	0.07835	+3.15%	0.0315	✗	0.66
2026-06-18	oos	0.076205	0.075836	-0.48%	0.075955	-0.33%	0.0049	✓	0.68
2026-06-17	oos	0.080185	0.079685	-0.62%	0.076205	-4.96%	0.0288	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	0.082235	0.081577	-0.80%	0.080185	-2.49%	0.0057	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	0.08092	0.079841	-1.33%	0.082235	+1.63%	0.0360	✗	0.65
2026-06-14	oos	0.081315	0.080216	-1.35%	0.08092	-0.49%	0.0031	✓	0.65
2026-06-13	oos	0.07894	0.077984	-1.21%	0.081315	+3.01%	0.0296	✗	0.62
2026-06-12	oos	0.07697	0.076163	-1.05%	0.07894	+2.56%	0.0274	✗	0.61
2026-06-11	oos	0.0787	0.078358	-0.43%	0.07697	-2.20%	0.0176	✓	0.61
2026-06-10	oos	0.072485	0.072273	-0.29%	0.0787	+8.57%	0.0677	✗	0.52
2026-06-09	oos	0.07651	0.07622	-0.38%	0.072485	-5.26%	0.0481	✓	0.54
2026-06-07	oos	0.07432	0.074111	-0.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.0741	0.07392	-0.24%	0.07432	+0.30%	0.0185	✓	0.60
2026-06-05	oos	0.07737	0.077125	-0.32%	0.0741	-4.23%	0.0382	✓	0.60
2026-06-04	oos	0.08171	0.081299	-0.50%	0.07737	-5.31%	0.0242	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.08873	0.088311	-0.47%	0.08171	-7.91%	0.0755	✓	0.59
2026-06-02	oos	0.08961	0.089171	-0.49%	0.08873	-0.98%	0.0196	✗	0.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.09889	0.098213	-0.68%	0.08961	-9.38%	0.0621	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.094545	0.09402	-0.55%	0.09889	+4.60%	0.0656	✗	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.09347	0.092952	-0.55%	0.094545	+1.15%	0.0182	✗	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.092475	0.092004	-0.51%	0.09347	+1.08%	0.0131	✗	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.09348	0.092985	-0.53%	0.092475	-1.08%	0.0046	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.09646	0.095876	-0.60%	0.09348	-3.09%	0.0201	✓	0.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.093435	0.092812	-0.67%	0.09646	+3.24%	0.0486	✗	0.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.09847	0.097894	-0.59%	0.093435	-5.11%	0.0369	✓	0.52
2026-05-24	oos	0.10152	0.100885	-0.63%	0.09847	-3.00%	0.0261	✓	0.52
2026-05-23	oos	0.109445	0.108564	-0.80%	0.10152	-7.24%	0.0694	✓	0.54
2026-05-22	oos	0.10947	0.108229	-1.13%	0.109445	-0.02%	0.0024	✓	0.55
2026-05-21	oos	0.108555	0.107688	-0.80%	0.10947	+0.84%	0.0320	✗	0.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.104355	0.103494	-0.82%	0.108555	+4.02%	0.0472	✗	0.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.10251	0.101625	-0.86%	0.104355	+1.80%	0.0214	✗	0.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.095495	0.094938	-0.58%	0.10251	+7.35%	0.0781	✗	0.58
2026-05-17	oos	0.09797	0.097319	-0.66%	0.095495	-2.53%	0.0154	✓	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.10234	0.101242	-1.07%	0.09797	-4.27%	0.0276	✓	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.10441	0.103079	-1.27%	0.10234	-1.98%	0.0001	✓	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.11545	0.113586	-1.61%	0.10441	-9.56%	0.0709	✓	0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.11943	0.117804	-1.36%	0.11545	-3.33%	0.0333	✓	0.59
2026-05-12	oos	0.1365	0.133697	-2.05%	0.11943	-12.51%	0.1049	✓	0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.177745	0.170865	-3.87%	0.1365	-23.20%	0.2181	✓	0.42
