FOGO

Fogo · native · beta_5y

token id: #231
symbol: FOGO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 816

Track record at +30d

assessed

242

of 272 predictions shown

direction hit

85.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2193

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0368

actual -0.2378

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.00429	0.004169	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-21	oos	0.004217	0.004081	-3.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	0.004277	0.004136	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	0.003851	0.003755	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-18	oos	0.003825	0.003747	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-17	oos	0.004002	0.003898	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-16	oos	0.004275	0.004129	-3.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.004328	0.004226	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-14	oos	0.004691	0.00453	-3.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.004626	0.004539	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	0.004527	0.004437	-1.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	0.004822	0.00477	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.00483	0.004778	-1.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.004737	0.004642	-1.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.004643	0.004555	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.005002	0.004991	-0.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-06	oos	0.005411	0.005446	+0.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-05	oos	0.005498	0.005598	+1.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-04	oos	0.005194	0.005329	+2.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	0.005281	0.005386	+1.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-02	oos	0.005264	0.005358	+1.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	0.005278	0.00535	+1.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.005272	0.005323	+0.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-29	oos	0.005346	0.005435	+1.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-09-28	oos	0.005258	0.005376	+2.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.005724	0.005884	+2.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-09-26	oos	0.006028	0.006164	+2.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.006524	0.006611	+1.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-24	oos	0.006392	0.00653	+2.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.006317	0.006462	+2.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.007283	0.007386	+1.42%	0.00429	-41.10%	0.5177	✗	1.11
2026-09-21	oos	0.006888	0.00703	+2.05%	0.004217	-38.78%	0.4602	✗	1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.006554	0.006549	-0.08%	0.004277	-34.74%	0.4507	✓	1.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.006693	0.006712	+0.28%	0.003851	-42.47%	0.5641	✗	1.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.00689	0.006838	-0.76%	0.003825	-44.49%	0.5970	✓	1.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.006279	0.006091	-2.99%	0.004002	-36.26%	0.4895	✓	1.09
2026-09-16	oos	0.005947	0.005793	-2.58%	0.004275	-28.12%	0.3775	✓	1.08
