FLORK

FLORK · Binance Smart Chain · beta_5y

token id: #763
symbol: FLORK
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0xf40592daacb3e5abf358789f5688c0b4f64d7777
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-02-20
predictions: 543

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

176

of 181 predictions shown

direction hit

64.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1211

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0057

actual -0.0418

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.003736	0.003707	-0.76%	–	pending	–	–	5.24
2026-10-21	oos	0.003933	0.003901	-0.81%	0.003736	+1.00%	0.0060	✓	5.23
2026-10-20	oos	0.004125	0.004081	-1.09%	0.003933	-4.67%	0.0219	✓	5.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.004032	0.003988	-1.08%	0.004125	+2.32%	0.0355	✓	5.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.003454	0.003435	-0.54%	0.004032	+16.73%	0.1708	✗	5.16
2026-10-17	oos	0.00347	0.003453	-0.48%	0.003454	-0.46%	0.0392	✓	5.14
2026-10-16	oos	0.003774	0.003745	-0.78%	0.00347	-8.06%	0.0687	✓	5.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.003348	0.003337	-0.30%	0.003774	+12.74%	0.1618	✗	5.10
2026-10-14	oos	0.003046	0.003051	+0.16%	0.003348	+9.90%	0.0582	✓	5.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.003451	0.003447	-0.13%	0.003046	-11.74%	0.0282	✓	5.11
2026-10-12	oos	0.003467	0.003469	+0.06%	0.003451	-0.46%	0.0904	✗	5.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.004396	0.004365	-0.70%	0.003467	-21.12%	0.1220	✓	4.62
2026-10-10	oos	0.004267	0.004247	-0.46%	0.004396	+3.02%	0.0068	✓	4.48
2026-10-09	oos	0.004635	0.004594	-0.88%	0.004267	-7.95%	0.0939	✓	4.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.003808	0.003814	+0.15%	0.004635	+21.70%	0.1495	✓	4.37
2026-10-07	oos	0.00422	0.004215	-0.11%	0.003808	-9.74%	0.0186	✓	4.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.004727	0.004703	-0.53%	0.00422	-10.75%	0.0160	✗	4.64
2026-10-05	oos	0.005032	0.004996	-0.70%	0.004727	-6.04%	0.0433	✓	4.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.005847	0.005774	-1.25%	0.005032	-13.95%	0.0949	✓	4.85
2026-10-03	oos	0.006506	0.006401	-1.62%	0.005847	-10.13%	0.1909	✓	4.87
2026-10-02	oos	0.005842	0.005782	-1.03%	0.006506	+11.37%	0.1046	✗	4.78
2026-10-01	oos	0.006148	0.006077	-1.16%	0.005842	-4.98%	0.0200	✓	4.76
2026-09-30	oos	0.006403	0.006329	-1.15%	0.006148	-3.98%	0.1061	✓	5.02
2026-09-29	oos	0.007246	0.007121	-1.72%	0.006403	-11.64%	0.1012	✓	5.23
2026-09-28	oos	0.006295	0.00623	-1.04%	0.007246	+15.10%	0.1401	✗	5.04
2026-09-27	oos	0.006935	0.006841	-1.35%	0.006295	-9.22%	0.0226	✓	5.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.00719	0.007087	-1.43%	0.006935	-3.55%	0.0244	✓	5.06
2026-09-25	oos	0.006766	0.006695	-1.05%	0.00719	+6.27%	0.0519	✗	5.06
2026-09-24	oos	0.008768	0.008578	-2.17%	0.006766	-22.83%	0.2199	✓	5.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.007721	0.007593	-1.65%	0.008768	+13.56%	0.1434	✗	5.03