2026-05-10	oos	0.10148	0.10051	-0.96%	0.177745	+75.15%	0.5731	✗	0.52
2026-05-09	oos	0.10086	0.099677	-1.17%	0.10148	+0.61%	0.0080	✓	0.52
2026-05-07	oos	0.092805	0.092208	-0.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-05-06	oos	0.09127	0.090736	-0.58%	0.092805	+1.68%	0.0339	✗	0.64
2026-05-05	oos	0.088365	0.087953	-0.47%	0.09127	+3.29%	0.0322	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.09352	0.092995	-0.56%	0.088365	-5.51%	0.0608	✓	0.74
2026-05-03	oos	0.09292	0.092422	-0.54%	0.09352	+0.65%	0.0004	✓	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	0.09292	0.09239	-0.57%	0.09292	+0.00%	0.0069	✗	0.76
2026-04-30	oos	0.093425	0.092947	-0.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-04-29	oos	0.093435	0.092978	-0.49%	0.093425	-0.01%	0.0010	✓	0.80
2026-04-28	oos	0.095645	0.095147	-0.52%	0.093435	-2.31%	0.0120	✓	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.09717	0.096643	-0.54%	0.095645	-1.57%	0.0008	✓	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.09153	0.091151	-0.41%	0.09717	+6.16%	0.0780	✗	0.83
2026-04-25	oos	0.094655	0.094177	-0.50%	0.09153	-3.30%	0.0396	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.116335	0.115207	-0.97%	0.094655	-18.64%	0.1986	✓	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.109425	0.108454	-0.89%	0.116335	+6.31%	0.0794	✗	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.102415	0.101614	-0.78%	0.109425	+6.84%	0.0732	✗	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.10705	0.1061	-0.89%	0.102415	-4.33%	0.0570	✓	0.90
2026-04-20	oos	0.11432	0.113129	-1.04%	0.10705	-6.36%	0.0610	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.109585	0.108322	-1.15%	0.11432	+4.32%	0.0286	✗	0.93
2026-04-18	oos	0.097545	0.096803	-0.76%	0.109585	+12.34%	0.1486	✗	0.96
2026-04-17	oos	0.0899	0.08937	-0.59%	0.097545	+8.50%	0.1051	✗	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.08841	0.0878	-0.69%	0.0899	+1.69%	0.0014	✓	0.99
2026-04-15	oos	0.08242	0.081961	-0.56%	0.08841	+7.27%	0.0715	✗	0.98
2026-04-14	oos	0.07959	0.079187	-0.51%	0.08242	+3.56%	0.0314	✗	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.08342	0.082863	-0.67%	0.07959	-4.59%	0.0368	✓	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.07559	0.075228	-0.48%	0.08342	+10.36%	0.0544	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.078515	0.078093	-0.54%	0.07559	-3.73%	0.0015	✓	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.07798	0.077577	-0.52%	0.078515	+0.69%	0.0109	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.07821	0.077816	-0.50%	0.07798	-0.29%	0.0138	✓	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.07942	0.079008	-0.52%	0.07821	-1.52%	0.0198	✓	0.96
2026-04-07	oos	0.08039	0.079914	-0.59%	0.07942	-1.21%	0.0049	✓	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.07956	0.079083	-0.60%	0.08039	+1.04%	0.0263	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.07457	0.074226	-0.46%	0.07956	+6.69%	0.0716	✗	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.0766	0.076206	-0.51%	0.07457	-2.65%	0.0468	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.07325	0.072952	-0.41%	0.0766	+4.57%	0.0439	✗	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.0744	0.074099	-0.40%	0.07325	-1.55%	0.0125	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.07843	0.078049	-0.49%	0.0744	-5.14%	0.0299	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.07749	0.077145	-0.45%	0.07843	+1.21%	0.0181	✗	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	0.07634	0.076039	-0.39%	0.07749	+1.51%	0.0034	✓	1.01