2026-09-15	oos	0.006045	0.005863	-3.02%	0.004328	-28.40%	0.3902	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.006344	0.006254	-1.40%	0.004691	-26.05%	0.3318	✓	1.04
2026-09-13	oos	0.006437	0.006258	-2.77%	0.004626	-28.13%	0.3847	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.00652	0.006401	-1.82%	0.004527	-30.56%	0.4057	✓	1.05
2026-09-11	oos	0.00645	0.006358	-1.41%	0.004822	-25.24%	0.3613	✓	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	0.006153	0.006081	-1.17%	0.00483	-21.50%	0.3146	✓	1.05
2026-09-09	oos	0.006489	0.006416	-1.12%	0.004737	-27.00%	0.3585	✓	1.04
2026-09-08	oos	0.007147	0.006992	-2.17%	0.004643	-35.04%	0.4547	✓	1.12
2026-09-07	oos	0.007177	0.007083	-1.30%	0.005002	-30.31%	0.4061	✓	1.13
2026-09-06	oos	0.007193	0.007206	+0.19%	0.005411	-24.77%	0.3561	✗	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.007146	0.007193	+0.66%	0.005498	-23.05%	0.3482	✗	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.007173	0.007266	+1.29%	0.005194	-27.59%	0.4249	✗	1.08
2026-09-03	oos	0.007119	0.007373	+3.57%	0.005281	-25.81%	0.3798	✗	1.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.007049	0.007136	+1.23%	0.005264	-25.32%	0.4130	✗	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	0.007102	0.007164	+0.88%	0.005278	-25.69%	0.4196	✗	1.24
2026-08-31	oos	0.007286	0.007511	+3.09%	0.005272	-27.64%	0.4229	✗	1.12
2026-08-30	oos	0.007177	0.007494	+4.41%	0.005346	-25.52%	0.4202	✗	1.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.007514	0.007963	+5.98%	0.005258	-30.02%	0.4816	✗	1.03
2026-08-28	oos	0.007463	0.007961	+6.68%	0.005724	-23.30%	0.4140	✗	1.03
2026-08-27	oos	0.009358	0.009747	+4.15%	0.006028	-35.58%	0.5248	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.009217	0.009525	+3.34%	0.006524	-29.21%	0.4330	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.00897	0.009275	+3.41%	0.006392	-28.74%	0.4354	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.00919	0.009472	+3.07%	0.006317	-31.26%	0.4637	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	0.009352	0.009541	+2.01%	0.007283	-22.13%	0.3629	✗	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.009317	0.00944	+1.31%	0.006888	-26.07%	0.4199	✗	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.009706	0.009828	+1.25%	0.006554	-32.48%	0.4368	✗	0.89
2026-08-20	oos	0.008948	0.008826	-1.37%	0.006693	-25.21%	0.3643	✓	0.82
2026-08-19	oos	0.008426	0.008224	-2.41%	0.00689	-18.23%	0.2994	✓	0.79
2026-08-18	oos	0.008068	0.007775	-3.63%	0.006279	-22.17%	0.3478	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.008275	0.007934	-4.12%	0.005947	-28.13%	0.4026	✓	0.69
2026-08-16	oos	0.008578	0.008181	-4.62%	0.006045	-29.52%	0.4376	✓	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.008589	0.008183	-4.74%	0.006344	-26.15%	0.4119	✓	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.0085	0.008146	-4.16%	0.006437	-24.28%	0.3811	✓	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.008677	0.008308	-4.25%	0.00652	-24.86%	0.3885	✓	0.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.008703	0.008333	-4.25%	0.00645	-25.89%	0.4125	✓	0.79
2026-08-11	oos	0.008934	0.008513	-4.72%	0.006153	-31.13%	0.4703	✓	0.78
2026-08-10	oos	0.008901	0.008474	-4.81%	0.006489	-27.11%	0.4268	✓	0.79
