FLR

Flare · Flare · beta_5y

token id: #342
symbol: FLR
variant: –
chain: Flare
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-04-14
predictions: 3,822

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0171

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0034

actual -0.0021

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.006472	0.006436	-0.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-21	oos	0.006397	0.006363	-0.53%	0.006472	+0.04%	0.0032	✓	1.06
2026-10-20	oos	0.006418	0.006384	-0.54%	0.006397	-0.34%	0.0051	✓	1.06
2026-10-19	oos	0.006385	0.006351	-0.54%	0.006418	+0.52%	0.0037	✓	1.07
2026-10-18	oos	0.006418	0.006388	-0.47%	0.006385	-0.51%	0.0018	✓	1.08
2026-10-17	oos	0.006488	0.006459	-0.44%	0.006418	-1.07%	0.0146	✓	1.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.006633	0.006602	-0.47%	0.006488	-2.19%	0.0159	✓	1.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.006687	0.006655	-0.48%	0.006633	-0.81%	0.0049	✗	1.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.006693	0.006661	-0.48%	0.006687	-0.09%	0.0034	✓	1.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.006851	0.006814	-0.55%	0.006693	-2.31%	0.0021	✓	1.07
2026-10-12	oos	0.006849	0.006811	-0.56%	0.006851	+0.03%	0.0119	✓	1.08
2026-10-11	oos	0.006991	0.006952	-0.55%	0.006849	-2.02%	0.0103	✗	1.08
2026-10-10	oos	0.006984	0.006946	-0.54%	0.006991	+0.09%	0.0034	✓	1.06
2026-10-09	oos	0.007045	0.007	-0.63%	0.006984	-0.86%	0.0070	✓	1.07
2026-10-08	oos	0.006806	0.006773	-0.48%	0.007045	+3.50%	0.0283	✗	1.06
2026-10-07	oos	0.006975	0.00694	-0.51%	0.006806	-2.42%	0.0008	✓	1.06
2026-10-06	oos	0.007272	0.007232	-0.56%	0.006975	-4.08%	0.0080	✓	1.05
2026-10-05	oos	0.007223	0.007183	-0.56%	0.007272	+0.68%	0.0149	✗	1.05
2026-10-04	oos	0.007303	0.007263	-0.54%	0.007223	-1.10%	0.0037	✓	1.05
2026-10-03	oos	0.007178	0.007144	-0.48%	0.007303	+1.74%	0.0003	✓	1.05
2026-10-02	oos	0.007204	0.007172	-0.44%	0.007178	-0.36%	0.0022	✓	1.05
2026-10-01	oos	0.007389	0.007356	-0.45%	0.007204	-2.50%	0.0166	✓	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.007366	0.007334	-0.44%	0.007389	+0.30%	0.0090	✓	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.00753	0.007489	-0.55%	0.007366	-2.18%	0.0155	✓	1.07
2026-09-28	oos	0.007162	0.007132	-0.41%	0.00753	+5.15%	0.0520	✗	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.007128	0.007099	-0.40%	0.007162	+0.47%	0.0215	✗	1.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.007357	0.007325	-0.43%	0.007128	-3.11%	0.0278	✓	1.06
2026-09-25	oos	0.007334	0.007302	-0.44%	0.007357	+0.31%	0.0034	✓	1.06
2026-09-24	oos	0.00718	0.007154	-0.37%	0.007334	+2.14%	0.0286	✗	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.00711	0.007084	-0.37%	0.00718	+0.98%	0.0134	✗	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.007207	0.007173	-0.47%	0.00711	-1.35%	0.0140	✗	1.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.006935	0.006908	-0.39%	0.007207	+3.92%	0.0473	✗	1.07
2026-09-20	oos	0.00659	0.006572	-0.28%	0.006935	+5.24%	0.0176	✓	1.10
2026-09-19	oos	0.006636	0.006618	-0.27%	0.00659	-0.69%	0.0033	✓	1.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.00663	0.006613	-0.25%	0.006636	+0.09%	0.0014	✓	1.09
2026-09-17	oos	0.00642	0.006407	-0.21%	0.00663	+3.27%	0.0310	✓	1.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.00633	0.006323	-0.10%	0.00642	+1.43%	0.0122	✗	1.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.0063	0.006293	-0.12%	0.00633	+0.47%	0.0025	✓	1.12
2026-09-14	oos	0.00662	0.00661	-0.15%	0.0063	-4.83%	0.0104	✓	1.12
2026-09-13	oos	0.006403	0.006404	+0.02%	0.00662	+3.38%	0.0133	✓	1.11
2026-09-12	oos	0.006516	0.006522	+0.08%	0.006403	-1.74%	0.0117	✗	1.11
2026-09-11	oos	0.006377	0.006396	+0.30%	0.006516	+2.19%	0.0178	✓	1.11
2026-09-10	oos	0.006306	0.006332	+0.41%	0.006377	+1.13%	0.0026	✓	1.10