2026-03-29	oos	0.07582	0.075558	-0.35%	0.07634	+0.69%	0.0016	✓	1.01
2026-03-28	oos	0.07925	0.078937	-0.40%	0.07582	-4.33%	0.0347	✓	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.07896	0.07868	-0.35%	0.07925	+0.37%	0.0077	✗	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.07768	0.077499	-0.23%	0.07896	+1.65%	0.0558	✗	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.0836	0.083372	-0.27%	0.07768	-7.08%	0.0336	✓	1.03
2026-03-24	oos	0.08545	0.085158	-0.34%	0.0836	-2.17%	0.0296	✓	1.03
2026-03-23	oos	0.08246	0.08225	-0.25%	0.08545	+3.63%	0.0431	✗	1.03
2026-03-22	oos	0.08039	0.080189	-0.25%	0.08246	+2.57%	0.0175	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.07959	0.079459	-0.16%	0.08039	+1.01%	0.0279	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.083455	0.083318	-0.16%	0.07959	-4.63%	0.0222	✓	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.089	0.088778	-0.25%	0.083455	-6.23%	0.0705	✓	1.05
2026-03-18	oos	0.09065	0.090432	-0.24%	0.089	-1.82%	0.0040	✗	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.09312	0.092888	-0.25%	0.09065	-2.65%	0.0152	✗	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.09414	0.093891	-0.26%	0.09312	-1.08%	0.0055	✗	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09439	0.094128	-0.28%	0.09414	-0.26%	0.0298	✓	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.09464	0.094373	-0.28%	0.09439	-0.26%	0.0238	✓	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.0955	0.095194	-0.32%	0.09464	-0.90%	0.0103	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.108195	0.107218	-0.90%	0.0955	-11.73%	0.1222	✓	1.10
2026-03-11	oos	0.09188	0.091528	-0.38%	0.108195	+17.76%	0.1623	✗	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.08344	0.083253	-0.22%	0.09188	+10.12%	0.0948	✗	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.08216	0.081972	-0.23%	0.08344	+1.56%	0.0061	✓	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.078635	0.07848	-0.20%	0.08216	+4.48%	0.0061	✗	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.07856	0.078444	-0.15%	0.078635	+0.10%	0.0236	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.08108	0.080961	-0.15%	0.07856	-3.11%	0.0165	✓	1.08
2026-03-05	oos	0.08471	0.084575	-0.16%	0.08108	-4.29%	0.0013	✓	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.08731	0.087139	-0.20%	0.08471	-2.98%	0.0009	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.08708	0.086895	-0.21%	0.08731	+0.26%	0.0659	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.08459	0.084452	-0.16%	0.08708	+2.94%	0.0389	✗	1.14
2026-03-01	oos	0.08345	0.083302	-0.18%	0.08459	+1.37%	0.0363	✓	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.08748	0.087312	-0.19%	0.08345	-4.61%	0.0245	✓	1.15
2026-02-27	oos	0.08944	0.089236	-0.23%	0.08748	-2.19%	0.0392	✓	1.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.09121	0.090991	-0.24%	0.08944	-1.94%	0.0112	✗	1.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0915	0.091271	-0.25%	0.09121	-0.32%	0.0079	✗	1.16