2026-08-09	oos	0.00897	0.008523	-4.99%	0.007147	-20.33%	0.3278	✓	0.80
2026-08-08	oos	0.008852	0.008423	-4.84%	0.007177	-18.92%	0.3182	✓	0.80
2026-08-07	oos	0.008729	0.008305	-4.85%	0.007193	-17.60%	0.3147	✓	0.80
2026-08-06	oos	0.008348	0.007955	-4.71%	0.007146	-14.40%	0.2778	✓	0.79
2026-08-05	oos	0.008174	0.007807	-4.49%	0.007173	-12.25%	0.2532	✓	0.80
2026-08-04	oos	0.008171	0.007811	-4.41%	0.007119	-12.88%	0.2811	✓	0.79
2026-08-03	oos	0.008501	0.00809	-4.83%	0.007049	-17.08%	0.2977	✓	0.81
2026-08-02	oos	0.008375	0.007981	-4.71%	0.007102	-15.20%	0.2759	✓	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.008311	0.007912	-4.80%	0.007286	-12.34%	0.2670	✓	0.82
2026-07-31	oos	0.008329	0.007953	-4.52%	0.007177	-13.83%	0.2771	✓	0.82
2026-07-30	oos	0.008197	0.007905	-3.56%	0.007514	-8.34%	0.2176	✓	0.88
2026-07-29	oos	0.008067	0.007838	-2.83%	0.007463	-7.49%	0.2206	✓	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.008269	0.00806	-2.53%	0.009358	+13.17%	0.0495	✓	0.87
2026-07-27	oos	0.00824	0.008036	-2.48%	0.009217	+11.84%	0.0514	✓	0.87
2026-07-26	oos	0.008781	0.008602	-2.05%	0.00897	+2.14%	0.1136	✓	0.85
2026-07-25	oos	0.00862	0.008465	-1.80%	0.00919	+6.61%	0.0921	✓	0.85
2026-07-24	oos	0.008485	0.008397	-1.03%	0.009352	+10.22%	0.0605	✓	0.87
2026-07-23	oos	0.008905	0.008815	-1.01%	0.009317	+4.63%	0.0898	✓	0.86
2026-07-22	oos	0.009201	0.009082	-1.29%	0.009706	+5.50%	0.0771	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	0.00921	0.009069	-1.53%	0.008948	-2.83%	0.0923	✓	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	0.008997	0.008835	-1.80%	0.008426	-6.34%	0.0947	✓	0.78
2026-07-19	oos	0.008913	0.008766	-1.64%	0.008068	-9.48%	0.0830	✓	0.78
2026-07-18	oos	0.008975	0.00885	-1.39%	0.008275	-7.80%	0.0636	✓	0.73
2026-07-17	oos	0.008969	0.008821	-1.64%	0.008578	-4.35%	0.0162	✓	0.70
2026-07-16	oos	0.009068	0.008911	-1.73%	0.008589	-5.28%	0.0285	✓	0.70
2026-07-15	oos	0.009512	0.009311	-2.12%	0.0085	-10.64%	0.0721	✓	0.70
2026-07-14	oos	0.009631	0.009467	-1.70%	0.008677	-9.91%	0.0700	✓	0.70
2026-07-13	oos	0.009423	0.009211	-2.26%	0.008703	-7.65%	0.0695	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.009672	0.009472	-2.07%	0.008934	-7.63%	0.0561	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	0.009697	0.009479	-2.25%	0.008901	-8.21%	0.0645	✓	0.75
2026-07-10	oos	0.010006	0.009756	-2.50%	0.00897	-10.34%	0.0923	✓	0.75
2026-07-09	oos	0.009274	0.0091	-1.88%	0.008852	-4.55%	0.0469	✓	0.71
2026-07-08	oos	0.009354	0.009149	-2.18%	0.008729	-6.68%	0.0758	✓	0.69
2026-07-07	oos	0.009024	0.008888	-1.50%	0.008348	-7.49%	0.0733	✓	0.72
2026-07-06	oos	0.009936	0.00969	-2.49%	0.008174	-17.73%	0.1764	✓	0.68
2026-07-05	oos	0.009499	0.009277	-2.34%	0.008171	-13.98%	0.1316	✓	0.65
2026-07-04	oos	0.009528	0.009304	-2.36%	0.008501	-10.78%	0.0941	✓	0.65
2026-07-03	oos	0.00991	0.009628	-2.84%	0.008375	-15.49%	0.1506	✓	0.72
2026-07-02	oos	0.009272	0.009038	-2.53%	0.008311	-10.36%	0.0981	✓	0.70
2026-07-01	oos	0.008911	0.008663	-2.78%	0.008329	-6.53%	0.0708	✓	0.67
2026-06-30	oos	0.00913	0.008843	-3.14%	0.008197	-10.22%	0.1448	✓	0.68
2026-06-29	oos	0.009267	0.009023	-2.64%	0.008067	-12.96%	0.1537	✓	0.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.008886	0.008706	-2.02%	0.008269	-6.94%	0.0987	✓	0.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.010396	0.010077	-3.07%	0.00824	-20.73%	0.2404	✓	0.64