2026-09-09	oos	0.00642	0.006459	+0.60%	0.006306	-1.78%	0.0011	✓	1.11
2026-09-08	oos	0.006536	0.006575	+0.59%	0.00642	-1.77%	0.0213	✗	1.17
2026-09-07	oos	0.006562	0.006607	+0.67%	0.006536	-0.40%	0.0012	✓	1.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.006713	0.006764	+0.75%	0.006562	-2.24%	0.0117	✗	1.18
2026-09-05	oos	0.006718	0.006771	+0.80%	0.006713	-0.07%	0.0161	✗	1.18
2026-09-04	oos	0.006726	0.006781	+0.82%	0.006718	-0.12%	0.0117	✗	1.19
2026-09-03	oos	0.006957	0.007012	+0.80%	0.006726	-3.32%	0.0183	✗	1.19
2026-09-02	oos	0.006749	0.006788	+0.58%	0.006957	+3.08%	0.0366	✗	1.23
2026-09-01	oos	0.006678	0.006713	+0.53%	0.006749	+1.06%	0.0068	✓	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.007054	0.007061	+0.09%	0.006678	-5.33%	0.0386	✗	1.15
2026-08-30	oos	0.00631	0.006346	+0.57%	0.007054	+11.79%	0.0934	✓	1.07
2026-08-29	oos	0.006313	0.006349	+0.56%	0.00631	-0.06%	0.0017	✓	1.07
2026-08-28	oos	0.006346	0.006375	+0.45%	0.006313	-0.51%	0.0150	✗	1.07
2026-08-27	oos	0.006703	0.00672	+0.26%	0.006346	-5.33%	0.0249	✗	1.05
2026-08-26	oos	0.006497	0.006513	+0.25%	0.006703	+3.17%	0.0124	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.006585	0.006594	+0.14%	0.006497	-1.34%	0.0215	✗	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.00693	0.006927	-0.04%	0.006585	-4.98%	0.0447	✓	1.04
2026-08-23	oos	0.007203	0.007184	-0.26%	0.00693	-3.79%	0.0529	✓	1.06
2026-08-22	oos	0.007129	0.007106	-0.33%	0.007203	+1.04%	0.0044	✗	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.007597	0.007543	-0.71%	0.007129	-6.16%	0.0395	✓	1.04
2026-08-20	oos	0.00695	0.006902	-0.69%	0.007597	+9.31%	0.0253	✗	1.01
2026-08-19	oos	0.006392	0.006356	-0.57%	0.00695	+8.73%	0.0400	✗	0.95
2026-08-18	oos	0.005872	0.005849	-0.39%	0.006392	+8.86%	0.0270	✗	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.00595	0.005927	-0.38%	0.005872	-1.31%	0.0122	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.00591	0.005887	-0.39%	0.00595	+0.68%	0.0130	✓	0.92
2026-08-15	oos	0.00597	0.005947	-0.38%	0.00591	-1.01%	0.0036	✓	0.92
2026-08-14	oos	0.00598	0.005957	-0.38%	0.00597	-0.17%	0.0015	✓	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.00601	0.005987	-0.38%	0.00598	-0.50%	0.0054	✗	0.93
2026-08-12	oos	0.00602	0.005996	-0.40%	0.00601	-0.17%	0.0021	✓	0.91
2026-08-11	oos	0.00606	0.00603	-0.49%	0.00602	-0.66%	0.0001	✓	0.96
2026-08-10	oos	0.00606	0.006033	-0.45%	0.00606	+0.00%	0.0103	✗	0.96
2026-08-09	oos	0.00611	0.006082	-0.46%	0.00606	-0.82%	0.0104	✗	0.96
2026-08-08	oos	0.0061	0.006071	-0.47%	0.00611	+0.16%	0.0073	✗	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.00601	0.005984	-0.43%	0.0061	+1.50%	0.0190	✗	0.99
2026-08-06	oos	0.00596	0.005937	-0.39%	0.00601	+0.84%	0.0027	✓	0.99
2026-08-05	oos	0.00599	0.005966	-0.40%	0.00596	-0.50%	0.0041	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.00611	0.006084	-0.43%	0.00599	-1.96%	0.0241	✓	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.0063	0.006271	-0.47%	0.00611	-3.02%	0.0353	✓	1.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00633	0.006301	-0.46%	0.0063	-0.47%	0.0004	✓	1.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.006245	0.006217	-0.45%	0.00633	+1.36%	0.0063	✗	1.01
2026-07-31	oos	0.00626	0.006231	-0.47%	0.006245	-0.24%	0.0033	✓	1.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.00629	0.006266	-0.38%	0.00626	-0.48%	0.0297	✗	1.03
2026-07-29	oos	0.006305	0.006281	-0.37%	0.00629	-0.24%	0.0117	✓	1.02
2026-07-28	oos	0.006245	0.006223	-0.35%	0.006305	+0.96%	0.0123	✗	1.01
2026-07-27	oos	0.006285	0.006263	-0.34%	0.006245	-0.64%	0.0054	✓	1.02
2026-07-26	oos	0.00644	0.006419	-0.33%	0.006285	-2.41%	0.0050	✗	1.02
2026-07-25	oos	0.00642	0.0064	-0.31%	0.00644	+0.31%	0.0104	✓	1.03
2026-07-24	oos	0.0064	0.006382	-0.28%	0.00642	+0.31%	0.0025	✓	1.02
2026-07-23	oos	0.00647	0.006455	-0.23%	0.0064	-1.08%	0.0068	✗	1.03