2026-02-24	oos	0.08644	0.086257	-0.21%	0.0915	+5.85%	0.0107	✓	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.08701	0.086846	-0.19%	0.08644	-0.66%	0.0054	✗	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09035	0.090182	-0.19%	0.08701	-3.70%	0.0171	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.093555	0.093344	-0.23%	0.09035	-3.43%	0.0268	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.09345	0.09325	-0.21%	0.093555	+0.11%	0.0038	✗	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.09335	0.093161	-0.20%	0.09345	+0.11%	0.0144	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.09564	0.095431	-0.22%	0.09335	-2.39%	0.0318	✓	1.17
2026-02-17	oos	0.10139	0.10109	-0.30%	0.09564	-5.67%	0.0383	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.104625	0.104256	-0.35%	0.10139	-3.09%	0.0055	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.10273	0.102395	-0.33%	0.104625	+1.84%	0.0205	✗	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	0.1054	0.104985	-0.39%	0.10273	-2.53%	0.0060	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.10411	0.103678	-0.41%	0.1054	+1.24%	0.0011	✓	1.10
2026-02-12	oos	0.09806	0.09771	-0.36%	0.10411	+6.17%	0.0216	✗	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.09563	0.095374	-0.27%	0.09806	+2.54%	0.0409	✗	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.09579	0.095545	-0.26%	0.09563	-0.17%	0.0292	✗	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.09841	0.098125	-0.29%	0.09579	-2.66%	0.0039	✓	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.0974	0.097142	-0.26%	0.09841	+1.04%	0.0157	✗	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.10021	0.099849	-0.36%	0.0974	-2.80%	0.0411	✓	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.101	0.100567	-0.43%	0.10021	-0.78%	0.0166	✗	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.0899	0.08989	-0.01%	0.101	+12.35%	0.0131	✓	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.10425	0.103883	-0.35%	0.0899	-13.76%	0.0417	✗	1.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.1073	0.10686	-0.41%	0.10425	-2.84%	0.0198	✗	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.1112	0.110622	-0.52%	0.1073	-3.51%	0.0190	✗	1.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.1046	0.10426	-0.33%	0.1112	+6.31%	0.0380	✗	1.16
2026-01-31	oos	0.1058	0.105489	-0.29%	0.1046	-1.13%	0.0190	✗	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	0.1176	0.117083	-0.44%	0.1058	-10.03%	0.0222	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.1196	0.119099	-0.42%	0.1176	-1.67%	0.0070	✓	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.1301	0.12935	-0.58%	0.1196	-8.07%	0.0167	✓	1.15
2026-01-27	oos	0.1314	0.13062	-0.59%	0.1301	-0.99%	0.0046	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.1307	0.129932	-0.59%	0.1314	+0.54%	0.0002	✓	1.17
2026-01-25	oos	0.12455	0.124013	-0.43%	0.1307	+4.94%	0.0301	✗	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.1358	0.134954	-0.62%	0.12455	-8.28%	0.0479	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.1314	0.130718	-0.52%	0.1358	+3.35%	0.0431	✗	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.1265	0.12603	-0.37%	0.1314	+3.87%	0.0416	✗	1.13