2026-06-26	oos	0.011387	0.010988	-3.50%	0.008781	-22.88%	0.2791	✓	0.64
2026-06-25	oos	0.013294	0.012546	-5.63%	0.00862	-35.15%	0.4251	✓	0.67
2026-06-24	oos	0.011746	0.011312	-3.70%	0.008485	-27.77%	0.3272	✓	0.80
2026-06-23	oos	0.011966	0.011563	-3.36%	0.008905	-25.58%	0.2929	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.012642	0.012155	-3.85%	0.009201	-27.22%	0.3061	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.012428	0.011958	-3.78%	0.00921	-25.90%	0.3036	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.012832	0.012322	-3.98%	0.008997	-29.89%	0.3265	✓	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.012462	0.012019	-3.55%	0.008913	-28.48%	0.3137	✓	0.78
2026-06-18	oos	0.012835	0.012324	-3.98%	0.008975	-30.07%	0.3407	✓	0.78
2026-06-17	oos	0.012688	0.012223	-3.66%	0.008969	-29.32%	0.3028	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.013016	0.012477	-4.14%	0.009068	-30.33%	0.2967	✓	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.013092	0.012534	-4.26%	0.009512	-27.34%	0.2564	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.012842	0.012287	-4.32%	0.009631	-25.01%	0.2346	✓	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.012725	0.012146	-4.55%	0.009423	-25.94%	0.2259	✓	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.012232	0.011689	-4.44%	0.009672	-20.93%	0.1919	✓	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.012412	0.011799	-4.94%	0.009697	-21.87%	0.1988	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.010985	0.010588	-3.62%	0.010006	-8.92%	0.0863	✓	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.011482	0.010978	-4.40%	0.009274	-19.23%	0.1853	✓	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.011378	0.010871	-4.45%	0.009354	-17.79%	0.1409	✓	0.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.011748	0.011198	-4.68%	0.009024	-23.19%	0.2161	✓	0.68
2026-06-06	oos	0.011652	0.011121	-4.56%	0.009936	-14.72%	0.1485	✓	0.71
2026-06-05	oos	0.011203	0.010778	-3.79%	0.009499	-15.21%	0.1553	✓	0.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.012499	0.01187	-5.03%	0.009528	-23.77%	0.2129	✓	0.61
2026-06-03	oos	0.013995	0.01308	-6.53%	0.00991	-29.19%	0.2645	✓	0.54
2026-06-02	oos	0.013404	0.012618	-5.87%	0.009272	-30.82%	0.2577	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.014529	0.013694	-5.75%	0.008911	-38.67%	0.3519	✓	0.45
2026-05-31	oos	0.01378	0.013111	-4.85%	0.00913	-33.74%	0.2426	✓	0.52
2026-05-30	oos	0.013753	0.013137	-4.47%	0.009267	-32.61%	0.2574	✓	0.45
2026-05-29	oos	0.013702	0.013171	-3.88%	0.008886	-35.15%	0.2958	✓	0.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.013771	0.013299	-3.43%	0.010396	-24.51%	0.1528	✓	0.46
2026-05-27	oos	0.014086	0.013647	-3.11%	0.011387	-19.16%	0.0712	✓	0.51
2026-05-26	oos	0.014748	0.014394	-2.39%	0.013294	-9.86%	0.0343	✗	0.48
2026-05-25	oos	0.015144	0.014925	-1.45%	0.011746	-22.43%	0.1407	✓	0.42
2026-05-24	oos	0.015189	0.014969	-1.45%	0.011966	-21.22%	0.1401	✓	0.41
2026-05-23	oos	0.0154	0.015017	-2.49%	0.012642	-17.91%	0.1169	✓	0.30
2026-05-22	oos	0.015911	0.015394	-3.25%	0.012428	-21.89%	0.1584	✓	0.31
2026-05-21	oos	0.016543	0.0161	-2.67%	0.012832	-22.43%	0.1704	✓	0.30
2026-05-20	oos	0.015889	0.015592	-1.87%	0.012462	-21.57%	0.1550	✓	0.35