2026-07-22	oos	0.00665	0.006633	-0.25%	0.00647	-2.71%	0.0089	✓	1.02
2026-07-21	oos	0.006785	0.006757	-0.41%	0.00665	-1.99%	0.0094	✓	1.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.006445	0.006432	-0.20%	0.006785	+5.28%	0.0343	✗	0.96
2026-07-19	oos	0.00651	0.006497	-0.20%	0.006445	-1.00%	0.0159	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	0.00656	0.006547	-0.20%	0.00651	-0.76%	0.0039	✓	0.96
2026-07-17	oos	0.00654	0.006525	-0.23%	0.00656	+0.31%	0.0083	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	0.006635	0.006617	-0.27%	0.00654	-1.43%	0.0136	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	0.00662	0.006602	-0.28%	0.006635	+0.23%	0.0196	✗	0.99
2026-07-14	oos	0.00664	0.006613	-0.41%	0.00662	-0.30%	0.0053	✗	0.99
2026-07-13	oos	0.00639	0.006372	-0.28%	0.00664	+3.91%	0.0015	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.006465	0.006448	-0.27%	0.00639	-1.16%	0.0146	✗	1.01
2026-07-11	oos	0.006645	0.006625	-0.30%	0.006465	-2.71%	0.0239	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.00666	0.00664	-0.30%	0.006645	-0.23%	0.0063	✗	0.99
2026-07-09	oos	0.006605	0.006587	-0.28%	0.00666	+0.83%	0.0039	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.00657	0.006552	-0.27%	0.006605	+0.53%	0.0070	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.00674	0.006721	-0.28%	0.00657	-2.52%	0.0055	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00689	0.006869	-0.30%	0.00674	-2.18%	0.0083	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.007025	0.007	-0.35%	0.00689	-1.92%	0.0223	✓	0.97
2026-07-04	oos	0.00706	0.007033	-0.38%	0.007025	-0.50%	0.0088	✓	0.98
2026-07-03	oos	0.00701	0.006981	-0.41%	0.00706	+0.71%	0.0026	✓	0.95
2026-07-02	oos	0.00669	0.006665	-0.38%	0.00701	+4.78%	0.0348	✗	0.94
2026-07-01	oos	0.00643	0.006411	-0.30%	0.00669	+4.04%	0.0195	✗	0.92
2026-06-30	oos	0.00641	0.00639	-0.30%	0.00643	+0.31%	0.0162	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.006575	0.006554	-0.32%	0.00641	-2.51%	0.0033	✗	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.006595	0.006573	-0.33%	0.006575	-0.30%	0.0102	✓	0.91
2026-06-27	oos	0.006665	0.006645	-0.30%	0.006595	-1.05%	0.0005	✓	0.92
2026-06-26	oos	0.0068	0.006778	-0.33%	0.006665	-1.99%	0.0157	✓	0.92
2026-06-25	oos	0.00682	0.006797	-0.34%	0.0068	-0.29%	0.0041	✓	0.92
2026-06-24	oos	0.00696	0.006935	-0.37%	0.00682	-2.01%	0.0029	✓	0.92
2026-06-23	oos	0.00707	0.007041	-0.41%	0.00696	-1.56%	0.0128	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	0.007345	0.007314	-0.42%	0.00707	-3.74%	0.0156	✓	0.89
2026-06-21	oos	0.007395	0.007366	-0.40%	0.007345	-0.68%	0.0129	✓	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	0.00742	0.007392	-0.38%	0.007395	-0.34%	0.0141	✗	0.88
2026-06-19	oos	0.00739	0.007363	-0.36%	0.00742	+0.41%	0.0026	✓	0.88
2026-06-18	oos	0.00737	0.007345	-0.35%	0.00739	+0.27%	0.0022	✓	0.88
2026-06-17	oos	0.00754	0.007513	-0.36%	0.00737	-2.25%	0.0024	✓	0.88
2026-06-16	oos	0.00773	0.007699	-0.41%	0.00754	-2.46%	0.0051	✓	0.87
2026-06-15	oos	0.00798	0.007936	-0.55%	0.00773	-3.13%	0.0177	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.00805	0.008005	-0.56%	0.00798	-0.87%	0.0107	✓	0.88
2026-06-13	oos	0.00789	0.007846	-0.56%	0.00805	+2.03%	0.0087	✗	0.87
2026-06-12	oos	0.00794	0.007875	-0.82%	0.00789	-0.63%	0.0102	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.00752	0.007464	-0.74%	0.00794	+5.59%	0.0621	✗	0.87
2026-06-10	oos	0.006835	0.006816	-0.28%	0.00752	+10.02%	0.0713	✗	0.80
2026-06-09	oos	0.006995	0.006972	-0.34%	0.006835	-2.29%	0.0167	✓	0.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.0073	0.007267	-0.45%	0.006995	-4.18%	0.0209	✓	0.78
2026-06-07	oos	0.00716	0.00713	-0.43%	0.0073	+1.96%	0.0266	✗	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.00675	0.006731	-0.28%	0.00716	+6.07%	0.0331	✗	0.73
2026-06-05	oos	0.00671	0.00669	-0.30%	0.00675	+0.60%	0.0111	✗	0.72