2026-09-22	oos	0.006789	0.006716	-1.08%	0.007721	+13.73%	0.2545	✗	5.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.007053	0.006968	-1.21%	0.006789	-3.75%	0.0012	✓	5.41
2026-09-20	oos	0.006691	0.006657	-0.51%	0.007053	+5.42%	0.3469	✓	6.24
2026-09-19	oos	0.007862	0.007788	-0.94%	0.006691	-14.89%	0.1461	✓	6.23
2026-09-18	oos	0.009109	0.008946	-1.79%	0.007862	-13.69%	0.1563	✓	6.13
2026-09-17	oos	0.006408	0.006389	-0.29%	0.009109	+42.15%	0.0197	✗	5.82
2026-09-16	oos	0.005785	0.005787	+0.03%	0.006408	+10.77%	0.0863	✓	5.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.004084	0.004113	+0.73%	0.005785	+41.67%	0.2996	✓	5.61
2026-09-14	oos	0.007517	0.00751	-0.09%	0.004084	-45.68%	0.4541	✓	4.60
2026-09-13	oos	0.006585	0.006607	+0.34%	0.007517	+14.15%	0.0503	✓	4.43
2026-09-12	oos	0.009079	0.009052	-0.30%	0.006585	-27.47%	0.2915	✓	4.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.00891	0.008879	-0.35%	0.009079	+1.90%	0.0192	✗	4.34
2026-09-10	oos	0.010048	0.009955	-0.92%	0.00891	-11.33%	0.1492	✓	4.38
2026-09-09	oos	0.006942	0.006643	-4.30%	0.010048	+44.74%	0.5339	✗	5.32
2026-09-08	oos	0.013098	0.012961	-1.04%	0.006942	-47.00%	0.6138	✓	5.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.016474	0.016327	-0.89%	0.013098	-20.49%	0.1800	✓	4.93
2026-09-06	oos	0.019363	0.01919	-0.90%	0.016474	-14.92%	0.0787	✓	4.73
2026-09-05	oos	0.022837	0.022582	-1.12%	0.019363	-15.21%	0.1842	✓	4.80
2026-09-04	oos	0.018725	0.018562	-0.87%	0.022837	+21.96%	0.1984	✗	4.55
2026-09-03	oos	0.02597	0.025642	-1.26%	0.018725	-27.90%	0.2303	✓	4.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.019537	0.019367	-0.87%	0.02597	+32.92%	0.1237	✗	3.40
2026-08-03	oos	0.00012	0.000119186	-0.68%	–	pending	–	–	2.12
2026-08-02	oos	0.0001374	0.000136232	-0.85%	0.00012	-12.66%	0.1258	✓	1.96
2026-08-01	oos	0.0001501	0.000148717	-0.92%	0.0001374	-8.46%	0.1046	✓	2.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0002767	0.000270834	-2.12%	0.0001501	-45.75%	0.5880	✓	2.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.000324	0.000308823	-4.68%	0.0002767	-14.60%	0.0461	✓	2.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.0001227	0.000122337	-0.30%	0.000324	+164.06%	0.9546	✗	1.51
2026-07-28	oos	0.0001533	0.000152043	-0.82%	0.0001227	-19.96%	0.2156	✓	1.57
2026-07-27	oos	0.0001458	0.000144985	-0.56%	0.0001533	+5.14%	0.0522	✗	1.51
2026-07-26	oos	0.0001474	0.000146564	-0.57%	0.0001458	-1.09%	0.0391	✗	1.74
2026-07-25	oos	0.0001242	0.000124396	+0.16%	0.0001474	+18.68%	0.1429	✓	1.66
2026-07-24	oos	0.0001469	0.000146724	-0.12%	0.0001242	-15.45%	0.1718	✓	1.57
2026-07-23	oos	0.0001482	0.000148173	-0.02%	0.0001469	-0.88%	0.0148	✗	1.57
2026-07-22	oos	0.0001463	0.000146486	+0.13%	0.0001482	+1.30%	0.0351	✓	1.49
2026-07-21	oos	0.0001807	0.000180115	-0.32%	0.0001463	-19.04%	0.1983	✓	1.49
2026-07-20	oos	0.0001782	0.000178028	-0.10%	0.0001807	+1.40%	0.0140	✓	1.46
2026-07-19	oos	0.0001866	0.000186536	-0.03%	0.0001782	-4.50%	0.0577	✓	1.46
2026-07-18	oos	0.0002258	0.000224945	-0.38%	0.0001866	-17.36%	0.1843	✓	1.46
2026-07-17	oos	0.0002712	0.000268871	-0.86%	0.0002258	-16.74%	0.1963	✓	1.55