2026-05-19	oos	0.021894	0.020431	-6.68%	0.012835	-41.38%	0.3862	✓	0.39
2026-05-18	oos	0.016803	0.016154	-3.86%	0.012688	-24.49%	0.1698	✓	0.40
2026-05-17	oos	0.016754	0.016131	-3.72%	0.013016	-22.31%	0.1504	✓	0.39
2026-05-16	oos	0.017336	0.016732	-3.48%	0.013092	-24.48%	0.1828	✓	0.38
2026-05-15	oos	0.018036	0.017549	-2.70%	0.012842	-28.80%	0.2417	✓	0.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.019797	0.019261	-2.71%	0.012725	-35.72%	0.3366	✓	0.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.019858	0.019111	-3.76%	0.012232	-38.40%	0.3625	✓	0.38
2026-05-12	oos	0.020427	0.019674	-3.69%	0.012412	-39.24%	0.3762	✓	0.36
2026-05-11	oos	0.021038	0.020377	-3.14%	0.010985	-47.78%	0.5156	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.02208	0.02139	-3.12%	0.011482	-48.00%	0.5124	✓	0.38
2026-05-09	oos	0.021847	0.021018	-3.80%	0.011378	-47.92%	0.5193	✓	0.38
2026-05-08	oos	0.021547	0.020729	-3.79%	0.011748	-45.48%	0.4792	✓	0.37
2026-05-07	oos	0.019933	0.019376	-2.80%	0.011652	-41.55%	0.3939	✓	0.42
2026-05-06	oos	0.019935	0.019714	-1.11%	0.011203	-43.80%	0.4009	✓	0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.019731	0.019543	-0.95%	0.012499	-36.65%	0.2943	✓	0.64
2026-05-04	oos	0.019845	0.019533	-1.57%	0.013995	-29.48%	0.1884	✓	0.66
2026-05-03	oos	0.019117	0.018801	-1.65%	0.013404	-29.88%	0.2227	✓	0.70
2026-05-02	oos	0.018419	0.018116	-1.65%	0.014529	-21.12%	0.1518	✓	0.70
2026-05-01	oos	0.017603	0.01744	-0.92%	0.01378	-21.72%	0.1929	✓	0.69
2026-04-30	oos	0.017437	0.017177	-1.49%	0.013753	-21.13%	0.1976	✓	0.73
2026-04-29	oos	0.017567	0.017273	-1.68%	0.013702	-22.00%	0.2082	✓	0.73
2026-04-28	oos	0.018426	0.018168	-1.40%	0.013771	-25.26%	0.2474	✓	0.79
2026-04-27	oos	0.018753	0.018672	-0.44%	0.014086	-24.89%	0.2499	✓	0.80
2026-04-26	oos	0.019489	0.019334	-0.80%	0.014748	-24.33%	0.2412	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.018378	0.018011	-1.99%	0.015144	-17.59%	0.1693	✓	0.80
2026-04-24	oos	0.018617	0.018208	-2.20%	0.015189	-18.41%	0.1762	✓	0.82
2026-04-23	oos	0.018527	0.018168	-1.94%	0.0154	-16.88%	0.1481	✓	0.82
2026-04-22	oos	0.018726	0.018298	-2.29%	0.015911	-15.04%	0.1105	✓	0.82
2026-04-21	oos	0.019744	0.018931	-4.12%	0.016543	-16.22%	0.1480	✓	0.84
2026-04-20	oos	0.019238	0.018376	-4.48%	0.015889	-17.41%	0.1633	✓	0.85
2026-04-19	oos	0.020035	0.018988	-5.23%	0.021894	+9.28%	0.1070	✗	0.91
2026-04-18	oos	0.019848	0.019005	-4.25%	0.016803	-15.34%	0.1377	✓	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.019895	0.019266	-3.16%	0.016754	-15.79%	0.1435	✓	0.92
2026-04-16	oos	0.0194	0.018616	-4.04%	0.017336	-10.64%	0.1068	✓	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.018617	0.017971	-3.47%	0.018036	-3.12%	0.0467	✓	0.92
2026-04-14	oos	0.018823	0.018159	-3.53%	0.019797	+5.18%	0.0047	✓	0.92
2026-04-13	oos	0.01784	0.017295	-3.06%	0.019858	+11.31%	0.0803	✗	0.92
2026-04-12	oos	0.016785	0.016121	-3.96%	0.020427	+21.69%	0.1202	✗	0.90
2026-04-11	oos	0.01739	0.016844	-3.14%	0.021038	+20.98%	0.1211	✗	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.018027	0.017395	-3.51%	0.02208	+22.48%	0.1308	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.018975	0.018059	-4.83%	0.021847	+15.14%	0.0833	✗	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.018769	0.017937	-4.43%	0.021547	+14.80%	0.0726	✗	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.018412	0.017732	-3.69%	0.019933	+8.27%	0.0186	✓	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.01834	0.017436	-4.93%	0.019935	+8.69%	0.0237	✓	0.94