2026-06-04	oos	0.00712	0.007088	-0.44%	0.00671	-5.76%	0.0244	✓	0.68
2026-06-03	oos	0.00717	0.007142	-0.40%	0.00712	-0.70%	0.0005	✓	0.69
2026-06-02	oos	0.00716	0.007129	-0.43%	0.00717	+0.14%	0.0348	✗	0.73
2026-06-01	oos	0.00754	0.007504	-0.48%	0.00716	-5.04%	0.0013	✓	0.68
2026-05-31	oos	0.00772	0.007684	-0.47%	0.00754	-2.33%	0.0021	✓	0.67
2026-05-30	oos	0.00773	0.007693	-0.47%	0.00772	-0.13%	0.0051	✗	0.63
2026-05-29	oos	0.00775	0.007702	-0.62%	0.00773	-0.26%	0.0001	✓	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.0078	0.007757	-0.55%	0.00775	-0.64%	0.0003	✓	0.63
2026-05-27	oos	0.008	0.007955	-0.56%	0.0078	-2.50%	0.0127	✓	0.64
2026-05-26	oos	0.00816	0.008113	-0.58%	0.008	-1.96%	0.0012	✓	0.64
2026-05-25	oos	0.008285	0.008238	-0.57%	0.00816	-1.51%	0.0029	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.00829	0.008244	-0.56%	0.008285	-0.06%	0.0026	✓	0.67
2026-05-23	oos	0.00842	0.008371	-0.58%	0.00829	-1.54%	0.0125	✓	0.65
2026-05-22	oos	0.00826	0.008215	-0.55%	0.00842	+1.94%	0.0143	✗	0.65
2026-05-21	oos	0.00843	0.008381	-0.58%	0.00826	-2.02%	0.0034	✓	0.65
2026-05-20	oos	0.008415	0.008366	-0.58%	0.00843	+0.18%	0.0070	✗	0.66
2026-05-19	oos	0.008265	0.008228	-0.45%	0.008415	+1.81%	0.0165	✗	0.65
2026-05-18	oos	0.00845	0.008412	-0.45%	0.008265	-2.19%	0.0161	✓	0.66
2026-05-17	oos	0.00906	0.009008	-0.57%	0.00845	-6.73%	0.0601	✓	0.64
2026-05-16	oos	0.00921	0.009154	-0.61%	0.00906	-1.63%	0.0046	✓	0.64
2026-05-15	oos	0.00934	0.009257	-0.89%	0.00921	-1.39%	0.0027	✓	0.64
2026-05-14	oos	0.009375	0.009293	-0.88%	0.00934	-0.37%	0.0217	✗	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.00863	0.008585	-0.53%	0.009375	+8.63%	0.0744	✗	0.61
2026-05-12	oos	0.00869	0.008642	-0.56%	0.00863	-0.69%	0.0078	✗	0.61
2026-05-11	oos	0.00874	0.008692	-0.55%	0.00869	-0.57%	0.0091	✗	0.61
2026-05-10	oos	0.00868	0.008621	-0.67%	0.00874	+0.69%	0.0172	✗	0.61
2026-05-09	oos	0.00817	0.008129	-0.51%	0.00868	+6.24%	0.0545	✗	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.00802	0.007984	-0.45%	0.00817	+1.87%	0.0196	✗	0.59
2026-05-07	oos	0.00781	0.007779	-0.40%	0.00802	+2.69%	0.0291	✗	0.59
2026-05-06	oos	0.00781	0.007771	-0.51%	0.00781	+0.00%	0.0167	✗	0.65
2026-05-05	oos	0.007625	0.007605	-0.26%	0.00781	+2.43%	0.0226	✗	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.00754	0.007525	-0.20%	0.007625	+1.13%	0.0052	✗	0.61
2026-05-03	oos	0.00753	0.007517	-0.17%	0.00754	+0.13%	0.0067	✓	0.60
2026-05-02	oos	0.00757	0.00756	-0.13%	0.00753	-0.53%	0.0031	✓	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.0075	0.007493	-0.09%	0.00757	+0.93%	0.0069	✗	0.58
2026-04-30	oos	0.00746	0.007451	-0.12%	0.0075	+0.54%	0.0079	✓	0.58
2026-04-29	oos	0.007515	0.007505	-0.14%	0.00746	-0.73%	0.0102	✓	0.58
2026-04-28	oos	0.0076	0.007594	-0.08%	0.007515	-1.12%	0.0062	✓	0.58
2026-04-27	oos	0.00774	0.007737	-0.04%	0.0076	-1.81%	0.0099	✓	0.58
2026-04-26	oos	0.00792	0.007915	-0.07%	0.00774	-2.27%	0.0126	✓	0.58
2026-04-25	oos	0.00791	0.007896	-0.18%	0.00792	+0.13%	0.0046	✓	0.58
2026-04-24	oos	0.00793	0.007916	-0.17%	0.00791	-0.25%	0.0022	✓	0.59
2026-04-23	oos	0.00793	0.00792	-0.12%	0.00793	+0.00%	0.0074	✗	0.59
2026-04-22	oos	0.007995	0.007982	-0.16%	0.00793	-0.81%	0.0071	✓	0.59
2026-04-21	oos	0.008055	0.008033	-0.27%	0.007995	-0.74%	0.0191	✓	0.60
2026-04-20	oos	0.008115	0.008088	-0.33%	0.008055	-0.74%	0.0080	✓	0.60
2026-04-19	oos	0.00793	0.007906	-0.31%	0.008115	+2.33%	0.0095	✗	0.61
2026-04-18	oos	0.00815	0.008127	-0.28%	0.00793	-2.70%	0.0090	✓	0.61
2026-04-17	oos	0.008465	0.008433	-0.38%	0.00815	-3.72%	0.0232	✓	0.61
2026-04-16	oos	0.00828	0.008248	-0.39%	0.008465	+2.23%	0.0106	✗	0.61
2026-04-15	oos	0.00811	0.008081	-0.36%	0.00828	+2.10%	0.0217	✗	0.60
2026-04-14	oos	0.00803	0.007999	-0.38%	0.00811	+1.00%	0.0084	✗	0.61