2026-07-16	oos	0.0002521	0.000250878	-0.48%	0.0002712	+7.58%	0.0749	✗	1.54
2026-07-15	oos	0.0002931	0.000290476	-0.90%	0.0002521	-13.99%	0.1197	✓	1.50
2026-07-14	oos	0.000341	0.000336538	-1.31%	0.0002931	-14.05%	0.1320	✓	1.49
2026-07-13	oos	0.0003621	0.000357688	-1.22%	0.000341	-5.83%	0.1174	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.000379	0.000373317	-1.50%	0.0003621	-4.46%	0.0085	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.0003995	0.000392832	-1.67%	0.000379	-5.13%	0.0350	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.0003957	0.000388728	-1.76%	0.0003995	+0.96%	0.0366	✗	1.67
2026-07-09	oos	0.0004508	0.000439054	-2.61%	0.0003957	-12.22%	0.1302	✓	1.75
2026-07-08	oos	0.000301	0.00029406	-2.31%	0.0004508	+49.77%	0.4058	✗	1.43
2026-07-07	oos	0.00047	0.000461148	-1.88%	0.000301	-35.96%	0.4061	✓	1.19
2026-07-06	oos	0.0004803	0.000470519	-2.04%	0.00047	-2.14%	0.0117	✓	1.20
2026-07-05	oos	0.00082	0.000806476	-1.65%	0.0004803	-41.43%	0.5274	✓	1.39
2026-07-04	oos	0.001078	0.001056	-2.00%	0.00082	-23.93%	0.2651	✓	1.50
2026-07-03	oos	0.001188	0.00115	-3.24%	0.001078	-9.26%	0.0781	✓	1.54
2026-07-02	oos	0.000855	0.000831447	-2.75%	0.001188	+38.95%	0.3362	✗	1.24
2026-07-01	oos	0.000655	0.000641884	-2.00%	0.000855	+30.53%	0.2650	✗	0.87
2026-06-30	oos	0.000741	0.00072539	-2.11%	0.000655	-11.61%	0.1263	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	2.94e-7	2.94e-7	-0.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	3.12e-7	3.11e-7	-0.14%	2.94e-7	-5.67%	0.0414	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	3.36e-7	3.35e-7	-0.25%	3.12e-7	-7.29%	0.0853	✓	1.03
2026-06-18	oos	2.98e-7	2.98e-7	+0.02%	3.36e-7	+12.90%	0.1125	✓	0.93
2026-06-17	oos	3.46e-7	3.46e-7	-0.14%	2.98e-7	-14.11%	0.1301	✓	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	3.72e-7	3.72e-7	-0.23%	3.46e-7	-6.98%	0.0551	✓	0.83
2026-06-15	oos	4.01e-7	4.00e-7	-0.42%	3.72e-7	-7.15%	0.0618	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	3.38e-7	3.38e-7	-0.05%	4.01e-7	+18.80%	0.1669	✗	0.69
2026-06-13	oos	3.52e-7	3.52e-7	-0.04%	3.38e-7	-4.04%	0.0544	✓	0.70
2026-06-12	oos	3.57e-7	3.57e-7	+0.00%	3.52e-7	-1.37%	0.0232	✗	0.67
2026-06-11	oos	4.01e-7	4.00e-7	-0.15%	3.57e-7	-11.02%	0.1150	✓	0.68
2026-06-10	oos	3.75e-7	3.75e-7	+0.04%	4.01e-7	+6.88%	0.0503	✓	0.46
2026-06-09	oos	3.74e-7	3.74e-7	+0.14%	3.75e-7	+0.37%	0.0041	✓	0.46
2026-06-08	oos	3.97e-7	3.97e-7	+0.11%	3.74e-7	-5.82%	0.0507	✗	0.47
2026-06-07	oos	4.64e-7	4.64e-7	-0.11%	3.97e-7	-14.52%	0.1539	✓	0.47
2026-06-06	oos	4.55e-7	4.55e-7	+0.03%	4.64e-7	+2.04%	0.0080	✓	0.30
2026-06-05	oos	4.48e-7	4.49e-7	+0.18%	4.55e-7	+1.56%	0.0146	✓	0.29
2026-06-04	oos	4.85e-7	4.85e-7	+0.08%	4.48e-7	-7.55%	0.0678	✗	0.26
2026-06-03	oos	5.80e-7	5.78e-7	-0.23%	4.85e-7	-16.38%	0.1756	✓	0.27
2026-06-02	oos	5.62e-7	5.61e-7	-0.11%	5.80e-7	+3.17%	0.0550	✗	0.57
2026-06-01	oos	6.00e-7	5.99e-7	-0.21%	5.62e-7	-6.45%	0.0108	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	6.74e-7	6.71e-7	-0.47%	6.00e-7	-10.88%	0.0907	✓	0.63