2026-01-21	oos	0.1297	0.129188	-0.39%	0.1265	-2.47%	0.0223	✓	1.13
2026-01-20	oos	0.1263	0.125939	-0.29%	0.1297	+2.69%	0.0160	✗	1.13
2026-01-19	oos	0.1382	0.137663	-0.39%	0.1263	-8.61%	0.0349	✓	1.09
2026-01-18	oos	0.1387	0.138254	-0.32%	0.1382	-0.36%	0.0123	✗	1.10
2026-01-17	oos	0.1472	0.146541	-0.45%	0.1387	-5.77%	0.0382	✓	1.07
2026-01-16	oos	0.1408	0.140344	-0.32%	0.1472	+4.55%	0.0522	✗	1.08
2026-01-15	oos	0.1368	0.136481	-0.23%	0.1408	+2.92%	0.0321	✗	1.08
2026-01-14	oos	0.1429	0.142493	-0.29%	0.1368	-4.27%	0.0256	✓	1.07
2026-01-13	oos	0.1487	0.147983	-0.48%	0.1429	-3.90%	0.0530	✓	1.11
2026-01-12	oos	0.1361	0.135628	-0.35%	0.1487	+9.26%	0.0445	✗	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.1414	0.14084	-0.40%	0.1361	-3.75%	0.0380	✓	1.08
2026-01-10	oos	0.1427	0.142131	-0.40%	0.1414	-0.91%	0.0111	✓	1.09
2026-01-09	oos	0.1446	0.144005	-0.41%	0.1427	-1.31%	0.0073	✓	1.14
2026-01-08	oos	0.1451	0.14448	-0.43%	0.1446	-0.34%	0.0070	✗	1.10
2026-01-07	oos	0.1457	0.145107	-0.41%	0.1451	-0.41%	0.0042	✗	1.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.1516	0.150888	-0.47%	0.1457	-3.89%	0.0049	✗	1.51
2026-01-05	oos	0.1541	0.153281	-0.53%	0.1516	-1.62%	0.0086	✓	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.1497	0.148956	-0.50%	0.1541	+2.94%	0.0053	✓	1.53
2026-01-03	oos	0.1473	0.146582	-0.49%	0.1497	+1.63%	0.0060	✗	1.53
2026-01-02	oos	0.1445	0.143805	-0.48%	0.1473	+1.94%	0.0132	✗	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.1407	0.14004	-0.47%	0.1445	+2.70%	0.0107	✗	1.52
2025-12-31	oos	0.1303	0.129883	-0.32%	0.1407	+7.98%	0.0591	✗	1.49
2025-12-30	oos	0.1337	0.133227	-0.35%	0.1303	-2.54%	0.0070	✓	1.49
2025-12-29	oos	0.1317	0.131263	-0.33%	0.1337	+1.52%	0.0039	✓	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.1333	0.132832	-0.35%	0.1317	-1.20%	0.0047	✗	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.1347	0.134144	-0.41%	0.1333	-1.04%	0.0075	✓	1.48
2025-12-26	oos	0.1287	0.128262	-0.34%	0.1347	+4.66%	0.0404	✗	1.46
2025-12-25	oos	0.1252	0.12484	-0.29%	0.1287	+2.80%	0.0284	✗	1.46
2025-12-24	oos	0.1287	0.128278	-0.33%	0.1252	-2.72%	0.0170	✓	1.47
2025-12-23	oos	0.1291	0.128657	-0.34%	0.1287	-0.31%	0.0027	✓	1.49
2025-12-22	oos	0.1286	0.128168	-0.34%	0.1291	+0.39%	0.0264	✗	1.49
2025-12-21	oos	0.126	0.125623	-0.30%	0.1286	+2.06%	0.0248	✗	1.49
2025-12-20	oos	0.1281	0.127669	-0.34%	0.126	-1.64%	0.0186	✓	1.51
2025-12-19	oos	0.1271	0.126666	-0.34%	0.1281	+0.79%	0.0073	✗	1.51
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.118996	-0.25%	0.1271	+6.54%	0.0205	✗	1.50
2025-12-17	oos	0.122	0.12169	-0.25%	0.1193	-2.21%	0.0067	✓	1.51
2025-12-16	oos	0.126	0.125671	-0.26%	0.122	-3.17%	0.0011	✓	1.51
2025-12-15	oos	0.12745	0.127111	-0.27%	0.126	-1.14%	0.0339	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.12835	0.12806	-0.23%	0.12745	-0.70%	0.0261	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.1368	0.136427	-0.27%	0.12835	-6.18%	0.0254	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.1387	0.138309	-0.28%	0.1368	-1.37%	0.0106	✓	1.53
2025-12-11	oos	0.1407	0.140315	-0.27%	0.1387	-1.42%	0.0267	✗	1.54
2025-12-10	oos	0.1427	0.142297	-0.28%	0.1407	-1.40%	0.0198	✓	1.55
2025-12-09	oos	0.1517	0.151027	-0.44%	0.1427	-5.93%	0.0459	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	0.14445	0.143977	-0.33%	0.1517	+5.02%	0.0187	✗	1.51