2026-04-13	oos	0.00806	0.008024	-0.45%	0.00803	-0.37%	0.0029	✓	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.0077	0.007672	-0.36%	0.00806	+4.68%	0.0193	✗	0.59
2026-04-11	oos	0.00792	0.007886	-0.43%	0.0077	-2.78%	0.0047	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.00764	0.007612	-0.37%	0.00792	+3.66%	0.0390	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.00754	0.00751	-0.40%	0.00764	+1.33%	0.0075	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.00746	0.00743	-0.40%	0.00754	+1.07%	0.0089	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.0076	0.007566	-0.45%	0.00746	-1.84%	0.0074	✓	0.58
2026-04-06	oos	0.00745	0.007419	-0.41%	0.0076	+2.01%	0.0019	✓	0.60
2026-04-05	oos	0.00748	0.00745	-0.40%	0.00745	-0.40%	0.0013	✓	0.60
2026-04-04	oos	0.007535	0.007505	-0.40%	0.00748	-0.73%	0.0190	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.00756	0.00753	-0.39%	0.007535	-0.33%	0.0025	✓	0.63
2026-04-02	oos	0.00771	0.007666	-0.57%	0.00756	-1.95%	0.0146	✓	0.63
2026-04-01	oos	0.0076	0.007568	-0.42%	0.00771	+1.45%	0.0300	✗	0.64
2026-03-31	oos	0.007835	0.007798	-0.47%	0.0076	-3.00%	0.0247	✓	0.65
2026-03-30	oos	0.00785	0.007809	-0.53%	0.007835	-0.19%	0.0111	✓	0.66
2026-03-29	oos	0.00767	0.007641	-0.37%	0.00785	+2.35%	0.0193	✗	0.65
2026-03-28	oos	0.0078	0.007771	-0.37%	0.00767	-1.67%	0.0096	✓	0.65
2026-03-27	oos	0.007665	0.007639	-0.34%	0.0078	+1.76%	0.0212	✗	0.65
2026-03-26	oos	0.00794	0.007907	-0.42%	0.007665	-3.46%	0.0080	✓	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.008035	0.008019	-0.20%	0.00794	-1.18%	0.0135	✗	0.65
2026-03-24	oos	0.00812	0.008102	-0.22%	0.008035	-1.05%	0.0153	✓	0.65
2026-03-23	oos	0.008165	0.008145	-0.24%	0.00812	-0.55%	0.0001	✓	0.65
2026-03-22	oos	0.007995	0.007973	-0.28%	0.008165	+2.13%	0.0049	✓	0.66
2026-03-21	oos	0.00817	0.008152	-0.22%	0.007995	-2.14%	0.0092	✓	0.66
2026-03-20	oos	0.00831	0.008295	-0.18%	0.00817	-1.68%	0.0003	✓	0.66
2026-03-19	oos	0.00834	0.008326	-0.17%	0.00831	-0.36%	0.0073	✓	0.66
2026-03-18	oos	0.00841	0.008399	-0.13%	0.00834	-0.83%	0.0055	✗	0.67
2026-03-17	oos	0.00871	0.008698	-0.14%	0.00841	-3.44%	0.0090	✓	0.67
2026-03-16	oos	0.008915	0.008899	-0.18%	0.00871	-2.30%	0.0130	✓	0.67
2026-03-15	oos	0.00879	0.008775	-0.18%	0.008915	+1.42%	0.0026	✓	0.66
2026-03-14	oos	0.00868	0.008666	-0.16%	0.00879	+1.27%	0.0007	✓	0.67
2026-03-13	oos	0.00879	0.008774	-0.19%	0.00868	-1.25%	0.0134	✓	0.67
2026-03-12	oos	0.00888	0.008862	-0.21%	0.00879	-1.01%	0.0121	✓	0.67
2026-03-11	oos	0.00895	0.008931	-0.21%	0.00888	-0.78%	0.0088	✓	0.68
2026-03-10	oos	0.00901	0.008991	-0.22%	0.00895	-0.67%	0.0069	✓	0.68
2026-03-09	oos	0.008965	0.008943	-0.24%	0.00901	+0.50%	0.0075	✓	0.68
2026-03-08	oos	0.00889	0.008863	-0.30%	0.008965	+0.84%	0.0135	✓	0.68
2026-03-07	oos	0.00895	0.008927	-0.25%	0.00889	-0.67%	0.0090	✗	0.68
2026-03-06	oos	0.00887	0.00885	-0.23%	0.00895	+0.90%	0.0198	✗	0.68
2026-03-05	oos	0.00921	0.009189	-0.23%	0.00887	-3.69%	0.0082	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.00939	0.009367	-0.25%	0.00921	-1.92%	0.0001	✓	0.68
2026-03-03	oos	0.00927	0.009245	-0.26%	0.00939	+1.29%	0.0280	✓	0.71
2026-03-02	oos	0.00926	0.009237	-0.25%	0.00927	+0.11%	0.0087	✗	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.009315	0.009286	-0.31%	0.00926	-0.59%	0.0357	✓	0.72
2026-02-28	oos	0.00942	0.009389	-0.33%	0.009315	-1.11%	0.0057	✗	0.75
2026-02-27	oos	0.00929	0.009261	-0.31%	0.00942	+1.40%	0.0044	✗	0.75
2026-02-26	oos	0.00958	0.009547	-0.35%	0.00929	-3.03%	0.0089	✓	0.75
2026-02-25	oos	0.00971	0.009665	-0.47%	0.00958	-1.34%	0.0033	✓	0.75
2026-02-24	oos	0.00915	0.009118	-0.35%	0.00971	+6.12%	0.0187	✗	0.74
2026-02-23	oos	0.00907	0.009044	-0.29%	0.00915	+0.88%	0.0182	✗	0.76
2026-02-22	oos	0.00926	0.009236	-0.26%	0.00907	-2.05%	0.0164	✗	0.76
2026-02-21	oos	0.00953	0.009501	-0.31%	0.00926	-2.83%	0.0218	✓	0.77
2026-02-20	oos	0.009415	0.009387	-0.29%	0.00953	+1.22%	0.0154	✗	0.79