2026-05-30	oos	5.84e-7	5.84e-7	+0.09%	6.74e-7	+15.40%	0.1441	✓	0.67
2026-05-29	oos	6.58e-7	6.58e-7	-0.08%	5.84e-7	-11.33%	0.1235	✓	0.74
2026-05-28	oos	6.43e-7	6.44e-7	+0.15%	6.58e-7	+2.35%	0.0232	✓	0.74
2026-05-27	oos	6.33e-7	6.35e-7	+0.40%	6.43e-7	+1.66%	0.0219	✓	0.87
2026-05-26	oos	7.17e-7	7.19e-7	+0.25%	6.33e-7	-11.74%	0.1130	✗	0.72
2026-05-25	oos	6.90e-7	6.94e-7	+0.57%	7.17e-7	+3.85%	0.0521	✓	1.07
2026-05-24	oos	7.49e-7	7.53e-7	+0.56%	6.90e-7	-7.82%	0.0909	✗	1.09
2026-05-23	oos	8.02e-7	8.06e-7	+0.54%	7.49e-7	-6.61%	0.0784	✗	1.10
2026-05-22	oos	7.61e-7	7.68e-7	+0.88%	8.02e-7	+5.39%	0.0312	✓	0.79
2026-05-21	oos	9.46e-7	9.52e-7	+0.61%	7.61e-7	-19.56%	0.1961	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.000001063	0.000001068	+0.50%	9.46e-7	-11.01%	0.1225	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.000001057	0.000001064	+0.70%	0.000001063	+0.57%	0.0105	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.000001316	0.000001321	+0.38%	0.000001057	-19.68%	0.2207	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.000001395	0.000001401	+0.42%	0.000001316	-5.66%	0.0565	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.000001587	0.000001591	+0.23%	0.000001395	-12.10%	0.1223	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.000001354	0.000001364	+0.76%	0.000001587	+17.21%	0.1633	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.000001393	0.000001405	+0.89%	0.000001354	-2.80%	0.0120	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.000001677	0.000001689	+0.72%	0.000001393	-16.94%	0.2150	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.000001585	0.000001601	+1.01%	0.000001677	+5.80%	0.0614	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.000001818	0.000001835	+0.93%	0.000001585	-12.82%	0.1311	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.000002312	0.000002324	+0.52%	0.000001818	-21.37%	0.2398	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.000002772	0.000002775	+0.10%	0.000002312	-16.59%	0.2015	✗	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.000002647	0.000002658	+0.43%	0.000002772	+4.72%	0.0361	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.000002433	0.000002452	+0.77%	0.000002647	+8.80%	0.0743	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.000003582	0.000003572	-0.27%	0.000002433	-32.08%	0.3663	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.000003919	0.000003899	-0.52%	0.000003582	-8.60%	0.0912	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.000005398	0.000005274	-2.30%	0.000003919	-27.40%	0.3101	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.000004105	0.000004076	-0.71%	0.000005398	+31.50%	0.2647	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.000003748	0.000003735	-0.33%	0.000004105	+9.53%	0.0959	✗	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.000003913	0.000003894	-0.48%	0.000003748	-4.22%	0.0440	✓	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.0002259	0.000224039	-0.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.0002195	0.000217625	-0.85%	0.0002259	+2.92%	0.0209	✗	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.0002045	0.000203048	-0.71%	0.0002195	+7.33%	0.0384	✗	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.0002157	0.000213955	-0.81%	0.0002045	-5.19%	0.0426	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.0007511	0.000747994	-0.41%	–	pending	–	–	2.15