2025-12-07	oos	0.1409	0.140499	-0.28%	0.14445	+2.52%	0.0235	✗	1.51
2025-12-06	oos	0.1435	0.143036	-0.32%	0.1409	-1.81%	0.0343	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	0.1362	0.13588	-0.23%	0.1435	+5.36%	0.0559	✗	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	0.1435	0.143093	-0.28%	0.1362	-5.09%	0.0033	✓	1.52
2025-12-03	oos	0.1448	0.144418	-0.26%	0.1435	-0.90%	0.0160	✗	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	0.143	0.142654	-0.24%	0.1448	+1.26%	0.0209	✓	1.54
2025-12-01	oos	0.14	0.139704	-0.21%	0.143	+2.14%	0.0695	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	0.1531	0.15266	-0.29%	0.14	-8.56%	0.0118	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	0.1539	0.153455	-0.29%	0.1531	-0.52%	0.0058	✗	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.1578	0.157285	-0.33%	0.1539	-2.47%	0.0204	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	0.1612	0.160595	-0.38%	0.1578	-2.11%	0.0102	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.1578	0.157223	-0.37%	0.1612	+2.15%	0.0097	✗	1.63
2025-11-25	oos	0.1562	0.155686	-0.33%	0.1578	+1.02%	0.0467	✓	1.70
2025-11-24	oos	0.1593	0.158714	-0.37%	0.1562	-1.95%	0.0023	✓	1.70
2025-11-23	oos	0.1603	0.159619	-0.42%	0.1593	-0.62%	0.0307	✓	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.156	0.155372	-0.40%	0.1603	+2.76%	0.0123	✓	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.154	0.153426	-0.37%	0.156	+1.30%	0.0246	✗	1.75
2025-11-20	oos	0.1607	0.159949	-0.47%	0.154	-4.17%	0.0079	✓	1.75
2025-11-19	oos	0.155	0.154448	-0.36%	0.1607	+3.68%	0.1471	✗	1.94
2025-11-18	oos	0.16	0.159373	-0.39%	0.155	-3.12%	0.0024	✓	1.92
2025-11-17	oos	0.159	0.158414	-0.37%	0.16	+0.63%	0.0070	✓	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.1628	0.162169	-0.39%	0.159	-2.33%	0.0224	✗	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.1658	0.16512	-0.41%	0.1628	-1.81%	0.0132	✗	1.90
2025-11-14	oos	0.1648	0.164184	-0.37%	0.1658	+0.61%	0.0111	✓	1.91
2025-11-13	oos	0.1699	0.169278	-0.37%	0.1648	-3.00%	0.0795	✗	2.02
2025-11-12	oos	0.1754	0.17473	-0.38%	0.1699	-3.14%	0.0129	✗	2.03
2025-11-11	oos	0.1778	0.177113	-0.39%	0.1754	-1.35%	0.0181	✗	2.07
2025-11-10	oos	0.1908	0.189878	-0.48%	0.1778	-6.81%	0.0008	✓	2.28
2025-11-09	oos	0.18975	0.188741	-0.53%	0.1908	+0.55%	0.0173	✓	2.31
2025-11-08	oos	0.1872	0.186171	-0.55%	0.18975	+1.36%	0.0354	✓	2.34
2025-11-07	oos	0.1896	0.188409	-0.63%	0.1872	-1.27%	0.0158	✗	2.29
2025-11-06	oos	0.1712	0.170456	-0.43%	0.1896	+10.75%	0.0624	✗	2.26
2025-11-05	oos	0.1747	0.173876	-0.47%	0.1712	-2.00%	0.0417	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.1662	0.165567	-0.38%	0.1747	+5.11%	0.0005	✓	2.28
2025-11-03	oos	0.1627	0.162206	-0.30%	0.1662	+2.15%	0.1458	✗	2.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.1818	0.18103	-0.42%	0.1627	-10.51%	0.0165	✓	2.46
2025-11-01	oos	0.1838	0.183026	-0.42%	0.1818	-1.09%	0.0175	✓	2.46
2025-10-31	oos	0.1805	0.179845	-0.36%	0.1838	+1.83%	0.0106	✗	2.47
2025-10-30	oos	0.1788	0.17823	-0.32%	0.1805	+0.95%	0.0157	✓	2.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.1883	0.187575	-0.39%	0.1788	-5.05%	0.0094	✓	2.44
2025-10-28	oos	0.1962	0.195427	-0.39%	0.1883	-4.03%	0.0266	✗	2.47