2026-04-05	oos	0.019069	0.018024	-5.48%	0.019731	+3.47%	0.0590	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.017457	0.01652	-5.37%	0.019845	+13.68%	0.0271	✓	0.91
2026-04-03	oos	0.016753	0.015906	-5.06%	0.019117	+14.11%	0.0389	✓	0.91
2026-04-02	oos	0.016893	0.016027	-5.13%	0.018419	+9.03%	0.0082	✓	0.91
2026-04-01	oos	0.016632	0.015859	-4.65%	0.017603	+5.84%	0.0224	✓	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.016769	0.01595	-4.89%	0.017437	+3.98%	0.0133	✓	0.91
2026-03-30	oos	0.016882	0.015998	-5.24%	0.017567	+4.06%	0.0230	✓	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.016501	0.015671	-5.03%	0.018426	+11.67%	0.0283	✓	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.016659	0.015858	-4.81%	0.018753	+12.57%	0.0267	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.017021	0.016254	-4.51%	0.019489	+14.50%	0.0255	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.018289	0.017473	-4.46%	0.018378	+0.48%	0.0594	✓	0.90
2026-03-25	oos	0.019583	0.018737	-4.32%	0.018617	-4.93%	0.0805	✓	0.89
2026-03-24	oos	0.018451	0.017723	-3.95%	0.018527	+0.41%	0.0476	✓	0.88
2026-03-23	oos	0.019065	0.018326	-3.87%	0.018726	-1.78%	0.0654	✓	0.88
2026-03-22	oos	0.019144	0.018234	-4.75%	0.019744	+3.14%	0.0271	✓	0.90
2026-03-21	oos	0.019381	0.018528	-4.40%	0.019238	-0.74%	0.0494	✓	0.91
2026-03-20	oos	0.019715	0.018986	-3.70%	0.020035	+1.62%	0.0119	✓	0.91
2026-03-19	oos	0.020893	0.019974	-4.40%	0.019848	-5.01%	0.0798	✓	0.92
2026-03-18	oos	0.021166	0.020341	-3.90%	0.019895	-6.00%	0.0948	✓	0.92
2026-03-17	oos	0.022669	0.021809	-3.80%	0.0194	-14.42%	0.1320	✓	0.91
2026-03-16	oos	0.023768	0.022832	-3.93%	0.018617	-21.67%	0.2035	✓	0.91
2026-03-15	oos	0.023668	0.022628	-4.39%	0.018823	-20.47%	0.2009	✓	0.91
2026-03-14	oos	0.023757	0.022625	-4.76%	0.01784	-24.91%	0.2781	✓	0.92
2026-03-13	oos	0.023046	0.021999	-4.54%	0.016785	-27.17%	0.2681	✓	0.91
2026-03-12	oos	0.023444	0.022301	-4.88%	0.01739	-25.82%	0.2813	✓	0.92
2026-03-11	oos	0.023227	0.022096	-4.87%	0.018027	-22.38%	0.2391	✓	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.022927	0.021824	-4.81%	0.018975	-17.24%	0.1635	✓	0.91
2026-03-09	oos	0.023918	0.022571	-5.63%	0.018769	-21.53%	0.2200	✓	0.93
2026-03-08	oos	0.023185	0.021818	-5.89%	0.018412	-20.59%	0.2500	✓	0.93
2026-03-07	oos	0.023544	0.022167	-5.85%	0.01834	-22.10%	0.2113	✓	0.93
2026-03-06	oos	0.022694	0.021485	-5.33%	0.019069	-15.98%	0.1315	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.022218	0.021189	-4.63%	0.017457	-21.43%	0.1432	✓	0.97
2026-03-04	oos	0.022741	0.02172	-4.49%	0.016753	-26.33%	0.1798	✓	0.97
2026-03-03	oos	0.02346	0.02223	-5.24%	0.016893	-27.99%	0.2519	✓	1.06
2026-03-02	oos	0.024244	0.022913	-5.49%	0.016632	-31.40%	0.3092	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.025315	0.023756	-6.16%	0.016769	-33.76%	0.3899	✓	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.026588	0.024865	-6.48%	0.016882	-36.50%	0.3833	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.027117	0.025287	-6.75%	0.016501	-39.15%	0.4286	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.030155	0.027761	-7.94%	0.016659	-44.76%	0.4909	✓	1.13