2025-04-07	in	0.0007467	0.00074301	-0.49%	0.0007511	+0.59%	0.0936	✗	2.23
2025-04-06	in	0.0006971	0.000695262	-0.26%	0.0007467	+7.12%	0.0498	✗	2.20
2025-04-05	in	0.0007712	0.000767254	-0.51%	0.0006971	-9.61%	0.0491	✗	2.29
2025-04-04	in	0.0007747	0.000770464	-0.55%	0.0007712	-0.45%	0.0109	✗	2.29
2025-04-03	in	0.0007187	0.000716632	-0.29%	0.0007747	+7.79%	0.0593	✗	2.27
2025-04-02	in	0.0007508	0.000748512	-0.30%	0.0007187	-4.28%	0.0594	✓	2.28
2025-04-01	in	0.0008037	0.000799925	-0.47%	0.0007508	-6.58%	0.0101	✗	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.000813	0.000809325	-0.45%	0.0008037	-1.14%	0.0806	✓	2.34
2025-03-30	in	0.000721	0.000720805	-0.03%	0.000813	+12.76%	0.1160	✗	2.32
2025-03-29	in	0.000678	0.000680188	+0.32%	0.000721	+6.34%	0.0649	✓	2.32
2025-03-28	in	0.000881	0.000879	-0.23%	0.000678	-23.04%	0.2122	✓	2.25
2025-03-27	in	0.000913	0.000910889	-0.23%	0.000881	-3.50%	0.0425	✗	2.29
2025-03-26	in	0.0012	0.001194	-0.52%	0.000913	-23.92%	0.2759	✓	2.34
2025-03-25	in	0.001273	0.001265	-0.62%	0.0012	-5.73%	0.0394	✓	2.33
2025-03-24	in	0.001297	0.001289	-0.65%	0.001273	-1.85%	0.0096	✓	2.33
2025-03-23	in	0.001292	0.001285	-0.58%	0.001297	+0.39%	0.0289	✓	2.34
2025-03-22	in	0.001276	0.00127	-0.46%	0.001292	+1.25%	0.0452	✓	2.36
2025-03-21	in	0.001337	0.00133	-0.52%	0.001276	-4.56%	0.0390	✓	1.00
2025-03-20	in	0.001296	0.001291	-0.39%	0.001337	+3.16%	0.0365	✗	1.00
2025-03-19	in	0.001529	0.001516	-0.84%	0.001296	-15.24%	0.1254	✓	1.00
2025-03-18	in	0.001389	0.001382	-0.50%	0.001529	+10.08%	0.0517	✗	1.00
2025-03-17	in	0.00133	0.001325	-0.37%	0.001389	+4.44%	0.0628	✗	1.00
2025-03-16	in	0.00128	0.001278	-0.16%	0.00133	+3.91%	0.0225	✗	1.00
2025-03-15	in	0.001394	0.001391	-0.22%	0.00128	-8.18%	0.0616	✓	1.00
2025-03-14	in	0.001647	0.001639	-0.51%	0.001394	-15.36%	0.1661	✓	1.00
2025-03-13	in	0.001567	0.001563	-0.25%	0.001647	+5.11%	0.0171	✗	1.00
2025-03-12	in	0.001934	0.001918	-0.82%	0.001567	-18.98%	0.1708	✓	1.00
2025-03-11	in	0.001798	0.001785	-0.71%	0.001934	+7.56%	0.0711	✗	1.00
2025-03-10	in	0.00146	0.001463	+0.19%	0.001798	+23.15%	0.1522	✓	1.00
2025-03-09	in	0.001635	0.001635	-0.02%	0.00146	-10.70%	0.0860	✓	1.00
2025-03-08	in	0.001889	0.001882	-0.37%	0.001635	-13.45%	0.0746	✓	1.00
2025-03-07	in	0.002226	0.002215	-0.50%	0.001889	-15.14%	0.1528	✓	1.00
2025-03-06	in	0.002583	0.002567	-0.62%	0.002226	-13.82%	0.1067	✓	1.00
2025-03-05	in	0.002641	0.002625	-0.61%	0.002583	-2.20%	0.0086	✓	1.00
2025-03-04	in	0.002791	0.002773	-0.66%	0.002641	-5.37%	0.0863	✓	1.00
2025-03-03	in	0.00273	0.002714	-0.60%	0.002791	+2.23%	0.0155	✗	1.00
2025-03-02	in	0.00327	0.003229	-1.26%	0.00273	-16.51%	0.0779	✓	1.00
2025-03-01	in	0.002594	0.002578	-0.61%	0.00327	+26.06%	0.1461	✗	1.00