2026-02-19	oos	0.00928	0.009255	-0.27%	0.009415	+1.45%	0.0053	✗	0.79
2026-02-18	oos	0.009415	0.009389	-0.28%	0.00928	-1.43%	0.0182	✓	0.79
2026-02-17	oos	0.00975	0.009717	-0.34%	0.009415	-3.44%	0.0194	✓	0.78
2026-02-16	oos	0.00983	0.009797	-0.34%	0.00975	-0.81%	0.0112	✗	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.009795	0.00976	-0.36%	0.00983	+0.36%	0.0064	✗	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.00991	0.00987	-0.41%	0.009795	-1.16%	0.0036	✓	0.78
2026-02-13	oos	0.0095	0.00947	-0.32%	0.00991	+4.32%	0.0345	✗	0.77
2026-02-12	oos	0.00941	0.00938	-0.32%	0.0095	+0.96%	0.0177	✓	0.79
2026-02-11	oos	0.00944	0.009408	-0.34%	0.00941	-0.32%	0.0099	✗	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.00956	0.009527	-0.35%	0.00944	-1.26%	0.0118	✗	0.80
2026-02-09	oos	0.00961	0.009577	-0.34%	0.00956	-0.52%	0.0132	✗	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.0096	0.009567	-0.34%	0.00961	+0.10%	0.0065	✗	0.81
2026-02-07	oos	0.00956	0.009527	-0.34%	0.0096	+0.42%	0.0044	✓	0.81
2026-02-06	oos	0.00986	0.009793	-0.68%	0.00956	-3.04%	0.0092	✓	0.81
2026-02-05	oos	0.00898	0.00896	-0.22%	0.00986	+9.80%	0.0014	✓	0.81
2026-02-04	oos	0.00973	0.009694	-0.37%	0.00898	-7.71%	0.0708	✗	0.98
2026-02-03	oos	0.01	0.009955	-0.45%	0.00973	-2.70%	0.0121	✗	0.98
2026-02-02	oos	0.00997	0.009925	-0.45%	0.01	+0.30%	0.0488	✗	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.01006	0.010001	-0.58%	0.00997	-0.89%	0.0264	✓	1.02
2026-01-31	oos	0.00969	0.009649	-0.42%	0.01006	+3.82%	0.0675	✗	1.14
2026-01-30	oos	0.01009	0.010046	-0.44%	0.00969	-3.96%	0.0449	✗	1.21
2026-01-29	oos	0.010255	0.010212	-0.42%	0.01009	-1.61%	0.0063	✓	1.20
2026-01-28	oos	0.01063	0.010581	-0.46%	0.010255	-3.53%	0.0353	✗	1.24
2026-01-27	oos	0.01062	0.010568	-0.49%	0.01063	+0.09%	0.0052	✗	1.25
2026-01-26	oos	0.01049	0.010439	-0.49%	0.01062	+1.24%	0.0052	✗	1.23
2026-01-25	oos	0.01016	0.010114	-0.45%	0.01049	+3.25%	0.0129	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01057	0.010517	-0.51%	0.01016	-3.88%	0.0006	✓	1.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.01037	0.010324	-0.44%	0.01057	+1.93%	0.0289	✗	1.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.01047	0.010417	-0.51%	0.01037	-0.96%	0.0047	✓	1.22
2026-01-21	oos	0.01034	0.010294	-0.45%	0.01047	+1.26%	0.0156	✗	1.22
2026-01-20	oos	0.01	0.009965	-0.35%	0.01034	+3.40%	0.0228	✗	1.19
2026-01-19	oos	0.01054	0.010489	-0.48%	0.01	-5.12%	0.0087	✗	1.20
2026-01-18	oos	0.01049	0.010454	-0.34%	0.01054	+0.48%	0.0219	✗	1.19
2026-01-17	oos	0.01105	0.011008	-0.38%	0.01049	-5.07%	0.0299	✓	1.17
2026-01-16	oos	0.01103	0.010996	-0.31%	0.01105	+0.18%	0.0097	✗	1.15
2026-01-15	oos	0.01115	0.011118	-0.29%	0.01103	-1.08%	0.0069	✓	1.17
2026-01-14	oos	0.011485	0.01145	-0.31%	0.01115	-2.92%	0.0099	✓	1.17
2026-01-13	oos	0.01159	0.011533	-0.49%	0.011485	-0.91%	0.0240	✓	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.01132	0.011263	-0.50%	0.01159	+2.39%	0.0275	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.0111	0.011058	-0.38%	0.01132	+1.98%	0.0190	✗	1.26
2026-01-10	oos	0.01117	0.011132	-0.34%	0.0111	-0.63%	0.0099	✓	1.27
2026-01-09	oos	0.0113	0.011265	-0.31%	0.01117	-1.15%	0.0065	✓	1.25
2026-01-08	oos	0.01137	0.011336	-0.30%	0.0113	-0.62%	0.0038	✗	1.24
2026-01-07	oos	0.01183	0.011792	-0.32%	0.01137	-3.89%	0.0328	✓	1.32
2026-01-06	oos	0.01262	0.012554	-0.52%	0.01183	-6.26%	0.0248	✓	1.31
2026-01-05	oos	0.01254	0.012461	-0.63%	0.01262	+0.64%	0.0148	✗	1.30
2026-01-04	oos	0.01177	0.011722	-0.41%	0.01254	+6.54%	0.0349	✗	1.27
2026-01-03	oos	0.01113	0.011095	-0.32%	0.01177	+5.75%	0.0468	✗	1.25
2026-01-02	oos	0.01091	0.010877	-0.30%	0.01113	+2.02%	0.0142	✗	1.24
2026-01-01	oos	0.0109	0.010861	-0.36%	0.01091	+0.09%	0.0125	✓	1.25