2026-02-25	oos	0.027762	0.025778	-7.15%	0.017021	-38.69%	0.3876	✓	1.13
2026-02-24	oos	0.028227	0.025941	-8.10%	0.018289	-35.21%	0.4365	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.027473	0.02537	-7.66%	0.019583	-28.72%	0.3796	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.025669	0.023923	-6.80%	0.018451	-28.12%	0.3152	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.025697	0.023886	-7.05%	0.019065	-25.81%	0.2806	✓	1.31
2026-02-20	oos	0.027143	0.024935	-8.14%	0.019144	-29.47%	0.2616	✓	1.32
2026-02-19	oos	0.023558	0.022001	-6.61%	0.019381	-17.73%	0.1628	✓	1.26
2026-02-18	oos	0.025147	0.023209	-7.71%	0.019715	-21.60%	0.2397	✓	1.29
2026-02-17	oos	0.024497	0.022637	-7.59%	0.020893	-14.71%	0.1262	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.02397	0.022128	-7.68%	0.021166	-11.70%	0.0888	✓	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.022138	0.020589	-7.00%	0.022669	+2.40%	0.0039	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	0.022964	0.021181	-7.76%	0.023768	+3.50%	0.0248	✓	1.28
2026-02-13	oos	0.022176	0.020488	-7.61%	0.023668	+6.73%	0.0875	✗	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.021047	0.019621	-6.77%	0.023757	+12.88%	0.1181	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	0.020438	0.019126	-6.42%	0.023046	+12.76%	0.1296	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.020966	0.019583	-6.60%	0.023444	+11.82%	0.1552	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.022579	0.020972	-7.12%	0.023227	+2.87%	0.1006	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.023423	0.021775	-7.04%	0.022927	-2.12%	0.0561	✓	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.023904	0.02228	-6.79%	0.023918	+0.06%	0.0828	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.026671	0.024525	-8.05%	0.023185	-13.07%	0.0106	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.023714	0.022417	-5.47%	0.023544	-0.72%	0.0197	✓	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.02696	0.024828	-7.91%	0.022694	-15.82%	0.0205	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.0285	0.026246	-7.91%	0.022218	-22.04%	0.1014	✓	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.032828	0.030175	-8.08%	0.022741	-30.73%	0.2037	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.033105	0.030422	-8.10%	0.02346	-29.13%	0.1419	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.03362	0.030953	-7.93%	0.024244	-27.89%	0.1110	✓	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.037213	0.034097	-8.37%	0.025315	-31.97%	0.0518	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.035199	0.032372	-8.03%	0.026588	-24.46%	0.0358	✓	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.041349	0.037338	-9.70%	0.027117	-34.42%	0.0169	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.038897	0.035276	-9.31%	0.030155	-22.47%	0.1211	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.036117	0.032907	-8.89%	0.027762	-23.13%	0.0908	✓	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.035127	0.032006	-8.89%	0.028227	-19.65%	0.1753	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.038441	0.034684	-9.77%	0.027473	-28.53%	0.0879	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.