2025-10-27	oos	0.2055	0.204632	-0.42%	0.1962	-4.53%	0.0164	✓	2.46
2025-10-26	oos	0.214	0.212926	-0.50%	0.2055	-3.97%	0.0256	✓	2.46
2025-10-25	oos	0.2071	0.206164	-0.45%	0.214	+3.33%	0.0265	✓	2.51
2025-10-24	oos	0.20795	0.207	-0.46%	0.2071	-0.41%	0.0136	✓	2.51
2025-10-23	oos	0.2065	0.205612	-0.43%	0.20795	+0.70%	0.0098	✓	2.52
2025-10-22	oos	0.2004	0.199712	-0.34%	0.2065	+3.04%	0.0254	✓	2.53
2025-10-21	oos	0.2095	0.208684	-0.39%	0.2004	-4.34%	0.0223	✓	2.53
2025-10-20	oos	0.2176	0.21661	-0.46%	0.2095	-3.72%	0.0181	✗	2.55
2025-10-19	oos	0.22035	0.219212	-0.52%	0.2176	-1.25%	0.0510	✓	2.53
2025-10-18	oos	0.2146	0.213641	-0.45%	0.22035	+2.68%	0.0035	✓	2.53
2025-10-17	oos	0.2137	0.2128	-0.42%	0.2146	+0.42%	0.0092	✓	2.52
2025-10-16	oos	0.2164	0.215575	-0.38%	0.2137	-1.25%	0.0323	✗	2.54
2025-10-15	oos	0.2265	0.225502	-0.44%	0.2164	-4.46%	0.0194	✗	2.55
2025-10-14	oos	0.2356	0.234435	-0.49%	0.2265	-3.86%	0.0173	✗	2.56
2025-10-13	oos	0.24855	0.247033	-0.61%	0.2356	-5.21%	0.0018	✓	2.54
2025-10-12	oos	0.2306	0.229467	-0.49%	0.24855	+7.78%	0.0755	✗	2.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.212	0.211366	-0.30%	0.2306	+8.77%	0.0073	✓	2.48
2025-10-10	oos	0.20085	0.20061	-0.12%	0.212	+5.55%	0.1058	✗	2.55
2025-10-09	oos	0.2782	0.277108	-0.39%	0.20085	-27.80%	0.1676	✓	2.07
2025-10-08	oos	0.28345	0.28224	-0.43%	0.2782	-1.85%	0.0130	✗	2.07
2025-10-07	oos	0.2716	0.270752	-0.31%	0.28345	+4.36%	0.0128	✗	2.07
2025-10-06	oos	0.2847	0.283618	-0.38%	0.2716	-4.60%	0.0132	✗	2.09
2025-10-05	oos	0.2785	0.277577	-0.33%	0.2847	+2.23%	0.0051	✗	2.09
2025-10-04	oos	0.2827	0.28163	-0.38%	0.2785	-1.49%	0.0292	✓	2.09
2025-10-03	oos	0.2881	0.286802	-0.45%	0.2827	-1.87%	0.0168	✓	2.09
2025-10-02	oos	0.28665	0.285265	-0.48%	0.2881	+0.51%	0.0195	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.2778	0.276558	-0.45%	0.28665	+3.19%	0.0008	✓	2.13
2025-09-30	oos	0.2555	0.254736	-0.30%	0.2778	+8.73%	0.0028	✓	2.13
2025-09-29	oos	0.2643	0.26345	-0.32%	0.2555	-3.33%	0.0250	✓	2.17
2025-09-28	oos	0.2784	0.277205	-0.43%	0.2643	-5.06%	0.0911	✓	2.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.275	0.273883	-0.41%	0.2784	+1.24%	0.0360	✓	2.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.2823	0.28105	-0.44%	0.275	-2.59%	0.0214	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.2714	0.270526	-0.32%	0.2823	+4.02%	0.0286	✗	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.299	0.297809	-0.40%	0.2714	-9.23%	0.0040	✓	2.29
2025-09-23	oos	0.3021	0.300916	-0.39%	0.299	-1.03%	0.0337	✓	2.32
2025-09-22	oos	0.3062	0.305089	-0.36%	0.3021	-1.34%	0.0048	✗	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.33405	0.332527	-0.46%	0.3062	-8.34%	0.0324	✓	2.24
2025-09-20	oos	0.3417	0.340114	-0.46%	0.33405	-2.24%	0.0088	✓	2.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.3364	0.33501	-0.41%	0.3417	+1.58%	0.0186	✗	2.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.36885	0.366758	-0.57%	0.3364	-8.80%	0.0588	✓	2.25
2025-09-17	oos	0.3637	0.361646	-0.56%	0.36885	+1.42%	0.0075	✗	2.25
2025-09-16	oos	0.35105	0.349302	-0.50%	0.3637	+3.60%	0.0471	✗	2.26
2025-09-15	oos	0.34875	0.34706	-0.48%	0.35105	+0.66%	0.0170	✓	2.27
2025-09-14	oos	0.3584	0.356537	-0.52%	0.34875	-2.69%	0.0234	✓	2.26

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.