2025-12-31	oos	0.01018	0.010157	-0.22%	0.0109	+7.07%	0.0536	✗	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.01081	0.010783	-0.25%	0.01018	-5.83%	0.0455	✓	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.01117	0.011137	-0.30%	0.01081	-3.22%	0.0473	✓	1.19
2025-12-28	oos	0.01128	0.011247	-0.30%	0.01117	-0.98%	0.0036	✗	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.01133	0.011296	-0.30%	0.01128	-0.44%	0.0024	✓	1.19
2025-12-26	oos	0.01118	0.011149	-0.28%	0.01133	+1.34%	0.0091	✗	1.20
2025-12-25	oos	0.01117	0.011142	-0.25%	0.01118	+0.09%	0.0017	✓	1.20
2025-12-24	oos	0.011345	0.011315	-0.26%	0.01117	-1.54%	0.0069	✓	1.21
2025-12-23	oos	0.0113	0.011271	-0.25%	0.011345	+0.40%	0.0039	✗	1.28
2025-12-22	oos	0.01172	0.011676	-0.38%	0.0113	-3.58%	0.0161	✓	1.30
2025-12-21	oos	0.011425	0.011398	-0.23%	0.01172	+2.58%	0.0291	✗	1.29
2025-12-20	oos	0.01157	0.011541	-0.25%	0.011425	-1.25%	0.0148	✓	1.31
2025-12-19	oos	0.0115	0.011472	-0.25%	0.01157	+0.61%	0.0051	✗	1.31
2025-12-18	oos	0.01103	0.011009	-0.19%	0.0115	+4.26%	0.0040	✗	1.31
2025-12-17	oos	0.01149	0.011461	-0.25%	0.01103	-4.00%	0.0269	✓	1.30
2025-12-16	oos	0.01168	0.011653	-0.23%	0.01149	-1.63%	0.0106	✗	1.31
2025-12-15	oos	0.01169	0.011658	-0.27%	0.01168	-0.09%	0.0198	✓	1.31
2025-12-14	oos	0.01213	0.0121	-0.25%	0.01169	-3.63%	0.0083	✓	1.30
2025-12-13	oos	0.01248	0.012448	-0.25%	0.01213	-2.80%	0.0045	✗	1.30
2025-12-12	oos	0.012345	0.012318	-0.22%	0.01248	+1.09%	0.0134	✗	1.30
2025-12-11	oos	0.0126	0.012572	-0.22%	0.012345	-2.02%	0.0141	✗	1.31
2025-12-10	oos	0.01276	0.012729	-0.24%	0.0126	-1.25%	0.0174	✓	1.31
2025-12-09	oos	0.01299	0.012954	-0.28%	0.01276	-1.77%	0.0058	✓	1.31
2025-12-08	oos	0.01301	0.012973	-0.29%	0.01299	-0.15%	0.0279	✓	1.32
2025-12-07	oos	0.01295	0.012916	-0.27%	0.01301	+0.46%	0.0036	✗	1.32
2025-12-06	oos	0.01306	0.013026	-0.26%	0.01295	-0.84%	0.0227	✓	1.33
2025-12-05	oos	0.01304	0.01301	-0.23%	0.01306	+0.15%	0.0050	✗	1.33
2025-12-04	oos	0.01328	0.013252	-0.21%	0.01304	-1.81%	0.0246	✗	1.34
2025-12-03	oos	0.01397	0.013931	-0.28%	0.01328	-4.94%	0.0282	✓	1.34
2025-12-02	oos	0.01384	0.013799	-0.29%	0.01397	+0.94%	0.0190	✓	1.35
2025-12-01	oos	0.01341	0.013377	-0.24%	0.01384	+3.21%	0.0460	✓	1.41
2025-11-30	oos	0.01466	0.014607	-0.36%	0.01341	-8.53%	0.0226	✓	1.36
2025-11-29	oos	0.01505	0.014987	-0.42%	0.01466	-2.59%	0.0152	✓	1.35
2025-11-28	oos	0.01492	0.014854	-0.44%	0.01505	+0.87%	0.0142	✗	1.35
2025-11-27	oos	0.01495	0.014849	-0.67%	0.01492	-0.20%	0.0109	✗	1.35
2025-11-26	oos	0.01429	0.014219	-0.50%	0.01495	+4.62%	0.0377	✗	1.33
2025-11-25	oos	0.01363	0.013579	-0.37%	0.01429	+4.84%	0.0038	✗	1.34
2025-11-24	oos	0.01364	0.013579	-0.44%	0.01363	-0.07%	0.0181	✗	1.34
2025-11-23	oos	0.01305	0.012998	-0.39%	0.01364	+4.52%	0.0262	✗	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.01232	0.012292	-0.23%	0.01305	+5.93%	0.0276	✗	1.30
2025-11-21	oos	0.0126	0.012561	-0.31%	0.01232	-2.22%	0.0135	✓	1.29
2025-11-20	oos	0.012965	0.012928	-0.28%	0.0126	-2.82%	0.0036	✓	1.29
2025-11-19	oos	0.01339	0.013345	-0.33%	0.012965	-3.17%	0.0457	✗	1.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.01371	0.013657	-0.39%	0.01339	-2.33%	0.0016	✓	1.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.01379	0.01374	-0.36%	0.01371	-0.58%	0.0141	✓	1.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.01414	0.014082	-0.41%	0.01379	-2.48%	0.0096	✗	1.37
2025-11-15	oos	0.01427	0.014213	-0.40%	0.01414	-0.91%	0.0145	✗	1.37
2025-11-14	oos	0.01394	0.013893	-0.34%	0.01427	+2.37%	0.0118	✗	1.37
2025-11-13	oos	0.01455	0.014494	-0.39%	0.01394	-4.19%	0.0359	✗	1.42
2025-11-12	oos	0.01536	0.015289	-0.46%	0.01455	-5.27%	0.0215	✓	1.39
2025-11-11	oos	0.01544	0.015371	-0.45%	0.01536	-0.52%	0.0176	✗	1.37
2025-11-10	oos	0.01621	0.016109	-0.62%	0.01544	-4.75%	0.0039	✓	1.36
2025-11-09	oos	0.01598	0.015897	-0.52%	0.01621	+1.44%	0.0029	✓	1.36
2025-11-08	oos	0.01549	0.015416	-0.48%	0.01598	+3.16%	0.0042	✓	1.36
2025-11-07	oos	0.01551	0.015424	-0.55%	0.01549	-0.13%	0.0173	✗	1.35
2025-11-06	oos	0.01487	0.014804	-0.45%	0.01551	+4.30%	0.0206	✗	1.33
2025-11-05	oos	0.01498	0.014893	-0.58%	0.01487	-0.73%	0.0325	✗	1.36
2025-11-04	oos	0.0136	0.013557	-0.31%	0.01498	+10.15%	0.0692	✗	1.31
2025-11-03	oos	0.01353	0.013502	-0.21%	0.0136	+0.52%	0.0768	✗	1.42
2025-11-02	oos	0.01601	0.015931	-0.50%	0.01353	-15.49%	0.1159	✓	1.29
2025-11-01	oos	0.016	0.015928	-0.45%	0.01601	+0.06%	0.0006	✓	1.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01613	0.016056	-0.46%	0.016	-0.81%	0.0095	✓	1.31
2025-10-30	oos	0.01595	0.015879	-0.45%	0.01613	+1.13%	0.0007	✓	1.31
2025-10-29	oos	0.0168	0.016715	-0.51%	0.01595	-5.06%	0.0263	✓	1.30
2025-10-28	oos	0.01667	0.016581	-0.53%	0.0168	+0.78%	0.0481	✗	1.36
2025-10-27	oos	0.0171	0.017012	-0.52%	0.01667	-2.51%	0.0062	✓	1.35
2025-10-26	oos	0.01758	0.017478	-0.58%	0.0171	-2.73%	0.0164	✓	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.01709	0.017008	-0.48%	0.01758	+2.87%	0.0014	✓	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.0174	0.017311	-0.51%	0.01709	-1.78%	0.0204	✓	1.35
2025-10-23	oos	0.01714	0.017071	-0.40%	0.0174	+1.52%	0.0077	✗	1.36
2025-10-22	oos	0.01726	0.017194	-0.38%	0.01714	-0.70%	0.0355	✓	1.39
2025-10-21	oos	0.017705	0.017628	-0.43%	0.01726	-2.51%	0.0111	✓	1.39
2025-10-20	oos	0.017545	0.017482	-0.36%	0.017705	+0.91%	0.0413	✗	1.42
2025-10-19	oos	0.017435	0.017381	-0.31%	0.017545	+0.63%	0.0168	✓	1.52
2025-10-18	oos	0.01827	0.018191	-0.43%	0.017435	-4.57%	0.0636	✓	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	0.01676	0.016731	-0.17%	0.01827	+9.01%	0.0773	✗	1.53
2025-10-16	oos	0.01747	0.017435	-0.20%	0.01676	-4.06%	0.0150	✓	1.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01882	0.018759	-0.32%	0.01747	-7.17%	0.0355	✓	1.50
2025-10-14	oos	0.01934	0.019267	-0.38%	0.01882	-2.69%	0.0076	✗	1.53
2025-10-13	oos	0.02064	0.02053	-0.53%	0.01934	-6.30%	0.0304	✓	1.51
2025-10-12	oos	0.02002	0.019933	-0.43%	0.02064	+3.10%	0.0322	✗	1.50
2025-10-11	oos	0.01938	0.01931	-0.36%	0.02002	+3.30%	0.0225	✓	1.54
2025-10-10	oos	0.01922	0.019169	-0.27%	0.01938	+0.83%	0.0419	✗	1.56
2025-10-09	oos	0.02223	0.022145	-0.38%	0.01922	-13.54%	0.0339	✓	1.45
2025-10-08	oos	0.02322	0.023129	-0.39%	0.02223	-4.26%	0.0209	✓	1.41
2025-10-07	oos	0.02358	0.023482	-0.42%	0.02322	-1.53%	0.0336	✓	1.41
2025-10-06	oos	0.02422	0.024113	-0.44%	0.02358	-2.64%	0.0152	✗	1.39
2025-10-05	oos	0.024185	0.024088	-0.40%	0.02422	+0.14%	0.0080	✓	1.39
2025-10-04	oos	0.02423	0.024139	-0.37%	0.024185	-0.19%	0.0102	✓	1.40
2025-10-03	oos	0.02501	0.024902	-0.43%	0.02423	-3.12%	0.0290	✓	1.39
2025-10-02	oos	0.02591	0.025774	-0.52%	0.02501	-3.47%	0.0500	✓	1.43
2025-10-01	oos	0.02651	0.02635	-0.60%	0.02591	-2.26%	0.0408	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.0255	0.025372	-0.50%	0.02651	+3.96%	0.0150	✓	1.49
2025-09-29	oos	0.0265	0.026328	-0.65%	0.0255	-3.77%	0.0281	✓	1.46
2025-09-28	oos	0.02637	0.026198	-0.65%	0.0265	+0.49%	0.0171	✓	1.49
2025-09-27	oos	0.02541	0.025271	-0.55%	0.02637	+3.78%	0.0088	✗	1.49
2025-09-26	oos	0.0258	0.025599	-0.78%	0.02541	-1.51%	0.0072	✓	1.48
2025-09-25	oos	0.02372	0.023598	-0.51%	0.0258	+8.77%	0.0804	✗	1.46
2025-09-24	oos	0.02725	0.026925	-1.19%	0.02372	-12.95%	0.0769	✓	1.28
2025-09-23	oos	0.02488	0.024718	-0.65%	0.02725	+9.53%	0.0828	✗	1.25
2025-09-22	oos	0.02357	0.023453	-0.50%	0.02488	+5.56%	0.0672	✗	1.27
2025-09-21	oos	0.02502	0.024857	-0.65%	0.02357	-5.80%	0.0259	✓	1.22
2025-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.024793	-0.79%	0.02502	+0.12%	0.0142	✗	1.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.02317	0.023053	-0.51%	0.02499	+7.85%	0.0800	✗	1.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.02367	0.023544	-0.53%	0.02317	-2.11%	0.0002	✓	1.29

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.